NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) - Working Papers
Articles publiés entre le 13/12/2020 et le 31/12/2020
- Stimulus Money Should Have Gone to the Jobless, Economists Say
- Defining the Current State of The Ecosystem
- Universal Basic Income Fails to Get to the Root of Urban Poverty
- 2020 Looking Back: The Year of Gender Violence and Inequality
- Lovers and Friends
- How female entrepreneurs can thrive in good and bad times
- In 2020, we reached peak Internet. Here's what worked - and what flopped.
- In 2020, we reached peak Internet. Here's what worked - and what flopped
- How female entrepreneurs can thrive in good and bad times
- Infocus: The tie between immigration and STEM
- How machines are changing the way companies talk
- Study: Smoking bans saved countless lives - could they have increased drunk driving?
- Analysis: Experts Agree, Distance, then Masks
- Waiting... and the courage to try again
- Some businesses thrived, many lagged during pandemic in 2020
- Some businesses thrived, many lagged during pandemic in 2020
- How would a second stimulus check affect the economy?
- Every region of the US suffered record-breaking extreme weather in 2020
- Political polarisation impedes the public policy response to COVID-19
- NBER paper seeks lessons for home working in Industrial Revolution
- Biden can create better jobs by giving workers a seat at the boardroom table
- Guard Against "Expressive Response" in Voir Dire
- Teachers move near the front of the line for vaccine
- Caily Locklair, president of the Maryland Retailers Association.
- Midday Report: US Stocks Decline With Oil as Widespread Banning of UK Flights Undermines ...
- Open Letter to the Biden-Harris Administration: Treating Disinformation as an Intersectional Threat
- Santa's reindeer outdo US senators at picking stocks, study finds
- Racism targets Asian food, business during COVID-19 pandemic
- If Supreme Court rules against NCAA athlete compensation, the fight must not end
- Racism targets Asian food, business during COVID-19 pandemic
- Robinhood's Role in the 'Gamification' of Investing: QuickTake
- The Nanny State Comes for Robinhood
- 5 Business Trends to Look Out for in 2021
- The latest question in the debate over student debt forgiveness: How valuable is it?
- New research reveals the importance of Unemployment Insurance for displaced workers
- Democratic Senators Introduce 'College Athletes Bill Of Rights'
- A Guardrail for the Next Covid Relief Package
- LPs Say Track Records Matter Most for Private Capital Investments
- Can the Gig Economy Continue to Support Adobe Stock?
- When It Comes to Getting PPP Loans, Small Banks Work Better than Big Banks
- The Cure for Nursing Homes
- Joe Biden Taps Michael Regan As EPA Administrator
- Will Smart Machines Kill Jobs or Create Better Ones?
- As small businesses struggle, a nursing-uniform company hits its stride
- It Should Shock Us That There's Any Consumer Price Inflation at All - Ryan McMaken (12/17/2020)
- Wash your hands anyway! Things worth doing after the coronavirus.
- Immigrant-owned small businesses diversifying to reach more clients amid coronavirus
- Should college athletes be paid a stipend? New SC bill could give them up to $25000
- How STARs Can Rise In The Post-Covid Economy: A Conversation With Cognizant US ...
- A California Christmas town refuses to enforce the state's shutdown order because businesses ...
- Small Banks Helped Businesses Win More PPP Loans
- What Does December's Drug-Approval Dash Mean for COVID-19 Vaccines?
- Tackling Care and Capitalism in College Football
- Term Life Market Held Steady Through October: Economists
- 'Flight to safety': COVID-19 has led many Americans to consider one critical factor when looking for ...
- Kidney Dialysis Is a Booming Business. Is it Also a Rigged One?
- Study finds largely Black cities are over- or under-policed
- Memo To Biden: Don't Fall For Trump's Last-Minute Drug-Pricing Ploy
Articles publiés entre le 06/12/2020 et le 12/12/2020
- Tech News: Corporate reporting by machines
- Hope and peace: Bison return to the Rosebud reservation
- 2020 unmasked the truth about 'all lives matter'
- Social Studies: Bad news, human sacrifices, the other guys' salaries
- The numbers are dire. Congress must act now to save small businesses.
- 2020: Year Of The 'New Retail' Investor
- $1 billion of PPP loans helped Lehigh Valley businesses weather pandemic. Which ones benefitted?
- Ohio Republican lawmakers fast track bill eliminating duty to retreat
- Consumers value variety in web platforms
- How To Handle (And Prevent) Burnout Among Your Team
- There Is a More Beautiful Melody Than Fear
- US student loan system will lead to 'inevitable cancellation,' expert argues
- The Future Of South Africa's Energy Mix
- Los Angeles Prosecutor Plans to Seek Release of Thousands of Criminals
- Are Americans insufficiently alarmed by COVID-19?
- Schumer's Unemployment Flip-Flop
- COVID-19 hit the working class hardest - just when it was finally doing better
- For El Paso small businesses, shopping local is more important than ever this holiday season
- Webs of connection: the need for an integrated approach to our most important issues | Opinion
- Universal Student Debt Forgiveness Is Regressive, Say Economists
- Rich Lowry: The economic cruelty of the pandemic
- The biggest political fight is happening right now: Beshear vs. Fauci (and everyone else)
- Family policies don't bridge gender gaps
- US Media Readers 'Strongly Prefer Negative Stories About COVID-19'
- Scots now happier than English people in spite of higher mortality rates..
- Social justice begins with open schools and school choice
- Has COVID-19 made life insurance more expensive? Researchers say they have a surprising ...
- The elderly vs. essential workers: Who should get the coronavirus vaccine first?
- The Elderly vs. Essential Workers: Who Should Get the Coronavirus Vaccine First?
- Opinion | How employers can support workers' mental health this season
- Women suffer higher unemployment during pandemic, thanks in part to systemic inequality and ...
Articles publiés entre le 29/11/2020 et le 05/12/2020
- Controversial Mom-Of-11 Is Pregnant Again & Hoping For Triplets
- Black business owners seek boost during Buy Black Buffalo Week
- Companies are now writing reports tailored for AI readers - and it should worry us
- Fact check: Facebook post touting decreasing drug prices under Trump is misleading
- Millions of US workers have the skills to earn 70 percent more than they do today.
- Fox & Friends finally promotes science behind mask mandates as US sets new COVID-19 death ...
- Biden democracy challenge: Fix voting and the Electoral College to head off a 2024 crisis
- "Fox & Friends" finally promotes science behind mask mandates as US sets new COVID-19 death ...
- Hybrid working is now the key to economic recovery
- If Biden Really Wants to Stimulate the Economy, He Should End Trump's Trade War
- Social justice begins with open schools and school choice
- Tools to Help Black Businesses Stay Open
- Amid Pandemic, Reports Show More Women Out of Work
- Kayleigh McEnany's Racist Dog Whistle Claims It's Safer To Attend A Christmas Party Than A Protest
- US Clean Air Act saved 1.5 billion birds
- US media coverage of coronavirus skews overwhelmingly negative compared to international ...
- Protecting child health now and in the future
- Fear, What Is It Good For?
- Matthew Lau: Let's have a reset to competition in schools
- No country 'immune' to COVID-19 economic shock, but Asian nations will bounce back faster
- 'We'll continue to rise': How this Black-icon-infused fashion line found success amid Covid-19
- NJ Pandemic Relief Fund giving $4.5M in grants to organizations helping minority- and women ...
- For COVID-19, If It Bleeds, It Leads
- Can a Start-Up Mentality Save Small Businesses?
Study: People put in more effort, hours working from home
Articles publiés entre le 22/11/2020 et le 28/11/2020
- Rise in fentanyl use likely caused by different factors
- Read the research here. Or read a non-technical summary here.
- Shopping for a new car on Black Friday? Beware of this clever car-dealership trick
- Live updates: US reports highest daily death toll in more than six months
- GDP impact of South China Sea disputes
- During a recent Senate Judiciary Committee hearing, Senator Chris Coons demanded of Twitter ...
- Will California's small businesses survive another COVID-19 surge without more help?
- So you think economic downturns cost lives? Our findings show they don't
- Randstad US and Udemy launch tech training program for workers
- Improve Emergency Care? Pandemic Helps Point the Way
- US Media and Covid
- Collateral Damage
- When it comes to coronavirus, US media coverage is far more negative than elsewhere, university ...
- More than 90% of COVID-19 news published by big media is negative: Study
- 2020 could set women's wages back 20 years, study finds
- Coca-Cola commits $500 million in additional spending with Black-owned suppliers
- Boatloads of Cargo Off Los Angeles Grind Gears of World Economy
- Business owners upbeat about vaccine, wary as virus spreads
- Boatloads of cargo are waiting in the waters off Los Angeles
Articles publiés entre le 14/11/2020 et le 21/11/2020
- Robinhood investors helped stabilize the market during March sell-off, co-CEO says
- Black businesses are fighting for their lives. We can't afford to lose them.
- Eye strain, migraines, and back pain, oh my! It's the virtual life
- NYU: Female job candidates more likely than men to receive offers from Silicon Valley firms
- A Family Policy Warning
- Trump's ruinous parting shot at the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
- Asking Alaskans to be responsible won't defeat COVID-19. We need decisive leadership.
- Legal Drugs Are Fashionable-and Treacherous for Children
- Active Management Paying Off for S&P 500 Keepers
- Spokane economists: Regional recovery will depend on vaccine, stimulus
- Let's be honest, Black Friday as a discount day has run its course. It's time for BuyBlack Friday.
- Academic gap: Why Black students lag behind in schools and what's being done to fix it
- Yes, you can still burn out-even while working from home
- A grim test case on how progressive paid-leave and child-care policies fail to address the gap in ...
- Build back better by investing in Black-owned businesses
- Grand Rapids Area Black Businesses accepting applicants for COVID-19 relief fund
- Evaluating the Washington Consensus
- Lockdowns are a public health hazard
- Students deserve more information on the efficacy of online learning
- Protecting lives and livelihoods with early and tight lockdowns
- Read the research here and here. Or read a non-technical summary here and here.
- Analysis: Most people did not spend COVID stimulus
- Jeff Bezos is giving out almost $800M to fight climate change
- America needs to close down
- Dropbox and The Infatuation Want to Elevate the Work-From-Home Lunch
- Why Are Some People So Upset About Canceling Student Debt?
- More People Will Die of Extreme Heat Than of Infectious Diseases
- 70% of Asian Americans support affirmative action. Here's why misconceptions persist.
Articles publiés entre le 31/10/2020 et le 07/11/2020
- Guest Editorial: Florida's school vouchers save taxpayer dollars and help students succeed
- Is Liverpool's Mass Testing Experiment a Covid Game Changer?
- Mass Testing Could Be a Covid Game Changer
- Mass Testing Could Be a Covid Game Changer
- Does wearing a mask help the economy? An Alaska economist weighs in on incentives to slow ...
