International Journal of Forecasting, 2007

Special Section: Global Income Growth in the 21st Century: Determinants and Forecasts

AHLBURG Dennis, LINDH Thomas - Long-run income forecasting, pp. 533-538
GRANGER Clive W.J., JEON Yongil - Long-term forecasting and evaluation, pp. 539-551
LINDH Thomas, MALMBERG BO - Demographically based global income forecasts up to the year 2050, pp. 553-567
BLOOM David E., CANNING David, FINK Günther, FINLAY Jocelyn E. - Does age structure forecast economic growth?, pp. 569-585
PRSKAWETZ A., KÖGEL T., SANDERSON W.C., SCHERBOV S. - The effects of age structure on economic growth: An application of probabilistic forecasting to India, pp. 587-602
LEE Sang-Hyop, MASON Andrew - Who gains from the demographic dividend? Forecasting income by age, pp. 603-619
DE LA CROIX David, DOCQUIER Frédéric, LIÉGEOIS Philippe - Income growth in the 21st century: Forecasts with an overlapping generations model, pp. 621-635
MCKIBBIN Warwick J., PEARCE David, STEGMAN Alison - Long term projections of carbon emissions, pp. 637-653

Regular Articles

LIU DANDAN, JANSEN Dennis W. - Macroeconomic forecasting using structural factor analysis, pp. 655-677
ZAHER Fadi - Evaluating factor forecasts for the UK: The role of asset prices, pp. 679-693
PANOPOULOU Ekaterini - Predictive financial models of the euro area: A new evaluation test, pp. 695-705
ULU Yasemin - Optimal prediction under LINLIN loss: Empirical evidence, pp. 707-715

Book Reviews

SLOBODA Brian - Nonparametric econometrics: Theory and practice, pp. 717-719
FILDES Robert - Thomas F. Wallace and Robert A. Stahl , Sales Forecasting: A New Approach, T.F. Wallace & Co. (2006) ISBN: 0-9674884-1-9 (paper), pp. 719-720

Judgement in Forecasting

PARACKAL Mathew, GOODWIN Paul, O'CONNOR Marcus - Judgement in forecasting, pp. 343-345
MORWITZ Vicki G., STECKEL Joel H., GUPTA Alok - When do purchase intentions predict sales?, pp. 347-364
GREEN Kesten C., ARMSTRONG J. Scott - Structured analogies for forecasting, pp. 365-376
LEE Wing Yee, GOODWIN Paul, FILDES Robert, NIKOLOPOULOS Konstantinos, LAWRENCE Michael - Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks, pp. 377-390
GOODWIN Paul, FILDES Robert, NIKOLOPOULOS Konstantinos, LAWRENCE Michael - The process of using a forecasting support system, pp. 391-404
SONG ChiUng, BOULIER Bryan L., STECKLER Herman O. - The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games, pp. 405-413
SCHEIBEHENNE Benjamin, BRÖDER Arndt - Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition, pp. 415-426
BATCHELOR Roy, KWAN Tai Yeong - Judgemental bootstrapping of technical traders in the bond market, pp. 427-445

Forecasting of software development work effort

ARMSTRONG J. Scott - Forecasting of software development work effort: Introduction, p. 447
JORGENSEN Magne - Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert judgement and formal models, pp. 449-462
DANA Jason - Is task complexity an exception to the superiority of mechanized judgement, or a barrier to it?, pp. 463-464
HOGARTH Robin M. - Information asymmetry and aggregation rules: A comment on Jørgensen (2007), pp. 465-467
COLLOPY Fred - Difficulty and complexity as factors in software effort estimation, pp. 469-471
JORGENSEN Magne - How should we compare forecasting models with expert judgement?, pp. 473-474

Regular articles

DAVIS Donna F., MENTZER John T. - Organizational factors in sales forecasting management, pp. 475-495
DU Ning, BUDESCU David V. - Does past volatility affect investors' price forecasts and confidence judgements?, pp. 497-511
VAN GESTEL Tony, MARTENS David, BAESENS Bart, FEREMANS Daniel, HUYSMANS Johan, VANTHIENEN Jan - Forecasting and analyzing insurance companies' ratings, pp. 513-529

