NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) - Working Papers
Week of December 21, 2015
- Fiscal Analysis is Darned Hard
Eric M. Leeper #21822 ( EFG) - The Political Economy of Government Debt
Alberto Alesina and Andrea Passalacqua #21821 ( POL) - Credit Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy
Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford #21820 ( EFG ME) - Knowledge of Future Job Loss and Implications for Unemployment Insurance
Nathaniel Hendren #21819 ( AG HC HE IO LS PE) - The Welfare Cost of Perceived Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Social Security
Erzo F.P. Luttmer and Andrew A. Samwick #21818 ( AG PE) - Financial Integration and Growth in a Risky World
Nicolas Coeurdacier, Hélène Rey, and Pablo Winant #21817 ( AP IFM) - Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asset Prices
Eric T. Swanson #21816 ( AP EFG ME) - The Price Ainât Right? Hospital Prices and Health Spending on the Privately Insured
Zack Cooper, Stuart V. Craig, Martin Gaynor, and John Van Reenen #21815 ( HC) - Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand
Saten Kumar, Hassan Afrouzi, Olivier Coibion, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #21814 ( EFG ME) - The Plaza Accord, 30 Years Later
Jeffrey Frankel #21813 ( DAE IFM) - Globalization and Its (Dis-)Content: Trade Shocks and Voting Behavior
Christian Dippel, Robert Gold, and Stephan Heblich #21812 ( ITI LS POL) - Productivity and Organization in Portuguese Firms
Lorenzo Caliendo, Giordano Mion, Luca David Opromolla, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #21811 ( ITI) - The Dynamics of Adjustable-Rate Subprime Mortgage Default: A Structural Estimation
Hanming Fang, You Suk Kim, and Wenli Li #21810 ( CF PE) - Historical Origins of a Major Killer: Cardiovascular Disease in the American South
Richard H. Steckel and Garrett Senney #21809 ( CH DAE DEV) - Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply
Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos #21750 ( AP ME)
Week of December 14, 2015
- The Globalization of Angel Investments: Evidence across Countries
Josh Lerner, Antoinette Schoar, Stanislav Sokolinski, and Karen Wilson #21808 ( CF PR) - Economic Impossibilities for our Grandchildren?
Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #21807 ( DAE) - The International Monetary Fund: 70 Years of Reinvention
Carmen M. Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch #21805 ( IFM ME) - Rental Yields and HPA: The Returns to Single Family Rentals
Andrea Eisfeldt and Andrew Demers #21804 ( AP CF EFG) - Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?
Sydney C. Ludvigson, Sai Ma, and Serena Ng #21803 ( AP EFG ME) - Corporate Governance and Blockchains
David Yermack #21802 ( CF LE) - The Labor Market Effects of a Refugee Wave: Applying the Synthetic Control Method to the Mariel Boatlift
Giovanni Peri and Vasil Yasenov #21801 ( ITI LS) - Specialization in Bank Lending: Evidence from Exporting Firms
Daniel Paravisini, Veronica Rappoport, and Philipp Schnabl #21800 ( CF ITI) - A History of U.S. Debt Limits
George J. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent #21799 ( DAE EFG ME POL) - The Evolution of Culture and Institutions: Evidence from the Kuba Kingdom
Sara Lowes, Nathan Nunn, James A. Robinson, and Jonathan Weigel #21798 ( DAE DEV POL) - Inferring Risk Perceptions and Preferences using Choice from Insurance Menus: Theory and Evidence
Keith Marzilli Ericson, Philipp Kircher, Johannes Spinnewijn, and Amanda Starc #21797 ( HC IO PE) - Money and Output: Friedman and Schwartz Revisited
Michael T. Belongia and Peter N. Ireland #21796 ( ME) - In Search of Ideas: Technological Innovation and Executive Pay Inequality
Carola Frydman and Dimitris Papanikolaou #21795 ( AP CF EFG PR) - Urban Networks: Connecting Markets, People, and Ideas
Edward L. Glaeser, Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto, and Yimei Zou #21794 ( EFG ITI PE PR) - International Coordination and Precautionary Policies
Joshua Aizenman #21793 ( IFM) - Controlling for Compromise Effects Debiases Estimates of Preference Parameters
Jonathan P. Beauchamp, Daniel J. Benjamin, Christopher F. Chabris, and David I. Laibson #21792 ( AG) - A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies
Michael B. Devereux, Eric R. Young, and Changhua Yu #21791 ( IFM) - Menthol Cigarette Advertising and Cigarette Demand
Donald Kenkel, Alan Mathios, and Hua Wang #21790 ( HE) - Voter Preferences and Political Change: Evidence from Shale Booms
Viktar Fedaseyeu, Erik Gilje, and Philip E. Strahan #21789 ( POL) - Does Science Advance One Funeral at a Time?
Pierre Azoulay, Christian Fons-Rosen, and Joshua S. Graff Zivin #21788 ( PR) - Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Evidence from Chicago Microdata
Evan Herrnstadt and Erich Muehlegger #21787 ( EEE LE PE) - Forbearance by Contract: How Building and Loans Mitigated the Mortgage Crisis of the 1930s
Sebastián Fleitas, Price Fishback, and Kenneth Snowden #21786 ( DAE) - Colonial Virginia’s Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: a Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data
Farley Grubb #21785 ( DAE) - Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: Market Deregulation and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies
Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori, and Fabio Ghironi #21784 ( EFG IFM ME) - Internalizing Behavioral Externalities: Benefit Integration in Health Insurance
Amanda Starc and Robert J. Town #21783 ( HC IO)
Week of December 7, 2015
- The GATT's Starting Point: Tariff Levels circa 1947
Chad P. Bown and Douglas A. Irwin #21782 ( DEV ITI) - Improving College Access in the United States: Barriers and Policy Responses
Lindsay C. Page and Judith Scott-Clayton #21781 ( ED) - Listen to your Doctor, or else!: Medication Under-use and Overuse and Long-term Health Outcomes of Danish Diabetes Patients
Gisela Hostenkamp and Frank R. Lichtenberg #21780 ( HC) - Working through the Distribution: Money in the Short and Long Run
Guillaume Rocheteau, Pierre-Olivier Weill, and Tsz-Nga Wong #21779 ( EFG ME) - Big Data and Big Cities: The Promises and Limitations of Improved Measures of Urban Life
Edward L. Glaeser, Scott Duke Kominers, Michael Luca, and Nikhil Naik #21778 ( LE POL) - Stages of Diversification: France, 1836-1938
Stéphane Becuwe, Bertrand Blancheton, and Christopher M. Meissner #21777 ( DAE) - Where Has All The Skewness Gone? The Decline In High-Growth (Young) Firms In The U.S.
Ryan A. Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda #21776 ( EFG LS PR) - Learning Entrepreneurship From Other Entrepreneurs?
Luigi Guiso, Luigi Pistaferri, and Fabiano Schivardi #21775 ( PR) - Obstfeld and Rogoff's International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment
Jonathan Eaton, Samuel S. Kortum, and Brent Neiman #21774 ( EFG IFM ITI) - Pareto Weights as Wedges in Two-Country Models
David Backus, Chase Coleman, Axelle Ferriere, and Spencer Lyon #21773 ( IFM) - Explaining Consumption Excess Sensitivity with Near-Rationality: Evidence from Large Predetermined Payments
Lorenz Kueng #21772 ( AP EFG LS ME PE) - Comparing Asset Pricing Models
Francisco Barillas and Jay Shanken #21771 ( AP) - Economic Gains for U.S. States from Educational Reform
Eric A. Hanushek, Jens Ruhose, and Ludger Woessmann #21770 ( CH ED EFG LS PE) - Patent Rights and Innovation by Small and Large Firms
Alberto Galasso and Mark Schankerman #21769 ( IO LE PR) - Tariff Reductions, Entry, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for the Last Two Decades
Lorenzo Caliendo, Robert C. Feenstra, John Romalis, and Alan M. Taylor #21768 ( ITI) - Get With the Program: Software-Driven Innovation in Traditional Manufacturing
Lee G. Branstetter, Matej Drev, and Namho Kwon #21752 ( ITI PR)
Week of November 30, 2015
- Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, and Andreas Weber #21767 ( AP EEE EFG PE) - Early Childhood Education
Sneha Elango, Jorge Luis García, James J. Heckman, and Andrés Hojman #21766 ( CH ED) - Democratic Rulemaking
John M. de Figueiredo and Edward H. Stiglitz #21765 ( LE) - Wage Dispersion and Search Behavior
Robert E. Hall and Andreas I. Mueller #21764 ( EFG LS) - When do Firms Go Green? Comparing Price Incentives with Command and Control Regulations in India
Ann Harrison, Benjamin Hyman, Leslie Martin, and Shanthi Nataraj #21763 ( EEE ITI) - The Effect of Wealth on Individual and Household Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Lotteries
David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Robert Östling #21762 ( LS) - Divorce: What Does Learning Have to Do with It?
Ioana Marinescu #21761 ( LS) - State Taxes and Spatial Misallocation
Pablo D. Fajgelbaum, Eduardo Morales, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, and Owen M. Zidar #21760 ( EFG IFM ITI PE PR) - Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets
Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad, and Johannes Spinnewijn #21759 ( HC IO PE) - An Experimental Study of Decentralized Link Formation with Competition
Margherita Comola and Marcel Fafchamps #21758 ( DEV) - Optimal Income Taxation with Unemployment and Wage Responses: A Sufficient Statistics Approach
Kory Kroft, Kavan J. Kucko, Etienne Lehmann, and Johannes F. Schmieder #21757 ( LS PE) - Immigrants and Gender Roles: Assimilation vs. Culture
Francine D. Blau #21756 ( LS) - Tax Revenue Trends in Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Analysis
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Jungsuk Kim, and Donghyun Park #21755 ( IFM) - Citations in Economics: Measurement, Uses and Impacts
Daniel S. Hamermesh #21754 ( LS) - The Dynamics of Comparative Advantage
Gordon H. Hanson, Nelson Lind, and Marc-Andreas Muendler #21753 ( DEV IFM ITI)
Week of November 23, 2015
- Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs: Introduction
Robert Moffitt #21751 ( PE) - An Equilibrium Model of Institutional Demand and Asset Prices
Ralph S.J. Koijen and Motohiro Yogo #21749 ( AP IO) - Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation
Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag A. Pathak, and Christopher Walters #21748 ( ED LS) - Paid Family Leave, Fathers’ Leave-Taking, and Leave-Sharing in Dual-Earner Households
Ann Bartel, Maya Rossin-Slater, Christopher Ruhm, Jenna Stearns, and Jane Waldfogel #21747 ( CH LS PE) - The Relationship between Establishment Training and the Retention of Older Workers: Evidence from Germany
Peter B. Berg, Mary K. Hamman, Matthew M. Piszczek, and Christopher J. Ruhm #21746 ( AG LS PE) - Short-run Effects of Parental Job Loss on Child Health
Jessamyn Schaller and Mariana Zerpa #21745 ( CH HE LS) - Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Postwar Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America
Lee E. Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, and Mark L. J. Wright #21744 ( EFG IFM) - Agency Business Cycles
Mikhail Golosov and Guido Menzio #21743 ( EFG) - Lessons Learned from Three Decades of Experience with Cap-and-Trade
Richard Schmalensee and Robert Stavins #21742 ( EEE) - Identifying the Cost of a Public Health Success: Arsenic Well Water Contamination and Productivity in Bangladesh
Mark M. Pitt, Mark R. Rosenzweig, and Nazmul Hassan #21741 ( DEV HE) - Human Capital Development and Parental Investment in India
Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir, and Emily Nix #21740 ( CH DEV) - Regulation and Market Liquidity
Francesco Trebbi and Kairong Xiao #21739 ( AP POL) - Sign Restrictions in Bayesian FaVARs with an Application to Monetary Policy Shocks
Pooyan Amir Ahmadi and Harald Uhlig #21738 ( EFG ME) - Self-Oriented Monetary Policy, Global Financial Markets and Excess Volatility of International Capital Flows
Ryan Banerjee, Michael B. Devereux, and Giovanni Lombardo #21737 ( IFM) - Declining Wealth and Work Among Male Veterans in the Health and Retirement Study
Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #21736 ( AG LS PE) - Global Collaborative Patents
Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #21735 ( PR) - Explaining Foreign Holdings of Asia's Debt Securities: The Feldstein-Horioka Paradox Revisited
Charles Yuji Horioka, Akiko Terada-Hagiwara, and Takaaki Nomoto #21734 ( DEV EFG IFM) - Job Creation, Small vs. Large vs. Young, and the SBA
J. David Brown, John S. Earle, and Yana Morgulis #21733 ( PR)
Week of November 16, 2015
- Dynamics of the U.S. Price Distribution
David Berger and Joseph Vavra #21732 ( EFG IO ME) - Dynamic Directed Random Matching
Darrell Duffie, Lei Qiao, and Yeneng Sun #21731 ( AP) - Piketty's Book and Macro Models of Wealth Inequality
Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Fang Yang #21730 ( PE) - Bright Minds, Big Rent: Gentrification and the Rising Returns to Skill
Lena Edlund, Cecilia Machado, and Michaela Sviatchi #21729 ( LS) - Common Currency versus Currency Union: The U.S. Continental Dollar and Denominational Structure, 1775-1776
Farley Grubb #21728 ( DAE ME) - Access to Schooling and the Black-White Incarceration Gap in the Early 20th Century US South: Evidence from Rosenwald Schools
Katherine Eriksson #21727 ( DAE) - Inflation and Activity â Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications
Olivier Blanchard, Eugenio Cerutti, and Lawrence Summers #21726 ( ME) - Itâs About Time: Effects of the Affordable Care Act Dependent Coverage Mandate On Time Use
Gregory Colman and Dhaval Dave #21725 ( ED HC HE LS PE) - The Option Value of Human Capital: Higher Education and Wage Inequality
Sang Yoon Lee, Yongseok Shin, and Donghoon Lee #21724 ( ED EFG LS) - Impacts of Being Downwind of a Coal-Fired Power Plant on Infant Health at Birth: Evidence from the Precedent-Setting Portland Rule
Muzhe Yang and Shin-Yi Chou #21723 ( HE) - World Asset Markets and the Global Financial Cycle
Silvia Miranda-Agrippino and Hélène Rey #21722 ( AP CF IFM ME) - Wealth Distribution and Social Mobility in the US: A Quantitative Approach
Jess Benhabib, Alberto Bisin, and Mi Luo #21721 ( EFG) - Insiders and Outsiders: Local Ethnic Politics and Public Goods Provision
Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig #21720 ( DEV POL) - The Tail that Wags the Economy: Belief-Driven Business Cycles and Persistent Stagnation
Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #21719 ( CF EFG) - Nonlinear Pricing in Village Economies
Orazio Attanasio and Elena Pastorino #21718 ( DEV IO LS) - Measuring and Changing Control: Womenâs Empowerment and Targeted Transfers
Ingvild Almås, Alex Armand, Orazio Attanasio, and Pedro Carneiro #21717 ( CH DEV EFG LS) - RMBI or RMBR: Is the Renminbi Destined to Become a Global or Regional Currency?
Barry Eichengreen and Domenico Lombardi #21716 ( IFM) - How Strong are Ethnic Preferences?
Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge, Kjetil Bjorvatn, Simon Galle, Edward Miguel, Daniel N. Posner, Bertil Tungodden, and Kelly Zhang #21715 ( DEV POL) - Prescription Drug Advertising and Drug Utilization: The Role of Medicare Part D
Abby Alpert, Darius Lakdawalla, and Neeraj Sood #21714 ( HC HE) - Work and Consumption in an Era of Unbalanced Technological Advance
Benjamin M. Friedman #21713 ( ME) - Host-MNC Relations in Resource-Rich Countries
Natasha Chichilnisky-Heal and Geoffrey Heal #21712 ( DEV EEE POL) - Climate Engineering Economics
Garth Heutel, Juan Moreno-Cruz, and Katharine Ricke #21711 ( EEE) - Central bank Credibility Before and After the Crisis
Michael D. Bordo and Pierre L. Siklos #21710 ( DAE ME) - Discretion in Hiring
Mitchell Hoffman, Lisa B. Kahn, and Danielle Li #21709 ( LS) - Work Incentives in the Social Security Disability Benefit Formula
Gopi Shah Goda, John B. Shoven, and Sita Slavov #21708 ( AG LS) - Business Groups in Canada: Their Rise and Fall, and Rise and Fall Again
Randall Morck and Gloria Y. Tian #21707 ( CF)
Week of November 9, 2015
- Commuting, Migration and Local Employment Elasticities
Ferdinando Monte, Stephen J. Redding, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #21706 ( ITI LS) - Research Design Meets Market Design: Using Centralized Assignment for Impact Evaluation
Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Joshua D. Angrist, Yusuke Narita, and Parag A. Pathak #21705 ( ED LS PE TWP) - Mobile Messaging for Offline Social Interactions: a Large Field Experiment
Tianshu Sun, Guodong (Gordon) Gao, and Ginger Zhe Jin #21704 ( IO) - Why did the Democrats Lose the South? Bringing New Data to an Old Debate
Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington #21703 ( DAE PE POL) - Training and Search On the Job
Rasmus Lentz and Nicolas Roys #21702 ( EFG) - How Do Right-To-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping With Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions
Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper #21701 ( LE) - Momentum in Imperial Russia
William Goetzmann and Simon Huang #21700 ( AP) - Immigration, Human Capital Formation and Endogenous Economic Growth
Isaac Ehrlich and Jinyoung Kim #21699 ( DEV EFG LS) - Which Alpha?
Francisco Barillas and Jay Shanken #21698 ( AP) - Caloric Requirements and Food Consumption Patterns of the Poor
Shari Eli and Nicholas Li #21697 ( DEV) - Size Discovery
Darrell Duffie and Haoxiang Zhu #21696 ( AP) - Taste for Competition and the Gender Gap Among Young Business Professionals
Ernesto Reuben, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #21695 ( CF LS) - The U.S. Debt Restructuring of 1933: Consequences and Lessons
Sebastian Edwards, Francis A. Longstaff, and Alvaro Garcia Marin #21694 ( AP DAE IFM)
Week of November 2, 2015
- Bubble Investing: Learning from History
William N. Goetzmann #21693 ( AP) - Unequal Bequests
Marco Francesconi, Robert A. Pollak, and Domenico Tabasso #21692 ( AG LS) - Contracting and the Division of the Gains from Trade
Andrew B. Bernard and Swati Dhingra #21691 ( ITI) - Enlarging the Contracting Space: Collateral Menus, Access to Credit, and Economic Activity
Murillo Campello and Mauricio Larrain #21690 ( CF DEV IFM LE) - Factors Determining Callbacks to Job Applications by the Unemployed: An Audit Study
Henry S. Farber, Dan Silverman, and Till von Wachter #21689 ( LS) - Greek Budget Realities: No Easy Options
Christopher L. House and Linda L. Tesar #21688 ( IFM ME) - Where Does Voucher Funding Go? How Large-Scale Subsidy Programs Affect Private-School Revenue, Enrollment, and Prices
Daniel M. Hungerman and Kevin Rinz #21687 ( CH ED LS PE) - The Choice Channel of Financial Innovation
Felipe S. Iachan, Plamen T. Nenov, and Alp Simsek #21686 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - Asymmetry of Information within Family Networks
Joachim De Weerdt, Garance Genicot, and Alice Mesnard #21685 ( DEV) - Liquidity Risk, Bank Networks, and the Value of Joining the Federal Reserve System
Charles W. Calomiris, Matthew Jaremski, Haelim Park, and Gary Richardson #21684 ( DAE) - Rosca Meets Formal Credit Market
Hanming Fang, Rongzhu Ke, and Li-An Zhou #21683 ( DEV PE) - What Determines End-of-Life Assets? A Retrospective View
James Poterba, Steven Venti, and David A. Wise #21682 ( AG PE) - Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks, Climate Change, and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates
Alan Barreca, Olivier Deschenes, and Melanie Guldi #21681 ( CH EEE LS) - Fiscal Stimulus in Economic Unions: What Role for States?
