NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) - Working Papers
Weekly papers released by December 23, 2019
- The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle
Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan #26583 (AP, EFG, IFM) - Impact Investing
Brad M. Barber, Adair Morse, and Ayako Yasuda #26582 (AP, CF) - The Impact of Intranational Trade Barriers on Exports: Evidence from a Nationwide VAT Rebate Reform in China
Jie Bai and Jiahua Liu #26581 (DEV, ITI, POL) - Asset Prices and Unemployment Fluctuations
Patrick J. Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan, and Elena Pastorino #26580 (AP, EFG, IFM, LS, ME) - Industry Structure, Segmentation, and Competition in the U.S. Hotel Industry
R. Andrew Butters and Thomas N. Hubbard #26579 (IO) - Expanded GDP for Welfare Measurement in the 21st Century
Charles R. Hulten and Leonard I. Nakamura #26578 (PR) - Network Data
Bryan S. Graham #26577 (DEV, IO, ITI, LS, TWP) - The Economic Impact of Distributing Financial Products on Third-Party Online Platforms
Claire Yurong Hong, Xiaomeng Lu, and Jun Pan #26576 (AP) - Price Discovery and Market Segmentation in China's Credit Market
Zhe Geng and Jun Pan #26575 (AP, IFM) - Are Poor Cities Cheap for Everyone? Non-Homotheticity and the Cost of Living Across U.S. Cities
Jessie Handbury #26574 (ITI) - The Local Residential Land Use Regulatory Environment Across U.S. Housing Markets: Evidence from a New Wharton Index
Joseph Gyourko, Jonathan Hartley, and Jacob Krimmel #26573 (PE) - Vote Choice Formation and Minimal Effects of TV Debates: Evidence from 61 Elections in 9 OECD Countries
Caroline Le Pennec and Vincent Pons #26572 (POL) - Who Pays for and Who Benefits from Minimum Wage Increases? Evidence from Israeli Tax Data on Business Owners and Workers
Lev Drucker, Katya Mazirov, and David Neumark #26571 (LS, PE) - Non-Linear Effects of Tax Changes on Output: The Role of the Initial Level of Taxation
Samara Gunter, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin #26570 (IFM) - Forecasting with a Panel Tobit Model
Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon, and Frank Schorfheide #26569 (EFG, ME) - Revealed Preference Analysis of School Choice Models
Nikhil Agarwal and Paulo J. Somaini #26568 (ED, IO) - Social Media and Xenophobia: Evidence from Russia
Leonardo Bursztyn, Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, and Maria Petrova #26567 (PE, POL) - Using Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks for the Design of Monte Carlo Simulations
Susan Athey, Guido W. Imbens, Jonas Metzger, and Evan M. Munro #26566 (IO, LS) - Skewed Business Cycles
Sergio Salgado, Fatih Guvenen, and Nicholas Bloom #26565 (EFG) - Government Guarantees and Bank Vulnerability during a Crisis: Evidence from an Emerging Market
Viral V. Acharya and Nirupama Kulkarni #26564 (CF)
Weekly papers released by December 16, 2019
- Local Exposure to School Shootings and Youth Antidepressant Use
Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell, Hannes Schwandt, Sam Trejo, and Lindsey Uniat #26563 (CH, HE, LS, PE) - Factorial Designs, Model Selection, and (Incorrect) Inference in Randomized Experiments
Karthik Muralidharan, Mauricio Romero, and Kaspar Wüthrich #26562 (DEV, ED, HE, LS, TWP) - Financial Risk Capacity
Saki Bigio and Adrien d'Avernas #26561 (EFG, ME) - The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r*
Josh Davis, Cristian Fuenzalida, and Alan M. Taylor #26560 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Do Appeals to Donor Benefits Raise More Money than Appeals to Recipient Benefits? Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment with Pick.Click.Give.
John A. List, James J. Murphy, Michael K. Price, and Alexander G. James #26559 (EEE, PE) - Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature
Alessandro Rebucci and Chang Ma #26558 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME, POL) - The Importance of Beliefs in Shaping Macroeconomic Outcomes
Roger Farmer #26557 (EFG) - Equilibrium Grade Inflation with Implications for Female Interest in STEM Majors
Thomas Ahn, Peter Arcidiacono, Amy Hopson, and James R. Thomas #26556 (ED) - Your Place in the World: The Demand for National and Global Redistribution
Dietmar Fehr, Johanna Mollerstrom, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #26555 (ITI, LE, PE, POL) - Why are Average Hours Worked Lower in Richer Countries?
Alexander Bick, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, David Lagakos, and Hitoshi Tsujiyama #26554 (DEV, EFG) - Medicaid Expansion and the Unemployed
Thomas C. Buchmueller, Helen G. Levy, and Robert G. Valletta #26553 (HC, HE) - Older Workers Need Not Apply? Ageist Language in Job Ads and Age Discrimination in Hiring
Ian Burn, Patrick Button, Luis Felipe Munguia Corella, and David Neumark #26552 (AG, LS) - Abandoned by Coal, Swallowed by Opioids?
Gilbert E. Metcalf and Qitong Wang #26551 (EEE, HE) - Moral Hazard, Wildfires, and the Economic Incidence of Natural Disasters
Patrick Baylis and Judson Boomhower #26550 (EEE) - Sustainable Investing in Equilibrium
Lubos Pastor, Robert F. Stambaugh, and Lucian A. Taylor #26549 (AP, CF, EEE) - Coordinated Work Schedules and the Gender Wage Gap
German Cubas, Chinhui Juhn, and Pedro Silos #26548 (EFG, LS) - Firm and Worker Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market
Adrien G. Bilal, Niklas Engbom, Simon Mongey, and Giovanni L. Violante #26547 (EFG) - Balance Sheet Insolvency and Contribution Revenue in Public Charities
Tatiana Homonoff, Thomas L. Spreen, and Travis St.Clair #26546 (PE) - Endogenous Corporate Leverage Response to a Safer Macro Environment: The Case of Foreign Exchange Reserve Accumulation
Hui Tong and Shang-Jin Wei #26545 (CF, IFM) - Wealth Taxation in the United States
Edward N. Wolff #26544 (PE, POL) - Index Funds and the Future of Corporate Governance: Theory, Evidence, and Policy
Lucian A. Bebchuk and Scott Hirst #26543 (CF, LE)
Weekly papers released by December 9, 2019
- Services Development and Comparative Advantage in Manufacturing
Xuepeng Liu, Aaditya Mattoo, Zhi Wang, and Shang-Jin Wei #26542 (DEV, ITI) - From Fog to Smog: the Value of Pollution Information
Panle Jia Barwick, Shanjun Li, Liguo Lin, and Eric Zou #26541 (EEE, HE, IO) - Going Green in China: Firms’ Responses to Stricter Environmental Regulations
Haichao Fan, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Zonglai Kou, Xueyue Liu, and Huanhuan Wang #26540 (EEE, PE, PR) - Conceptual Aspects of Global Value Chains
Pol Antràs #26539 (ITI) - Q-factors and Investment CAPM
Lu Zhang #26538 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM) - China's Unconventional Nationwide CO2 Emissions Trading System: The Wide-Ranging Impacts of an Implicit Output Subsidy
Lawrence H. Goulder, Xianling Long, Jieyi Lu, and Richard D. Morgenstern #26537 (EEE, PE) - The Effects of Immigration on the Economy: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure
Ran Abramitzky, Philipp Ager, Leah Platt Boustan, Elior Cohen, and Casper W. Hansen #26536 (DEV, LS) - Rethinking Production Under Uncertainty
John H. Cochrane #26535 (AP, EFG) - More (or Less) Economic Limits of the Blockchain
Joshua S. Gans and Neil Gandal #26534 (PR) - Health Insurance and Mortality: Experimental Evidence from Taxpayer Outreach
Jacob Goldin, Ithai Z. Lurie, and Janet McCubbin #26533 (AG, HC, HE, PE) - Evaluating the Success of President Johnson’s War on Poverty: Revisiting the Historical Record Using a Full-Income Poverty Measure
Richard V. Burkhauser, Kevin Corinth, James Elwell, and Jeff Larrimore #26532 (LS, PE) - Using Machine Learning to Target Treatment: The Case of Household Energy Use
Christopher R. Knittel and Samuel Stolper #26531 (EEE, IO, LS, PE) - The Old Boys' Club: Schmoozing and the Gender Gap
Zoë B. Cullen and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #26530 (DEV, LE, LS, PE, POL, PR) - Measuring and Using Happiness to Support Public Policies
John F. Helliwell #26529 (PE, POL) - Does Household Electrification Supercharge Economic Development?
Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram #26528 (DEV, EEE) - Income and Wealth Volatility: Evidence from Italy and the U.S. in the Past Two Decades
Conchita D'Ambrosio, Giorgia Menta, and Edward N. Wolff #26527 (LS) - The Shrinking Advantage of Market Potential
Marius Brülhart, Klaus Desmet, and Gian-Paolo Klinke #26526 (DEV, EFG, ITI) - The Firm's Role in Displaced Workers' Earnings Losses
Brendan Moore and Judith Scott-Clayton #26525 (LS) - The Geography of Prescription Pharmaceuticals Supplied to the U.S.: Levels, Trends and Implications
Neriman Beste Kaygisiz, Yashna Shivdasani, Rena M. Conti, and Ernst R. Berndt #26524 (, IO, ITI, HC) - Does a One-Size-Fits-All Minimum Wage Cause Financial Stress for Small Businesses?
Sudheer Chava, Alexander Oettl, and Manpreet Singh #26523 (CF, LS, POL, PR) - Estimating Biases in Smoking Cessation: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Frank J. Chaloupka IV, Matthew R. Levy, and Justin S. White #26522 (HE) - Hidden in Plain Sight: Venture Growth with or without Venture Capital
Christian Catalini, Jorge Guzman, and Scott Stern #26521 (PR) - The Investment Network, Sectoral Comovement, and the Changing U.S. Business Cycle
Christian vom Lehn and Thomas Winberry #26507 (EFG, ME) - Using Network Method to Measure Financial Interconnection
Ying Xu and Jennifer Corbett #26499 (IFM)
Weekly papers released by December 2, 2019
- Pledgeability and Asset Prices: Evidence from the Chinese Corporate Bond Markets
Hui Chen, Zhuo Chen, Zhiguo He, Jinyu Liu, and Rengming Xie #26520 (AP, CF, DEV, EFG, IFM) - Labor in the Boardroom
Simon Jäger, Benjamin Schoefer, and Jörg Heining #26519 (CF, EFG, LE, LS, , POL, PR) - Cognitive Uncertainty
Benjamin Enke and Thomas Graeber #26518 (POL) - Text Selection
Bryan T. Kelly, Asaf Manela, and Alan Moreira #26517 (AP) - Subjective Parental Beliefs. Their Measurement and Role
Orazio Attanasio, Flávio Cunha, and Pamela Jervis #26516 (CH) - Moved to Vote: The Long-Run Effects of Neighborhoods on Political Participation
Eric Chyn and Kareem Haggag #26515 (CH, LS, PE, POL) - Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip
Arpit Gupta and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #26514 (AP, CF) - Disability Insurance: Error Rates and Gender Differences
Hamish Low and Luigi Pistaferri #26513 (LS) - The Surprising Hybrid Pedigree of Measures of Diversity and Economic Concentration
Paolo M. Adajar, Ernst R. Berndt, and Rena M. Conti #26512 (HC, IO, LE) - Decision-Making in Complex Households
Marcos Rangel and Duncan Thomas #26511 (DEV) - Hot Shots: An Analysis of the 'Hot Hand' in NBA Field Goal and Free Throw Shooting
Robert M. Lantis and Erik T. Nesson #26510 (LS) - Does Virtual Advising Increase College Enrollment? Evidence from a Random Assignment College Access Field Experiment
Meredith Phillips and Sarah J. Reber #26509 (ED) - Predicting Insurance Demand from Risk Attitudes
Johannes G. Jaspersen, Marc A. Ragin, and Justin R. Sydnor #26508 (HC, IO, PE, TWP) - The Impact of E-Commerce on Relative Prices and Consumer Welfare
Yoon J. Jo, Misaki Matsumura, and David E. Weinstein #26506 (ITI) - Does High Frequency Social Media Data Improve Forecasts of Low Frequency Consumer Confidence Measures?
Steven F. Lehrer, Tian Xie, and Tao Zeng #26505 (AP) - The Impact of Expanding Public Health Insurance on Safety Net Program Participation: Evidence from the ACA Medicaid Expansion
Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard, and Tara Watson #26504 (CH, HE, LS, PE) - Demographic Obstacles to European Growth
Thomas F. Cooley, Espen Henriksen, and Charlie Nusbaum #26503 (AG) - O Brother, Where Start Thou? Sibling Spillovers in College Enrollment
Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, Christine Mulhern, and Jonathan Smith #26502 (CH, ED, LS) - Regional Data in Macroeconomics: Some Advice for Practitioners
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich #26501 (CF, EFG, ME) - Origins of the Opioid Crisis and Its Enduring Impacts
Abby E. Alpert, William N. Evans, Ethan M.J. Lieber, and David Powell #26500 (HC, HE) - Building Emergency Savings Through Employer-Sponsored Rainy-day Savings Accounts
John Beshears, James J. Choi, Mark Iwry, David John, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #26498 (AG, LS) - Where Have All the Children Gone? An Empirical Study of Child Abandonment and Abduction in China
Xiaojia Bao, Sebastian Galiani, Kai Li, and Cheryl Long #26492 (DEV) - Measuring “Dark Matter” in Asset Pricing Models
Hui Chen, Winston Wei Dou, and Leonid Kogan #26418 (AP)
Weekly papers released by November 25, 2019
- Stranded Fossil Fuel Reserves and Firm Value
Christina Atanasova and Eduardo S. Schwartz #26497 (AP, EEE) - Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?
Kristin Forbes #26496 (IFM, ME) - Does Stock Market Listing Impact Investment in Japan?
Joseph J. French, Ryosuke Fujitani, and Yukihiro Yasuda #26495 (CF) - Commonality in Credit Spread Changes: Dealer Inventory and Intermediary Distress
Zhiguo He, Paymon Khorrami, and Zhaogang Song #26494 (AP, CF, ME) - Estimating The Anomaly Base Rate
Alexander M. Chinco, Andreas Neuhierl, and Michael Weber #26493 (AP, CF) - The Effects of Foreign-Born Peers in US High Schools and Middle Schools
Jason Fletcher, Jinho Kim, Jenna Nobles, Stephen Ross, and Irina Shaorshadze #26491 (CH, ED, HE, LS) - Spillover Effects of IP Protection in the Inter-war Aircraft Industry
Walker Hanlon and Taylor Jaworski #26490 (DAE, PR) - Water Purification Efforts and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap, 1906-1938
D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, Daniel I. Rees, and Tianyi Wang #26489 (DAE, HE) - Driving Behavior and the Price of Gasoline: Evidence from Fueling-Level Micro Data
Christopher R. Knittel and Shinsuke Tanaka #26488 (EEE, IO) - Racial Disparities in Voting Wait Times: Evidence from Smartphone Data
M. Keith Chen, Kareem Haggag, Devin G. Pope, and Ryne Rohla #26487 (LS, PE, POL) - Financing Entrepreneurship through the Tax Code: Angel Investor Tax Credits
Sabrina T. Howell and Filippo Mezzanotti #26486 (CF, PR) - The Specialness of Zero
Joshua S. Gans #26485 (IO, PR) - Leaning In or Not Leaning Out? Opt-Out Choice Framing Attenuates Gender Differences in the Decision to Compete
Joyce He, Sonia Kang, and Nicola Lacetera #26484 (LS, PR, ED) - The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers
Enrico Moretti, Claudia Steinwender, and John Van Reenen #26483 (IO, ITI, LS, PE, PR) - Delineating Urban Areas Using Building Density
Marie-Pierre de Bellefon, Pierre-Philippe Combes, Gilles Duranton, Laurent Gobillon, and Clément Gorin #26482 (ITI, PE) - The Impact of the General Data Protection Regulation on Internet Interconnection
Ran Zhuo, Bradley Huffaker, kc claffy, and Shane Greenstein #26481 (IO, PR) - Teacher Effects on Student Achievement and Height: A Cautionary Tale
Marianne Bitler, Sean Corcoran, Thurston Domina, and Emily Penner #26480 (CH, ED) - Does the Lack of Financial Stability Impair the Transmission of Monetary Policy?
Viral V. Acharya, Björn Imbierowicz, Sascha Steffen, and Daniel Teichmann #26479 (CF, ME) - Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Investigation
Alejandro Izquierdo, Ruy E. Lama, Juan Pablo Medina, Jorge P. Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin #26478 (IFM) - Does Electricity Drive Structural Transformation? Evidence from the United States
Paul Gaggl, Rowena Gray, Ioana Marinescu, and Miguel Morin #26477 (DAE, EFG, LS, PR) - Choosing Racial Identity in the United States, 1880-1940
Ricardo Dahis, Emily Nix, and Nancy Qian #26465 (DAE, POL) - Capital Controls: Theory and Evidence
Bilge Erten, Anton Korinek, and Jose Antonio Ocampo #26447 (AP, IFM, ME)
Weekly papers released by November 18, 2019
- The Earned Income Tax Credit and Infant Health Revisited
Daniel L. Dench and Theodore J. Joyce #26476 (CH, HE) - Shrinking the Tax Gap: Approaches and Revenue Potential
Natasha Sarin and Lawrence H. Summers #26475 (CF, PE) - Beveridgean Unemployment Gap
Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez #26474 (EFG, ME, PE) - A Theory of Economic Unions
Gino Gancia, Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto, and Jaume Ventura #26473 (IFM, ITI, POL) - Does One Medicare Fit All? The Economics of Uniform Health Insurance Benefits
Mark Shepard, Katherine Baicker, and Jonathan S. Skinner #26472 (AG, HC, PE) - Monetary Easing, Leveraged Payouts and Lack of Investment
Viral V. Acharya and Guillaume Plantin #26471 (CF, ME) - Innovation, Growth, and Dynamic Gains from Trade
Wen-Tai Hsu, Raymond G. Riezman, and Ping Wang #26470 (EFG, ITI, PR) - Endogenous Leverage and Default in the Laboratory
Marco Cipriani, Ana Fostel, and Daniel Houser #26469 (AP, IFM, ME) - Trade Wars, Technology and Productivity
Ching-mu Chen, Wan-Jung Cheng, Shin-Kun Peng, Raymond Riezman, and Ping Wang #26468 (EFG, ITI) - Selection with Variation in Diagnostic Skill: Evidence from Radiologists
David C. Chan Jr, Matthew Gentzkow, and Chuan Yu #26467 (AG, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE) - Consumption Insurance Against Wage Risk: Family Labor Supply and Optimal Progressive Income Taxation
Chunzan Wu and Dirk Krueger #26466 (EFG, LS, PE) - Redeemable Platform Currencies
Yang You and Kenneth S. Rogoff #26464 (EFG, IFM, ME) - The Surrogate Index: Combining Short-Term Proxies to Estimate Long-Term Treatment Effects More Rapidly and Precisely
Susan Athey, Raj Chetty, Guido W. Imbens, and Hyunseung Kang #26463 (AG, CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Do Minimum Wages Reduce Employment in Developing Countries? A Survey and Exploration of Conflicting Evidence
David Neumark and Luis Felipe Munguia Corella #26462 (DEV, LS) - A Global View of Creative Destruction
Chang-Tai Hsieh, Peter J. Klenow, and Ishan B. Nath #26461 (EFG, ITI) - Does The Market Reward Quality?: Evidence from India
Zachary Wagner, Somalee Banerjee, Manoj Mohanan, and Neeraj Sood #26460 (CH, DEV, HC, HE) - Some Contributions of Economics to the Study of Personality
James J. Heckman, Tomáš Jagelka, and Timothy D. Kautz #26459 (ED, LS) - Nonbank Lending
Sergey Chernenko, Isil Erel, and Robert Prilmeier #26458 (CF) - Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation
Zhenyu Gao, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #26457 (AP, CF, EFG, ME, PE) - Recruit to Reject? Harvard and African American Applicants
Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom #26456 (ED, LE, LS) - How do Hospitals Respond to Payment Incentives?
Gautam Gowrisankaran, Keith A. Joiner, and Jianjing Lin #26455 (HC, IO, PE) - The Welfare Magnet Hypothesis: Evidence From an Immigrant Welfare Scheme in Denmark
Ole Agersnap, Amalie Sofie Jensen, and Henrik Kleven #26454 (LS, PE) - The Effect of Changes in the Skill Premium on College Degree Attainment and the Choice of Major
Ran Abramitzky, Victor Lavy, and Maayan Segev #26420 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by November 11, 2019
- Skill Prices, Occupations, and Changes in the Wage Structure for Low Skilled Men
Christopher R. Taber and Nicolas A. Roys #26453 (LS) - Tax Prices and Charitable Giving: Projected Changes in Donations Under the 2017 TCJA
Jonathan Meer and Benjamin A. Priday #26452 (PE) - Rules without Commitment: Reputation and Incentives
Alessandro Dovis and Rishabh Kirpalani #26451 (EFG, IFM, POL) - A Phillips Curve for the Euro Area
Laurence M. Ball and Sandeep Mazumder #26450 (EFG, ME) - Networking Frictions in Venture Capital, and the Gender Gap in Entrepreneurship
Sabrina T. Howell and Ramana Nanda #26449 (CF, PR) - A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents
Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Peter J. Klenow, and Huiyu Li #26448 (EFG, PR) - Listing Advantages Around the World
Kenichi Ueda and Somnath Sharma #26446 (CF, DEV, EFG, IFM) - Crowding In with Impure Altruism: Theory and Evidence from Volunteerism in National Parks
Matthew Kotchen and Katherine R.H. Wagner #26445 (EEE, PE) - A Journal-Based Replication of “Being Chosen to Lead”
Allan Drazen, Anna Dreber Almenberg, Erkut Y. Ozbay, and Erik Snowberg #26444 (DEV, PE, POL) - How Do Economic Shocks Affect Family Health Care Spending Burdens?
