NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) - Working Papers
Week of December 26, 2016
- Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research
Garret S. Christensen and Edward Miguel #22989 ( DEV LS TWP) - Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population
Robert A. Moffitt and David C. Ribar #22988 ( CH HE) - Procrastination in the Workplace: Evidence from the U.S. Patent Office
Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman #22987 ( LE LS PR) - How Does Technological Change Affect Quality-Adjusted Prices in Health Care? Systematic Evidence from Thousands of Innovations
Kristopher J. Hult, Sonia Jaffe, and Tomas J. Philipson #22986 ( HE PR) - Cross-Sectional Patterns of Mortgage Debt during the Housing Boom: Evidence and Implications
Christopher L. Foote, Lara Loewenstein, and Paul S. Willen #22985 ( EFG) - A Structural Analysis of the Effects of the Great Recession on Retirement and Working Longer by Members of Two-Earner Households
Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22984 ( AG LS PE) - Fuel Consumption and Gasoline Prices: The Role of Assortative Matching between Households and Automobiles
H. Spencer Banzhaf and Taha Kasim #22983 ( EEE) - Asset Managers: Institutional Performance and Smart Betas
Joseph Gerakos, Juhani T. Linnainmaa, and Adair Morse #22982 ( AP) - A Passage to America: University Funding and International Students
John Bound, Breno Braga, Gaurav Khanna, and Sarah Turner #22981 ( ED LS) - Blind Tigers and Red-Tape Cocktails: Liquor Control and Homicide in Late-Nineteenth-Century South Carolina
Howard Bodenhorn #22980 ( DAE LE) - Stepping on a Rake: Replication and Diagnosis
John H. Cochrane #22979 ( AP EFG ME) - Discrete Adjustment to a Changing Environment: Experimental Evidence
Mel Win Khaw, Luminita Stevens, and Michael Woodford #22978 ( EFG ME) - Who Benefits Most from SNAP? A Study of Food Security and Food Spending
Partha Deb and Christian A. Gregory #22977 ( PE) - Classification Trees for Heterogeneous Moment-Based Models
Sam Asher, Denis Nekipelov, Paul Novosad, and Stephen P. Ryan #22976 ( DEV IO LS) - Populism and the Return of the “Paranoid Styleâ€: Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal
Rafael Di Tella and Julio J. Rotemberg #22975 ( POL EFG) - A Portrait of Trade in Value Added over Four Decades
Robert C. Johnson and Guillermo Noguera #22974 ( IFM ITI) - Depression for Economists
Jonathan de Quidt and Johannes Haushofer #22973 ( DEV HE) - Beliefs about Gender
Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #22972 ( LS) - Adjustment to Small, Large, and Sunspot Shocks in Open Economies With Stock Collateral Constraints
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and MartÃn Uribe #22971 ( EFG IFM) - The Hidden Resources of Women Working Longer: Evidence from Linked Survey-Administrative Data
C. Adam Bee and Joshua Mitchell #22970 ( AG LS PE) - The Response of Consumer Spending to Changes in Gasoline Prices
Michael Gelman, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Shachar Kariv, Dmitri Koustas, Matthew D. Shapiro, Dan Silverman, and Steven Tadelis #22969 ( EEE EFG ME PR) - The Political Economy of Weak Treaties
Marco Battaglini and BÃ¥rd Harstad #22968 ( POL) - Where Do Students Go when For-Profit Colleges Lose Federal Aid?
Stephanie R. Cellini, Rajeev Darolia, and Lesley J. Turner #22967 ( ED LS PE) - Public Sector Personnel Economics: Wages, Promotions, and the Competence-Control Trade-off
Charles M. Cameron, John M. de Figueiredo, and David E. Lewis #22966 ( LE LS PE) - Disaggregating the Matching Function
Peter A. Diamond and Ayşegül Şahin #22965 ( EFG LS) - An Energy-centric Theory of Agglomeration
Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor #22964 ( EEE) - Empowering Mothers and Enhancing Early Childhood Investment: Effect on Adults Outcomes and Children Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills
Victor Lavy, Giulia Lotti, and Zizhong Yan #22963 ( CH DEV ED LS) - Industrial Productivity in a Hotter World: The Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Firm Investment in Air Conditioning
Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew E. Kahn #22962 ( EEE PE PR) - Knowing When to Ask: The Cost of Leaning In
Christine L. Exley, Muriel Niederle, and Lise Vesterlund #22961 ( LS) - The Economic Structure of International Trade-in-Services Agreements
Robert W. Staiger and Alan O. Sykes #22960 ( ITI) - Box Office Buzz: Does Social Media Data Steal the Show from Model Uncertainty When Forecasting for Hollywood?
Steven Lehrer and Tian Xie #22959 ( TWP) - Regional Distribution and Dynamics of Human Capital in China 1985-2014: Education, Urbanization, and Aging of the Population
Haizheng Li, Junzi He, Qinyi Liu, Barbara M. Fraumeni, and Xiang Zheng #22906 ( DEV ED)
Week of December 19, 2016
- Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles
Cosmin L. Ilut and Hikaru Saijo #22958 ( AP EFG ME) - Estimating market power Evidence from the US Brewing Industry
Jan De Loecker and Paul T. Scott #22957 ( IO PR) - Energy Efficiency Standards Are More Regressive Than Energy Taxes: Theory and Evidence
Arik Levinson #22956 ( EEE PE) - Agricultural Fires and Infant Health
Marcos A. Rangel and Tom Vogl #22955 ( CH DEV EEE HC HE) - A Behavioral New Keynesian Model
Xavier Gabaix #22954 ( EFG ME) - How Destructive is Innovation?
Daniel Garcia-Macia, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Peter J. Klenow #22953 ( EFG PR) - Some Simple Economics of the Blockchain
Christian Catalini and Joshua S. Gans #22952 ( IO PR) - Interfirm Relationships and Business Performance
Jing Cai and Adam Szeidl #22951 ( DEV PR) - Targeting Policies: Multiple Testing and Distributional Treatment Effects
Steven F. Lehrer, R. Vincent Pohl, and Kyungchul Song #22950 ( LS TWP) - Leveling the Playing Field: How Campaign Advertising Can Help Non-Dominant Parties
Horacio A. Larreguy, John Marshall, and James M. Snyder, Jr. #22949 ( POL) - Understanding Inflation in India
Laurence Ball, Anusha Chari, and Prachi Mishra #22948 ( DEV EFG IFM ME) - Growth Policy, Agglomeration, and (the Lack of) Competition
Wyatt J. Brooks, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Yao Amber Li #22947 ( DEV EFG IO PR) - How Large Are the Gains from Economic Integration? Theory and Evidence from U.S. Agriculture, 1880-1997
Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson #22946 ( ITI) - Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States
Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman #22945 ( PE) - Globalization and Wage Inequality
Elhanan Helpman #22944 ( ITI) - Dominant Currency Paradigm
Camila Casas, Federico J. DÃez, Gita Gopinath, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #22943 ( EFG IFM ITI ME) - Older Peoples’ Willingness to Delay Social Security Claiming
Raimond Maurer and Olivia S. Mitchell #22942 ( AG LS PE) - Business Cycles, Investment Shocks, and the "Barro-King" Curse
Guido Ascari, Louis Phaneuf, and Eric Sims #22941 ( EFG ME) - Sanitation, Disease Externalities, and Anemia: Evidence From Nepal
Diane Coffey, Michael Geruso, and Dean Spears #22940 ( CH DEV HE PE) - Asymmetric Effects of Non-Pecuniary Signals on Search and Purchase Behavior for Energy-Efficient Durable Goods
J. Scott Holladay, Jacob LaRiviere, David M. Novgorodsky, and Michael Price #22939 ( EEE IO PE) - Improving the Measurement of Earnings Dynamics
Moira Daly, Dmytro Hryshko, and Iourii Manovskii #22938 ( EFG LS) - A Tale of Two Tails: Commuting and the Fuel Price Response in Driving
Kenneth Gillingham and Anders Munk-Nielsen #22937 ( EEE) - Commitment vs. Flexibility with Costly Verification
Marina Halac and Pierre Yared #22936 ( EFG IO POL) - Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both?
Robert G. Valletta #22935 ( ED LS) - Meet the Oligarchs: Business Legitimacy, State Capacity and Taxation
Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra, and Alejandro Luis Lagomarsino #22934 ( POL) - Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies
William D. Nordhaus #22933 ( EEE PE)
Week of December 12, 2016
- Elections, Ideology, and Turnover in the U.S. Federal Government
Alexander Bolton, John M. de Figueiredo, and David E. Lewis #22932 ( LE LS PE) - From Proof of Concept to Scalable Policies: Challenges and Solutions, with an Application
Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland, and Michael Walton #22931 ( CH DEV ED) - FDI and Inequality in Vietnam: An Approach with Census Data
John McLaren and Myunghwan Yoo #22930 ( ITI) - Locked in by Leverage: Job Search during the Housing Crisis
Jennifer Brown and David A. Matsa #22929 ( CF LS) - Books or Laptops? The Cost-Effectiveness of Shifting from Printed to Digital Delivery of Educational Content
Rosangela Bando, Francisco Gallego, Paul Gertler, and Dario Romero #22928 ( CH DEV ED PE) - Educational Homogamy and Assortative Mating Have Not Increased
Rania Gihleb and Kevin Lang #22927 ( LS) - High-Skilled Migration and Agglomeration
Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Çaǧlar Özden, and Christopher Parsons #22926 ( LS PR) - Are Fuel Economy Standards Regressive?
Lucas W. Davis and Christopher R. Knittel #22925 ( EEE IO PE) - Why Does Capital No Longer Flow More to the Industries with the Best Growth Opportunities?
Dong Lee, Han Shin, and René M. Stulz #22924 ( CF) - Disrupting Education? Experimental Evidence on Technology-Aided Instruction in India
Karthik Muralidharan, Abhijeet Singh, and Alejandro J. Ganimian #22923 ( DEV ED LS PE PR) - Automated Economic Reasoning with Quantifier Elimination
Casey B. Mulligan #22922 ( IO PE TWP) - Coal Smoke and the Costs of the Industrial Revolution
W. Walker Hanlon #22921 ( DAE) - Labor Supply Elasticities: Overcoming Nonclassical Measurement Error Using More Accurate Hours Data
Garry Barrett and Daniel S. Hamermesh #22920 ( LS) - A Poor Means Test? Econometric Targeting in Africa
Caitlin Brown, Martin Ravallion, and Dominique van de Walle #22919 ( DEV) - Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why?
Guido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich, and Henry E. Siu #22918 ( EFG LS) - Improving the Quality of Choices in Health Insurance Markets
Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber #22917 ( AG HC) - The Demand for Bad Policy when Voters Underappreciate Equilibrium Effects
Ernesto Dal Bó, Pedro Dal Bó, and Erik Eyster #22916 ( POL) - Evidence on the Relationship between Recruiting and Starting Wage
R. Jason Faberman and Guido Menzio #22915 ( EFG) - Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution
Erik Gilje, Robert Ready, and Nikolai Roussanov #22914 ( AP) - The New Lifecycle of Women’s Employment: Disappearing Humps, Sagging Middles, Expanding Tops
Claudia Goldin and Joshua Mitchell #22913 ( DAE LS) - Drug Shortages, Pricing, and Regulatory Activity
Christopher Stomberg #22912 ( HC HE) - Corrective Policy and Goodhart's Law: The Case of Carbon Emissions from Automobiles
Mathias Reynaert and James M. Sallee #22911 ( EEE IO PE) - The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940
Raj Chetty, David Grusky, Maximilian Hell, Nathaniel Hendren, Robert Manduca, and Jimmy Narang #22910 ( CH DAE EFG LS PE) - Bombs and Babies: US Navy Bombing Activity and Infant Health in Vieques, Puerto Rico
Gustavo J. Bobonis, Mark Stabile, and Leonardo Tovar #22909 ( CH DEV) - Optimal Taxation and R&D Policies
Ufuk Akcigit, Douglas Hanley, and Stefanie Stantcheva #22908 ( PE PR) - The Effects of Computers on Children’s Social Development and School Participation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Experiment
Robert W. Fairlie and Ariel Kalil #22907 ( ED) - Habits and Leverage
Tano Santos and Pietro Veronesi #22905 ( AP EFG) - Estimating the Productivity of Community Colleges in Paving the Road to Four-Year Success
Scott E. Carrell and Michal Kurlaender #22904 ( ED LS PE) - Stimulating Housing Markets
David Berger, Nicholas Turner, and Eric Zwick #22903 ( CF ME PE) - Economic Transformation in Africa from the Bottom Up: Evidence from Tanzania
Xinshen Diao, Josaphat Kweka, and Margaret McMillan #22889 ( DEV PR)
Week of December 5, 2016
- The Great Recession and Charitable Giving
Jonathan Meer, David H. Miller, and Elisa Wulfsberg #22902 ( PE) - Price Regulation, Price Discrimination, and Equality of Opportunity in Higher Education: Evidence from Texas
Rodney Andrews and Kevin Stange #22901 ( ED LS) - Making the One Percent: The Role of Elite Universities and Elite Peers
Seth D. Zimmerman #22900 ( ED LS) - The Long-Run Effects of Childhood Insurance Coverage: Medicaid Implementation, Adult Health, and Labor Market Outcomes
Andrew Goodman-Bacon #22899 ( CH DAE HE) - The Effect of Early Education on Social Preferences
Alexander W. Cappelen, John A. List, Anya Samek, and Bertil Tungodden #22898 ( CH ED LS) - Investment-less Growth: An Empirical Investigation
Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon #22897 ( AP CF EFG ME) - Purchasing Power Disparity before 1914
Peter H. Lindert #22896 ( DAE) - Charging Ahead: Prepaid Electricity Metering in South Africa
B. Kelsey Jack and Grant Smith #22895 ( DEV EEE PE) - The History of the Cross Section of Stock Returns
Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Michael R. Roberts #22894 ( AP) - Activism, Strategic Trading, and Liquidity
Kerry Back, Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Vyacheslav Fos, Tao Li, and Alexander Ljungqvist #22893 ( AP CF) - Bounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs under Manipulation of the Running Variable, with an Application to Unemployment Insurance in Brazil
François Gerard, Miikka Rokkanen, and Christoph Rothe #22892 ( LS PE TWP) - Relationship Lending and the Great Depression: Measurement and New Implications
Jon Cohen, Kinda Cheryl Hachem, and Gary Richardson #22891 ( CF DAE EFG ME) - Climate Risks and Market Efficiency
Harrison Hong, Frank Weikai Li, and Jiangmin Xu #22890 ( AP) - Accounting for Business Income in Measuring Top Income Shares: Integrated Accrual Approach Using Individual and Firm Data from Norway
Annette Alstadsæter, Martin Jacob, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Kjetil Telle #22888 ( PE) - Health, Human Capital and Domestic Violence
Nicholas W. Papageorge, Gwyn C. Pauley, Mardge Cohen, Tracey E. Wilson, Barton H. Hamilton, and Robert A. Pollak #22887 ( HC HE LS) - The Behavioralist as Policy Designer: The Need to Test Multiple Treatments to Meet Multiple Targets
Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, David Novgorodsky, and Michael K. Price #22886 ( EEE PE) - Population Growth and Carbon Emissions
Gregory Casey and Oded Galor #22885 ( EEE) - Heuristic Perceptions of the Income Tax: Evidence and Implications for Debiasing
Alex Rees-Jones and Dmitry Taubinsky #22884 ( AG LE LS PE) - Portfolio Choices, Firm Shocks and Uninsurable Wage Risk
Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, and Luigi Pistaferri #22883 ( EFG LS) - Identifying the Benefits from Home Ownership: A Swedish Experiment
Paolo Sodini, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Roine Vestman, and Ulf von Lilienfeld-Toal #22882 ( AP CF EFG LS PE POL) - Performance Information and Personnel Decisions in the Public Sector: The Case of School Principals
Julie Berry Cullen, Eric A. Hanushek, Gregory Phelan, and Steven G. Rivkin #22881 ( CH ED LS PE) - Labor Market Outcomes and Postsecondary Accountability: Are Imperfect Metrics Better than None?
Veronica Minaya and Judith Scott-Clayton #22880 ( ED) - Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents
David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, Pian Shu, and Gary Pisano #22879 ( ITI PR) - Accelerator or Brake? Cash for Clunkers, Household Liquidity, and Aggregate Demand
Daniel Green, Brian T. Melzer, Jonathan A. Parker, and Arcenis Rojas #22878 ( AP CF EFG ME PE) - Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance
Luca Flabbi, Mario Macis, Andrea Moro, and Fabiano Schivardi #22877 ( LS) - Insurers' Response to Selection Risk: Evidence from Medicare Enrollment Reforms
Francesco Decarolis and Andrea Guglielmo #22876 ( HC HE IO PE) - The Impact of Increased Cost-sharing on Utilization of Low Value Services: Evidence from the State of Oregon
Jonathan Gruber, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Bill J. Wright, Eric S. Wilkinson, and Kevin Volpp #22875 ( HC HE) - Cross-Border Prudential Policy Spillovers: How Much? How Important? Evidence from the International Banking Research Network
Claudia M. Buch and Linda Goldberg #22874 ( IFM ME) - Does Health IT Adoption Lead to Better Information or Worse Incentives?
Gautam Gowrisankaran, Keith A. Joiner, and Jianjing Lin #22873 ( HC IO)
Week of November 28, 2016
- The Interest Rate Effect on Private Saving: Alternative Perspectives
Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung, and Hiro Ito #22872 ( IFM) - Sustaining Impacts When Transfers End: Women Leaders, Aspirations, and Investment in Children
Karen Macours and Renos Vakis #22871 ( CH DEV HE) - Ambiguity and the Tradeoff Theory of Capital Structure
Yehuda Izhakian, David Yermack, and Jaime F. Zender #22870 ( CF) - The Surprising Instability of Export Specializations
Diego Daruich, William Easterly, and Ariell Reshef #22869 ( DEV) - Macroprudential Policy: Promise and Challenges
Enrique G. Mendoza #22868 ( IFM) - It's Not the Thought that Counts: A Field Experiment on Gift Exchange and Giving at a Public University
Catherine C. Eckel, David H. Herberich, and Jonathan Meer #22867 ( PE) - Is The Monetarist Arithmetic Unpleasant?
Martín Uribe #22866 ( EFG IFM ME) - Japan’s Ultimately Unaccursed Natural Resources-Financed Industrialization
Randall Morck and Masao Nakamura #22865 ( CF) - The Welfare Cost of Uncertainty in Policy Outcomes
Edward Schlee and V. Kerry Smith #22864 ( EEE) - Is it the "How" or the "When" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?
Alberto Alesina, Gualtiero Azzalini, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi, and Armando Miano #22863 ( IFM) - Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption
Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #22862 ( EEE) - Geographical Distribution of Emergency Department Closures and Consequences on Heart Attack Patients
Yu-Chu Shen and Renee Y. Hsia #22861 ( AG HC) - Transforming Cities: Does Urbanization Promote Democratic Change?
Edward L. Glaeser and Bryce Millett Steinberg #22860 ( PE POL) - Fear of Fracking? The Impact of the Shale Gas Exploration on House Prices in Britain
Steve Gibbons, Stephan Heblich, Esther Lho, and Christopher Timmins #22859 ( EEE) - Do Good Reports Mean Higher Prices? The Impact of Hospital Compare Ratings on Cardiac Pricing
Avi Dor, William Encinosa, and Kathleen Carey #22858 ( HC HE) - Is the American Public Corporation in Trouble?