- Read the research here and here. Or read a non-technical summary here and here.
- Sea Level Rise - Who Does What?
- How Covid-19 is making us rethink safety net programmes
- What to expect as Florida's minimum wage increases to $15 per hour
- Democrats and Republicans are confident their candidate will win - and that could affect ...
- Those BLM Signs Are Here to Stay
- Policy uncertainty rises in polling season
- The Power of Peer Interaction
- After Regulators Cracked Down, Wall Street Banks Cleaned Up Their Research. But Not Everyone ...
- 3 Election Stocks To Buy For A Drawn-Out US Vote
- Research reveals HNW investors' motivations
- Why Many Black-Owned Businesses Are on The Brink
- 'You Can't Help Everyone': Chad 'Ochocinco', Brandon Marshall and More Discuss the 'Black Tax ...
- Pandemic shines light on masculinity as a public health risk
- Op-Ed: Stop Leaving Small Businesses Out in the Cold
- Daylight Saving Time: Why and when the US started changing the clock
- GIC and peers investigating climate risk effect on property
- Tech Startups Say New Pay Rules for H-1B Visas Are Unaffordable
- Is buying a home in a better school district worth it?
Articles publiés entre le 24/10/2020 et le 30/10/2020
- A Record Number Of Teachers Of Color and Why That's Important
- Poverty And Violence In Cambodia
- What Investors Said - And Actually Did - During the Covid-19 Crash
- Comcast RISE Initiative Provides Small Businesses Opportunities for Grants, Technology ...
- Education experts weigh in on Biden's proposal to triple funding for low-income schools
- California's Proposition 15 Is No Fix
- Student Loan Complaints Fall Amid Pandemic: CFPB
- India's COVID-19 cases have declined rapidly-but herd immunity is still far away, scientists say
- Major Fast Food Chain Ramps Up Use Of Robot Fry Cooks
- Trump's H-1B ban may have shaved $100 billion off America's biggest firms
- The 11 Best Education Articles from October: The Search for Missing Students, New Data About ...
- US economy to deliver record 3rd quarter - but spiking COVID-19 cases could bring slump
- JCPS is hiring and keeping more teachers of color, but is it enough to meet equity goals?
- Opinion: Measure 108's vaping tax neither smart nor humane
- Industry Must Champion and Accelerate Equity
- COVID-19 and older employees: What employers should know and how they can lessen the impact
- US has lost nearly $100bn due to Trump's visa ban, says new study
- How The Pandemic Is Changing The Future Of Work
- Stop Saying Biden Is "A Lot like Trump" on China
- Why the Economic Turmoil of 2020 Disproportionately Affects Women
- Brevard's business community supports renewing sales tax for schools | Opinion
- Society Spotlight: The Oxford Forum for Questioning 'Extremism'
- As the coronavirus spreads beyond cities, rural hospitals are closing
- What To Expect From the Robinhood Investing App in 2021
- Village at Ithaca provides opportunities to local youths amid pandemic
- Technology Was Supposed to Make Us Free; But That's Not the Case
- This is how companies try to wink at artificial intelligence
- Trump's work visas suspension cost $100B in big companies' market value - study
- MIT: Hiring algorithm design could impact candidate diversity, quality
- ACLU report urges decriminalization of prostitution
- Behind the humble "I Voted" sticker's enduring appeal - and whether you'll get one this year
Articles publiés entre le 24/10/2020 et le 30/10/2020
- Can I Actually Be Missing the Commute?
- Trust Index: Fact-checking Trump-Biden final debate comments on health care, farm aid, minimum ...
- Women and younger workers are falling behind on retirement savings during the pandemic
- Fed Report: Minority-Owned Businesses Hurt More by Pandemic
- Civil Society Can Usher in a New Era of Education
- Here Are 4 Big Investing Mistakes Millionaires Make All the Time
- Many Americans are struggling financially amid the pandemic, but some are finding ways to thrive
- Hiring Algorithms Could Lead to Exclusion: MIT Study
- What Each Presidential Campaign Is Proposing for New Businesses
- Startup jobs lost appeal during pandemic
- Clobbering Purdue Pharma Makes Drug Warriors Feel Good, but It Won't Reduce Opioid-Related ...
- Why the stock market no longer represents the US economy
- Super small loans to give start-up businesses a lift
- Americans Made Responsible Choices With Their Stimulus Checks -- and They Need Another One
- Rural US Hospitals Are on Life Support as a Third Wave of COVID-19 Strikes
- This election, vote for American workers
- Corporate execs are talking differently on earnings calls to please the machines
- Shopify and Operation Hope To Create 1 Million Black Businesses In 5 Years
- New Paper Claims Globalized Trade Pushing Inflation Up, Not Down
- Cap and Trade-Offs
- Covid-19 Is Forcing Women From The Workplace In Record Numbers-And We Don't Know When ...
- Undisclosed: Most Homebuyers And Renters Aren't Warned About Flood Or Wildfire Risk
- Data Shows How Stimulus Checks Helped Americans Meet Basic Needs
- UC Berkeley: Evidence Shows The Clean Air Act Has Reduced Racial Disparities In Exposure To ...
- Guest editorial: Supporting all students through Undocumented Student Action Week
- Climate Change: Rising Seas and the South Florida Housing Market
- Black Business Owner Struggles to Stay Open Without VC Funding
- Helping Small Businesses Bounce Back: Legislative Watch
- The Surprising Similarity Between Charitable and Political Giving
- Work From Home? Your Boss May Have A Different Idea
- Drug Price Controls Endanger Seniors
- Comcast announces RISE initiative that aims to strengthen Black-owned business
- For those working remotely, meetings are shorter but the workday is longer
- A Conversation On The Importance Of Immigration On Entrepreneurship With Ali Noorani ...
- The uncertainty conundrum
- Veep's glib and evasive answer on climate change and hurricanes bugs Florida man
- 'COVID Superspreader Event' Billboard Says With An Arrow Pointing To Trump Rally
- Pharmakon V: Culture Wars-Trickle-Down Economics vs. Trickle-Down Morality
- Follow the Money and Medicine
- Why the stock market is separate from the real economy
- Climate change is already causing a housing crisis in America
- Let's get our priorities straight: Small business relief needs to come first | Newsome
- Entertaining The Unthinkable In Tax Policy: Should The US Restructure Its Debt?
- Coronavirus prompts Amazon, other retailers to push online holiday sales early
- 'Climate change risk' may be spurring home buyers to steer clear of coastal Florida markets, study ...
Weekly papers released by October 12, 2020
- Bank Liquidity Provision Across the Firm Size Distribution
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Olivier Darmouni, Stephan Luck, and Matthew C. Plosser #27945 (CF, EFG, ME) - Temptation and Commitment: Understanding Hand-to-Mouth Behavior
Orazio Attanasio, Agnes Kovacs, and Patrick Moran #27944 (EFG) - Medical Research and Health Care Finance: Evidence from Academic Medical Centers
Pierre Azoulay, Misty L. Heggeness, and Jennifer L. Kao #27943 (HC, PR) - Has the Stock Market Become Less Representative of the Economy?
Frederik P. Schlingemann and René M. Stulz #27942 (AP, CF) - A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic
Thomas F. Hellmann and Veikko Thiele #27941 (HE) - Who Benefits From the Child Tax Credit?
Jacob Goldin and Katherine Michelmore #27940 (CH, LE, PE) - Corporate Taxation and the Distribution of Income
James R. Hines Jr. #27939 (PE) - Highways and Globalization
Taylor Jaworski, Carl Kitchens, and Sergey Nigai #27938 (DAE, ITI) - Powering Work from Home
Steve Cicala #27937 (EEE, EFG, IO, PE) - The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near-Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes
Mark Duggan, Gopi Shah Goda, and Gina Li #27936 (AG, HC, LS, PE) - A Q-Theory of Banks
Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz, and Matias Vieyra #27935 (CF, EFG, ME) - Firm Dynamics and Trade
George A. Alessandria, Costas Arkolakis, and Kim J. Ruhl #27934 (IFM, ITI) - Teenage Driving, Mortality, and Risky Behaviors
Jason U. Huh and Julian Reif #27933 (CH, HC, HE, LE) - Did COVID-19 Market Disruptions Disrupt Food Security? Evidence from Households in Rural Liberia and Malawi
Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson, and Alan Spearot #27932 (DEV) - A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets
Min Dai, Xavier Giroud, Wei Jiang, and Neng Wang #27931 (CF) - Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise
Benjamin J. Keys and Philip Mulder #27930 (EEE, PE) - De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?
Assaf Razin #27929 (IFM) - City Limits: What do Local-Area Minimum Wages Do?
Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner #27928 (LS) - Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk
Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman, and Christian Lundblad #27927 (AP, IFM) - Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters
Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings #27926 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Human Capital Depreciation
Michael Dinerstein, Rigissa Megalokonomou, and Constantine Yannelis #27925 (ED, EFG, LS, PE, PR) - Temporary Unemployment and Labor Market Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession
Jessica Gallant, Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #27924 (EFG, LS) - Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress
Luis Felipe Céspedes and Roberto Chang #27923 (IFM) - The Rise of Income and Wealth Inequality in America: Evidence from Distributional Macroeconomic Accounts
Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman #27922 (EFG, LS, PE) - Trends in US Income and Wealth Inequality: Revising After the Revisionists
Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman #27921 (EFG, LS, PE) - Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
Felipe Benguria, Jaerim Choi, Deborah L. Swenson, and Mingzhi Xu #27920 (ITI) - The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution
Douglas A. Irwin #27919 (DEV, ITI) - Ethnographic and Field Data in Historical Economics
Sara Lowes #27918 (DAE, POL) - The Micro Anatomy of Macro Consumption Adjustments
Rafael Guntin, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego Perez #27917 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Research Funding and Collaboration
Benjamin Davies, Jason Gush, Shaun C. Hendy, and Adam B. Jaffe #27916 (PR) - Firm-Embedded Productivity and Cross-Country Income Differences
Vanessa I. Alviarez, Javier Cravino, and Natalia Ramondo #27915 (EFG, ITI) - Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda
Renee Bowen and J. Lawrence Broz #27914 (IFM, ITI, LE, POL) - Introducing CogX: A New Preschool Education Program Combining Parent and Child Interventions
Roland G. Fryer Jr, Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, and Anya Samek #27913 (CH, ED) - Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the early 1900s
Mark Carlson and Matthew S. Jaremski #27912 (DAE) - Covid-19 and the U.S. Safety Net
Robert A. Moffitt and James P. Ziliak #27911 (PE) - Firm Input Choice Under Trade Policy Uncertainty
Kyle Handley, Nuno Limão, Rodney D. Ludema, and Zhi Yu #27910 (ITI) - Organizing Crisis Innovation: Lessons from World War II
Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat #27909 (DAE, PE, PR) - The Gravitational Constant?