Irina B. Grafova, Alan C. Monheit, and Rizie Kumar #26443 (HE) - Intergenerational Health Mobility: Magnitudes and Importance of Schools and Place
Jason Fletcher and Katie M. Jajtner #26442 (CH, HE, LS) - Climate Change, Operating Flexibility and Corporate Investment Decisions
Chen Lin, Thomas Schmid, and Michael S. Weisbach #26441 (CF) - Voting for Democracy: Chile's Plebiscito and the Electoral Participation of a Generation
Ethan Kaplan, Fernando Saltiel, and Sergio S. Urzúa #26440 (POL) - Income Growth and its Distribution from Eisenhower to Obama: The Growing Importance of In-Kind Transfers (1959-2016)
James Elwell, Kevin Corinth, and Richard V. Burkhauser #26439 (LS, PE) - How Do NYPD Officers Respond to Terror Threats?
Steven F. Lehrer and Louis Pierre Lepage #26438 (PE) - How Would 401(k) ‘Rothification’ Alter Saving, Retirement Security, and Inequality?
Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #26437 (AG, LS, PE) - Effects of Mandatory Energy Efficiency Disclosure in Housing Markets
Erica Myers, Steven L. Puller, and Jeremy D. West #26436 (EEE, LE, PE) - The Leverage Factor: Credit Cycles and Asset Returns
Josh Davis and Alan M. Taylor #26435 (AP, DAE, EFG, IFM, ME) - Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?
Emily J. Blanchard, Chad P. Bown, and Davin Chor #26434 (ITI, POL) - Partisanship and Survey Refusal
Mark Borgschulte, Heepyung Cho, and Darren Lubotsky #26433 (LS) - Magnification of the ‘China Shock’ Through the U.S. Housing Market
Yuan Xu, Hong Ma, and Robert C. Feenstra #26432 (ITI) - Political Dynasties, Term Limits and Female Political Empowerment: Evidence from the Philippines
Julien Labonne, Sahar Parsa, and Pablo Querubín #26431 (POL)
Weekly papers released by November 4, 2019
- How Do Low-Income Enrollees in the Affordable Care Act Marketplaces Respond to Cost-Sharing?
Kurt J. Lavetti, Thomas DeLeire, and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #26430 (HC, HE) - Benchmark Interest Rates When the Government is Risky
Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid, and Dongho Song #26429 (AP) - Productivity and Wages: Common Factors and Idiosyncrasies Across Countries and Industries
Edward P. Lazear #26428 (LS) - MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian Model
Carlos Garriga, Finn E. Kydland, and Roman Šustek #26427 (EFG, ME) - Global v. Local Methods in the Analysis of Open-Economy Models with Incomplete Markets
Oliver de Groot, Ceyhun Bora Durdu, and Enrique G. Mendoza #26426 (IFM) - Government Expenditure on the Public Education System
Chao Fu, Shoya Ishimaru, and John Kennan #26425 (ED, EFG, LS) - Demand Analysis with Many Prices
Victor Chernozhukov, Jerry A. Hausman, and Whitney K. Newey #26424 (IO, LS) - Don’t Take Their Word For It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds
Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen, and Umit Gurun #26423 (AP, CF, LE) - Assessing External Validity
Hao Bo and Sebastian Galiani #26422 (DEV) - Effort: The Unrecognized Contributor to US Income Inequality
J. Rodrigo Fuentes and Edward E. Leamer #26421 (, LS) - The Effects of Financial Aid Grant Offers on Postsecondary Educational Outcomes: New Experimental Evidence from the Fund for Wisconsin Scholars
Deven E. Carlson, Felix Elwert, Nicholas Hillman, Alex Schmidt, and Barbara L. Wolfe #26419 (CH, ED) - Quantifying Heterogeneous Returns to Genetic Selection: Evidence from Wisconsin Dairies
Jared P. Hutchins, Brent Hueth, and Guilherme Rosa #26417 (DAE, PR)
Weekly papers released by October 28, 2019
- The Long-Term Effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers: Evidence from U.S. Tax Data
Martha J. Bailey, Tanya S. Byker, Elena Patel, and Shanthi Ramnath #26416 (CH, DAE, LS) - Rational Inattention when Decisions Take Time
Benjamin M. Hébert and Michael Woodford #26415 (ME) - Immigrants’ Changing Labor Market Assimilation in the United States during the Age of Mass Migration
William J. Collins and Ariell Zimran #26414 (DAE, DEV, LS, POL) - Inattentive Economies
George-Marios Angeletos and Karthik Sastry #26413 (EFG, ME) - O Youth and Beauty: Children’s Looks and Children’s Cognitive Development
Daniel S. Hamermesh, Rachel A. Gordon, and Robert Crosnoe #26412 (LS) - Setting a Good Example? Examining Sibling Spillovers in Educational Achievement Using a Regression Discontinuity Design
Krzysztof Karbownik and Umut Özek #26411 (CH, ED) - The Wife’s Protector: A Quantitative Theory Linking Contraceptive Technology with the Decline in Marriage
Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, and Karen A. Kopecky #26410 (DAE, EFG, LS) - Electoral Competition with Fake News
Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman #26409 (POL) - Intergenerational Mobility of Immigrants in the US over Two Centuries
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, Elisa Jácome, and Santiago Pérez #26408 (CH, DAE, LS, PE) - The Return to Education in the Mid-20th Century: Evidence from Twins
James J. Feigenbaum and Hui Ren Tan #26407 (DAE, LS) - Implications of Money-Back Guarantees for Individual Retirement Accounts: Protection Then and Now
Vanya Horneff, Daniel Liebler, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #26406 (AG, LS) - The EITC and the Extensive Margin: A Reappraisal
Henrik Kleven #26405 (EFG, LS, PE) - Rules and Commitment in Communication: an Experimental Analysis
Guillaume R. Fréchette, Alessandro Lizzeri, and Jacopo Perego #26404 (IO, POL) - Spending Reductions in the Medicare Shared Savings Program: Selection or Savings?
J. Michael McWilliams, Laura A. Hatfield, Bruce E. Landon, and Michael E. Chernew #26403 (AG, , HC) - Household Heterogeneity and the Transmission of Foreign Shocks
Sergio de Ferra, Kurt Mitman, and Federica Romei #26402 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Demand Conditions and Worker Safety: Evidence from Price Shocks in Mining
Kerwin Kofi Charles, Matthew S. Johnson, Melvin Stephens Jr., and Do Q. Lee #26401 (LS) - Lending to the Unbanked: Relational Contracting with Loan Sharks
Kevin Lang, Kaiwen Leong, Huailu Li, and Haibo Xu #26400 (DEV, LE, PE) - The Labor Market Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Longitudinal Evidence from the 1930s
Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri, and Vasil Yasenov #26399 (ITI, LS) - Non-Parametric Tests of the Tragedy of the Commons
H. Spencer Banzhaf, Yaqin Liu, Martin Smith, and Frank Asche #26398 (EEE, TWP) - Optimal Policy for Macro-Financial Stability
Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci, and Eric R. Young #26397 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy
Alberto Cavallo, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman, and Jenny Tang #26396 (EFG, IFM, ITI, ME, PE) - Be Cautious with the Precautionary Principle: Evidence from Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident
Matthew J. Neidell, Shinsuke Uchida, and Marcella Veronesi #26395 (EEE, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by October 21, 2019
- Expectations-Based Loss Aversion May Help Explain Seemingly Dominated Choices in Strategy-Proof Mechanisms
Bnaya Dreyfuss, Ori Heffetz, and Matthew Rabin #26394 (ED, PE) - The Impact of Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Taxes on Purchases: Evidence from Four City-Level Taxes in the U.S.
John Cawley, David Frisvold, and David Jones #26393 (HE, PE) - Give Me Your Tired, Your Poor, Your High-Skilled Labor: H-1B Lottery Outcomes and Entrepreneurial Success
Stephen G. Dimmock, Jiekun Huang, and Scott J. Weisbenner #26392 (CF, LS, PE, PR) - Hysteresis from Employer Subsidies
Emmanuel Saez, Benjamin Schoefer, and David Seim #26391 (EFG, LS, PE) - Cities in the Developing World
Gharad Bryan, Edward Glaeser, and Nick Tsivanidis #26390 (DEV, LS) - Design and Analysis of Cluster-Randomized Field Experiments in Panel Data Settings
Bharat K. Chandar, Ali Hortaçsu, John A. List, Ian Muir, and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge #26389 (IO, PE) - Biometric Tracking, Healthcare Provision, and Data Quality: Experimental Evidence from Tuberculosis Control
Thomas Bossuroy, Clara Delavallade, and Vincent Pons #26388 (DEV, HC, HE, POL) - Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy
Enrico Moretti and Daniel J. Wilson #26387 (LS, PE) - My Brother’s Keeper? The Impact of Targeted Educational Supports
Thomas Dee and Emily Penner #26386 (CH, ED) - The Electric Gini: Income Redistribution through Energy Prices
Arik Levinson and Emilson Silva #26385 (EEE) - What to Expect When It Gets Hotter: The Impacts of Prenatal Exposure to Extreme Heat on Maternal and Infant Health
Jiyoon Kim, Ajin Lee, and Maya Rossin-Slater #26384 (CH, EEE, HE) - A Welfare Analysis of Occupational Licensing in U.S. States
Morris M. Kleiner and Evan J. Soltas #26383 (LE, LS, PE) - Playing Hide and Seek: How Lenders Respond to Borrower Protection
Youssef Benzarti #26382 (PE) - Recent Increases in Air Pollution: Evidence and Implications for Mortality
Karen Clay and Nicholas Z. Muller #26381 (EEE) - The Drivers of Social Preferences: Evidence from a Nationwide Tipping Field Experiment
Bharat Chandar, Uri Gneezy, John A. List, and Ian Muir #26380 (PE) - How do Older Workers use Nontraditional Jobs?
Alicia H. Munnell, Geoffrey T. Sanzenbacher, and Abigail N. Walters #26379 (AG) - Minimum Wage in a Multi-Tier Search and Wage-Posting Model with Cross-Market Substitutions
C. Y. Kelvin Yuen and Ping Wang #26378 (EFG, LS, PE) - Defining Opportunity versus Necessity Entrepreneurship: Two Components of Business Creation
Robert W. Fairlie and Frank M. Fossen #26377 (LS, PR) - The Effect of Course Shutouts on Community College Students: Evidence from Waitlist Cutoffs
Silvia Robles, Max Gross, and Robert W. Fairlie #26376 (ED) - Measuring Substitution Patterns in Differentiated Products Industries
Amit Gandhi and Jean-François Houde #26375 (IO) - Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities
Isaiah Andrews, Jonathan Roth, and Ariel Pakes #26374 (IO) - Unit Values for Import and Export Price Indexes – A Proof of Concept
Don Fast and Susan Fleck #26373 (ITI)
Weekly papers released by October 14, 2019
- Does Costly Reversibility Matter for U.S. Public Firms?
Hang Bai, Erica X.N. Li, Chen Xue, and Lu Zhang #26372 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - The Economic Effects of Private Equity Buyouts
Steven J. Davis, John C. Haltiwanger, Kyle Handley, Ben Lipsius, Josh Lerner, and Javier Miranda #26371 (CF) - A Note to “Do ETFs Increase Volatility?”: An Improved Method to Predict Assignment of Stocks into Russell Indexes
Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, and Rabih Moussawi #26370 (AP, CF) - The Banking View of Bond Risk Premia
Valentin Haddad and David A. Sraer #26369 (AP) - Educational, Labor-market and Intergenerational Consequences of Poor Childhood Health
Krzysztof Karbownik and Anthony Wray #26368 (CH, ED, HE) - Subsidy Targeting with Market Power
Maria Polyakova and Stephen P. Ryan #26367 (HC, HE, IO, PE) - Rule of Law and Female Entrepreneurship
Nava Ashraf, Alexia Delfino, and Edward L. Glaeser #26366 (LS, PR) - Macroeconomic Frameworks
Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #26365 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Marriage Equality Laws and Youth Suicidal Behaviors
D. Mark Anderson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #26364 (HE) - What Difference Does a Diagnosis Make? Evidence from Marginal Patients
Mattan Alalouf, Sarah Miller, and Laura R. Wherry #26363 (HC, HE) - Undue Burden Beyond Texas: An Analysis of Abortion Clinic Closures, Births, And Abortions in Wisconsin
Joanna Venator and Jason Fletcher #26362 (CH, HC, HE) - Macroeconomics Challenges and Resilience of Emerging Market Economies
Joshua Aizenman #26361 (IFM) - Can Diffuse Delivery System Reforms Improve Population Health? A Study of the State Innovation Models Initiative
Partha Deb, Anjelica Gangaram, and Hoda Khajavi #26360 (HE) - Exploring The Role of Limited Commitment Constraints in Argentina’s "Missing Capital"
Marek Kapička, Finn Kydland, and Carlos Zarazaga #26359 (DEV, EFG, IFM) - History Dependence, Cohort Attachment, and Job Referrals in Networks of Close Relationships
Ayal Y. Chen-Zion and James E. Rauch #26358 (LS) - Tax Policy and Lumpy Investment Behavior: Evidence from China's VAT Reform
Zhao Chen, Xian Jiang, Zhikuo Liu, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, and Daniel Xu #26336 (EFG, PE, PR) - Job Loss, Credit and Crime in Colombia
Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, Christian Posso, and Jorge A. Tamayo #26313 (DEV, LS) - All Medicaid Expansions Are Not Created Equal: The Geography and Targeting of the Affordable Care Act
Craig Garthwaite, John A. Graves, Tal Gross, Zeynal Karaca, Victoria R. Marone, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #26289 (HC, PE)
Weekly papers released by October 7, 2019
- Poverty, Seasonal Scarcity and Exchange Asymmetries
Dietmar Fehr, Günther Fink, and Kelsey Jack #26357 (AP) - How do Opioid Prescribing Restrictions Affect Pharmaceutical Promotion? Lessons from the Mandatory Access Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs
Thuy D. Nguyen, W. David Bradford, and Kosali I. Simon #26356 (HC, HE) - Service Imports, Workforce Composition, and Firm Performance: Evidence from Finnish Microdata
Andrea Ariu, Katariina Nilsson Hakkala, J. Bradford Jensen, and Saara Tamminen #26355 (ITI) - Credit Smoothing
Sean Hundtofte, Arna Olafsson, and Michaela Pagel #26354 (AP) - The Consumption Response to Trade Shocks: Evidence from the US-China Trade War
Michael E. Waugh #26353 (EFG, ITI) - Long-Term Consequences of Growing up in a Recession on Risk Preferences
Hitoshi Shigeoka #26352 (AG, LS, PE, POL) - A Plucking Model of Business Cycles
Stéphane Dupraz, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #26351 (EFG, ME) - Household Labor Search, Spousal Insurance, and Health Care Reform
Hanming Fang and Andrew J. Shephard #26350 (HC, HE, LS, PE) - Behavioral Responses to State Income Taxation of High Earners: Evidence from California
Joshua Rauh and Ryan J. Shyu #26349 (PE) - A Cross-Cohort Analysis of Human Capital Specialization and the College Gender Wage Gap
Carolyn Sloane, Erik Hurst, and Dan Black #26348 (EFG, LS, PE) - Undisclosed Debt Sustainability
Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk #26347 (IFM) - Can Microfinance Unlock a Poverty Trap for Some Entrepreneurs?
Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, Esther Duflo, and Cynthia Kinnan #26346 (CF, DEV, LS, PR) - The Gender Gap in Self-Promotion
Christine L. Exley and Judd B. Kessler #26345 (ED, LS) - Underwriter Certification, Issuer-Underwriter Matching, and SEO Performance
Charles W. Calomiris, Yehuda Izhakian, and Jaime F. Zender #26344 (AP, CF) - Maternal and Fetal Health Effects of Working during Pregnancy
Dhaval M. Dave and Muzhe Yang #26343 (CH, HC, HE, LS) - The Transformation and Performance of Emerging Market Economies Across the Great Divide of the Global Financial Crisis
Michael D. Bordo and Pierre Siklos #26342 (IFM, ME) - On Frequent Batch Auctions for Stocks
Ravi Jagannathan #26341 (AP) - Benchmarking Global Optimizers
Antoine Arnoud, Fatih Guvenen, and Tatjana Kleineberg #26340 (AP, EFG, LS, ME, TWP) - Poverty Alleviation Strategies Under Informality: Evidence for Latin America
Martín Caruso, Sebastian Galiani, and Federico Weinschelbaum #26339 (DEV) - Drug Diffusion Through Peer Networks: The Influence of Industry Payments
Leila Agha and Dan Zeltzer #26338 (AG, HC, HE, IO, PE, PR) - Retirement in the Shadow (Banking)
Guillermo Ordoñez and Facundo Piguillem #26337 (AG, CF, EFG, ME) - The Consumption Value of College
Yifan Gong, Lance Lochner, Ralph Stinebrickner, and Todd R. Stinebrickner #26335 (ED, LS) - Marriage, Children, and Labor Supply: Beliefs and Outcomes
Yifan Gong, Ralph Stinebrickner, and Todd R. Stinebrickner #26334 (ED, LS) - On Latin American Populism, And Its Echoes Around the World
Sebastian Edwards #26333 (IFM) - The Effects of Job Characteristics on Retirement
Péter Hudomiet, Michael D. Hurd, Andrew Parker, and Susann Rohwedder #26332 (AG)
Weekly papers released by September 30, 2019
- Are Small Farms Really more Productive than Large Farms?
Fernando M. Aragon Sanchez, Diego Restuccia, and Juan Pablo Rud #26331 (DEV, EFG, PR) - On Fintech and Financial Inclusion
Thomas Philippon #26330 (AP, CF, IO, PR) - Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Risk in Trading Time
Torben G. Andersen, Martin Thyrsgaard, and Viktor Todorov #26329 (AP) - Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers
Leandro Carvalho, Arna Olafsson, and Dan Silverman #26328 (PE) - Population Aging and Structural Transformation
Javier Cravino, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Marco Rojas #26327 (AG, DEV, EFG, HC, , PR) - Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Botswana
Margaret S. McMillan and Brian McCaig #26326 (ITI) - The Tall and the Short of the Returns to Height
Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson #26325 (CH, LS) - Demographic Effects on the Impact of Monetary Policy
John V. Leahy and Aditi Thapar #26324 (EFG, ME) - Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio, and Bryan T. Kelly #26323 (AP, ME) - Mortgage Finance in the Face of Rising Climate Risk
Amine Ouazad and Matthew E. Kahn #26322 (AP, EEE, POL) - Persuasion by Populist Propaganda: Evidence from the 2015 Argentine Ballotage
Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky #26321 (POL) - What's the Big Idea? Multi-Function Products, Firm Scope and Firm Boundaries
Mengxiao Liu and Daniel Trefler #26320 (IO, ITI) - The Boss is Watching: How Monitoring Decisions Hurt Black Workers
Costas Cavounidis, Kevin Lang, and Russell Weinstein #26319 (LS) - In Search of Reforms for Growth: New Stylized Facts on Policy and Growth Outcomes
William Easterly #26318 (DEV, EFG) - The Deregulation of the Private Equity Markets and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens and Joan Farre-Mensa #26317 (CF, PR) - Legacy and Athlete Preferences at Harvard
Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom #26316 (ED, LE) - Divergent: The Time Path of Legacy and Athlete Admissions at Harvard
Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom #26315 (ED, LE) - Trade Flows and Exchange Rates: Importers, Exporters and Products
Michael B. Devereux, Wei Dong, and Ben Tomlin #26314 (IFM) - FinTech, BigTech, and the Future of Banks
René M. Stulz #26312 (CF) - China’s Impact on Global Financial Markets
Isha Agarwal, Grace Weishi Gu, and Eswar S. Prasad #26311 (IFM) - FiPIt: A Simple, Fast Global Method for Solving Models with Two Endogenous States & Occasionally Binding Constraints
Enrique G. Mendoza and Sergio Villalvazo #26310 (IFM) - Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Fuel-Economy Standards
Antonio M. Bento, Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher R. Knittel, and Arthur A. van Benthem #26309 (EEE) - Does Medicare Coverage Improve Cancer Detection and Mortality Outcomes?
Rebecca Mary Myerson, Reginald Tucker-Seeley, Dana Goldman, and Darius N. Lakdawalla #26292 (AG, HC, HE)
Weekly papers released by September 23, 2019
- Threats to Central Bank Independence: High-Frequency Identification with Twitter
Francesco Bianchi, Howard Kung, and Thilo Kind #26308 (AP, EFG, ME) - Fiscal Stimulus under Sovereign Risk
Javier Bianchi, Pablo Ottonello, and Ignacio Presno #26307 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Prices and Promotions in U.S. Retail Markets: Evidence from Big Data
Günter J. Hitsch, Ali Hortaçsu, and Xiliang Lin #26306 (IO) - Risk-Mitigating Technologies: the Case of Radiation Diagnostic Devices
Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo #26305 (LE, PR) - The Impacts of Managerial Autonomy on Firm Outcomes
Namrata Kala #26304 (DEV, PR) - Marriage, Fertility, and Cultural Integration in Italy
Alberto Bisin and Giulia Tura #26303 (CH, POL) - Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Samuel Hurtado, and Galo Nuño #26302 (EFG) - Labor Market Trends and the Changing Value of Time
Job Boerma and Loukas Karabarbounis #26301 (EFG, LS) - The Digitalization of Money
Markus K. Brunnermeier, Harold James, and Jean-Pierre Landau #26300 (AP, CF, ME) - Business Cycles and Currency Returns
Riccardo Colacito, Steven J. Riddiough, and Lucio Sarno #26299 (IFM) - Money Runs
Jason R. Donaldson and Giorgia Piacentino #26298 (CF, ME) - U.S. Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers
Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan #26297 (EFG, IFM) - Too Much Data: Prices and Inefficiencies in Data Markets
Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian, and Asuman Ozdaglar #26296 (EFG, IO, LE, PE) - Monopsony in Spatial Equilibrium
Matthew E. Kahn and Joseph Tracy #26295 (LS) - On Her Own Account: How Strengthening Women's Financial Control Affects Labor Supply and Gender Norms
Erica M. Field, Rohini Pande, Natalia Rigol, Simone G. Schaner, and Charity Troyer Moore #26294 (DEV, LS, POL) - Eat Widely, Vote Wisely? Lessons from a Campaign Against Vote Buying in Uganda
Christopher Blattman, Horacio Larreguy, Benjamin Marx, and Otis R. Reid #26293 (DEV, POL) - Mandated Financial Reporting and Corporate Innovation
Matthias Breuer, Christian Leuz, and Steven Vanhaverbeke #26291 (CF, IO, LE, PR) - Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy
Carolin Pflueger, Emil Siriwardane, and Adi Sunderam #26290 (AP, EFG, ME) - The Two Margin Problem in Insurance Markets
Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, Grace McCormack, and Mark Shepard #26288 (AG, HC, PE) - Empirical Models of Lobbying
Matilde Bombardini and Francesco Trebbi #26287 (POL) - Toward an Understanding of the Welfare Effects of Nudges: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Uganda
Erwin Bulte, John A. List, and Daan Van Soest #26286 (DEV, LS) - Machine Learning for Solar Accessibility: Implications for Low-Income Solar Expansion and Profitability
Sruthi Davuluri, René García Francheschini, Christopher R. Knittel, Chikara Onda, and Kelly Roache #26178 (EEE, IO)
Weekly papers released by September 16, 2019
- Retirement Policy and Annuity Market Equilibria: Evidence from Chile
Gastón Illanes and Manisha Padi #26285 (AG, IO) - Use It or Lose It: Efficiency Gains from Wealth Taxation
Fatih Guvenen, Gueorgui Kambourov, Burhanettin Kuruscu, Sergio Ocampo-Diaz, and Daphne Chen #26284 (AP, CF, EFG, LE, LS, ME, PE) - Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry
Jie Bai, Ludovica Gazze, and Yukun Wang #26283 (DEV, ITI) - Estimating the Effect of Treatments Allocated by Randomized Waiting Lists.