Kathleen Kahle and René M. Stulz #22857 ( CF) - A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model
Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang #22856 ( EFG ME) - Laws, Educational Outcomes, and Returns to Schooling: Evidence from the Full Count 1940 Census
Karen Clay, Jeff Lingwall, and Melvin Stephens, Jr. #22855 ( DAE ED LS) - From “Made in China” to “Innovated in China”: Necessity, Prospect, and Challenges
Shang-Jin Wei, Zhuan Xie, and Xiaobo Zhang #22854 ( DEV) - Leaving Big Money on the Table: Arbitrage Opportunities in Delaying Social Security
Gila Bronshtein, Jason Scott, John B. Shoven, and Sita N. Slavov #22853 ( AG PE) - Immigrants and Firms' Outcomes: Evidence from France
Cristina Mitaritonna, Gianluca Orefice, and Giovanni Peri #22852 ( ITI LS PR CH)
Week of November 21, 2016
- Prepayment Risk and Expected MBS Returns
Peter Diep, Andrea L. Eisfeldt, and Scott Richardson #22851 ( AP CF EFG) - Firms and Labor Market Inequality: Evidence and Some Theory
David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso, Jörg Heining, and Patrick Kline #22850 ( EFG LS PE PR) - Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties
Justin R. Pierce and Peter K. Schott #22849 ( HE ITI LS) - Extending Industry Specialization through Cross-Border Acquisitions
Laurent Frésard, Ulrich Hege, and Gordon Phillips #22848 ( CF IO) - Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity
Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador, Hugo Hopenhayn, and Iván Werning #22847 ( EFG IFM) - The Impact of Consumer Credit Access on Employment, Earnings and Entrepreneurship
Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon Phillips, and Ethan Cohen-Cole #22846 ( CF LS) - Does The Samaritan's Dilemma Matter? Evidence From U.S. Agriculture
Tatyana Deryugina and Barrett Kirwan #22845 ( EEE PE) - Pegxit Pressure: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard
Kris James Mitchener and Gonçalo Pina #22844 ( DAE IFM) - An Analysis of the Labor Market for Uberâs Driver-Partners in the United States
Jonathan V. Hall and Alan B. Krueger #22843 ( LS) - Multilateral Trade Bargaining and Dominant Strategies
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #22842 ( ITI) - Shifting College Majors in Response to Advanced Placement Exam Scores
Christopher Avery, Oded Gurantz, Michael Hurwitz, and Jonathan Smith #22841 ( ED) - The Impact of Emerging Market Competition on Innovation and Business Strategy
Lorenz Kueng, Nicholas Li, and Mu-Jeung Yang #22840 ( CF EFG PR) - Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom, and Andrey Ermolov #22839 ( AP) - Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations
Martin Guzman and Joseph E. Stiglitz #22838 ( EFG IFM) - The Theory of Credit and Macro-economic Stability
Joseph E. Stiglitz #22837 ( EFG)
Week of November 14, 2016
- The Competitive Effects of Information Sharing
John Asker, Chaim Fershtman, Jihye Jeon, and Ariel Pakes #22836 ( IO) - The Evolution of Health Insurer Costs in Massachusetts, 2010-12
Kate Ho, Ariel Pakes, and Mark Shepard #22835 ( HE IO PR) - The Economic Contribution of Unauthorized Workers: An Industry Analysis
Ryan Edwards and Francesc Ortega #22834 ( LS) - World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation
Andrés Fernández, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martín Uribe #22833 ( EFG IFM) - Screening in Contract Design: Evidence from the ACA Health Insurance Exchanges
Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Daniel Prinz #22832 ( AG HC HE PE) - Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence
Andreas Neuhierl and Michael Weber #22831 ( AP EFG ME) - An Economic Analysis of U.S Airline Fuel Economy Dynamics from 1991 to 2015
Matthew E. Kahn and Jerry Nickelsburg #22830 ( EEE IO) - Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, and Rabih Moussawi #22829 ( AP CF) - Corporate Deleveraging
Harry DeAngelo, Andrei S. Gonçalves, and René M. Stulz #22828 ( CF) - Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis
Simon Gilchrist, Raphael Schoenle, Jae Sim, and Egon Zakrajšek #22827 ( EFG ME) - Hospital Competition, Quality, and Expenditures in the U.S. Medicare Population
Carrie Colla, Julie Bynum, Andrea Austin, and Jonathan Skinner #22826 ( HC HE IO) - Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis
Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier #22825 ( EFG) - Time-Inconsistent Charitable Giving
James Andreoni and Marta Serra-Garcia #22824 ( PE) - The Optimal Distribution of Population across Cities
David Albouy, Kristian Behrens, Frédéric Robert-Nicoud, and Nathan Seegert #22823 ( PE POL) - Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth
Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, Davide Malacrino, and Luigi Pistaferri #22822 ( EFG) - Durable Coalitions and Communication: Public versus Private Negotiations
David P. Baron, Renee Bowen, and Salvatore Nunnari #22821 ( PE POL) - Puzzles in the Forex Tokyo “Fixing”: Order Imbalances and Biased Pricing by Banks
Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada #22820 ( IFM) - International Borrowing Cycles: A New Historical Database
Graciela L. Kaminsky #22819 ( IFM) - Technical Aspects of Correspondence Studies
Joanna Lahey and Ryan Beasley #22818 ( AG DEV ED LE LS PE POL TWP) - Gender, Marriage, and Life Expectancy
Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Fang Yang #22817 ( AG PE) - Housing Demand, Cost-of-Living Inequality, and the Affordability Crisis
David Albouy, Gabriel Ehrlich, and Yingyi Liu #22816 ( EFG LS) - The Affordable Care Act as Retiree Health Insurance: Implications for Retirement and Social Security Claiming
Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22815 ( AG HE LS PE) - Past Performance and Procurement Outcomes
Francesco Decarolis, Giancarlo Spagnolo, and Riccardo Pacini #22814 ( HC IO PE) - On a World Climate Assembly and the Social Cost of Carbon
Martin Weitzman #22813 ( EEE) - International Transmissions of Monetary Shocks: Between a Trilemma and a Dilemma
Xuehui Han and Shang-Jin Wei #22812 ( IFM) - Complementarity without Superadditivity
Steven Berry, Philip Haile, Mark Israel, and Michael Katz #22811 ( IO) - Political Borders and Bank Lending in Post-Crisis America
Matthieu Chavaz and Andrew K. Rose #22806 ( IFM POL) - Leverage Dynamics without Commitment
Peter DeMarzo and Zhiguo He #22799 ( AP CF) - Divergent Paths: Structural Change, Economic Rank, and the Evolution of Black-White Earnings Differences, 1940-2014
Patrick Bayer and Kerwin Kofi Charles #22797 ( DAE ED LE LS PE PR)
Week of November 7, 2016
- Analyzing the Influence of Occupational Licensing Duration on Labor Market Outcomes
Suyoun Han and Morris M. Kleiner #22810 ( IO LE LS) - Misallocation, Establishment Size, and Productivity
Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia #22809 ( DEV EFG PR) - How Information Affects Support for Education Spending: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Germany and the United States
Martin R. West, Ludger Woessmann, Philipp Lergetporer, and Katharina Werner #22808 ( ED PE POL) - The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited
Robert S. Pindyck #22807 ( EEE PE) - The Compositional Effect of Rigorous Teacher Evaluation on Workforce Quality
Julie Berry Cullen, Cory Koedel, and Eric Parsons #22805 ( ED LS PE) - Trade, Pollution and Mortality in China
Matilde Bombardini and Bingjing Li #22804 ( DEV EEE HE ITI) - E-governance, Accountability, and Leakage in Public Programs: Experimental Evidence from a Financial Management Reform in India
Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Clement Imbert, Santhosh Mathew, and Rohini Pande #22803 ( DEV) - Intertemporal Substitution in Health Care Demand: Evidence from the RAND Health Insurance Experiment
Haizhen Lin and Daniel W. Sacks #22802 ( HC HE) - The Long Shadow of a Fiscal Expansion
Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Zheng Michael Song #22801 ( EFG IFM) - Should Central Banks Care About Fiscal Rules?
Eric M. Leeper #22800 ( EFG) - Taxing the Rich More: Preliminary Evidence from the 2013 Tax Increase
Emmanuel Saez #22798 ( PE) - The Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Direction
Tatyana Deryugina, Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif #22796 ( EEE HE) - Applying Asset Pricing Theory to Calibrate the Price of Climate Risk
Kent D. Daniel, Robert B. Litterman, and Gernot Wagner #22795 ( AP EEE POL) - Public Debt as Private Liquidity: Optimal Policy
George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, and Harris Dellas #22794 ( EFG ME PE) - Commodities for the Long Run
Ari Levine, Yao Hua Ooi, and Matthew Richardson #22793 ( AP) - The Effect of E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sale Age Laws on Traditional Cigarette Use and Birth Outcomes among Pregnant Teenagers
Michael F. Pesko and Janet M. Currie #22792 ( CH HE) - Upward Mobility and Discrimination: The Case of Asian Americans
Nathaniel Hilger #22748 ( LS)
Week of October 31, 2016
- Balancing, Regression, Difference-In-Differences and Synthetic Control Methods: A Synthesis
Nikolay Doudchenko and Guido W. Imbens #22791 ( LS) - Currency Manipulation
Tarek A. Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens, and Tony Zhang #22790 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - A Real Estate Boom with Chinese Characteristics
Edward Glaeser, Wei Huang, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer #22789 ( AP CF EFG IFM) - Crime and Durable Goods
Sebastian Galiani, Laura Jaitman, and Federico Weinschelbaum #22788 ( DEV) - Fighting Crises
Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez #22787 ( AP EFG ME) - Discrimination as a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Evidence from French Grocery Stores
Dylan Glover, Amanda Pallais, and William Pariente #22786 ( LS) - Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge
George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #22785 ( EFG ME) - Log-linear Approximation versus an Exact Solution at the ZLB in the New Keynesian Model
Gauti B. Eggertsson and Sanjay R. Singh #22784 ( ME) - Innovation Network
Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr #22783 ( EFG IO PR) - Trends in Cumulative Marginal Tax Rates Facing Low-Income Families, 1997-2007
Gizem Kosar and Robert A. Moffitt #22782 ( LS PE) - Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice
David Card, David S. Lee, Zhuan Pei, and Andrea Weber #22781 ( LS PE) - Competitive Effects of Scope of Practice Restrictions: Public Health or Public Harm?
Sara Markowitz, E. Kathleen Adams, Mary Jane Lewitt, PhD,CNM, and Anne Dunlop, MD #22780 ( CH HC HE LE LS) - Knowledge Elites and Modernization: Evidence from Revolutionary France
Mara P. Squicciarini and Nico Voigtländer #22779 ( DAE POL) - Business Income and Business Taxation in the United States Since the 1950s
Conor Clarke and Wojciech Kopczuk #22778 ( PE) - Elite Identity and Political Accountability: A Tale of Ten Islands
Jean-Paul Carvalho and Christian Dippel #22777 ( DAE DEV LE POL) - Racial and Gender Discrimination in Transportation Network Companies
Yanbo Ge, Christopher R. Knittel, Don MacKenzie, and Stephen Zoepf #22776 ( IO LS PE) - Factions in Nondemocracies: Theory and Evidence from the Chinese Communist Party
Patrick Francois, Francesco Trebbi, and Kairong Xiao #22775 ( POL) - Securities Lending as Wholesale Funding: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry
Nathan Foley-Fisher, Borghan Narajabad, and Stephane Verani #22774 ( AP CF) - Multidimensional Private Information, Market Structure and Insurance Markets
Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu #22773 ( IO PE) - Collective Choice in Dynamic Public Good Provision
T. Renee Bowen, George Georgiadis, and Nicolas S. Lambert #22772 ( IO ITI PE POL PR) - Vertical Information Restraints: Pro- and Anti-Competitive Impacts of Minimum Advertised Price Restrictions
John Asker and Heski Bar-Isaac #22771 ( IO) - Is Uncle Sam Inducing the Elderly to Retire?
Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Darryl R. Koehler, and Manni Yu #22770 ( PE) - Evaluating Economy-Wide Benefit Cost Analyses
V. Kerry Smith and Min Qiang Zhao #22769 ( EEE) - Patent Disclosures and Standard-Setting
Josh Lerner, Haris Tabakovic, and Jean Tirole #22768 ( PR) - Effects of Adult Health Interventions at Scale on Children's Schooling: Evidence from Antiretroviral Therapy in Zambia
Adrienne M. Lucas, Margaret Chidothe, and Nicholas L. Wilson #22767 ( CH ED HE)
Week of October 24, 2016
- The Causes and Consequences of Increased Female Education and Labor Force Participation in Developing Countries
Rachel Heath and Seema Jayachandran #22766 ( DEV ED LS) - Inattention and Switching Costs as Sources of Inertia in Medicare Part D
Florian Heiss, Daniel McFadden, Joachim Winter, Amelie Wuppermann, and Bo Zhou #22765 ( AG HC HE) - Mobile Phones, Civic Engagement, and School Performance in Pakistan
Minahil Asim and Thomas Dee #22764 ( DEV ED) - Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs
Samuel G. Hanson, David S. Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam #22763 ( AP CF PE) - Do Recessions Accelerate Routine-Biased Technological Change? Evidence from Vacancy Postings
Brad Hershbein and Lisa B. Kahn #22762 ( EFG LS PR) - Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bankâs Payment on Reserves
Robert E. Hall and Ricardo Reis #22761 ( EFG ME) - Local Government and Old-Age Support in the New Deal
Daniel K. Fetter #22760 ( DAE) - The Effects of Income Mobility and Tax Persistence on Income Redistribution and Inequality
Marina Agranov and Thomas R. Palfrey #22759 ( PE POL) - International Financial Adjustment in a Canonical Open Economy Growth Model
Richard H. Clarida and Ildikó Magyari #22758 ( IFM) - The Determinants of Quality Specialization
Jonathan I. Dingel #22757 ( ITI) - Endogenous Network Formation in Congress
Nathan Canen and Francesco Trebbi #22756 ( POL) - A New Financial Order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?
Takatoshi Ito #22755 ( IFM) - Can Online Delivery Increase Access to Education?
Joshua Goodman, Julia Melkers, and Amanda Pallais #22754 ( ED LS PR) - The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500
Anthony Heyes, Matthew Neidell, and Soodeh Saberian #22753 ( EEE HE LS) - Notes on the Economics of Energy Storage
Geoffrey Heal #22752 ( EEE PE) - A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment: Global Liquidity Creation and Reach for Safety and Yield
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #22751 ( AP CF EFG IFM ME) - Evidence for the Effects of Mergers on Market Power and Efficiency
Bruce A. Blonigen and Justin R. Pierce #22750 ( IO ITI PR) - The Competitive Effects of Online Education
David J. Deming, Michael Lovenheim, and Richard W. Patterson #22749 ( ED) - Silver Points, Silver Flows, and the Measure of Chinese Financial Integration
David S. Jacks, Se Yan, and Liuyan Zhao #22747 ( DAE IFM) - Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of âTeaching at the Right Levelâ in India
Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland, and Michael Walton #22746 ( CH DEV ED)
Week of October 17, 2016
- When Discounts Raise Costs: The Effect of Copay Coupons on Generic Utilization
Leemore Dafny, Christopher Ody, and Matthew Schmitt #22745 ( HC IO PE) - Ideological Segregation among Online Collaborators: Evidence from Wikipedians
Shane Greenstein, Yuan Gu, and Feng Zhu #22744 ( IO PR) - Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts
Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #22743 ( AP DAE EFG IFM ME) - Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards
Benjamin J. Keys and Jialan Wang #22742 ( PE) - Current Account Deficits During Heightened Risk: Menacing or Mitigating?
Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova #22741 ( IFM ME) - An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty
Steven J. Davis #22740 ( EFG PE POL) - Influencing Connected Legislators
Marco Battaglini and Eleonora Patacchini #22739 ( POL) - Changes in Marriage and Divorce as Drivers of Employment and Retirement of Older Women
Claudia Olivetti and Dana E. Rotz #22738 ( AG LS) - Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers: The East Asian Crisis Plus 20
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D. Chinn, and Hiro Ito #22737 ( IFM) - Market Potential and Global Growth over the Long Twentieth Century
David S. Jacks and Dennis Novy #22736 ( DAE ITI) - Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Monetary Policy after the Crisis
Alan S. Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Jakob de Haan, and David-Jan Jansen #22735 ( EFG ME) - Money or Grit? Determinants of MisMatch by Race and Gender
Russell Cooper and Huacong Liu #22734 ( ED EFG) - A Distribution-Neutral Perspective On Tax Expenditure Limitations
Louis Kaplow #22733 ( PE) - Estimating the Heterogeneous Welfare Effects of Choice Architecture: An Application to the Medicare Prescription Drug Insurance Market
Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai V. Kuminoff, and Christopher A. Powers #22732 ( AG HC HE) - Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?
Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Andrey Polbin, and Andrey Zubarev #22731 ( EEE LS PE) - Accounting for Price Endogeneity in Airline Itinerary Choice Models: An Application to Continental U.S. Markets
Virginie Lurkin, Laurie A. Garrow, Matthew J. Higgins, Jeffrey P. Newman, and Michael Schyns #22730 ( IO) - Global Talent Flows
Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Çaǧlar Özden, and Christopher Parsons #22715 ( DEV LS PR)
Weekl of October 10, 2016
- Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector
Arvind Krishnamurthy, Jennie Bai, and Charles-Henri Weymuller #22729 ( AP CF ME) - What Makes a Price Fair? An Experimental Analysis of Market Experience and Endogenous Fairness Views
Holger Herz and Dmitry Taubinsky #22728 ( IO LS) - Global Firms
Andrew B. Bernard, J. Bradford Jensen, Stephen J. Redding, and Peter K. Schott #22727 ( ITI) - Late-in-Life Risks and the Under-Insurance Puzzle
John Ameriks, Joseph Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Christopher Tonetti #22726 ( AG HE EFG ME PR) - Learning and Earning: An Approximation to College Value Added in Two Dimensions
Evan Riehl, Juan E. Saavedra, and Miguel Urquiola #22725 ( ED) - Why Not Taxation and Representation? A Note on the American Revolution
Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens #22724 ( DEV) - Do Rare Events Explain CDX Tranche Spreads?
Sang Byung Seo and Jessica A. Wachter #22723 ( AP EFG) - Choosing Between an Estate Tax and a Basis Carryover Regime: Evidence from 2010
Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian, and James M. Poterba #22722 ( PE) - Childhood Housing and Adult Earnings: A Between-Siblings Analysis of Housing Vouchers and Public Housing
Fredrik Andersson, John C. Haltiwanger, Mark J. Kutzbach, Giordano E. Palloni, Henry O. Pollakowski, and Daniel H. Weinberg #22721 ( CH LS) - A Ricardian-Demand Explanation for Changing Pharmaceutical R&D Productivity
Mark Pauly and Kyle Myers #22720 ( HC HE IO PR) - Education Quality and Teaching Practices
Marina Bassi, Costas Meghir, and Ana Reynoso #22719 ( CH DEV ED LS) - Behavioral Welfare Economics and FDA Tobacco Regulations
Philip DeCicca, Donald S. Kenkel, Feng Liu, and Hua Wang #22718 ( HE) - Putting the Pension Back in 401(k) Plans: Optimal versus Default Longevity Income Annuities
Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #22717 ( AG PE) - Bidding Dynamics in Auctions
Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi #22716 ( IO) - Poverty Traps and the Social Protection Paradox
Munenobu Ikegami, Michael R. Carter, Christopher B. Barrett, and Sarah A. Janzen #22714 ( DEV) - Performance Standards in Need-Based Student Aid
Judith Scott-Clayton and Lauren Schudde #22713 ( ED PE) - Tort Reform and Innovation
Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo #22712 ( LE PR) - Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports
Will Dobbie, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Neale Mahoney, and Jae Song #22711 ( CF LS PE) - Incomplete Disclosure: Evidence of Signaling and Countersignaling
Benjamin B. Bederson, Ginger Zhe Jin, Phillip Leslie, Alexander J. Quinn, and Ben Zou #22710 ( IO) - Why Donât Commercial Health Plans Use Prospective Payment?
Laurence Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, Aileen Devlin, and Daniel P. Kessler #22709 ( HC HE) - The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking
Antonio Falato and David Scharfstein #22689 ( CF)
Week of October 3, 2016
- Valuing Alternative Work Arrangements
Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais #22708 ( LS) - Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: The Effect of Passive Investors on Activism
Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley, and Donald B. Keim #22707 ( CF) - Quantitative Trade Models: Developments and Challenges
Timothy J. Kehoe, Pau S. Pujolas, and Jack Rossbach #22706 ( EFG ITI) - The Politics of FDI Expropriation
Marina Azzimonti #22705 ( IFM POL) - Deconstructing Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1983 - 2013
Edward N. Wolff #22704 ( LS PR) - Reputation Cycles
Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat #22703 ( EFG PR) - Subsidy Policies and Insurance Demand
Jing Cai, Alain de Janvry, and Elisabeth Sadoulet #22702 ( DEV) - Securing Property Rights
Edward L. Glaeser, Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto, and Andrei Shleifer #22701 ( LE POL) - What is the Added Value of Preschool? Long-term Impacts and Interactions with a Health Intervention
Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst #22700 ( CH HE PE) - House Valuations and Economic Growth: Some International Evidence
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, and Huanhuan Zheng #22699 ( IFM) - Teaching, Teachers Pensions and Retirement across Recent Cohorts of College Graduate Women
Maria D. Fitzpatrick #22698 ( AG LS) - Impediments to Financial Trade: Theory and Applications
Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas, and Jianfeng Yu #22697 ( AP) - Loan Product Steering in Mortgage Markets
Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David, and Douglas D. Evanoff #22696 ( CF) - Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk
Matthew Baron and Wei Xiong #22695 ( AP CF IFM ME) - Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis
Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis #22694 ( EFG IFM) - The Evolution of U.S. Monetary Policy: 2000 - 2007
Michael T. Belongia and Peter N. Ireland #22693 ( ME) - Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th Century Banks
Charles W. Calomiris and Matthew S. Jaremski #22692 ( CF DAE) - The Formation of Consumer Brand Preferences
Bart J. Bronnenberg and Jean-Pierre H. Dubé #22691 ( IO) - Economic Conditions and Mortality: Evidence from 200 Years of Data
David M. Cutler, Wei Huang, and Adriana Lleras-Muney #22690 ( AG HE LS PE) - The Impact of Medical Marijuana Laws on the Labor Supply and Health of Older Adults: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
Lauren Hersch Nicholas and Johanna Catherine Maclean #22688 ( HE) - The Impact of Intergenerational Transfers on Household Wealth Inequality in Japan and the United States
Yoko Niimi and Charles Yuji Horioka #22687 ( AG EFG PE) - Borrowing Requirements, Credit Access, and Adverse Selection: Evidence from Kenya
William Jack, Michael Kremer, Joost de Laat, and Tavneet Suri #22686 ( DEV) - Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Ownership, and Innovation: Evidence from China
Lily Fang, Josh Lerner, and Chaopeng Wu #22685 ( CF) - Do Savings Increase in Response to Salient Information about Retirement and Expected Pensions?