David S. Jacks, Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, and Alan M. Taylor #27904 (DAE, ITI) - Opening the Door: Migration and Self-Selection in a Restrictive Legal Immigration Regime
Elizabeth U. Cascio and Ethan G. Lewis #27874 (LS)
Weekly papers released by October 5, 2020
- Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27908 (EFG, LS) - Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups
Shai Bernstein, Richard R. Townsend, and Ting Xu #27907 (CF, LS, PR) - A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues In Empirical Industrial Organization
Ariel Pakes #27906 (IO, PR) - New-Keynesian Trade: Understanding the Employment and Welfare Effects of Trade Shocks
Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, Mauricio Ulate, and José P. Vásquez #27905 (ITI) - Emerging Markets Sovereign Spreads and Country-Specific Fundamentals During COVID-19
Timo Daehler, Joshua Aizenman, and Yothin Jinjarak #27903 (IFM) - Public Policy and Participation in Political Interest Groups: An Analysis of Minimum Wages, Labor Unions, and Effective Advocacy
Jeffrey Clemens and Michael R. Strain #27902 (LS, PE, POL) - Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management
Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri #27901 (IFM) - Deterrence Effects of Antifraud and Abuse Enforcement in Health Care
David H. Howard and Ian McCarthy #27900 (HC, HE, LE) - Wealth Transfers and Net Wealth at Death: Evidence from the Italian Inheritance Tax Records 1995–2016
Paolo Acciari and Salvatore Morelli #27899 (PE) - Monetary Policy Cooperation/Coordination and Global Financial Crises in Historical Perspective
Michael D. Bordo #27898 (IFM, ME) - Digital Messaging to Improve College Enrollment and Success
Christopher Avery, Benjamin L. Castleman, Michael Hurwitz, Bridget T. Long, and Lindsay C. Page #27897 (ED) - Measuring the Effects of Firm Uncertainty on Economic Activity: New Evidence from One Million Documents
Kyle Handley and J. Frank Li #27896 (CF, EFG, PR) - Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects—Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials
John Mullahy #27895 (HC, HE) - Flexible Wages, Bargaining, and the Gender Gap
Barbara Biasi and Heather Sarsons #27894 (LS, ED) - Concessions, Violence, and Indirect Rule: Evidence from the Congo Free State
Sara Lowes and Eduardo Montero #27893 (DAE, DEV, POL) - The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates
Sofonias Korsaye, Fabio Trojani, and Andrea Vedolin #27892 (AP) - Face Masks, Public Policies and Slowing the Spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada
Alexander Karaivanov, Shih En Lu, Hitoshi Shigeoka, Cong Chen, and Stephanie Pamplona #27891 (AG, HC, HE, PE) - Rules vs. Discretion: Treatment of Mental Illness in U.S. Adolescents
Emily Cuddy and Janet Currie #27890 (CH, HC, HE) - Private Equity and COVID-19
Paul A. Gompers, Steven N. Kaplan, and Vladimir Mukharlyamov #27889 (CF) - Calculating DAF Payout and What We Learn When We Do It Correctly
James Andreoni and Ray Madoff #27888 (PE) - When Information is Not Enough: Evidence from a Centralized School Choice System
Kehinde F. Ajayi, Willa H. Friedman, and Adrienne M. Lucas #27887 (CH, DEV, ED, PE) - Unemployed With Jobs and Without Jobs
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #27886 (EFG, LS) - State Investment in Higher Education: Effects on Human Capital Formation, Student Debt, and Long-term Financial Outcomes of Students
Rajashri Chakrabarti, Nicole Gorton, and Michael F. Lovenheim #27885 (ED, LS, PE) - The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba
Ginger Zhe Jin, Zhentong Lu, Xiaolu Zhou, and Chunxiao Li #27884 (IO) - Renegotiation in Debt Chains
Vincent Glode and Christian Opp #27883 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - A Cost/Benefit Analysis of Clinical Trial Designs for COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates
Donald A. Berry, Scott Berry, Peter Hale, Leah Isakov, Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong #27882 (HC, HE) - The Distribution of COVID-19 Related Risks
Patrick Baylis, Pierre-Loup Beauregard, Marie Connolly, Nicole Fortin, David A. Green, Pablo Gutierrez Cubillos, Sam Gyetvay, Catherine Haeck, Timea Laura Molnar, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, Henry E. Siu, Maria teNyenhuis, and Casey Warman #27881 (EFG, HE, LS) - Incentivizing Negative Emissions Through Carbon Shares
Derek Lemoine #27880 (EEE, PE) - Using Satellite Imagery to Understand and Promote Sustainable Development
Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, David Lobell, and Stefano Ermon #27879 (DEV, EEE) - A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration
Gauti B. Eggertsson, Sergey K. Egiev, Alessandro Lin, Josef Platzer, and Luca Riva #27878 (ME)
Weekly papers released by September 28, 2020
- COVID-19 and SME Failures
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, and Nick Sander #27877 (EFG, IFM) - Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
Christopher D. Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, and Matthew N. White #27876 (EFG, ME) - Nudging Timely Wage Reporting: Field Experimental Evidence from the United States Social Supplementary Income Program
C. Yiwei Zhang, Jeffrey Hemmeter, Judd B. Kessler, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Robert Weathers #27875 (PE) - The International Propagation of Economic Downturns Through Multinational Companies: The Real Economy Channel
Jan Bena, Serdar Dinc, and Isil Erel #27873 (CF, IFM, ITI) - A Theory of Foreign Exchange Interventions
Sebastián Fanelli and Ludwig Straub #27872 (EFG, ME) - Impediments to the Schumpeterian Process in the Replacement of Large Firms
Mara Faccio and John J. McConnell #27871 (CF, IFM, POL) - Long-run Returns to Impact Investing in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
Shawn Cole, Martin Melecky, Florian Mölders, and Tristan Reed #27870 (CF, DEV) - Is the Selfish Life-Cycle Model More Applicable in Japan and, If So, Why? A Literature Survey
Charles Yuji Horioka #27869 (AG, EFG, PE) - Health Insurance Menu Design for Large Employers
Kate Ho and Robin S. Lee #27868 (HC, IO) - Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19
Steven J. Davis, Stephen Hansen, and Cristhian Seminario-Amez #27867 (AP, EFG) - Retail Raw: Wisdom of the Robinhood Crowd and the Covid Crisis
Ivo Welch #27866 (AP) - COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs
Alex Rees-Jones, John D'Attoma, Amedeo Piolatto, and Luca Salvadori #27865 (HC, HE, LS, PE) - Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data
Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio #27864 (AP, EFG, ME) - A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation
Benjamin F. Jones and Lawrence H. Summers #27863 (EFG, PR) - Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth
Ufuk Akcigit, Jeremy G. Pearce, and Marta Prato #27862 (EFG) - Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime
Erica X.N. Li, Tao Zha, Ji Zhang, and Hao Zhou #27861 (AP, ME) - Behavioral Biases are Temporally Stable
Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman #27860 (AG, AP, DEV, EEE, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE) - A Return Based Measure of Firm Quality
Ravi Jagannathan and Yang Zhang #27859 (AP) - The Aggregate Demand for Bank Capital
Milton Harris, Christian Opp, and Marcus Opp #27858 (AP, CF, IFM) - Worker Empowerment and Subjective Evaluation: On Building an Effective Conflict Culture
W. Bentley MacLeod, Victoria Valle Lara, and Christian Zehnder #27857 (LE, LS) - Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much? A Model of Monetary Policy and Time-Varying Risk Aversion
Carolin Pflueger and Gianluca Rinaldi #27856 (AP, ME) - A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi, and Alessandro Rebucci #27855 (EFG, IFM) - War, Socialism and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration
Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo, Giacomo De Luca, and Gianluca Russo #27854 (POL) - What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments
Steven N. Kaplan, Morten Sorensen, and Anastasia A. Zakolyukina #27853 (CF) - Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence
Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin #27852 (POL) - Crisis Innovation
Tania Babina, Asaf Bernstein, and Filippo Mezzanotti #27851 (CF, DAE, EFG, PR) - History and Urban Economics
W. Walker Hanlon and Stephan Heblich #27850 (DAE) - Fifty Shades of QE: Conflicts of Interest in Economic Research
Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor #27849 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - A Satellite Account for Health in the United States
David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, Kassandra Messer, Trivellore Raghunathan, Allison B. Rosen, and Susan T. Stewart #27848 (AG, HC, HE, PR) - The Economics of Currency Risk
Tarek Alexander Hassan and Tony Zhang #27847 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - Marginal Effects of Merit Aid for Low-Income Students
Joshua Angrist, David Autor, and Amanda Pallais #27834 (ED, LS, PE) - Patent Quality: Towards a Systematic Framework for Analysis and Measurement
Kyle W. Higham, Gaétan de Rassenfosse, and Adam B. Jaffe #27598 (PR)
Weekly papers released by September 21, 2020
- Crimes Against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work
Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Seager, and Manisha Shah #27846 (CH, DEV, HE, LS) - Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications
Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull #27845 (HC, ITI, LS) - Uncertainty, Long-Run, and Monetary Policy Risks in a Two-Country Macro Model
Kimberly A. Berg and Nelson C. Mark #27844 (AP, IFM, ME) - Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
Jules H. van Binsbergen, Xiao Han, and Alejandro Lopez-Lira #27843 (AP, CF) - Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design
Nathaniel Hendren, Camille Landais, and Johannes Spinnewijn #27842 (PE) - Pandemics Through the Lens of Occupations
Anand Chopra, Michael B. Devereux, and Amartya Lahiri #27841 (IFM) - Globalization and Pandemics
Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #27840 (EFG, HE, IFM, ITI) - Measuring Property Rights Institutions
Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, Valeria Perotti, and Andrei Shleifer #27839 (DEV, POL) - Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments
Elizabeth M. Caucutt, Lance Lochner, Joseph Mullins, and Youngmin Park #27838 (CH, LS) - On the Equilibrium Properties of Network Models with Heterogeneous Agents
Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis, and Xiangliang Li #27837 (EFG, ITI) - Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward S. Knotek II, and Raphael Schoenle #27836 (EFG, ME) - Inequality of Opportunity for Income in Denmark and the United States: A Comparison Based on Administrative Data
Pablo Mitnik, Anne-Line Helsø, and Victoria L. Bryant #27835 (PE) - The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees
Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, JW Schneider, Johannes Stroebel, and Nils C. Wernerfelt #27833 (AP, CF, EFG, IO, LS, ME, PE, PR) - Gangs, Labor Mobility and Development
Nikita Melnikov, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla, and Maria Micaela Sviatschi #27832 (DEV, POL) - On Public Spending and Economic Unions
Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura #27831 (IFM) - The Intergenerational Effects of the Vietnam Draft on Risky Behaviors
Monica Deza and Alvaro Mezza #27830 (CH, HE) - Pandemics, Vaccines and Corporate Earnings
Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik, Neng Wang, Xiao Xu, and Jinqiang Yang #27829 (AP, CF) - Fencing Off Silicon Valley: Cross-Border Venture Capital and Technology Spillovers
Ufuk Akcigit, Sina T. Ates, Josh Lerner, Richard R. Townsend, and Yulia Zhestkova #27828 (CF, EFG, PR) - Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans
Nick Obradovich, Ömer Özak, Ignacio Martín, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Edmond Awad, Manuel Cebrián, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet, Iyad Rahwan, and Ángel Cuevas #27827 (POL, TWP) - Optimal Financial Transaction Taxes
Eduardo Dávila #27826 (AP, EFG, IFM, PE) - Dissertators with Distantly Related Foci Face Divergent Near-Term Outcomes
Kevin M. Kniffin, Andrew S. Hanks, Xuechao Qian, Bo Wang, and Bruce A. Weinberg #27825 (ED, PR) - Venture Capitalists and COVID-19
Paul Gompers, Will Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ilya A. Strebulaev #27824 (CF, PR) - The Persistence of Socio-Emotional Skills: Life Cycle and Intergenerational Evidence
Orazio Attanasio, Áureo de Paula, and Alessandro Toppeta #27823 (CH, ED, LS)
Weekly papers released by September 14, 2020
- Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress
Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza, and Eleonora Patacchini #27822 (POL) - Trade and Geography
Stephen J. Redding #27821 (ITI) - Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers
Cosmin L. Ilut and Rosen Valchev #27820 (EFG, ME) - Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior
Refet S. Gürkaynak, A. Hakan Kara, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, and Sang Seok Lee #27819 (AP, IFM, ME) - On the Origins of Gender-Biased Behavior: The Role of Explicit and Implicit Stereotypes
Eliana Avitzour, Adi Choen, Daphna Joel, and Victor Lavy #27818 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - Do Black and Indigenous Communities Receive their Fair Share of Vaccines Under the 2018 CDC Guidelines?