Clément de Chaisemartin and Luc Behaghel #26282 (CH, DEV, ED, HE, LS, PE, POL, TWP) - Durables and Lemons: Private Information and the Market for Cars
Richard Blundell, Ran Gu, Søren Leth-Petersen, Hamish Low, and Costas Meghir #26281 (EFG, LS) - Effect of Inquiry and Problem Based Pedagogy on Learning: Evidence from 10 Field Experiments in Four Countries
Rosangela Bando, Emma Näslund-Hadley, and Paul Gertler #26280 (CH, DEV, ED) - Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target
Francesco Bianchi, Leonardo Melosi, and Matthias Rottner #26279 (EFG, ME) - Experimentation and Startup Performance: Evidence from A/B testing
Rembrand Koning, Sharique Hasan, and Aaron Chatterji #26278 (PR) - Liquidity Deflation and Liquidity Trap under Flexible Prices: Some Microfoundations and Implications
Guillermo A. Calvo #26277 (IFM) - Understanding Different Approaches to Benefit-Based Taxation
Robert Scherf and Matthew Weinzierl #26276 (PE) - Be Careful What You Ask For: Fundraising Strategies in Equity Crowdfunding
Thomas Hellmann, Ilona Mostipan, and Nir Vulkan #26275 (CF, PR) - Getting Tired of Your Friends: The Dynamics of Venture Capital Relationships
Qianqian Du and Thomas F. Hellmann #26274 (CF, PR) - Experimental Innovation Policy
Albert Bravo-Biosca #26273 (DEV, PE, PR) - Work after Retirement: Worklife Transitions of Career Public Employess
Robert L. Clark, Robert G. Hammond, and Siyan Liu #26272 (AG) - Integration Costs and Missing Women in Firms
Conrad Miller, Jennifer Peck, and Mehmet Seflek #26271 (DEV, LS) - The Effect of High-Tech Clusters on the Productivity of Top Inventors
Enrico Moretti #26270 (ITI, LS, PE, PR) - Primary Care Physician Practice Styles and Patient Care: Evidence from Physician Exits in Medicare
Itzik Fadlon and Jessica N. Van Parys #26269 (AG, HC, HE) - Do Property Rights Alleviate the Problem of the Commons? Evidence from California Groundwater Rights
Andrew B. Ayres, Kyle C. Meng, and Andrew J. Plantinga #26268 (EEE, PE) - Cognitive Hubs and Spatial Redistribution
Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre-Daniel Sarte, and Felipe Schwartzman #26267 (EFG, ITI) - Trade and Firm Financing
Paul Bergin, Ling Feng, and Ching-Yi Lin #26266 (IFM, ITI) - The ICO Paradox: Transactions Costs, Token Velocity, and Token Value
Richard Holden and Anup Malani #26265 (CF) - Did the War on Terror Ignite an Opioid Epidemic?
Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia, and W. David Bradford #26264 (HE) - Does Automatic Enrollment Increase Contributions to Supplement Retirement Programs by K-12 and University Employees?
Robert L. Clark and Denis Pelletier #26263 (AG) - Riders on the Storm
Òscar Jordà and Alan M. Taylor #26262 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Collusive Investments in Technological Compatibility: Lessons from U.S. Railroads in the Late 19th Century
Daniel P. Gross #26261 (DAE, IO, ITI) - Nonrivalry and the Economics of Data
Charles I. Jones and Christopher Tonetti #26260 (EFG, PR) - Puzzling Exchange Rate Dynamics and Delayed Portfolio Adjustment
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop #26259 (IFM) - Modeling Imprecision in Perception, Valuation and Choice
Michael Woodford #26258 (ME) - The School to Prison Pipeline: Long-Run Impacts of School Suspensions on Adult Crime
Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Stephen B. Billings, and David J. Deming #26257 (CH, ED, LE) - U.S. Trade Policy in Historical Perspective
Douglas A. Irwin #26256 (DAE, ITI) - Asset Pricing with Fading Memory
Stefan Nagel and Zhengyang Xu #26255 (AP, ME) - The Economic Consequences of Bankruptcy Reform
Tal Gross, Raymond Kluender, Feng Liu, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Jialan Wang #26254 (CF, LE) - From Transactions Data to Economic Statistics: Constructing Real-time, High-frequency, Geographic Measures of Consumer Spending
Aditya Aladangady, Shifrah Aron-Dine, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, and Claudia Sahm #26253 (EFG, TWP) - The China Shock and Employment in Portuguese Firms
Lee G. Branstetter, Brian K. Kovak, Jacqueline Mauro, and Ana Venancio #26252 (ITI, LS) - Characterization, Existence, and Pareto Optimality in Markets with Asymmetric Information and Endogenous and Asymmetric Disclosures: Basic Analytics of Revisiting Rothschild-Stiglitz
Joseph E. Stiglitz, Jungyoll Yun, and Andrew Kosenko #26251 (TWP) - Four Facts Concerning Competition in U.S. Generic Prescription Drug Markets
Rena M. Conti and Ernst R. Berndt #26194 (HC, IO)
Weekly papers released by September 9, 2019
- Panel Data and Experimental Design
Fiona Burlig, Louis Preonas, and Matt Woerman #26250 (DEV, EEE, TWP) - The Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus
Jordi Galí #26249 (EFG, ME) - Uncertainty-Induced Reallocations and Growth
Ravi Bansal, Mariano Max Croce, Wenxi Liao, and Samuel Rosen #26248 (AP, EFG, PR) - Inversions in US Presidential Elections: 1836-2016
Michael Geruso, Dean Spears, and Ishaana Talesara #26247 (, PE, POL) - Price Discrimination within and across EMU Markets: Evidence from French Exporters
François Fontaine, Julien Martin, and Isabelle Mejean #26246 (IFM) - Overcoming Contractual Incompleteness: The Role of Guiding Principles
David Frydlinger and Oliver D. Hart #26245 (CF, LE) - Leave-out Estimation of Variance Components
Patrick Kline, Raffaele Saggio, and Mikkel Sølvsten #26244 (HE, LS, PE, TWP) - Rising Policy Uncertainty
Steven J. Davis #26243 (EFG, PE, POL) - Fathers' Multiple-Partner Fertility and Children’s Educational Outcomes
Donna K. Ginther, Astrid L. Grasdal, and Robert A. Pollak #26242 (CH) - Brokering Votes With Information Spread Via Social Networks
Raúl Duarte, Frederico Finan, Horacio Larreguy, and Laura Schechter #26241 (DEV, POL) - Conference Presentations and Academic Publishing
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tho Pham, and Oleksandr Talavera #26240 (, PR) - Granular Search, Market Structure, and Wages
Gregor Jarosch, Jan Sebastian Nimczik, and Isaac Sorkin #26239 (EFG, LS) - Changes in Family Structure and Welfare Participation Since the 1960s: The Role of Legal Services
Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Jamein P. Cunningham #26238 (CH, DAE, LE, LS, PE) - Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations
Francesco D’Acunto, Ulrike Malmendier, Juan Ospina, and Michael Weber #26237 (AG, AP, CF, EFG, ME) - A Macroprudential Theory of Foreign Reserve Accumulation
Fernando Arce, Julien Bengui, and Javier Bianchi #26236 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Local Effects of Land Grant Colleges on Agricultural Innovation and Output
Michael J. Andrews #26235 (DAE, PR) - Impact of Defaults in Retirement Saving Plans: Public Employee Plans
Robert L. Clark and Denis Pelletier #26234 (AG) - Oakland’s Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Tax: Impacts on Prices, Purchases and Consumption by Adults and Children
John Cawley, David E. Frisvold, Anna Hill, and David Jones #26233 (HE, PE) - Reducing and Preventing Homelessness: A Review of the Evidence and Charting a Research Agenda
William N. Evans, David C. Philips, and Krista J. Ruffini #26232 (PE) - Macro Recruiting Intensity from Micro Data
Simon Mongey and Giovanni L. Violante #26231 (EFG) - How Distortions Alter the Impacts of International Trade in Developing Countries
David Atkin and Amit Khandelwal #26230 (DEV, ITI) - A Crash Course on the Euro Crisis
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Ricardo Reis #26229 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - New Evidence on the Effects of Mandatory Waiting Periods for Abortion
Jason M. Lindo and Mayra Pineda-Torres #26228 (CH, HC, HE, PE) - Combining Family History and Machine Learning to Link Historical Records
Joseph Price, Kasey Buckles, Jacob Van Leeuwen, and Isaac Riley #26227 (CH, DAE, LS, PE) - A Requiem for “Blame It on Beijing”: Interpreting Rotating Global Current Account Surpluses
Menzie D. Chinn and Hiro Ito #26226 (IFM) - Are Foreign Stem PhDs More Entrepreneurial? Entrepreneurial Characteristics, Preferences and Employment Outcomes of Native and Foreign Science & Engineering PhD Students
Michael Roach, Henry Sauermann, and John Skrentny #26225 (LS, PR) - The Efficient Deployment of Police Resources: Theory and New Evidence from a Randomized Drunk Driving Crackdown in India
Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Daniel Keniston, and Nina Singh #26224 (DEV) - Dynamic Social Interactions and Health Risk Behavior
Tiziano Arduini, Alberto Bisin, Onur Özgür, and Eleonora Patacchini #26223 (HE, PE) - Toward an Understanding of Corporate Social Responsibility: Theory and Field Experimental Evidence
Daniel Hedblom, Brent R. Hickman, and John A. List #26222 (IO, LS, PR) - Optimal Ratings and Market Outcomes
Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi #26221 (IO) - On the Redesign of Accident Liability for the World of Autonomous Vehicles
Steven Shavell #26220 (LE) - How Do Private Digital Currencies Affect Government Policy?
Max Raskin, Fahad Saleh, and David Yermack #26219 (ME, PE) - The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms
Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka, and Gregory Thwaites #26218 (IFM, ITI, LS, ME, PR) - State-Dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions Correction
Andrey Simonov, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Günter J. Hitsch, and Peter E. Rossi #26217 (IO) - Dancing With Activists
Lucian A. Bebchuk, Alon Brav, Wei Jiang, and Thomas Keusch #26171 (CF, LE)
Weekly papers released by September 2, 2019
- How Do Foreclosures Exacerbate Housing Downturns?
Adam M. Guren and Timothy J. McQuade #26216 (EFG) - Power and Publications in Chinese Academia
Ruixue Jia, Huihua Nie, and Wei Xiao #26215 (POL) - Cryptocurrencies, Currency Competition, and the Impossible Trinity
Pierpaolo Benigno, Linda M. Schilling, and Harald Uhlig #26214 (AP, IFM, ME) - Putting Global Governance in its Place
Dani Rodrik #26213 (IFM, ITI, POL) - Entry, Trade, and Exporting over the Cycle
George A. Alessandria and Horag Choi #26212 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - On Measuring Global Poverty
Martin Ravallion #26211 (DEV) - Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu, and Francesco Zanetti #26210 (EFG) - Housing Prices, Inter-generational Co-residence, and “Excess” Savings by the Young: Evidence using Chinese Data
Mark Rosenzweig and Junsen Zhang #26209 (CH, DEV) - Subsidies and the African Green Revolution: Direct Effects and Social Network Spillovers of Randomized Input Subsidies in Mozambique
Michael Carter, Rachid Laajaj, and Dean Yang #26208 (DEV) - Taxation and the Superrich
Florian Scheuer and Joel Slemrod #26207 (PE) - Strict Voter Identification Laws, Turnout, and Election Outcomes
Mark Hoekstra and Vijetha Koppa #26206 (LE, PE) - The Unintended Impacts of Agricultural Fires: Human Capital in China
Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Tong Liu, Yingquan Song, Qu Tang, and Peng Zhang #26205 (DEV, EEE, HE) - The Challenges of Universal Health Insurance in Developing Countries: Evidence from a Large-scale Randomized Experiment in Indonesia
Abhijit Banerjee, Amy Finkelstein, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, Arianna Ornaghi, and Sudarno Sumarto #26204 (DEV, HC, HE, PE) - Formal Employment and Organized Crime: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Colombia
Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge A. Tamayo #26203 (DEV, LS) - When Technological Advance Meets Physician Learning in Drug Prescribing
Domenico Depalo, Jay Bhattacharya, Vincenzo Atella, and Federico Belotti #26202 (HC, HE) - Welfare State vs. Market Forces in a Globalization Era
Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #26201 (IFM) - A Retrieved-Context Theory Of Financial Decisions
Jessica A. Wachter and Michael Jacob Kahana #26200 (AP) - Fooled by the Cycle: Permanent versus Cyclical Improvements in Social Indicators
José Andrée Camarena, Luciana Galeano, Luis Morano, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, Lucila Venturi, and Guillermo Vuletin #26199 (IFM) - On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World
Łukasz Rachel and Lawrence H. Summers #26198 (EFG, IFM, ME) - The Impact of Socioeconomic and Cultural Differences on Online Trade
Daniel W. Elfenbein, Raymond Fisman, and Brian McManus #26197 (IO, ITI, PR) - Synergizing Ventures
Ufuk Akcigit, Emin Dinlersoz, Jeremy Greenwood, and Veronika Penciakova #26196 (EFG, PR) - Do Value-Added Taxes Affect International Trade Flows? Evidence from 30 Years of Tax Reforms
Youssef Benzarti and Alisa Tazhitdinova #26195 (ITI, PE) - The Textbook Case for Industrial Policy: Theory Meets Data
Dominick G. Bartelme, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare #26193 (ITI) - The Impact of the ACA Medicaid Expansion on Disability Program Applications
Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard, and Tara Watson #26192 (HE) - Preschool Quality and Child Development
Alison Andrew, Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Lina Cardona Sosa, Sonya Krutikova, and Marta Rubio-Codina #26191 (CH, DEV, ED) - The Short Term Impact of a Productive Asset Transfer in Families with Child Labor: Experimental Evidence from the Philippines
Eric V. Edmonds and Caroline B. Theoharides #26190 (CH, DEV, LS) - External Societal Costs of Antimicrobial Resistance in Humans Attributable to Antimicrobial Use in Livestock
Gabriel K. Innes, Pranay R. Randad, Anton Korinek, Meghan F. Davis, Lance B. Price, Anthony D. So, and Christopher D. Heaney #26189 (EEE, HC, HE, PE) - Misallocation Under Trade Liberalization
Yan Bai, Keyu Jin, and Dan Lu #26188 (IFM, ITI) - The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy
Michael Luca, Deepak Malhotra, and Christopher Poliquin #26187 (HE, LE, LS, PE, POL) - Predicting Returns With Text Data
Zheng Tracy Ke, Bryan T. Kelly, and Dacheng Xiu #26186 (AP)
Weekly papers released by August 26, 2019
- The Labor Supply Consequences of Having a Boy in China
Shing-Yi Wang #26185 (CH, DEV, LS) - The Natural Level of Capital Flows
John D. Burger, Francis E. Warnock, and Veronica Cacdac Warnock #26184 (IFM) - The Effects of Competition in Consumer Credit Market
Stefan Gissler, Rodney Ramcharan, and Edison Yu #26183 (CF) - Impact of Rural and Urban Hospital Closures on Inpatient Mortality
Kritee Gujral and Anirban Basu #26182 (HC, HE) - Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective.
Kjetil Storesletten, Bo Zhao, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #26181 (EFG) - Rules of Thumb and Attention Elasticities: Evidence from Under- and Overreaction to Taxes
William Morrison and Dmitry Taubinsky #26180 (LE, LS, PE, POL) - How Costly is Turnover? Evidence from Retail
Peter J. Kuhn and Lizi Yu #26179 (LS) - Persistent Government Debt and Aggregate Risk Distribution
Mariano Max Croce, Thien T. Nguyen, and Steve Raymond #26177 (AP, PE) - Using Vignettes to Improve Understanding of Social Security and Annuities
Anya Samek, Arie Kapteyn, and Andre Gray #26176 (AG) - Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy
Alisdair McKay and Johannes F. Wieland #26175 (EFG, ME) - Selection into Identification in Fixed Effects Models, with Application to Head Start
Douglas L. Miller, Na’ama Shenhav, and Michel Z. Grosz #26174 (CH, LS, TWP)
Week of August 19, 2019
- The Behavioralist Goes Door-To-Door: Understanding Household Technological Diffusion Using a Theory-Driven Natural Field Experiment
Matilde Giaccherini, David H. Herberich, David Jimenez-Gomez, John A. List, Giovanni Ponti, and Michael K. Price #26173 (EEE) - Output and Attribute-Based Carbon Regulation Under Uncertainty
Ryan Kellogg #26172 (EEE, IO, PE) - Does Condominium Development Lead to Gentrification?
Leah Platt Boustan, Robert A. Margo, Matthew M. Miller, James M. Reeves, and Justin P. Steil #26170 (DAE) - Adoption of CSR and Sustainability Reporting Standards: Economic Analysis and Review
Hans B. Christensen, Luzi Hail, and Christian Leuz #26169 (CF, EEE, LE) - Who is Tested for Heart Attack and Who Should Be: Predicting Patient Risk and Physician Error
Sendhil Mullainathan and Ziad Obermeyer #26168 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PR) - Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis
Matthew E. Kahn, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan N.C. Ng, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi, and Jui-Chung Yang #26167 (EEE, EFG) - Towards an Unstable Hook: The Evolution of Stock Market Integration Since 1913
Cécile Bastidon, Michael Bordo, Antoine Parent, and Marc Weidenmier #26166 (IFM) - Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach
Stefania Albanesi and Domonkos F. Vamossy #26165 (EFG, ME) - Creating Moves to Opportunity: Experimental Evidence on Barriers to Neighborhood Choice
Peter Bergman, Raj Chetty, Stefanie DeLuca, Nathaniel Hendren, Lawrence F. Katz, and Christopher Palmer #26164 (CH, LS, PE) - Deposit Market Power, Funding Stability and Long-Term Credit
Lei Li, Elena Loutskina, and Philip E. Strahan #26163 (CF) - Screening and Selection: The Case of Mammograms
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Tamar Oostrom, Abigail J. Ostriker, and Heidi L. Williams #26162 (AG, HC, IO, PE) - How are Preferences For Commitment Revealed?
Mariana Carrera, Heather Royer, Mark Stehr, Justin Sydnor, and Dmitry Taubinsky #26161 (AG, DEV, HE, LS, PE) - An Experiment in Candidate Selection
Katherine Casey, Abou Bakarr Kamara, and Niccoló Meriggi #26160 (POL) - How Well Do Doctors Know Their Patients? Evidence from a Mandatory Access Prescription Drug Monitoring Program
Thomas C. Buchmueller, Colleen M. Carey, and Giacomo Meille #26159 (HC, HE) - Nudging at Scale: Experimental Evidence from FAFSA Completion Campaigns
Kelli A. Bird, Benjamin L. Castleman, Jeffrey T. Denning, Joshua Goodman, Cait Lamberton, and Kelly Ochs Rosinger #26158 (ED, LS) - The Impact of the ACA on Insurance Coverage Disparities After Four Years
Charles J. Courtemanche, Ishtiaque Fazlul, James Marton, Benjamin D. Ukert, Aaron Yelowitz, and Daniela Zapata #26157 (HC, HE, PE) - Who Becomes a Member of Congress? Evidence From De-Anonymized Census Data
Daniel M. Thompson, James J. Feigenbaum, Andrew B. Hall, and Jesse Yoder #26156 (DAE, POL) - Deadlock on the Board
Jason Roderick Donaldson, Nadya Malenko, and Giorgia Piacentino #26155 (CF) - What is the Optimal Immigration Policy? Migration, Jobs and Welfare
Joao Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo, and Pedro Teles #26154 (EFG) - The Role of Behavioral Frictions in Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment and Risk: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Richard Domurat, Isaac Menashe, and Wesley Yin #26153 (HC) - Inspecting the Mechanism of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area
Ralph S. J. Koijen, Francois Koulischer, Benoit Nguyen, and Motohiro Yogo #26152 (AP, ME) - Reducing Frictions in College Admissions: Evidence from the Common Application
Brian G. Knight and Nathan M. Schiff #26151 (ED, LS, PE) - Tax Administration vs. Tax Rates: Evidence from Corporate Taxation in Indonesia
M. Chatib Basri, Mayara Felix, Rema Hanna, and Benjamin A. Olken #26150 (DEV, PE) - The Effects of Foreign Multinationals on Workers and Firms in the United States
Bradley Setzler and Felix Tintelnot #26149 (ITI, LS, PR)
Week of August 12, 2019
- Spatial Misallocation: Evaluating Place-Based Policies Using a Natural Experiment in China
Binkai Chen, Ming Lu, Christopher Timmins, and Kuanhu Xiang #26148 (POL) - The Value of Intermediation in the Stock Market
Marco Di Maggio, Mark L. Egan, and Francesco Franzoni #26147 (AP, CF, IO) - Can Pigou at the Polls Stop Us Melting the Poles?