Gerald Carlino and Robert P. Inman #21680 ( PE) - Pricing with Limited Knowledge of Demand
Maxime C. Cohen, Georgia Perakis, and Robert S. Pindyck #21679 ( IO PR) - Patent Assertions: Are We Any Closer to Aligning Reward to Contribution?
Fiona Scott Morton and Carl Shapiro #21678 ( IO LE) - Comparative Advantage, International Trade, and Fertility
Quy-Toan Do, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Claudio Raddatz #21677 ( CH DEV ITI)
Week of October 26, 2015
- Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data to Better Measure Income: Implications for Poverty, Program Effectiveness and Holes in the Safety Net
Bruce D. Meyer and Nikolas Mittag #21676 ( AG CH LS PE) - Do Employers Prefer Migrant Workers? Evidence from a Chinese Job Board
Peter Kuhn and Kailing Shen #21675 ( LS) - The Welfare Gains from Macro-Insurance Against Natural Disasters
Eduardo Borensztein, Eduardo Cavallo, and Olivier Jeanne #21674 ( IFM) - Windfall Gains and Stock Market Participation
Joseph S. Briggs, David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, and Robert Östling #21673 ( AP) - Economic Cycles in Ancient China
Yaguang Zhang, Guo Fan, and John Whalley #21672 ( EFG) - The Welfare Effects of Nudges: A Case Study of Energy Use Social Comparisons
Hunt Allcott and Judd B. Kessler #21671 ( EEE PE) - Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB.
Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #21670 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - Is It Harder for Older Workers to Find Jobs? New and Improved Evidence from a Field Experiment
David Neumark, Ian Burn, and Patrick Button #21669 ( AG LE LS PE) - Income Inequality and Asset Prices under Redistributive Taxation
Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi #21668 ( AP LS PE) - House Prices and Consumer Spending
David Berger, Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, and Joseph Vavra #21667 ( CF EFG LS ME PE) - How Do Patents Affect Follow-On Innovation? Evidence from the Human Genome
Bhaven Sampat and Heidi L. Williams #21666 ( AG HC IO LE PE PR) - Do Employer Pension Contributions Reflect Employee Preferences? Evidence from a Retirement Savings Reform in Denmark
Itzik Fadlon, Jessica A. Laird, and Torben Heien Nielsen #21665 ( AG LS PE) - The Pitfalls of External Dependence: Greece, 1829-2015
Carmen M. Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch #21664 ( IFM ME) - Local Instruments, Global Extrapolation: External Validity of the Labor Supply-Fertility Local Average Treatment Effect
James Bisbee, Rajeev Dehejia, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Cyrus Samii #21663 ( CH LS) - Exchange Market Pressure in OECD and Emerging Economies: Domestic vs. External Factors and Capital Flows in the Old and New Normal
Joshua Aizenman and Mahir Binici #21662 ( IFM) - The Coming Wave: Where Do Emerging Market Investors Put Their Money?
G. Andrew Karolyi, David T. Ng, and Eswar S. Prasad #21661 ( IFM) - Political Economy of Debt and Growth
Marco Battaglini and Levon Barseghyan #21660 ( PE POL) - Employment and Training Programs
Burt S. Barnow and Jeffrey Smith #21659 ( LS PE) - Evaluating Public Programs with Close Substitutes: The Case of Head Start
Patrick Kline and Christopher Walters #21658 ( CH ED LS PE TWP) - Measuring Changes in the Bilateral Technology Gaps between China, India and the U.S. 1979 - 2008
Keting Shen, Jing Wang, and John Whalley #21657 ( DEV PR) - Do Students Know Best? Choice, Classroom Time, and Academic Performance
Theodore J. Joyce, Sean Crockett, David A. Jaeger, Onur Altindag, Stephen D. O'Connell, and Dahlia K. Remler #21656 ( ED HE PE) - The Analysis of Field Choice in College and Graduate School: Determinants and Wage Effects
Joseph G. Altonji, Peter Arcidiacono, and Arnaud Maurel #21655 ( ED LS PE) - Effects of Payment Reform in More versus Less Competitive Markets
Neeraj Sood, Abby Alpert, Kayleigh Barnes, Peter Huckfeldt, and Jose Escarce #21654 ( HC HE) - Streaming Reaches Flood Stage: Does Spotify Stimulate or Depress Music Sales?
Luis Aguiar and Joel Waldfogel #21653 ( IO LE) - The Effect of Public Funding on Research Output: the New Zealand Marsden Fund
Jason Gush, Adam B. Jaffe, Victoria Larsen, and Athene Laws #21652 ( PE PR) - Business in the United States: Who Owns it and How Much Tax Do They Pay?
Michael Cooper, John McClelland, James Pearce, Richard Prisinzano, Joseph Sullivan, Danny Yagan, Owen Zidar, and Eric Zwick #21651 ( CF IO PE)
Week of October 19, 2015
- The Efficiency Consequences of Health Care Privatization: Evidence from Medicare Advantage Exits
Mark Duggan, Jonathan Gruber, and Boris Vabson #21650 ( AG HC HE PE) - Self-Selection of Emigrants: Theory and Evidence on Stochastic Dominance in Observable and Unobservable Characteristics
George J. Borjas, Ilpo Kauppinen, and Panu Poutvaara #21649 ( LS) - Private Safety-Net Clinics: Effects of Financial Pressures and Community Characteristics on Closures
Suhui Li, Avi Dor, Jesse M. Pines, Mark S. Zocchi, and Renee Y. Hsia #21648 ( HC HE) - Pollution and Mortality in the 19th Century
W. Walker Hanlon #21647 ( DAE) - The International Price System
Gita Gopinath #21646 ( EFG IFM ITI ME) - Trading Votes for Votes. A Decentralized Matching Algorithm
Alessandra Casella and Thomas Palfrey #21645 ( PE POL) - Wealth, Tastes, and Entrepreneurial Choice
Erik G. Hurst and Benjamin W. Pugsley #21644 ( EFG PR) - When Evidence is Not Enough: Findings from a Randomized Evaluation of Evidence-Based Literacy Instruction (EBLI)
Brian Jacob #21643 ( CH ED LS PE) - The Anatomy of Physician Payments: Contracting Subject to Complexity
Jeffrey Clemens, Joshua D. Gottlieb, and Tímea Laura Molnár #21642 ( AG HC ME PE) - Partial Identification in Applied Research: Benefits and Challenges
Kate Ho and Adam M. Rosen #21641 ( HC IO LS) - Retaking in High Stakes Exams: Is Less More?
Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin, and Verónica Frisancho Robles #21640 ( ED IO) - The Promise and Potential of Linked Employer-Employee Data for Entrepreneurship Research
Christopher Goetz, Henry Hyatt, Erika McEntarfer, and Kristin Sandusky #21639 ( LS PR) - How Does Declining Unionism Affect the American Middle Class and Intergenerational Mobility?
Richard Freeman, Eunice Han, David Madland, and Brendan V. Duke #21638 ( LS) - Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison
Kenneth Gillingham, William D. Nordhaus, David Anthoff, Geoffrey Blanford, Valentina Bosetti, Peter Christensen, Haewon McJeon, John Reilly, and Paul Sztorc #21637 ( EEE) - Bullying among Adolescents: The Role of Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills
Miguel Sarzosa and Sergio Urzúa #21631 ( CH DEV ED)
Week of October 12, 2015
- Economics and the Modern Economic Historian
Ran Abramitzky #21636 ( DAE) - Pollution, Infectious Disease, and Mortality: Evidence from the 1918 Spanish Influenza Pandemic
Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis, and Edson Severnini #21635 ( DAE EEE) - Insider Trading and Innovation
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Lai Wei #21634 ( CF DEV EFG IFM PR) - Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis #21633 ( AP EFG PE POL) - What Does a Deductible Do? The Impact of Cost-Sharing on Health Care Prices, Quantities, and Spending Dynamics
Zarek C. Brot-Goldberg, Amitabh Chandra, Benjamin R. Handel, and Jonathan T. Kolstad #21632 ( HC IO PE) - Can't Pay or Won't Pay? Unemployment, Negative Equity, and Strategic Default
Kristopher Gerardi, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Lee E. Ohanian, and Paul S. Willen #21630 ( EFG ED) - Measuring Health Insurance Benefits: The Case of People with Disabilities
Richard V. Burkhauser, Jeff Larrimore, and Sean Lyons #21629 ( HE PE) - Catching Cheating Students
Steven D. Levitt and Ming-Jen Lin #21628 ( LE PE) - Natural Gas Prices and Coal Displacement: Evidence from Electricity Markets
Christopher R. Knittel, Konstantinos Metaxoglou, and Andre Trindade #21627 ( EEE IO) - Phasing Out the GSEs
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #21626 ( AP CF EFG ME) - The Mortality Consequences of Distinctively Black Names
Lisa Cook, Trevon Logan, and John Parman #21625 ( DAE) - Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution
James Feyrer, Erin T. Mansur, and Bruce Sacerdote #21624 ( EEE EFG LS) - Policies for a Better-fed World
Abhijit Banerjee #21623 ( DEV) - The Migration Response to Increasing Temperatures
Cristina Cattaneo and Giovanni Peri #21622 ( DEV EEE LS) - Optimal Product Variety in Radio Markets
Steven Berry, Alon Eizenberg, and Joel Waldfogel #21621 ( IO) - Do People Shape Cities, or Do Cities Shape People? The Co-evolution of Physical, Social, and Economic Change in Five Major U.S. Cities
Nikhil Naik, Scott Duke Kominers, Ramesh Raskar, Edward L. Glaeser, and César A. Hidalgo #21620 ( LS) - Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence
Olivier Blanchard, Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish R. Ghosh, and Marcos Chamon #21619 ( DEV IFM ITI ME) - Locate Your Nearest Exit: Mass Layoffs and Local Labor Market Response
Andrew Foote, Michel Grosz, and Ann Huff Stevens #21618 ( AG LS) - The Robustness of Tests for Consumer Choice Inconsistencies
Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber #21617 ( AG HC HE PE) - Movies, Margins and Marketing: Encouraging the Adoption of Iron-Fortified Salt
Abhijit Banerjee, Sharon Barnhardt, and Esther Duflo #21616 ( HC HE) - Oil and Gas Revenue Allocation to Local Governments in Eight States
Richard G. Newell and Daniel Raimi #21615 ( EEE PE) - Long-term Direct and Spillover Effects of Job Training: Experimental Evidence from Colombia
Adriana Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Juan Saavedra, and Luis Omar Herrera Prada #21607 ( DEV ED LS)
Week of October 5, 2015
- Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis
Mariana GarcÃa-Schmidt and Michael Woodford #21614 ( EFG ME) - Chinese Yellow Dust and Korean Infant Health
Deokrye Baek, Duha T. Altindag, and Naci Mocan #21613 ( CH EEE HE) - Discrimination and Worker Evaluation
Costas Cavounidis and Kevin Lang #21612 ( LS) - Moral Incentives: Experimental Evidence from Repayments of an Islamic Credit Card
Leonardo Bursztyn, Stefano Fiorin, Daniel Gottlieb, and Martin Kanz #21611 ( CF DEV LE POL) - The Gift of Time? School Starting Age and Mental Health
Thomas S. Dee and Hans Henrik Sievertsen #21610 ( CH ED HE) - The Relationship between Health and Schooling: Whatâs New?
Michael Grossman #21609 ( HE) - The Ups and Downs of Turkish Growth, 2002-2015: Political Dynamics, the European Union and the Institutional Slide
Daron Acemoglu and Murat Ucer #21608 ( ITI) - Migration State and Welfare State: Competition vs. Coordination in an Economic Union
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #21606 ( IFM DAE) - A New Measure of College Quality to Study the Effects of College Sector and Peers on Degree Attainment
Jonathan Smith and Kevin Stange #21605 ( ED LS PE) - Health Effects of Economic Crises
Christopher J. Ruhm #21604 ( EFG HC HE LS PE) - Healthcare Exceptionalism? Performance and Allocation in the U.S. Healthcare Sector
Amitabh Chandra, Amy Finkelstein, Adam Sacarny, and Chad Syverson #21603 ( AG HC IO PE PR) - Using Behavioral Insights to Increase Parental Engagement: The Parents and Children Together (PACT) Intervention
Susan E. Mayer, Ariel Kalil, Philip Oreopoulos, and Sebastian Gallegos #21602 ( CH ED LS) - Does Eliminating the Earnings Test Increase the Incidence of Low Income Among Older Women?
Theodore Figinski and David Neumark #21601 ( AG LS PE) - Diabetes and Diet: Behavioral Response and the Value of Health
Emily Oster #21600 ( HC HE)
Week of September 28, 2015
- Inflation, Output, and Markup Dynamics with Forward-Looking Wage and Price Setters
Louis Phaneuf, Eric R. Sims, and Jean Gardy Victor #21599 ( EFG ME) - Achievement Effects of Individual Performance Incentives in a Teacher Merit Pay Tournament
Margaret Brehm, Scott A. Imberman, and Michael F. Lovenheim #21598 ( ED PE) - Social Networks, Ethnicity, and Entrepreneurship
William R. Kerr and Martin Mandorff #21597 ( LS PR) - What Can We Learn About the Effects of Food Stamps on Obesity in the Presence of Misreporting?
Lorenzo Almada, Ian M. McCarthy, and Rusty Tchernis #21596 ( HE PE) - Structural Change with Long-run Income and Price Effects
Diego A. Comin, Danial Lashkari, and Martí Mestieri #21595 ( DAE DEV EFG PR) - Does Education Reduce Teen Fertility? Evidence from Compulsory Schooling Laws
Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky #21594 ( ED HE LS) - Estimation of Multivariate Probit Models via Bivariate Probit
John Mullahy #21593 ( HC HE) - Education Research and Administrative Data
David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, and Kjell G. Salvanes #21592 ( CH ED) - Immigrant Employment and Earnings Growth in Canada and the U.S.: Evidence from Longitudinal Data
Neeraj Kaushal, Yao Lu, Nicole Denier, Julia Shu-Huah Wang, and Stephen J. Trejo #21591 ( LS PE) - A Nonlinear Certainty Equivalent Approximation Method for Dynamic Stochastic Problems
Yongyang Cai, Kenneth Judd, and Jevgenijs Steinbuks #21590 ( TWP) - Climate Tipping Points and Solar Geoengineering
Garth Heutel, Juan Moreno Cruz, and Soheil Shayegh #21589 ( EEE) - The Wage Impact of the Marielitos: A Reappraisal
George J. Borjas #21588 ( LS) - Housing Booms and Busts, Labor Market Opportunities, and College Attendance
Kerwin Kofi Charles, Erik Hurst, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #21587 ( ED LS) - In-Kind Taxes, Behavior, and Comparative Advantage
Casey B. Mulligan #21586 ( LE LS PE) - The Cost of Uncertainty about the Timing of Social Security Reform
Frank N. Caliendo, Aspen Gorry, and Sita Slavov #21585 ( AG PE) - Principal Component Analysis of High Frequency Data
Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Dacheng Xiu #21584 ( AP) - What Drives Home Market Advantage?
A. Kerem Cosar, Paul L. E. Grieco, Shengyu Li, and Felix Tintelnot #21583 ( IO ITI PR) - Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis
Laura Alfaro, Pol Antràs, Davin Chor, and Paola Conconi #21582 ( IO ITI) - Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide
Atif R. Mian, Amir Sufi, and Emil Verner #21581 ( AP CF EFG IFM ME PR)
Weekl of September 21, 2015
- The Effect of Medicaid on Adult Hospitalizations: Evidence from Tennesseeâs Medicaid Contraction
Ausmita Ghosh and Kosali Simon #21580 ( HC HE) - Neophilia Ranking of Scientific Journals
Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya #21579 ( HC HE PR) - As the Wind Blows: The Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution on Mortality
Michael L. Anderson #21578 ( AG EEE HE PE) - Public Universities, Equal Opportunity, and the Legacy of Jim Crow: Evidence from North Carolina
Charles T. Clotfelter, Helen F. Ladd, and Jacob L. Vigdor #21577 ( ED) - Monetary Policy, Bond Risk Premia, and the Economy
Peter N. Ireland #21576 ( ME) - Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor MarketVolatility
Mete Kilic and Jessica A. Wachter #21575 ( AP EFG) - What is a Sustainable Public Debt?
Pablo D'Erasmo, Enrique G. Mendoza, and Jing Zhang #21574 ( IFM) - Dumping and Antidumping Duties
Bruce A. Blonigen and Thomas J. Prusa #21573 ( ITI) - Banks, Politics, and Political Parties: From Partisan Banking to Open Access in Early Massachusetts
Qian Lu and John Wallis #21572 ( DAE) - Non-Cognitive Deficits and Young Adult Outcomes: The Long-Run Impacts of a Universal Child Care Program
Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber, and Kevin Milligan #21571 ( CH) - Improving Risk Equalization with Constrained Regression
Richard van Kleef, Thomas McGuire, Rene van Vliet, and Wynand van de Ven #21570 ( HC HE) - Gradualism in Monetary Policy: A Time-Consistency Problem?
Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam #21569 ( AP CF EFG ME) - TAs Like Me: Racial Interactions between Graduate Teaching Assistants and Undergraduates
Lester Lusher, Doug Campbell, and Scott Carrell #21568 ( ED LS PE) - Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions? The Marginal Profitability of Consumer Lending During the Great Recession
Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Neale Mahoney, and Johannes Stroebel #21567 ( AP CF EFG IFM IO ME PE) - Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime
Steven N. Durlauf, Salvador Navarro, and David A. Rivers #21566 ( ED EFG) - The Price of Responsibility: The Impact of Health Reform on Non-Poor Uninsureds
Mark Pauly, Adam Leive, and Scott Harrington #21565 ( HC HE) - Low-Frequency Econometrics
Ulrich K. Müller and Mark W. Watson #21564 ( TWP) - Efficiently Inefficient Markets for Assets and Asset Management
Nicolae B. Gârleanu and Lasse H. Pedersen #21563 ( AP) - How Does Household Income Affect Child Personality Traits and Behaviors?