Parag A. Pathak, Harald Schmidt, Adam Solomon, Edwin Song, Tayfun Sönmez, and M. Utku Ünver #27817 (HE, PE) - My Taxes are Too Darn High: Tax Protests as Revealed Preferences for Redistribution
Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Alejandro Zentner #27816 (LE, PE, POL) - Liquidity Transformation and Fragility in the US Banking Sector
Qi Chen, Itay Goldstein, Zeqiong Huang, and Rahul Vashishtha #27815 (CF, ME) - Unemployment Disrupts Sleep
David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27814 (LS) - The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27813 (AG, HC, HE, LE) - Child Development in the Early Years: Parental Investment and the Changing Dynamics of Different Dimensions
Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Michele Giannola, and Milagros Nores #27812 (CH, DEV, ED) - What Explains the Gap in Welfare Use among Immigrants and Natives?
Xiaoning Huang, Neeraj Kaushal, and Julia Shu-Huah Wang #27811 (HE, PE) - Token-Based Platform Finance
Lin William Cong, Ye Li, and Neng Wang #27810 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF
Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Z. Yue, and Egon Zakrajšek #27809 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - On the Origins of the Idea of Ending Poverty
Martin Ravallion #27808 (DAE, DEV) - Reservation Wages and Workers’ Valuation of Job Flexibility: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
Kuan-Ming Chen, Claire Ding, John A. List, and Magne Mogstad #27807 (LS) - Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US
David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee #27806 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, PR) - Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
Vellore Arthi and John Parman #27805 (DAE) - Is the Rise in Illicit Opioids Affecting Labor Supply and Disability Claiming Rates?
Sujeong Park and David Powell #27804 (HE, LS, PE) - Linguistic Metrics for Patent Disclosure: Evidence from University Versus Corporate Patents
Nancy Kong, Uwe Dulleck, Adam B. Jaffe, Shupeng Sun, and Sowmya Vajjala #27803 (PR) - On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making
Ivan A. Canay, Magne Mogstad, and Jack Mountjoy #27802 (LE, LS, PE, TWP) - Coasean Approaches to Ending Overfishing: Bigeye Tuna Conservation in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
Daniel Ovando, Gary D. Libecap, Katherine D. Millage, and Lennon Thomas #27801 (DEV, EEE, LE, PE) - Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #27800 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Large Learning Gains in Pockets of Extreme Poverty: Experimental Evidence from Guinea Bissau
Ila Fazzio, Alex Eble, Robin L. Lumsdaine, Peter Boone, Baboucarr Bouy, Pei-Tseng Jenny Hsieh, Chitra Jayanty, Simon Johnson, and Ana Filipa Silva #27799 (CH, DEV, ED) - Board Dynamics over the Startup Life Cycle
Michael Ewens and Nadya Malenko #27769 (CF, PR)
Weekly papers released by September 7, 2020
- The Costs of Employment Segregation: Evidence from the Federal Government under Wilson
Abhay Aneja and Guo Xu #27798 (DAE, LS, PE, POL) - Correcting for Misclassified Binary Regressors Using Instrumental Variables
Steven J. Haider and Melvin Stephens Jr. #27797 (CH, HE, LS, PE, TWP) - The Social Safety Net in the Wake of COVID-19
Marianne Bitler, Hilary W. Hoynes, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #27796 (CH, PE) - Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position
Davin Chor, Kalina Manova, and Zhihong Yu #27795 (ITI) - The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S.
Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante #27794 (EFG, HC, HE, IFM, LS, ME, PE, POL, PR) - An Optimal Test for Strategic Interaction in Social and Economic Network Formation between Heterogeneous Agents
Andrin Pelican and Bryan S. Graham #27793 (DEV, IO, TWP) - Who's In and Who's Out under Workplace COVID Symptom Screening?
Krista J. Ruffini, Aaron Sojourner, and Abigail K. Wozniak #27792 (HE, , LS, LE) - Who are the Essential and Frontline Workers?
Francine D. Blau, Josefine Koebe, and Pamela A. Meyerhofer #27791 (LS) - Clean Air as an Experience Good in Urban China
Matthew E. Kahn, Weizeng Sun, and Siqi Zheng #27790 (EEE, PE, POL) - Does Gender Matter for Promotion in Science? Evidence from Physicists in France
Jacques Mairesse, Michele Pezzoni, and Fabiana Visentin #27789 (LS, PR) - (Forced) Feminist Firms
Benjamin Bennett, Isil Erel, Léa H. Stern, and Zexi Wang #27788 (CF, LS) - Declining Business Dynamism among Our Best Opportunities: The Role of the Burden of Knowledge
Thomas Astebro, Serguey Braguinsky, and Yuheng Ding #27787 (PR) - Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt
Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan #27786 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands
Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Thomas Minten, and Johannes Spinnewijn #27785 (HC, IO, PE) - What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?
Josue Cox, Daniel L. Greenwald, and Sydney C. Ludvigson #27784 (AP, EFG) - Does Increasing Access to Formal Credit Reduce Payday Borrowing?
Sarah Miller and Cindy K. Soo #27783 (CF) - Shale Shocked: Cash Windfalls and Household Debt Repayment
J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje, and Rawley Z. Heimer #27782 (CF) - Using Taxes to Meet an Emission Target
Robert I. Harris and William A. Pizer #27781 (EEE) - Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2
Joshua S. Gans #27780 (HE, PR) - Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital
Mitra Akhtari, Natalie Bau, and Jean-William P. Laliberté #27779 (CH, ED, LS) - Immigration and Entrepreneurship in the United States
Pierre Azoulay, Benjamin Jones, J. Daniel Kim, and Javier Miranda #27778 (LS, PR) - Tracing the Linkages Between Scientific Research and Energy Innovations: A Comparison of Clean and Dirty Technologies
Robert K. Perrons, Adam B. Jaffe, and Trinh Le #27777 (EEE, PR) - Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein, and Mesay Gebresilasse #27776 (DAE, HE, LE, PE, POL) - Perinatal Health among 1 Million Chinese-Americans
Douglas Almond and Yi Cheng #27775 (CH, HE) - The Fractured-Land Hypothesis
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Mark Koyama, Youhong Lin, and Tuan-Hwee Sng #27774 (EFG) - The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, and Irina Popova #27773 (ED, EFG, LS, PE) - Winners and Losers from Sovereign Debt Inflows
Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, Lorenzo Pandolfi, and Tomas Williams #27772 (IFM) - How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020
Michele Lenza and Giorgio E. Primiceri #27771 (EFG, ME, TWP) - Clearing the Bar: Improving Tax Compliance for Small Firms through Target Setting
Yazan Al-Karablieh, Evangelos Koumanakos, and Stefanie Stantcheva #27770 (IFM, PE) - Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy
Michael Woodford #27768 (EFG, ME) - To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro
Pei-Ju Liao, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang, and Chong Kee Yip #27767 (CH, DEV, EFG) - Economic Aspects of the Energy Transition
Geoffrey Heal #27766 (EEE) - Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money
Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer, and Olivier Tercieux #27765 (HE, IO, ME, PE) - The Impact of Migration Controls on Urban Fiscal Policies and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in China
Holger Sieg, Chamna Yoon, and Jipeng Zhang #27764 (ED, EFG, PE)
- Monetary Stimulus Amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan-Level Data
Kaiji Chen, Haoyu Gao, Patrick C. Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #27763 (EFG, ME) - Are All Managed Care Plans Created Equal? Evidence from Random Plan Assignment in Medicaid
Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Jacob Wallace #27762 (HC, IO, PE) - Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches Cannot Be Justified by Efficiency
Benjamin Feigenberg and Conrad Miller #27761 (LS) - What Can Economics Say About Alzheimer's Disease?