Soren T. Anderson, Ioana Marinescu, and Boris Shor #26146 (EEE, PE, POL) - Medicaid Coverage across the Income Distribution under the Affordable Care Act
Charles J. Courtemanche, James Marton, and Aaron Yelowitz #26145 (HC, HE, PE) - A Unified Welfare Analysis of Government Policies
Nathaniel Hendren and Benjamin D. Sprung-Keyser #26144 (AG, CH, ED, HC, HE, LS, PE) - The End of the American Dream? Inequality and Segregation in US Cities
Alessandra Fogli and Veronica Guerrieri #26143 (EFG) - Income Growth and the Distributional Effects of Urban Spatial Sorting
Victor Couture, Cecile Gaubert, Jessie Handbury, and Erik Hurst #26142 (EFG, PE) - Sharing a Government
Jaume Ventura #26141 (EFG, IFM, ITI, PE, POL) - Effects of Direct Care Provision to the Uninsured: Evidence from Federal Breast and Cervical Cancer Programs
Marianne Bitler and Christopher Carpenter #26140 (HC, HE) - Does Eviction Cause Poverty? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Cook County, IL
John Eric Humphries, Nicholas S. Mader, Daniel I. Tannenbaum, and Winnie L. van Dijk #26139 (LS, PE) - Risk-Free Interest Rates
Jules H. van Binsbergen, William F. Diamond, and Marco Grotteria #26138 (AP, ME)
Week of August 5, 2019
- Choice and Consequence: Assessing Mismatch at Chicago Exam Schools
Joshua D. Angrist, Parag A. Pathak, and Román Andrés Zárate #26137 (ED, LS, PE) - Labor Shares in Some Advanced Economies
Gilbert Cette, Lorraine Koehl, and Thomas Philippon #26136 (EFG) - Mortality and Socioeconomic Consequences of Prescription Opioids: Evidence from State Policies
Robert Kaestner and Engy Ziedan #26135 (HC, HE, LS, PE) - The Rise of Niche Consumption
Brent Neiman and Joseph S. Vavra #26134 (EFG, IO, ITI, ME, PR) - College Remediation Goes Back to High School: Evidence from a Statewide Program in Tennessee
Thomas J. Kane, Angela Boatman, Whitney Kozakowski, Christopher Bennett, Rachel Hitch, and Dana Weisenfeld #26133 (ED) - The "New" Economics of Trade Agreements: From Trade Liberalization to Regulatory Convergence?
Gene M. Grossman, Phillip McCalman, and Robert W. Staiger #26132 (ITI) - Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects
Christopher D. Carroll, Jiri Slacalek, and Martin Sommer #26131 (EFG, ME) - Integrating Ethical Values and Economic Value to Steer Progress in Artificial Intelligence
Anton Korinek #26130 (LS, PR) - Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants
Eugenio M. Cerutti, Maurice Obstfeld, and Haonan Zhou #26129 (IFM) - Tax-Sheltered Retirement Accounts: Can Financial Education Improve Decisions?
M. Martin Boyer, Philippe d'Astous, and Pierre-Carl Michaud #26128 (AG) - Credit Building or Credit Crumbling? A Credit Builder Loan’s Effects on Consumer Behavior, Credit Scores and Their Predictive Power
Jeremy Burke, Julian Jamison, Dean Karlan, Kata Mihaly, and Jonathan Zinman #26110 (LE, LS, PE) - Does the Healthcare Educational Market Respond to Short-Run Local Demand?
Marcus Dillender, Andrew I. Friedson, Cong T. Gian, and Kosali I. Simon #26088 (ED, HC, HE)
Week of July 29, 2019
- Southern (American) Hospitality: Italians in Argentina and the US during the Age of Mass Migration
Santiago Pérez #26127 (DAE) - The Effect of E-Cigarette Taxes on Pre-Pregnancy and Prenatal Smoking, and Birth Outcomes
Rahi Abouk, Scott Adams, Bo Feng, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Michael F. Pesko #26126 (HE) - Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from Survey Response on Late-onset Dementia
Pamela Giustinelli, Charles F. Manski, and Francesca Molinari #26125 (AG, HC, HE) - The Margins of Trade
Jonathan Eaton and Ana Cecília Fieler #26124 (ITI) - Using the Sequence-Space Jacobian to Solve and Estimate Heterogeneous-Agent Models
Adrien Auclert, Bence Bardóczy, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub #26123 (EFG, ME) - The Opportunities and Limitations of Monopsony Power in Healthcare: Evidence from the United States and Canada
Jillian Chown, David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite, and Jordan Keener #26122 (HC, HE, PE) - Early 20th Century American Exceptionalism: Production, Trade and Diffusion of the Automobile
Dong Cheng, Mario J. Crucini, Hyunseung Oh, and Hakan Yilmazkuday #26121 (DAE, IFM, ITI, PR) - The Price to Consumers of Generic Pharmaceuticals: Beyond the Headlines
Richard G. Frank, Andrew Hicks, and Ernst R. Berndt #26120 (HC, IO) - Projective Paternalism
Sandro Ambuehl, B. Douglas Bernheim, and Axel Ockenfels #26119 (PE, POL) - Uninsured by Choice? A Choice Experiment on Long Term Care Insurance
Faical Akaichi, Joan Costa-Font, and Richard Frank #26118 (AG, HC) - Firms and Collective Reputation: a Study of the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal
Ruediger Bachmann, Gabriel Ehrlich, Ying Fan, and Dimitrije Ruzic #26117 (EFG, IO, ITI) - Re-engineering Key National Economic Indicators
Gabriel Ehrlich, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin, David Johnson, and Matthew D. Shapiro #26116 (EFG, ME, PR) - Venture Capital Contracts
Michael Ewens, Alexander S. Gorbenko, and Arthur Korteweg #26115 (CF, PR) - Measuring the Impact of Own and Others’ Experience on Project Costs in the U.S. Wind Generation Industry
John W. Anderson, Gordon W. Leslie, and Frank A. Wolak #26114 (IO, PR) - Skin or Skim? Inside Investment and Hedge Fund Performance
Arpit Gupta and Kunal Sachdeva #26113 (AP) - Decomposing Firm Value
Frederico Belo, Vito Gala, Juliana Salomao, and Maria Ana Vitorino #26112 (AP) - Are Syringe Exchange Programs Helpful or Harmful? New Evidence in the Wake of the Opioid Epidemic
Analisa Packham #26111 (HE) - Using Models to Persuade
Joshua Schwartzstein and Adi Sunderam #26109 (AP, CF, IO) - Networks, Barriers, and Trade
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #26108 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Air Pollution and Infant Mortality: Evidence from Saharan Dust
Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney, Eran Bendavid, Kara Voss, and Marshall Burke #26107 (EEE) - How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Maarten van Rooij #26106 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Simpler Better Market Betas
Ivo Welch #26105 (AP, CF) - Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality: Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics
Guido Imbens #26104 (LS) - What is the Rationale for an Insurance Coverage Mandate? Evidence from Workers’ Compensation Insurance
Marika Cabral, Can Cui, and Michael Dworsky #26103 (HC, LS, PE) - The Short Rate Disconnect in a Monetary Economy
Moritz Lenel, Monika Piazzesi, and Martin Schneider #26102 (AP, EFG, ME) - Minimum Wage Employment Effects and Labor Market Concentration
José Azar, Emiliano Huet-Vaughn, Ioana Marinescu, Bledi Taska, and Till von Wachter #26101 (LS) - The Effects of Primary Care Chronic-Disease Management in Rural China
Yiwei Chen, Hui Ding, Min Yu, Jieming Zhong, Ruying Hu, Xiangyu Chen, Chunmei Wang, Kaixu Xie, and Karen Eggleston #26100 (HC, HE) - The Impact of State-Level R&D Tax Credits on the Quantity and Quality of Entrepreneurship
Catherine Fazio, Jorge Guzman, and Scott Stern #26099 (PR) - Federal Reserve Structure, Economic Ideas, and Monetary and Financial Policy
Michael D. Bordo and Edward S. Prescott #26098 (ME, PE)
Week of July 22, 2019
- Are Marriage-Related Taxes and Social Security Benefits Holding Back Female Labor Supply?
Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Fang Yang #26097 (PE) - The Entertaining Way to Behavioral Change: Fighting HIV with MTV
Abhijit Banerjee, Eliana La Ferrara, and Victor H. Orozco-Olvera #26096 (DEV, HE) - The Impacts of Physician Payments on Patient Access, Use, and Health
Diane Alexander and Molly Schnell #26095 (CH, ED, HC, HE, PE) - Do Local Governments Represent Voter Preferences? Evidence from Hospital Financing under the Affordable Care Act
Victoria Perez, Justin M. Ross, and Kosali I. Simon #26094 (HC, HE, PE) - Jobs and Environmental Regulation
Marc A. C. Hafstead and Roberton C. Williams III #26093 (EEE, LS, PE) - Does Vocational Education Work? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Mongolia
Erica M. Field, Leigh L. Linden, Ofer Malamud, Daniel Rubenson, and Shing-Yi Wang #26092 (DEV, ED) - Formative Experiences and the Price of Gasoline
Christopher Severen and Arthur van Benthem #26091 (EEE) - The Value of Government Debt
John H. Cochrane #26090 (AP, EFG, PE) - The Effects of Schooling on Costless Health Maintenance: Overweight Adolescents and Children in Rural China
Mark R. Rosenzweig and Junsen Zhang #26089 (CH, DEV, ED, HE) - SeaTE: Subjective ex ante Treatment Effect of Health on Retirement
Pamela Giustinelli and Matthew D. Shapiro #26087 (AG, EFG, LS, ME) - Coase, Hotelling and Pigou: The Incidence of a Carbon Tax and CO2 Emissions
Geoffrey Heal and Wolfram Schlenker #26086 (EEE) - Change of Monetary Regime, Contracts, and Prices: Lessons from the Great Depression, 1932-1935
Sebastian Edwards #26085 (DAE, IFM, ITI) - The Cost of a Carbon-Free Electricity System in the U.S.
Geoffrey Heal #26084 (EEE) - Deterrence and the Adjustment of Sentences During Imprisonment
A. Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell #26083 (LE) - Migration and Informal Insurance
Costas Meghir, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, Corina D. Mommaerts, and Melanie Morten #26082 (DEV, LS) - Medicaid and Mortality: New Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data
Sarah Miller, Sean Altekruse, Norman Johnson, and Laura R. Wherry #26081 (HC, HE) - Testing the Validity of the Single Interrupted Time Series Design
Katherine Baicker and Theodore Svoronos #26080 (HC) - Do Health Insurance Mandates Spillover to Education? Evidence from Michigan's Autism Insurance Mandate
Riley K. Acton, Scott A. Imberman, and Michael F. Lovenheim #26079 (CH, ED, HE, PE) - Who is a Passive Saver Under Opt-In and Auto-Enrollment?
Gopi Shah Goda, Matthew R. Levy, Colleen Flaherty Manchester, Aaron Sojourner, and Joshua Tasoff #26078 (AG, PE) - Burning Waters to Crystal Springs? US Water Pollution Regulation over the Last Half Century
David A. Keiser and Joseph S. Shapiro #26077 (DAE, EEE, HE, PE) - Partial Default
Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #26076 (EFG, IFM) - China’s Industrial Policy: an Empirical Evaluation
Panle Jia Barwick, Myrto Kalouptsidi, and Nahim Bin Zahur #26075 (DEV, IO, ITI, PE) - The Information View of Financial Crises
Tri Vi Dang, Gary B. Gorton, and Bengt R. Holmstrom #26074 (AP, CF, EFG) - Passive Versus Active Growth: Evidence from Founder Choices and Venture Capital Investment
Christian Catalini, Jorge Guzman, and Scott Stern #26073 (PR)
Week of July 15, 2019
- Should Electric Vehicle Drivers Pay a Mileage Tax?
Lucas W. Davis and James M. Sallee #26072 (EEE, PE) - Regional Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Christopher L. House, Christian Proebsting, and Linda L. Tesar #26071 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Monopsony Power in Higher Education: A Tale of Two Tracks
Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson #26070 (ED, IO, LS) - Long-term Effects from Early Exposure to Research: Evidence from the NIH "Yellow Berets''
Pierre Azoulay, Wesley H. Greenblatt, and Misty L. Heggeness #26069 (PR) - Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives
Ian W.R. Martin and Robert S. Pindyck #26068 (EEE, HE, PE, PR) - The Four Equation New Keynesian Model
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu #26067 (EFG, ME) - Measurement Error Mechanisms Matter: Agricultural Intensification with Farmer Misperceptions and Misreporting
Kibrom A. Abay, Leah Bevis, and Christopher B. Barrett #26066 (DEV) - From Learning to Doing: Diffusion of Agricultural Innovations in Guinea-Bissau
Rute Martins Caeiro #26065 (DEV) - Is Employment Polarization Informative About Wage Inequality and Is Employment Really Polarizing?
Jennifer Hunt and Ryan Nunn #26064 (LS) - What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses?
Anmol Bhandari, Serdar Birinci, Ellen McGrattan, and Kurt See #26063 (EFG) - Are Analyst Trade Ideas Valuable?
Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu, and René M. Stulz #26062 (AP, CF) - Commanding Nature by Obeying Her: A Review Essay on Joel Mokyr’s A Culture of Growth
Enrico Spolaore #26061 (POL) - Security Analysis: An Investment Perspective
Kewei Hou, Haitao Mo, Chen Xue, and Lu Zhang #26060 (AP, CF, EFG) - The Remarkable Unresponsiveness of College Students to Nudging And What We Can Learn from It
Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic #26059 (CH, ED, LS) - Evaluation of Medical Technologies with Uncertain Benefits
Darius N. Lakdawalla and Charles E. Phelps #26058 (AG, HC, HE) - Are Price-Cost Markups Rising in the United States? A Discussion of the Evidence
Susanto Basu #26057 (EFG, ME) - A Classical View of the Business Cycle
Michael T. Belongia and Peter N. Ireland #26056 (ME) - Youth Drain, Entrepreneurship and Innovation
Massimo Anelli, Gaetano Basso, Giuseppe Ippedico, and Giovanni Peri #26055 (LS, PR) - Can Smallholder Extension Transform African Agriculture?
Joshua W. Deutschmann, Maya Duru, Kim Siegal, and Emilia Tjernström #26054 (DEV, PR) - Forward Guidance: Is It Useful Away from the Lower Bound?
Lilia Maliar and John B. Taylor #26053 (EFG, ME) - The Effects of Decentralized and Video-based Extension on the Adoption of Integrated Soil Fertility Management – Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia
Denise Hörner, Adrien Bouguen, Markus Frölich, and Meike Wollni #26052 (DEV, PR) - The Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Crime Victimization
Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, and Rachel Ryley #26051 (HE, LE, PE) - Cheap Talk and Coordination in the Lab and in the Field: Collective Commercialization in Senegal
Fo Kodjo Dzinyefa Aflagah, Tanguy Bernard, and Angelino Viceisza #26045 (DEV, PR)
Week of July 8, 2019
- China’s Overseas Lending
Sebastian Horn, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #26050 (DEV, IFM, ITI) - The Transmission of Shocks in Endogenous Financial Networks: A Structural Approach
Jonas Heipertz, Amine Ouazad, and Romain Rancière #26049 (AP, IFM, ME) - Does Knowing Your FICO Score Change Financial Behavior? Evidence from a Field Experiment with Student Loan Borrowers
Tatiana Homonoff, Rourke O'Brien, and Abigail B. Sussman #26048 (ED, PE) - Fertility Decline in the Civil Rights Era
Owen Thompson #26047 (CH, LS, PE) - Exchange Rate Reconnect
Andrew Lilley, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman, and Jesse Schreger #26046 (AP, EFG, IFM) - Effect of an Abrupt Change in Sexual and Reproductive Health Policy on Adolescent Birth Rates in Ecuador, 2008–2017
Omar Galárraga and Jeffrey E. Harris #26044 (HC, HE, POL) - How Can Inclusive Agricultural Health Policy Intervention Promote Shared Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria? Evidence from Randomized Control Trial
Toyin Samuel Olowogbon, Raphael Olanrewaju Babatunde, and Edward Asiedu #26043 (HE) - Private vs. Public Provision of Social Insurance: Evidence from Medicaid
Timothy J. Layton, Nicole Maestas, Daniel Prinz, and Boris Vabson #26042 (AG, HC) - Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care
Richard J. Zeckhauser #26041 (HC, PE) - Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu #26040 (EFG, ME) - Global Dimensions of U.S. Monetary Policy
Maurice Obstfeld #26039 (IFM, ME) - Is Great Information Good Enough? Evidence from Physicians as Patients
Michael D. Frakes, Jonathan Gruber, and Anupam Jena #26038 (AG, CH, HC, HE, PE) - Home and School in the Development of Children
Francesco Agostinelli, Morteza Saharkhiz, and Matthew J. Wiswall #26037 (CH, ED) - Complexity and Sophistication
Leandro Carvalho and Dan Silverman #26036 (AG, PE) - Learning Management Through Matching: A Field Experiment Using Mechanism Design
Girum Abebe, Marcel Fafchamps, Michael Koelle, and Simon Quinn #26035 (DEV, PR) - The Founding of the Federal Reserve, the Great Depression and the Evolution of the U.S. Interbank Network
Matthew S. Jaremski and David C. Wheelock #26034 (DAE) - Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz #26033 (EFG, LS) - Imperfect Risk-Sharing and the Business Cycle
David W. Berger, Luigi Bocola, and Alessandro Dovis #26032 (EFG, IFM, ME) - On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks
Ricardo J. Caballero and Gunes Kamber #26031 (EFG, IFM, ME) - The Impact of Medicaid on Medical Utilization in a Vulnerable Population: Evidence from COFA Migrants
Timothy J. Halliday, Randall Q. Akee, Tetine Sentell, Megan Inada, and Jill Miyamura #26030 (CH, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Social Connectedness in Urban Areas
Michael Bailey, Patrick Farrell, Theresa Kuchler, and Johannes Stroebel #26029 (AP, CF, EFG, ITI, LE, PE, POL) - From Theory to Practice: Field Experimental Evidence on Early Exposure of Engineering Majors to Professional Work
Kevin J. Boudreau and Matt Marx #26013 (ED, LS, PR)
Week of July 1, 2019
- The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare Reforms
Robert A. Moffitt #26028 (PE) - Skill and Fees in Active Management
Robert F. Stambaugh #26027 (AP) - Does a Currency Union Need a Capital Market Union? Risk Sharing via Banks and Markets
Joseba Martinez, Thomas Philippon, and Markus Sihvonen #26026 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Food Stamps and America’s Poorest
Dean Jolliffe, Juan Margitic, and Martin Ravallion #26025 (DEV, PE) - The Impact of Abortion on Crime and Crime-Related Behavior
Randi Hjalmarsson, Andreea Mitrut, and Cristian Pop-Eleches #26024 (CH, HE) - Targeting High School Scholarships to the Poor: The Impact of a Program in Mexico
Rafael De Hoyos, Orazio Attanasio, and Costas Meghir #26023 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - Publication, Compensation, and the Public Affairs Discount: Does Gender Play a Role?
Lori L. Taylor, Kalena E. Cortes, and Travis C. Hearn #26022 (ED, LS, PE) - Persistency in Teachers’ Grading Bias and Effects on Longer-Term Outcomes: University Admissions Exams and Choice of Field of Study
Victor Lavy and Rigissa Megalokonomou #26021 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - Dining Out as Cultural Trade
Joel Waldfogel #26020 (IO, LE) - Declining Worker Turnover: the Role of Short Duration Employment Spells
Michael J. Pries and Richard Rogerson #26019 (EFG) - GVCs and Trade Elasticities with Multistage Production
Robert C. Johnson and Andreas Moxnes #26018 (ITI) - The Effects of Traditional Cigarette and E-Cigarette Taxes on Adult Tobacco Product Use
Michael F. Pesko, Charles J. Courtemanche, and Johanna Catherine Maclean #26017 (HC, HE, PE) - On Testing Continuity and the Detection of Failures
Matthew Backus and Sida Peng #26016 (IO, LS, PE, TWP) - Waiting for Affordable Housing in New York City
Holger Sieg and Chamna Yoon #26015 (PE) - Whitelashing: Black Politicians, Taxes, and Violence
Trevon D. Logan #26014 (DAE) - US Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets
Simon Gilchrist, Vivian Yue, and Egon Zakrajšek #26012 (IFM, ME) - Identification of a Class of Health-Outcome Distributions under a Common Form of Partial Data Observability
John Mullahy #26011 (HC, HE) - Accounting for Innovation in Consumer Digital Services: IT Still Matters
David Byrne and Carol Corrado #26010 (PR) - Are Intermediary Constraints Priced?
Wenxin Du, Benjamin M. Hébert, and Amy Wang Huber #26009 (AP, IFM) - Individual vs. Social Motives in Identity Choice: Theory and Evidence from China
Ruixue Jia and Torsten Persson #26008 (PE, POL) - Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization
Steven T. Berry, Martin Gaynor, and Fiona Scott Morton #26007 (IO) - The Medium-Term Impacts of Girl-Friendly Schools: Seven-Year Evidence from School Construction in Burkina Faso
Harounan Kazianga, Leigh L. Linden, Ali Protik, and Matthew Sloan #26006 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Antitrust and Innovation: Welcoming and Protecting Disruption
Giulio Federico, Fiona Scott Morton, and Carl Shapiro #26005 (IO, PR) - CEO-Board Dynamics
John R. Graham, Hyunseob Kim, and Mark T. Leary #26004 (CF, LS) - Health and Economic Growth: Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Rainer Kotschy, Klaus Prettner, and Johannes J. Schünemann #26003 (EFG, HE)
Week of June 24, 2019
- The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment
Janice C. Eberly, James H. Stock, and Jonathan H. Wright #26002 (ME) - The Failure of Free Entry
Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon #26001 (CF, DAE, IO, PE, POL, PR) - Implications of Increasing College Attainment for Aging in General Equilibrium
Juan Carlos Conesa, Timothy J. Kehoe, Vegard M. Nygaard, and Gajendran Raveendranathan #26000 (EFG, HC, HE) - Wealth Shocks and MPC Heterogeneity
Dimitris Christelis, Dimitris Georgarakos, Tullio Jappelli, Luigi Pistaferri, and Maarten van Rooij #25999 (EFG) - The Role of Nonemployers in Business Dynamism and Aggregate Productivity
Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia #25998 (DEV, EFG, PR) - Time Preference and the Great Depression: Evidence from Firewood Prices in Portland, Oregon.