Randall Akee, Emilia Simeonova, E. Jane Costello, and William Copeland #21562 ( CH HE) - Country-Specific Preferences and Employment Rates in Europe
Simone Moriconi and Giovanni Peri #21561 ( LS) - The Disability Employment Puzzle: A Field Experiment on Employer Hiring Behavior
Mason Ameri, Lisa Schur, Meera Adya, Scott Bentley, Patrick McKay, and Douglas Kruse #21560 ( LE LS) - Towards a History of the Junk Bond Market, 1910-1955
Peter F. Basile, Sung Won Kang, John Landon-Lane, and Hugh Rockoff #21559 ( DAE)
Week of September 14, 2015
- How to Construct Nationally Representative Firm Level data from the ORBIS Global Database
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez, Vadym Volosovych, and Sevcan Yesiltas #21558 ( EFG IFM PR) - Dividend Dynamics, Learning, and Expected Stock Index Returns
Ravi Jagannathan and Binying Liu #21557 ( AP) - The Global Productivity Slump: Common and Country-Specific Factors
Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park, and Kwanho Shin #21556 ( IFM) - Demographics and Aggregate Household Saving in Japan, China, and India
Chadwick C. Curtis, Steven Lugauer, and Nelson C. Mark #21555 ( AG CH DEV IFM) - The Effects of the Tax Deduction for Postsecondary Tuition: Implications for Structuring Tax-Based Aid
Caroline M. Hoxby and George B. Bulman #21554 ( ED LS PE) - Banker Preferences, Interbank Connections, and the Enduring Structure of the Federal Reserve System
Matthew S. Jaremski and David C. Wheelock #21553 ( DAE) - Tax Evasion across Industries: Soft Credit Evidence from Greece
Nikolaos Artavanis, Adair Morse, and Margarita Tsoutsoura #21552 ( CF LE PE) - Superstitions, Street Traffic, and Subjective Well-Being
Michael L. Anderson, Fangwen Lu, Yiran Zhang, Jun Yang, and Ping Qin #21551 ( DEV EEE PE) - Crowding Out in Ricardian Economies
Andrew B. Abel #21550 ( CF EFG ME PE) - The Analytics of Investment, q, and Cash Flow
Andrew B. Abel #21549 ( CF EFG ME) - Optimal Debt and Profitability in the Tradeoff Theory
Andrew B. Abel #21548 ( CF) - Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth
William D. Nordhaus #21547 ( EFG PR) - Dark Costs, Missing Data: Shedding Some Light on Services Trade
James E. Anderson, Ingo Borchert, Aaditya Mattoo, and Yoto V. Yotov #21546 ( ITI) - Fetal Malnutrition And Academic Success: Evidence From Muslim Immigrants In Denmark
Jane Greve, Marie Louise Schultz-Nielsen, and Erdal Tekin #21545 ( CH ED HE) - The Financial Feasibility of Delaying Social Security: Evidence from Administrative Tax Data
Gopi Shah Goda, Shanthi Ramnath, John B. Shoven, and Sita Nataraj Slavov #21544 ( AG PE) - Workfare and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from India
Manisha Shah and Bryce Millett Steinberg #21543 ( CH DEV ED LS)
Week of September 7, 2015
- Shale Public Finance: Local Government Revenues and Costs Associated with Oil and Gas Development
Richard G. Newell and Daniel Raimi #21542 ( EEE PE) - Regulation of Insurance with Adverse Selection and Switching Costs: Evidence from Medicare Part D.
Maria Polyakova #21541 ( AG HC HE IO PE) - The Political Economy of Liberal Democracy
Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik #21540 ( DEV PE POL) - Trading Down and the Business Cycle
Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo, and Arlene Wong #21539 ( EFG) - On the Optimal Provision of Social Insurance: Progressive Taxation versus Education Subsidies in General Equilibrium
Dirk Krueger and Alexander Ludwig #21538 ( EFG PE) - Like Me, Buy Me: The Effect of Soft Power on Exports
Andrew K. Rose #21537 ( ITI) - The East Indian Monopoly and the Transition from Limited Access in England, 1600-1813
Dan Bogart #21536 ( DAE) - Currency Unions and Trade: A Post-EMU Mea Culpa
Reuven Glick and Andrew K. Rose #21535 ( IFM ITI) - State Taxation and the Reallocation of Business Activity: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data
Xavier Giroud and Joshua Rauh #21534 ( CF PE) - Mispricing Factors
Robert F. Stambaugh and Yu Yuan #21533 ( AP) - The Impact of Foreclosure Delay on U.S. Employment
Kyle F. Herkenhoff and Lee E. Ohanian #21532 ( EFG LS) - Assessing Incentives for Adverse Selection in Health Plan Payment Systems
Timothy J. Layton, Randall P. Ellis, and Thomas G. McGuire #21531 ( HC HE) - Public Audit Oversight and Reporting Credibility: Evidence from the PCAOB Inspection Regime
Brandon Gipper, Christian Leuz, and Mark Maffett #21530 ( AP CF LE) - Support for Redistribution in an Age of Rising Inequality: New Stylized Facts and Some Tentative Explanations
Vivekinan Ashok, Ilyana Kuziemko, and Ebonya Washington #21529 ( AG PE POL) - Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises
Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #21528 ( AP ME) - Identification of Counterfactuals and Payoffs in Dynamic Discrete Choice with an Application to Land Use
Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul T. Scott, and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues #21527 ( EEE HE IO LS) - Banksâ Internal Capital Markets and Deposit Rates
Itzhak Ben-David, Ajay Palvia, and Chester Spatt #21526 ( CF) - The Distributional Consequences of Public School Choice
Christopher Avery and Parag A. Pathak #21525 ( ED LS PE) - Optimal Taxation with Behavioral Agents
Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix #21524 ( EFG PE) - School Vouchers: A Survey of the Economics Literature
Dennis Epple, Richard E. Romano, and Miguel Urquiola #21523 ( CH ED PE) - Dead Poet's Property - How Does Copyright Influence Price?
Xing Li, Megan MacGarvie, and Petra Moser #21522 ( DAE IO PR) - Toilets Can Work: Short and Medium Run Health Impacts of Addressing Complementarities and Externalities in Water and Sanitation
Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Raymond Guiteras, and Thomas Clasen #21521 ( EEE HE) - A Coasian Model of International Production Chains
Thibault Fally and Russell Hillberry #21520 ( ITI) - Can Universal Screening Increase the Representation of Low Income and Minority Students in Gifted Education?
David Card and Laura Giuliano #21519 ( ED LS) - Was the Forex Fixing Fixed?
Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada #21518 ( IFM) - Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques with Applications to the Caltech Cohort Study
Ben Gillen, Erik Snowberg, and Leeat Yariv #21517 ( DEV LS POL) - The Response of Deferred Executive Compensation to Changes in Tax Rates
Aspen Gorry, Kevin A. Hassett, R. Glenn Hubbard, and Aparna Mathur #21516 ( PE) - Investing in Schools: Capital Spending, Facility Conditions, and Student Achievement
Francisco Martorell, Kevin M. Stange, and Isaac McFarlin #21515 ( ED LS PE) - Does Foreign Entry Spur Innovation?
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar, and Katherine Terrell #21514 ( ITI)
Weekl of August 31, 2015
- Does Health Plan Generosity Enhance Hospital Market Power?
Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, and Daniel P. Kessler #21513 ( HC LE) - Mortgage Refinancing, Consumer Spending, and Competition: Evidence from the Home Affordable Refinancing Program
Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao #21512 ( CF EFG IO ME) - Missing Unmarried Women
Siwan Anderson and Debraj Ray #21511 ( DEV) - The Value of Socialized Medicine: The Impact of Universal Primary Healthcare Provision on Birth and Mortality Rates in Turkey
Resul Cesur, Pınar Mine GüneÅ, Erdal Tekin, and Aydogan Ulker #21510 ( CH HC HE) - The Effects of Test-based Retention on Student Outcomes over Time: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Florida
Guido Schwerdt, Martin R. West, and Marcus A. Winters #21509 ( ED) - Intra Firm Bargaining and Shapley Values
Björn Brügemann, Pieter Gautier, and Guido Menzio #21508 ( EFG) - Implementing Structural Reforms in Abenomics: How to Reduce the Cost of Doing Business in Japan
Jamal Ibrahim Haidar and Takeo Hoshi #21507 ( CF POL) - Islam, Inequality and Pre-Industrial Comparative Development
Stelios Michalopoulos, Alireza Naghavi, and Giovanni Prarolo #21506 ( DEV EFG POL) - Business Practices in Small Firms in Developing Countries
David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff #21505 ( DEV PR) - The Gains from Input Trade in Firm-Based Models of Importing
Joaquin Blaum, Claire LeLarge, and Michael Peters #21504 ( ITI) - The Dawn of an âAge of Depositsâ in the United States
Matthew Jaremski and Peter L. Rousseau #21503 ( DAE) - Tri-Party Repo Pricing
Grace Xing Hu, Jun Pan, and Jiang Wang #21502 ( AP) - Health Care Spending: Historical Trends and New Directions
Alice Chen and Dana Goldman #21501 ( HC HE) - Identification in Differentiated Products Markets
Steven T. Berry and Philip Haile #21500 ( ED EEE HC HE IO ITI) - Is the FDA Too Conservative or Too Aggressive?: A Bayesian Decision Analysis of Clinical Trial Design
Vahid Montazerhodjat and Andrew W. Lo #21499 ( HC HE) - Diversification through Trade
Francesco Caselli, Miklós Koren, Milan Lisicky, and Silvana Tenreyro #21498 ( EFG IFM ITI) - The Effect of Hospital/Physician Integration on Hospital Choice
Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, and Daniel P. Kessler #21497 ( HC)
Week of August 24, 2015
- Peer-to-Peer Markets
Liran Einav, Chiara Farronato, and Jonathan Levin #21496 ( IO LE LS PR) - Efficiency and Information Transmission in Bilateral Trading
Robert Shimer and Iván Werning #21495 ( AP CF EFG) - Double Liability at Early American Banks
Howard Bodenhorn #21494 ( CF DAE LE) - Equilibrium Price Dispersion Across and Within Stores
Guido Menzio and Nicholas Trachter #21493 ( EFG IO) - Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy
Marina Halac and Pierre Yared #21492 ( EFG POL) - The Pricing of Short-Term market Risk: Evidence from Weekly Options
Torben G. Andersen, Nicola Fusari, and Viktor Todorov #21491 ( AP) - Scraped Data and Sticky Prices
Alberto Cavallo #21490 ( IFM ME) - Conflicts of Interest and the Realtor Commission Puzzle
Panle Jia Barwick, Parag A. Pathak, and Maisy Wong #21489 ( IO LE) - Multilateral Trade Bargaining: A First Look at the GATT Bargaining Records
Kyle Bagwell, Robert W. Staiger, and Ali Yurukoglu #21488 ( IO ITI) - Labor-Force Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: the Importance of Skilled Labor
Frederico Belo, Xiaoji Lin, Jun Li, and Xiaofei Zhao #21487 ( AP) - Leveraged Bubbles
Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #21486 ( AP DAE EFG IFM ME) - Panel Data Hedonics: Rosen's First Stage and Difference-in-Differences as "Sufficient Statistics"
H. Spencer Banzhaf #21485 ( EEE PE) - The Impact of Social Security Income on Cognitive Function at Older Ages
Padmaja Ayyagari and David Frisvold #21484 ( AG HE PE) - Family Spillovers of Long-Term Care Insurance
Norma B. Coe, Gopi Shah Goda, and Courtney Harold Van Houtven #21483 ( AG CH HC LS PE) - The Role of Time Preferences and Exponential-Growth Bias in Retirement Savings
Gopi Shah Goda, Matthew R. Levy, Colleen Flaherty Manchester, Aaron Sojourner, and Joshua Tasoff #21482 ( AG PE) - When Incentives Backfire: Spillover Effects in Food Choice
Manuela Angelucci, Silvia Prina, Heather Royer, and Anya Samek #21481 ( CH HE LS PE) - Correlated Beliefs, Returns, and Stock Market Volatility
Joel M. David and Ina Simonovska #21480 ( AP CF EFG IFM) - The Impact of R&D Subsidy on Innovation: a Study of New Zealand Firms
Adam B. Jaffe and Trinh Le #21479 ( PR) - Can Policy Facilitate Partial Retirement? Evidence from Germany
Peter Berg, Mary K. Hamman, Matthew Piszczek, and Christopher J. Ruhm #21478 ( AG LS PE) - Parental Incentives and Early Childhood Achievement: A Field Experiment in Chicago Heights
Roland G. Fryer, Jr., Steven D. Levitt, and John A. List #21477 ( CH ED LS) - The Equilibrium Real Funds Rate: Past, Present and Future
James D. Hamilton, Ethan S. Harris, Jan Hatzius, and Kenneth D. West #21476 ( EFG ME) - Self-Signaling and Prosocial Behavior: a Cause Marketing Mobile Field Experiment
Jean-Pierre Dubé, Xueming Luo, and Zheng Fang #21475 ( IO) - Self Control and Commitment: Can Decreasing the Liquidity of a Savings Account Increase Deposits?
John Beshears, James J. Choi, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Jung Sakong #21474 ( AG PE)
Week of August 17, 2015
- The Growing Importance of Social Skills in the Labor Market
David J. Deming #21473 ( ED LS) - Intrafirm Trade and Vertical Fragmentation in U.S. Multinational Corporations
Natalia Ramondo, Veronica Rappoport, and Kim J. Ruhl #21472 ( ITI) - Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies
Eswar Prasad and Boyang Zhang #21471 ( IFM) - Making Summer Matter: The Impact of Youth Employment on Academic Performance
Amy Ellen Schwartz, Jacob Leos-Urbel, and Matthew Wiswall #21470 ( CH ED) - Risks to the Returns to Medical Innovation: The Case of Myriad Genetics
Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger #21469 ( HC PR) - Testing Models of Social Learning on Networks: Evidence from a Lab Experiment in the Field
Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Horacio Larreguy, and Juan Pablo Xandri #21468 ( DEV LS PR TWP) - Contributions to Defined Contribution Pension Plans
James J. Choi #21467 ( AG PE) - When is Nonfundamentalness in VARs a Real Problem? An Application to News Shocks
Paul Beaudry, Patrick Fève, Alain Guay, and Franck Portier #21466 ( EFG) - The Incidence of Taxes on Sugar-Sweetened Beverages: The Case of Berkeley, California
John Cawley and David Frisvold #21465 ( CH HC HE LE PE) - The Ongoing Evolution of US Retail: A Format Tug-of-War
Ali Hortaçsu and Chad Syverson #21464 ( IO PR) - Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change
Mark C. Freeman, Ben Groom, and Richard Zeckhauser #21463 ( EEE PE) - An Empirical Analysis of Funding Costs Spillovers in the EURO-zone with Application to Systemic Risk
Pietro Bonaldi, Ali Hortaçsu, and Jakub Kastl #21462 ( AP IFM IO) - Employee Financial Literacy and Retirement Plan Behavior: A Case Study
Robert Clark, Annamaria Lusardi, and Olivia S. Mitchell #21461 ( AG) - Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China
Shuaizhang Feng, Yingyao Hu, and Robert Moffitt #21460 ( PE) - From Local to Global: External Validity in a Fertility Natural Experiment
Rajeev Dehejia, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Cyrus Samii #21459 ( CH DEV LS) - House Money and Entrepreneurship
Sari Kerr, William R. Kerr, and Ramana Nanda #21458 ( CF EFG LS PR) - Sustaining Cooperation: Community Enforcement vs. Specialized Enforcement
Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky #21457 ( POL) - External and Public Debt Crises
Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson, and Mark Wright #21456 ( EFG IFM PE) - Technology Entry in the Presence of Patent Thickets
Bronwyn H. Hall, Christian Helmers, and Georg von Graevenitz #21455 ( PR) - The Effects of Two Influential Early Childhood Interventions on Health and Healthy Behaviors
Gabriella Conti, James J. Heckman, and Rodrigo Pinto #21454 ( CH HC HE LS) - Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe
Gita Gopinath, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Loukas Karabarbounis, and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez #21453 ( EFG IFM PR) - The Logic of Agglomeration
Gilles Duranton and William R. Kerr #21452 ( PR) - An Evaluation of The Mellon Mays Undergraduate Fellowship's Effect on PhD Production at Non-UNCF Institutions
Sarah J. Prenovitz, Gary R. Cohen, Ronald G. Ehrenberg, and George H. Jakubson #21451 ( ED) - Monks, Gents and Industrialists: The Long-Run Impact of the Dissolution of the English Monasteries
Leander Heldring, James A. Robinson, and Sebastian Vollmer #21450 ( DAE) - Hedge Funds: A Dynamic Industry In Transition
Mila Getmansky, Peter A. Lee, and Andrew W. Lo #21449 ( AP EFG) - Incomplete Markets and Aggregate Demand
Iván Werning #21448 ( EFG IFM ME) - Measuring the Measurement Error: A Method to Qualitatively Validate Survey Data
Christopher Blattman, Julian C. Jamison, Tricia Koroknay-Palicz, Katherine Rodrigues, and Margaret Sheridan #21447 ( DEV) - Income and Wealth Effects on Private-Label Demand: Evidence From the Great Recession
Jean-Pierre Dubé, Günter J. Hitsch, and Peter E. Rossi #21446 ( EFG IO) - Not so Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock
Tarek Alexander Hassan, Thomas Mertens, and Tony Zhang #21445 ( AP EFG IFM) - Towards a General Theory of Deep Downturns
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21444 ( EFG)
Week of August 10, 2015
- Patent Citations and the Size of the Inventive Step - Evidence from Hybrid Corn
Petra Moser, Joerg Ohmstedt, and Paul W. Rhode #21443 ( DAE PR) - Does Compulsory Licensing Discourage Invention? Evidence From German Patents After WWI
Joerg Baten, Nicola Bianchi, and Petra Moser #21442 ( DAE LE PR) - Do Consumers Recognize the Value of Fuel Economy? Evidence from Used Car Prices and Gasoline Price Fluctuations
James M. Sallee, Sarah West, and Wei Fan #21441 ( EEE PE) - Long Run Health Repercussions of Drought Shocks: Evidence from South African Homelands
Taryn Dinkelman #21440 ( CH DEV LS) - Who's Getting Globalized? The Size and Implications of Intra-national Trade Costs
David Atkin and Dave Donaldson #21439 ( DEV ITI) - Mobile Politicians: Opportunistic Career Moves and Moral Hazard
Duha T. Altindag and Naci Mocan #21438 ( LE LS POL) - The Distributional Effects of U.S. Clean Energy Tax Credits
Severin Borenstein and Lucas W. Davis #21437 ( EEE PE) - Unsticking the Flypaper Effect in an Uncertain World
Carlos A. Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin #21436 ( IFM) - People and Machines: A Look at the Evolving Relationship Between Capital and Skill In Manufacturing 1860-1930 Using Immigration Shocks
Jeanne Lafortune, José Tessada, and Ethan Lewis #21435 ( DAE LS) - Does Development Aid Undermine Political Accountability? Leader and Constituent Responses to a Large-Scale Intervention
Raymond P. Guiteras and Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak #21434 ( DEV POL) - Clearing Up the Fiscal Multiplier Morass: Prior and Posterior Analysis
Eric M. Leeper, Nora Traum, and Todd B. Walker #21433 ( EFG) - Are Universities Becoming More Unequal?