Amitabh Chandra, Courtney Coile, and Corina Mommaerts #27760 (AG, HC, HE, PR) - Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? County-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, Neeraj Kaushal, and Ashley N. Muchow #27759 (HC, HE) - Jacks of All Trades and Masters of One: Declining Search Frictions and Unequal Growth
Paolo Martellini and Guido Menzio #27758 (EFG) - Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses
David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner #27757 (EFG, HC, HE) - An Instrumental Variable Approach to Dynamic Models
Steven T. Berry and Giovanni Compiani #27756 (IO) - Monopsony in Movers: The Elasticity of Labor Supply to Firm Wage Policies
Ihsaan Bassier, Arindrajit Dube, and Suresh Naidu #27755 (LS) - Centrino and the Restructuring of WI-FI Supply
Roberto Fontana and Shane Greenstein #27754 (IO, PR) - Stable Income, Stable Family
Isaac Swensen ⓡ, Jason M. Lindo ⓡ, and Krishna Regmi #27753 (AG, CH, HE, LS, PE) - Business Incomes at the Top
Wojciech Kopczuk and Eric Zwick #27752 (CF, PE) - Investor Tax Credits and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from U.S. States
Matthew R. Denes, Sabrina T. Howell, Filippo Mezzanotti, Xinxin Wang, and Ting Xu #27751 (CF, PE, PR) - Colonial Origins, Property Rights, and the Organization of Agricultural Production: the US Midwest and Argentine Pampas Compared
Eric C. Edwards, Martin Fiszbein, and Gary D. Libecap #27750 (DAE, DEV, IO, LE) - Remote Work and the Heterogeneous Impact of COVID-19 on Employment and Health
Manuela Angelucci, Marco Angrisani, Daniel M. Bennett, Arie Kapteyn, and Simone G. Schaner #27749 (LS, PE) - Limitations on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Forward Guidance in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Andrew T. Levin and Arunima Sinha #27748 (EFG, ME) - Doubling Down on Debt: Limited Liability as a Financial Friction
Jesse Perla, Carolin Pflueger, and Michael Szkup #27747 (CF, EFG, ME) - International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova #27746 (IFM, ME) - Social Transmission Bias and Cultural Evolution in Financial Markets
Erol Akcay and David Hirshleifer #27745 (AP, CF) - Cheap Thrills: the Price of Leisure and the Global Decline in Work Hours
Alexandr Kopytov, Nikolai Roussanov, and Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel #27744 (DAE, EFG, IFM, LS) - Does Vote Trading Improve Welfare?
Alessandra Casella and Antonin Macé #27743 (POL) - Optimal Management of a Pandemic in the Short Run and the Long Run
Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #27742 (AP, EFG, HC, HE, ME) - Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks
Marina Azzimonti, Alessandra Fogli, Fabrizio Perri, and Mark Ponder #27741 (AG, EFG, HE, PE, POL) - Financial Returns to Household Inventory Management
Scott R. Baker, Stephanie G. Johnson, and Lorenz Kueng #27740 (AP) - Global Business and Financial Cycles: A Tale of Two Capital Account Regimes
Julien Acalin and Alessandro Rebucci #27739 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Using a Satisficing Model of Experimenter Decision-Making to Guide Finite-Sample Inference for Compromised Experiments
Ganesh Karapakula and James J. Heckman #27738 (CH, TWP) - Intergenerational Effects of Early-Life Advantage: Lessons from a Primate Study
Amanda M. Dettmer, James J. Heckman, Juan Pantano, Victor Ronda, and Stephen J. Suomi #27737 (CH, HE) - Hiring as Exploration
Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond, and Peter Bergman #27736 (CF, ED, LE, LS, POL, PR, TWP) - Moonshots, Investment Booms, and Selection Bias in the Transmission of Cultural Traits
David Hirshleifer and Joshua Plotkin #27735 (CF, PR) - Who Profits From Amateurism? Rent-Sharing in Modern College Sports
Craig Garthwaite, Jordan Keener, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Nicole F. Ozminkowski #27734 (LS) - Payments Crises and Consequences
Qian Chen, Christoffer Koch, Padma Sharma, and Gary Richardson #27733 (DAE, EFG, ME)
- Repurchase Options in the Market for Lemons
Saki Bigio and Liyan Shi #27732 (EFG, ME) - The Stable Transformation Path
Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, Martí Mestieri, and Daniel G. O'Connor #27731 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI) - Coping with H-1B Shortages: Firm Performance and Mitigation Strategies
Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Y. Shih, and Chad Sparber #27730 (ITI, LS, PR) - Income and Poverty in the COVID-19 Pandemic
Jeehoon Han, Bruce D. Meyer, and James X. Sullivan #27729 (CH, EFG, LS, PE) - Heterogeneous Effects Of Health Insurance On Birth Related Outcomes: Unpacking Compositional Vs. Direct Changes
Jie Ma and Kosali I. Simon #27728 (HE) - Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply Under the CARES Act
Corina Boar and Simon Mongey #27727 (EFG) - Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform
Alisa Tazhitdinova #27726 (LS, PE) - Gender and Culture
Paola Giuliano #27725 (LS, POL) - On Socializing and Social Distancing in Markets: Implications for Retail Prices, Store-level Consumer Density, and Disease Transmission
Ricardo Lagos #27724 (HE, IO) - Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China
Martin Beraja, David Y. Yang, and Noam Yuchtman #27723 (EFG, POL, PR) - When Tariffs Disturb Global Supply Chains
Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman #27722 (ITI) - Interbank Networks in the Shadows of the Federal Reserve Act
Haelim Anderson, Selman Erol, and Guillermo Ordoñez #27721 (CF, EFG, ME) - Now Unions Increase Job Satisfaction and Well-being
David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27720 (LS) - Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19
Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha #27719 (EFG, HC, HE, PE) - The Economic Impact of Migrants from Hurricane Maria
Giovanni Peri, Derek Rury, and Justin C. Wiltshire #27718 (ITI, LS) - The EITC and Maternal Time Use: More Time Working and Less Time with Kids?
Jacob Bastian and Lance Lochner #27717 (CH, LS, PE) - Openness to Trade and the Spread of Industrialization: Evidence from Canada during the First Era of Globalization
Taylor Jaworski and Ian Keay #27716 (DAE) - Estimating DSGE Models: Recent Advances and Future Challenges
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana #27715 (EFG) - Have Income-Based Achievement Gaps Widened or Narrowed?
Shirin A. Hashim, Thomas J. Kane, Thomas Kelley-Kemple, Mary E. Laski, and Douglas O. Staiger #27714 (CH, ED, LS) - Judge Peer Effects in the Courthouse
Ozkan Eren and Naci H. Mocan #27713 (CH, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #27712 (AP, EFG, ME) - What Good Are Treatment Effects without Treatment? Mental Health and the Reluctance to Use Talk Therapy
Christopher J. Cronin, Matthew P. Forsstrom, and Nicholas W. Papageorge #27711 (AG, HE) - Exit vs. Voice
Eleonora Broccardo, Oliver D. Hart, and Luigi Zingales #27710 (CF, LE) - Permanent Income Shocks, Target Wealth, and the Wealth Gap
Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri #27709 (EFG) - The Baker Hypothesis
Anusha Chari, Peter Blair Henry, and Hector Reyes #27708 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI)
Weekly papers released by August 17, 2020
- Measuring Customer Churn and Interconnectedness
Scott R. Baker, Brian Baugh, and Marco C. Sammon #27707 (AP, CF) - History as Evolution
Nathan Nunn #27706 (DAE, DEV, EFG, POL) - The Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains and Revenue-Maximizing Rates
Ole Agersnap and Owen M. Zidar #27705 (PE) - Nonparametric Identification of Differentiated Products Demand Using Micro Data
Steven T. Berry and Philip A. Haile #27704 (IO) - When Uncle Sam Introduced Main Street to Wall Street: Liberty Bonds and the Transformation of American Finance
Eric Hilt, Matthew S. Jaremski, and Wendy Rahn #27703 (CF, DAE, ME, PE, POL) - Confidence and the Propagation of Demand Shocks
George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #27702 (EFG) - Bank Syndicates and Liquidity Provision
Joao A. C. Santos and S. Vish Viswanathan #27701 (CF) - Intermediation and Competition in Search Markets: An Empirical Case Study
Tobias Salz #27700 (IO) - Understanding Tax Policy: How Do People Reason?
Stefanie Stantcheva #27699 (PE, POL) - The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy
Kristin J. Forbes #27698 (CF, IFM, ME) - Peak China Housing
Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang #27697 (AP, EFG) - Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate
Minu Philip, Debraj Ray, and S. Subramanian #27696 (DEV, HE) - Government Advertising in Market-Based Public Programs: Evidence from the Health Insurance Marketplace
Naoki Aizawa and You Suk Kim #27695 (HC, IO, PE) - The Effect of Job Displacement on College Enrollment: Evidence from Ohio
Veronica Minaya, Brendan Moore, and Judith Scott-Clayton #27694 (ED, LS) - How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27693 (EFG, ME, PE) - Union Membership Peaks in Midlife
David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27692 (LS) - Low Interest Rates, Policy, and the Predictive Content of the Yield Curve
Michael D. Bordo and Joseph G. Haubrich #27691 (IFM, ME) - Life Cycle Cash Flows of Ventures
Shumiao Ouyang, Jiaheng Yu, and Ravi Jagannathan #27690 (AP, PR) - Discrimination and Racial Disparities in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from WWII
Anna Aizer, Ryan Boone, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Jonathan Vogel #27689 (CH, DAE, ITI, LS, PR) - What Determines School Segregation? The Crucial Role of Neighborhood Factors
Gregorio S. Caetano and Hugh Macartney #27688 (CH, ED, PE) - The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from a Narrative Approach
Diego Rojas, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin #27687 (IFM) - Patenting Inventions or Inventing Patents? Strategic Use of Continuations at the USPTO
Cesare Righi and Timothy Simcoe #27686 (IO, PR) - Behavioral Welfare Economics and Risk Preferences: A Bayesian Approach
Xiaoxue Sherry Gao, Glenn W. Harrison, and Rusty Tchernis #27685 (CF, EEE, HE, PE) - Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects
Bradley Shapiro, Günter J. Hitsch, and Anna Tuchman #27684 (IO, PR) - A History of Pricing Pollution (Or, Why Pigouvian Taxes are not Necessarily Pigouvian)
H. Spencer Banzhaf #27683 (EEE) - Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle
Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Hanno Lustig #27682 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Autonomy and Specificity in Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Mexico
Carolina Corral, Xavier Giné, Aprajit Mahajan, and Enrique Seira #27681 (DEV, PR) - Improving Management through Worker Evaluations: Evidence from Auto Manufacturing
Jing Cai and Shing-Yi Wang #27680 (DEV, PR) - Social Learning along International Migrant Networks
Yuan Tian, Maria Esther Caballero, and Brian K. Kovak #27679 (DEV, HE, ITI) - Data and Policy Decisions: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan
Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Syed Ali Hasanain, Muhammad Yasir Khan, and Arman B. Rezaee #27678 (DEV, POL) - Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities
Cormac O'Dea and David Sturrock #27677 (AG) - Structuring Mortgages for Macroeconomic Stability
John Y. Campbell, Nuno Clara, and João F. Cocco #27676 (AP, ME) - The Return to Capital in Capital-Scarce Countries
Anusha Chari and Jennifer S. Rhee #27675 (DEV, EFG, IFM) - Estimating Trends in Male Earnings Volatility with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics
Robert A. Moffitt and Sisi Zhang #27674 (LS) - The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and its Lessons for COVID-19
Brian Beach, Karen Clay, and Martin H. Saavedra #27673 (CH, DAE, HE, LS, PE) - Reconciling Trends in Volatility: Evidence from the SIPP Survey and Administrative Data
Michael D. Carr, Robert A. Moffitt, and Emily E. Wiemers #27672 (LS) - A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score
Satyajit Chatterjee, Dean Corbae, Kyle P. Dempsey, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #27671 (EFG) - The Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Transportation Investments: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 1960-2010
Remi Jedwab and Adam Storeygard #27670 (DEV, ITI) - Medium-Term Money Neutrality and the Effective Lower Bound
Gauti B. Eggertsson and Marc Giannoni #27669 (ME) - Early Fertility Decline in the United States: Tests of Alternative Hypotheses using New Complete-Count Census Microdata and Enhanced County-Level Data
Michael R. Haines, J. David Hacker, and Matthew S. Jaremski #27668 (DAE) - COVID-19 and Crime: Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Domestic Violence
Lindsey Rose Bullinger, Jillian B. Carr, and Analisa Packham #27667 (HE)
Weekly papers released by August 10, 2020
- The $100 Million Nudge: Increasing Tax Compliance of Businesses and the Self-Employed using a Natural Field Experiment
Justin E. Holz, John A. List, Alejandro Zentner, Marvin Cardoza, and Joaquin Zentner #27666 (PE) - Political Uncertainty and Asset Valuation: Housing Prices in Hong Kong
Zhiguo He, Maggie Rong Hu, Zhenping Wang, and Vincent Yao #27665 (AP, CF, DEV, LE, POL) - Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from a Four Data Set Project
Robert A. Moffitt #27664 (LS) - The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage-Price Pass-Through
Sebastian Heise, Fatih Karahan, and Ayşegül Şahin #27663 (EFG, ME) - Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms
Jonas Hjort, Vinayak Iyer, and Golvine de Rochambeau #27662 (DEV, PR) - The Effect of Mentoring on School Attendance and Academic Outcomes: A Randomized Evaluation of the Check & Connect Program
Jonathan Guryan, Sandra Christenson, Ashley Cureton, Ijun Lai, Jens Ludwig, Catherine Schwarz, Emma Shirey, and Mary Clair Turner #27661 (ED) - This Time It's Different: The Role of Women's Employment in a Pandemic Recession
Titan Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt #27660 (EFG, LS) - Does FinTech Substitute for Banks? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program
Isil Erel and Jack Liebersohn #27659 (CF) - Taking It to the Limit: Effects of Increased Student Loan Availability on Attainment, Earnings, and Financial Well-Being
Sandra E. Black, Jeffrey T. Denning, Lisa J. Dettling, Sarena Goodman, and Lesley J. Turner #27658 (ED, LS, PE) - Staggered Price Indexation
Martín Uribe #27657 (EFG, ME) - Dust Bowl Migrants: Identifying an Archetype
Richard Hornbeck #27656 (DAE, DEV, EEE, LS) - Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns
Söhnke M. Bartram, Mark Grinblatt, and Yoshio Nozawa #27655 (AP) - To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates?