Nicholas Z. Muller #25997 (DAE, EEE) - Inflation and Exchange Rate Targeting Challenges Under Fiscal Dominance
Rashad Ahmed, Joshua Aizenman, and Yothin Jinjarak #25996 (IFM) - In Search of Systematic Risk and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle in the Corporate Bond Market
Jennie Bai, Turan G. Bali, and Quan Wen #25995 (AP) - The Long-Term Impacts of Girl-Friendly Schools: Evidence from the BRIGHT School Construction Program in Burkina Faso
Nicholas Ingwersen, Harounan Kazianga, Leigh L. Linden, Arif Mamun, Ali Protik, and Matthew Sloan #25994 (DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Temporary Colocation and Collaborative Discovery: Who Confers at Conferences
Sen Chai and Richard B. Freeman #25993 (PR) - Staple Products, Linkages, and Development: Evidence from Argentina
Federico Droller and Martin Fiszbein #25992 (DAE, DEV, EFG) - Estimating the Benefits of New Products
W. Erwin Diewert and Robert C. Feenstra #25991 (ITI, PR) - School Desegregation and Black Teacher Employment
Owen Thompson #25990 (CH, ED, LS) - How Do Alternative Work Arrangements Affect Income Risk After Workplace Injury?
Nicholas Broten, Michael Dworsky, and David Powell #25989 (LS) - Endogenous Social Connections in Legislatures
Marco Battaglini, Eleonora Patacchini, and Edoardo Rainone #25988 (POL) - Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation
James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson #25987 (EFG, ME) - The Health Impacts of Hospital Delivery Practices
David Card, Alessandra Fenizia, and David Silver #25986 (CH, LS) - The Political Economy of Social Security Reform
Michael J. Boskin, Diego J. Perez, and Daniel S. Bennett #25985 (AG, PE, POL) - Hurricane Katrina Floods New Jersey: The Role of Information in the Market Response to Flood Risk.
Nicholas Z. Muller and Caroline A. Hopkins #25984 (EEE) - From Good to Bad Concentration? U.S. Industries over the past 30 years
Matias Covarrubias, Germán Gutiérrez, and Thomas Philippon #25983 (CF, IO, POL, PR) - Gender Wage Gaps and Worker Mobility: Evidence from the Garment Sector in Bangladesh
Andreas Menzel and Christopher Woodruff #25982 (DEV, LS) - No Household Left Behind: Afghanistan Targeting the Ultra Poor Impact Evaluation
Guadalupe Bedoya, Aidan Coville, Johannes Haushofer, Mohammad Isaqzadeh, and Jeremy P. Shapiro #25981 (DEV) - The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
Samuel Bazzi, Robert A. Blair, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon, and Richard Merton Peck #25980 (DEV, POL) - Search for Yield in Large International Corporate Bonds: Investor Behavior and Firm Responses
Charles W. Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, Sergio L. Schmukler, and Tomas Williams #25979 (AP, CF, DEV, IFM, ITI) - The Global Business Cycle: Measurement and Transmission
Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #25978 (IFM, ITI) - Prudential Monetary Policy
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #25977 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - How do Humans Interact with Algorithms? Experimental Evidence from Health Insurance
Kate Bundorf, Maria Polyakova, and Ming Tai-Seale #25976 (AG, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE) - Place-Based Drivers of Mortality: Evidence from Migration
Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, and Heidi L. Williams #25975 (AG, HC, HE, IO, PE) - Can Policy Affect Initiation of Addictive Substance Use? Evidence from Opioid Prescribing
Daniel W. Sacks, Alex Hollingsworth, Thuy D. Nguyen, and Kosali I. Simon #25974 (HC, HE) - Accounting for the Impact of Medicaid on Child Poverty
Sanders Korenman, Dahlia K. Remler, and Rosemary T. Hyson #25973 (CH, HE, LS, PE) - Who Provides Liquidity, and When?
Sida Li, Xin Wang, and Mao Ye #25972 (AP) - Are Quality-Adjusted Medical Prices Declining for Chronic Disease? Evidence from Diabetes Care in Four Health Systems
Karen Eggleston, Brian K. Chen, Chih-Hung Chen, Ying Isabel Chen, Talitha Feenstra, Toshiaki Iizuka, Janet Tinkei Lam, Gabriel M. Leung, Jui-fen Rachel Lu, Beatriz Rodriguez-Sanchez, Jeroen N. Struijs, Jianchao Quan, and Joseph P. Newhouse #25971 (HC, HE) - Demographics and Monetary Policy Shocks
Kimberly A. Berg, Chadwick C. Curtis, Steven Lugauer, and Nelson C. Mark #25970 (ME) - Protecting Infants from Natural Disasters: The Case of Vitamin A Supplementation and a Tornado in Bangladesh
Snaebjorn Gunnsteinsson, Achyuta Adhvaryu, Parul Christian, Alain Labrique, Jonathan Sugimoto, Abu Ahmed Shamim, and Keith P. West Jr #25969 (CH, DEV, EEE)
Week of June 17, 2019
- The Industrial Revolution in Services
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #25968 (EFG, ITI) - Are Referees and Editors in Economics Gender Neutral?
David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Patricia Funk, and Nagore Iriberri #25967 (AP, CF, CH, DEV, ED, HC, HE, IO, ITI, LE, LS, PE, POL, PR) - What's Wrong with Pittsburgh? Delegated Investors and Liquidity Concentration
Andra C. Ghent #25966 (AP) - Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Pre-WTO Accession
George A. Alessandria, Shafaat Y. Khan, and Armen Khederlarian #25965 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - When Behavioral Barriers are Too High or Low – How Timing Matters for Parenting Interventions
Kalena E. Cortes, Hans D.U. Fricke, Susanna Loeb, David S. Song, and Benjamin N. York #25964 (CH, ED, LS) - Do Tax Incentives Affect Business Location and Economic Development? Evidence from State Film Incentives
Patrick Button #25963 (LS, PE, PR) - Federalizing Benefits: The Introduction of Supplemental Security Income and the Size of the Safety Net
Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Lucie Schmidt #25962 (DAE, LS, PE) - The Urban Crime and Heat Gradient in High and Low Poverty Areas
Kilian Heilmann and Matthew E. Kahn #25961 (EEE, PE) - Acquisition Prices and the Measurement of Intangible Capital
Michael Ewens, Ryan H. Peters, and Sean Wang #25960 (CF, PR) - Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Plamen T. Nenov, and Alp Simsek #25959 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Price Isn’t Everything: Behavioral Response around Changes in Sin Taxes
Alex Rees-Jones and Kyle T. Rozema #25958 (PE) - Fertility and Modernity
Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg #25957 (POL) - Surveying Business Uncertainty
David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent H. Meyer, and Nicholas Parker #25956 (CF, EFG, ME, PR) - Employer Learning and the Dynamics of Returns to Universities: Evidence from Chinese Elite Education during University Expansion
Sylvie Démurger, Eric A. Hanushek, and Lei Zhang #25955 (DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Imperfect Competition, Compensating Differentials and Rent Sharing in the U.S. Labor Market
Thibaut Lamadon, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler #25954 (LS, PE, PR) - The Effect of SNAP on the Composition of Purchased Foods: Evidence and Implications
Justine S. Hastings, Ryan E. Kessler, and Jesse M. Shapiro #25953 (HE, PE) - Markups and Inequality
Corina Boar and Virgiliu Midrigan #25952 (EFG, IO, ME, PR) - Spatial Inefficiencies in Africa's Trade Network
Tilman Graff #25951 (DEV) - Green Bonds: Effectiveness and Implications for Public Policy
Caroline Flammer #25950 (CF, EEE) - Runoff Elections in the Laboratory
Laurent Bouton, Jorge Gallego, Aniol Llorente-Saguer, and Rebecca Morton #25949 (POL) - Does Workplace Competition Increase Labor Supply? Evidence from a Field Experiment
Amalia R. Miller, Ragan Petrie, and Carmit Segal #25948 (LS) - Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions
Debopam Bhattacharya, Pascaline Dupas, and Shin Kanaya #25947 (DEV, PE) - Intermediation Variety
Jason Roderick Donaldson, Giorgia Piacentino, and Anjan Thakor #25946 (CF) - Public Universities: The Supply Side of Building a Skilled Workforce
John Bound, Breno Braga, Gaurav Khanna, and Sarah Turner #25945 (ED, LS) - Redistributive Effects of Different Pension Systems When Longevity Varies by Socioeconomic Status
Miguel Sánchez-Romero, Ronald D. Lee, and Alexia Prskawetz #25944 (AG, PE) - Consumer-Lending Discrimination in the FinTech Era
Robert Bartlett, Adair Morse, Richard Stanton, and Nancy Wallace #25943 (CF, LE) - Wages and Hours Laws: What Do We Know? What Can Be Done?
Charles C. Brown and Daniel S. Hamermesh #25942 (LS) - How Research Affects Policy: Experimental Evidence from 2,150 Brazilian Municipalities
Jonas Hjort, Diana Moreira, Gautam Rao, and Juan Francisco Santini #25941 (DEV, POL) - Do Report Cards Predict Future Quality? The Case of Skilled Nursing Facilities
Portia Y. Cornell, David C. Grabowski, Edward C. Norton, and Momotazur Rahman #25940 (AG, HC, HE) - Addressing Climate Change through Price and Non-Price Interventions
Joseph E. Stiglitz #25939 (EEE) - The Altruism Budget: Measuring and Encouraging Charitable Giving
Laura K. Gee and Jonathan Meer #25938 (PE) - Dust and Death: Evidence from the West African Harmattan
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Prashant Bharadwaj, James Fenske, Anant Nyshadham, and Richard Stanley #25937 (CH, DEV, EEE)
Week of June 10, 2019
- Losing Insurance and Behavioral Health Hospitalizations: Evidence from a Large-scale Medicaid Disenrollment
Johanna Catherine Maclean, Sebastian Tello-Trillo, and Douglas Webber #25936 (AG, HC, HE, PE) - Inaccurate Statistical Discrimination
J. Aislinn Bohren, Kareem Haggag, Alex Imas, and Devin G. Pope #25935 (LS) - The Currency Composition of International Reserves, Demand for International Reserves, and Global Safe Assets
Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung, and Xingwang Qian #25934 (IFM) - Evidence for the Effect of Monitoring Costs on Foreign Direct Investment
Bruce A. Blonigen, Anca D. Cristea, and Donghyun Lee #25933 (IO, ITI) - The Affordable Care Act’s Effects on Patients, Providers and the Economy: What We’ve Learned So Far
Jonathan Gruber and Benjamin D. Sommers #25932 (AG, CH, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Trading Up and the Skill Premium
Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo, Arlene Wong, and Miao Ben Zhang #25931 (EFG) - A Unified Approach to Measuring u*
Richard K. Crump, Stefano Eusepi, Marc Giannoni, and Ayşegül Şahin #25930 (AG, EFG, LS, ME, PR) - Freeing Financial Education via Tablets: Experimental Evidence from Colombia
Orazio Attanasio, Matthew Bird, Lina Cardona-Sosa, and Pablo Lavado #25929 (DEV, ED) - Scientific Education and Innovation: From Technical Diplomas to University STEM Degrees
Nicola Bianchi and Michela Giorcelli #25928 (ED, LS, PR) - Does Trade Reform Promote Economic Growth? A Review of Recent Evidence
Douglas A. Irwin #25927 (EFG, ITI) - Should We Trust Clustered Standard Errors? A Comparison with Randomization-Based Methods
Lourenço S. Paz and James E. West #25926 (ED, LS, PE, TWP) - The Political Economy Consequences of China's Export Slowdown
Filipe R. Campante, Davin Chor, and Bingjing Li #25925 (ITI, POL) - Why Unions Survive: Understanding How Unions Overcome The Free-Rider Problem
Richard Murphy #25924 (ED, LS) - Good Dispersion, Bad Dispersion
Matthias Kehrig and Nicolas Vincent #25923 (CF, EFG, PR) - Employee Costs of Corporate Bankruptcy
John R. Graham, Hyunseob Kim, Si Li, and Jiaping Qiu #25922 (CF, LS) - International Student Mobility: Growth and Dispersion
Neeraj Kaushal and Mauro Lanati #25921 (DEV, ED) - What Do Employee Referral Programs Do?
Guido Friebel, Matthias Heinz, Mitchell Hoffman, and Nick Zubanov #25920 (DEV, LS, PR, IO) - Trade and Worker Deskilling
Rui Costa, Swati Dhingra, and Stephen Machin #25919 (ITI) - Secure Survey Design in Organizations: Theory and Experiments
Sylvain Chassang and Christian Zehnder #25918 (DEV, LE, LS, POL) - Steering in Online Markets: The Role of Platform Incentives and Credibility
Moshe A. Barach, Joseph M. Golden, and John J. Horton #25917 (LS, PR) - Opposition Media, State Censorship, and Political Accountability: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela
Brian Knight and Ana Tribin #25916 (DEV, IO, PE, POL) - The Effects of Multispecialty Group Practice on Health Care Spending and Use
Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, and Anne Beeson Royalty #25915 (HC, PE) - The Specter of the Giant Three
Lucian A. Bebchuk and Scott Hirst #25914 (CF, LE)
Week of June 3, 2019
- The Spatial Mismatch Between Innovation and Joblessness
Edward L. Glaeser and Naomi Hausman #25913 (DEV) - The Future of U.S. Carbon-Pricing Policy
Robert Stavins #25912 (EEE) - Perspectives on U.S. Monetary Policy Tools and Instruments
James D. Hamilton #25911 (ME) - Long-Run Environmental Accounting in the U.S. Economy.
Nicholas Z. Muller #25910 (EEE) - Hoarding for Stormy Days - Test of International Reserves Providing Financial Buffer Services
Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak #25909 (IFM) - Business Groups and the Incorporation of Firm-specific Shocks into Stock Prices
Mara Faccio, Randall Morck, and M. Deniz Yavuz #25908 (CF) - The Use and Misuse of Income Data and Extreme Poverty in the United States
Bruce D. Meyer, Derek Wu, Victoria R. Mooers, and Carla Medalia #25907 (CH, LS, PE) - Affordable Housing and City Welfare
Jack Favilukis, Pierre Mabille, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #25906 (AP, CF, EFG, PE) - Student Loan Choice Overload
Benjamin M. Marx and Lesley J. Turner #25905 (ED, LS, PE) - Two-way Fixed Effects Estimators with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Clément de Chaisemartin and Xavier D'Haultfoeuille #25904 (AG, CF, CH, DEV, ED, EEE, HC, HE, IO, ITI, LS, PE, PR, TWP) - Designing Effective Teacher Performance Pay Programs: Experimental Evidence from Tanzania
Isaac Mbiti, Mauricio Romero, and Youdi Schipper #25903 (CH, DEV, ED) - When Dad Can Stay Home: Fathers' Workplace Flexibility and Maternal Health
Petra Persson and Maya Rossin-Slater #25902 (CH, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Factions, Local Accountability, and Long-Term Development: Theory and Evidence
Hanming Fang, Linke Hou, Mingxing Liu, Lixin Colin Xu, and Pengfei Zhang #25901 (DEV, PE, POL) - The Macroeconomics of the Greek Depression
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Loukas Karabarbounis, and Rohan Kekre #25900 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - A Machine Learning Analysis of Seasonal and Cyclical Sales in Weekly Scanner Data
Rishab Guha and Serena Ng #25899 (EFG, ME) - Distributional Effects of Education on Health
Silvia H. Barcellos, Leandro S. Carvalho, and Patrick Turley #25898 (AG, CH, ED, HE, LS) - Interbank Connections, Contagion and Bank Distress in the Great Depression
Charles W. Calomiris, Matthew S. Jaremski, and David C. Wheelock #25897 (DAE) - Contemporary State Policies and Intergenerational Income Mobility
Lars J. Lefgren, Jaren C. Pope, and David P. Sims #25896 (CH, ED, LS) - Optimal Positive Capital Taxes at Interior Steady States
Jess Benhabib and Bálint Szőke #25895 (PE) - Assessing the Benefits of Long-Run Weather Forecasting for the Rural Poor: Farmer Investments and Worker Migration in a Dynamic Equilibrium Model
Mark R. Rosenzweig and Christopher R. Udry #25894 (DEV) - The Changing Structure of American Innovation: Some Cautionary Remarks for Economic Growth
Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Andrea Patacconi, and Jungkyu Suh #25893 (PR) - Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve
Michael McLeay and Silvana Tenreyro #25892 (ME) - The Regulation of Private Money
Gary B. Gorton #25891 (CF, DAE, ME) - Boom-Bust Capital Flow Cycles
Graciela L. Kaminsky #25890 (IFM) - Intergenerational and Intragenerational Externalities of the Perry Preschool Project
James J. Heckman and Ganesh Karapakula #25889 (AG, CH, ED) - The Perry Preschoolers at Late Midlife: A Study in Design-Specific Inference
James J. Heckman and Ganesh Karapakula #25888 (AG, CH, ED, TWP) - A Theory of Participation in OTC and Centralized Markets
Jérôme Dugast, Semih Üslü, and Pierre-Olivier Weill #25887 (AP, EFG, ME) - Estimating Selection Models without Instrument with Stata
Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Arnaud Maurel, Xiaoyun Qiu, and Yichong Zhang #25823 (LS, TWP)
Week of May 27, 2019
- Understanding the Mechanisms of Parental Divorce Effects on Child’s Higher Education
Yen-Chien Chen, Elliott Fan, and Jin-Tan Liu #25886 (, LS) - Signaling and Employer Learning with Instruments
Gaurab Aryal, Manudeep Bhuller, and Fabian Lange #25885 (ED, LS) - Controlling Tuberculosis? Evidence from the First Community-Wide Health Experiment
Karen Clay, Peter Juul Egedesø, Casper Worm Hansen, Peter Sandholt Jensen, and Avery Calkins #25884 (DAE, DEV, HC) - It's the Phone, Stupid: Mobiles and Murder
Lena Edlund and Cecilia Machado #25883 (HE, LS, PE) - Common Risk Factors in Cryptocurrency
Yukun Liu, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Xi Wu #25882 (AP) - Aiming for the Goal: Contribution Dynamics of Crowdfunding
Joyee Deb, Aniko Oery, and Kevin R. Williams #25881 (IO) - Scabs: The Social Suppression of Labor Supply
Emily Breza, Supreet Kaur, and Nandita Krishnaswamy #25880 (DEV, LS) - The Indeterminacy Agenda in Macroeconomics
Roger E.A. Farmer #25879 (EFG) - Excessive Entry and Exit in Export Markets
Hiroyuki Kasahara and Heiwai Tang #25878 (ITI) - On the Equivalence of Private and Public Money
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Dirk Niepelt #25877 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Borrowing to Save? The Impact of Automatic Enrollment on Debt
John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and William L. Skimmyhorn #25876 (AG, LS, PE) - The Gift of Global Talent: Innovation Policy and the Economy
William R. Kerr #25875 (LS, PR) - Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit
Fatih Karahan, Benjamin Pugsley, and Ayşegül Şahin #25874 (EFG, ME) - Information, Mobile Communication, and Referral Effects
Panle Jia Barwick, Yanyan Liu, Eleonora Patacchini, and Qi Wu #25873 (LS) - Communication within Banking Organizations and Small Business Lending
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Qilin Peng, and Wensi Xie #25872 (CF, IO) - Structural Transformation, Industrial Specialization, and Endogenous Growth
Paula Bustos, Juan Manuel Castro Vincenzi, Joan Monras, and Jacopo Ponticelli #25871 (DEV, ITI) - Reclassification to Avoid Consumer Cost-Sharing in Group Health Plans
Olesya Fomenko and Jonathan Gruber #25870 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Understanding Weak Capital Investment: the Role of Market Concentration and Intangibles
Nicolas Crouzet and Janice C. Eberly #25869 (AP, EFG, ME) - Disentangling Global Value Chains
Alonso de Gortari #25868 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends
Andrew Foerster, Andreas Hornstein, Pierre-Daniel Sarte, and Mark W. Watson #25867 (EFG) - Expectations, Wage Hikes, and Worker Voice: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Teresa Molina, and Anant Nyshadham #25866 (DEV, LS, PR) - Management and Shocks to Worker Productivity
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Namrata Kala, and Anant Nyshadham #25865 (DEV, LS, PR) - Accumulation of Human and Market Capital in the United States, 1975-2012: An Analysis by Gender
Barbara M. Fraumeni and Michael S. Christian #25864 (ED, PR)
Week of May 20, 2019
- The Impact of Legalized Abortion on Crime over the Last Two Decades
John J. Donohue and Steven D. Levitt #25863 (LE, LS, PE) - International Business Travel and Technology Sourcing
Nune Hovhannisyan and Wolfgang Keller #25862 (ITI, PR) - Fiduciary Duty and the Market for Financial Advice
Vivek Bhattacharya, Gaston Illanes, and Manisha Padi #25861 (IO, LE) - Trade Protectionism and US Manufacturing Employment
Chunding Li, Jing Wang, and John Whalley #25860 (ITI) - Military Service and Public Sector Employment: Birthdates Called in the Vietnam Draft Lotteries Appear Excessively in the Population of Civilian U.S. Federal Personnel Records
Tim Johnson and Dalton Conley #25859 (LS, PE) - Stability of Experimental Results: Forecasts and Evidence
Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope #25858 (LS) - Reputation Inflation
Apostolos Filippas, John J. Horton, and Joseph M. Golden #25857 (LS, PR) - A Study of Exclusionary Coalitions: The Canadian Sugar Coalition, 1888–1889
John Asker and C. Scott Hemphill #25856 (IO) - Will the Market Fix the Market? A Theory of Stock Exchange Competition and Innovation
Eric Budish, Robin S. Lee, and John J. Shim #25855 (AP, CF, IO, LE) - Simplicity Creates Inequity: Implications for Fairness, Stereotypes, and Interpretability
Jon Kleinberg and Sendhil Mullainathan #25854 (LE, LS, PE) - The Impact of CEOs in the Public Sector: Evidence from the English NHS
Katharina Janke, Carol Propper, and Raffaella Sadun #25853 (HC, PR) - Managerial Quality and Productivity Dynamics
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge A. Tamayo #25852 (DEV, LS, PR) - Can Financial Participants Improve Price Discovery and Efficiency in Multi-Settlement Markets with Trading Costs?