Yan Lau and Harvey S. Rosen #21432 ( ED PE) - What Works? A Meta Analysis of Recent Active Labor Market Program Evaluations
David Card, Jochen Kluve, and Andrea Weber #21431 ( LS)
Week of August 3, 2015
- Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem Revisited
Jordi Galí #21430 ( EFG IFM ME) - Intergenerational Transmission of Gender Attitudes: Evidence from India
Diva Dhar, Tarun Jain, and Seema Jayachandran #21429 ( CH DEV) - Worms at Work: Long-run Impacts of a Child Health Investment
Sarah Baird, Joan Hamory Hicks, Michael Kremer, and Edward Miguel #21428 ( DEV ED HE) - Can Foreign Exchange Intervention Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks?
Olivier Blanchard, Gustavo Adler, and Irineu de Carvalho Filho #21427 ( EFG IFM) - Jump Starting the Euro Area Recovery: Would a Rise in Core Fiscal Spending Help the Periphery?
Olivier Blanchard, Christopher J. Erceg, and Jesper Lindé #21426 ( EFG IFM) - The Medicaid Program
Thomas Buchmueller, John C. Ham, and Lara D. Shore-Sheppard #21425 ( CH HC HE LS PE) - Corporate Venture Capital as a Real Option in the Markets for Technology
Marco Ceccagnoli, Matthew J. Higgins, and Hyunsung D. Kang #21424 ( CF PR) - The Armington Assumption and the Size of Optimal Tariffs
Chunding Li, Jing Wang, and John Whalley #21423 ( ITI) - Elections and Divisiveness: Theory and Evidence
Elliott Ash, Massimo Morelli, and Richard Van Weelden #21422 ( PE POL) - Trading Fees and Slow-Moving Capital
Adrian Buss and Bernard Dumas #21421 ( AP) - On the Desirability of Nominal GDP Targeting
Julio Garín, Robert Lester, and Eric Sims #21420 ( EFG ME) - Moving to Opportunity or Isolation? Network Effects of a Randomized Housing Lottery in Urban India
Sharon Barnhardt, Erica Field, and Rohini Pande #21419 ( DEV) - Social Interactions, Mechanisms, and Equilibrium: Evidence from a Model of Study Time and Academic Achievement
Timothy Conley, Nirav Mehta, Ralph Stinebrickner, and Todd Stinebrickner #21418 ( ED) - Organizational Barriers to Technology Adoption: Evidence from Soccer-Ball Producers in Pakistan
David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit K. Khandelwal, and Eric Verhoogen #21417 ( DEV ITI LS PR) - Micro-Evidence on Product and Labor Market Regime Differences between Chile and France
Sabien Dobbelaere, Rodolfo Lauterbach, and Jacques Mairesse #21416 ( PR) - Using Scientific Publications to Evaluate Government R&D Spending: The Case of Energy
David Popp #21415 ( EEE PR) - Technology Adoption Under Uncertainty: Take-Up and Subsequent Investment in Zambia
B. Kelsey Jack, Paulina Oliva, Christopher Severen, Elizabeth Walker, and Samuel Bell #21414 ( DEV EEE) - Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Currency of Invoicing and Market Share
Michael B. Devereux, Ben Tomlin, and Wei Dong #21413 ( IFM) - Does Credit-card Information Reporting Improve Small-business Tax Compliance?
Joel Slemrod, Brett Collins, Jeffrey Hoopes, Daniel Reck, and Michael Sebastiani #21412 ( PE) - The Contribution of Female Health to Economic Development
David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner #21411 ( DEV HE) - Biological Well-Being in Late 19th Century Philippines
Jean-Pascal Bassino, Marion Dovis, and John Komlos #21410 ( DAE DEV HE) - Quality and Accountability in Healthcare Delivery: Audit-Study Evidence from Primary Care in India
Jishnu Das, Alaka Holla, Aakash Mohpal, and Karthik Muralidharan #21405 ( DEV HC HE LS PE)
Week of July 27, 2015
- Poor Little Rich Kids? The Determinants of the Intergenerational Transmission of Wealth
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Petter Lundborg, and Kaveh Majlesi #21409 ( CH LS) - Exporter Heterogeneity and Price Discrimination: A Quantitative View
Jae Wook Jung, Ina Simonovska, and Ariel Weinberger #21408 ( ITI) - The Impact of Teacher-Student Gender Matches: Random Assignment Evidence from South Korea
Jaegeum Lim and Jonathan Meer #21407 ( ED LS) - Nudges in Exercise Commitment Contracts: A Randomized Trial
Jay Bhattacharya, Alan M. Garber, and Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert #21406 ( HC HE) - Content Aggregation by Platforms: The Case of the News Media
Lesley Chiou and Catherine Tucker #21404 ( PR) - Bargaining, Sorting, and the Gender Wage Gap: Quantifying the Impact of Firms on the Relative Pay of Women
David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso, and Patrick Kline #21403 ( LS) - School Entry Cutoff Date and the Timing of Births
Hitoshi Shigeoka #21402 ( CH ED HE LS) - Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade
Rodrigo Adao, Arnaud Costinot, and Dave Donaldson #21401 ( ITI) - Do Risk Preferences Change? Evidence from Panel Data before and after the Great East Japan Earthquake
Chie Hanaoka, Hitoshi Shigeoka, and Yasutora Watanabe #21400 ( AG EEE HE) - Household Surveys in Crisis
Bruce D. Meyer, Wallace K.C. Mok, and James X. Sullivan #21399 ( AG CH HC HE LS PE) - Do Building Energy Codes Have a Lasting Effect on Energy Consumption? New Evidence From Residential Billing Data in Florida
Matthew J. Kotchen #21398 ( EEE PE) - The Economy of Peopleâs Republic of China from 1953
Anton Cheremukhin, Mikhail Golosov, Sergei Guriev, and Aleh Tsyvinski #21397 ( DEV EFG POL) - Should We Give Up After Solyndra? Optimal Technology R&D Portfolios under Uncertainty
Mort Webster, Karen Fisher-Vanden, David Popp, and Nidhi Santen #21396 ( EEE PR) - Early Math Coursework and College Readiness: Evidence from Targeted Middle School Math Acceleration
Shaun Dougherty, Joshua Goodman, Darryl Hill, Erica Litke, and Lindsay C. Page #21395 ( ED LS) - Inequality when Effort Matters
Martin Ravallion #21394 ( DEV LS PE) - Weak Markets, Strong Teachers: Recession at Career Start and Teacher Effectiveness
Markus Nagler, Marc Piopiunik, and Martin R. West #21393 ( CH ED LS PE) - On the Welfare and Cyclical Implications of Moderate Trend Inflation
Guido Ascari, Louis Phaneuf, and Eric Sims #21392 ( EFG ME) - The Economics of Exclusion Restrictions in IV Models
Damon Jones #21391 ( LS PE) - Long Term Impacts of Vouchers for Vocational Training: Experimental Evidence for Colombia
Orazio Attanasio, Arlen GuarÃn, Carlos Medina, and Costas Meghir #21390 ( DEV ED EFG) - Information Technology and Patent Health: Analyzing Outcomes, Populations, and Mechanisms
Seth Freedman, Haizhen Lin, and Jeffrey Prince #21389 ( HC HE) - What Measure of Inflation Should a Developing Country Central Bank Target?
Rahul Anand, Eswar Prasad, and Boyang Zhang #21388 ( IFM) - Which Models Can We Trust to Evaluate Consumer Decision Making? Comment on âChoice Inconsistencies among the Elderlyâ
Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai V. Kuminoff, and Christopher A. Powers #21387 ( AG HC HE) - Inattention and Inertia in Household Finance: Evidence from the Danish Mortgage Market
Steffen Andersen, John Y. Campbell, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, and Tarun Ramadorai #21386 ( AP ME) - From Financial Repression to External Distress: The Case of Venezuela
Carmen M. Reinhart and Miguel Angel Santos #21333 ( IFM ME) - The Taxation of Superstars
Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning #21323 ( LS PE)
Week of July 20, 2015
- Lessons for Public Pensions from Utah’s Move to Pension Choice
Robert L. Clark, Emma Hanson, and Olivia S. Mitchell #21385 ( AG LS PE) - The Great Migration in Black and White: New Evidence on the Selection and Sorting of Southern Migrants
William J. Collins and Marianne H. Wanamaker #21384 ( DAE) - The Market for Sulfur Dioxide Allowances: What Have We Learned from the Grand Policy Experiment?
H. Ron Chan, B. Andrew Chupp, Maureen L. Cropper, and Nicholas Z. Muller #21383 ( EEE) - Supplemental Plan Offerings and Retirement Saving Choices: An Analysis of North Carolina School Districts
Robert L. Clark, Emma Hanson, Melinda Sandler Morrill, and Aditi Pathak #21382 ( AG) - Learning and (or) Doing: Human Capital Investments and Optimal Taxation
Stefanie Stantcheva #21381 ( LS PE) - Academics as Economic Advisers: Gold, the ‘Brains Trust,’ and FDR
Sebastian Edwards #21380 ( IFM) - Does Protecting Older Workers from Discrimination Make It Harder to Get Hired? Evidence from Disability Discrimination Laws
David Neumark, Joanne Song, and Patrick Button #21379 ( AG LS) - The Birth of Edge Cities in China: Measuring the Spillover Effects of Industrial Parks
Siqi Zheng, Weizeng Sun, Jianfeng Wu, and Matthew E. Kahn #21378 ( PE POL PR) - Growth and Trade with Frictions: A Structural Estimation Framework
James E. Anderson, Mario Larch, and Yoto V. Yotov #21377 ( EFG ITI) - Multidimensional Skill Mismatch
Fatih Guvenen, Burhanettin Kuruscu, Satoshi Tanaka, and David Wiczer #21376 ( ED EFG LS) - Inventing Prizes: A Historical Perspective on Innovation Awards and Technology Policy
B. Zorina Khan #21375 ( DAE DEV LE POL PR) - How was the Weekend? How the Social Context Underlies Weekend Effects in Happiness and other Emotions for US Workers
John F. Helliwell and Shun Wang #21374 ( IO LS) - Broadening the State: Policy Responses to the Introduction of the Income Tax
Mark Dincecco and Ugo Troiano #21373 ( DAE PE POL) - Military Officer Quality in the All-Volunteer Force
Matthew F. Cancian and Michael W. Klein #21372 ( LS) - The Intergenerational Transmission of War
Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott #21371 ( DAE LS POL) - The Elusive Pro-Competitive Effects of Trade
Costas Arkolakis, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare #21370 ( ITI) - Why Don't Households Smooth Consumption? Evidence from a 25 Million Dollar Experiment
Jonathan Parker #21369 ( AP CF EFG ME PE) - Apply Yourself: Racial and Ethnic Differences in College Application
Sandra E. Black, Kalena E. Cortes, and Jane Arnold Lincove #21368 ( CH ED LS) - The Effect of Post-and-Hold Laws on Alcohol Consumption
Henry Saffer and Markus Gehrsitz #21367 ( HE) - The Rise of Domestic Outsourcing and the Evolution of the German Wage Structure
Deborah Goldschmidt and Johannes F. Schmieder #21366 ( IO LS) - Accounting for Adaptation in the Economics of Happiness
Miles Kimball, Ryan Nunn, and Dan Silverman #21365 ( AG HE PE) - When Is Social Responsibility Socially Desirable?
Jean-Etienne de Bettignies and David T. Robinson #21364 ( CF) - The Dynamics of Inequality
Xavier Gabaix, Jean-Michel Lasry, Pierre-Louis Lions, and Benjamin Moll #21363 ( EFG IFM) - The Private Ordering Solution to Multiforum Shareholder Litigation
Roberta Romano and Sarath Sanga #21362 ( CF LE) - Long Run Effects of Temporary Incentives on Medical Care Productivity
Pablo Celhay, Paul Gertler, Paula Giovagnoli, and Christel Vermeersch #21361 ( CH DEV HC HE IO PR) - Economic and Social Impacts of the Media
Stefano DellaVigna and Eliana La Ferrara #21360 ( CH DEV ED EEE HC IO LS PE POL) - The Measurement of Wealth: Recessions, Sustainability and Inequality
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21327 ( EFG)
Week of July 13, 2015
- Who Needs a Fracking Education? The Educational Response to Low-Skill Biased Technological Change
Elizabeth U. Cascio and Ayushi Narayan #21359 ( CH ED EEE LS) - Fiscal Policies and the Prices of Labor: A Comparison of the U.K. and U.S.
Casey B. Mulligan #21358 ( EFG PE) - Why the Referential Treatment: Evidence from Field Experiments on Referrals
Amanda Pallais and Emily Glassberg Sands #21357 ( LS) - Optimism, Financial Literacy and Participation
Anders Anderson, Forest Baker, and David T. Robinson #21356 ( CF) - Solar Geoengineering, Uncertainty, and the Price of Carbon
Garth Heutel, Juan Moreno Cruz, and Soheil Shayegh #21355 ( EEE PE) - Birth Weight in the Long Run
Prashant Bharadwaj, Petter Lundborg, and Dan-Olof Rooth #21354 ( CH) - Health and Unemployment during Macroeconomic Crises
Prashant Bharadwaj, Petter Lundborg, and Dan-Olof Rooth #21353 ( CH HE PE) - Household Responses to Severe Health Shocks and the Design of Social Insurance
Itzik Fadlon and Torben Heien Nielsen #21352 ( AG HE LS PE) - What do Exporters Know?
Michael J. Dickstein and Eduardo Morales #21351 ( IO ITI) - The Antecedents and Aftermath of Financial Crises as told by Carlos F. Díaz Alejandro
Carmen M. Reinhart #21350 ( IFM ME) - Capital Markets in China and Britain, 18th and 19th Century: Evidence from Grain Prices
Wolfgang Keller, Carol H. Shiue, and Xin Wang #21349 ( AP DAE EFG) - The Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription and Genotype on Smoking Behavior and Health
Lauren Schmitz and Dalton Conley #21348 ( AG HE) - Top Incomes in Canada: Evidence from the Census
Thomas Lemieux and W. Craig Riddell #21347 ( LS) - Evaluating the Risk of Chinese Housing Markets: What We Know and What We Need to Know
Jing Wu, Joseph Gyourko, and Yongheng Deng #21346 ( PE) - Do Medical Marijuana Laws Reduce Addictions and Deaths Related to Pain Killers?
David Powell, Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, and Mireille Jacobson #21345 ( HC HE) - Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration
Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr #21344 ( EFG PR) - The Pass-Through of RIN Prices to Wholesale and Retail Fuels under the Renewable Fuel Standard
Christopher R. Knittel, Ben S. Meiselman, and James H. Stock #21343 ( EEE) - The Private Net Benefits of Residential Solar PV: The Role of Electricity Tariffs, Tax Incentives and Rebates
Severin Borenstein #21342 ( EEE) - Protecting Financial Stability in the Aftermath of World War I: The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's Dissenting Policy
Eugene N. White #21341 ( DAE ME) - Effective Policy for Reducing Inequality? The Earned Income Tax Credit and the Distribution of Income
Hilary W. Hoynes and Ankur J. Patel #21340 ( CH LS PE) - The Effect of Savings Accounts on Interpersonal Financial Relationships: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Rural Kenya
Pascaline Dupas, Anthony Keats, and Jonathan Robinson #21339 ( DEV) - A Theory of Civil Disobedience
Edward L. Glaeser and Cass R. Sunstein #21338 ( LE) - Healthy(?), Wealthy and Wise: Birth Order and Adult Health
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, and Kjell G. Salvanes #21337 ( CH HE LS) - Time Consistency and the Duration of Government Debt: A Signalling Theory of Quantitative Easing
Saroj Bhattarai, Gauti B. Eggertsson, and Bulat Gafarov #21336 ( ME) - The Development of Corporate Governance in Toulouse: 1372-1946
David Le Bris, William N. Goetzmann, and Sébastien Pouget #21335 ( CF) - Banks' Risk Exposures
Juliane Begenau, Monika Piazzesi, and Martin Schneider #21334 ( AP CF EFG ME) - On the Origins of Risk-Taking
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Petter Lundborg, and Kaveh Majlesi #21332 ( CH LS) - Do Energy Efficiency Investments Deliver? Evidence from the Weatherization Assistance Program
Meredith Fowlie, Michael Greenstone, and Catherine Wolfram #21331 ( EEE) - (Un)Informed College and Major Choice: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data
Justine S. Hastings, Christopher A. Neilson, Anely Ramirez, and Seth D. Zimmerman #21330 ( ED LS) - Backtesting Strategies Based on Multiple Signals
Robert Novy-Marx #21329 ( AP) - Mandatory Disclosure and Financial Contagion
Fernando Alvarez and Gadi Barlevy #21328 ( EFG ME) - Does Retirement Improve Health and Life Satisfaction?
