International Journal of Forecasting, 2010

Volume 26, n° 4, October-December 2010

  • TAYLOR James W. - Exponentially weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles, pp. 627-646 

Discussions

  • KOOPMAN S.J., OOMS M. - Exponentionally weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles: Comments, pp. 647-651 
  • SHEN Haipeng - Exponentially weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles: Comments, pp. 652-654 
  • DE LIVERA Alysha M. - Exponentially weighted methods for multiple seasonal time series, pp. 655-657
  • TAYLOR James W. - Reply to the discussion of: Exponentially weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles, pp. 658-660 
  • McKENZIE Eddie, GARDNER Everette S. Jr. - Damped trend exponential smoothing: A modelling viewpoint, pp. 661-665
  • ZHANG Shu, JANK Wolfgang, SHMUELI Galit - Real-time forecasting of online auctions via functional K-nearest neighbors, pp. 666-683
  • MESTEKEMPER Thomas, WINDMANN Michael, KAUERMANN Göran - Functional hourly forecasting of water temperature, pp. 684-699
  • GOIA Aldo, MAY Caterina, FUSAI Gianluca - Functional clustering and linear regression for peak load forecasting, pp. 700-711
  • RUEDA Cristina, RODRIGUEZ Pilar - State space models for estimating and forecasting fertility, pp. 712-724 
  • COSTANTINI Mauro,PAPPALARDO  Carmine - A hierarchical procedure for the combination of forecasts, pp. 725-743
  • ANDO Tomohiro, TSAY Ruey - Predictive likelihood for Bayesian model selection and averaging, pp. 744-763 
  • BRENTNALL Adam R., CROWDER  Martin J., HAND David J. - Predictive-sequential forecasting system development for cash machine stocking, pp. 764-776
  • CHAUVET Marcelle, POTTER Simon - Business cycle monitoring with structural changes, pp. 777-793
  • PEDREGAL Diego J., PEREZ  Javier J. - Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillance in Europe? pp. 794-807
  • ROSSI Barbara, SEKHPOSYAN Tatevik - Have economic models’ forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? pp. 808-835
  • SCHRIMPF Andreas, WANG Qingwei - A reappraisal of the leading indicator properties of the yield curve under structural instability, pp. 836-857
  • MALTRITZ Dominik,  EICHLER Stefan - Currency crisis prediction using ADR market data: An options-based approach, pp. 858-884
  • BAUWENS Luc, SUCCARAT Genaro - General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation, pp. 885-907
  • SCHANNE N., WAPLER R., WEYH A. - Regional unemployment forecasts with spatial interdependencies, pp. 908-926

Book reviews

  • GOODWIN Paul - Book Review, pp. 927-928
  • SYNTETOS Aris A. - Robert A. KRUEGER. Business forecasting: A practical, comprehensive resource for managers and practitioners, p. 929

(résumés du n° 4/2010)

Volume 26, n° 3, July-September 2010

Special Issue: Sports Forecasting

Editorial

  • WILLIAMS Leighton Vaughan, STEKLER Herman O. - Sports forecasting, pp. 445-447

Soccer

  • FRANCK Egon, VERBEEK Erwin, NÜESCH Stephan - Prediction accuracy of different market structures ? bookmakers versus a betting exchange, pp. 448-459
  • HVATTUM Lars Magnus, ARNTZEN Halvard - Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football, pp. 460-470
  • LEITNER Christoph, ZEILEIS Achim, HORNIK Kurt - Forecasting sports tournaments by ratings of (prob)abilities: A comparison for the EURO 2008, pp. 471-481
  • STRUMBELJ E. , SIKONJA M. Robnik - Online bookmakers? odds as forecasts: The case of European soccer leagues, pp. 482-488

Australian football

  • SARGENT Jonathan, BEDFORD Anthony - Improving Australian Football League player performance forecasts using optimized nonlinear smoothing, pp. 489-497
  • GRANT Andrew, JOHNSTONE David - Finding profitable forecast combinations using probability scoring rules, pp. 498-510
  • RYALL Richard, BEDFORD Anthony - An optimized ratings-based model for forecasting Australian Rules football, pp. 511-517

Horse racing

  • LESSMANN Stefan, SUNG Ming-Chien, JOHNSON Johnnie E.V. - Alternative methods of predicting competitive events: An application in horserace betting markets, pp. 518-536
  • SCHNYTZER Adi, LAMERS Martien, MAKROPOULOU Vasiliki - The impact of insider trading on forecasting in a bookmakers? horse betting market, pp. 537-542
  • SMITH Michael A., WILLIAMS Leighton Vaughan - Forecasting horse race outcomes: New evidence on odds bias in UK betting markets, pp. 543-550

Tennis

  • DEL CORRAL Julio, PRIETO-RODRÍGUEZ Juan - Are differences in ranks good predictors for Grand Slam tennis matches?, pp. 551-563
  • EASTON Stephen, UYLANGCO Katherine - Forecasting outcomes in tennis matches using within-match betting markets, pp. 564-575

Olympics

  • FORREST David, SANZ Ismael, TENA J.D. - Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games, pp. 576-588

NFL

  • BOULIER Bryan L., STEKLER H.O., COBURN Jason, RANKINS Timothy - RankinsEvaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game, pp. 589-605