Akshaya Jha and Frank A. Wolak #25851 (EEE, IO) - Population Aging, Age Discrimination, and Age Discrimination Protections at the 50th Anniversary of the Age Discrimination in Employment Act
Patrick Button #25850 (AG, LE, LS, PE) - Employment Discrimination against Indigenous Peoples in the United States: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Patrick Button and Brigham Walker #25849 (LE, LS) - The Science of Using Science: Towards an Understanding of the Threats to Scaling Experiments
Omar Al-Ubaydli, John A. List, and Dana Suskind #25848 (DEV, ED, PE, TWP) - Do Stricter Immunization Laws Improve Coverage? Evidence from the Repeal of Non-medical Exemptions for School Mandated Vaccines
Chelsea J. Richwine, Avi Dor, and Ali Moghtaderi #25847 (CH, HE) - Physician Bias and Racial Disparities in Health: Evidence from Veterans' Pensions
Shari Eli, Trevon D. Logan, and Boriana Miloucheva #25846 (AG, DAE, HE) - Consumer Myopia in Vehicle Purchases: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Kenneth Gillingham, Sébastien Houde, and Arthur van Benthem #25845 (EEE) - The Illusion of Stable Preferences over Major Life Decisions
Maximilian W. Mueller, Joan Hamory Hicks, Jennifer Johnson-Hanks, and Edward Miguel #25844 (DEV, HE) - Peer Effects in Product Adoption
Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel, and Arlene Wong #25843 (AP, CF, DEV, EEE, EFG, IO, LE, LS, ME, PE) - Should We Tax Sugar-Sweetened Beverages? An Overview of Theory and Evidence
Hunt Allcott, Benjamin Lockwood, and Dmitry Taubinsky #25842 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE, POL) - Regressive Sin Taxes, With an Application to the Optimal Soda Tax
Hunt Allcott, Benjamin Lockwood, and Dmitry Taubinsky #25841 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE, POL) - Equilibrium Trade in Automobile Markets
Kenneth Gillingham, Fedor Iskhakov, Anders Munk-Nielsen, John P. Rust, and Bertel Schjerning #25840 (EEE, IO) - Special Deals with Chinese Characteristics
Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Zheng Michael Song #25839 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, POL) - Rationalizing Trading Frequency and Returns: Maybe Trading is Good for You
Yosef Bonaparte, Russell Cooper, and Mengli Sha #25838 (EFG) - Transforming Naturally Occurring Text Data Into Economic Statistics: The Case of Online Job Vacancy Postings
Arthur Turrell, Bradley J. Speigner, Jyldyz Djumalieva, David Copple, and James Thurgood #25837 (LS) - Climatic Constraints on Aggregate Economic Output
Marshall Burke and Vincent Tanutama #25779 (DEV, EEE)
Week of May 13, 2019
- Immigration and Economic Growth
George J. Borjas #25836 (LS) - Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability
Stefano Gagliarducci, M. Daniele Paserman, and Eleonora Patacchini #25835 (EEE, POL) - Pay Transparency and the Gender Gap
Michael Baker, Yosh Halberstam, Kory Kroft, Alexandre Mas, and Derek Messacar #25834 (LS, PE) - Can Blockchain Solve the Hold-up Problem in Contracts?
Richard T. Holden and Anup Malani #25833 (LE) - Family and Government Insurance: Wage, Earnings, and Income Risks in the Netherlands and the U.S.
Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, Marike G. Knoef, Gonzalo Paz-Pardo, and Raun Van Ooijen #25832 (PE) - Pigou Creates Losers: On the Implausibility of Achieving Pareto Improvements from Efficiency-Enhancing Policies
James M. Sallee #25831 (EEE, PE) - Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period
David S. Jacks and Dennis Novy #25830 (DAE) - School Segregation and Racial Gaps in Special Education Identification
Todd E. Elder, David N. Figlio, Scott A. Imberman, and Claudia I. Persico #25829 (CH, ED, LS) - The Role of Neonatal Health in the Incidence of Childhood Disability
Todd Elder, David N. Figlio, Scott A. Imberman, and Claudia Persico #25828 (CH, ED, HE) - Nonparametric Estimates of Demand in the California Health Insurance Exchange
Pietro Tebaldi, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Hanbin Yang #25827 (IO) - Double-Counting of Investment
Robert J. Barro #25826 (EFG) - Automated Linking of Historical Data
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, Katherine Eriksson, James J. Feigenbaum, and Santiago Pérez #25825 (DAE, TWP) - Multinationals, Offshoring and the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing
Christoph E. Boehm, Aaron Flaaen, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #25824 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Do Income Contingent Student Loan Programs Distort Earnings? Evidence from the UK
Jack W. Britton and Jonathan Gruber #25822 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Tax Mechanisms and Gradient Flows
Stefan Steinerberger and Aleh Tsyvinski #25821 (EFG, PE) - On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint
Davide Debortoli, Jordi Galí, and Luca Gambetti #25820 (EFG, ME) - Errors in the Dependent Variable of Quantile Regression Models
Jerry A. Hausman, Haoyang Liu, Ye Luo, and Christopher Palmer #25819 (ED, LS, PE, TWP) - Automating Response Evaluation for Franchising Questions on the 2017 Economic Census
Joseph Staudt, Yifang Wei, Lisa Singh, Shawn D. Klimek, J. Bradford Jensen, and Andrew L. Baer #25818 (TWP) - Premium for Heightened Uncertainty: Solving the FOMC Puzzle
Grace Xing Hu, Jun Pan, Jiang Wang, and Haoxiang Zhu #25817 (AP) - The Struggle Towards Macroeconomic Stability: Analytical Essay
Assaf Razin #25816 (IFM)
Week of May 6, 2019
- The Politics of CEOs
Alma Cohen, Moshe Hazan, Roberto Tallarita, and David Weiss #25815 (CF, LE, POL) - Institutional Trading Around M&A Announcements
Eliezer Fich, Viktoriya Lantushenko, and Clemens Sialm #25814 (AP, CF) - Are Millennials Really So Selfish? Preliminary Evidence from the Philanthropy Panel Study
Peter Koczanski and Harvey S. Rosen #25813 (PE) - An Empirical History of the United States Postal Savings System
Steven Sprick Schuster, Matthew Jaremski, and Elisabeth Ruth Perlman #25812 (DAE) - The Fiscal Roots of Inflation
John H. Cochrane #25811 (AP, EFG) - Second Chance: Life without Student Debt
Marco Di Maggio, Ankit Kalda, and Vincent Yao #25810 (CF, ED, LE, LS) - Does Gentrification Displace Poor Children? New Evidence from New York City Medicaid Data
Kacie Dragan, Ingrid Ellen, and Sherry A. Glied #25809 (CH, HC, PE) - A Framework for Debt-Maturity Management
Saki Bigio, Galo Nuño, and Juan Passadore #25808 (EFG, IFM) - Bank Risk Dynamics and Distance to Default
Stefan Nagel and Amiyatosh Purnanandam #25807 (AP, CF) - Survival of the Fittest: The Impact of the Minimum Wage on Firm Exit
Dara Lee Luca and Michael Luca #25806 (IO, LS, PR) - Racial Segregation in Housing Markets and the Erosion of Black Wealth
Prottoy A. Akbar, Sijie Li, Allison Shertzer, and Randall P. Walsh #25805 (DAE) - Multinational Expansion in Time and Space
Stefania Garetto, Lindsay Oldenski, and Natalia Ramondo #25804 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - On Money as a Medium of Exchange in Near-Cashless Credit Economies
Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #25803 (ME) - Implicit and Explicit Commitment in Credit and Saving Contracts: A Field Experiment
Uzma Afzal, Giovanna D'Adda, Marcel Fafchamps, Simon R. Quinn, and Farah Said #25802 (DEV) - Assets and Job Choice: Student Debt, Wages and Amenities
Mi Luo and Simon Mongey #25801 (EFG) - Incentivized Resume Rating: Eliciting Employer Preferences without Deception
Judd B. Kessler, Corinne Low, and Colin Sullivan #25800 (ED, LS, PE) - Incentivizing Learning-By-Doing: The Role of Compensation Schemes
Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Lisa B. Kahn, and Matthew J. Neidell #25799 (LS) - Reducing Crime Through Environmental Design: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Street Lighting in New York City
Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, Jason Lerner, and Lucie Parker #25798 (, PE) - Unemployment, Labor Mobility, and Climate Policy
Kenneth A. Castellanos and Garth Heutel #25797 (EEE) - Can Successful Schools Replicate? Scaling Up Boston’s Charter School Sector
Sarah Cohodes, Elizabeth Setren, and Christopher R. Walters #25796 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Rise of Bank Competition: Evidence from Banking Deregulation in China
Haoyu Gao, Hong Ru, Robert Townsend, and Xiaoguang Yang #25795 (CF) - Do Distressed Banks Really Gamble for Resurrection?
Itzhak Ben-David, Ajay A. Palvia, and René M. Stulz #25794 (CF) - The Seniority Structure of Sovereign Debt
Matthias Schlegl, Christoph Trebesch, and Mark L.J. Wright #25793 (EFG, IFM, ITI, LE) - Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or is It Just Hibernating?
Peter Hooper, Frederic S. Mishkin, and Amir Sufi #25792 (EFG, ME)
Week of April 29, 2019
- Predicting High-Risk Opioid Prescriptions Before they are Given
Justine S. Hastings, Mark Howison, and Sarah E. Inman #25791 (HC, HE, PE) - After the Panic: Are Financial Crises Demand or Supply Shocks? Evidence from International Trade
Felipe Benguria and Alan M. Taylor #25790 (DAE, EFG, IFM, ITI) - The Effect of the Universal Primary Education Program on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Tanzania
Esther Delesalle #25789 (DEV, ED) - Impacts of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Jobs on Youth: 5-year Experimental Evidence on Factory Job Offers and Cash Grants in Ethiopia
Christopher Blattman, Stefan Dercon, and Simon Franklin #25788 (DEV, LS) - Can Economic Policies Reduce Deaths of Despair?
William H. Dow, Anna Godøy, Christopher A. Lowenstein, and Michael Reich #25787 (HE, LS) - Earnings Dynamics and Firm-Level Shocks
Benjamin Friedrich, Lisa Laun, Costas Meghir, and Luigi Pistaferri #25786 (LS) - Destructive Behavior, Judgment, and Economic Decision-making under Thermal Stress
Ingvild Almås, Maximilian Auffhammer, Tessa Bold, Ian Bolliger, Aluma Dembo, Solomon M. Hsiang, Shuhei Kitamura, Edward Miguel, and Robert Pickmans #25785 (DEV, EEE) - Paid Family Leave and Breastfeeding: Evidence from California
Jessica E. Pac, Ann P. Bartel, Christopher J. Ruhm, and Jane Waldfogel #25784 (CH, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Long-Run Tax Incidence in a Human Capital-based Endogenous Growth Model with Labor-Market Frictions
Been-Lon Chen, Hung-Ju Chen, and Ping Wang #25783 (EFG, PE) - The International Monetary and Financial System
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Hélène Rey, and Maxime Sauzet #25782 (AP, EFG, IFM) - Macroeconomic Uncertainty Prices when Beliefs are Tenuous
Lars Peter Hansen and Thomas J. Sargent #25781 (AP) - Land Reform and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis with Micro Data
Tasso Adamopoulos and Diego Restuccia #25780 (DEV, EFG, PR) - Measuring Global Economic Activity
James D. Hamilton #25778 (EEE, EFG) - A Dynamic Model of Characteristic-Based Return Predictability
Aydoğan Alti and Sheridan Titman #25777 (AP) - Wages, Experience and Training of Women over the Lifecycle
Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, David A. Goll, and Costas Meghir #25776 (LS, PE) - Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk
Markus K. Brunnermeier, Simon C. Rother, and Isabel Schnabel #25775 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Liquidity Risk After 20 Years
Lubos Pastor and Robert F. Stambaugh #25774 (AP, CF)
Week of April 22, 2019
- Tax Policy for Innovation
Bronwyn H. Hall #25773 (PE, PR) - Welfare State, Inequality, and Globalization: Role of International-capital-flow Direction
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #25772 (IFM) - What Does an Electric Vehicle Replace?
Jianwei Xing, Benjamin Leard, and Shanjun Li #25771 (EEE) - Did the 2017 Tax Reform Discriminate against Blue State Voters?
David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Patrick C. Higgins, Darryl R. Koehler, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Michael Leiseca, Ellyn Terry, and Yifan Ye #25770 (PE, POL) - How the Wealth Was Won: Factors Shares as Market Fundamentals
Daniel L. Greenwald, Martin Lettau, and Sydney C. Ludvigson #25769 (AP, EFG, ME) - Fiscal Space and the Aftermath of Financial Crises: How It Matters and Why
Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer #25768 (DAE, EFG, ME) - The Production Relocation and Price Effects of U.S. Trade Policy: The Case of Washing Machines
Aaron B. Flaaen, Ali Hortaçsu, and Felix Tintelnot #25767 (IFM, IO, ITI) - The Political Economy of Immigration Enforcement: Conflict and Cooperation under Federalism
Alberto Ciancio and Camilo García-Jimeno #25766 (LE, PE, POL) - Beyond Competitive Devaluations: The Monetary Dimensions of Comparative Advantage
Paul R. Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti #25765 (IFM) - Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia
Eric T. Swanson #25764 (AP, EFG) - Girls, Boys, and High Achievers
Angela Cools, Raquel Fernández, and Eleonora Patacchini #25763 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Trade Wars: What do they Mean? Why are they Happening Now? What are the Costs?
Aaditya Mattoo and Robert W. Staiger #25762 (ITI) - The Local Aggregate Effects of Minimum Wage Increases
Daniel Cooper, María José Luengo-Prado, and Jonathan A. Parker #25761 (EFG, LS, ME, PE) - Making Carbon Taxation a Generational Win Win
Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Felix Kubler, Andrey Polbin, Jeffrey D. Sachs, and Simon Scheidegger #25760 (EEE, PE) - Is Blinded Review Enough? How Gendered Outcomes Arise Even Under Anonymous Evaluation
Julian Kolev, Yuly Fuentes-Medel, and Fiona Murray #25759 (PR)
Week of April 15, 2019
- The Impact of Parental Involvement Laws on Minor Abortion
Theodore J. Joyce, Robert Kaestner, and Jason Ward #25758 (HE) - Rational Illiquidity and Excess Sensitivity: Theory and Evidence from Income Tax Withholding and Refunds
Michael Gelman, Shachar Kariv, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Dan Silverman #25757 (EFG, ME, PE, PR) - What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?
Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates #25756 (EFG, IO, PR) - Ten Facts on Declining Business Dynamism and Lessons from Endogenous Growth Theory
Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates #25755 (EFG, IO, PR) - A Forensic Examination of China's National Accounts
Wei Chen, Xilu Chen, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Zheng Song #25754 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI) - The Returns to Early-life Interventions for Very Low Birth Weight Children
Eric Chyn, Samantha Gold, and Justine S. Hastings #25753 (CH, ED, HC, HE, PE) - Censorship, Family Planning, and the Historical Fertility Transition
Brian Beach and W. Walker Hanlon #25752 (CH, DAE, DEV) - Can the Market Multiply and Divide? Non-Proportional Thinking in Financial Markets
Kelly Shue and Richard R. Townsend #25751 (AP) - How Cognitive Ability and Financial Literacy Shape the Demand for Financial Advice at Older Ages
Hugh Hoikwang Kim, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #25750 (AG) - Job Displacement Insurance and (the Lack of) Consumption-Smoothing
François Gerard and Joana Naritomi #25749 (LS, PE) - Why is Productivity Correlated with Competition?
Matthew Backus #25748 (IO, PR) - Reflexivity in Credit Markets
Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin #25747 (AP, CF) - Dishonest Behavior: Sin Big or Go Home
Jason A. Aimone, Brittany Ward, and James E. West #25746 (LS, PE, ED) - Tax Professionals: Tax-Evasion Facilitators or Information Hubs?
Marco Battaglini, Luigi Guiso, Chiara Lacava, and Eleonora Patacchini #25745 (PE) - Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, and Stephen Utkus #25744 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - Some International Evidence for Keynesian Economics without the Phillips Curve
Roger Farmer and Giovanni Nicolò #25743 (EFG, ME) - In-Text Patent Citations: A User’s Guide
Kevin A. Bryan, Yasin Ozcan, and Bhaven N. Sampat #25742 (PR) - Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence
Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, Ahmed Rahman, and Alan M. Taylor #25741 (DAE, EFG, IFM, ITI) - Taxation and Migration: Evidence and Policy Implications
Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Mathilde Muñoz, and Stefanie Stantcheva #25740 (PE) - The Return to Hours Worked Within and Across Occupations: Implications for the Gender Wage Gap
Jeffrey T. Denning, Brian Jacob, Lars Lefgren, and Christian vom Lehn #25739 (LS) - Combining Administrative and Survey Data to Improve Income Measurement
Bruce D. Meyer and Nikolas Mittag #25738 (AG, CH, LS, PE) - An Empirical Total Survey Error Decomposition Using Data Combination
Bruce D. Meyer and Nikolas Mittag #25737 (AG, CH, LS, PE) - Does Class Size Matter? How, and at What Cost?
Desire Kedagni, Kala Krishna, Rigissa Megalokonomou, and Yingyan Zhao #25736 (ED) - Intergenerational Mobility between and within Canada and the United States
Marie Connolly, Miles Corak, and Catherine Haeck #25735 (CH, LS)
Week of April 8, 2019
- Hedging Climate Change News
Robert F. Engle III, Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, Heebum Lee, and Johannes Stroebel #25734 (AP, CF, EEE, EFG) - Workers' Employment Rates and Pension Reforms in France: the Role of Implicit Labor Taxation
Didier Blanchet, Antoine Bozio, Simon Rabaté, and Muriel Roger #25733 (AG) - "And Yet It Moves": Intergenerational Mobility in Italy
Paolo Acciari, Alberto Polo, and Giovanni L. Violante #25732 (EFG, LS) - Can Simple Psychological Interventions Increase Preventive Health Investment?
Johannes Haushofer, Anett John, and Kate Orkin #25731 (DEV, HE) - Schools, Neighborhoods, and the Long-Run Effect of Crime-Prone Peers
Stephen B. Billings and Mark Hoekstra #25730 (CH, ED) - Throwing the Baby out with the Drinking Water: Unintended Consequences of Arsenic Mitigation Efforts in Bangladesh
Nina Buchmann, Erica M. Field, Rachel Glennerster, and Reshmaan N. Hussam #25729 (DEV) - The Impact of Global Warming on Rural-Urban Migrations: Evidence from Global Big Data
Giovanni Peri and Akira Sasahara #25728 (DEV, LS) - How the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake Shaped Economic Activity in the American West
Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Casper Worm Hansen, and Lars Lønstrup #25727 (DAE, LS) - Fast, "Robust", and Approximately Correct: Estimating Mixed Demand Systems
Bernard Salanié and Frank A. Wolak #25726 (EEE, IO) - Taxing Top Incomes in a World of Ideas
Charles I. Jones #25725 (EFG, PE, PR) - The Democracy Effect: a Weights-Based Identification Strategy
Pedro Dal Bó, Andrew Foster, and Kenju Kamei #25724 (POL) - Risk Preferences of Children and Adolescents in Relation to Gender, Cognitive Skills, Soft Skills, and Executive Functions
James Andreoni, Amalia Di Girolamo, John A. List, Claire Mackevicius, and Anya Samek #25723 (CH) - Heterogeneous (Mis-) Perceptions of Energy Costs: Implications for Measurement and Policy Design
Sébastien Houde and Erica Myers #25722 (EEE, IO, PE) - Global Capital Flows Cycle: Impact on Gross and Net Flows
J. Scott Davis, Giorgio Valente, and Eric van Wincoop #25721 (IFM) - How Common are Electoral Cycles in Criminal Sentencing?
Christian Dippel and Michael Poyker #25716 (LE, LS, PE, POL) - Do Private Prisons Affect Criminal Sentencing?
Christian Dippel and Michael Poyker #25715 (LE, LS, PE, POL)
Week of April 1, 2019
- Policy News and Stock Market Volatility
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Kyle J. Kost #25720 (AP, EFG, ME) - Labor Market Power
David W. Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Simon Mongey #25719 (EFG, LS) - Testing the Effectiveness of Consumer Financial Disclosure: Experimental Evidence from Savings Accounts
Paul D. Adams, Stefan Hunt, Christopher Palmer, and Redis Zaliauskas #25718 (AG, CF, IO, LE, ME, PE) - Investor Ideology
Patrick Bolton, Tao Li, Enrichetta Ravina, and Howard L. Rosenthal #25717 (CF, EEE, POL) - Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Returns: Time-Varying Risk Regimes
Charles W. Calomiris and Harry Mamaysky #25714 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - The Patent Troll: Benign Middleman or Stick-Up Artist?