Olivier Jeanne and Jeongwon Son #27654 (IFM) - Data Privacy and Temptation
Zhuang Liu, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #27653 (AP, CF, IO, LE) - Trade Flows and Fiscal Multipliers
Matteo Cacciatore and Nora Traum #27652 (IFM) - Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital
Paola Giuliano and Romain Wacziarg #27651 (POL) - Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19
Edward L. Glaeser, Ginger Zhe Jin, Benjamin T. Leyden, and Michael Luca #27650 (HE, LE, PE, POL, PR) - Latent Estimation of Piracy Quality and its Effect on Revenues and Distribution: The Case of Motion Pictures
Anthony Koschmann and Yi Qian #27649 (LE, PR) - How Global is Your Mutual Fund? International Diversification from Multinationals
Irem Demirci, Miguel A. Ferreira, Pedro Matos, and Clemens Sialm #27648 (AP, CF, IFM) - Domestic Price Dollarization in Emerging Economies
Andres Drenik and Diego Perez #27647 (IFM, ME) - The Pass-Through of Uncertainty Shocks to Households
Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Rodney Ramcharan, Vincent Yao, and Edison Yu #27646 (CF, EFG, ME) - College Majors
Arpita Patnaik, Matthew J. Wiswall, and Basit Zafar #27645 (ED, LS) - Quid Pro Quo, Knowledge Spillover, and Industrial Quality Upgrading: Evidence from the Chinese Auto Industry
Jie Bai, Panle Jia Barwick, Shengmao Cao, and Shanjun Li #27644 (DEV, IO, ITI, PR) - Frictional Sorting
Wenquan Liang, Ran Song, and Christopher Timmins #27643 (LS) - Asset Specificity of Non-Financial Firms
Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma #27642 (CF, EFG, ME) - Two Tales of Debt
Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma #27641 (CF, LE, ME) - Welfare Analysis Meets Causal Inference
Amy Finkelstein and Nathaniel Hendren #27640 (HC, PE) - Interest Rate Uncertainty and Sovereign Default Risk
Alok Johri, Shahed Khan, and César Sosa-Padilla #27639 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Molecular Genetics, Risk Aversion, Return Perceptions, and Stock Market Participation
Richard Sias, Laura Starks, and Harry J. Turtle #27638 (AP) - Norwegian and US Policies Alleviate Business Vulnerability Due to the Covid-19 Shock Equally Well
Annette Alstadsæter, Julie Brun Bjørkheim, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Andreas Økland #27637 (EFG, PE) - Filling a Niche? The Maize Productivity Impacts of Adaptive Breeding by a Local Seed Company in Kenya
Samuel S. Bird, Michael R. Carter, Travis J. Lybbert, Mary W. K. Mathenge, Timothy Njagi Njeru, and Emilia Tjernström #27636 (DEV) - Behavioral Corporate Finance: The Life Cycle of a CEO Career
Marius Guenzel and Ulrike Malmendier #27635 (CF) - Design Choices for Central Bank Digital Currency: Policy and Technical Considerations
Sarah Allen, Srđjan Čapkun, Ittay Eyal, Giulia Fanti, Bryan A. Ford, James Grimmelmann, Ari Juels, Kari Kostiainen, Sarah Meiklejohn, Andrew Miller, Eswar Prasad, Karl Wüst, and Fan Zhang #27634 (ME, IFM) - The Effect of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from COVID-19
Miguel Garza Casado, Britta Glennon, Julia Lane, David McQuown, Daniel Rich, and Bruce A. Weinberg #27576 (EFG, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by August 3, 2020
- The Drug Crisis and the Living Arrangements of Children
Kasey Buckles, William N. Evans, and Ethan M.J. Lieber #27633 (CH, HE) - The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioural Epidemiological Model of Pandemics
Joshua S. Gans #27632 (HE, PR) - Persuasion on Networks
Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin #27631 (POL) - Self-Harming Trade Policy? Protectionism and Production Networks
Alessandro Barattieri and Matteo Cacciatore #27630 (IFM, ITI) - Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland
Robert P. Bartlett III and Adair Morse #27629 (CF, LS, ME, PR) - Window Dressing in the Public Sector: A Case Study of China’s Compulsory Education Promotion Program
Hanming Fang, Chang Liu, and Li-An Zhou #27628 (DEV, PE, POL) - Understanding the German Criticism of the Target System and the Role of Central Bank capital
Roberto Perotti #27627 (IFM, ME) - Do State Earned Income Tax Credits Increase Participation in the Federal EITC?
David Neumark and Katherine E. Williams #27626 (LS, PE) - The Macroeconomic Consequences of Infrastructure Investment
Valerie A. Ramey #27625 (EFG, PE) - Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program
Christopher Neilson, John Eric Humphries, and Gabriel Ulyssea #27624 (LS, PE) - The Targeting and Impact of Paycheck Protection Program Loans to Small Businesses
Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton, and Adi Sunderam #27623 (AP, CF, IO, LS, PE, POL, PR) - Efficient Redistribution
Corina Boar and Virgiliu Midrigan #27622 (EFG, PE, PR) - Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
Engy Ziedan, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27621 (HC, HE) - Immigration and Violent Crime: Evidence from the Colombia-Venezuela Border
Brian G. Knight and Ana Tribin #27620 (DEV, PE, POL) - Local Access to Mental Healthcare and Crime
Monica Deza, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Keisha T. Solomon #27619 (HC, HE, LE) - Family Spillovers in Field of Study
Gordon B. Dahl, Dan-Olof Rooth, and Anders Stenberg #27618 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data
Natalie Bachas, Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, Joseph S. Vavra, Arlene Wong, Diana Farrell, and Fiona E. Greig #27617 (EFG, ME, PE) - The Impact of Social Security on Pension Claiming and Retirement: Active vs. Passive Decisions
Rafael Lalive, Arvind Magesan, and Stefan Staubli #27616 (AG, LS, PE) - A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam #27615 (AP, IFM) - Rule of Law in Labor Relations, 1898-1940
Price V. Fishback #27614 (DAE) - Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis
Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein, and Matt Unrath #27613 (EFG, LS) - Collaborating During Coronavirus: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Nature of Work
Evan DeFilippis, Stephen Michael Impink, Madison Singell, Jeffrey T. Polzer, and Raffaella Sadun #27612 (PR) - Twenty Year Economic Impacts of Deworming
Joan Hamory ⓡ, Edward Miguel ⓡ, Michael W. Walker ⓡ, Michael Kremer ⓡ, and Sarah J. Baird #27611 (CH, DEV, HE, LS) - A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards
Michael J. Fishman, Jonathan A. Parker, and Ludwig Straub #27610 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - At What Level Should One Cluster Standard Errors in Paired Experiments, and in Stratified Experiments with Small Strata?