Issues in Sports forecasting

  • STEKLER H.O., SENDOR David, VERLANDER Richard - Issues in sports forecasting, pp. 606-621

Book reviews

  • SYNTETOS Aris A. - Book review, pp. 622-623
  • SLOBODA Brian W. - Book review, pp. 624-625

(résumés du n° 3/2010)

Volume 26, n° 2, April-June 2010

Special Issue: Bayesian Forecasting in Economics

  • LAHIRI Kajal, MARTIN Gael - Bayesian forecasting in economics, pp. 211-215
  • GEWEKE John, AMISANO Gianni - Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns, pp. 216-230
  • HOOGERHEIDE Lennart, VAN DIJK Herman K. - Bayesian forecasting of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall using adaptive importance sampling, pp. 231-247
  • BEECHEY Meredith,ÖSTERHOLM Pär - Forecasting inflation in an inflation-targeting regime: A role for informative steady-state priors, pp. 248-264
  • LAHIRI Kajal, SHENG Xuguang - Learning and heterogeneity in GDP and inflation forecasts, pp. 265-292
  • RODRIGUEZ Abel, PUGGIONI Gavino - Mixed frequency models: Bayesian approaches to estimation and prediction, pp. 293-311
  • GIORDANI Paolo, VILLANI Mattias - Forecasting macroeconomic time series with locally adaptive signal extraction, pp. 312-325
  • JOCHMANN Markus, KOOP Gary, STRACHAN Rodney W. - Bayesian forecasting using stochastic search variable selection in a VAR subject to breaks, pp. 326-347
  • SCHORFHEIDE Frank, SILL Keith, KRYSHKO Maxym - DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables,pp. 348-373
  • YELLAND Phillip M. - Bayesian forecasting of parts demand, pp. 374-396
  • GRIFFITHS William E., NEWTON Lisa S., O'DONNELL Christopher J. - Predictive densities for models with stochastic regressors and inequality constraints: Forecasting local-area wheat yield, pp. 397-412
  • ZELLNER Arnold, ANDO Tomohiro - Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the seemingly unrelated regression model with Student-t errors, and its application for forecasting,pp. 413-434
  • GEWEKE John Geweke - Comment, pp. pp. 435-438
  • ZELLNER Arnold, ANDO Tomohiro - Rejoinder, pp. 439-442

(résumés du n° 2/2010)

Volume 26, n° 1, January-March 2010

Special Section: European Election Forecasting

  • HYNDMAN Rob J. - Changing of the guard, p. 1

Replications and reproducible research

  • HYNDMAN Rob J. - Encouraging replication and reproducible research, pp. 2-3
  • EVANSCHITZKY Heiner, ARMSTRONG J. Scott - Replications of forecasting research, pp. 4-8

European election forecasting

  • LEWIS-BECK Michael S., JÉRÔME Bruno - European election forecasting: An introduction, pp. 9-10
  • NADEAU Richard, LEWIS-BECK Michael S., BÉLANGER Éric - Electoral forecasting in France: A multi-equation solution, pp. 11-18
  • ARZHEIMER Kai, EVANS Jocelyn - Bread and butter à la française: Multiparty forecasts of the French legislative vote (1981?2007), pp. 19-31
  • LEMENNICIER Bertrand, KATIR-LESCIEUX Honorine - Testing the accuracy of the Downs? spatial voter model on forecasting the winners of the French parliamentary elections in May?June 2007, pp. 32-41
  • NORPOTH Helmut, GSCHWEND Thomas - The chancellor model: Forecasting German elections, pp. 42-53
  • BELLUCI Paolo - Election cycles and electoral forecasting in Italy, 1994?2008, pp. 54-67
  • PAVIA Jose M. - Improving predictive accuracy of exit polls, pp. 68-81
  • EVANS Jocelyn, IVALDI Gilles - Comparing forecast models of Radical Right voting in four European countries (1973?2008), pp. 82-97
  • JÉRÔME Bruno, JÉRÔME-SPEZIARI Véronique - Forecasting partisan dynamics in Europe, pp. 98-115

Regular papers

  • EROGLU Cuneyt, CROXTON Keely L. - Biases in judgmental adjustments of statistical forecasts: The role of individual differences, pp. 116-133
  • SYNTETOS Aris A., NIKOLOPOULOS Konstantinos, BOYLAN John E. - Judging the judges through accuracy-implication metrics: The case of inventory forecasting, pp. 134-143
  • SMITH Carlo D., MENTZER John T. - Forecasting task-technology fit: The influence of individuals, systems and procedures on forecast performance, pp. 144-161
  • TRIMBUR Thomas M. - Stochastic level shifts and outliers and the dynamics of oil price movements, pp. 162-179
  • HARRIS Richard D.F., YILMAZ Fatih - Estimation of the conditional variance?covariance matrix of returns using the intraday range, pp. 180-194

Interview

  • JOUTZ Frederick L. - Interview with Herman O. Stekler, pp. 195-203

Book reviews

  • ÖLLER Lars-Erik, STOCKHAMMAR Pär - Rob J. Hyndman, Anne B. Koehler, J. Keith Ord and Ralph Snyder , Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach, Springer (2008), pp. 204-205
  • SLOBODA Brian W. - Book review, pp. 206-207
  • FILDES Robert - Book review, pp. 208-209

(résumés du n° 1/2010)

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