Aspen Gorry, Devon Gorry, and Sita Slavov #21326 ( AG HE) - Mining and Quasi-Option Value
Christopher Costello and Charles D. Kolstad #21325 ( EEE) - Governance and the Effectiveness of Public Health Subsidies
Rebecca Dizon-Ross, Pascaline Dupas, and Jonathan Robinson #21324 ( CH DEV POL) - The Optimal Use of Government Purchases for Macroeconomic Stabilization
Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez #21322 ( EFG PE) - Usage-Based Pricing and Demand for Residential Broadband
Aviv Nevo, John L. Turner, and Jonathan W. Williams #21321 ( IO PR) - Loan Originations and Defaults in the Mortgage Crisis: Further Evidence
Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar, and Felipe Severino #21320 ( AP CF EFG ME PE)
Week of July 6, 2015
- The Labor Market Effects of Opening the Border: New Evidence from Switzerland
Andreas Beerli and Giovanni Peri #21319 ( LS) - The Elasticity of Substitution Between Time and Market Goods: Evidence from the Great Recession
Aviv Nevo and Arlene Wong #21318 ( EFG IO ME) - Health Disparities Across Education: The Role of Differential Reporting Error
John Cawley and Anna Choi #21317 ( ED HC HE) - Government Economic Policy, Sentiments, and Consumption
Atif Mian, Amir Sufi, and Nasim Khoshkhou #21316 ( EFG ME PE POL) - Aggregating Elasticities: Intensive and Extensive Margins of Female Labour Supply
Orazio Attanasio, Peter Levell, Hamish Low, and Virginia Sánchez-Marcos #21315 ( EFG) - Relaxing Migration Constraints for Rural Households
Cynthia Kinnan, Shing-Yi Wang, and Yongxiang Wang #21314 ( DEV) - Exact P-values for Network Interference
Susan Athey, Dean Eckles, and Guido W. Imbens #21313 ( IO LS PE TWP) - Solving Shortage in a Priceless Market: Insights from Blood Donation
Tianshu Sun, Susan Feng Lu, and Ginger Zhe Jin #21312 ( IO)
Week of June 29, 2015
- Cigarette Taxes and Youth Smoking: Updated Estimates Using YRBS Data
Benjamin Hansen, Joseph J. Sabia, and Daniel I. Rees #21311 ( CH HE) - The Returns to Microenterprise Support Among the Ultra-Poor: A Field Experiment in Post-War Uganda
Christopher Blattman, Eric P. Green, Julian C. Jamison, M. Christian Lehmann, and Jeannie Annan #21310 ( DEV LS) - Two-sided Altruism and Signaling
Garance Genicot #21309 ( DEV) - The Value of Medicaid: Interpreting Results from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment
Amy Finkelstein, Nathaniel Hendren, and Erzo F.P. Luttmer #21308 ( AG HC PE) - Technological Change, Occupational Tasks and Declining Immigrant Outcomes: Implications for Earnings and Income Inequality in Canada
Casey Warman and Christopher Worswick #21307 ( LS) - ICT and Education: Evidence from Student Home Addresses
Benjamin Faber, Rosa Sanchis-Guarner, and Felix Weinhardt #21306 ( ED ITI) - Risk and Risk Management in the Credit Card Industry
Florentin Butaru, QingQing Chen, Brian Clark, Sanmay Das, Andrew W. Lo, and Akhtar Siddique #21305 ( AP ME) - Beyond Statistics: The Economic Content of Risk Scores
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender, and Paul Schrimpf #21304 ( AG HC HE IO PE) - Is the WTO passé?
Kyle Bagwell, Chad P. Bown, and Robert W. Staiger #21303 ( ITI) - Can Bureaucrats Really Be Paid Like CEOs? School Administrator Incentives for Anemia Reduction in Rural China
Renfu Luo, Grant Miller, Scott Rozelle, Sean Sylvia, and Marcos Vera-Hernández #21302 ( CH DEV ED HE) - Recent Declines in Labor's Share in US Income: A Preliminary Neoclassical Account
Robert Z. Lawrence #21296 ( DAE LS) - The Accumulation of Human and Nonhuman Capital, Revisited
Barbara M. Fraumeni, Michael S. Christian, and Jon D. Samuels #21284 ( DAE ED EFG PR)
Week of June 22, 2015
- Self-Protection Investment Exacerbates Air Pollution Exposure Inequality in Urban China
Siqi Zheng, Cong Sun, and Matthew E. Kahn #21301 ( CH EEE) - The Effects of Earnings Disclosure on College Enrollment Decisions
Justine Hastings, Christopher A. Neilson, and Seth D. Zimmerman #21300 ( DEV ED LS PE) - Assessing the Effects of the MFA/ATC from US and World Trade Data after Its Removal
Daqing Yao and John Whalley #21299 ( ITI) - The Welfare Effects of Supply-Side Regulations in Medicare Part D
Francesco Decarolis, Maria Polyakova, and Stephen P. Ryan #21298 ( HC IO PE) - Why Work More? The Impact of Taxes, and Culture of Leisure on Labor Supply in Europe
Naci H. Mocan and Luiza Pogorelova #21297 ( LS ME PE POL) - Human Capital Quality and Aggregate Income Differences: Development Accounting for U.S. States
Eric A. Hanushek, Jens Ruhose, and Ludger Woessmann #21295 ( CH DEV ED EFG LS PE) - Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Jess Benhabib, Xuewen Liu, and Pengfei Wang #21294 ( EFG IFM) - Illinois Pensions in a Fiscal Context: A (Basket) Case Study
Jeffrey R. Brown and Richard F. Dye #21293 ( AG PE) - On the Effect of the Costs of Operating Formally: New Experimental Evidence
Sebastian Galiani, Marcela Meléndez, and Camila Navajas #21292 ( DEV) - Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles?
Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #21291 ( EEE) - Hospitals as Insurers of Last Resort
Craig Garthwaite, Tal Gross, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #21290 ( HC PE) - Can Employment Reduce Lawlessness and Rebellion? A Field Experiment with High-Risk Men in a Fragile State
Christopher Blattman and Jeannie Annan #21289 ( DEV LS POL) - Compassion or Cash: Evaluating Survey Response Incentives and Valuing Public Goods
V. Kerry Smith, Sharon L. Harlan, Michael McLaen, Jacob Fishman, Carlos Valcarcel, and Marcia Nation #21288 ( EEE) - Growing Up to Stability? Financial Globalization, Financial Development and Financial Crises
Michael D. Bordo and Christopher M. Meissner #21287 ( DAE) - Dark Trading at the Midpoint: Pricing Rules, Order Flow, and High Frequency Liquidity Provision
Robert P. Bartlett, III and Justin McCrary #21286 ( AP LE) - Cheap Talk, Round Numbers, and the Economics of Negotiation
Matthew Backus, Tom Blake, and Steven Tadelis #21285 ( IO PR) - Choosing a Human Capital Measure: Educational Attainment Gaps and Rankings
Barbara M. Fraumeni #21283 ( DEV ED LS PR) - Core Inflation and Trend Inflation
James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson #21282 ( EFG ME) - Comovement Revisited
Honghui Chen, Vijay Singal, and Robert F. Whitelaw #21281 ( AP) - Debt into Growth: How Sovereign Debt Accelerated the First Industrial Revolution
Jaume Ventura and Hans-Joachim Voth #21280 ( EFG IFM) - Suicide, Age, and Wellbeing: an Empirical Investigation
Anne Case and Angus Deaton #21279 ( AG HC) - Financing Entrepreneurial Experimentation
Ramana Nanda and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf #21278 ( CF PR) - Biological Health Risks and Economic Development
Elizabeth Frankenberg, Jessica Y. Ho, and Duncan Thomas #21277 ( DEV)
Week of June 15, 2015
- Discounting Pension Liabilities: Funding versus Value
Jeffrey R. Brown and George G. Pennacchi #21276 ( AG AP PE) - How Much Can Expanding Access to Long-Acting Reversible Contraceptives Reduce Teen Birth Rates?
Jason M. Lindo and Analisa Packham #21275 ( CH HC HE PE) - The Political Economy of Trade and Labor Mobility in a Ricardian World
Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens #21274 ( DEV) - Partisan Conflict and Private Investment
Marina Azzimonti #21273 ( EFG POL) - Time-Inconsistency and Saving: Experimental Evidence from Low-Income Tax Filers
Damon Jones and Aprajit Mahajan #21272 ( PE) - What Do University Endowment Managers Worry About? An Analysis of Alternative Asset Investments and Background Income
Harvey S. Rosen and Alexander J. W. Sappington #21271 ( ED PE) - Medical Spending of the U.S. Elderly
Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, John Bailey Jones, and Jeremy McCauley #21270 ( AG HC HE PE) - Simulating Russiaâs Challenging Transition
Seth G. Benzell, Eugene Goryunov, Maria Kazakova, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Guillermo LaGarda, Kristina Nesterova, and Andrey Zubarev #21269 ( PE) - Savings After Retirement: A Survey
Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, and John B. Jones #21268 ( AG HC HE PE) - The Gordon Gekko Effect: The Role of Culture in the Financial Industry
Andrew W. Lo #21267 ( AP CF IO LS POL PR) - The Mortality Cost of Political Connections
Raymond Fisman and Yongxiang Wang #21266 ( CF DEV LE POL) - Single-Issue Campaigns and Multidimensional Politics
Georgy Egorov #21265 ( POL) - Shaming Tax Delinquents: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment in the United States
Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Ugo Troiano #21264 ( PE) - Watersheds in Infant Mortality: The Role of Effective Water and Sewerage Infrastructure, 1880 to 1915
Marcella Alsan and Claudia Goldin #21263 ( DAE DEV) - Labor Market Networks and Recovery from Mass Layoffs Before, During, and After the Great Recession
Judith K. Hellerstein, Mark J. Kutzbach, and David Neumark #21262 ( LS) - A New Look at the U.S. Foreclosure Crisis: Panel Data Evidence of Prime and Subprime Borrowers from 1997 to 2012
Fernando Ferreira and Joseph Gyourko #21261 ( AP CF EFG IFM LS ME PE POL) - Expectations and Investment
Nicola Gennaioli, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer #21260 ( CF EFG ME) - Strategic Policy Choice in State-Level Regulation: The EPA's Clean Power Plan
James B. Bushnell, Stephen P. Holland, Jonathan E. Hughes, and Christopher R. Knittel #21259 ( EEE IO POL) - Customers and Investors: A Framework for Understanding Financial Institutions
Robert C. Merton and Richard T. Thakor #21258 ( EFG LE POL) - Welfare Rules, Incentives, and Family Structure
Robert A. Moffitt, Brian J. Phelan, and Anne E. Winkler #21257 ( LS PE) - Charter Schools: A Survey of Research on Their Characteristics and Effectiveness
Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, and Ron Zimmer #21256 ( ED) - House Price Volatility and the Housing Ladder
James Banks, Richard Blundell, Zoé Oldfield, and James P. Smith #21255 ( AG) - Corps Intermédiaires, Civil Society, and the Art of Association
Jacob T. Levy #21254 ( POL) - The Political Economy of European Integration
Enrico Spolaore #21250 ( POL)
Week of June 8, 2015
- How Important Are Terms Of Trade Shocks?
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #21253 ( IFM) - Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation
Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura #21252 ( EFG LS ME PE) - Linkages and Economic Development
Dominick Bartelme and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #21251 ( EFG ITI ME PR) - Sample-selection biases and the “industrialization puzzle”
Howard Bodenhorn, Timothy W. Guinnane, and Thomas A. Mroz #21249 ( DAE) - Estimating the Impacts of Program Benefits: Using Instrumental Variables with Underreported and Imputed Data
Melvin Stephens, Jr. and Takashi Unayama #21248 ( LS PE) - Innovation and Top Income Inequality
Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Antonin Bergeaud, Richard Blundell, and David Hémous #21247 ( EFG PE PR) - Intellectual Property Rights and Innovation: Evidence from Health Care Markets
Heidi L. Williams #21246 ( AG HC PR) - Cross-border Acquisitions and Labor Regulations
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Beibei Shen #21245 ( CF IFM ITI LS) - Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy
Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #21244 ( DEV EFG IFM ME) - Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures Ten Years Later
Geetesh Bhardwaj, Gary Gorton, and Geert Rouwenhorst #21243 ( AP) - Ancestry, Language and Culture
Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg #21242 ( POL) - Reviving the Limit Cycle View of Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier #21241 ( EFG) - Mental Health Stigma
Prashant Bharadwaj, Mallesh M. Pai, and Agne Suziedelyte #21240 ( CH HE) - The Impact of Pharmaceutical Innovation on Premature Cancer Mortality in Canada, 2000-2011
Frank R. Lichtenberg #21239 ( HC PR) - How Large is the Stock Component of Human Capital?
Mark Huggett and Greg Kaplan #21238 ( AP EFG LS) - International Organizations and Structural Reforms
Sebastian Galiani, Ivan Torre, and Gustavo Torrens #21237 ( DEV) - Who is Internationally Diversified? Evidence from 296 401(k)
Geert Bekaert, Kenton Hoyem, Wei-Yin Hu, and Enrichetta Ravina #21236 ( AP) - Cyclical Reallocation of Workers Across Employers by Firm Size and Firm Wage
John Haltiwanger, Henry Hyatt, and Erika McEntarfer #21235 ( EFG LS) - The Term Structure of Returns: Facts and Theory
Jules H. van Binsbergen and Ralph S.J. Koijen #21234 ( AP) - An Overview of the Stratified Economics of Stratified Medicine
Mark R. Trusheim and Ernst R. Berndt #21233 ( HC) - Admitting Students to Selective Education Programs: Merit, Profiling, and Affirmative Action
Dario Cestau, Dennis Epple, and Holger Sieg #21232 ( CH ED PE) - Majority Choice of Tax Systems in Single- and Multi-Jurisdictional Economies
Stephen Calabrese, Dennis Epple, and Richard Romano #21231 ( PE POL) - The Big Sort: College Reputation and Labor Market Outcomes
W. Bentley MacLeod, Evan Riehl, Juan E. Saavedra, and Miguel Urquiola #21230 ( ED LS) - Early Childhood Education by MOOC: Lessons from Sesame Street
Melissa S. Kearney and Phillip B. Levine #21229 ( CH ED LS) - Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics
Nicola Fuchs-Schuendeln and Tarek Alexander Hassan #21228 ( DAE EFG IFM ITI ME PE POL) - The Long-Term Effects of Hedge Fund Activism
Lucian A. Bebchuk, Alon Brav, and Wei Jiang #21227 ( AP CF LE)
Week of June 1, 2015
- Different Types of Central Bank Insolvency and the Central Role of Seignorage
Ricardo Reis #21226 (ME) - Does Exporting Improve Matching? Evidence from French Employer-Employee Data
Matilde Bombardini, Gianluca Orefice, and Maria D. Tito #21225 (ITI) - Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices
Erik Eyster, Matthew Rabin, and Dimitri Vayanos #21224 (AP) - The Stress Cost of Children
Hielke Buddelmeyer, Daniel S. Hamermesh, and Mark Wooden #21223 (LS) - Upcoding: Evidence from Medicare on Squishy Risk Adjustment
Michael Geruso and Timothy Layton #21222 (AG HC HE PE) - War and Inflation in the United States from the Revolution to the First Iraq War
Hugh Rockoff #21221 (DAE) - Balance-Sheet Households and Fiscal Stimulus: Lessons from the Payroll Tax Cut and Its Expiration
Claudia R. Sahm, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Joel Slemrod #21220 (EFG ME PE PR) - Procuring Firm Growth: The Effects of Government Purchases on Firm Dynamics
Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan, and Dimitri Szerman #21219 (DEV LS PR) - Physician Practice Style and Patient Health Outcomes: The Case of Heart Attacks
Janet Currie, W. Bentley MacLeod, and Jessica Van Parys #21218 (HC HE LS) - The Great Escape: Intergenerational Mobility Since 1940
Nathaniel G. Hilger #21217 (CH DAE ED LS PE) - Job Loss in the Great Recession and its Aftermath: U.S. Evidence from the Displaced Workers Survey
Henry S. Farber #21216 (LS) - Crime, Punishment and the Halo Effect of Corporate Social Responsibility
Harrison Hong and Inessa Liskovich #21215 (CF LE) - Socioeconomic Status and Learning from Financial Information
Camelia M. Kuhnen and Andrei C. Miu #21214 (AP) - An Economic Rationale for the African Scramble: The Commercial Transition and the Commodity Price Boom of 1845-1885
Ewout Frankema, Jeffrey Williamson, and Pieter Woltjer #21213 (DAE DEV) - Structural Gravity and Fixed Effects
Thibault Fally #21212 (ITI) - The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)
Austin Nichols and Jesse Rothstein #21211 (LS PE) - The Making of Homo Honoratus: From Omission to Commission
Michael Hallsworth, John A. List, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Ivo Vlaev #21210 (PE) - The Supplemental Security Income (SSI) Program
Mark Duggan, Melissa S. Kearney, and Stephanie Rennane #21209 (CH HC HE PE) - Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago
Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack #21178 (CH ED)
Week of May 26, 2015
- The Political Economy of State and Local Investment in Pre-K Programs
Matthew E. Kahn and Kyle Barron #21208 (CH ED PE POL) - Optimal Taxation and Human Capital Policies over the Life Cycle
Stefanie Stantcheva #21207 (ED PE) - Causal Effects of Mental Health Treatment on Education Outcomes for Youth in the Justice System
Alison Evans Cuellar and Dhaval M. Dave #21206 (CH ED HE LE LS) - The Political Economy of Public Income Volatility: With an Application to the Resource Curse
James A. Robinson, Ragnar Torvik, and Thierry Verdier #21205 (POL) - Reducing Crime and Violence: Experimental Evidence on Adult Noncognitive Investments in Liberia
Christopher Blattman, Julian C. Jamison, and Margaret Sheridan #21204 (DEV) - Household Debt and Defaults from 2000 to 2010: Facts from Credit Bureau Data
Atif Mian and Amir Sufi #21203 (AP CF EFG ME) - Insurgency and Small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures
Francesco Trebbi and Eric Weese #21202 (DEV POL) - Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity
Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Joseba Martinez, and Thomas Philippon #21201 (AP CF EFG ME) - Immigration, Trade and Productivity in Services: Evidence from U.K. Firms
Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Giovanni Peri, and Greg C. Wright #21200 (ITI LS) - Firming Up Inequality
Jae Song, David J. Price, Fatih Guvenen, and Nicholas Bloom #21199 (EFG IO LS ME PE PR) - Culture and Global Sourcing
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Bohdan Kukharskyy, and Gerard Roland #21198 (ITI POL) - Soda Taxes and the Prices of Sodas and Other Drinks: Evidence from Mexico
Jeffrey Grogger #21197 (HC HE LS PE) - The Market Value of R&D in Weak Innovation Regimes: Evidence from India
Sunil Kanwar and Bronwyn H. Hall #21196 (PR) - Corporation Law and the Shift toward Open Access in the Antebellum United States
Eric Hilt #21195 (DAE LE) - Vehicle Miles (Not) Traveled: Why Fuel Economy Requirements Don't Increase Household Driving
Jeremy West, Mark Hoekstra, Jonathan Meer, and Steven L. Puller #21194 (EEE PE) - The Indigenous Roots of Representative Democracy
Jeanet Bentzen, Jacob Gerner Hariri, and James A. Robinson #21193 (POL) - New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth among Individuals: Part IV: Land and Credit
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21192 (POL) - New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth among Individuals: Part III: Life Cycle Savings vs. Inherited Savings
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21191 (POL) - New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth among Individuals: Part II: Equilibrium Wealth Distributions
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21190 (POL) - New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth among Individuals: Part I. The Wealth Residual
Joseph E. Stiglitz #21189 (POL) - Political Bonds: Political Hazards and the Choice of Municipal Financial Instruments
Abhay Aneja, Marian Moszoro, and Pablo T. Spiller #21188 (LE) - Regulating Internalities
Hunt Allcott and Cass R. Sunstein #21187 (EEE) - Rigidity of Public Contracts
Marian Moszoro, Pablo T. Spiller, and Sebastian Stolorz #21186 (LE) - Ghost-House Busters: The Electoral Response to a Large Anti Tax Evasion Program
Lorenzo Casaburi and Ugo Troiano #21185 (PE POL) - Do âCheeseburger Billsâ Work? Effects of Tort Reform for Fast Food
Christopher S. Carpenter and D. Sebastian Tello-Trillo #21170 (HE LE)
Week of May 18, 2015
- Neighborhood Sanitation and Infant Mortality
Michael Geruso and Dean Spears #21184 ( CH DEV HE PE) - Mothers' Employment and Children's Educational Gender Gap
Xiaodong Fan, Hanming Fang, and Simen Markussen #21183 ( ED LS PE) - The Price of Variance Risk
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio, Anh Le, and Marius Rodriguez #21182 ( AP EFG ME) - The U.S. listing gap
Craig Doidge, G. Andrew Karolyi, and René M. Stulz #21181 ( CF) - Personalities and Public Sector Performance: Evidence from a Health Experiment in Pakistan
Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Ali Hasanain, Yasir Khan, and Arman Rezaee #21180 ( DEV POL) - A Tractable Model of Monetary Exchange with Ex-post Heterogeneity
Guillaume Rocheteau, Pierre-Olivier Weill, and Tsz-Nga Wong #21179 ( EFG ME) - Optimal Income, Education, and Bequest Taxes in an Intergenerational Model
Stefanie Stantcheva #21177 ( PE) - Retail Globalization and Household Welfare: Evidence from Mexico
David Atkin, Benjamin Faber, and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro #21176 ( DEV ITI) - Foreign and Native Skilled Workers: What Can We Learn from H-1B Lotteries?