Mathias Dolls, Philipp Doerrenberg, Andreas Peichl, and Holger Stichnoth #22684 ( AG LS PE) - Hope as Aspirations, Agency, and Pathways: Poverty Dynamics and Microfinance in Oaxaca, Mexico
Travis J. Lybbert and Bruce Wydick #22661 ( DEV) - Do Grandparents and Great-Grandparents Matter? Multigenerational Mobility in the US, 1910-2013
Joseph Ferrie, Catherine Massey, and Jonathan Rothbaum #22635 ( DAE ED LS)
Week of September 26, 2016
- Occupational Choice in Early Industrializing Societies: Experimental Evidence on the Income and Health Effects of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Work
Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon #22683 ( DEV) - Child Poverty, the Great Recession, and the Social Safety Net in the United States
Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes, and Elira Kuka #22682 ( CH LS PE) - Measuring Effects of SNAP on Obesity at the Intensive Margin
Lorenzo N. Almada and Rusty Tchernis #22681 ( CH HE) - Understanding why black women are not working longer
Joanna Lahey #22680 ( AG DAE LS PE) - Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins
George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, Sarena Goodman, and Adam Isen #22679 ( ED) - Why Do Estimates of the EMU Effect On Trade Vary so Much?
Andrew K. Rose #22678 ( IFM) - Aggregate Recruiting Intensity
Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey, and Giovanni L. Violante #22677 ( EFG) - Globalization, Inequality and Welfare
Pol Antràs, Alonso de Gortari, and Oleg Itskhoki #22676 ( EFG ITI PE) - Quality Predictability and the Welfare Benefits from New Products: Evidence from the Digitization of Recorded Music
Luis Aguiar and Joel Waldfogel #22675 ( IO LE PR) - Taking Stock of the Evidence on Micro-Financial Interventions
Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Yongseok Shin #22674 ( DEV EFG) - Incentives and Ethics in the Economics of Body Parts
Nicola Lacetera #22673 ( HE PE) - Mismatch Unemployment and the Geography of Job Search
Ioana Marinescu and Roland Rathelot #22672 ( EFG LS) - Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Policy in Canada
Robert French and Philip Oreopoulos #22671 ( CH LS PE) - Can Cash Transfers Help Households Escape an Inter-Generational Poverty Trap?
M. Caridad Araujo, Mariano Bosch, and Norbert Schady #22670 ( DEV) - Is American Pet Health Care (Also) Uniquely Inefficient?
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Atul Gupta #22669 ( AG HC PE) - Public School Quality Valuation Over the Business Cycle
Stuart Gabriel, Owen Hearey, Matthew E. Kahn, and Ryan K. Vaughn #22668 ( CH ED) - The Rise and Nature of Alternative Work Arrangements in the United States, 1995-2015
Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger #22667 ( LS) - A Doctor Will See You Now: Physician-Patient Relationships and Clinical Decisions
Erin Johnson, M. Marit Rehavi, David C. Chan, Jr, and Daniela Carusi #22666 ( HC) - The Consequences of Long Term Unemployment: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data
Katharine G. Abraham, John C. Haltiwanger, Kristin Sandusky, and James Spletzer #22665 ( EFG LS) - A Simpler Theory of Optimal Capital Taxation
Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva #22664 ( PE) - Accounting for Business Cycles
Pedro Brinca, V. V. Chari, Patrick J. Kehoe, and Ellen McGrattan #22663 ( EFG IFM LS ME) - Surplus-Debt Regressions
Eric M. Leeper and Bing Li #22662 ( EFG) - Pay Now or Pay Later?: The Economics within the Private Equity Partnership
Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner #22660 ( CF) - To the New World and Back Again: Return Migrants in the Age of Mass Migration
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #22659 ( DAE LS)
Week of September 19, 2016
- Zoning and the Economic Geography of Cities
Allison Shertzer, Tate Twinam, and Randall P. Walsh #22658 ( EEE PE) - Coping with Change: International Differences in the Returns to Skills
Eric A. Hanushek, Guido Schwerdt, Simon Wiederhold, and Ludger Woessmann #22657 ( CH DEV ED EFG LS PE) - The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks
George J. Borjas and Joan Monras #22656 ( LS) - Quantitative Spatial Economics
Stephen J. Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #22655 ( ITI) - Underemployment in the Early Careers of College Graduates Following the Great Recession
Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz #22654 ( LS) - Long-Range Growth: Economic Development in the Global Network of Air Links
Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott #22653 ( DEV EFG ITI POL) - Two Centuries of Finance and Growth in the United States, 1790-1980
Howard Bodenhorn #22652 ( DAE) - National Income Accounting When Firms Insure Managers: Understanding Firm Size and Compensation Inequality.
Barney Hartman-Glaser, Hanno Lustig, and Mindy X. Zhang #22651 ( AP CF EFG) - China Pro-Growth Monetary Policy and Its Asymmetric Transmission
Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #22650 ( EFG IFM ME POL) - Product Switching and the Business Cycle
Andrew B. Bernard and Toshihiro Okubo #22649 ( EFG IO ITI PR) - Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment
Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, and Magne Mogstad #22648 ( LE LS PE) - Better, Faster, Stronger: Global Innovation and Trade Liberalization
Federica Coelli, Andreas Moxnes, and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe #22647 ( ITI) - Nonlinear Tax Incidence and Optimal Taxation in General Equilibrium
Dominik Sachs, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Nicolas Werquin #22646 ( EFG PE) - International Banking and Cross-border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from the United States
Jose Berrospide, Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg, and Friederike Niepmann #22645 ( IFM ME) - Preferences for Equality in Environmental Outcomes
Maureen Cropper, Alan Krupnick, and William Raich #22644 ( EEE) - Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment
Charles F. Manski #22643 ( HC TWP) - Deriving Risk Adjustment Payment Weights to Maximize Efficiency of Health Insurance Markets
Timothy J. Layton, Thomas G. McGuire, and Richard C. van Kleef #22642 ( HC HE) - Title IX and the Spatial Content of Female Employment—Out of the Lab and into the Labor Market
Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson #22641 ( ED LS) - The Role of Information and Cash Transfers on Early Childhood Development: Evidence from Nepal
Michael Levere, Gayatri Acharya, and Prashant Bharadwaj #22640 ( CH DEV) - Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World
Vladimir Asriyan, Luca Fornaro, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura #22639 ( EFG ME) - How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel
Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, and Christopher Palmer #22638 ( AP CF EFG ME PE) - Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure
David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, and Kaveh Majlesi #22637 ( ITI LS POL) - Trade and the Environment: New Methods, Measurements, and Results
Jevan Cherniwchan, Brian R. Copeland, and M. Scott Taylor #22636 ( EEE ITI) - Incentive Fees and Competition in Pension Funds: Evidence from a Regulatory Experiment
Assaf Hamdani, Eugene Kandel, Yevgeny Mugerman, and Yishay Yafeh #22634 ( AG AP LE) - Research and Impacts of Digital Financial Services
Dean Karlan, Jake Kendall, Rebecca Mann, Rohini Pande, Tavneet Suri, and Jonathan Zinman #22633 ( DEV LE) - How You Pay Affects How You Do: Financial Aid Type and Student Performance in College
Peter Cappelli and Shinjae Won #22604 ( ED LS)
Week of September 12, 2016
- Efficiency-Morality Trade-Offs in Repugnant Transactions: A Choice Experiment
Julio J. Elias, Nicola Lacetera, and Mario Macis #22632 ( HE LE PE) - Technological Leadership (de)Concentration: Causes in ICTE
Yasin Ozcan and Shane Greenstein #22631 ( IO PR) - Student Coaching: How Far Can Technology Go?
Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic #22630 ( CH ED LS) - Thrivers and Divers: Using Non-Academic Measures to Predict College Success and Failure
Graham Beattie, Jean-William P. Laliberté, and Philip Oreopoulos #22629 ( CH ED LS) - Heterogeneous Impact Dynamics of a Rural Business Development Program in Nicaragua
Michael R. Carter, Emilia Tjernström, and Patricia Toledo #22628 ( DEV) - Using Big Data to Estimate Consumer Surplus: The Case of Uber
Peter Cohen, Robert Hahn, Jonathan Hall, Steven Levitt, and Robert Metcalfe #22627 ( IO LS PE) - Heterogeneous Wealth Dynamics: On the Roles of Risk and Ability
Paulo Santos and Christopher B. Barrett #22626 ( DEV) - The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer
Marco Di Maggio and Amir Kermani #22625 ( EFG LS PE) - Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and the Dynamic Response to Shocks
Jean-Paul Chavas #22624 ( PR) - High-Skilled Immigration and the Rise of STEM Occupations in U.S. Employment
Gordon H. Hanson and Matthew J. Slaughter #22623 ( ITI LS) - Is The Mediterranean The New Rio Grande? US And EU Immigration Pressures In The Long Run
Gordon Hanson and Craig McIntosh #22622 ( DEV ITI LS) - A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models
Francis DiTraglia and Camilo García-Jimeno #22621 ( DEV HC LS PE POL) - Financial Risk Protection from Social Health Insurance
Kayleigh Barnes, Arnab Mukherji, Patrick Mullen, and Neeraj Sood #22620 ( DEV HC HE PE) - Mobile Collateral versus Immobile Collateral
Gary Gorton and Tyler Muir #22619 ( AP CF DAE EFG ME) - Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Hélène Rey #22618 ( AP EFG IFM) - The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives
Daron Acemoglu, Leopoldo Fergusson, James A. Robinson, Dario Romero, and Juan F. Vargas #22617 ( POL) - Designing Online Marketplaces: Trust and Reputation Mechanisms
Michael Luca #22616 ( IO LE LS PR) - Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility
Francis X. Diebold, Frank Schorfheide, and Minchul Shin #22615 ( AP EFG IFM) - Debt Constraints and Employment
Patrick Kehoe, Elena Pastorino, and Virgiliu Midrigan #22614 ( AP EFG IFM LS ME) - Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets
Carlos Garriga, Finn E. Kydland, and Roman Šustek #22613 ( ME) - Firm Age and Size and the Financial Management of Infrequent Shocks
Benjamin L. Collier, Andrew F. Haughwout, Howard C. Kunreuther, Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan, and Michael A. Stewart #22612 ( PE)
Week of September 5, 2016
- Emotional Judges and Unlucky Juveniles
Ozkan Eren and Naci Mocan #22611 ( CH HE LE LS) - Substance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crime
Samuel R. Bondurant, Jason M. Lindo, and Isaac D. Swensen #22610 ( HC HE PE) - The Welfare Cost of Retirement Uncertainty
Frank N. Caliendo, Maria Casanova, Aspen Gorry, and Sita Slavov #22609 ( AG) - Informal Labor and the Efficiency Cost of Social Programs: Evidence from the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Program
François Gerard and Gustavo Gonzaga #22608 ( PE) - Women Working Longer: Facts and Some Explanations
Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz #22607 ( DAE LS) - Older Womens Labor Market Attachment, Retirement Planning, and Household Debt
Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia S. Mitchell #22606 ( AG LS PE) - Can Myopic Loss Aversion Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle? Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment with Professional Traders
Francis Larson, John A. List, and Robert D. Metcalfe #22605 ( AP) - Labour Market Regulations and Capital Intensity
Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, and Jacques Mairesse #22603 ( PR) - Certified Random: A New Order for Co-Authorship
Debraj Ray and Arthur Robson #22602 ( DEV HC IO LS ME PE POL PR) - Migration as a Test of the Happiness Set Point Hypothesis: Evidence from Immigration to Canada
John F. Helliwell, Aneta Bonikowska, and Hugh Shiplett #22601 ( DEV LS PE POL) - Hospital Network Competition and Adverse Selection: Evidence from the Massachusetts Health Insurance Exchange
Mark Shepard #22600 ( HC IO PE) - Optimal Monetary Policy in a Collateralized Economy
Gary Gorton and Ping He #22599 ( AP CF EFG ME) - Strategic Patient Discharge: The Case of Long-Term Care Hospitals
Paul J. Eliason, Paul L. E. Grieco, Ryan C. McDevitt, and James W. Roberts #22598 ( HC HE IO) - Executive Lawyers: Gatekeepers or Strategic Officers?
Adair Morse, Wei Wang, and Serena Wu #22597 ( CF LE) - Seeding the S-Curve? The Role of Early Adopters in Diffusion
Christian Catalini and Catherine Tucker #22596 ( PR) - Understanding and Misunderstanding Randomized Controlled Trials
Angus Deaton and Nancy Cartwright #22595 ( AG DEV HC HE LS) - Financial Safety Nets
Julien Bengui, Javier Bianchi, and Louphou Coulibaly #22594 ( CF EFG IFM ME) - Misreporting Trade: Tariff Evasion, Corruption, and Auditing Standards
Derek Kellenberg and Arik Levinson #22593 ( ITI) - Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy
Wenxin Du, Carolin E. Pflueger, and Jesse Schreger #22592 ( AP IFM) - Migration Responses to Conflict: Evidence from the Border of the American Civil War
Shari Eli, Laura Salisbury, and Allison Shertzer #22591 ( DAE DEV LS) - The U.S. Economy in WWII as a Model for Coping with Climate Change
Hugh Rockoff #22590 ( DAE) - The Efficiency of Race-Neutral Alternatives to Race-Based Affirmative Action: Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools
Glenn Ellison and Parag A. Pathak #22589 ( ED LE LS PE) - Electoral reciprocity in programmatic redistribution: Experimental Evidence
Sebastian Galiani, Nadya Hajj, Pablo Ibarraran, Nandita Krishnaswamy, and Patrick J. McEwan #22588 ( DEV) - How Do Venture Capitalists Make Decisions?
Paul Gompers, William Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ilya A. Strebulaev #22587 ( CF) - Love, Money, and Parental Goods: Does Parental Matchmaking Matter?
Fali Huang, Ginger Zhe Jin, and Lixin Colin Xu #22586 ( IO) - Social Experiments in the Labor Market
Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter #22585 ( LS PE) - Buying Reputation as a Signal of Quality: Evidence from an Online Marketplace
Lingfang (Ivy) Li, Steven Tadelis, and Xiaolan Zhou #22584 ( IO) - A Lesson from the Great Depression that the Fed Might have Learned: A Comparison of the 1932 Open Market Purchases with Quantitative Easing
Michael Bordo and Arunima Sinha #22581 ( DAE ME)
Weekl of August 29, 2016
- Estimating the Value of Public Insurance Using Complementary Private Insurance
Marika Cabral and Mark R. Cullen #22583 ( AG HC HE LS PE) - Direct-to-Consumer Advertising and Online Search
Matthew Chesnes and Ginger Zhe Jin #22582 ( IO) - The Lifecycle of the 47%
Don Fullerton and Nirupama S. Rao #22580 ( PE) - The Derivation of Discount Rates with an Augmented Measure of Income.
Nicholas Z. Muller #22579 ( EEE) - Do Minimum Wage Increases Influence Worker Health?
Brady P. Horn, Joanna Catherine Maclean, and Michael R. Strain #22578 ( HE LS) - Relative Tax Rates, Proximity and Cigarette Tax Noncompliance: Evidence from a National Sample of Littered Cigarette Packs
Shu Wang, David Merriman, and Frank J. Chaloupka #22577 ( HE PE) - The Complexity of Liquidity: The Extraordinary Case of Sovereign Bonds
Jacob Boudoukh, Jordan Brooks, Matthew Richardson, and Zhikai Xu #22576 ( AP IFM) - Identifying and Estimating Neighborhood Effects
Bryan S. Graham #22575 ( LS PE TWP) - Financial Aid, Debt Management, and Socioeconomic Outcomes: Post-College Effects of Merit-Based Aid
Judith Scott-Clayton and Basit Zafar #22574 ( ED LS) - From Science to Technology: The Value of Knowledge From Different Energy Research Institutions
David Popp #22573 ( EEE PR) - Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation: Evidence From a Markov-Switching cay
Francesco Bianchi, Martin Lettau, and Sydney C. Ludvigson #22572 ( AP EFG ME) - A Time to Make Laws and a Time to Fundraise? On the Relation between Salaries and Time Use for State Politicians
Mitchell Hoffman and Elizabeth Lyons #22571 ( LE LS PE POL PR) - The Political Economy of Debt and Entitlements
Laurent Bouton, Alessandro Lizzeri, and Nicola Persico #22570 ( POL) - Imputation in U.S. Manufacturing Data and Its Implications for Productivity Dispersion
T. Kirk White, Jerome P. Reiter, and Amil Petrin #22569 ( IO PR) - Legal Access to Alcohol and Criminality
Benjamin Hansen and Glen R. Waddell #22568 ( HE PE) - Israel and the 1990-2015 Global Developments: Riding with the Global Flows and Weathering the Storms
Assaf Razin and Steven Rosefielde #22567 ( IFM) - Predicting Experimental Results: Who Knows What?
Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope #22566 ( DEV ED HC LS PE PR) - Exclusion Bias in the Estimation of Peer Effects
Bet Caeyers and Marcel Fafchamps #22565 ( DEV ED) - The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefits: New Evidence and Interpretation
Johannes F. Schmieder and Till von Wachter #22564 ( IFM LS PE) - The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure
Francesco DAcunto, Daniel Hoang, and Michael Weber #22563 ( AP CF IFM ME PE) - Healthy-Time Measures of Health Outcomes and Healthcare Quality
Marguerite Burns and John Mullahy #22562 ( HC HE) - The Effects of the Early Retirement Age on Retirement Decisions
Dayanand S. Manoli and Andrea Weber #22561 ( AG PE) - Africas Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend
David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner #22560 ( DEV) - Match or Mismatch? Automatic Admissions and College Preferences of Low- and High-Income Students
Jane Arnold Lincove and Kalena E. Cortes #22559 ( CH ED LS) - Do Low Levels of Blood Lead Reduce Children's Future Test Scores?
Anna Aizer, Janet Currie, Peter Simon, and Patrick Vivier #22558 ( CH ED EEE HE LS PE) - The Economic Consequences of the 1953 London Debt Agreement
Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Martin McKee, Christopher M. Meissner, and David Stuckler #22557 ( DAE IFM ME) - Social Capital, Trust and Well-being in the Evaluation of Wealth
Kirk Hamilton, John F. Helliwell, and Michael Woolcock #22556 ( AP DEV PE) - The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth
Canyon Bosler, Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, and Bart Hobijn #22555 ( EFG LS PR) - Smoke Gets in Your Eyes: Medical Marijuana Laws and Tobacco Use
Anna Choi, Dhaval Dave, and Joseph J. Sabia #22554 ( HC HE LE) - Who Should Own and Control Urban Water Systems? Historical Evidence from England and Wales
Brian Beach, Werner Troesken, and Nicola Tynan #22553 ( DAE HE PE) - What Goes on Under the Hood? How Engineers Innovate in the Automotive Supply Chain
Susan Helper and Jennifer Kuan #22552 ( PR)
Week of August 22, 2016
- How Rigged Are Stock Markets?: Evidence From Microsecond Timestamps
Robert P. Bartlett, III and Justin McCrary #22551 ( AP CF LE) - Technology and Production Fragmentation: Domestic versus Foreign Sourcing
Teresa C. Fort #22550 ( ITI) - Born with a Silver Spoon? Danish Evidence on Wealth Inequality in Childhood
Simon Halphen Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Claus Thustrup Kreiner #22549 ( CH LS PE) - Does Organizational Form Drive Competition? Evidence from Coffee Retailing
Brian Adams, Joshua Gans, Richard Hayes, and Ryan Lampe #22548 ( IO PR) - Measuring Institutional Investors’ Skill from Their Investments in Private Equity
Daniel R. Cavagnaro, Berk A. Sensoy, Yingdi Wang, and Michael S. Weisbach #22547 ( AP CF) - Heterogeneous Frictional Costs Across Industries in Cross-border Mergers and Acquisitions
Bruce A. Blonigen and Donghyun Lee #22546 ( ITI) - Attention Variation and Welfare: Theory and Evidence from a Tax Salience Experiment
Dmitry Taubinsky and Alex Rees-Jones #22545 ( PE) - Geographic Diversification and Banks’ Funding Costs
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #22544 ( CF) - Human Capital Investments and Expectations about Career and Family
Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar #22543 ( ED LS) - Are Publicly Insured Children Less Likely to be Admitted to Hospital than the Privately Insured (and Does it Matter)?