Book Review

PAAP Richard - Geweke John: Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, Wiley, New Jersey (2005), p. 531

Special Section: The Future Of Macroeconomic Forecasting

HEILEMANN Ullrich, STEKLER Herman - Introduction to “The future of macroeconomic forecasting”, pp. 159-165
ISIKLAR Gultekin, LAHIRI Kajal - How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys, pp. 167-187
BATCHELOR Roy - Bias in macroeconomic forecasts, pp. 189-203
ÖLLER Lars-Erik, TETERUKOVSKY Alex - Quantifying the quality of macroeconomic variables, pp. 205-217
CARRIERO Andrea, MARCELLINO Massimiliano - A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK, pp. 219-236
STEKLER H.O. - The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process, pp. 237-248

Regular Articles

ABBERGER Klaus - Qualitative business surveys and the assessment of employment — A case study for Germany, pp. 249-258
PÉREZ Javier J. - Leading indicators for euro area government deficits, pp. 259-275
SEIP Knut Lehre, MCNOWN Robert - The timing and accuracy of leading and lagging business cycle indicators: A new approach, pp. 277-287
GIOT Pierre, PETITJEAN Mikael - The information content of the Bond–Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?, pp. 289-305
LANNE Markku - Forecasting realized exchange rate volatility by decomposition, pp. 307-320

Statistical Significance Tests

ARMSTRONG J.Scott - Significance tests harm progress in forecasting, pp. 321-327
STEKLER H.O. - Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment, pp. 329-330
ORD Keith - Comments on “significance tests harm progress in forecasting”, pp. 331-332
GOODWIN Paul - Should we be using significance tests in forecasting research?, pp. 333-334
ARMSTRONG J.Scott - Statistical significance tests are unnecessary even when properly done and properly interpreted: Reply to commentaries, pp. 335-336

Book Reviews

SLOBODA Brian W. -Advances in Econometrics, Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series Vol. 20, Part A, JAI Press (2006) ISBN 0-7623-1274-2 379 pp., Part A., pp. 337-339
TSCHOEGL A.E., ARMSTRONG J.S. - Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, pp. 339-342

Regular Articles

HALL Stephen G., MITCHELL James - Combining density forecasts , pp. 1-3
NOLTE Ingmar, POHLMEIER Winfried - Using forecasts of forecasters to forecast, pp. 15-28
KRKROSKA Libor, TEKSOZ Utku - Accuracy of GDP growth forecasts for transition countries: Ten years of forecasting assessed , pp. 29-45
CLAVERIA Oscar, PONS Ernest, RAMOS Raúl - Business and consumer expectations and macroeconomic forecasts, pp. 47-69
PREMINGER Arie, FRANCK Raphael - Forecasting exchange rates: A robust regression approach, pp. 71-84
FUERTES Ana-Maria, KALOTYCHOU Elena - Optimal design of early warning systems for sovereign debt crises, pp. 85-100
BATCHELOR Roy, ALIZADEH Amir, VISVKIS Ilias - Forecasting spot and forward prices in the international freight market, pp. 101-114
MCMILLAN David G. - Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: Does volume help? , pp. 115-126
SCHMELING Maik - Institutional and individual sentiment: Smart money and noise trader risk? , pp. 127-145
ILEDOLTER Johannes - Increase in mean square forecast error when omitting a needed covariate , pp. 147-152

Book Reviews

TAYLOR Robert - New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis, Helmut Lütkepohl. Springer-Verlag (2005), ISBN 3-540-40172-5 (hardcover), 149.95 €, ISBN 3-540-26239-3 (softcover),764 pages. , p. 153
SYNTETOS A.A. - Advances in Business and Management Forecasting(volume 4), Kenneth D. Lawrence & Michael D. Geurts (eds), Elsevier: JAI Press, Hardback, 302 pages, ISBN: 0-7623-1281-5., pp. 154-155

Corrigendum

YELLAND Phillip M. - Corrigendum to “Stable seasonal pattern models for forecast revision: A comparative study” [International Journal of Forecasting, 22 (2006), 799–818] , p. 157

Dernière modification le 22.03.2022