Clément de Chaisemartin and Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar #27609 (DEV, ED, HE, LS, TWP) - Nursing Home Staff Networks and COVID-19
M. Keith Chen, Judith A. Chevalier, and Elisa F. Long #27608 (AG, HC) - Regulatory Arbitrage in Teacher Hiring and Retention: Evidence from Massachusetts Charter Schools
Jesse M. Bruhn, Scott A. Imberman, and Marcus A. Winters #27607 (ED, LS) - Challenges of Change: An Experiment Promoting Women to Managerial Roles in the Bangladeshi Garment Sector
Rocco Macchiavello, Andreas Menzel, Atonu Rabbani, and Christopher Woodruff #27606 (DEV, PR) - Skilled Human Capital and High-Growth Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Inventor Inflows
Benjamin Balsmeier, Lee Fleming, Matt Marx, and Seungryul Ryan Shin #27605 (PR) - COVID-19 Prevention and Air Pollution in the Absence of a Lockdown
Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer, and Feng-An Yang #27604 (EEE, HE) - Co-Benefits and Regulatory Impact Analysis: Theory and Evidence from Federal Air Quality Regulations
Joseph E. Aldy, Matthew Kotchen, Mary F. Evans, Meredith Fowlie, Arik Levinson, and Karen Palmer #27603 (EEE) - Designing Disability Insurance Reforms: Tightening Eligibility Rules or Reducing Benefits
Andreas Haller, Stefan Staubli, and Josef Zweimüller #27602 (AG, LS, PE) - The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID
Viral V. Acharya and Sascha Steffen #27601 (CF) - Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations
Angus Deaton #27600 (AG, DEV, HC, HE) - Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
Tamma A. Carleton, Amir Jina, Michael T. Delgado, Michael Greenstone, Trevor Houser, Solomon M. Hsiang, Andrew Hultgren, Robert E. Kopp, Kelly E. McCusker, Ishan B. Nath, James Rising, Ashwin Rode, Hee Kwon Seo, Arvid Viaene, Jiacan Yuan, and Alice Tianbo Zhang #27599 (EEE) - Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recessions
Ammar Farooq, Adriana D. Kugler, and Umberto Muratori #27574 (LS, PE) - Competitive Effects of Federal and State Opioid Restrictions: Evidence from the Controlled Substance Laws
Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Patricia R. Freeman, and Kosali I. Simon #27520 (HC, HE)
Weekly papers released by July 27, 2020
- Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications
Andrew T. Levin, Kensington B. Cochran, and Seamus P. Walsh #27597 (HC, HE) - "Quick Response" Economic Stimulus: The Effect of Small-Value Digital Coupons on Spending
Jianwei Xing, Eric Zou, Zhentao Yin, and Yong Wang #27596 (EFG, PE) - Bargaining over Mandatory Spending and Entitlements
Marina Azzimonti, Gabriel P. Mihalache, and Laura Karpuska #27595 (EFG, PE, POL) - RCTs to Scale: Comprehensive Evidence from Two Nudge Units
Stefano DellaVigna and Elizabeth Linos #27594 (DEV, ED, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE, POL) - Does Joining the S&P 500 Index Hurt Firms?
Benjamin Bennett, René M. Stulz, and Zexi Wang #27593 (CF) - Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19: Evidence from Six Large Cities
Joseph A. Benitez, Charles J. Courtemanche, and Aaron Yelowitz #27592 (HC, HE) - The Leveraging of Silicon Valley
Jesse Davis, Adair Morse, and Xinxin Wang #27591 (CF, PR) - Learning Epidemiology by Doing: The Empirical Implications of a Spatial-SIR Model with Behavioral Responses
Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro #27590 (HE, PE) - Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?
Andrés Fernández, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martín Uribe #27589 (IFM) - The Role of Assets In Place: Loss of Market Exclusivity and Investment
Matthew J. Higgins, Mathias J. Kronlund, Ji Min Park, and Joshua Pollet #27588 (CF, PR) - International Friends and Enemies
Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu, and Stephen J. Redding #27587 (ITI) - The Ends of 30 Big Depressions
Martin Ellison, Sang Seok Lee, and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #27586 (DAE, IFM) - Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Method For Causal Attribution
Peter Ganong and Pascal J. Noel #27585 (CF, PE) - How Do Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs Reduce Opioid Prescribing? The Role of Hassle Costs versus Information
Abby E. Alpert, Sarah E. Dykstra, and Mireille Jacobson #27584 (HC, HE, LE) - Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen
Lasse Brune, Dean Karlan, Sikandra Kurdi, and Christopher R. Udry #27583 (DEV) - Using Tax Data to Better Capture Top Incomes in Official UK Income Inequality Statistics
Dominic Webber, Richard P. Tonkin, and Martin Shine #27582 (TWP) - Age Discrimination across the Business Cycle
Gordon B. Dahl and Matthew M. Knepper #27581 (AG, LS, PE) - Heterogeneous Paths of Industrialization
Federico Huneeus and Richard Rogerson #27580 (EFG) - Investing in Ex Ante Regulation: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Patent Examination
Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman #27579 (HC, LE, PR) - Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans
Jason Abaluck, Mauricio M. Caceres Bravo, Peter Hull, and Amanda Starc #27578 (AG, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE) - Conflicting Interests and the Effect of Fiduciary Duty — Evidence from Variable Annuities
Mark L. Egan, Shan Ge, and Johnny Tang #27577 (CF) - How Much to Save? Decision Costs and Retirement Plan Participation
Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, Richard W. Patterson, and William L. Skimmyhorn #27575 (AG, PE) - Out of Sight No More? The Effect of Fee Disclosures on 401(k) Investment Allocations
Mathias Kronlund, Veronika K. Pool, Clemens Sialm, and Irina Stefanescu #27573 (AG, AP, CF, LE, PE) - Experienced Segregation
Susan Athey, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Tobias Schmidt #27572 (IO, LS, PE, POL)
Weekly papers released by July 20, 2020
- Understanding the Revenue Potential of Tax Compliance Investment
Natasha Sarin and Lawrence H. Summers #27571 (PE) - Expanding Access to Clean Water for the Rural Poor: Experimental Evidence from Malawi
Pascaline Dupas, Basimenye Nhlema, Zachary Wagner, Aaron Wolf, and Emily Wroe #27570 (DEV, HE) - Enforcing Payment for Water and Sanitation Services in Nairobi’s Slums
Aidan Coville, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, and Susumu Yoshida #27569 (DEV, PE, POL) - Occupational Licensing and Labor Market Fluidity
Morris M. Kleiner and Ming Xu #27568 (LE, LS, PE) - The Dynamics of the Smoking Wage Penalty
Michael E. Darden, Julie L. Hotchkiss, and M. Melinda Pitts #27567 (HE) - Projecting Unemployment Durations: A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach With Application to the COVID-19 Recession
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and John Coglianese #27566 (EFG, LS, PE) - Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions
Daron Acemoglu and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27565 (EFG, IO) - The Spillover Impact of Index Insurance on Agricultural Investment by Cotton Farmers in Burkina Faso
Quentin Stoeffler, Michael Carter, Catherine Guirkinger, and Wouter Gelade #27564 (DEV) - Insurance Design and Pharmaceutical Innovation
Leila Agha, Soomi Kim, and Danielle Li #27563 (AG, CF, HC, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, PR) - Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic
Saravana Ravindran and Manisha Shah #27562 (DEV, HE) - A Brief Introduction to Human Capital Measures
Gang Liu and Barbara M. Fraumeni #27561 (DEV, PR) - Measuring Movement and Social Contact with Smartphone Data: A Real-Time Application to COVID-19
Victor Couture, Jonathan I. Dingel, Allison E. Green, Jessie Handbury, and Kevin R. Williams #27560 (IO, ITI) - Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets
Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein, and Ali Hortaçsu #27559 (AP, CF, ME) - China's Foreign Trade and Investment, 1800 - 1950
Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue #27558 (EFG, ITI, POL) - A Graphical Lasso Approach to Estimating Network Connections: The Case of U.S. Lawmakers
Marco Battaglini, Forrest W. Crawford, Eleonora Patacchini, and Sida Peng #27557 (POL) - Bounds on a Slope from Size Restrictions on Economic Shocks
Marco Stenborg Petterson, David G. Seim, and Jesse M. Shapiro #27556 (IO, TWP) - Inequality in Household Adaptation to Schooling Shocks: Covid-Induced Online Learning Engagement in Real Time
Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Joshua Goodman, and Christine Mulhern #27555 (CH, ED) - Should the Randomistas (Continue to) Rule?
Martin Ravallion #27554 (DEV) - An Ounce of Prevention
Joseph P. Newhouse #27553 (HC) - Wealth, Race, and Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks
Peter Ganong, Damon Jones, Pascal J. Noel, Fiona E. Greig, Diana Farrell, and Chris Wheat #27552 (EFG, LS, ME, PE) - Mutual Fund Performance and Flows During the COVID-19 Crisis
Lubos Pastor and M. Blair Vorsatz #27551 (AP, CF) - Federal Aid to School Districts During the COVID-19 Recession
Nora E. Gordon and Sarah J. Reber #27550 (ED) - Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioral Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties
Caitlin S. Brown and Martin Ravallion #27549 (DEV, HE) - Hard and Soft Skills in Vocational Training: Experimental Evidence from Colombia
Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Adriana D. Kugler, and Mikko I. Silliman #27548 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - Bank Complexity, Governance, and Risk
Ricardo Correa and Linda S. Goldberg #27547 (IFM) - Policy Evaluation with Multiple Instrumental Variables
Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Christopher R. Walters #27546 (LS, PE, TWP) - Heterogeneous Effects of State Enterprise Zone Programs in the Shorter Run and Longer Run
David Neumark and Timothy Young #27545 (LS, PE) - The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed
Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt #27544 (CH, HC, HE, LE, LS) - Teacher-to-Classroom Assignment and Student Achievement
Bryan S. Graham, Geert Ridder, Petra M. Thiemann, and Gema Zamarro #27543 (ED, LS, PE, TWP) - How Hurricanes Sweep Up Housing Markets: Evidence from Florida
Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Yanjun Liao, and Yann Panassie #27542 (EEE, PE) - Financing Outdoor Recreation
H. Spencer Banzhaf and V. Kerry Smith #27541 (EEE, PE) - Strategic Interactions in U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policies
Xiaoshan Chen, Eric M. Leeper, and Campbell B. Leith #27540 (EFG) - The Impact of State Tobacco Control Spending on High School Student Vaping
John A. Tauras, Megan C. Diaz, Barbara Schillo, and Donna Vallone #27539 (HE) - How Do Restrictions on High-Skilled Immigration Affect Offshoring? Evidence from the H-1B Program
Britta Glennon #27538 (ITI, LS, PR) - Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector
Viral V. Acharya, Lea Borchert, Maximilian Jager, and Sascha Steffen #27537 (CF, ME, POL) - Dynamic Oligopoly and Price Stickiness
Olivier Wang and Iván Werning #27536 (EFG, ME) - Non est Disputandum de Generalizability? A Glimpse into The External Validity Trial
John A. List #27535 (EEE, LE, PE) - Relabeling, Retirement and Regret
Jonathan Gruber, Ohto Kanninen, and Terhi Ravaska #27534 (AG, LS, PE) - Concentration Screens for Horizontal Mergers
Volker Nocke and Michael D. Whinston #27533 (IO) - Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown
Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, and Luis M.A. Bettencourt #27532 (HC, HE)
Weekly papers released by July 13, 2020
- Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era?