Diane Alexander and Janet Currie #22542 ( CH HC HE) - Long-Term Orientation and Educational Performance
David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Umut Özek, and Paola Sapienza #22541 ( CH ED LS POL) - Employment Effects of the ACA Medicaid Expansions
Pauline Leung and Alexandre Mas #22540 ( LS PE) - Estimating Currency Misalignment Using the Penn Effect: It’s Not as Simple As It Looks
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn, and Xin Nong #22539 ( IFM) - The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect
Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Margaret Kyle, and Heidi Williams #22538 ( IFM ITI) - The Impact of Removing Tax Preferences for U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Productioeasuring Tax Subsidies by an Equivalent Price Impact Approach
Gilbert E. Metcalf #22537 ( EEE PE) - Estimating Path Dependence in Energy Transitions
Kyle C. Meng #22536 ( DAE EEE EFG PE) - From Chronic Inflation to Chronic Deflation: Focusing on Expectations and Liquidity Disarray Since WWII
Guillermo A. Calvo #22535 ( IFM ME) - The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor
Simone Schaner #22534 ( DEV) - The I Theory of Money
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22533 ( AP CF EFG IFM ME) - Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas
Richard G. Newell, Brian C. Prest, and Ashley Vissing #22532 ( EEE IO) - Early Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Federal Disability Program Participation
Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li #22531 ( HE) - The Pros and Cons of Sick Pay Schemes: Testing for Contagious Presenteeism and Noncontagious Absenteeism Behavior
Stefan Pichler and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #22530 ( AG HC HE LS PE) - Price of Long-Run Temperature Shifts in Capital Markets
Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku, and Marcelo Ochoa #22529 ( AP EEE EFG) - Unintended Consequences of Rewards for Student Attendance: Results from a Field Experiment in Indian Classrooms
Sujata Visaria, Rajeev Dehejia, Melody M. Chao, and Anirban Mukhopadhyay #22528 ( CH DEV ED) - Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium
Hengjie Ai and Ravi Bansal #22527 ( AP EFG ME) - How Do Voters Matter? Evidence from US Congressional Redistricting
Daniel B. Jones and Randall Walsh #22526 ( LE PE POL) - What Would it Take to Reduce US Greenhouse Gas Emissions 80% by 2050?
Geoffrey Heal #22525 ( EEE) - Collective Intertemporal Choice: the Possibility of Time Consistency
Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal #22524 ( EEE PE POL) - Immunization and Moral Hazard: The HPV Vaccine and Uptake of Cancer Screening
Ali Moghtaderi and Avi Dor #22523 ( HE) - Can Natural Gas Save Lives? Evidence from the Deployment of a Fuel Delivery System in a Developing Country
Resul Cesur, Erdal Tekin, and Aydogan Ulker #22522 ( DEV EEE HE) - The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Care - A Selected Literature Review
Bjorn Lindgren #22521 ( HE) - Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns
Michael Weber #22520 ( AP) - Marketplace Plan Payment Options for Dealing with High-Cost Enrollees
Timothy J. Layton and Thomas G. McGuire #22519 ( HC HE) - The Marginal Propensity to Consume Over the Business Cycle
Tal Gross, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Jialan Wang #22518 ( LE) - Family Descent as a Signal of Managerial Quality: Evidence from Mutual Funds
Oleg Chuprinin and Denis Sosyura #22517 ( LS) - Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance
Francis X. Diebold and Minchul Shin #22516 ( AP EFG) - Do Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities Provide Better Post-Acute Care Quality?
Momotazur Rahman, Edward C. Norton, and David C. Grabowski #22515 ( AG HC HE) - The Opportunity Costs of Entrepreneurs in International Trade
Timothy J. Kehoe, Pau S. Pujolas, and Kim J. Ruhl #22514 ( EFG ITI) - Life-Cycle Consumption Patterns at Older Ages in the US and the UK: Can Medical Expenditures Explain the Difference?
James Banks, Richard Blundell, Peter Levell, and James P. Smith #22513 ( AG) - Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work
Erling Barth, James Davis, and Richard B. Freeman #22512 ( LS) - The Effects of School Desegregation on Mixed-Race Births
Nora Gordon and Sarah Reber #22480 ( ED)
Week of August 15, 2016
- The Effects of Pre-Trial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges
Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal Yang #22511 ( LE LS PE) - Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation
Marc Dordal-i-Carreras, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Johannes Wieland #22510 ( EFG ME) - Optimal Domestic (and External) Sovereign Default
Pablo D'Erasmo and Enrique G. Mendoza #22509 ( IFM) - Opening the Black Box of the Matching Function: the Power of Words
Ioana Marinescu and Ronald Wolthoff #22508 ( LS) - The Consequences of Spatially Differentiated Water Pollution Regulation in China
Zhao Chen, Matthew E. Kahn, Yu Liu, and Zhi Wang #22507 ( EEE PE) - On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador
Craig Benedict, Mario J. Crucini, and Anthony Landry #22506 ( IFM ME) - The Elusive Costs of Inflation: Price Dispersion during the U.S. Great Inflation
Emi Nakamura, Jón Steinsson, Patrick Sun, and Daniel Villar #22505 ( EFG ME) - Taking the Measure of a Fatal Drug Epidemic
Christopher J. Ruhm #22504 ( HC HE PE) - Designing Nonlinear Price Schedules for Urban Water Utilities to Balance Revenue and Conservation Goals
Frank A. Wolak #22503 ( EEE IO) - Charter Schools and Labor Market Outcomes
Will S. Dobbie and Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22502 ( CH ED LS PE) - The Economic Impact of Universities: Evidence from Across the Globe
Anna Valero and John Van Reenen #22501 ( ED LS) - Venture Capital Data: Opportunities and Challenges
Steven N. Kaplan and Josh Lerner #22500 ( CF PR)
Week of August 8, 2016
- Analyzing the Impact of the Worldâs Largest Public Works Project on Crime
Satadru Das and Naci Mocan #22499 ( HE LE LS PE) - Union Army Veterans, All Grown Up
Dora L. Costa, Heather DeSomer, Eric Hanss, Christopher Roudiez, Sven E. Wilson, and Noelle Yetter #22497 ( AG DAE LS) - Wage Flexibility and Employment Fluctuations: Evidence from the Housing Sector
Jörn-Steffen Pischke #22496 ( EFG LS) - Does Rosie Like Riveting? Male and Female Occupational Choices
Grace Lordan and Jörn-Steffen Pischke #22495 ( LS) - Level versus Variability Trade-offs in Wind and Solar Generation Investments: The Case of California
Frank A. Wolak #22494 ( EEE IO) - Do Private Equity Funds Manipulate Reported Returns?
Gregory W. Brown, Oleg R. Gredil, and Steven N. Kaplan #22493 ( CF) - Why Does Idiosyncratic Risk Increase with Market Risk?
Söhnke M. Bartram, Gregory Brown, and René M. Stulz #22492 ( AP) - The Morale Effects of Pay Inequality
Emily Breza, Supreet Kaur, and Yogita Shamdasani #22491 ( DEV LS) - Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty
Cosmin L. Ilut, Rosen Valchev, and Nicolas Vincent #22490 ( EFG IO ME) - Understanding the Gains from Wage Flexibility: The Exchange Rate Connection
Jordi Galà and Tommaso Monacelli #22489 ( EFG IFM ME) - Gender Differences in Cooperative Environments? Evidence from the U.S. Congress
Stefano Gagliarducci and M. Daniele Paserman #22488 ( LS POL) - Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness
Steven D. Levitt #22487 ( LE LS PE) - Peer Information and Risk-taking under Competitive and Non-competitive Pay Schemes
Philip Brookins, Jennifer Brown, and Dmitry Ryvkin #22486 ( IO) - Macro-Finance
John H. Cochrane #22485 ( AP EFG) - Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale
Konstantin Kucheryavyy, Gary Lyn, and Andrés RodrÃguez-Clare #22484 ( ITI) - Start-up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland
Felipe González, Guillermo Marshall, and Suresh Naidu #22483 ( DAE) - The Deregularization of Land Titles
Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky #22482 ( DEV) - Is Optimal Capital-Control Policy Countercyclical In Open-Economy Models With Collateral Constraints?
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and MartÃn Uribe #22481 ( EFG IFM) - A Unified Approach to Estimating Demand and Welfare
Stephen J. Redding and David E. Weinstein #22479 ( ITI) - The Evolution of Physician Practice Styles: Evidence from Cardiologist Migration
David Molitor #22478 ( HC HE) - Analyst Promotions within Credit Rating Agencies: Accuracy or Bias?
Darren J. Kisgen, Matthew Osborn, and Jonathan Reuter #22477 ( CF) - The FinTech Opportunity
Thomas Philippon #22476 ( AP CF EFG)
Week of August 1, 2016
- International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand
Luca Benati, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Juan Pablo Nicolini, and Warren Weber #22475 ( EFG ME) - The Gap within the Gap: Using Longitudinal Data to Understand Income Differences in Student Achievement
Katherine Michelmore and Susan Dynarski #22474 ( CH ED) - Depreciation of Business R&D Capital
Wendy C.Y. Li and Bronwyn H. Hall #22473 ( EFG IO PR) - Dynamic Effects of Teacher Turnover on the Quality of Instruction
Eric A. Hanushek, Steven G. Rivkin, and Jeffrey C. Schiman #22472 ( CH ED LS PE) - Tobacco Regulation and Cost-Benefit Analysis: How Should We Value Foregone Consumer Surplus?
Helen Levy, Edward C. Norton, and Jeffrey A. Smith #22471 ( HC HE) - Cognitive Performance and Labor Market Outcomes
Dajun Lin, Randall Lutter, and Christopher J. Ruhm #22470 ( LS PE) - Does “Ban the Box” Help or Hurt Low-Skilled Workers? Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories are Hidden
Jennifer L. Doleac and Benjamin Hansen #22469 ( LS) - External and Internal Validity of a Geographic Quasi-Experiment Embedded in Cluster-Randomized Experiment
Sebastian Galiani, Patrick J. McEwan, and Brian Quistorff #22468 ( DEV) - Buffering Volatility: A Study on the Limits of Germany’s Energy Revolution
Hans-Werner Sinn #22467 ( PE) - The Holders and Issuers of International Portfolio Securities
Vahagn Galstyan, Philip R. Lane, Caroline Mehigan, and Rogelio Mercado #22466 ( IFM) - The Scandinavian Fantasy: The Sources of Intergenerational Mobility in Denmark and the U.S.
Rasmus Landersø and James J. Heckman #22465 ( CH ED HC HE POL) - Does Disease Cause Vaccination? Disease Outbreaks and Vaccination Response
Emily Oster #22464 ( CH HC HE) - Banking the Unbanked? Evidence From Three Countries
Pascaline Dupas, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Robinson, and Diego Ubfal #22463 ( DEV LE LS) - Popular Acceptance of Inequality due to Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-Based Taxation
Matthew Weinzierl #22462 ( PE) - Taking Orders and Taking Notes: Dealer Information Sharing in Treasury Markets
Nina Boyarchenko, David O. Lucca, and Laura Veldkamp #22461 ( AP EFG) - Trends and Cycles in Small Open Economies: Making The Case For A General Equilibrium Approach
Kan Chen and Mario Crucini #22460 ( EFG IFM) - Economic Conditions and Children's Mental Health
Ezra Golberstein, Gilbert Gonzales, and Ellen Meara #22459 ( CH HC HE) - On the Distribution of the Welfare Losses of Large Recessions
Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman, and Fabrizio Perri #22458 ( EFG LS ME PE) - Efficiency of Flexible Budgetary Institutions
T. Renee Bowen, Ying Chen, Hülya K. Eraslan, and Jan Zápal #22457 ( PE POL) - The Effect of Occupational Licensing on Consumer Welfare: Early Midwifery Laws and Maternal Mortality
D. Mark Anderson, Ryan Brown, Kerwin Kofi Charles, and Daniel I. Rees #22456 ( CH HE LS) - Measuring Time Preferences
Jonathan D. Cohen, Keith Marzilli Ericson, David Laibson, and John Myles White #22455 ( AG PE)
Week of July 25, 2016
- Bridging the Gap: Do Fast Reacting Fossil Technologies Facilitate Renewable Energy Diffusion?
Elena Verdolini, Francesco Vona, and David Popp #22454 ( EEE) - Education, Participation, and the Revival of U.S. Economic Growth
Dale W. Jorgenson, Mun S. Ho, and Jon D. Samuels #22453 ( EFG) - The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force and Productivity
Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen, and David Powell #22452 ( AG EFG LS PE PR) - Heterogeneity and Unemployment Dynamics
Hie Joo Ahn and James D. Hamilton #22451 ( EFG LS ME) - New Evidence on Trust and Well-being
John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang, and Shun Wang #22450 ( HC PE POL) - External Validity in a Stochastic World
Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry #22449 ( DEV) - Bringing Real Market Participants' Real Preferences into the Lab: An Experiment that Changed the Course Allocation Mechanism at Wharton
Eric Budish and Judd B. Kessler #22448 ( IO) - The General Equilibrium Impacts of Unemployment Insurance: Evidence from a Large Online Job Board
Ioana Marinescu #22447 ( LS PE) - Experimenting with Entrepreneurship: The Effect of Job-Protected Leave
Joshua D. Gottlieb, Richard R. Townsend, and Ting Xu #22446 ( CF LS PE PR) - How Japan and the US Can Reduce the Stress of Aging
Claudia Goldin #22445 ( AG DAE LS) - Fire-Sale Externalities
Eduardo Dávila and Anton Korinek #22444 ( AP CF EFG IFM) - Do Government Audits Reduce Corruption? Estimating the Impacts of Exposing Corrupt Politicians
Eric Avis, Claudio Ferraz, and Frederico Finan #22443 ( DEV PE POL) - Estimating the Technology of Children's Skill Formation
Francesco Agostinelli and Matthew Wiswall #22442 ( CH) - Identification of Dynamic Latent Factor Models: The Implications of Re-Normalization in a Model of Child Development
Francesco Agostinelli and Matthew Wiswall #22441 ( CH) - Demand Heterogeneity in Insurance Markets: Implications for Equity and Efficiency
Michael Geruso #22440 ( AG HC HE PE) - Estimation of a Roy/Search/Compensating Differential Model of the Labor Market
Christopher Taber and Rune Vejlin #22439 ( LS) - Time Discounting and Economic Decision-making Among the Elderly
David Huffman, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #22438 ( AG) - Production Function Estimation with Measurement Error in Inputs
Allan Collard-Wexler and Jan De Loecker #22437 ( IO ITI PR) - The Labor Market Effects of Credit Market Information
Marieke Bos, Emily Breza, and Andres Liberman #22436 ( CF LS) - CEO Personality and Firm Policies
Ian D. Gow, Steven N. Kaplan, David F. Larcker, and Anastasia A. Zakolyukina #22435 ( CF LS) - The Measurement of Student Ability in Modern Assessment Systems
Brian Jacob and Jesse Rothstein #22434 ( ED LS) - Product Mix and Firm Productivity Responses to Trade Competition
Thierry Mayer, Marc J. Melitz, and Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano #22433 ( ITI PR) - Weathering the Great Recession: Variation in Employment Responses by Establishments and Countries
Erling Barth, James Davis, Richard B. Freeman, and Sari Pekkala Kerr #22432 ( EFG LS) - Monetary Policy with 100 Percent Reserve Banking: An Exploration
Edward C. Prescott and Ryan Wessel #22431 ( ME) - Disentangling the Contemporaneous and Dynamic Effects of Human and Health Capital on Wages over the Life Cycle
Donna B. Gilleskie, Euna Han, and Edward C. Norton #22430 ( HC HE) - The Inner Workings of the Patient Centered Medical Home Model
Guy David, Philip A. Saynisch, and Aaron Smith-McLallen #22429 ( HC HE) - Taking the Leap: The Determinants of Entrepreneurs Hiring their First Employee
Robert W. Fairlie and Javier Miranda #22428 ( PR) - First Cabin Fares from New York to the British Isles, 1826-1914
Brandon Dupont, Drew Keeling, and Thomas Weiss #22426 ( DAE)
Week of July 18, 2016
- The Empirical Economics of Online Attention
Andre Boik, Shane Greenstein, and Jeffrey Prince #22427 ( IO PR) - Estimating Local Fiscal Multipliers
Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Philippe Wingender #22425 ( EFG PE) - Distributional Effects of Means Testing Social Security: Income Versus Wealth
Alan Gustman, Thomas Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22424 ( AG LS PE) - Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Matt Taddy #22423 ( POL) - RBC Methodology and the Development of Aggregate Economic Theory
Edward C. Prescott #22422 ( EFG) - Finders, Keepers?
Niko Jaakkola, Daniel Spiro, and Arthur A. van Benthem #22421 ( EEE POL) - Can Paying Firms Quicker Affect Aggregate Employment?
Jean-Noel Barrot and Ramana Nanda #22420 ( CF LS PE PR) - Disability Benefit Generosity and Labor Force Withdrawal
Kathleen Mullen and Stefan Staubli #22419 ( AG HE LS PE) - The New Keynesian Transmission Mechanism: A Heterogenous-Agent Perspective
Tobias Broer, Niels-Jakob H. Hansen, Per Krusell, and Erik Ãberg #22418 ( ME) - Bride Price and Female Education
Nava Ashraf, Natalie Bau, Nathan Nunn, and Alessandra Voena #22417 ( ED PE) - Long-Run Risk is the Worst-Case Scenario
Rhys Bidder and Ian Dew-Becker #22416 ( AP EFG) - QE in the future: the central bankâs balance sheet in a fiscal crisis
Ricardo Reis #22415 ( ME) - Buyout Activity: The Impact of Aggregate Discount Rates
Valentin Haddad, Erik Loualiche, and Matthew Plosser #22414 ( AP CF) - A Forward Looking Ricardian Approach: Do Land Markets Capitalize Climate Change Forecasts?
Christopher Severen, Christopher Costello, and Olivier Deschenes #22413 ( EEE) - The Impact of Pre-marital Sex Ratios on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited
Charles Yuji Horioka and Akiko Terada-Hagiwara #22412 ( DEV EFG) - Potential Unemployment Insurance Duration and Labor Supply: The Individual and Market-Level Response to a Benefit Cut
Andrew C. Johnston and Alexandre Mas #22411 ( EFG LS PE) - The Fed and Lehman Brothers: Introduction and Summary
Laurence Ball #22410 ( ME) - Curse of Anonymity or Tyranny of Distance? The Impacts of Job-Search Support in Urban Ethiopia
Girum Abebe, Stefano Caria, Marcel Fafchamps, Paolo Falco, Simon Franklin, and Simon Quinn #22409 ( DEV LS) - Optimal Tax Administration
Michael Keen and Joel Slemrod #22408 ( PE) - CEO Pay and the rise of Relative Performance Contracts: A Question of Governance?
Brian Bell and John Van Reenen #22407 ( CF LS) - The Political Economy of Public Debt: A Laboratory Study
Marco Battaglini, Salvatore Nunnari, and Thomas R. Palfrey #22406 ( POL) - Do tax Incentives for Research Increase Firm Innovation? An RD Design for R&D
Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Elias Einiö, Ralf Martin, Kieu-Trang Nguyen, and John Van Reenen #22405 ( PR) - Persistent Social Networks: Civil War Veterans who Fought Together Co-Locate in Later Life
Dora L. Costa, Matthew E. Kahn, Christopher Roudiez, and Sven Wilson #22397 ( AG DAE HE) - No Pain, No Gain: The Effects of Exports on Effort, Injury, and Illness
David Hummels, Jakob Munch, and Chong Xiang #22365 ( HE ITI LS)
Weekly papers released by July 11, 2016
- The Liquidity Cost of Private Equity Investments: Evidence from Secondary Market Transactions
Taylor D. Nadauld, Berk A. Sensoy, Keith Vorkink, and Michael S. Weisbach #22404 ( AP CF) - Do Disaster Experience and Knowledge Affect Insurance Take-up Decisions?
Jing Cai and Changcheng Song #22403 ( DEV) - Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
Patrick Higgins, Tao Zha, and Karen Zhong #22402 ( EFG ME) - Hit or Miss? Test Taking Behavior in Multiple Choice Exams
Å. Pelin Akyol, James Key, and Kala Krishna #22401 ( ED) - What Do Performance Appraisals Do?