David S. Abrams, Ufuk Akcigit, Gokhan Oz, and Jeremy G. Pearce #25713 (IO, LE, PR) - Relinquishing Riches: Auctions vs Informal Negotiations in Texas Oil and Gas Leasing
Thomas R. Covert and Richard L. Sweeney #25712 (EEE, IO) - The Income Elasticity for Nutrition: Evidence from Unconditional Cash Transfers in Kenya
Ingvild Almås, Johannes Haushofer, and Jeremy P. Shapiro #25711 (DEV) - Capital Controls as Macro-prudential Policy in a Large Open Economy
J. Scott Davis and Michael B. Devereux #25710 (IFM) - Local Labor Markets in Canada and the United States
David Albouy, Alex Chernoff, Chandler Lutz, and Casey Warman #25709 (LS, PE) - Birds of a Feather: Estimating the Value of Statistical Life from Dual-Earner Families
Joseph E. Aldy #25708 (EEE) - Wishful Thinking
Andrew Caplin and John V. Leahy #25707 (EFG, ME) - Capacity Constraints and the Provision of Public Services: The Case of Workers in Public Health Clinics
Matthew C. Harris, Yinan Liu, and Ian McCarthy #25706 (HE, LS) - Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys
Rafael Di Tella and Dani Rodrik #25705 (ITI, LS, PE, POL) - Beyond the Basics: Improving Post-Primary Content Delivery through Classroom Technology
Sabrin A. Beg, Adrienne M. Lucas, Waqas Halim, and Umar Saif #25704 (CH, DEV, ED) - The Industry Anatomy of the Transatlantic Productivity Growth Slowdown
Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed #25703 (EFG) - Expectations During the U.S. Housing Boom: Inferring Beliefs from Actions
Itzhak Ben-David, Pascal Towbin, and Sebastian Weber #25702 (AP, CF, EFG) - Market Frictions, Arbitrage, and the Capitalization of Amenities
Amine Ouazad and Romain Rancière #25701 (AP, PE) - The Intergenerational Effects of a Large Wealth Shock: White Southerners After the Civil War
Philipp Ager, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #25700 (CH, DAE, LS) - Capitalization as a Two-Part Tariff: The Role of Zoning
H. Spencer Banzhaf and Kyle Mangum #25699 (EEE) - Risk Management in Financial Institutions
Adriano A. Rampini, S. Viswanathan, and Guillaume Vuillemey #25698 (CF, EFG, ME) - Coming out in America: AIDS, Politics, and Cultural Change
Raquel Fernández, Sahar Parsa, and Martina Viarengo #25697 (LS, POL) - Costs of Energy Efficiency Mandates Can Reverse the Sign of Rebound
Don Fullerton and Chi L. Ta #25696 (EEE, PE) - GDP-B: Accounting for the Value of New and Free Goods in the Digital Economy
Erik Brynjolfsson, Avinash Collis, W. Erwin Diewert, Felix Eggers, and Kevin J. Fox #25695 (DAE, EFG, PR) - The Relationship Dilemma: Organizational Culture and the Adoption of Credit Scoring Technology in Indian Banking
Prachi Mishra, Nagpurnanand R. Prabhala, and Raghuram G. Rajan #25694 (CF, DEV, IO) - How Do We Choose Our Identity? A Revealed Preference Approach Using Food Consumption
David Atkin, Eve Colson-Sihra, and Moses Shayo #25693 (DEV, POL) - Do Pollution Markets Harm Low Income and Minority Communities? Ranking Emissions Distributions Generated by California's RECLAIM Program
Erin T. Mansur and Glenn Sheriff #25666 (EEE)
- Memory and Representativeness
Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter, and Andrei Shleifer #25692 (TWP) - Identification of Causal Effects with Multiple Instruments: Problems and Some Solutions
Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Christopher R. Walters #25691 (LS, TWP) - The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia
Ravi Bansal, Shane Miller, Dongho Song, and Amir Yaron #25690 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - The Phenomenon of Summer Diarrhea and its Waning, 1910-1930
D. Mark Anderson, Daniel I. Rees, and Tianyi Wang #25689 (CH, DAE, DEV, EEE, HE) - A Short Note on Aggregating Productivity
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #25688 (EFG, PR) - Is a Decentralized Right-to-Work Policy Feasible?
Martin Ravallion #25687 (DEV) - Stress Testing Networks: The Case of Central Counterparties
Richard B. Berner, Stephen G. Cecchetti, and Kermit L. Schoenholtz #25686 (AP, CF, ME) - Macroeconomic Effects of Debt Relief: Consumer Bankruptcy Protections in the Great Recession
Adrien Auclert, Will S. Dobbie, and Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham #25685 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor
Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #25684 (LS) - Unity in Diversity? How Intergroup Contact Can Foster Nation Building
Samuel Bazzi, Arya Gaduh, Alexander D. Rothenberg, and Maisy Wong #25683 (DEV, POL) - The Wrong Kind of AI? Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Labor Demand
Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #25682 (LS) - Inexpensive Heating Reduces Winter Mortality
Janjala Chirakijja, Seema Jayachandran, and Pinchuan Ong #25681 (AG, EEE, HC, HE) - Potential for Inward Foreign Direct Investment in Japan
Takeo Hoshi and Kozo Kiyota #25680 (CF, ITI) - Improving Educational Pathways to Social Mobility: Evidence from Norway’s “Reform 94”
Marianne Bertrand, Magne Mogstad, and Jack Mountjoy #25679 (ED, LS) - Cities, Lights, and Skills in Developing Economies
Jonathan I. Dingel, Antonio Miscio, and Donald R. Davis #25678 (DEV, ITI, LS, POL) - How Financial Management Affects Institutional Investors’ Portfolio Choices: Evidence from Insurers
Shan Ge and Michael S. Weisbach #25677 (AP, CF) - Toward an Understanding of the Economics of Apologies: Evidence from a Large-Scale Natural Field Experiment
Basil Halperin, Benjamin Ho, John A. List, and Ian Muir #25676 (IO, PR) - Ensemble Methods for Causal Effects in Panel Data Settings
Susan Athey, Mohsen Bayati, Guido Imbens, and Zhaonan Qu #25675 (DEV, IO, LS, PE) - Generational Trends in Vehicle Ownership and Use: Are Millennials Any Different?
Christopher R. Knittel and Elizabeth Murphy #25674 (EEE, PE) - The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty
Geert Bekaert, Eric C. Engstrom, and Nancy R. Xu #25673 (AP) - The Impact of the 2018 Trade War on U.S. Prices and Welfare
Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding, and David Weinstein #25672 (ITI)
- Counting Defiers
Amanda E. Kowalski #25671 (AG, CH, LS, PE, TWP) - A Model of a Randomized Experiment with an Application to the PROWESS Clinical Trial
Amanda E. Kowalski #25670 (AG, HC, HE, LS, TWP) - Mobile Money and Healthcare Use: Evidence from East Africa
Haseeb Ahmed and Benjamin W. Cowan #25669 (DEV, HC, HE) - Monthly Payment Targeting and the Demand for Maturity
Bronson Argyle, Taylor D. Nadauld, and Christopher Palmer #25668 (CF, ME, PE) - A Theory of Housing Demand Shocks
Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang, and Tao Zha #25667 (AP, EFG, ME) - Contract Farming and Rural Transformation: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Benin
Aminou Arouna, Jeffrey D. Michler, and Jourdain C. Lokossou #25665 (DEV) - Coalition Formation in Legislative Bargaining
Marco Battaglini #25664 (POL) - The Impact of Early Investments in Urban School Systems in the United States
Ethan J. Schmick and Allison Shertzer #25663 (DAE, ED) - Trading Costs and Informational Efficiency
Eduardo Dávila and Cecilia Parlatore #25662 (AP, EFG, IFM) - The Lost Ones: the Opportunities and Outcomes of Non-College Educated Americans Born in the 1960s
Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Fang Yang #25661 (PE) - Exploitation of Labor? Classical Monopsony Power and Labor's Share
Wyatt J. Brooks, Joseph P. Kaboski, Yao Amber Li, and Wei Qian #25660 (DEV, EFG) - Flexible Production and Entry: Institutional, Technological, and Organizational Determinants
Sharon Belenzon, Victor Manuel Bennett, and Andrea Patacconi #25659 (LS, PR) - Optimal Time-Consistent Monetary, Fiscal and Debt Maturity Policy
Eric M. Leeper, Campbell B. Leith, and Ding Liu #25658 (EFG) - Administrative Data Linking and Statistical Power Problems in Randomized Experiments
Sarah Tahamont, Zubin Jelveh, Aaron Chalfin, Shi Yan, and Benjamin Hansen #25657 (, TWP) - The Power of the IUD: Effects of Expanding Access to Contraception Through Title X Clinics
Andrea M. Kelly, Jason M. Lindo, and Analisa Packham #25656 (CH, HC, HE, PE) - Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment
Stefania Albanesi #25655 (EFG) - Data Driven Regulation: Theory and Application to Missing Bids
Sylvain Chassang, Kei Kawai, Jun Nakabayashi, and Juan M. Ortner #25654 (IO) - The Total Risk Premium Puzzle
Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #25653 (AP, DAE, EFG, IFM, ME) - Evaluating Consumers' Choices of Medicare Part D Plans: A Study in Behavioral Welfare Economics
Michael P. Keane, Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai V. Kuminoff, and Timothy Neal #25652 (AG, HC) - Does Mandating Social Insurance Affect Entrepreneurial Activity?
Youssef Benzarti, Jarkko Harju, and Tuomas Matikka #25651 (PE) - Memory and Reference Prices: an Application to Rental Choice
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #25650 (TWP) - How Monetary Policy Shaped the Housing Boom
Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, and Philipp Schnabl #25649 (AP, CF, ME) - The Unwavering SES Achievement Gap: Trends in U.S. Student Performance
Eric A. Hanushek, Paul E. Peterson, Laura M. Talpey, and Ludger Woessmann #25648 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Do Minimum Wage Increases Reduce Crime?
Zachary S. Fone, Joseph J. Sabia, and Resul Cesur #25647 (, LS) - SNAP and Paycheck Cycles
Timothy K.M. Beatty, Marianne P. Bitler, Xinzhe Huang Cheng, and Cynthia van der Werf #25635 (PE) - Income Changes and Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Unconditional Cash Transfers in Kenya
Johannes Haushofer, Charlotte Ringdal, Jeremy P. Shapiro, and Xiao Yu Wang #25627 (DEV, HE)
- Trade Shocks and the Shifting Landscape of U.S. Manufacturing
Katherine Eriksson, Katheryn Russ, Jay C. Shambaugh, and Minfei Xu #25646 (DAE, IFM, ITI) - Getting Smart About Phones: New Price Indexes and the Allocation of Spending Between Devices and Services Plans in Personal Consumption Expenditures
Ana Aizcorbe, David M. Byrne, and Daniel E. Sichel #25645 (DAE, PR) - Who’s Paying Attention? Measuring Common Ownership and Its Impact on Managerial Incentives
Erik P. Gilje, Todd Gormley, and Doron Y. Levit #25644 (CF) - Understanding Overlapping Policies: Internal Carbon Leakage and the Punctured Waterbed
Grischa Perino, Robert A. Ritz, and Arthur van Benthem #25643 (EEE) - Disability and Distress: The Effect of Disability Programs on Financial Outcomes
Manasi Deshpande, Tal Gross, and Yalun Su #25642 (AG, LS, PE) - School Bus Emissions, Student Health, and Academic Performance
Wes Austin, Garth Heutel, and Daniel Kreisman #25641 (CH, ED, EEE, HE) - Ethnic Inequality and Poverty in Malaysia Since 1969
Martin Ravallion #25640 (DEV) - Immigrants’ Earnings Growth and Return Migration from the U.S.: Examining their Determinants using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
Randall Akee and Maggie R. Jones #25639 (LS) - The Return to Protectionism
Pablo D. Fajgelbaum, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Patrick J. Kennedy, and Amit K. Khandelwal #25638 (ITI) - The Deadweight Loss of Social Recognition
Luigi Butera, Robert Metcalfe, William Morrison, and Dmitry Taubinsky #25637 (AG, HE, PE, POL) - Optimal Environmental Targeting in the Amazon Rainforest
Juliano Assunção, Robert McMillan, Joshua Murphy, and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues #25636 (EEE, PE) - Do Public Firms Respond to Industry Opportunities More Than Private Firms? The Impact of Initial Firm Quality
Vojislav Maksimovic, Gordon M. Phillips, and Liu Yang #25634 (CF, IO) - The Leading Premium
M. Max Croce, Tatyana Marchuk, and Christian Schlag #25633 (AP) - Information Source and Cigarettes: Experimental Evidence on the Messenger Effect
Johanna Catherine Maclean, John Buckell, and Joachim Marti #25632 (AG, HE) - Environmental Policy and Innovation: A Decade of Research
David Popp #25631 (EEE, PR) - Long-run Effects from Comprehensive Student Support: Evidence from Pathways to Education
Adam M. Lavecchia, Philip Oreopoulos, and Robert S. Brown #25630 (CH, ED, LS) - Recovery of 1933
Margaret M. Jacobson, Eric M. Leeper, and Bruce Preston #25629 (EFG) - Aggregate Nominal Wage Adjustments: New Evidence from Administrative Payroll Data
John Grigsby, Erik Hurst, and Ahu Yildirmaz #25628 (EFG, LS, ME) - A Practical Method to Reduce Privacy Loss when Disclosing Statistics Based on Small Samples
Raj Chetty and John N. Friedman #25626 (CH, LS, PE)
- Job-Finding and Job-Losing: A Comprehensive Model of Heterogeneous Individual Labor-Market Dynamics
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #25625 (EFG, LS) - Real Option Exercise: Empirical Evidence
Paul Décaire, Erik P. Gilje, and Jérôme P. Taillard #25624 (CF) - Pecuniary and Non-Pecuniary Motivations for Tax Compliance: Evidence from Pakistan
Joel Slemrod, Obeid Ur Rehman, and Mazhar Waseem #25623 (PE) - The Effects of Income Transparency on Well-Being: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Ricardo Perez-Truglia #25622 (LS, PE, POL) - Public Debt and Low Interest Rates
Olivier J. Blanchard #25621 (EFG, PE) - The Impact of Management Practices on Employee Productivity: A Field Experiment with Airline Captains
Greer K. Gosnell, John A. List, and Robert D. Metcalfe #25620 (IO, LS) - Artificial Intelligence: The Ambiguous Labor Market Impact of Automating Prediction
Ajay Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, and Avi Goldfarb #25619 (PR) - The Roots of Health Inequality and The Value of Intra-Family Expertise
Yiqun Chen, Petra Persson, and Maria Polyakova #25618 (AG, CH, HE, PE) - Optimal Progressivity with Age-Dependent Taxation
Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten, and Giovanni L. Violante #25617 (EFG, PE) - Optimal Managed Competition Subsidies
Keaton S. Miller, Amil Petrin, Robert Town, and Michael Chernew #25616 (HC, IO) - Can Incentives to Increase Electricity Use Reduce the Cost of Integrating Renewable Resources
Laura Mørch Andersen, Lars Gårn Hansen, Carsten Lynge Jensen, and Frank A. Wolak #25615 (EEE, IO) - Misfits in the Car Industry: Offshore Assembly Decisions at the Variety Level
Keith Head and Thierry Mayer #25614 (ITI) - Trade Diversion and Trade Deficits: The case of the Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement
Katheryn N. Russ and Deborah L. Swenson #25613 (IFM, ITI) - Wage Equalization and Regional Misallocation: Evidence from Italian and German Provinces
Tito Boeri, Andrea Ichino, Enrico Moretti, and Johanna Posch #25612 (CH, IFM, ITI, LS, PE, PR) - Quality, Variable Markups, and Welfare: A Quantitative General Equilibrium Analysis of Export Prices
Haichao Fan, Yao Amber Li, Sichuang Xu, and Stephen R. Yeaple #25611 (IO, ITI) - Assessing the Gains from E-Commerce
Paul Dolfen, Liran Einav, Peter J. Klenow, Benjamin Klopack, Jonathan D. Levin, Laurence Levin, and Wayne Best #25610 (EFG, IO, PR) - Entry Costs and the Macroeconomy
Germán Gutiérrez, Callum Jones, and Thomas Philippon #25609 (EFG, IO, ME, PR) - The Right to Education Act: Trends in Enrollment, Test Scores, and School Quality
Manisha Shah and Bryce Millett Steinberg #25608 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - An Empirical Framework for Sequential Assignment: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys
Nikhil Agarwal, Itai Ashlagi, Michael A. Rees, Paulo J. Somaini, and Daniel C. Waldinger #25607 (AG, HE, IO) - Might Global Uncertainty Promote International Trade?
Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp, and Michael E. Waugh #25606 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Socialized Healthcare and Women’s Fertility Decisions
Resul Cesur, Pinar Mine Gunes, Erdal Tekin, and Aydogan Ulker #25605 (CH, HC, HE) - Fintech and Household Resilience to Shocks: Evidence from Digital Loans in Kenya
Prashant Bharadwaj, William Jack, and Tavneet Suri #25604 (DEV) - "Superstitious" Investors
Hongye Guo and Jessica A. Wachter #25603 (AP) - The Economic Value of Breaking Bad: Misbehavior, Schooling and the Labor Market
Nicholas W. Papageorge, Victor Ronda, and Yu Zheng #25602 (CH, ED, LS) - Political Parties Do Matter in U.S. Cities ... For Their Unfunded Pensions
Christian Dippel #25601 (AG, LE, PE, POL) - School Finance Equalization Increases Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from a Simulated-Instruments Approach
Barbara Biasi #25600 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Household Innovation, R&D, and New Measures of Intangible Capital
Daniel Sichel and Eric von Hippel #25599 (DAE, EFG, PR) - Universal Basic Income in the Developing World
Abhijit Banerjee, Paul Niehaus, and Tavneet Suri #25598 (DEV)
Week of February 25, 2019
- Children, Unhappiness and Family Finances: Evidence from One Million Europeans
David G. Blanchflower and Andrew E. Clark #25597 (CH, LS) - Actors in the Child Development Process
Daniela Del Boca, Christopher J. Flinn, Ewout Verriest, and Matthew J. Wiswall #25596 (CH) - On the Economics of Science Parks
Wen-Jung Liang, Chao-Cheng Mai, Jacques-François Thisse, and Ping Wang #25595 (IO, PR) - The Effect of Pollution and Heat on High Skill Public Sector Worker Productivity in China
Matthew E. Kahn and Pei Li #25594 (EEE, PE, PR) - Best Linear Approximations to Set Identified Functions: With an Application to the Gender Wage Gap
Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Victor Chernozhukov, Francesca Molinari, and Paul Schrimpf #25593 (DEV, LS, PE, TWP) - Decentralized Mining in Centralized Pools
Lin William Cong, Zhiguo He, and Jiasun Li #25592 (AP, CF, IO, LE, ME) - Are Consumers Attentive to Local Energy Costs? Evidence from the Appliance Market
Sébastien Houde and Erica Myers #25591 (EEE) - Toward an Understanding of the Development of Time Preferences: Evidence from Field Experiments
James Andreoni, Michael A. Kuhn, John A. List, Anya Samek, Kevin Sokal, and Charles Sprenger #25590 (PE) - When Celebrities Speak: A Nationwide Twitter Experiment Promoting Vaccination In Indonesia
Vivi Alatas, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Markus Mobius, Benjamin A. Olken, and Cindy Paladines #25589 (DEV, POL) - Work of the Past, Work of the Future
David Autor #25588 (LS) - Investigating Treatment Effects of Participating Jointly in SNAP and WIC when the Treatment is Validated Only for SNAP
Helen H. Jensen, Brent Kreider, and Oleksandr Zhylyevskyy #25587 (HE, PE) - Household Responses to Transfers and Liquidity: Evidence from Social Security’s Survivors Benefits
Itzik Fadlon, Shanthi P. Ramnath, and Patricia K. Tong #25586 (AG, LS, PE) - Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth
Seth G. Benzell and Erik Brynjolfsson #25585 (EFG, LS, PR) - Mentally Spent: Credit Conditions and Mental Health
Qing Hu, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Mingzhu Tai #25584 (CF, HE) - Global Collateral and Capital Flows
Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, and Gregory Phelan #25583 (AP, IFM) - Environmental Policy on the Back of an Envelope: A Cobb-Douglas Model is Not Just a Teaching Tool
Don Fullerton and Chi L. Ta #25582 (EEE, PE) - Paying for Kidneys? A Randomized Survey and Choice Experiment
Julio J. Elias, Nicola Lacetera, and Mario Macis #25581 (HC, HE, PE, POL) - Amenities, Risk, and Flood Insurance Reform
V. Kerry Smith and Ben Whitmore #25580 (EEE, PE) - Long-Term Discount Rates Do Not Vary Across Firms
Matti Keloharju, Juhani T. Linnainmaa, and Peter Nyberg #25579 (AP) - Market Power and Income Taxation
Louis Kaplow #25578 (IO, PE, PR) - The Declining Labor Market Prospects of Less-Educated Men
Ariel J. Binder and John Bound #25577 (LS) - Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Information and Pricing on Residential Electricity Consumption
Jesse Burkhardt, Kenneth Gillingham, and Praveen K. Kopalle #25576 (EEE) - Norms, Enforcement, and Tax Evasion
Timothy Besley, Anders Jensen, and Torsten Persson #25575 (PE, POL) - Are Sufficient Statistics Necessary? Nonparametric Measurement of Deadweight Loss from Unemployment Insurance
David S. Lee, Pauline Leung, Christopher J. O'Leary, Zhuan Pei, and Simon Quach #25574 (LS, PE) - Demand for Crash Insurance, Intermediary Constraints, and Risk Premia in Financial Markets
Hui Chen, Scott Joslin, and Sophie X. Ni #25573 (AP, CF, EFG) - Employer Concerns and Responses to an Aging Workforce
Robert L. Clark, Steven Nyce, Beth Ritter, and John B. Shoven #25572 (AG)
Week of February 18, 2019
- The Fiscal Multiplier
Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii, and Kurt Mitman #25571 (EFG, ME, PE) - The Efficiency and Distributional Effects of Alternative Residential Electricity Rate Designs
Scott P. Burger, Christopher R. Knittel, Ignacio J. Pérez-Arriaga, Ian Schneider, and Frederik vom Scheidt #25570 (EEE, PE) - When Labor’s Lost: Health, Family Life, Incarceration, and Education in a Time of Declining Economic Opportunity for Low-Skilled Men
Courtney Coile and Mark Duggan #25569 (LS) - The Effect of Health Insurance on Mortality: Power Analysis and What We Can Learn from the Affordable Care Act Coverage Expansions
Bernard Black, Alex Hollingsworth, Leticia Nunes, and Kosali Simon #25568 (HC, HE) - Naïve *Buying* Diversification and Narrow Framing by Individual Investors
John Gathergood, David Hirshleifer, David Leake, Hiroaki Sakaguchi, and Neil Stewart #25567 (AP) - Visibility Bias in the Transmission of Consumption Beliefs and Undersaving
Bing Han, David Hirshleifer, and Johan Walden #25566 (AP) - Immigrant Entrepreneurs and Innovation in the U.S. High-Tech Sector
J. David Brown, John S. Earle, Mee Jung Kim, and Kyung Min Lee #25565 (LS, PR) - How Does Supplemental Medicare Coverage Affect the Disabled Under-65 Population?: An Exploratory Analysis of the Health Effects of States’ Medigap Policies for SSDI Beneficiaries
Philip Armour and Claire O’Hanlon #25564 (HE, AG) - The Dynamics of the U.S. Trade Balance and Real Exchange Rate: The J Curve and Trade Costs?