Giovanni Peri, Kevin Shih, and Chad Sparber #21175 ( ITI LS PR) - Misperceiving Inequality
Vladimir Gimpelson and Daniel Treisman #21174 ( POL) - Maintaining Central-Bank Financial Stability under New-Style Central Banking
Robert E. Hall and Ricardo Reis #21173 ( EFG ME) - Financial Flows and the International Monetary System
Evgenia Passari and Hélène Rey #21172 ( AP IFM ME) - Kingpin Approaches to Fighting Crime and Community Violence: Evidence from Mexico's Drug War
Jason M. Lindo and María Padilla-Romo #21171 ( DEV HE PE) - Social Networks, Reputation and Commitment: Evidence from a Savings Monitors Experiment
Emily Breza and Arun G. Chandrasekhar #21169 ( CF DEV LS) - Liquidity in Retirement Savings Systems: An International Comparison
John Beshears, James J. Choi, Joshua Hurwitz, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #21168 ( AG IFM) - Market Definition, Market Power
Louis Kaplow #21167 ( IO) - Days to Cover and Stock Returns
Harrison Hong, Weikai Li, Sophie X. Ni, Jose A. Scheinkman, and Philip Yan #21166 ( AP) - Skill Biased Structural Change
Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Richard Rogerson #21165 ( EFG) - How You Export Matters: Export Mode, Learning and Productivity in China
Xue Bai, Kala Krishna, and Hong Ma #21164 ( ITI) - Can helping the sick hurt the able? Incentives, information and disruption in a disability-related welfare reform
Nitika Bagaria, Barbara Petrongolo, and John Van Reenen #21163 ( LS) - Dilemma not Trilemma: The global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence
Hélène Rey #21162 ( AP IFM ME)
Week of May 11, 2015
- The Supply and Demand of S&P 500 Put Options
George M. Constantinides and Lei Lian #21161 ( AP) - Do Individuals Make Sensible Health Insurance Decisions? Evidence from a Menu with Dominated Options
Saurabh Bhargava, George Loewenstein, and Justin Sydnor #21160 ( HC) - Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound
Menzie D. Chinn and Yi Zhang #21159 ( IFM) - Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: Can Monetary Policy Really Help?
Philippe Bacchetta, Elena Perazzi, and Eric van Wincoop #21158 ( IFM ME PE) - Temperature and Human Capital in the Short- and Long-Run
Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Solomon M. Hsiang, and Matthew J. Neidell #21157 ( CH EEE HE LS PE) - The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment
Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, and Lawrence F. Katz #21156 ( CH ED LS PE) - A Tractable Framework for Analyzing a Class of Nonstationary Markov Models
Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar, John Taylor, and Inna Tsener #21155 ( EFG) - Why Do Cities Matter? Local Growth and Aggregate Growth
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Enrico Moretti #21154 ( EFG LS PE PR) - Voluntary Associations, Corporate Rights, and the State: Legal Constraints on the Development of American Civil Society, 1750-1900
Ruth H. Bloch and Naomi R. Lamoreaux #21153 ( DAE) - Colonial New Jersey's Provincial Fiscal Structure, 1709-1775: Spending Obligations, Revenue Sources, and Tax Burdens in War and in Peace
Farley Grubb #21152 ( DAE) - A Structural Model of Electoral Accountability
S. Borağan Aruoba, Allan Drazen, and Razvan Vlaicu #21151 ( EFG POL) - Bank sovereign bond holdings, sovereign shock spillovers, and moral hazard during the European crisis
Andrea Beltratti and René M. Stulz #21150 ( CF) - The Impact of Trade on Labor Market Dynamics
Lorenzo Caliendo, Maximiliano Dvorkin, and Fernando Parro #21149 ( ITI) - When Should Governments Subsidize Health? The Case of Mass Deworming
Amrita Ahuja, Sarah Baird, Joan Hamory Hicks, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel, and Shawn Powers #21148 ( DEV HE) - Giving College Credit Where it is Due: Advanced Placement Exam Scores and College Outcomes
Jonathan Smith, Michael Hurwitz, and Christopher Avery #21147 ( ED) - The Career Effects of Scandal: Evidence from Scientific Retractions
Pierre Azoulay, Alessandro Bonatti, and Joshua L. Krieger #21146 ( PR) - Politics in the Courtroom: Political Ideology and Jury Decision Making
Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson #21145 ( LE POL) - The Impact of Disability Benefits on Labor Supply: Evidence from the VA's Disability Compensation Program
David H. Autor, Mark Duggan, Kyle Greenberg, and David S. Lyle #21144 ( AG LS PE) - Above a Swamp: A Theory of High-Quality Scientific Production
Bralind Kiri, Nicola Lacetera, and Lorenzo Zirulia #21143 ( PR) - The Facts of Economic Growth
Charles I. Jones #21142 ( EFG PR) - It's Good to be First: Order Bias in Reading and Citing NBER Working Papers
Daniel R. Feenberg, Ina Ganguli, Patrick Gaule, and Jonathan Gruber #21141 ( AG HC LS PE) - Lost in the Clouds: The Impact of Changing Property Rights on Investment in Cloud Computing Ventures
Josh Lerner and Greg Rafert #21140 ( CF PR) - Cofinancing in Environment and Development: Evidence from the Global Environment Facility
Matthew J. Kotchen and Neeraj Kumar Negi #21139 ( EEE) - Preference for Boys, Family Size and Educational Attainment in India
Adriana D. Kugler and Santosh Kumar #21138 ( CH LS) - The Impact of Tuition Increases on Undocumented College Students' Attainment
Dylan Conger and Lesley J. Turner #21135 ( ED LS PE)
Week of April 27, 2015
- Are Immigrants a Shot in the Arm for the Local Economy?
Gihoon Hong and John McLaren #21123 (ITI LS) - High-frequency, Algorithmic Spillovers Between NASDAQ and Forex
Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada #21122 (IFM) - Monnet's Error?
Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #21121 (IFM ME) - The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists
Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson #21120 (ITI LS PE PR) - Goldilocks Economies? Temperature Stress and the Direct Impacts of Climate Change
Geoffrey Heal and Jisung Park #21119 (DEV EEE LS) - Liquidity as Social Expertise
Pablo Kurlat #21118 (AP EFG) - Culture, Institutions and Democratization
Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gerard Roland #21117 (POL) - Green Skills
Francesco Vona, Giovanni Marin, Davide Consoli, and David Popp #21116 (EEE) - Welfare and Distributional Implications of Shale Gas
Catherine Hausman and Ryan Kellogg #21115 (EEE IO) - The Weaker Sex? Vulnerable Men, Resilient Women, and Variations in Sex Differences in Mortality since 1900
Mark R. Cullen, Michael Baiocchi, Karen Eggleston, Pooja Loftus, and Victor Fuchs #21114 (HE) - The U.S. Electricity Industry After 20 Years of Restructuring
Severin Borenstein and James Bushnell #21113 (EEE IO PR) - Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom
Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou #21112 (AP CF EFG IFM ME)
Week of April 20, 2015
- Benefit Incidence with Incentive Effects, Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity: A Case Study for China
Martin Ravallion and Shaohua Chen #21111 ( DEV PE) - Cash burns: An inventory model with a cash-credit choice
Fernando Alvarez and Francesco Lippi #21110 ( EFG ME) - Government Policy and Labor Supply with Myopic or Targeted Savings Decisions
Louis Kaplow #21109 ( AG PE) - AIG in Hindsight
Robert L. McDonald and Anna Paulson #21108 ( CF) - Entrepreneurship and Financial Frictions: A Macro-Development Perspective
Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Yongseok Shin #21107 ( DEV EFG PR) - Quantitative Models of Wealth Inequality: A Survey
Mariacristina De Nardi #21106 ( PE) - Forbidden Fruits: The Political Economy of Science, Religion, and Growth
Roland Bénabou, Davide Ticchi, and Andrea Vindigni #21105 ( DEV EFG PE POL PR) - Myopia and Complex Dynamic Incentives: Evidence from Medicare Part D
Christina M. Dalton, Gautam Gowrisankaran, and Robert Town #21104 ( HC IO) - Assets with "Warts": How Reliable is the Market for Technology?
Vincenzo Palermo, Matthew J. Higgins, and Marco Ceccagnoli #21103 ( PR) - Borrowing from the Future: 401(k) Plan Loans and Loan Defaults
Timothy (Jun) Lu, Olivia S. Mitchell, Stephen P. Utkus, and Jean A. Young #21102 ( AG LS PE) - Child Cash Benefits and Family Expenditures: Evidence from the National Child Benefit
Lauren E. Jones, Kevin S. Milligan, and Mark Stabile #21101 ( CH PE) - Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Globalized World
Alan J. Auerbach and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #21100 ( EFG PE) - Is No News (Perceived as) Bad News? An Experimental Investigation of Information Disclosure
Ginger Zhe Jin, Michael Luca, and Daniel Martin #21099 ( IO) - The Half-Life of Happiness: Hedonic Adaptation in the Subjective Well-Being of Poor Slum Dwellers to a Large Improvement in Housing
Sebastian Galiani, Paul J. Gertler, and Raimundo Undurraga #21098 ( DEV) - The Use and Misuse of Models for Climate Policy
Robert S. Pindyck #21097 ( EEE) - Ethnic Complementarities after the Opening of China: How Chinese Graduate Students Affected the Productivity of Their Advisors
George J. Borjas, Kirk B. Doran, and Ying Shen #21096 ( LS) - Delay Functions as the Foundation of Time Preference: Testing for Separable Discounted Utility
Keith Marzilli Ericson and Jawwad Noor #21095 ( AG) - Labor Market Slack and Monetary Policy
David G. Blanchflower and Andrew T. Levin #21094 ( LS ME)
Week of April 13, 2015
- Friendship at Work: Can Peer Effects Catalyze Female Entrepreneurship?
Erica Field, Seema Jayachandran, Rohini Pande, and Natalia Rigol #21093 (DEV) - How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Saten Kumar #21092 (EFG ME) - Robots: Curse or Blessing? A Basic Framework
Jeffrey D. Sachs, Seth G. Benzell, and Guillermo LaGarda #21091 (EFG PE) - An Empirical Examination of Patent Hold-up
Alexander Galetovic, Stephen Haber, and Ross Levine #21090 (IO PR) - Chinese Outwards Mercantilism – the Art and Practice of Bundling
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, and Huanhuan Zheng #21089 (IFM) - Are PILOTs Property Taxes for Nonprofits?
Fan Fei, James R. Hines Jr., and Jill R. Horwitz #21088 (HC LE PE) - The Geography of Development: Evaluating Migration Restrictions and Coastal Flooding
Klaus Desmet, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #21087 (EFG ITI) - Financial Accelerator at Work: Evidence from Corn Fields
Nittai K. Bergman, Rajkamal Iyer, and Richard T. Thakor #21086 (CF EFG PR) - Bankruptcy Rates among NFL Players with Short-Lived Income Spikes
Kyle Carlson, Joshua Kim, Annamaria Lusardi, and Colin F. Camerer #21085 (AG) - Aspire
Marcel Fafchamps and Simon Quinn #21084 (DEV) - Good Rankings Are Bad: Why Reliable Rankings Can Hurt Consumers
Laurent Bouton and Georg Kirchsteiger #21083 (IO) - Production Networks, Geography and Firm Performance
Andrew B. Bernard, Andreas Moxnes, and Yukiko U. Saito #21082 (IO ITI) - China's “Great Leap Forward” in Science and Engineering
Richard B. Freeman and Wei Huang #21081 (ED LS PR) - The Effect of Mandated Child Care on Female Wages in Chile
María F. Prada, Graciana Rucci, and Sergio S. Urzúa #21080 ( LS PE) - The Nature of Conflict
Cemal Eren Arbatli, Quamrul H. Ashraf, and Oded Galor #21079 (DEV EFG POL) - The Growing Segmentation of the Charter School Sector in North Carolina
Helen F. Ladd, Charles T. Clotfelter, and John B. Holbein #21078 (ED) - Loss Aversion in Politics
Alberto Alesina and Francesco Passarelli #21077 (POL) - Firm Leverage and Unemployment during the Great Recession
Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller #21076 (CF EFG LS) - Social Trust and Differential Reactions of Local and Foreign Investors to Public News
Chunxin Jia, Yaping Wang, and Wei Xiong #21075 (AP CF IFM) - How Fast are Semiconductor Prices Falling?
David M. Byrne, Stephen D. Oliner, and Daniel E. Sichel #21074 (DAE EFG IO PR) - The Marriage Market, Labor Supply and Education Choice
Pierré-Andre Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, and Costas Meghir #21004 (ED LS)
Week of April 6, 2015
- Death and the Media: Asymmetries in Infectious Disease Reporting During the Health Transition
Dora L. Costa and Matthew E. Kahn #21073 ( DAE EEE PE) - Does Prescription Drug Coverage Increase Opioid Abuse? Evidence from Medicare Part D
Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, David Powell, and Erin Taylor #21072 ( HC HE) - Low-Income Housing Policy
Robert Collinson, Ingrid Gould Ellen, and Jens Ludwig #21071 ( CH LS PE) - Demand for Value Added and Value-Added Exchange Rates
Rudolfs Bems and Robert C. Johnson #21070 ( IFM ITI) - Creative Destruction and Subjective Wellbeing
Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Angus Deaton, and Alexandra Roulet #21069 ( EFG) - The Impact of Financial Education for Youth in Ghana
James Berry, Dean Karlan, and Menno Pradhan #21068 ( DEV LS) - Dynastic Entrepreneurship, Entry, and Non-Compete Enforcement
James Rauch #21067 ( IO LE PR) - Donor Governance and Financial Management in Prominent U.S. Art Museums
David Yermack #21066 ( CF LE) - Spatial Variation in Higher Education Financing and the Supply of College Graduates
John Kennan #21065 ( ED EFG LS) - Investment and The Cross-Section of Equity Returns
Gian Luca Clementi and Berardino Palazzo #21064 ( AP EFG) - Decentralizing Education Resources: School Grants in Senegal
Pedro Carneiro, Oswald Koussihouèdé, Nathalie Lahire, Costas Meghir, and Corina Mommaerts #21063 ( CH DEV ED) - Do Politicians Change Public Attitudes?
Magnus Carlsson, Gordon B. Dahl, and Dan-Olof Rooth #21062 ( LS PE POL) - The Empiricists' Insurgency
Eli Berman and Aila M. Matanock #21061 ( DEV PE) - Tax-Efficient Asset Management: Evidence from Equity Mutual Funds
Clemens Sialm and Hanjiang Zhang #21060 ( AP CF PE) - Insurance in extended family networks
Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir, and Corina Mommaerts #21059 ( LS PE) - Making Democracy Work: Culture, Social Capital and Elections in China
Gerard Padró i Miquel, Nancy Qian, Yiqing Xu, and Yang Yao #21058 ( DEV POL) - Why Are Indian Children So Short?
Seema Jayachandran and Rohini Pande #21036 ( CH DEV) - Stuck in the Middle? Structural Change and Productivity Growth in Botswana
Brian McCaig, Margaret S. McMillan, Iñigo Verduzco-Gallo, and Keith Jefferis #21029 ( DEV ITI)
Week of March 30, 2015
- U.S. Food and Nutrition Programs
Hilary W. Hoynes and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #21057 (CH LS PE) - Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns
Francesco Bianchi #21056 (AP EFG ME) - The Effect of Community Traumatic Events on Student Achievement: Evidence from the Beltway Sniper Attacks
Seth Gershenson and Erdal Tekin #21055 (CH ED HE LE) - Do Foreign Firm Betas Change During Cross-listing?
Karen K. Lewis #21054 (AP IFM) - What Do We Know So Far about Multigenerational Mobility?
Gary Solon #21053 (CH DAE LS) - Religion and Innovation
Roland Bénabou, Davide Ticchi, and Andrea Vindigni #21052 (EFG PR) - Some Like it (Less) Hot: Extracting Tradeoff Measures for Physically Coupled Amenities
H. Allen Klaiber, Joshua Abbott, and V. Kerry Smith #21051 (EEE) - Uncovering Waste in U.S. Healthcare
Joseph Doyle, John Graves, and Jonathan Gruber #21050 (AG HC HE PE) - Does Medicaid Coverage for Pregnant Women Affect Prenatal Health Behaviors?