Peter Cappelli and Martin Conyon #22400 ( LS) - An Empirical Analysis of Racial Differences in Police Use of Force
Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22399 ( LE LS POL) - Simplifying Teaching: A Field Experiment with Online "Off-the-Shelf" Lessons
C. Kirabo Jackson and Alexey Makarin #22398 ( CH ED LS PE PR) - Redistribution of Local Demand Shocks through Firms' Internal Networks
Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller #22396 ( CF EFG LS) - Nation Building Through Foreign Intervention: Evidence from Discontinuities in Military Strategies
Melissa Dell and Pablo Querubin #22395 ( DAE DEV POL) - The Effects of Aggregate and Gender-Specific Labor Demand Shocks on Child Health
Marianne Page, Jessamyn Schaller, and David Simon #22394 ( CH LS) - The Effect of Vietnam-Era Conscription and Genetic Potential for Educational Attainment on Schooling Outcomes
Lauren L. Schmitz and Dalton Conley #22393 ( CH ED HE) - The Gift of Moving: Intergenerational Consequences of a Mobility Shock
Emi Nakamura, Jósef Sigurdsson, and Jón Steinsson #22392 ( DEV EFG LS) - Liquidity Transformation in Asset Management: Evidence from the Cash Holdings of Mutual Funds
Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam #22391 ( AP CF) - What Can We Learn from Charter School Lotteries?
Julia Chabrier, Sarah Cohodes, and Philip Oreopoulos #22390 ( CH ED LS) - Dynamic Effects of Co-Ethnic Networks on Immigrants' Economic Success
Michele Battisti, Giovanni Peri, and Agnese Romiti #22389 ( LS) - Currency Wars, Coordination, and Capital Controls
Olivier Blanchard #22388 ( EFG IFM) - A Test of Adverse Selection in the Market for Experienced Workers
Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein #22387 ( LS) - The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments
John J. Horton and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22386 ( IO LS PR) - Immigrant Entrepreneurship
Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #22385 ( LS PR) - The Common Origin of Uncertainty Shocks
Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Anna Orlik, and Laura Veldkamp #22384 ( AP EFG ME) - The Effects of Mentor Quality, Exposure, and Type on Junior Officer Retention in the United States Army
Susan Payne Carter, Whitney Dudley, David S. Lyle, and John Z. Smith #22383 ( LS) - Does Mass Deworming Affect Child Nutrition? Meta-analysis, Cost-Effectiveness, and Statistical Power
Kevin Croke, Joan Hamory Hicks, Eric Hsu, Michael Kremer, and Edward Miguel #22382 ( DEV) - Cultural Assimilation during the Age of Mass Migration
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #22381 ( DAE)
Weekly papers released by July 4, 2016
- Monetary Versus Macroprudential Policies: Causal Impacts of Interest Rates and Credit Controls in the Era of the UK Radcliffe Report
David Aikman, Oliver Bush, and Alan M. Taylor #22380 ( DAE ME) - Prices versus Quantities with Policy Updating
William A. Pizer and Brian Prest #22379 ( EEE) - Cash for Carbon: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Payments for Ecosystem Services to Reduce Deforestation
Seema Jayachandran, Joost de Laat, Eric F. Lambin, and Charlotte Y. Stanton #22378 ( DEV EEE) - Bond Finance, Bank Credit, and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Open Economy
Roberto Chang, Andrés Fernández, and Adam Gulan #22377 ( IFM) - Taxing Wealth: Evidence from Switzerland
Marius Brülhart, Jonathan Gruber, Matthias Krapf, and Kurt Schmidheiny #22376 ( AG PE) - Dynamic Demand Estimation in Auction Markets
Matthew Backus and Gregory Lewis #22375 ( IO) - The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
Antonio Fatás and Lawrence H. Summers #22374 ( EFG)
Week of July 11, 2016
- The Liquidity Cost of Private Equity Investments: Evidence from Secondary Market Transactions
Taylor D. Nadauld, Berk A. Sensoy, Keith Vorkink, and Michael S. Weisbach #22404 ( AP CF) - Do Disaster Experience and Knowledge Affect Insurance Take-up Decisions?
Jing Cai and Changcheng Song #22403 ( DEV) - Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
Patrick Higgins, Tao Zha, and Karen Zhong #22402 ( EFG ME) - Hit or Miss? Test Taking Behavior in Multiple Choice Exams
Ş. Pelin Akyol, James Key, and Kala Krishna #22401 ( ED) - What Do Performance Appraisals Do?
Peter Cappelli and Martin Conyon #22400 ( LS) - An Empirical Analysis of Racial Differences in Police Use of Force
Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22399 ( LE LS POL) - Simplifying Teaching: A Field Experiment with Online "Off-the-Shelf" Lessons
C. Kirabo Jackson and Alexey Makarin #22398 ( CH ED LS PE PR) - Redistribution of Local Demand Shocks through Firms' Internal Networks
Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller #22396 ( CF EFG LS) - Nation Building Through Foreign Intervention: Evidence from Discontinuities in Military Strategies
Melissa Dell and Pablo Querubin #22395 ( DAE DEV POL) - The Effects of Aggregate and Gender-Specific Labor Demand Shocks on Child Health
Marianne Page, Jessamyn Schaller, and David Simon #22394 ( CH LS) - The Effect of Vietnam-Era Conscription and Genetic Potential for Educational Attainment on Schooling Outcomes
Lauren L. Schmitz and Dalton Conley #22393 ( CH ED HE) - The Gift of Moving: Intergenerational Consequences of a Mobility Shock
Emi Nakamura, Jósef Sigurdsson, and Jón Steinsson #22392 ( DEV EFG LS) - Liquidity Transformation in Asset Management: Evidence from the Cash Holdings of Mutual Funds
Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam #22391 ( AP CF) - What Can We Learn from Charter School Lotteries?
Julia Chabrier, Sarah Cohodes, and Philip Oreopoulos #22390 ( CH ED LS) - Dynamic Effects of Co-Ethnic Networks on Immigrants' Economic Success
Michele Battisti, Giovanni Peri, and Agnese Romiti #22389 ( LS) - Currency Wars, Coordination, and Capital Controls
Olivier Blanchard #22388 ( EFG IFM) - A Test of Adverse Selection in the Market for Experienced Workers
Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein #22387 ( LS) - The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments
John J. Horton and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22386 ( IO LS PR) - Immigrant Entrepreneurship
Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #22385 ( LS PR) - The Common Origin of Uncertainty Shocks
Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Anna Orlik, and Laura Veldkamp #22384 ( AP EFG ME) - The Effects of Mentor Quality, Exposure, and Type on Junior Officer Retention in the United States Army
Susan Payne Carter, Whitney Dudley, David S. Lyle, and John Z. Smith #22383 ( LS) - Does Mass Deworming Affect Child Nutrition? Meta-analysis, Cost-Effectiveness, and Statistical Power
Kevin Croke, Joan Hamory Hicks, Eric Hsu, Michael Kremer, and Edward Miguel #22382 ( DEV) - Cultural Assimilation during the Age of Mass Migration
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #22381 ( DAE)
Week of July 4, 2016
- Monetary Versus Macroprudential Policies: Causal Impacts of Interest Rates and Credit Controls in the Era of the UK Radcliffe Report
David Aikman, Oliver Bush, and Alan M. Taylor #22380 ( DAE ME) - Prices versus Quantities with Policy Updating
William A. Pizer and Brian Prest #22379 ( EEE) - Cash for Carbon: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Payments for Ecosystem Services to Reduce Deforestation
Seema Jayachandran, Joost de Laat, Eric F. Lambin, and Charlotte Y. Stanton #22378 ( DEV EEE) - Bond Finance, Bank Credit, and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Open Economy
Roberto Chang, Andrés Fernández, and Adam Gulan #22377 ( IFM) - Taxing Wealth: Evidence from Switzerland
Marius Brülhart, Jonathan Gruber, Matthias Krapf, and Kurt Schmidheiny #22376 ( AG PE) - Dynamic Demand Estimation in Auction Markets
Matthew Backus and Gregory Lewis #22375 ( IO) - The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
Antonio Fatás and Lawrence H. Summers #22374 ( EFG)
Week of June 27, 2016
- Effects of the Minimum Wage on Infant Health
George Wehby, Dhaval Dave, and Robert Kaestner #22373 ( CH HC HE LE LS PE) - Producing Humanities PhDs among BAs at Doctoral Institutions
Todd R. Jones and Ronald G. Ehrenberg #22372 ( ED) - Moneyball in Medicare
Edward C. Norton, Jun Li, Anup Das, and Lena M. Chen #22371 ( HC HE) - The Analytics of the Greek Crisis
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Thomas Philippon, and Dimitri Vayanos #22370 ( EFG IFM ITI ME) - Bunching at The Kink: Implications for Spending Responses to Health Insurance Contracts
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Paul Schrimpf #22369 ( AG HC HE IO LS PE) - Estimating Cross-Industry Cross-Country Interaction Models Using Benchmark Industry Characteristics
Antonio Ciccone and Elias Papaioannou #22368 ( CF EFG IFM ITI POL TWP) - Willingness to Pay for Clean Air: Evidence from Air Purifier Markets in China
Koichiro Ito and Shuang Zhang #22367 ( DEV EEE IO) - What Do Measures of Real-time Corporate Sales Tell Us about Earnings Surprises and Post-Announcement Returns?
Kenneth Froot, Namho Kang, Gideon Ozik, and Ronnie Sadka #22366 ( CF) - Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy
Jaroslav Borovička and Lars Peter Hansen #22364 ( AP EFG) - Doing More When You're Running LATE: Applying Marginal Treatment Effect Methods to Examine Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Experiments
Amanda E. Kowalski #22363 ( AG HC HE LS PE TWP) - Global Service Efficiency and the Role of Special and Differential Based Negotiation
Daqing Yao and John Whalley #22362 ( ITI PR)
Week of June 20, 2016
- Are State and Time Dependent Models Really Different?
Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi, and Juan Passadore #22361 ( IFM ME) - Do Credit Card Companies Screen for Behavioral Biases?
Hong Ru and Antoinette Schoar #22360 ( CF) - Optimal Automatic Stabilizers
Alisdair McKay and Ricardo Reis #22359 ( EFG ME PE) - New Innovations in Payments
Marc Rysman and Scott Schuh #22358 ( PR) - Consumption Network Effects
Giacomo De Giorgi, Anders Frederiksen, and Luigi Pistaferri #22357 ( EFG LS) - The Staying Power of Staggered Wage and Price Setting Models in Macroeconomics
John B. Taylor #22356 ( EFG ME) - Equity is Cheap for Large Financial Institutions: The International Evidence
Priyank Gandhi, Hanno Lustig, and Alberto Plazzi #22355 ( AP CF) - Housing and Macroeconomics
Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider #22354 ( AP CF EFG ME) - Insurance and the High Prices of Pharmaceuticals
David Besanko, David Dranove, and Craig Garthwaite #22353 ( HC HE IO PE) - The Over Time Impacts Of Smoke Free Air Ordinances In Texas
Silda Nikaj, Joshua J. Miller, and John Tauras #22352 ( HE) - The Unintended Consequences of the Zero Lower Bound Policy
Marco Di Maggio and Marcin Kacperczyk #22351 ( AP CF ME) - Does Emigration Delay Political Change? Evidence from Italy during the Great Recession
Massimo Anelli and Giovanni Peri #22350 ( LS POL) - Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?
Jeffrey A. Frankel and Jesse Schreger #22349 ( IFM) - The Impact of Late-Career Job Loss and Genotype on Body Mass Index
Lauren L. Schmitz and Dalton Conley #22348 ( AG HE LS) - The Long Run Impacts of Merit Aid: Evidence from Californiaâs Cal Grant
Eric Bettinger, Oded Gurantz, Laura Kawano, and Bruce Sacerdote #22347 ( CH ED LS PE) - Adoption of New Information and Communications Technologies in the Workplace Today
Timothy Bresnahan and Pai-Ling Yin #22346 ( PR) - High Frequency Evidence on the Demand for Gasoline
Laurence Levin, Matthew S. Lewis, and Frank A. Wolak #22345 ( EEE IO) - A New Approach to an Age-Old Problem: Solving Externalities by Incenting Workers Directly
Greer K. Gosnell, John A. List, and Robert Metcalfe #22316 ( EEE PE)
Week of June 13, 2016
- Labor Supply Effects of Occupational Regulation: Evidence from the Nurse Licensure Compact
Christina DePasquale and Kevin Stange #22344 ( HC LS PE) - Macro, Money and Finance: A Continuous Time Approach
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22343 ( AP CF IFM ME) - The Effects of Wage Contracts on Workplace Misbehaviors: Evidence from a Call Center Natural Field Experiment
Jeffrey A. Flory, Andreas Leibbrandt, and John A. List #22342 ( LS) - Unemployment Fluctuations, Match Quality, and the Wage Cyclicality of New Hires
Mark Gertler, Christopher Huckfeldt, and Antonella Trigari #22341 ( EFG LS ME) - The Political Economy of Public Sector Absence: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan
Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Syed Ali Hasanain, and Yasir Khan #22340 ( DEV POL) - Capabilities and Skills
James J. Heckman and Chase O. Corbin #22339 ( CH ED) - Strategic Formulary Design in Medicare Part D Plans
Kurt Lavetti and Kosali Simon #22338 ( AG HC HE) - Peer Quality and the Academic Benefits to Attending Better Schools
Mark Hoekstra, Pierre Mouganie, and Yaojing Wang #22337 ( ED) - Does Partisan Conflict Deter FDI Inflows to the US?
Marina Azzimonti #22336 ( IFM POL) - Sovereign Risk and Bank Lending: Evidence from 1999 Turkish Earthquake
Yusuf Soner Baskaya and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan #22335 ( IFM) - Emergence of Asia: Reforms, Corporate Savings, and Global Imbalances
Jingting Fan and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan #22334 ( IFM) - Difficulty to Reach Respondents and Nonresponse Bias: Evidence from Large Government Surveys
Ori Heffetz and Daniel B. Reeves #22333 ( AG LS) - The Value of Trading Relationships in Turbulent Times
Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, and Zhaogang Song #22332 ( AP) - Inflation at the Household Level
Greg Kaplan and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl #22331 ( EFG LS ME) - Debt Crises: For Whom the Bell Tolls
Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann, and Guillermo Ordoñez #22330 ( AP EFG IFM ME PE) - Migration and Redistribution: Why the Federal Governance of an Economic Union Matters
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #22329 ( IFM) - The Effect of Pollution on Worker Productivity: Evidence from Call-Center Workers in China
Tom Chang, Joshua Graff Zivin, Tal Gross, and Matthew Neidell #22328 ( EEE HC HE LS) - Management as a Technology?
Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and John Van Reenen #22327 ( CF DEV EFG IO LS PR) - Individual Migration and Household Incomes
Julia Garlick, Murray Leibbrandt, and James Levinsohn #22326 ( DEV) - College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation
Peter Arcidiacono, Esteban Aucejo, Arnaud Maurel, and Tyler Ransom #22325 ( ED LS) - Financing Durable Assets
Adriano A. Rampini #22324 ( CF DEV EFG LE PR) - Tuskegee and the Health of Black Men
Marcella Alsan and Marianne Wanamaker #22323 ( CH DAE) - The Incidental Fertility Effects of School Condom Distribution Programs
Kasey S. Buckles and Daniel M. Hungerman #22322 ( CH HE) - The Political Economy of Underfunded Municipal Pension Plans
Jeffrey Brinkman, Daniele Coen-Pirani, and Holger Sieg #22321 ( AG PE) - Keeping College Options Open: A Field Experiment to Help All High School Seniors Through the College Application Process
Philip Oreopoulos and Reuben Ford #22320 ( CH ED LS) - Macroeconomics and Household Heterogeneity
Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman, and Fabrizio Perri #22319 ( EFG LS ME PE POL) - Claims-Shifting: The Problem of Parallel Reimbursement Regimes
Olesya Fomenko and Jonathan Gruber #22318 ( AG HC HE PE) - Adult Mortality Five Years after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Indian Ocean Tsunami
Jessica Y. Ho, Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri, and Duncan Thomas #22317 ( AG DEV HC) - Does Legalization Reduce Black Market Activity? Evidence from a Global Ivory Experiment and Elephant Poaching Data
Solomon Hsiang and Nitin Sekar #22314 ( DEV EEE ITI LE PE) - The Effect of Cigarette Prices on Cigarette Sales: Exploring Heterogeneity in Price Elasticities at High and Low Prices
John A. Tauras, Michael F. Pesko, Jidong Huang, Frank J. Chaloupka, and Matthew C. Farrelly #22251 ( HE)
Week of June 6, 2016
- International Trade and Job Polarization: Evidence at the Worker-Level
Wolfgang Keller and Hâle Utar #22315 ( ITI LS PR) - Empirical Evidence on Conditional Pricing Practices
Bogdan Genchev and Julie Holland Mortimer #22313 ( IO) - Can War Foster Cooperation?
Michal Bauer, Christopher Blattman, Julie Chytilová, Joseph Henrich, Edward Miguel, and Tamar Mitts #22312 ( DEV PE POL) - Are Supply Shocks Contractionary at the ZLB? Evidence from Utilization-Adjusted TFP Data
Julio Garín, Robert Lester, and Eric Sims #22311 ( EFG ME) - Macroeconomics, Aging and Growth
Ronald Lee #22310 ( AG) - Marriage Market Equilibrium
Robert A. Pollak #22309 ( CH LS) - Price Elasticities of Pharmaceuticals in a Value-Based-Formulary Setting
Kai Yeung, Anirban Basu, Ryan N. Hansen, and Sean D. Sullivan #22308 ( HC HE) - The Spillovers, Interactions, and (Un)Intended Consequences of Monetary and Regulatory Policies
Kristin Forbes, Dennis Reinhardt, and Tomasz Wieladek #22307 ( IFM ME) - Understanding the Improvement in Disability Free Life Expectancy In the U.S. Elderly Population
Michael Chernew, David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, and Mary Beth Landrum #22306 ( AG HC HE) - The Upside-down Economics of Regulated and Otherwise Rigid Prices
Casey B. Mulligan and Kevin K. Tsui #22305 ( IO PE) - Unsticking the Flypaper Effect Using Distortionary Taxation
Carlos A. Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin #22304 ( IFM) - Environmental Taxation
Roberton C. Williams III #22303 ( EEE PE) - Returns to Consumer Search: Evidence from eBay
Thomas Blake, Chris Nosko, and Steven Tadelis #22302 ( IO PR) - Inter Vivos Transfers of Ownership in Family Firms
James R. Hines Jr., Niklas Potrafke, Marina Riem, and Christoph Schinke #22301 ( PE PR) - Tourism and Economic Development: Evidence from Mexico's Coastline
Benjamin Faber and Cecile Gaubert #22300 ( DEV ITI) - A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
Gauti B. Eggertsson, Neil R. Mehrotra, Sanjay R. Singh, and Lawrence H. Summers #22299 ( EFG IFM ME) - Reverse Speculative Attacks
Manuel Amador, Javier Bianchi, Luigi Bocola, and Fabrizio Perri #22298 ( EFG IFM ME) - Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination
George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #22297 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - The Influence of Geography and Measurement in Estimating Cigarette Price Responsiveness
Michael F. Pesko, John A. Tauras, Jidong Huang, and Frank J. Chaloupka, IV #22296 ( HE)
Week of May 30, 2016
- A Model of the International Monetary System
Emmanuel Farhi and Matteo Maggiori #22295 ( AP CF EFG IFM ITI ME PE) - Carbon Emissions and Business Cycles
Hashmat Khan, Christopher R. Knittel, Konstantinos Metaxoglou, and Maya Papineau #22294 ( EEE EFG PR) - Household Risk Management
Adriano A. Rampini and S. Viswanathan #22293 ( CF EFG HE) - Experimental Evidence on the Demand for and Costs of Rural Electrification
Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram #22292 ( DEV EEE IO PE) - Returns to Education: The Causal Effects of Education on Earnings, Health and Smoking
James J. Heckman, John Eric Humphries, and Gregory Veramendi #22291 ( CH ED HE) - Height and Cognition at Work: Labor Market Productivity in a Low Income Setting
Daniel LaFave and Duncan Thomas #22290 ( DEV LS) - The Economics of "Radiator Springs:" Industry Dynamics, Sunk Costs, and Spatial Demand Shifts
Jeffrey R. Campbell and Thomas Hubbard #22289 ( EFG IO) - The Economic Consequences of Hospital Admissions
Carlos Dobkin, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #22288 ( HC PE) - Gainfully Employed? Assessing the Employment and Earnings of For-Profit College Students Using Administrative Data
Stephanie Riegg Cellini and Nicholas Turner #22287 ( ED LS) - Curbing Shocks to Corporate Liquidity: The Role of Trade Credit
Niklas Amberg, Tor Jacobson, Erik von Schedvin, and Robert Townsend #22286 ( CF) - Quantitative Easing and Financial Stability
Michael Woodford #22285 ( ME) - Durability, Deadline, and Election Effects in Bargaining
Alp Simsek and Muhamet Yildiz #22284 ( POL) - Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?
Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and Alessandro Rebucci #22283 ( IFM ME) - Multiple Equilibria in Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints: Overborrowing Revisited
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #22264 ( IFM)
Week of May 23, 2016
- Adoption with Social Learning and Network Externalities
Marcel Fafchamps, Mans Soderbom, and Monique vanden Boogaart #22282 ( DEV PR) - Energy Prices, Pass-Through, and Incidence in U.S. Manufacturing
Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, and Reed Walker #22281 ( EEE IO ITI PE PR) - Interpreting Recent Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions
Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii, and Kurt Mitman #22280 ( EFG LS) - Allocative and Remitted Wages: New Facts and Challenges for Keynesian Models
Susanto Basu and Christopher L. House #22279 ( EFG LS ME) - Do Field Experiments on Labor and Housing Markets Overstate Discrimination? Re-examination of the Evidence
David Neumark and Judith Rich #22278 ( LS) - Private Provision of Social Insurance: Drug-specific Price Elasticities and Cost Sharing in Medicare Part D
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Maria Polyakova #22277 ( AG HC IO PE) - Volatility and the Gains from Trade
Treb Allen and David Atkin #22276 ( DEV ITI) - Is the Macroeconomy Locally Unstable and Why Should We Care?
Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier #22275 ( EFG) - How Credit Constraints Impact Job Finding Rates, Sorting & Aggregate Output
Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon Phillips, and Ethan Cohen-Cole #22274 ( CF LS PR) - How Does Hedge Fund Activism Reshape Corporate Innovation?
Alon Brav, Wei Jiang, Song Ma, and Xuan Tian #22273 ( CF PR) - The Fiscal Cost of Hurricanes: Disaster Aid Versus Social Insurance
Tatyana Deryugina #22272 ( EEE PE) - A Model of Safe Asset Determination
Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Konstantin Milbradt #22271 ( AP CF EFG IFM ME) - The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina
Benjamin Hébert and Jesse Schreger #22270 ( AP EFG IFM) - Unemployment and Environmental Regulation in General Equilibrium
Marc A. C. Hafstead and Roberton C. Williams III #22269 ( EEE PE) - East Asian Economies and Financial Globalization In the Post-Crisis World
Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #22268 ( IFM) - Family Disadvantage and the Gender Gap in Behavioral and Educational Outcomes
David Autor, David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #22267 ( CH LS) - Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #22266 ( AP CF EFG) - The Impact of Health Insurance on Preventive Care and Health Behaviors: Evidence from the 2014 ACA Medicaid Expansions
Kosali Simon, Aparna Soni, and John Cawley #22265 ( HC HE) - Inequality Before Birth: The Developmental Consequences of Environmental Toxicants
Claudia Persico, David Figlio, and Jeffrey Roth #22263 ( CH ED EEE LS) - Cross-Generational Differences in Educational Outcomes in the Second Great Wave of Immigration
Umut Özek and David N. Figlio #22262 ( CH ED LS) - Price Regulation and Environmental Externalities: Evidence from Methane Leaks
Catherine Hausman and Lucija Muehlenbachs #22261 ( EEE) - Recruiting and Supporting Low-Income, High-Achieving Students at Flagship Universities
Rodney J. Andrews, Scott A. Imberman, and Michael F. Lovenheim #22260 ( ED LS PE) - The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed’s Liquidity Facilities
Marco Del Negro, Gauti Eggertsson, Andrea Ferrero, and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki #22259 ( EFG ME) - Social Networks and Housing Markets
Michael Bailey, Ruiqing Cao, Theresa Kuchler, and Johannes Stroebel #22258 ( AP CF EFG ME PE) - Reference-Dependent Job Search: Evidence from Hungary
Stefano DellaVigna, Attila Lindner, Balázs Reizer, and Johannes F. Schmieder #22257 ( LS PE PR) - Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt
Atif Mian and Amir Sufi #22256 ( AP CF EFG ME) - The Political Agenda Effect and State Centralization
Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson, and Ragnar Torvik #22250 ( POL) - Why Do Children Take Care of Their Elderly Parents? Are the Japanese Any Different?
Charles Yuji Horioka, Emin Gahramanov, Aziz Hayat, and Xueli Tang #22245 ( AG HE)
Week of May 16, 2016
- Using a Free Permit Rule to Forecast the Marginal Abatement Cost of Proposed Climate Policy
Kyle C. Meng #22255 ( EEE PE) - Ownership and the Price of Residential Electricity: Evidence from the United States, 1935-1940
Carl T. Kitchens and Taylor Jaworski #22254 ( DAE) - Theory and Measurement: Emergence, Consolidation and Erosion of a Consensus
Jeff E. Biddle and Daniel S. Hamermesh #22253 ( LS) - The Race Between Machine and Man: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares and Employment
Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #22252 ( EFG) - What is the Marginal Benefit of Payment-Induced Family Care?
Norma B. Coe, Jing Guo, R. Tamara Konetzka, and Courtney Harold Van Houtven #22249 ( AG HC HE PE) - Gender Based Occupational Segregation and Sex Differences in Sensory, Motor and Spatial Aptitudes
Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson #22248 ( LS) - The Granular Nature of Large Institutional Investors
Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, Rabih Moussawi, and John Sedunov #22247 ( AP CF) - Which Social Cost of Carbon? A Theoretical Perspective
Matthew J. Kotchen #22246 ( EEE PE) - Low-quality Patents in the Eye of the Beholder: Evidence from Multiple Examiners
Gaétan de Rassenfosse, Adam B. Jaffe, and Elizabeth Webster #22244 ( LE PR) - Bernanke's No-arbitrage Argument Revisited: Can Open Market Operations in Real Assets Eliminate the Liquidity Trap?
Gauti B. Eggertsson and Kevin Proulx #22243 ( ME) - Designing Policies to Make Cars Greener: A Review of the Literature
Soren T. Anderson and James M. Sallee #22242 ( EEE) - The Division of Labor in Teams: A Conceptual Framework and Application to Collaborations in Science
Carolin Haeussler and Henry Sauermann #22241 ( PR) - Collective Action in an Asymmetric World
Cuicui Chen and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22240 ( EEE PE)
Week of May 9, 2016
- The Great Recession in the Shadow of the Great Depression: A Review Essay on âHall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, The Great Recession and the Uses and Misuses Of Historyâ
Lee E. Ohanian #22239 ( EFG) - Digital Currencies, Decentralized Ledgers, and the Future of Central Banking
Max Raskin and David Yermack #22238 ( ME) - Technology and Education: Computers, Software, and the Internet
George Bulman and Robert W. Fairlie #22237 ( ED) - Global Production with Export Platforms
Felix Tintelnot #22236 ( IO ITI) - Impacts and Determinants of Health Levels in Low-Income Countries
Pascaline Dupas and Edward Miguel #22235 ( CH DEV HE) - Moral Costs and Rational Choice: Theory and Experimental Evidence
James C. Cox, John A. List, Michael Price, Vjollca Sadiraj, and Anya Samek #22234 ( PE) - Maternal Education, Parental Investment and Non-Cognitive Skills in Rural China
Jessica Leight and Elaine M. Liu #22233 ( CH DEV ED LS) - Non-durable Consumption and Housing Net Worth in the Great Recession: Evidence from Easily Accessible Data
Greg Kaplan, Kurt Mitman, and Giovanni L. Violante #22232 ( EFG LS ME) - Democracy for Polarized Committees: The Tale of Blotto's Lieutenants
Alessandra Casella, Jean Francois Laslier, and Antonin Macé #22231 ( POL) - Macroeconomics of Persistent Slumps
Robert E. Hall #22230 ( EFG LS) - Family Ruptures, Stress, and the Mental Health of the Next Generation
Petra Persson and Maya Rossin-Slater #22229 ( CH HE LS) - Pricing Assets in an Economy with Two Types of People
Roger E.A. Farmer #22228 ( AP EFG ME) - Parental Responses to Child Support Obligations: Evidence from Administrative Data
Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst #22227 ( CH PE) - What Do Test Scores Miss? The Importance of Teacher Effects on Non-Test Score Outcomes
C. Kirabo Jackson #22226 ( CH ED LS PE) - Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data
Anmol Bhandari, Jaroslav BoroviÄka, and Paul Ho #22225 ( AP EFG) - Optimal Capital Controls and Real Exchange Rate Policies: A Pecuniary Externality Perspective
Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci, and Eric R. Young #22224 ( EFG IFM ME) - Deposit Insurance: Theories and Facts
Charles W. Calomiris and Matthew Jaremski #22223 ( CF DAE) - The Effect of Single-Sex Education on Academic Outcomes and Crime: Fresh Evidence from Low-Performing Schools in Trinidad and Tobago
C. Kirabo Jackson #22222 ( CH DEV ED LS PE) - Compulsory Voting, Turnout, and Government Spending: Evidence from Austria
Mitchell Hoffman, Gianmarco León, and MarÃa Lombardi #22221 ( LE LS PE POL) - Open Access as a Crude Solution to a Hold-up Problem in the Two-Sided Market for Academic Journals
Mark J. McCabe and Christopher M. Snyder #22220 ( LE PR) - Communication in Vertical Markets: Experimental Evidence
Claudia Möllers, Hans-Theo Normann, and Christopher M. Snyder #22219 ( IO LE) - The Requirements of Jobs: Evidence from a Nationally Representative Survey
Maury Gittleman, Kristen Monaco, and Nicole Nestoriak #22218 ( LS) - Multifaceted Aid for Low-Income Students and College Outcomes: Evidence from North Carolina
Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen F. Ladd #22217 ( ED) - Newer Need Not be Better: Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights
Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin #22216 ( DEV EFG) - Labor Supply in the Past, Present, and Future: a Balanced-Growth Perspective
Timo Boppart and Per Krusell #22215 ( EFG)
Week of May 2, 2016
- Federal Coal Program Reform, the Clean Power Plan, and the Interaction of Upstream and Downstream Climate Policies
Todd Gerarden, W. Spencer Reeder, and James H. Stock #22214 ( EEE) - Premium Subsidies, the Mandate, and Medicaid Expansion: Coverage Effects of the Affordable Care Act
Molly Frean, Jonathan Gruber, and Benjamin D. Sommers #22213 ( CH HC HE PE) - Financial Frictions in Production Networks
Saki Bigio and Jennifer La’O #22212 ( EFG ME) - Growth of income and welfare in the U.S, 1979-2011
John Komlos #22211 ( DEV EFG POL) - The History and Economics of Safe Assets
Gary B. Gorton #22210 ( AP CF DAE ME) - Who Sold During the Crash of 2008-9? Evidence from Tax-Return Data on Daily Sales of Stock
Jeffrey Hoopes, Patrick Langetieg, Stefan Nagel, Daniel Reck, Joel Slemrod, and Bryan Stuart #22209 ( AP PE) - Volatility Managed Portfolios
Alan Moreira and Tyler Muir #22208 ( AP) - The Long-term Consequences of Teacher Discretion in Grading of High-stakes Tests
Rebecca Diamond and Petra Persson #22207 ( ED LS PE) - Disability policies: Reform strategies in a comparative perspective
René Böheim and Thomas Leoni #22206 ( AG PE) - The 'Pupil' Factory: Specialization and the Production of Human Capital in Schools
Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22205 ( ED LS) - Who Wants Affordable Housing in their Backyard? An Equilibrium Analysis of Low Income Property Development
Rebecca Diamond and Timothy McQuade #22204 ( LS PE) - Image Versus Information: Changing Societal Norms and Optimal Privacy
S. Nageeb Ali and Roland Bénabou #22203 ( DEV IO LE PE POL) - Who Gets Hired? The Importance of Finding an Open Slot
Edward P. Lazear, Kathryn L. Shaw, and Christopher T. Stanton #22202 ( LS) - The Economics of Bank Supervision
Thomas M. Eisenbach, David O. Lucca, and Robert M. Townsend #22201 ( CF) - The Effect of Weight on Labor Market Outcomes: an Application of Genetic Instrumental Variables
Petri Böckerman, John Cawley, Jutta Viinikainen, Terho Lehtimäki, Suvi Rovio, Ilkka Seppälä, Jaakko Pehkonen, and Olli Raitakari #22200 ( HE LS PE) - Mortality Inequality: The Good News from a County-Level Approach
Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt #22199 ( AG CH) - The 'Real' Explanation of the PPP Puzzle
Nicholas Ford and Charles Yuji Horioka #22198 ( IFM ITI) - How a Minimum Carbon Price Commitment Might Help to Internalize the Global Warming Externality
Martin L. Weitzman #22197 ( EEE) - Understanding the Decline in the Safe Real Interest Rate
Robert E. Hall #22196 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - Competition and Bank Liquidity Creation
Liangliang Jiang, Ross Levine, and Chen Lin #22195 ( CF) - Are Settlements in Patent Litigation Collusive? Evidence from Paragraph IV Challenges
Eric Helland and Seth A. Seabury #22194 ( HC HE LE) - What Motivates Effort? Evidence and Expert Forecasts
Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope #22193 ( LS PE PR) - Colonial American Paper Money and the Quantity Theory of Money: An Extension
Farley Grubb #22192 ( DAE) - How Migration Can Change Income Inequality?
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #22191 ( IFM)
Week of April 25, 2016
- What Explains the Flow of Foreign Fighters to ISIS?
Efraim Benmelech and Esteban F. Klor #22190 ( DEV LS POL) - Motivating Effort In Contributing to Public Goods Inside Organizations: Field Experimental Evidence
Andrea Blasco, Olivia S. Jung, Karim R. Lakhani, and Michael Menietti #22189 ( PR) - Decomposing Duration Dependence in a Stopping Time Model
Fernando E. Alvarez, KatarÃna BoroviÄková, and Robert Shimer #22188 ( EFG LS) - Age and Gender Profiling in the Chinese and Mexican Labor Markets: Evidence from Four Job Boards
Miguel Delgado Helleseter, Peter Kuhn, and Kailing Shen #22187 ( LS) - Homophily and Transitivity in Dynamic Network Formation
Bryan S. Graham #22186 ( IO LS TWP) - Economic Analysis of Property Rights: First Possession of Water in the American West
Bryan Leonard and Gary D. Libecap #22185 ( DAE EEE LE) - The Impact of the Civil War on Southern Wealth Holders
Brandon Dupont and Joshua Rosenbloom #22184 ( DAE) - Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-based Models
Drew D. Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu #22183 ( AP EFG ME) - Impacts of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage in Medicaid Expansion and Non-Expansion States
Charles Courtemanche, James Marton, Benjamin Ukert, Aaron Yelowitz, and Daniela Zapata #22182 ( HC HE) - Climate Econometrics
Solomon M. Hsiang #22181 ( DEV EEE EFG HE) - Bias against Novelty in Science: A Cautionary Tale for Users of Bibliometric Indicators
Jian Wang, Reinhilde Veugelers, and Paula Stephan #22180 ( LS PR) - Nutrient Intake: A Cross-National Analysis of Trends and Economic Correlates
Dhaval M. Dave, Nadia Doytch, and Inas Rashad Kelly #22179 ( HE)
Week of April 18, 2016
- Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?
Yi Che, Yi Lu, Justin R. Pierce, Peter K. Schott, and Zhigang Tao #22178 ( ITI) - Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model
Julio GarÃn, Robert Lester, and Eric Sims #22177 ( EFG ME) - Technology, Skill and the Wage Structure
Nancy L. Stokey #22176 ( EFG LS) - Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732â1914
Mario J. Crucini and Gregor W. Smith #22175 ( DAE IFM ITI) - Social Mobility and Stability of Democracy: Re-evaluating De Tocqueville
Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin #22174 ( POL) - Preference for the Workplace, Human Capital, and Gender
Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar #22173 ( ED LS) - Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
Gauti B. Eggertsson, Neil R. Mehrotra, and Lawrence H. Summers #22172 ( EFG ME) - Selective Hearing: Physician-Ownership and Physicians' Response to New Evidence
David H. Howard, Guy David, and Jason Hockenberry #22171 ( HC HE) - The Effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Financial Well-Being
Luojia Hu, Robert Kaestner, Bhashkar Mazumder, Sarah Miller, and Ashley Wong #22170 ( HE) - Organizational Complexity and Balance Sheet Management in Global Banks
Nicola Cetorelli and Linda S. Goldberg #22169 ( IFM ME) - The Importance of Family Income in the Formation and Evolution of Non-Cognitive Skills in Childhood
Jason Fletcher and Barbara L. Wolfe #22168 ( CH ED HE) - Decision Theoretic Approaches to Experiment Design and External Validity
Abhijit Banerjee, Sylvain Chassang, and Erik Snowberg #22167 ( DEV ED HE LS PE POL) - Stirring Up a Hornets' Nest: Geographic Distribution of Crime
Sebastian Galiani, Ivan Lopez Cruz, and Gustavo Torrens #22166 ( DEV)
Week of April 11, 2016
- The Causes and Consequences of Test Score Manipulation: Evidence from the New York Regents Examinations
Thomas S. Dee, Will Dobbie, Brian A. Jacob, and Jonah Rockoff #22165 ( ED) - The Effect of Aid on Growth: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment
Sebastian Galiani, Stephen Knack, Lixin Colin Xu, and Ben Zou #22164 ( DEV) - The Limited Macroeconomic Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Loukas Karabarbounis #22163 ( EFG LS ME PE) - Term Structures of Asset Prices and Returns
David Backus, Nina Boyarchenko, and Mikhail Chernov #22162 ( AP) - Coordinated Noise Trading: Evidence from Pension Fund Reallocations
Zhi Da, Borja Larrain, Clemens Sialm, and José Tessada #22161 ( AG AP CF IFM ITI PE) - The Impact of Innovation in the Multinational Firm
L. Kamran Bilir and Eduardo Morales #22160 ( ITI PR) - Temporary Migration and Endogenous Risk Sharing in Village India
Melanie Morten #22159 ( DEV) - Paving the Way to Development: Costly Migration and Labor Market Integration
Melanie Morten and Jaqueline Oliveira #22158 ( DEV) - Can Currency Competition Work?
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Daniel Sanches #22157 ( EFG) - Optimal Contracting with Subjective Evaluation: The Effects of Timing, Malfeasance and Guile
W. Bentley MacLeod and Teck Yong Tan #22156 ( LS TWP) - Canary in a Coal Mine: Infant Mortality, Property Values, and Tradeoffs Associated with Mid-20th Century Air Pollution
Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis, and Edson Severnini #22155 ( CH DAE EEE) - Differences in Quarterly Utilization-Adjusted TFP by Vintage, with an Application to News Shocks
Eric R. Sims #22154 ( EFG ME) - Corporate Resilience to Banking Crises: The Roles of Trust and Trade Credit
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #22153 ( CF EFG IFM LS) - The Deposits Channel of Monetary Policy
Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, and Philipp Schnabl #22152 ( AP CF ME) - Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages
Santiago Caicedo, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #22151 ( EFG) - Levered Returns
Ivo Welch #22150 ( AP CF) - Faculty Preferences over Unionization: Evidence from Open Letters at Two Research Universities
Joel Waldfogel #22149 ( LE) - The Real Effects of Liquidity During the Financial Crisis: Evidence from Automobiles
Efraim Benmelech, Ralf R. Meisenzahl, and Rodney Ramcharan #22148 ( CF EFG IO ME) - Measuring Openness to Trade
Michael E. Waugh and B. Ravikumar #22147 ( EFG IFM ITI) - Uninformative Feedback and Risk Taking: Evidence from Retail Forex Trading
Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Viktor Prokopenya #22146 ( AP CF) - The Global Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity: Nature, History, and the Role of Trade
J. Vernon Henderson, Tim L. Squires, Adam Storeygard, and David N. Weil #22145 ( DEV EFG) - A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions
Lee J. Alston, Marcus André Melo, Bernardo Mueller, and Carlos Pereira #22144 ( DAE DEV LE POL) - Crash Beliefs From Investor Surveys
William N. Goetzmann, Dasol Kim, and Robert J. Shiller #22143 ( AP) - Market Reforms in the Time of Imbalance
Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori, and Fabio Ghironi #22128 ( EFG IFM ME)
Week of April 4, 2016
- Are Online and Offine Prices Similar? Evidence from Large Multi-Channel Retailers
Alberto F. Cavallo #22142 ( IFM ME) - Financial Dampening
Johannes F. Wieland and Mu-Jeung Yang #22141 ( CF EFG ME) - Supply-Side Policies in the Depression: Evidence from France
Jérémie Cohen-Setton, Joshua K. Hausman, and Johannes F. Wieland #22140 ( DAE EFG ME) - Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies
Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri #22139 ( IFM) - Preferential Trade Agreements
Nuno Limão #22138 ( ITI) - The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk
Victoria Y. Fan, Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers #22137 ( HC HE) - Animal Spirits in a Monetary Model
Roger E.A. Farmer and Konstantin Platonov #22136 ( EFG ME) - The Theory of Unconventional Monetary Policy
Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk #22135 ( AP EFG ME) - Rethinking Performance Evaluation
Campbell R. Harvey and Yan Liu #22134 ( AP) - On the Optimal Inflation Rate
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22133 ( AP EFG IFM ME) - Government Old-Age Support and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Old Age Assistance Program
Daniel K. Fetter and Lee M. Lockwood #22132 ( AG DAE LS PE) - Clans, Guilds, and Markets: Apprenticeship Institutions and Growth in the Pre-Industrial Economy
David de la Croix, Matthias Doepke, and Joel Mokyr #22131 ( DEV EFG) - The Production of Human Capital in Developed Countries: Evidence from 196 Randomized Field Experiments
Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22130 ( CH ED LS) - The Discounted Euler Equation: A Note
Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #22129 ( EFG ME) - Tax Benefits for College Attendance
Susan Dynarski and Judith Scott-Clayton #22127 ( ED PE) - Targeted or Universal Coverage? Assessing Heterogeneity in the Effects of Universal Childcare
Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven F. Lehrer #22126 ( CH PE) - Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises
Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, Harold Cole, and Zachary Stangebye #22125 ( EFG IFM)
Week of March 28, 2016
- Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy
Edward L. Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers, and Michael Luca #22124 ( PE PR) - Viewpoint: The Human Capital Approach to Inference
W. Bentley MacLeod #22123 ( HE LS) - Neoclassical Models in Macroeconomics
Gary D. Hansen and Lee E. Ohanian #22122 ( EFG) - Can Iron-Fortified Salt Control Anemia? Evidence from Two Experiments in Rural Bihar
Abhijit Banerjee, Sharon Barnhardt, and Esther Duflo #22121 ( DEV HC HE) - Academics vs. Athletics: Career Concerns for NCAA Division I Coaches
Christopher Avery, Brian Cadman, and Gavin Cassar #22120 ( ED) - International Shocks and Domestic Prices: How Large Are Strategic Complementarities?
Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings #22119 ( IFM ITI ME) - Beyond Job Lock: Impacts of Public Health Insurance on Occupational and Industrial Mobility
Ammar Farooq and Adriana Kugler #22118 ( HC LS) - Labor Market Institutions in the Gilded Age of American Economic History
Suresh Naidu and Noam Yuchtman #22117 ( DAE DEV LS POL) - The Risk Anomaly Tradeoff of Leverage
Malcolm Baker, Mathias F. Hoeyer, and Jeffrey Wurgler #22116 ( CF) - Trading Skill: Evidence from Trades of Corporate Insiders in Their Personal Portfolios
Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Andrea Rossi #22115 ( AP CF) - Rethinking Deindustrialization
Andrew B. Bernard, Valerie Smeets, and Frederic Warzynski #22114 ( IO ITI) - Field Experiments in Markets
Omar Al-Ubaydli and John A. List #22113 ( DEV IO LS) - Interactions Between Family and School Environments: Evidence on Dynamic Complementarities?
Ofer Malamud, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Miguel Urquiola #22112 ( CH ED) - The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Measurement and Research
Alberto Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon #22111 ( IFM ME) - The March of the Techies: Technology, Trade, and Job Polarization in France, 1994-2007
James Harrigan, Ariell Reshef, and Farid Toubal #22110 ( ITI LS) - Explicit vs. Statistical Preferential Treatment in Affirmative Action: Theory and Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools
Umut Dur, Parag A. Pathak, and Tayfun Sönmez #22109 ( ED LS PE) - Refugees From Dust and Shrinking Land: Tracking the Dust Bowl Migrants
Jason Long and Henry E. Siu #22108 ( DAE LS) - The Effect of Performance-Based Incentives on Educational Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, and Sally Sadoff #22107 ( CH ED)
Week of March 21, 2016
- The Price Effects of Cross-Market Hospital Mergers
Leemore Dafny, Kate Ho, and Robin S. Lee #22106 ( HC IO) - The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies
Lucas W. Davis #22105 ( EEE) - Can Tracking Raise the Test Scores of High-Ability Minority Students?
David Card and Laura Giuliano #22104 ( ED LS) - Learning from Potentially-Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina
Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #22103 ( IFM ME) - The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants
George J. Borjas #22102 ( AG LS) - Management Practices, Workforce Selection and Productivity
Stefan Bender, Nicholas Bloom, David Card, John Van Reenen, and Stefanie Wolter #22101 ( IO LS PR) - Money and Velocity During Financial Crises: From the Great Depression to the Great Recession
Richard G. Anderson, Michael Bordo, and John V. Duca #22100 ( DAE) - A Glimpse into the World of High Capacity Givers: Experimental Evidence from a University Capital Campaign
Tova Levin, Steven D. Levitt, and John A. List #22099 ( PE) - Identification and Efficiency Bounds for the Average Match Function under Conditionally Exogenous Matching
Bryan S. Graham, Guido W. Imbens, and Geert Ridder #22098 ( ED IO LS TWP) - Optimal Currency Area: A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?
Joshua Aizenman #22097 ( IFM) - Macroeconomic-Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities
Mikhail Chernov, Brett R. Dunn, and Francis A. Longstaff #22096 ( AP) - The State of American Entrepreneurship: New Estimates of the Quantity and Quality of Entrepreneurship for 15 US States, 1988-2014
Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern #22095 ( EFG PR) - Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents
Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman, and Laura Salisbury #22094 ( DAE LS) - Organized Crime, Violence, and Politics
Alberto Alesina, Salvatore Piccolo, and Paolo Pinotti #22093 ( POL) - An Input-Output Model of the U.S. Economy with Pollution Externality
Nicholas Z. Muller #22092 ( EEE) - How Management Risk Affects Corporate Debt
Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang, and Michael S. Weisbach #22091 ( AP CF) - Revenue and Incentive Effects of Basis Step-Up at Death: Lessons from the 2010 "Voluntary" Estate Tax Regime
Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian, and James Poterba #22090 ( PE) - Why Does Fast Loan Growth Predict Poor Performance for Banks?
Rüdiger Fahlenbrach, Robert Prilmeier, and René M. Stulz #22089 ( CF) - Efficient Local Government Service Provision: The Role of Privatization and Public Sector Unions
Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew E. Kahn, and Shanjun Li #22088 ( EEE IO LS PE POL) - The Design of Trade Agreements
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #22087 ( ITI) - Accounting for the New Gains from Trade Liberalization
Chang-Tai Hsieh, Nicholas Li, Ralph Ossa, and Mu-Jeung Yang #22069 ( EFG ITI PR)
Week of March 14, 2016
- Empirical Tools and Competition Analysis: Past Progress and Current Problems
Ariel Pakes #22086 ( IO) - Population Policy: Abortion and Modern Contraception are Substitutes
Grant Miller and Christine Valente #22085 ( DAE HC) - Detecting Potential Overbilling in Medicare Reimbursement via Hours Worked
Hanming Fang and Qing Gong #22084 ( HC HE PE) - Disruptive Change in the Taxi Business: The Case of Uber
Judd Cramer and Alan B. Krueger #22083 ( LS PR) - Copyright Enforcement: Evidence from Two Field Experiments
Hong Luo and Julie Holland Mortimer #22082 ( IO PR) - The "Real" Explanation of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle
Nicholas Ford and Charles Yuji Horioka #22081 ( IFM ITI) - Tax Policy Toward Low-Income Families
Hilary Hoynes and Jesse Rothstein #22080 ( CH LS PE) - To âVapeâ or Smoke? A Discrete Choice Experiment Among U.S. Adult Smokers
Joachim Marti, John Buckell, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Jody L. Sindelar #22079 ( HE) - Family Inequality: Diverging Patterns in Marriage, Cohabitation, and Childbearing
Shelly Lundberg, Robert A. Pollak, and Jenna E. Stearns #22078 ( CH LS) - Racial Sorting and the Emergence of Segregation in American Cities
Allison Shertzer and Randall P. Walsh #22077 ( DAE LE) - Mirrlees meets Diamond-Mirrlees
Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning #22076 ( EFG LS PE) - Global Energy Outlook 2015
Richard G. Newell, Yifei Qian, and Daniel Raimi #22075 ( DEV EEE) - Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification during the Great Depression
Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson #22074 ( DAE ME) - National Policy for Regional Development: Evidence from Appalachian Highways
Taylor Jaworski and Carl T. Kitchens #22073 ( DAE) - Bargaining over Babies: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications
Matthias Doepke and Fabian Kindermann #22072 ( CH EFG) - The Performance of Elected Officials: Evidence from State Supreme Courts
Elliott Ash and W. Bentley MacLeod #22071 ( LE LS POL) - The Purpose of Trade Agreements
Gene M. Grossman #22070 ( ITI) - Families in Macroeconomics
Matthias Doepke and Michèle Tertilt #22068 ( EFG) - Competitive Price Targeting with Smartphone Coupons
Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Zheng Fang, Nathan Fong, and Xueming Luo #22067 ( IO) - U.S. Inequality, Fiscal Progressivity, and Work Disincentives: An Intragenerational Accounting
Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Darryl R. Koehler #22032 ( AG PE)
Week of March 7, 2016
- International Comparative Household Finance
Cristian Badarinza, John Y. Campbell, and Tarun Ramadorai #22066 ( AP) - Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble
Patrick Bayer, Kyle Mangum, and James W. Roberts #22065 ( AP IO PE) - Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed
Gary Gorton and Ellis W. Tallman #22064 ( DAE EFG ME) - Sufficient Statistics for Imperfect Externality-Correcting Policies
Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher R. Knittel, James M. Sallee, and Arthur A. van Benthem #22063 ( EEE IO PE) - Quantitative Models of Commercial Policy
Ralph Ossa #22062 ( ITI) - Decentralized Governance and the Quality of School Leadership
Derek Laing, Steven G. Rivkin, Jeffrey C. Schiman, and Jason Ward #22061 ( ED PE) - Some Theoretical Connections Among Wealth, Income, Sustainability, and Accounting
Martin L. Weitzman #22060 ( EEE) - Fiscal and Financial Crises
Michael D. Bordo and Christopher M. Meissner #22059 ( DAE IFM ME) - The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks
Dario Caldara, Cristina Fuentes-Albero, Simon Gilchrist, and Egon Zakrajšek #22058 ( EFG ME) - University Innovation and the Professor's Privilege
Hans K. Hvide and Benjamin F. Jones #22057 ( PR) - A Market Based Solution for Fire Sales and Other Pecuniary Externalities
Weerachart T. Kilenthong and Robert M. Townsend #22056 ( DEV IFM) - The Limits of Propaganda: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela
Brian Knight and Ana Tribin #22055 ( PE POL) - Teacher Applicant Hiring and Teacher Performance: Evidence from DC Public Schools
Brian Jacob, Jonah E. Rockoff, Eric S. Taylor, Benjamin Lindy, and Rachel Rosen #22054 ( ED LS) - Liquidity Requirements, Liquidity Choice and Financial Stability
Douglas W. Diamond and Anil K Kashyap #22053 ( CF ME) - Effects of Welfare Reform on Women's Voting Participation
Dhaval M. Dave, Hope Corman, and Nancy Reichman #22052 ( HE LS PE)
Week of February 29, 2016
- Economic Conditions, Illicit Drug Use, and Substance Use Disorders in the United States
Christopher S. Carpenter, Chandler B. McClellan, and Daniel I. Rees #22051 ( HE) - The Market for Financial Adviser Misconduct
Mark Egan, Gregor Matvos, and Amit Seru #22050 ( CF IO LE LS) - The Long Run Effects of Labor Migration on Human Capital Formation in Communities of Origin
Taryn Dinkelman and Martine Mariotti #22049 ( CH DEV ED LS) - Can Fixed-Term Contracts Put Low Skilled Youth on a Better Career Path? Evidence from Spain
J. Ignacio García-Pérez, Judit Vall Castelló, and Ioana Marinescu #22048 ( LS PE) - The Social Value of Financial Expertise
Pablo Kurlat #22047 ( EFG PE) - Globalization and Political Structure
Gino Gancia, Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto, and Jaume Ventura #22046 ( EFG) - Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates
Stefano Giglio and Bryan Kelly #22045 ( AP) - Safe Asset Scarcity and Aggregate Demand
Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #22044 ( EFG IFM ME) - Estimating Social Preferences and Gift Exchange at Work
Stefano DellaVigna, John A. List, Ulrike Malmendier, and Gautam Rao #22043 ( LS PE) - The Long-Run Effects of Disruptive Peers
Scott E. Carrell, Mark Hoekstra, and Elira Kuka #22042 ( ED LS) - Offshoring and Labor Markets
David Hummels, Jakob R. Munch, and Chong Xiang #22041 ( ITI LS) - Net Neutrality, Pricing Instruments and Incentives
Joshua S. Gans and Michael L. Katz #22040 ( IO PR) - Transparency and Negotiated Prices: The Value of Information in Hospital-Supplier Bargaining
Matthew Grennan and Ashley Swanson #22039 ( HC IO) - A Theory of Bidding Dynamics and Deadlines in Online Retail
Dominic Coey, Bradley Larsen, and Brennan Platt #22038 ( IO TWP) - Subsidies and Structure: The Lasting Impact of the Hill-Burton Program on the Hospital Industry
Andrea Park Chung, Martin Gaynor, and Seth Richards-Shubik #22037 ( HC) - How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?
Gary Gorton and Ellis W. Tallman #22036 ( AP CF DAE EFG ME) - Dynamic R&D Choice and the Impact of the Firm's Financial Strength
Bettina Peters, Mark J. Roberts, and Van Anh Vuong #22035 ( PR) - Bank Quality, Judicial Efficiency and Borrower Runs: Loan Repayment Delays in Italy
Fabio Schiantarelli, Massimiliano Stacchini, and Philip E. Strahan #22034 ( CF) - Does Fundraising Create New Giving?
Jonathan Meer #22033 ( PE) - Self-insuring against Liability Risk: Evidence from Physician Home Values in States with Unlimited Homestead Exemptions
Eric Helland, Anupam B. Jena, Dan P. Ly, and Seth A. Seabury #22031 ( HC HE LE) - How Does Access to Health Care Affect Teen Fertility and High School Dropout Rates? Evidence from School-based Health Centers
Michael F. Lovenheim, Randall Reback, and Leigh Wedenoja #22030 ( CH ED HE PE) - Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the "Sharing Economy"
John J. Horton and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22029 ( IO PR) - How Crashes Develop: Intradaily Volatility and Crash Evolution
David S. Bates #22028 ( AP) - Popular Attitudes towards Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later
Maxim Boycko and Robert J. Shiller #22027 ( EFG POL) - Decision-Making under the Gambler's Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires
Daniel Chen, Tobias J. Moskowitz, and Kelly Shue #22026 ( CF LE) - Restoring Rational Choice: The Challenge of Consumer Financial Regulation
John Y. Campbell #22025 ( AP PE) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in France
Didier Blanchet, Eve Caroli, Corinne Prost, and Muriel Roger #22024 ( AG) - Does Incomplete Spanning in International Financial Markets Help to Explain Exchange Rates?
Hanno Lustig and Adrien Verdelhan #22023 ( AP EFG IFM) - Experimental Research on Labor Market Discrimination
David Neumark #22022 ( AG LS) - Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Credit Channel: Aggregate and Bank Level U.S. Evidence over Several Decades
Michael D. Bordo, John V. Duca, and Christoffer Koch #22021 ( DAE ME) - The Term Structure of Interest Rates in India
Rajnish Mehra and Arunima Sinha #22020 ( AP) - Using Preference Estimates to Customize Incentives: An Application to Polio Vaccination Drives in Pakistan
James Andreoni, Michael Callen, Yasir Khan, Karrar Jaffar, and Charles Sprenger #22019 ( DEV POL) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Denmark
Paul Bingley, Nabanita Datta Gupta, and Peder Pedersen #22018 ( AG) - What Makes US Government Bonds Safe Assets?
Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Konstantin Milbradt #22017 ( AP IFM) - The Demand for Diversification in Incomplete Markets
Rajnish Mehra, Sunil Wahal, and Daruo Xie #22016 ( AP) - Social Norms, Labor Market Opportunities, and the Marriage Gap for Skilled Women
Marianne Bertrand, Patricia Cortés, Claudia Olivetti, and Jessica Pan #22015 ( LS) - Field Experiments on Discrimination
Marianne Bertrand and Esther Duflo #22014 ( LS) - Are Expectations Alone Enough? Estimating the Effect of a Mandatory College-Prep Curriculum in Michigan
Brian Jacob, Susan Dynarski, Kenneth Frank, and Barbara Schneider #22013 ( CH ED LS PE) - Recursive Contracts and Endogenously Incomplete Markets
Mikhail Golosov, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Nicolas Werquin #22012 ( EFG)
Week of February 22, 2016
- School Finance Reform and the Distribution of Student Achievement
Julien Lafortune, Jesse Rothstein, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #22011 ( CH ED LS PE) - MisMatch in Human Capital Accumulation
Russell Cooper and Huacong Liu #22010 ( ED EFG) - Sluggish Inflation Expectations: A Markov Chain Analysis
Narayana R. Kocherlakota #22009 ( EFG ME) - Good Booms, Bad Booms
Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez #22008 ( AP CF EFG IFM ME) - Dynamic Savings Choices with Disagreements
Dan Cao and Iván Werning #22007 ( DEV EFG PE) - Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing: Self-Confirming Credit Crises in Competitive Search Economies
Gaetano Gaballo and Ramon Marimon #22006 ( ME) - Endogenous Technology Adoption and R&D as Sources of Business Cycle Persistence
Diego Anzoategui, Diego Comin, Mark Gertler, and Joseba Martinez #22005 ( AP DAE IFM ME PR) - What Drives Racial and Ethnic Differences in High Cost Mortgages? The Role of High Risk Lenders
Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira, and Stephen L. Ross #22004 ( LE PE) - Judges, Juveniles and In-group Bias
Briggs Depew, Ozkan Eren, and Naci Mocan #22003 ( CH LE LS PE) - What is Different About Urbanization in Rich and Poor Countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States
Juan Pablo Chauvin, Edward Glaeser, Yueran Ma, and Kristina Tobio #22002 ( DEV LS) - Anti-Corruption Reforms and Shareholder Valuations: Event Study Evidence from China
Chen Lin, Randall Morck, Bernard Yeung, and Xiaofeng Zhao #22001 ( CF) - Sets of Models and Prices of Uncertainty
Lars P. Hansen and Thomas J. Sargent #22000 ( AP) - Methodological Issues in Analyzing Market Dynamics
Ariel Pakes #21999 ( IO) - Income-comparison Attitudes in the US and the UK: Evidence from Discrete-choice Experiments
Hitoshi Shigeoka and Katsunori Yamada #21998 ( PE)
Week of February 15, 2016
- Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Oren Levintal #21997 ( EFG) - Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market
Ulrich Doraszelski, Gregory Lewis, and Ariel Pakes #21996 ( IO PR) - The Mobility of Elite Life Scientists: Professional and Personal Determinants
Pierre Azoulay, Ina Ganguli, and Joshua S. Graff Zivin #21995 ( CH HE LS PR) - Effect of International Competition on Firm Productivity and Market Power
Jan De Loecker and Johannes Van Biesebroeck #21994 ( IO ITI PR) - The Sovereign-Bank Diabolic Loop and ESBies
Markus K. Brunnermeier, Luis Garicano, Philip Lane, Marco Pagano, Ricardo Reis, Tano Santos, David Thesmar, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Dimitri Vayanos #21993 ( AP CF IFM ME) - Who Benefits from Calorie Labeling? An Analysis of its Effects on Body Mass
Partha Deb and Carmen Vargas #21992 ( HE) - What has Been Happening to UK Income Inequality Since the Mid-1990s? Answers from Reconciled and Combined Household Survey and Tax Return Data
Richard V. Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen P. Jenkins, and Roger Wilkins #21991 ( LS PE TWP) - Including Health Insurance in Poverty Measurement: The Impact of Massachusetts Health Reform on Poverty
Sanders Korenman and Dahlia K. Remler #21990 ( HC HE LS PE) - Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy with Firm Heterogeneity
Arnaud Costinot, Andrés RodrÃguez-Clare, and Iván Werning #21989 ( ITI) - Economic Backwardness and Catching Up: Brazilian Agriculture, 1964â2014
Lee Alston and Bernardo Mueller #21988 ( DAE DEV EEE LE POL) - Intergenerational Persistence of Health in the U.S.: Do Immigrants Get Healthier as they Assimilate?
Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel and Adriana D. Kugler #21987 ( HE LS) - Learning Job Skills from Colleagues at Work: Evidence from a Field Experiment Using Teacher Performance Data
John P. Papay, Eric S. Taylor, John H. Tyler, and Mary Laski #21986 ( ED LS) - Trade Policy Uncertainty and Exports: Evidence from Chinaâs WTO Accession
Ling Feng, Zhiyuan Li, and Deborah L. Swenson #21985 ( ITI) - International Trade with Indirect Additivity
Paolo Bertoletti, Federico Etro, and Ina Simonovska #21984 ( DEV EFG IFM IO ITI) - Growth, Urbanization and Poverty Reduction in India
Gaurav Datt, Martin Ravallion, and Rinku Murgai #21983 ( DEV) - The Complexity of Immigrant Generations: Implications for Assessing the Socioeconomic Integration of Hispanics and Asians
Brian Duncan and Stephen J. Trejo #21982 ( LS) - Does Government Intervention Affect Banking Globalization?
Anya Kleymenova, Andrew K. Rose, and Tomasz Wieladek #21981 ( IFM) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from the United Kingdom
James Banks, Carl Emmerson, and Gemma Tetlow #21980 ( AG) - Conditional PPP and Real Exchange Rate Convergence in the Euro Area
Paul R. Bergin, Reuven Glick, and Jyh-Lin Wu #21979 ( IFM) - Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation
Valerie A. Ramey #21978 ( EFG ME) - A Jury of Her Peers: The Impact of the First Female Jurors on Criminal Convictions
Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson #21960 ( LE LS POL)
Week of February 8, 2016
- Financial Markets’ Views about the Euro-Swiss Franc Floor
Urban J. Jermann #21977 ( AP IFM) - Work Capacity at Older Ages in the Netherlands
Adriaan Kalwij, Arie Kapteyn, and Klaas de Vos #21976 ( HE) - Growth through Rigidity: An Explanation for the Rise in CEO Pay
Kelly Shue and Richard Townsend #21975 ( CF LE) - Challenges to Mismeasurement Explanations for the U.S. Productivity Slowdown
Chad Syverson #21974 ( EFG PR) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from Spain
Pilar García-Gómez, Sergi Jimenez-Martin, and Judit Vall Castelló #21973 ( AG HE) - Healthy, Happy and Idle: Estimating the Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Germany
Hendrik Jürges, Lars Thiel, and Axel Börsch-Supan #21972 ( AG) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from Japan
Emiko Usui, Satoshi Shimizutani, and Takashi Oshio #21971 ( AG) - Work Capacity and Longer Working Lives in Belgium
Alain Jousten and Mathieu Lefebvre #21970 ( AG) - Health, Work Capacity and Retirement in Sweden
Per Johansson, Lisa Laun, and Mårten Palme #21969 ( AG) - Who Did the Ethanol Tax Credit Benefit? An Event Analysis of Subsidy Incidence
David A. Bielen, Richard G. Newell, and William A. Pizer #21968 ( EEE IO PE) - Accounting for the Rise in College Tuition
Grey Gordon and Aaron Hedlund #21967 ( ED EFG) - What Forces Dictate the Design of Pollution Monitoring Networks?
Nicholas Z. Muller and Paul Ruud #21966 ( EEE PE) - Wage Inequality and Cognitive Skills: Re-Opening the Debate
Stijn Broecke, Glenda Quintini, and Marieke Vandeweyer #21965 ( LS) - Patents and Innovation in Economic History
Petra Moser #21964 ( DAE LE PR) - The One Child Policy and Promotion of Mayors in China
Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, Xiao Yu Wang, and Shuang Zhang #21963 ( DEV LS PE POL) - Partners in Crime: Schools, Neighborhoods and the Formation of Criminal Networks
Stephen B. Billings, David J. Deming, and Stephen L. Ross #21962 ( CH ED LS) - Using Lagged Outcomes to Evaluate Bias in Value-Added Models
Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, and Jonah Rockoff #21961 ( CH ED LS PE) - The Bright Side of Patents
Joan Farre-Mensa, Deepak Hegde, and Alexander Ljungqvist #21959 ( LE PR) - Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #21958 ( IFM ME) - The Effects of Trade Policy
Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Nina Pavcnik #21957 ( DEV ITI) - The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles
Martin Beraja, Erik Hurst, and Juan Ospina #21956 ( EFG IFM ITI ME) - Financial Frictions and Unconventional Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies
Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #21955 ( IFM) - Japanization: Is it Endemic or Epidemic?
Takatoshi Ito #21954 ( IFM) - Supply and Demand for Discrimination: Strategic Revelation of Own Characteristics in a Trust Game
Anthony Heyes and John A. List #21953 ( LS) - Bankruptcy and Investment: Evidence from Changes in Marital Property Laws in the U.S. South, 1840-1850
Peter Koudijs and Laura Salisbury #21952 ( CF DAE LE)
Week of February 1, 2016
- To Borrow or Not to Borrow? An Analysis of University Leverage Decisions
Harvey S. Rosen and Alexander J. W. Sappington #21951 ( ED PE) - Net Neutrality: A Fast Lane to Understanding the Trade-offs
Shane Greenstein, Martin Peitz, and Tommaso Valletti #21950 ( IO PR) - Appliance Ownership and Aspirations among Electric Grid and Home Solar Households in Rural Kenya
Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram #21949 ( DEV EEE) - Political Economy of Sovereign Debt: A Theory of Cycles of Populism and Austerity
Alessandro Dovis, Mikhail Golosov, and Ali Shourideh #21948 ( EFG IFM POL) - Separate and Unequal in the Labor Market: Human Capital and the Jim Crow Wage Gap
Celeste K. Carruthers and Marianne H. Wanamaker #21947 ( DAE LS ED) - Parental Influences on Health and Longevity: Lessons from a Large Sample of Adoptees
Mikael Lindahl, Evelina Lundberg, Mårten Palme, and Emilia Simeonova #21946 ( CH HE) - Overconfident Investors, Predictable Returns, and Excessive Trading
Kent Daniel and David Hirshleifer #21945 ( AP) - Extrapolation and Bubbles
Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer #21944 ( AP) - Unanimous Rules in the Laboratory
Laurent Bouton, Aniol Llorente-Saguer, and Frédéric Malherbe #21943 ( POL) - A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth
Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #21942 ( EFG ME) - Immigration to the U.S.: A problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?
Anna Maria Mayda, Giovanni Peri, and Walter Steingress #21941 ( POL) - Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from the U.S.
Courtney Coile, Kevin S. Milligan, and David A. Wise #21940 ( AG) - Social Security and Retirement Programs Around the World: The Capacity to Work at Older Ages – Introduction and Summary
Courtney Coile, Kevin S. Milligan, and David A. Wise #21939 ( AG) - Strong Sterling Pound and Weak European Currencies in the Crises: Evidence from Covered Interest Parity of Secured Rates
Shin-ichi Fukuda #21938 ( IFM) - The Effect of Smoking on Obesity: Evidence from a Randomized Trial
Charles Courtemanche, Rusty Tchernis, and Benjamin Ukert #21937 ( HC HE) - Childhood Environment and Gender Gaps in Adulthood
Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Frina Lin, Jeremy Majerovitz, and Benjamin Scuderi #21936 ( CH ED LS PE) - How Exporters Grow
Doireann Fitzgerald, Stefanie Haller, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi #21935 ( EFG IFM ITI PR) - Starting Small: Endogenous Stakes and Rational Cooperation
James Andreoni, Michael A. Kuhn, and Larry Samuelson #21934 ( PE) - Obama, Katrina, and the Persistence of Racial Inequality
Robert A. Margo #21933 ( DAE LS) - State Capacity and American Technology: Evidence from the 19th Century
Daron Acemoglu, Jacob Moscona, and James A. Robinson #21932 ( DAE) - Relative Price Dispersion: Evidence and Theory
Greg Kaplan, Guido Menzio, Leena Rudanko, and Nicholas Trachter #21931 ( EFG IO) - Saving Lives or Saving Money? Understanding the Dual Nature of Physician Preferences
Alice Chen and Darius N. Lakdawalla #21930 ( AG HC HE) - Incentivizing Nutritious Diets: A Field Experiment of Relative Price Changes and How They are Framed
John Cawley, Andrew S. Hanks, David R. Just, and Brian Wansink #21929 ( CH HC HE PE) - Taxation, Corruption, and Growth
Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Julia Cagé, and William R. Kerr #21928 ( EFG PE PR) - Positive and Normative Judgments Implicit in U.S. Tax Policy, and the Costs of Unequal Growth and Recessions
Benjamin B. Lockwood and Matthew C. Weinzierl #21927 ( PE)
Week of January 25, 2016
- Raising the Bar for College Admission: North Carolina’s Increase in Minimum Math Course Requirements
Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen Ladd #21926 ( ED) - How Successful Was the New Deal? The Microeconomic Impact of New Deal Spending and Lending Policies in the 1930s
Price V. Fishback #21925 ( DAE) - Skewed Wealth Distributions: Theory and Empirics
Jess Benhabib and Alberto Bisin #21924 ( EFG) - Not Working at Work: Loafing, Unemployment and Labor Productivity
Michael Burda, Katie R. Genadek, and Daniel S. Hamermesh #21923 ( LS) - Teacher Turnover, Teacher Quality, and Student Achievement in DCPS
Melinda Adnot, Thomas Dee, Veronica Katz, and James Wyckoff #21922 ( CH ED) - Overconfidence and Occupational Choice
Edward P. Lazear #21921 ( LS PR) - Intermediary Asset Pricing: New Evidence from Many Asset Classes
Zhiguo He, Bryan Kelly, and Asaf Manela #21920 ( AP CF EFG IFM) - Dynamic Debt Maturity
Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt #21919 ( AP CF) - Australia Farewell: Predictors of Emigration in the 2000s
Richard V. Burkhauser, Markus H. Hahn, Matthew Hall, and Nicole Watson #21918 ( LS) - The Implications of Richer Earnings Dynamics for Consumption, Wealth, and Welfare
Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Gonzalo Paz Pardo #21917 ( PE) - Housing Inequality
David Albouy and Mike Zabek #21916 ( LS PE) - Guns, Latrines, and Land Reform: Private Expectations and Public Policy
Michael Kremer and Jack Willis #21915 ( DEV PE) - Life-Cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons From U.S. Immigrants
David Lagakos, Benjamin Moll, Tommaso Porzio, Nancy Qian, and Todd Schoellman #21914 ( EFG) - The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations
Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn #21913 ( LS) - Is California More Energy Efficient than the Rest of the Nation? Evidence from Commercial Real Estate
Matthew E. Kahn, Nils Kok, and Peng Liu #21912 ( EEE PE) - How Collateral Laws Shape Lending and Sectoral Activity
Charles W. Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, José M. Liberti, and Jason D. Sturgess #21911 ( CF) - Infrastructure, Incentives and Institutions
Nava Ashraf, Edward L. Glaeser, and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto #21910 ( DAE DEV ITI LE) - Private Equity's Unintended Dark Side: On the Economic Consequences of Excessive Delistings
Alexander Ljungqvist, Lars Persson, and Joacim Tåg #21909 ( CF POL) - School Quality and the Gender Gap in Educational Achievement
David H. Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #21908 ( CH LS) - The Influence of Ancestral Lifeways on Individual Economic Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa
Stelios Michalopoulos, Louis Putterman, and David N. Weil #21907 ( DEV EFG POL) - The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade
David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson #21906 ( ITI LS) - Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries
Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, and Michael Peters #21905 ( DEV EFG IO PR) - Reminders & Recidivism: Evidence from Tax Filing & EITC Participation among Low-Income Nonfilers
John Guyton, Dayanand S. Manoli, Brenda Schafer, and Michael Sebastiani #21904 ( PE) - Coasean Bargaining to Address Environmental Externalities
Gary D. Libecap #21903 ( DAE EEE PE) - Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind: Are Costs Larger Also with Less Effective Macroprudential Policy?
Lars E.O. Svensson #21902 ( ME) - Violence Against Women: A Cross-cultural Analysis for Africa
Alberto Alesina, Benedetta Brioschi, and Eliana La Ferrara #21901 ( POL) - The Welfare Costs of Well-being Inequality
Leonard Goff, John F. Helliwell, and Guy Mayraz #21900 ( DEV PE POL)
Week of January 18, 2016
- Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting
J. Bradford Jensen, Dennis P. Quinn, and Stephen Weymouth #21899 ( ITI POL) - On the Desirability of Capital Controls
Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri #21898 ( EFG IFM) - Monetary Policy According to HANK
Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante #21897 ( EFG IFM ME) - The Role of Bequests in Shaping Wealth Inequality: Evidence from Danish Wealth Records
Simon H. Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Claus T. Kreiner #21896 ( AG EFG PE) - Can States Take Over and Turn Around School Districts? Evidence from Lawrence, Massachusetts
Beth E. Schueler, Joshua Goodman, and David J. Deming #21895 ( CH ED LS) - Out of Africa: Human Capital Consequences of In Utero Conditions
Victor Lavy, Analia Schlosser, and Adi Shany #21894 ( CH DEV ED HC HE LS) - Moment Inequalities for Multinomial Choice with Fixed Effects
Ariel Pakes and Jack Porter #21893 ( IO LS) - Wholesale Banking and Bank Runs in Macroeconomic Modelling of Financial Crises
Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, and Andrea Prestipino #21892 ( EFG ME) - Procrastination in Teams
Joshua S. Gans and Peter Landry #21891 ( PR) - What We Learn from China's Rising Shadow Banking: Exploring the Nexus of Monetary Tightening and Banks' Role in Entrusted Lending
Kaiji Chen, Jue Ren, and Tao Zha #21890 ( AP EFG LE ME) - Patents and Research Investments: Assessing the Empirical Evidence
Eric Budish, Benjamin N. Roin, and Heidi L. Williams #21889 ( IO LE PE PR) - Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk
Robert J. Barro and Gordon Y. Liao #21888 ( AP EFG) - The Evolution of Gender Gaps in Industrialized Countries
Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo #21887 ( EFG LS) - Foreigners Knocking on the Door: Trade in China During the Treaty Port Era
Wolfgang Keller, Javier Andres Santiago, and Carol H. Shiue #21886 ( ITI) - The Micro Origins of International Business Cycle Comovement
Julian di Giovanni, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Isabelle Mejean #21885 ( IFM ITI) - Cables, Sharks and Servers: Technology and the Geography of the Foreign Exchange Market
Barry Eichengreen, Romain Lafarguette, and Arnaud Mehl #21884 ( IFM) - Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy
Emily J. Blanchard, Chad P. Bown, and Robert C. Johnson #21883 ( ITI) - Immigration in American Economic History
Ran Abramitzky and Leah Platt Boustan #21882 ( DAE LS) - Colonial Virginia's Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: Value Decomposition and Performance
Farley Grubb #21881 ( DAE) - Liquidity Regulation and Unintended Financial Transformation in China
Kinda Cheryl Hachem and Zheng Michael Song #21880 ( CF EFG ME) - Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle
David López-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein, and Egon Zakrajšek #21879 ( AP CF ME) - International Coordination
Jeffrey A. Frankel #21878 ( IFM ME) - Social Frictions to Knowledge Diffusion: Evidence from an Information Intervention
Arthur Alik-Lagrange and Martin Ravallion #21877 ( DEV PE) - Tax Policy and Heterogeneous Investment Behavior
Eric Zwick and James Mahon #21876 ( CF PE) - Multiple Hypothesis Testing in Experimental Economics
John A. List, Azeem M. Shaikh, and Yang Xu #21875 ( EEE PE) - How do Average Hours Worked Vary with Development? Cross-Country Evidence and Implications
Alexander Bick, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, and David Lagakos #21874 ( EFG) - Rich, Poor, Singles, and Couples. Who Receives Medicaid in Old Age and Why?
Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Eric French #21873 ( AG HC HE PE) - Economic Growth and Convergence, Applied Especially to China
Robert J. Barro #21872 ( EFG) - Rare Events and Long-Run Risks
Robert J. Barro and Tao Jin #21871 ( AP EFG ME) - Forecasting Trends in Disability in a Super-Aging Society: Adapting the Future Elderly Model to Japan
Brian K. Chen, Hawre Jalal, Hideki Hashimoto, Sze-Chuan Suen, Karen Eggleston, Michael Hurley, Lena Schoemaker, and Jay Bhattacharya #21870 ( AG HC HE) - An Illiquid Market in the Desert: The Role of Interest Groups in Shaping Environmental Regulation
Eric C. Edwards, Oscar Cristi, Gonzalo Edwards, and Gary D. Libecap #21869 ( DAE EEE) - Double for Nothing? Experimental Evidence on the Impact of an Unconditional Teacher Salary Increase on Student Performance in Indonesia
Joppe de Ree, Karthik Muralidharan, Menno Pradhan, and Halsey Rogers #21806 ( CH DEV ED LS PE)
Week of January 11, 2016
- Patent Citation Data in Social Science Research: Overview and Best Practices
Adam B. Jaffe and Gaétan de Rassenfosse #21868 ( PR) - Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon
Eric M. Leeper and Campbell Leith #21867 ( EFG) - Fragility of Purely Real Macroeconomic Models
Narayana Kocherlakota #21866 ( EFG ME) - The Causal Effects of Cultural Relevance: Evidence from an Ethnic Studies Curriculum
Thomas Dee and Emily Penner #21865 ( ED) - Secular Labor Reallocation and Business Cycles
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Johannes Wieland #21864 ( EFG LS ME) - Macroeconomic Regimes and Regime Shifts
James D. Hamilton #21863 ( AP EFG ME) - Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Juan F. Rubio Ramírez, and Frank Schorfheide #21862 ( EFG) - Balanced Growth Despite Uzawa
Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield, and Thomas Sampson #21861 ( EFG) - EU Accession and Foreign Owned Firms in Bulgaria
Zadia M. Feliciano and Nadia Doytch #21860 ( ITI) - Electoral Incentives and the Allocation of Public Funds
Frederico Finan and Maurizio Mazzocco #21859 ( DEV POL) - Disentangling Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in Private Health Insurance
David Powell and Dana Goldman #21858 ( HC HE) - Horizontal and Vertical Conflict: Experimental Evidence
Sebastian Galiani, Cheryl Long, Camila Navajas, and Gustavo Torrens #21857 ( DEV) - America's First Great Moderation
Joseph Davis and Marc D. Weidenmier #21856 ( DAE EFG ME) - Uncertainty, Tacit Knowledge, and Practice Variation: Evidence from Physicians in Training
David C. Chan, Jr #21855 ( HC HE IO LS PR) - Simplifying Choices in Defined Contribution Retirement Plan Design
Donald B. Keim and Olivia S. Mitchell #21854 ( AG) - The 2008 Financial Crisis and the Lack of Retaliatory Trade Intervention
Chunding Li and John Whalley #21853 ( ITI) - International Channels of Transmission of Monetary Policy and the Mundellian Trilemma
Hélène Rey #21852 ( AP IFM ME) - The Effect of Disability Insurance Payments on Beneficiaries’ Earnings
Alexander Gelber, Timothy Moore, and Alexander Strand #21851 ( AG HC HE LS PE) - The Wage Impact of the Marielitos: Additional Evidence
George J. Borjas #21850 ( LS) - Expanding Governance as Development: Evidence on Child Nutrition in the Philippines
Eli Berman, Mitch Downey, and Joseph Felter #21849 ( DEV HE PE) - Behavioral Macroeconomics Via Sparse Dynamic Programming
Xavier Gabaix #21848 ( AG AP EFG PE) - Migrants, Ancestors, and Investment
Konrad B. Burchardi, Thomas Chaney, and Tarek A. Hassan #21847 ( CF DAE DEV IFM ITI POL PR) - The Incidence of Mandated Health Insurance: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Dependent Care Mandate
Gopi Shah Goda, Monica Farid, and Jay Bhattacharya #21846 ( HC HE LS) - The Decline in the Nutritional Status of the U.S. Antebellum Population at the Onset of Modern Economic Growth
John Komlos and Brian A'Hearn #21845 ( DAE DEV HE) - The Global Diffusion of Ideas
Francisco J. Buera and Ezra Oberfield #21844 ( EFG) - Deadly Embrace: Sovereign and Financial Balance Sheets Doom Loops
Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole #21843 ( EFG IFM ME PE) - Using Split Samples to Improve Inference about Causal Effects
Marcel Fafchamps and Julien Labonne #21842 ( DEV) - Human Capital Investment, Inequality and Economic Growth
Kevin M. Murphy and Robert H. Topel #21841 ( LS) - The Interaction and Sequencing of Policy Reforms
Jose Asturias, Sewon Hur, Timothy J. Kehoe, and Kim J. Ruhl #21840 ( EFG IFM ITI)
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