George A. Alessandria and Horag Choi #25563 (EFG, IFM) - Immigration and Preferences for Redistribution in Europe
Alberto Alesina, Elie Murard, and Hillel Rapoport #25562 (POL) - Ambiguity Attitudes about Investments: Evidence from the Field
Kanin Anantanasuwong, Roy Kouwenberg, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Kim Peijnenberg #25561 (AG, LS) - Bringing Satellite-Based Air Quality Estimates Down to Earth
Meredith Fowlie, Edward A. Rubin, and Reed Walker #25560 (CH, EEE, PE) - The Endowment Model and Modern Portfolio Theory
Stephen G. Dimmock, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #25559 (AP, CF) - Productivity Measurement: Racing to Keep Up
Daniel E. Sichel #25558 (DAE, EFG, PR) - How Do Americans Repay Their Debt? The Balance-Matching Heuristic
John Gathergood, Neale Mahoney, Neil Stewart, and Jörg Weber #25557 (CF, IO, LS, PE) - Retirement Implications of a Low Wage Growth, Low Real Interest Rate Economy
Jason Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita Slavov, and John G. Watson #25556 (AG) - De Facto or De Jure? Ethnic Differences in Quit Responses to Legal Protections of Medical Marijuana Dispensaries
Jenny Williams, Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, and Rosanna Smart #25555 (HE, LE) - Market Expectations About Climate Change
Wolfram Schlenker and Charles A Taylor #25554 (EEE) - Do Trade Creditors Possess Private Information? Stock Returns Evidence
David Hirshleifer, Yifan Li, Ben Lourie, and Thomas Ruchti #25553 (CF) - Paying to Program? Engineering Brand and High-Tech Wages
Prasanna Tambe, Xuan Ye, and Peter Cappelli #25552 (LS) - Factor Momentum and the Momentum Factor
Sina Ehsani and Juhani T. Linnainmaa #25551 (AP) - Job creation in Colombia vs the U.S.: “up or out dynamics” meets “the life cycle of plants”.
Marcela Eslava, John C. Haltiwanger, and Alvaro Pinzón #25550 (EFG, PR) - Chinese Bond Market and Interbank Market
Marlene Amstad and Zhiguo He #25549 (AP, CF, IFM, ITI) - The Monetary and Fiscal History of Bolivia, 1960–2017
Timothy J. Kehoe, Carlos Gustavo Machicado, and José Peres-Cajías #25523 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
Week of February 11, 2019
- Discrimination In The Age Of Algorithms
Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Cass R. Sunstein #25548 (CH, DEV, ED, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Contract Enforcement and Productive Efficiency: Evidence from the Bidding and Renegotiation of Power Contracts in India
Nicholas Ryan #25547 (DEV, EEE, IO) - Tax Policy and Local Labor Market Behavior
Daniel G. Garrett, Eric C. Ohrn, and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato #25546 (EFG, LS, PE) - The Consequences of Invention Secrecy: Evidence from the USPTO Patent Secrecy Program in World War II
Daniel P. Gross #25545 (DAE, LE, PR) - Spatial Linkages, Global Shocks, and Local Labor Markets: Theory and Evidence
Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis, and Federico Esposito #25544 (ITI) - Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo
Josefin Meyer, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #25543 (IFM, ME) - Fully Closed: Individual Responses to Realized Gains and Losses
Steffen Meyer and Michaela Pagel #25542 (AP) - Technological Progress and Health Convergence: The Case of Penicillin in Post-War Italy
Marcella Alsan, Vincenzo Atella, Jay Bhattacharya, Valentina Conti, Iván Mejía-Guevara, and Grant Miller #25541 (DAE, HE) - We are all Behavioral, More or Less: Measuring and Using Consumer-level Behavioral Sufficient Statistics
Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman #25540 (AG, EFG, LE, LS, ME, PE) - Import Competition, Heterogeneous Preferences of Managers, and Productivity
Cheng Chen and Claudia Steinwender #25539 (ITI, PR) - Universal Basic Income in the US and Advanced Countries
Hilary W. Hoynes and Jesse Rothstein #25538 (CH, LS, PE) - Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change Using Weather Observations
Charles D. Kolstad and Frances C. Moore #25537 (EEE) - Narratives about Technology-Induced Job Degradations Then and Now
Robert J. Shiller #25536 (EFG, LS) - Born in the Family: Preferences for Boys and the Gender Gap in Math
Gaia Dossi, David N. Figlio, Paola Giuliano, and Paola Sapienza #25535 (CH, ED, LS, POL) - Intergenerational Mobility in Africa
Alberto Alesina, Sebastian Hohmann, Stelios Michalopoulos, and Elias Papaioannou #25534 (POL) - The Economics of Parenting
Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #25533 (CH, LS) - Synthetic Difference In Differences
Dmitry Arkhangelsky, Susan Athey, David A. Hirshberg, Guido W. Imbens, and Stefan Wager #25532 (LS) - Ten Years after the Financial Crisis: What Have We Learned from the Renaissance in Fiscal Research?
Valerie A. Ramey #25531 (EFG, ME) - A Panel-based Proxy for Gun Prevalence in the US
Daniel Cerqueira, Danilo Santa Cruz Coelho, John J. Donohue, Marcelo Fernandes, and Jony Arrais Pinto Jr. #25530 (LE) - Fading Stars
Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon #25529 (CF, EFG, IO, PR) - Judging Judge Fixed Effects
Brigham R. Frandsen, Lars J. Lefgren, and Emily C. Leslie #25528 (LE, LS) - Effects of Maternal Work Incentives on Adolescent Social Behaviors
Dhaval M. Dave, Hope Corman, Ariel Kalil, Ofira Schwartz-Soicher, and Nancy Reichman #25527 (CH, HE, PE) - Understanding the Correlation between Alzheimer’s Disease Polygenic Risk, Wealth, and the Composition of Wealth Holdings
Su H. Shin, Dean R. Lillard, and Jay Bhattacharya #25526 (AG, HE) - Asset Prices and Corporate Responses to Bank of Japan ETF Purchases
Ben Charoenwong, Randall Morck, and Yupana Wiwattanakantang #25525 (CF) - Child Penalties Across Countries: Evidence and Explanations
Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer, and Josef Zweimüller #25524 (CH, LS, PE) - Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008–2016
Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons #25522 (POL)
Week of February 4, 2019
- Fertility Trends in the United States, 1980-2017: The Role of Unintended Births
Kasey Buckles, Melanie E. Guldi, and Lucie Schmidt #25521 (CH) - Optimal Corporate Taxation Under Financial Frictions
Eduardo Dávila and Benjamin M. Hébert #25520 (CF, EFG, PE) - Average Crossing Time: An Alternative Characterization of Mean Aversion and Reversion
John B. Donaldson and Rajnish Mehra #25519 (AP, EFG) - Do Immigrants Delay Retirement and Social Security Claiming?
Mary J. Lopez and Sita Slavov #25518 (AG, LS, PE) - Endogenous Trade Protection and Exchange Rate Adjustment
Stéphane Auray, Michael B. Devereux, and Aurélien Eyquem #25517 (IFM) - How Elastic is the Demand for Tax Havens? Evidence from the US Possessions Corporations Tax Credit
Daniel G. Garrett and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato #25516 (CF, ITI, PE) - Big Data and Firm Dynamics
Maryam Farboodi, Roxana Mihet, Thomas Philippon, and Laura Veldkamp #25515 (CF, EFG, IO, PR) - The Welfare Effects of Social Media
Hunt Allcott, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, and Matthew Gentzkow #25514 (IO, POL) - Parental Beliefs about Returns to Different Types of Investments in School Children
Orazio Attanasio, Teodora Boneva, and Christopher Rauh #25513 (CH, ED) - The Nonpuzzling Behavior of Median Inflation
Laurence M. Ball and Sandeep Mazumder #25512 (ME) - Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Mauricio Ulate #25511 (EFG, ME) - Storable Votes and Quadratic Voting. An Experiment on Four California Propositions
Alessandra Casella and Luis Sanchez #25510 (POL) - Immigrant Networking and Collaboration: Survey Evidence from CIC
Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #25509 (LS, PR) - Taxes, Incorporation, and Productivity
Robert J. Barro and Brian Wheaton #25508 (EFG, IO, PE, POL) - Non-linear Incentives and Worker Productivity and Earnings: Evidence from a Quasi-experiment
Richard B. Freeman, Wei Huang, and Teng Li #25507 (LS) - Tolerance and Compromise in Social Networks
Garance Genicot #25506 (POL) - Low Interest Rates, Market Power, and Productivity Growth
Ernest Liu, Atif Mian, and Amir Sufi #25505 (AP, CF, EFG, ME, PR) - Meta-Analysis for Medical Decisions
Charles F. Manski #25504 (HC, HE, TWP) - Effects of Photo ID Laws on Registration and Turnout: Evidence from Rhode Island
Francesco Maria Esposito, Diego Focanti, and Justine S. Hastings #25503 (LE, PE, POL) - Employment Structure and the Rise of the Modern Tax System
Anders Jensen #25502 (DEV, EFG, PE) - Occupy Government: Democracy and the Dynamics of Personnel Decisions and Public Finances
Klenio Barbosa and Fernando V. Ferreira #25501 (DEV, LE, LS, PE, POL) - Trends in the Diffusion of Misinformation on Social Media
Hunt Allcott, Matthew Gentzkow, and Chuan Yu #25500 (IO, POL) - Different Strokes for Different Folks: Experimental Evidence on the Effectiveness of Input and Output Incentive Contracts for Health Care Providers with Varying Skills
Manoj Mohanan, Katherine Donato, Grant Miller, Yulya Truskinovsky, and Marcos Vera-Hernández #25499 (CH, DEV, HC, HE) - The Costs and Benefits of Caring: Aggregate Burdens of an Aging Population
Finn Kydland and Nick Pretnar #25498 (AG, EFG, HE) - Naive Learning with Uninformed Agents
Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, and Markus Mobius #25497 (DEV, ED, IO, LS, PE, POL, PR) - Does Parental Quality Matter? Evidence on the Transmission of Human Capital Using Variation in Parental Influence from Death, Divorce, and Family Size
Eric Gould, Avi Simhon, and Bruce A. Weinberg #25495 (CH, ED, LS)
Week of January 28, 2019
- IQ, Expectations, and Choice
Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Maritta Paloviita, and Michael Weber #25496 (AG, AP, CF, ED, EFG, LS, ME) - Public Debt Through the Ages
Barry Eichengreen, Asmaa El-Ganainy, Rui Esteves, and Kris James Mitchener #25494 (DAE, IFM) - Do Tax Cuts Produce More Einsteins? The Impacts of Financial Incentives vs. Exposure to Innovation on the Supply of Inventors
Alexander M. Bell, Raj Chetty, Xavier Jaravel, Neviana Petkova, and John Van Reenen #25493 (EFG, LS, PE, PR) - Marginal Jobs and Job Surplus: A Test of the Efficiency of Separations
Simon Jäger, Benjamin Schoefer, and Josef Zweimüller #25492 (AG, LS, ME, PE, PR) - Is There a Demand for Reverse Mortgages in China? Evidence from Two Online Surveys
Katja Hanewald, Hazel Bateman, Hanming Fang, and Shang Wu #25491 (AG, PE) - Change and Persistence in the Age of Modernization: Saint-Germain-d'Anxure 1730-1895
Guillaume Blanc and Romain Wacziarg #25490 (DAE, EFG, POL) - Does Pollution Drive Achievement? The Effect of Traffic Pollution on Academic Performance
Jennifer Heissel, Claudia Persico, and David Simon #25489 (CH, ED, EEE) - The Impact of the Affordable Care Act: Evidence from California's Hospital Sector
Mark Duggan, Atul Gupta, and Emilie Jackson #25488 (HC, HE, PE) - The Welfare Effects of Transportation Infrastructure Improvements
Treb Allen and Costas Arkolakis #25487 (DAE, ITI) - Does School Lunch Fill the “SNAP Gap” at the End of the Month?
Agustina Laurito and Amy Ellen Schwartz #25486 (CH) - Uncertainty about Future Income: Initial Beliefs and Resolution During College
Yifan Gong, Ralph Stinebrickner, and Todd R. Stinebrickner #25485 (ED, LS) - Social Progress and Corporate Culture
Gary B. Gorton and Alexander K. Zentefis #25484 (CF, IO, LS) - How Many Life-Years Have New Drugs Saved? A 3-Way Fixed-Effects Analysis of 66 Diseases in 27 Countries, 2000-2013
Frank R. Lichtenberg #25483 (AG, HC, PR) - Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #25482 (EFG, ME) - Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors
Guanhao Feng, Stefano Giglio, and Dacheng Xiu #25481 (AP) - The Impact of a Wartime Health Shock on the Postwar Socioeconomic Status and Mortality of Union Army Veterans and their Children
Dora Costa, Noelle Yetter, and Heather DeSomer #25480 (AG, CH, DAE, HE, LS) - Measuring Opportunity in U.S. Higher Education
Caroline M. Hoxby and Sarah Turner #25479 (ED, LS, PE)
Week of January 21, 2019
- Noisy Memory and Over-Reaction to News
Rava Azeredo da Silveira and Michael Woodford #25478 (EFG, ME) - Markets for Financial Innovation
Ana Babus and Kinda Cheryl Hachem #25477 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Has the U.S. Wage Phillips Curve Flattened? A Semi-Structural Exploration
Jordi Galí and Luca Gambetti #25476 (EFG, ME) - Can a Tiger Change Its Stripes? Reform of Chinese State-Owned Enterprises in the Penumbra of the State
Ann Harrison, Marshall Meyer, Peichun Wang, Linda Zhao, and Minyuan Zhao #25475 (EEE, ITI) - The Effect of Superstition on Health: Evidence from the Taiwanese Ghost Month
Martin Halla, Chia-Lun Liu, and Jin-Tan Liu #25474 (HE) - Active Choice, Implicit Defaults, and the Incentive to Choose
John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #25473 (AG, HC, PE) - An Extra Year to Learn English? Early Grade Retention and the Human Capital Development of English Learners
David N. Figlio and Umut Özek #25472 (CH, ED, LS) - Measuring Productivity: Lessons from Tailored Surveys and Productivity Benchmarking
David Atkin, Amit Khandelwal, and Adam Osman #25471 (ITI) - How Prevalent Is Downward Rigidity in Nominal Wages? Evidence from Payroll Records in Washington State
Ekaterina S. Jardim, Gary Solon, and Jacob L. Vigdor #25470 (EFG, LS, ME) - China vs. U.S.: IMS Meets IPS
Emmanuel Farhi and Matteo Maggiori #25469 (AP, EFG, IFM, ITI, ME) - Age-Based Property Tax Exemptions
H. Spencer Banzhaf, Ryan Mickey, and Carlianne E. Patrick #25468 (PE) - Securities laws and the choice between loans and bonds for highly levered firms
Robert Prilmeier and René M. Stulz #25467 (CF) - Dynamism Diminished: The Role of Housing Markets and Credit Conditions
Steven J. Davis and John C. Haltiwanger #25466 (EFG, LS, ME) - Minding Your Ps and Qs: Going from Micro to Macro in Measuring Prices and Quantities
Gabriel Ehrlich, John C. Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, David Johnson, and Matthew D. Shapiro #25465 (EFG, ME, PR) - Aggregation and the Gravity Equation
Stephen J. Redding and David E. Weinstein #25464 (ITI) - Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement
Marina Halac and Pierre Yared #25463 (EFG, POL) - Global Wealth Inequality
Gabriel Zucman #25462 (DEV, EFG, PE) - Beating the Odds: Black Jockeys in the Kentucky Derby, 1870-1911
Michael Leeds and Hugh Rockoff #25461 (DAE) - Addressing Cross-National Generalizability in Educational Impact Evaluation
Eric A. Hanushek #25460 (ED, LS, PE) - Corporate Debt, Firm Size and Financial Fragility in Emerging Markets
Laura Alfaro, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Ugo Panizza #25459 (CF, EFG, IFM) - On the Direct and Indirect Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks
Laura Alfaro, Manuel García-Santana, and Enrique Moral-Benito #25458 (CF, EFG) - Local Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Spillovers in the United States
Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #25457 (EFG, PE) - Inference on Winners
Isaiah Andrews, Toru Kitagawa, and Adam McCloskey #25456 (AP, DEV, LS, PE, TWP) - Digital Cash: Principles & Practical Steps
Michael D. Bordo and Andrew T. Levin #25455 (ME) - The Dozen Things Experimental Economists Should Do (More of)
Eszter Czibor, David Jimenez-Gomez, and John A. List #25451 (EEE, PE, TWP)
Week of January 14, 2019
- Common Ownership in America: 1980-2017
Matthew Backus, Christopher Conlon, and Michael Sinkinson #25454 (CF, IO) - Infringing Use as a Path to Legal Consumption: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Hong Luo and Julie Holland Mortimer #25453 (IO, PR) - 1930: First Modern Crisis
Gary Gorton, Toomas Laarits, and Tyler Muir #25452 (CF, DAE, EFG, ME) - The Insurance is the Lemon: Failing to Index Contracts
Barney Hartman-Glaser and Benjamin M. Hébert #25450 (AP, CF) - Currency Factors
Arash Aloosh and Geert Bekaert #25449 (AP) - Heterogeneous Households under Uncertainty
Pietro Veronesi #25448 (AP) - Spatial Correlation, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from the Global Climate
Jonathan I. Dingel, Kyle C. Meng, and Solomon M. Hsiang #25447 (DEV, EEE, EFG, IFM, ITI, PR) - Tweet Sixteen and Pregnant: Missing Links in the Causal Chain from Reality TV to Fertility
David A. Jaeger, Theodore J. Joyce, and Robert Kaestner #25446 (LS) - The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level in Overlapping Generations Models
Roger E.A. Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk #25445 (EFG, ME) - Variation in Women’s Success Across PhD Programs in Economics
Leah Platt Boustan and Andrew Langan #25444 (ED, LS) - The Fine Print in Smart Contracts
Joshua S. Gans #25443 (PR) - Capitalists in the Twenty-First Century
Matthew Smith, Danny Yagan, Owen M. Zidar, and Eric Zwick #25442 (CF, EFG, IO, LS, PE, PR) - The Origins of Firm Heterogeneity: A Production Network Approach
Andrew B. Bernard, Emmanuel Dhyne, Glenn Magerman, Kalina Manova, and Andreas Moxnes #25441 (IO, ITI) - Heterogeneity, Measurement Error and Misallocation: Evidence from African Agriculture
Douglas Gollin and Christopher R. Udry #25440 (DEV) - Agent Orange: Trump, Soft Power, and Exports
Andrew K. Rose #25439 (ITI) - From Immigrants to Robots: The Changing Locus of Substitutes for Workers
George J. Borjas and Richard B. Freeman #25438 (LS) - Why Has China Overinvested in Coal Power?
Mengjia Ren, Lee G. Branstetter, Brian K. Kovak, Daniel E. Armanios, and Jiahai Yuan #25437 (DEV, EEE, PR) - Retirement Choices by State and Local Public Sector Employees: The Role of Eligibility and Financial Incentives
Leslie E. Papke #25436 (AG) - Do Firms Respond to Gender Pay Gap Transparency?
Morten Bennedsen, Elena Simintzi, Margarita Tsoutsoura, and Daniel Wolfenzon #25435 (CF, LS) - The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs: Evidence from the United States Using a Bunching Estimator
Doruk Cengiz, Arindrajit Dube, Attila Lindner, and Ben Zipperer #25434 (LS) - Volatility and Informativeness
Eduardo Dávila and Cecilia Parlatore #25433 (AP, EFG) - Do Innovation Subsidies Make Chinese Firms More Innovative? Evidence from the China Employer Employee Survey
Hong Cheng, Hanbing Fan, Takeo Hoshi, and Dezhuang Hu #25432 (CF, PR) - On the Controversies behind the Origins of the Federal Economic Statistics
Hugh Rockoff #25431 (DAE) - Folklore
Stelios Michalopoulos and Melanie Meng Xue #25430 (CH, DAE, DEV, POL) - Does Scientific Progress Affect Culture? A Digital Text Analysis
Michela Giorcelli, Nicola Lacetera, and Astrid Marinoni #25429 (DAE, PR) - Urgent Care Centers and the Demand for Non-Emergent Emergency Department Visits
Lindsay Allen, Janet R. Cummings, and Jason Hockenberry #25428 (HC, HE)
Week of January 7, 2019
- Substance Use Disorder Treatment Centers and Property Values
Brady P. Horn, Aakrit Joshi, and Johanna Catherine Maclean #25427 (HE, PE) - From Commodity to Fiat and Now to Crypto: What Does History Tell Us?
Barry Eichengreen #25426 (DAE, IFM) - Understanding Trends in Alternative Work Arrangements in the United States
Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger #25425 (LS) - Capital Requirements in a Quantitative Model of Banking Industry Dynamics
Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo #25424 (EFG) - Do Workers Value Flexible Jobs? A Field Experiment on Compensating Differentials
Haoran He, David Neumark, and Qian Weng #25423 (LS) - Negative Swap Spreads and Limited Arbitrage
Urban Jermann #25422 (AP) - The Monetary and Fiscal History of Brazil, 1960-2016
Joao Ayres, Marcio Garcia, Diogo A. Guillén, and Patrick J. Kehoe #25421 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Good Carry, Bad Carry
Geert Bekaert and George Panayotov #25420 (AP) - The Causal Impact of Removing Children from Abusive and Neglectful Homes
Anthony Bald, Eric Chyn, Justine S. Hastings, and Margarita Machelett #25419 (CH, ED, LE, PE) - Learning from Coworkers
Gregor Jarosch, Ezra Oberfield, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #25418 (EFG) - Consumer Spending During Unemployment: Positive and Normative Implications
Peter Ganong and Pascal J. Noel #25417 (EFG, LS, PE) - Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel
Gauti B. Eggertsson, Ragnar E. Juelsrud, Lawrence H. Summers, and Ella Getz Wold #25416 (EFG, ME)
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