Dhaval M. Dave, Robert Kaestner, and George L. Wehby #21049 (CH HC HE) - Narrow Framing and Long-Term Care Insurance
Daniel Gottlieb and Olivia S. Mitchell #21048 (AG HC PE) - Wealth Inequality, Family Background, and Estate Taxation
Mariacristina De Nardi and Fang Yang #21047 (PE) - The Welfare Effects of Coordinated Assignment: Evidence from the NYC HS Match
Atila AbdulkadiroÄlu, Nikhil Agarwal, and Parag A. Pathak #21046 (ED IO LS PE) - Ask Your Doctor? Direct-to-Consumer Advertising of Pharmaceuticals
Michael Sinkinson and Amanda Starc #21045 (HC IO) - Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
Christoph Hambel, Holger Kraft, and Eduardo Schwartz #21044 (AP EEE) - Learning to Take Risks? The Effect of Education on Risk-Taking in Financial Markets
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Petter Lundborg, and Kaveh Majlesi #21043 (AP LS) - The Impact of Entrepreneurial Risk Aversion on Wages in General Equilibrium
Ying Feng and James E. Rauch #20992 (IO PR)
Week of March 23, 2015
- Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium
Charles Engel #21042 (IFM) - Inconsistent Policy Evaluation: A Case Study for a Large Workfare Program
Arthur Alik-Lagrange and Martin Ravallion #21041 (DEV) - Exchange Rate Exposure and Risk Management: The case of Japanese Exporting Firms
Takatoshi Ito, Satoshi Koibuchi, Kiyotaka Sato, and Junko Shimizu #21040 (IFM) - Credit, Financial Stability, and the Macroeconomy
Alan M. Taylor #21039 (DAE EFG ME) - Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
James P. Ziliak #21038 (CH LS PE) - An Extrapolative Model of House Price Dynamics
Edward L. Glaeser and Charles G. Nathanson #21037 (AP EFG) - Tax Cuts For Whom? Heterogeneous Effects of Income Tax Changes on Growth and Employment
Owen M. Zidar #21035 (EFG PE) - Quantile Regression with Panel Data
Bryan S. Graham, Jinyong Hahn, Alexandre Poirier, and James L. Powell #21034 (LS TWP) - IV Quantile Regression for Group-level Treatments, with an Application to the Distributional Effects of Trade
Denis Chetverikov, Bradley Larsen, and Christopher Palmer #21033 (DEV IO ITI LS PE TWP) - Consumer Bankruptcy and Financial Health
Will Dobbie, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, and Crystal Yang #21032 (LE LS PE) - Do Consumer-Directed Health Plans Bend the Cost Curve Over Time?
Amelia M. Haviland, Matthew D. Eisenberg, Ateev Mehrotra, Peter J. Huckfeldt, and Neeraj Sood #21031 (HC HE) - Labor Market Polarization Over the Business Cycle
Christopher L. Foote and Richard W. Ryan #21030 (EFG)
Week of March 16, 2015
- The Impact of Consumer Inattention on Insurer Pricing in the Medicare Part D Program
Kate Ho, Joseph Hogan, and Fiona Scott Morton #21028 (HC IO) - Why are American Workers getting Poorer? China, Trade and Offshoring
Avraham Ebenstein, Ann Harrison, and Margaret McMillan #21027 (ITI) - Gambling for Redemption and Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises
Juan Carlos Conesa and Timothy J. Kehoe #21026 (EFG IFM) - How Individuals Smooth Spending: Evidence from the 2013 Government Shutdown Using Account Data
Michael Gelman, Shachar Kariv, Matthew D. Shapiro, Dan Silverman, and Steven Tadelis #21025 (EFG ME PE PR) - Taxation and the International Mobility of Inventors
Ufuk Akcigit, Salomé Baslandze, and Stefanie Stantcheva #21024 (LS PE PR) - Correlation, Consumption, Confusion, or Constraints: Why do Poor Children Perform so Poorly?
Elizabeth M. Caucutt, Lance Lochner, and Youngmin Park #21023 (CH ED LS PE) - Physician Incentives and the Rise in C-sections: Evidence from Canada
Sara Allin, Michael Baker, Maripier Isabelle, and Mark Stabile #21022 (HC LS) - New Evidence on the Impact of Financial Crises in Advanced Countries
Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer #21021 (DAE EFG IFM ME) - The In-State Equity Bias of State Pension Plans
Jeffrey R. Brown, Joshua M. Pollet, and Scott J. Weisbenner #21020 (AG AP PE) - Precautionary Strategies and Household Saving
Joshua Aizenman, Eduardo Cavallo, and Ilan Noy #21019 (IFM) - Toward an Understanding of Economic Growth in Africa: A Re-Interpretation of the Lewis Model
Xinshen Diao and Margaret McMillan #21018 (DEV EFG) - Capital Flows and Domestic and International Order: Trilemmas from Macroeconomics to Political Economy and International Relations
Michael Bordo and Harold James #21017 (DAE ME) - The CAPM Strikes Back? An Investment Model with Disasters
Hang Bai, Kewei Hou, Howard Kung, and Lu Zhang #21016 (AP CF EFG) - The Insurance Value of Medical Innovation
Darius Lakdawalla, Anup Malani, and Julian Reif #21015 (HC HE PE PR) - Treasure Hunt: Social Learning in the Field
Markus Mobius, Tuan Phan, and Adam Szeidl #21014 (LS PR) - Effects of Peer Counseling to Support Breastfeeding: Assessing the External Validity of a Randomized Field Experiment
Onur Altindag, Theodore J. Joyce, and Julie A. Reeder #21013 (HE) - Preventives Versus Treatments
Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder #21012 (DEV HE IO LE PR)
Week of March 9, 2015
- Poisedness and Propagation: Organizational Emergence and the Transformation of Civic Order in 19th-Century New York City
Victoria Johnson and Walter W. Powell #21011 ( DAE PR) - TFP, News, and "Sentiments:'" The International Transmission of Business Cycles
Andrei A. Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #21010 ( EFG IFM) - Reference Points and Redistributive Preferences: Experimental Evidence
Jimmy Charité, Raymond Fisman, and Ilyana Kuziemko #21009 ( PE POL) - Intra-Industry Trade with Bertrand and Cournot Oligopoly: The Role of Endogenous Horizontal Product Differentiation
James A. Brander and Barbara J. Spencer #21008 ( ITI) - Regional Redistribution Through the U.S. Mortgage Market
Erik Hurst, Benjamin J. Keys, Amit Seru, and Joseph S. Vavra #21007 ( CF EFG ME POL) - Grasp the Large, Let Go of the Small: The Transformation of the State Sector in China
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Zheng (Michael) Song #21006 ( DEV EFG ITI PR) - Short-term, Long-term, and Continuing Contracts
Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka and Oliver Hart #21005 ( CF LE) - Capital Tax Reform and the Real Economy: The Effects of the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
Danny Yagan #21003 ( CF PE) - The Efficiency of Slacking Off: Evidence from the Emergency Department
David C. Chan, Jr. #21002 ( HC LS PR) - Social Learning and Selective Attention
Andrew Caplin, John Leahy, and Filip Matějka #21001 ( EFG) - A Retrospective Look at Rescuing and Restructuring General Motors and Chrysler
Austan D. Goolsbee and Alan B. Krueger #21000 ( IO LS PE) - Expecting the Unexpected: Emissions Uncertainty and Environmental Market Design
Severin Borenstein, James. Bushnell, Frank A. Wolak, and Matthew Zaragoza-Watkins #20999 ( EEE IO) - Retrospective and Prospective Benefit-Cost Analysis of US Anti-Smoking Policies
Lawrence Jin, Donald S. Kenkel, Feng Liu, and Hua Wang #20998 ( HE) - How Does Health Promotion Work? Evidence From The Dirty Business of Eliminating Open Defecation
Paul Gertler, Manisha Shah, Maria Laura Alzua, Lisa Cameron, Sebastian Martinez, and Sumeet Patil #20997 ( CH DEV HE PE)
Week of March 1, 2015
- College Access, Initial College Choice and Degree Completion
Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, and Jonathan Smith #20996 (ED LS) - An Empirical Analysis of Primary and Secondary Pharmaceutical Patents in Chile
María José Abud Sittler, Bronwyn Hall, and Christian Helmers #20995 (DEV PR) - Wealth and Volatility
Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri #20994 (EFG) - Testing for Changes in the SES-Mortality Gradient When the Distribution of Education Changes Too
Thomas Goldring, Fabian Lange, and Seth Richards-Shubik #20993 (AG HE) - Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls
Marina Druz, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser #20991 (CF) - Capitalization of Charter Schools into Residential Property Values
Scott A. Imberman, Michael Naretta, and Margaret O’Rourke #20990 (ED PE) - Culture, Ethnicity and Diversity
Klaus Desmet, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, and Romain Wacziarg #20989 (POL) - Power to Choose? An Analysis of Consumer Inertia in the Residential Electricity Market
Ali Hortaçsu, Seyed Ali Madanizadeh, and Steven L. Puller #20988 (EEE IO PE) - Pick Your Poison: The Choices and Consequences of Policy Responses to Crises
Kristin J. Forbes and Michael W. Klein #20987 (IFM) - Asymmetric Information and Remittances: Evidence from Matched Administrative Data
Thomas Joseph, Yaw Nyarko, and Shing-Yi Wang #20986 (DEV) - How Can a Q-Theoretic Model Price Momentum?
Robert Novy-Marx #20985 (AP) - Fundamentally, Momentum is Fundamental Momentum
Robert Novy-Marx #20984 (AP) - Teachers’ Pay for Performance in the Long-Run: Effects on Students’ Educational and Labor Market Outcomes in Adulthood
Victor Lavy #20983 (CH ED LS) - Estimating Individual Ambiguity Aversion: A Simple Approach
Uri Gneezy, Alex Imas, and John List #20982 (EEE PE) - Regulating Innovation with Uncertain Quality: Information, Risk, and Access in Medical Devices
Matthew Grennan and Robert Town #20981 (HC IO) - Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand
John Coglianese, Lucas W. Davis, Lutz Kilian, and James H. Stock #20980 (EEE) - A Theory of Liquidity and Risk Management Based on the Inalienability of Risky Human Capital
Patrick Bolton, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #20979 (CF) - Natural Experiment Policy Evaluation: A Critique
Christopher A. Hennessy and Ilya A. Strebulaev #20978 (CF LS PE) - Old and Young Politicians
Alberto F. Alesina, Ugo Troiano, and Traviss Cassidy #20977 (PE POL) - Prescription Drug Use under Medicare Part D: A Linear Model of Nonlinear Budget Sets
Jason Abaluck, Jonathan Gruber, and Ashley Swanson #20976 (AG HC) - A Quantitative Analysis of Subsidy Competition in the U.S.
Ralph Ossa #20975 (ITI) - Hoard Behavior and Commodity Bubbles
Harrison Hong, Áureo de Paula, and Vishal Singh #20974 (AP) - Long-Term Care Utility and Late in Life Saving
John Ameriks, Joseph S. Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Christopher Tonetti #20973 (AG EFG HE ME PR) - The Wealth of Wealthholders
John Ameriks, Andrew Caplin, Minjoon Lee, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Christopher Tonetti #20972 (AG EFG ME PR) - The Catch-22 of External Validity in the Context of Constraints to Firm Growth
Greg Fischer and Dean Karlan #20971 (DEV LS) - Capital Control Measures: A New Dataset
Andrés Fernández, Michael W. Klein, Alessandro Rebucci, Martin Schindler, and Martín Uribe #20970 (IFM) - Individual Time Preferences and Energy Efficiency
Richard G. Newell and Juha V. Siikamaki #20969 (EEE PE PR) - The Dynamics of Financially Constrained Arbitrage
Denis Gromb and Dimitri Vayanos #20968 (AP) - Corporate Culture, Societal Culture, and Institutions
Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #20967 (LE) - Endogenous Horizontal Product Differentiation under Bertrand and Cournot Competition: Revisiting the Bertrand Paradox
James A. Brander and Barbara J. Spencer #20966 (IO)
Week of February 23, 2015
- Estimating the Production Function for Human Capital: Results from a Randomized Control Trial in Colombia
Orazio Attanasio, Sarah Cattan, Emla Fitzsimons, Costas Meghir, and Marta Rubio-Codina #20965 (CH DEV LS) - Sovereign Default, Debt Restructuring, and Recovery Rates: Was the Argentinean “Haircut” Excessive?
Sebastian Edwards #20964 (IFM) - Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation
Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, and Seth Pruitt #20963 (AP EFG IFM) - Affirmative Action and the Quality-Fit Tradeoff
Peter Arcidiacono and Michael Lovenheim #20962 (ED LS PE) - Analyzing the Labor Market Outcomes of Occupational Licensing
Maury Gittleman, Mark A. Klee, and Morris M. Kleiner #20961 (IO LE LS) - The Great Recession, Retirement and Related Outcomes
Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #20960 (AG LS PE) - Economic Behavior, Market Signals, and Urban Ecology
Joshua K. Abbott, H. Allen Klaiber, and V. Kerry Smith #20959 (EEE) - The Rents From Trade and Coercive Institutions: Removing the Sugar Coating
Christian Dippel, Avner Greif, and Daniel Trefler #20958 (DAE ITI POL) - The Real Value of China's Stock Market
Jennifer N. Carpenter, Fangzhou Lu, and Robert F. Whitelaw #20957 (AP CF DEV EFG IFM)
Week of February 16, 2015
- Unshrouding Effects on Demand for a Costly Add-on: Evidence from Bank Overdrafts in Turkey
Sule Alan, Mehmet Cemalcılar, Dean Karlan, and Jonathan Zinman #20956 ( DEV LE LS) - Demand Estimation with Machine Learning and Model Combination
Patrick Bajari, Denis Nekipelov, Stephen P. Ryan, and Miaoyu Yang #20955 ( IO) - Nowcasting and Placecasting Entrepreneurial Quality and Performance
Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern #20954 ( PR) - Who Is Coming to the Artefactual Field Experiment? Participation Bias among Chinese Rural Migrants
Paul Frijters, Tao Sherry Kong, and Elaine M. Liu #20953 ( DEV) - International Coordination of Central Bank Policy
Charles Engel #20952 ( IFM) - Macroprudential Policy in a World of High Capital Mobility: Policy Implications from an Academic Perspective
Charles Engel #20951 ( IFM) - Lifecycle Effects of a Recession on Health Behaviors: Boom, Bust, and Recovery in Iceland
Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir, Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan, and Nancy Reichman #20950 ( HC HE) - Decision-Making Approaches and the Propensity to Default: Evidence and Implications
Jeffrey R. Brown, Anne M. Farrell, and Scott J. Weisbenner #20949 ( AG PE) - Money Earlier or Later? Simple Heuristics Explain Intertemporal Choices Better than Delay Discounting
Keith M. Ericson, John Myles White, David Laibson, and Jonathan D. Cohen #20948 ( AG) - Robots Are Us: Some Economics of Human Replacement
Seth G. Benzell, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Guillermo LaGarda, and Jeffrey D. Sachs #20941 ( EFG LS PE PR) - The China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone: Background, Developments and Preliminary Assessment of Initial Impacts
Daqing Yao and John Whalley #20924 ( IFM ITI)
Week of February 9, 2015
- Fraudulent Income Overstatement on Mortgage Applications during the Credit Expansion of 2002 to 2005
Atif R. Mian and Amir Sufi #20947 (AP CF EFG ME) - Facilitating Savings for Agriculture: Field Experimental Evidence from Malawi
Lasse Brune, Xavier Giné, Jessica Goldberg, and Dean Yang #20946 (DEV) - To Have and Have Not: Are Rich Litigious Plaintiffs Favored in Court?
B. Zorina Khan #20945 (DAE DEV LE POL) - The Impact of War on Resource Allocation: 'Creative Destruction' and the American Civil War
B. Zorina Khan #20944 (DAE POL PR) - The Internationalization of the RMB, Capital Market Openness, and Financial Reforms in China
Joshua Aizenman #20943 (IFM) - Is Sniping A Problem For Online Auction Markets?
Matthew Backus, Tom Blake, Dimitriy V. Masterov, and Steven Tadelis #20942 (IO) - The Impact of Intergroup Contact on Racial Attitudes and Revealed Preferences
Scott E. Carrell, Mark Hoekstra, and James E. West #20940 (ED LS PE) - Measuring Job-Finding Rates and Matching Efficiency with Heterogeneous Jobseekers
Robert E. Hall and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl #20939 (EFG LS) - Age, Cohort and Co-Authorship
Daniel S. Hamermesh #20938 (LS) - Racial Disparities in Savings Behavior for a Continuously Employed Cohort
Kai Yuan Kuan, Mark R. Cullen, and Sepideh Modrek #20937 (AG PE) - Collective Action: Experimental Evidence
María Victoria Anauati, Brian Feld, Sebastian Galiani, and Gustavo Torrens #20936 (DEV) - Premature Deindustrialization
Dani Rodrik #20935 (DEV EFG ITI PR) - The National Rise in Residential Segregation
Trevon Logan and John Parman #20934 (DAE) - The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy
Jaume Ventura and Alberto Martin #20933 (EFG) - Veterans Labor Force Participation: What Role Does the VAs Disability Compensation Program Play?
Courtney Coile, Mark Duggan, and Audrey Guo #20932 (AG HE LS PE) - Networks, Shocks, and Systemic Risk
Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #20931 (EFG) - State Capitalism vs. Private Enterprise
Donghua Chen, Dequan Jiang, Alexander Ljungqvist, Haitian Lu, and Mingming Zhou #20930 (CF LE) - Childhood Medicaid Coverage and Later Life Health Care Utilization
Laura R. Wherry, Sarah Miller, Robert Kaestner, and Bruce D. Meyer #20929 (CH HC HE PE) - Behavioral Economics and Public Policy: A Pragmatic Perspective
Raj Chetty #20928 (AG LE LS PE) - Patient Responses to Incentives in Consumer-directed Health Plans: Evidence from Pharmaceuticals
Peter J. Huckfeldt, Amelia Haviland, Ateev Mehrotra, Zachary Wagner, and Neeraj Sood #20927 (HC HE) - Disaster Risk and its Implications for Asset Pricing
Jerry Tsai and Jessica A. Wachter #20926 (AP EFG) - Voting on Prices vs. Voting on Quantities in a World Climate Assembly
Martin L. Weitzman #20925 (EEE) - The Power of Transparency: Information, Identification Cards and Food Subsidy Programs in Indonesia
Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Jordan C. Kyle, Benjamin A. Olken, and Sudarno Sumarto #20923 (DEV PE POL) - The Maturity and Payment Schedule of Sovereign Debt
Yan Bai, Seon Tae Kim, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #20896 (IFM)
Week of February 2, 2015
- New Ideas in Invention
Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya #20922 (HE PR) - Cities and Ideas
Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya #20921 (DAE HC HE PR) - Age and the Trying Out of New Ideas
Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya #20920 (AG HC HE PR) - Capital and Wealth in the 21st Century
David N. Weil #20919 (EFG) - Motivation and Incentives in Education: Evidence from a Summer Reading Experiment
Jonathan Guryan, James S. Kim, and Kyung Park #20918 (CH ED LS) - Financial Development and Output Growth in Developing Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Sectoral Analysis
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, and Donghyun Park #20917 (DEV IFM) - Disability Insurance Incentives and the Retirement Decision: Evidence from the U.S.
Courtney Coile #20916 (AG) - Latin American Inequality: Colonial Origins, Commodity Booms, or a Missed 20th Century Leveling?
Jeffrey G. Williamson #20915 (DAE DEV) - Environmental Engel Curves
Arik Levinson and James O'Brien #20914 (EEE) - What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?
Fatih Guvenen, Fatih Karahan, Serdar Ozkan, and Jae Song #20913 (AG AP EFG HE LS ME) - Trade Liberalization and the Skill Premium: A Local Labor Markets Approach
Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian K. Kovak #20912 (DEV ITI LS) - Does Competition Eliminate Discrimination? Evidence from the Commercial Sex Market in Singapore
Huailu Li, Kevin Lang, and Kaiwen Leong #20911 (DEV LS) - The Persistence of Moral Suasion and Economic Incentives: Field Experimental Evidence from Energy Demand
Koichiro Ito, Takanori Ida, and Makoto Tanaka #20910 (EEE IO PE) - On The Origins of Gender Human Capital Gaps: Short and Long Term Consequences of Teachers’ Stereotypical Biases
Victor Lavy and Edith Sand #20909 (CH ED LS) - Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics: Evidence From 25 Years of Brazilian Matched Employer-Employee Data
Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian K. Kovak #20908 (DEV ITI LS) - The Impact of Market Size and Composition on Health Insurance Premiums: Evidence from the First Year of the ACA
Michael J. Dickstein, Mark Duggan, Joseph Orsini, and Pietro Tebaldi #20907 (HC IO) - Synthesizing Econometric Evidence: The Case of Demand Elasticity Estimates
Philip DeCicca and Donald S. Kenkel #20906 (HE) - An Assessment of the Energy-Efficiency Gap and its Implications for Climate-Change Policy
Todd D. Gerarden, Richard G. Newell, Robert N. Stavins, and Robert C. Stowe #20905 (EEE) - Assessing the Energy-Efficiency Gap
Todd D. Gerarden, Richard G. Newell, and Robert N. Stavins #20904 (EEE) - Competition and R&D Financing Decisions: Theory and Evidence from the Biopharmaceutical Industry
Richard T. Thakor and Andrew W. Lo #20903 (CF HE IO PR) - Killing the Golden Goose? The Decline of Science in Corporate R&D
Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, and Andrea Patacconi #20902 (PR) - An Evaluation of the Impact of the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone (SPFTZ)
Daqing Yao and John Whalley #20901 (IFM) - Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?
Mark C. Freeman, Gernot Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser #20900 (EEE) - Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending
Adair Morse #20899 (CF) - Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries
Pranjul Bhandari and Jeffrey A. Frankel #20898 (EFG IFM ME) - On the Origins of Dishonesty: From Parents to Children
Daniel Houser, John A. List, Marco Piovesan, Anya Savikhin Samek, and Joachim Winter #20897 (PE) - Understanding Heterogeneity in the Effects of Birth Weight on Adult Cognition and Wages
C. Justin Cook and Jason M. Fletcher #20895 (CH HE) - Does Finance Benefit Society?
Luigi Zingales #20894 (CF)
Week of January 26, 2015
- Monetary Policy Independence under Flexible Exchange Rates: An Illusion?
Sebastian Edwards #20893 ( IFM) - Can Changing Economic Factors Explain the Rise in Obesity?
Charles J. Courtemanche, Joshua C. Pinkston, Christopher J. Ruhm, and George Wehby #20892 ( HC HE) - Informal Employment in a Growing and Globalizing Low-income Country
Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik #20891 ( DEV ITI) - Can Online Learning Bend the Higher Education Cost Curve?
David J. Deming, Claudia Goldin, Lawrence F. Katz, and Noam Yuchtman #20890 ( DAE ED LS) - Public R&D Investments and Private-sector Patenting: Evidence from NIH Funding Rules
Pierre Azoulay, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Danielle Li, and Bhaven N. Sampat #20889 ( HC PE PR) - The Effect of Regulatory Harmonization on Cross-border Labor Migration: Evidence from the Accounting Profession
Matthew J. Bloomfield, Ulf Brüggemann, Hans B. Christensen, and Christian Leuz #20888 ( CF ED LS) - What Do Longitudinal Data on Millions of Hospital Visits Tell us About The Value of Public Health Insurance as a Safety Net for the Young and Privately Insured?
Amanda E. Kowalski #20887 ( AG HC HE PE) - Insurance Decision-Making For Rare Events: The Role Of Emotions
Howard Kunreuther and Mark Pauly #20886 ( TWP) - Understanding Ethnic Identity in Africa: Evidence from the Implicit Association Test (IAT)
Sara Lowes, Nathan Nunn, James A. Robinson, and Jonathan Weigel #20885 ( DEV EFG POL) - The Impact of Unemployment Benefit Extensions on Employment: The 2014 Employment Miracle?
Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii, and Kurt Mitman #20884 ( EFG) - Pareto Efficiency and Identity
Christopher Phelan and Aldo Rustichini #20883 ( EFG) - The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited
Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #20882 ( EFG ME) - Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth
Jesse Perla, Christopher Tonetti, and Michael E. Waugh #20881 ( EFG ITI PR) - Are Firms in "Boring" Industries Worth Less?
Jia Chen, Kewei Hou, and René M. Stulz #20880 ( AP CF) - Why is Pollution from U.S. Manufacturing Declining? The Roles of Trade, Regulation, Productivity, and Preferences
Joseph S. Shapiro and Reed Walker #20879 ( EEE ITI PE PR) - The Local Influence of Pioneer Investigators on Technology Adoption: Evidence from New Cancer Drugs
Leila Agha and David Molitor #20878 ( HC HE PR) - Do Natural Field Experiments Afford Researchers More or Less Control than Laboratory Experiments? A Simple Model
Omar Al-Ubaydli and John A. List #20877 ( EEE PE) - Wage Inequality and Firm Growth
Holger M. Mueller, Paige P. Ouimet, and Elena Simintzi #20876 ( LS) - Neglected Risks: The Psychology of Financial Crises
Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny #20875 ( AP CF) - Credit Supply and the Housing Boom
Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #20874 ( EFG ME) - Impact of China's Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance on Health Care Expenditure and Health Outcomes
Feng Huang and Li Gan #20873 ( AG HC HE PE) - Macroeconomic Volatility and External Imbalances
Alessandra Fogli and Fabrizio Perri #20872 ( EFG IFM)
Week of January 19, 2015
- Capital Taxation in the 21st Century
Alan J. Auerbach and Kevin Hassett #20871 ( PE) - Using Field Experiments to Address Environmental Externalities and Resource Scarcity: Major Lessons Learned and New Directions for Future Research
Michael Price #20870 ( EEE) - The Effect of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment Insurance Receipt: New Evidence from a Regression Kink Design in Missouri, 2003-2013
David Card, Andrew Johnston, Pauline Leung, Alexandre Mas, and Zhuan Pei #20869 ( LS PE) - Mark-up and Cost Dispersion across Firms: Direct Evidence from Producer Surveys in Pakistan
David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit K. Khandelwal, and Eric Verhoogen #20868 ( DEV ITI PR) - Pricing in the Market for Anticancer Drugs
David H. Howard, Peter B. Bach, Ernst R. Berndt, and Rena M. Conti #20867 ( HC) - Sacred Values? The Effect of Information on Attitudes toward Payments for Human Organs
Julio J. Elias, Nicola Lacetera, and Mario Macis #20866 ( HE LE PE) - Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks
Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #20865 ( EFG ME) - Municipal Housekeeping: The Impact of Women's Suffrage on Public Education
Celeste K. Carruthers and Marianne H. Wanamaker #20864 ( DAE PE) - Spare Tire? Stock Markets, Banking Crises, and Economic Recoveries
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #20863 ( CF EFG IFM) - Ending the Euro Crisis?
Martin S. Feldstein #20862 ( EFG ME PE) - What High-Achieving Low-Income Students Know About College
Caroline Hoxby and Sarah Turner #20861 ( ED LS PE) - Capital Flow Management Measures: What Are They Good For?
Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, and Roland Straub #20860 ( IFM ME) - Property Rights, Regulatory Capture, and Exploitation of Natural Resources
Christopher Costello and Corbett Grainger #20859 ( EEE PE POL) - Long-run Bulls and Bears
Rui Albuquerque, Martin Eichenbaum, Dimitris Papanikolaou, and Sergio Rebelo #20858 ( AP EFG) - News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries
Rabah Arezki, Valerie A. Ramey, and Liugang Sheng #20857 ( EFG IFM) - Why Doesn't Technology Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?
Harold L. Cole, Jeremy Greenwood, and Juan M. Sanchez #20856 ( EFG) - Accounting for Changes in Between-Group Inequality
Ariel Burstein, Eduardo Morales, and Jonathan Vogel #20855 ( EFG ITI LS) - Invisible Women: Entrepreneurship, Innovation and Family Firms in France during Early Industrialization
B. Zorina Khan #20854 ( DAE DEV PR) - Knowledge, Human Capital and Economic Development: Evidence from the British Industrial Revolution, 1750-1930
B. Zorina Khan #20853 ( DAE DEV PR) - The Limits of Bimetallism
Christopher M. Meissner #20852 ( DAE) - Technology and Geography in the Second Industrial Revolution: New Evidence from the Margins of Trade
Michael Huberman, Christopher M. Meissner, and Kim Oosterlinck #20851 ( DAE) - Borrowing Trouble? Student Loans, the Cost of Borrowing, and Implications for the Effectiveness of Need-Based Grant Aid
Benjamin M. Marx and Lesley J. Turner #20850 ( ED LS PE) - Student Loans and Repayment: Theory, Evidence and Policy
Lance Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo #20849 ( ED LS PE) - Changes in Buyer Composition and the Expansion of Credit During the Boom
Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar, and Felipe Severino #20848 ( CF) - The Effects of School Spending on Educational and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from School Finance Reforms
C. Kirabo Jackson, Rucker C. Johnson, and Claudia Persico #20847 ( CH ED LS PE) - Business Strategy and the Management of Firms
Mu-Jeung Yang, Lorenz Kueng, and Bryan Hong #20846 ( IO PR) - Estimating Management Practice Complementarity between Decentralization and Performance Pay
Bryan Hong, Lorenz Kueng, and Mu-Jeung Yang #20845 ( EFG LS PE PR) - The Evolution of the Financial Stability Mandate: From Its Origins to the Present Day
Gianni Toniolo and Eugene N. White #20844 ( DAE) - Migration, Congestion Externalities, and the Evaluation of Spatial Investments
Taryn Dinkelman and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl #20842 ( DEV PE) - The Skill Complementarity of Broadband Internet
Anders Akerman, Ingvil Gaarder, and Magne Mogstad #20826 ( LS PR)
Week of January 12, 2015
- Long Run Effects of Free School Choice: College Attainment, Employment, Earnings, and Social Outcomes at Adulthood
Victor Lavy #20843 ( CH ED LS) - Technology and Labor Regulations: Theory and Evidence
Alberto Alesina, Michele Battisti, and Joseph Zeira #20841 ( DEV) - Does Delay Cause Decay? The Effect of Administrative Decision Time on the Labor Force Participation and Earnings of Disability Applicants
David H. Autor, Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen, and Alexander Strand #20840 ( LS PE) - Directing Remittances to Education with Soft and Hard Commitments: Evidence from a Lab-in-the-field Experiment and New Product Take-up Among Filipino Migrants in Rome
Giuseppe De Arcangelis, Majlinda Joxhe, David McKenzie, Erwin Tiongson, and Dean Yang #20839 ( DEV ED) - Bounding the Labor Supply Responses to a Randomized Welfare Experiment: A Revealed Preference Approach
Patrick Kline and Melissa Tartari #20838 ( EFG LS PE TWP) - Prison Crowding, Recidivism, and Early Release in Early Rhode Island
Howard Bodenhorn #20837 ( DAE) - Secular Stagnation: The Long View
Barry Eichengreen #20836 ( DAE) - Medicaid as an Investment in Children: What is the Long-Term Impact on Tax Receipts?
David W. Brown, Amanda E. Kowalski, and Ithai Z. Lurie #20835 ( AG CH HC HE PE) - Cognitive Economics
Miles S. Kimball #20834 ( AP) - The Returns to the Federal Tax Credits for Higher Education
George B. Bulman and Caroline M. Hoxby #20833 ( ED LS PE) - Fighting the Last War: Economists on the Lender of Last Resort
Richard S. Grossman and Hugh Rockoff #20832 ( DAE ME) - Global Sunspots and Asset Prices in a Monetary Economy
Roger E.A. Farmer #20831 ( AP EFG) - The Limits of Reputation in Platform Markets:An Empirical Analysis and Field Experiment
Chris Nosko and Steven Tadelis #20830 ( IO PR) - Patronage Politics and the Development of the Welfare State: Confederate Pensions in the American South
Shari Eli and Laura Salisbury #20829 ( DAE) - The Fluidity of Race: “Passing” in the United States, 1880-1940
Emily Nix and Nancy Qian #20828 ( DAE POL) - Austerity in 2009-2013
Alberto Alesina, Omar Barbiero, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi, and Matteo Paradisi #20827 ( IFM ME POL) - Exploration for Human Capital: Evidence from the MBA Labor Market
Camelia M. Kuhnen and Paul Oyer #20825 ( AP CF LS) - Central Bank Credibility: An Historical and Quantitative Exploration
Michael D. Bordo and Pierre L. Siklos #20824 ( DAE ME) - Segmented Housing Search
Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider, and Johannes Stroebel #20823 ( AP EFG ME PE) - Domestic and Multilateral Effects of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets
Gurnain Pasricha, Matteo Falagiarda, Martin Bijsterbosch, and Joshua Aizenman #20822 ( IFM) - Distinguishing Constraints on Financial Inclusion and Their Impact on GDP and Inequality
Era Dabla-Norris, Yan Ji, Robert M. Townsend, and D. Filiz Unsal #20821 ( DEV IFM) - International Currency Exposures, Valuation Effects, and the Global Financial Crisis
Agustín S. Bénétrix, Philip R. Lane, and Jay C. Shambaugh #20820 ( IFM) - Income-based Inequality in Educational Outcomes: Learning from State Longitudinal Data Systems
John P. Papay, Richard J. Murnane, and John B. Willett #20802 ( CH ED) - Leveling Up: Early Results from a Randomized Evaluation of Post-Secondary Aid
Joshua Angrist, David Autor, Sally Hudson, and Amanda Pallais #20800 ( CH ED LS PE)
Week of January 5, 2015
- Price Setting in Online Markets: Does IT Click?
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Viacheslav Sheremirov, and Oleksandr Talavera #20819 ( EFG IFM ME) - Can Health Insurance Competition Work? Evidence from Medicare Advantage
Vilsa Curto, Liran Einav, Jonathan Levin, and Jay Bhattacharya #20818 ( HC IO PE) - Monetary Shocks in Models with Inattentive Producers
Fernando Alvarez, Francesco Lippi, and Luigi Paciello #20817 ( EFG ME) - Field of Study, Earnings, and Self-Selection
Lars Kirkebøen, Edwin Leuven, and Magne Mogstad #20816 ( LS) - Common Factors in Return Seasonalities
Matti Keloharju, Juhani T. Linnainmaa, and Peter Nyberg #20815 ( AP) - Four Centuries of Return Predictability
Benjamin Golez and Peter Koudijs #20814 ( AP) - Trading on Sunspots
Boyan Jovanovic and Viktor Tsyrennikov #20813 ( AP EFG) - Measuring Consumer Valuation of Limited Provider Networks
Keith Marzilli Ericson and Amanda Starc #20812 ( AG HC HE IO) - The Roles of Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills in Moderating the Effects of Mixed-Ability Schools on Long-Term Health
Anirban Basu, Andrew M. Jones, and Pedro Rosa Dias #20811 ( CH ED HC HE) - The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Summer Youth Employment Program Lotteries
Alexander Gelber, Adam Isen, and Judd B. Kessler #20810 ( CH LS PE HE) - Does Information Feedback from In-Home Devices Reduce Electricity Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment
Shahzeen Z. Attari, Gautam Gowrisankaran, Troy Simpson, and Sabine M. Marx #20809 ( EEE IO) - Who Loses Under Power Plant Cap-and-Trade Programs?
E. Mark Curtis #20808 ( EEE) - Quantifying Confidence
George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, and Harris Dellas #20807 ( EFG ME) - The Welfare State and Migration: A Dynamic Analysis of Political Coalitions
Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, and Benjarong Suwankiri #20806 ( IFM) - Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?
Anton Korinek and Damiano Sandri #20805 ( EFG IFM) - Efficacy vs. Equity: What Happens When States Tinker with College Admissions in a Race-Blind Era?
Sandra E. Black, Kalena E. Cortes, and Jane Arnold Lincove #20804 ( ED) - International Credit Flows and Pecuniary Externalities
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #20803 ( AP EFG IFM ITI) - Illegal Immigration, State Law, and Deterrence
Mark Hoekstra and Sandra Orozco-Aleman #20801 ( LE LS) - How's Life at Home? New Evidence on Marriage and the Set Point for Happiness
Shawn Grover and John F. Helliwell #20794 ( AG PE)
- Poisedness and Propagation: Organizational Emergence and the Transformation of Civic Order in 19th-Century New York City
Victoria Johnson and Walter W. Powell #21011 ( DAE PR) - TFP, News, and "Sentiments:'" The International Transmission of Business Cycles
Andrei A. Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #21010 ( EFG IFM) - Reference Points and Redistributive Preferences: Experimental Evidence
Jimmy Charité, Raymond Fisman, and Ilyana Kuziemko #21009 ( PE POL) - Intra-Industry Trade with Bertrand and Cournot Oligopoly: The Role of Endogenous Horizontal Product Differentiation
James A. Brander and Barbara J. Spencer #21008 ( ITI) - Regional Redistribution Through the U.S. Mortgage Market
Erik Hurst, Benjamin J. Keys, Amit Seru, and Joseph S. Vavra #21007 ( CF EFG ME POL) - Grasp the Large, Let Go of the Small: The Transformation of the State Sector in China
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Zheng (Michael) Song #21006 ( DEV EFG ITI PR) - Short-term, Long-term, and Continuing Contracts
Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka and Oliver Hart #21005 ( CF LE) - Capital Tax Reform and the Real Economy: The Effects of the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
Danny Yagan #21003 ( CF PE) - The Efficiency of Slacking Off: Evidence from the Emergency Department
David C. Chan, Jr. #21002 ( HC LS PR) - Social Learning and Selective Attention
Andrew Caplin, John Leahy, and Filip Matějka #21001 ( EFG) - A Retrospective Look at Rescuing and Restructuring General Motors and Chrysler
Austan D. Goolsbee and Alan B. Krueger #21000 ( IO LS PE) - Expecting the Unexpected: Emissions Uncertainty and Environmental Market Design
Severin Borenstein, James. Bushnell, Frank A. Wolak, and Matthew Zaragoza-Watkins #20999 ( EEE IO) - Retrospective and Prospective Benefit-Cost Analysis of US Anti-Smoking Policies
Lawrence Jin, Donald S. Kenkel, Feng Liu, and Hua Wang #20998 ( HE) - How Does Health Promotion Work? Evidence From The Dirty Business of Eliminating Open Defecation
Paul Gertler, Manisha Shah, Maria Laura Alzua, Lisa Cameron, Sebastian Martinez, and Sumeet Patil #20997 ( CH DEV HE PE)
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