Christopher J. Cronin and William N. Evans #27531 (HC, HE, PE) - The Impact of the WWI Agricultural Boom and Bust on Female Opportunity Cost and Fertility
Carl T. Kitchens and Luke P. Rodgers #27530 (DAE, DEV, LS) - The Real Effects of Modern Information Technologies
Itay Goldstein, Shijie Yang, and Luo Zuo #27529 (CF) - Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland
Karl M. Aspelund, Michael C. Droste, James H. Stock, and Christopher D. Walker #27528 (EFG, HC, HE, TWP) - A Theory of Social Impact Bonds
Daniel L. Tortorice, David E. Bloom, Paige Kirby, and John Regan #27527 (AP, PE) - Why Does Globalization Fuel Populism? Economics, Culture, and the Rise of Right-wing Populism
Dani Rodrik #27526 (IFM, ITI, POL) - Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation
Shigeru Fujita, Giuseppe Moscarini, and Fabien Postel-Vinay #27525 (EFG) - Long-Run Returns to Field of Study in Secondary School
Gordon Dahl, Dan-Olof Rooth, and Anders Stenberg #27524 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - The Incentive Effects of Cash Transfers to the Poor
Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, and Adriana Lleras-Muney #27523 (AG, CH, DAE, HE, LS, PE) - Did President Trump’s Tulsa Rally Reignite COVID-19? Indoor Events and Offsetting Community Effects
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Connor Redpath, and Joseph J. Sabia #27522 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Fiscal and Monetary Stabilization Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: Consequences of Limited Foresight
Michael Woodford and Yinxi Xie #27521 (EFG, ME) - How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities
Edward L. Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback, and Stephen J. Redding #27519 (HC, HE, ITI, LS, PE) - Social Security Reforms and the Changing Retirement Behavior in Germany
Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Johannes Rausch, and Nicolas Goll #27518 (AG) - The Sensitivity of Cash Savings to the Cost of Capital
Viral V. Acharya, Soku Byoun, and Zhaoxia Xu #27517 (CF) - The Lost Generation? Labor Market Outcomes for Post Great Recession Entrants
Jesse Rothstein #27516 (EFG, LS) - Testing the Theory of Common Stock Ownership
Lysle Boller and Fiona Scott Morton #27515 (CF, IO) - The Association Between Educational Attainment and Longevity using Individual Level Data from the 1940 Census
Adriana Lleras-Muney, Joseph Price, and Dahai Yue #27514 (AG, CH, DAE, ED, HE, PE) - Advancing the Agency of Adolescent Girls
Eric V. Edmonds, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Jessica Leight #27513 (CH, DEV, ED) - Has Mortality Risen Disproportionately for the Least Educated?
Adam Leive and Christopher J. Ruhm #27512 (ED, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Moral Universalism and the Structure of Ideology
Benjamin Enke, Ricardo Rodríguez-Padilla, and Florian Zimmermann #27511 (DEV, LE, PE, POL) - Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization
Andrew N. Greenland, Mihai Ion, John W. Lopresti, and Peter K. Schott #27510 (AP, ITI) - Linking Changes in Inequality in Life Expectancy and Mortality: Evidence from Denmark and the United States
Gordon Dahl, Claus Thustrup Kreiner, Torben Heien Nielsen, and Benjamin Ly Serena #27509 (AG, HE, LS, PE) - Does the Actuarial Adjustment for Pension Delay Affect Retirement and Claiming Decisions?
Devon Gorry, Kyung Min Lee, and Sita Slavov #27508 (AG, PE) - E-Cigarettes and Respiratory Disease: A Replication, Extension, and Future Directions
Donald S. Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, and Hua Wang #27507 (HE) - International Migration Responses to Natural Disasters: Evidence from Modern Europe's Deadliest Earthquake
Yannay Spitzer, Gaspare Tortorici, and Ariell Zimran #27506 (DAE, DEV, LS) - Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back?
Tatyana Deryugina, Jonathan Gruber, and Adrienne Sabety #27505 (AG, EEE, HC, HE, PE) - Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic
Hani Mansour, Daniel I. Rees, and James M. Reeves #27504 (HE) - Technology Adoption and Productivity Growth: Evidence from Industrialization in France
Réka Juhász, Mara P. Squicciarini, and Nico Voigtländer #27503 (DAE, DEV, EFG, POL, PR) - Can Technology Solve the Principal-Agent Problem? Evidence from China’s War on Air Pollution
Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, Ruixue Jia, and Tong Liu #27502 (EEE) - Going Bankrupt in China
Bo Li and Jacopo Ponticelli #27501 (CF, LE) - Sovereign Credit and Exchange Rate Risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific Local Currency Bonds
Mikhail Chernov, Drew D. Creal, and Peter Hördahl #27500 (AP, IFM) - The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market
Manuel Adelino, William B. McCartney, and Antoinette Schoar #27499 (AP, CF) - Electoral Concerns Reduce Restrictive Measures During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Massimo Pulejo and Pablo Querubín #27498 (HE, POL) - What Do Voters Learn from Foreign News? Emulation, Backlash, and Public Support for Trade Agreements
Chun-Fang Chiang, Jason M. Kuo, Megumi Naoi, and Jin-Tan Liu #27497 (ITI) - Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities
Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Abhijit Chowdhury, Esther Duflo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, and Benjamin A. Olken #27496 (DEV, HE, LS, PE) - Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles
Maryam Farboodi and Péter Kondor #27472 (CF, EFG) - COVID-19 and Implications for Automation
Alex W. Chernoff and Casey Warman #27249 (HE, LS)
Weekly papers released by July 6, 2020
- Business in a Time of Spanish Influenza
Howard Bodenhorn #27495 (DAE) - Older People are Less Pessimistic about the Health Risks of Covid-19
Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #27494 (HE) - Competition Laws, Norms and Corporate Social Responsibility
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27493 (CF, EEE, IO) - Venture Capital’s Role in Financing Innovation: What We Know and How Much We Still Need to Learn
Josh Lerner and Ramana Nanda #27492 (CF, PR) - U.S. Banks and Global Liquidity
Ricardo Correa, Wenxin Du, and Gordon Y. Liao #27491 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Variation in Health Care Prices Across Public and Private Payers
Toren L. Fronsdal, Jay Bhattacharya, and Suzanne Tamang #27490 (AG, HC, HE, IO) - Choosing Technology: An Entrepreneurial Strategy Approach
Joshua S. Gans, Michael Kearney, Erin L. Scott, and Scott Stern #27489 (PR) - The Macroeconomic Impact of Europe’s Carbon Taxes
Gilbert E. Metcalf and James H. Stock #27488 (EEE, EFG, PE) - The Effect of Managers on Systematic Risk
Antoinette Schoar, Kelvin Yeung, and Luo Zuo #27487 (AP, CF) - MPCs, MPEs and Multipliers: A Trilemma for New Keynesian Models
Adrien Auclert, Bence Bardóczy, and Matthew Rognlie #27486 (EFG, ME) - Can Payroll Tax Cuts Help Firms During Recessions?
Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju #27485 (PE) - Culture and Student Achievement: The Intertwined Roles of Patience and Risk-Taking
Eric A. Hanushek, Lavinia Kinne, Philipp Lergetporer, and Ludger Woessmann #27484 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection
Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian, and Asuman Ozdaglar #27483 (EFG, HE, PE) - Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession
Francis X. Diebold #27482 (AP, EFG, IFM) - Credit Booms, Financial Crises and Macroprudential Policy
Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, and Andrea Prestipino #27481 (CF, EFG, ME) - How the Other Half Died: Immigration and Mortality in US Cities
Philipp Ager, James J. Feigenbaum, Casper Worm Hansen, and Hui Ren Tan #27480 (DAE, HE) - Property Rights without Transfer Rights: A Study of Indian Land Allotment
Christian Dippel, Dustin Frye, and Bryan Leonard #27479 (DAE, DEV, POL) - Labor Market Screening and Social Insurance Program Design for the Disabled
Naoki Aizawa, Soojin Kim, and Serena Rhee #27478 (HC, LS, PE) - The Microeconomics of Cryptocurrencies
Hanna Halaburda, Guillaume Haeringer, Joshua S. Gans, and Neil Gandal #27477 (PR) - The Impressive Effects of Tutoring on PreK-12 Learning: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Experimental Evidence
Andre Nickow, Philip Oreopoulos, and Vincent Quan #27476 (CH, ED, LS) - Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines
Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang #27475 (DEV, IO, PE, PR) - Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy
Matteo Cacciatore and Fabio Ghironi #27474 (IFM, ME) - Rationing the Commons
Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan #27473 (DEV, EEE) - The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity
Ana Babus and Maryam Farboodi #27471 (CF) - The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?
Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler #27470 (AP, CF, IFM, IO, ITI, PR) - Home Prices, Fertility, and Early-Life Health Outcomes
N. Meltem Daysal, Michael F. Lovenheim, Nikolaj Siersbæk, and David N. Wasser #27469 (CH, HE, PE) - Class Rank and Long-Run Outcomes
Jeffrey T. Denning, Richard Murphy, and Felix Weinhardt #27468 (ED, LS) - Mastering the Art of Cookbook Medicine: Machine Learning, Randomized Trials, and Misallocation
Jason Abaluck, Leila Agha, David C. Chan Jr, Daniel Singer, and Diana Zhu #27467 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE, PR) - Technology Diffusion
Nancy Stokey #27466 (PR) - Understanding 100 Years of the Evolution of Top Wealth Shares in the U.S.: What is the Role of Family Firms?
Andrew Atkeson and Magnus Irie #27465 (EFG) - Optimal Monetary Policy in Production Networks
Jennifer La'O and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27464 (EFG, ME) - The Franchise, Policing, and Race: Evidence from Arrests Data and the Voting Rights Act
Giovanni Facchini, Brian G. Knight, and Cecilia Testa #27463 (LE, LS, PE, POL) - The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: Continued Losses and the Partial Rebound in May 2020
Robert W. Fairlie #27462 (LS, PE, PR) - The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis
Efraim Benmelech and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan #27461 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - Trade Wars, Currency Wars
Stéphane Auray, Michael B. Devereux, and Aurélien Eyquem #27460 (IFM) - Optimal Illiquidity
John Beshears, James J. Choi, Christopher Clayton, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #27459 (AG, PE) - Physician Characteristics and Patient Survival: Evidence from Physician Availability
Joseph J. Doyle Jr. #27458 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Group Testing in a Pandemic: The Role of Frequent Testing, Correlated Risk, and Machine Learning
Ned Augenblick, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Ziad Obermeyer, and Ao Wang #27457 (AG, HC, HE, PE)
Weekly papers released by June 29, 2020
- Political Power, Elite Control, and Long-Run Development: Evidence from Brazil
Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan, and Monica Martinez-Bravo #27456 (DEV, POL) - Income-driven Labor Market Polarization
Diego A. Comin, Ana Danieli, and Martí Mestieri #27455 (DAE, EFG, ITI, LS, PR) - The Performance of Hedge Fund Performance Fees
Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Andrea Rossi #27454 (AP, CF) - Towards a Dynamic Disequilibrium Theory with Randomness
Martin M. Guzman and Joseph E. Stiglitz #27453 (EFG) - Personal Wealth and Self-Employment
Aymeric Bellon, J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje, and Rawley Z. Heimer #27452 (CF) - Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January - June 2020
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27451 (IFM, PE) - Why Retirement, Social Security, and Age Discrimination Policies Need to Consider the Intersectional Experiences of Older Women
Ian Burn, Patrick Button, Theodore F. Figinski, and Joanne Song McLaughlin #27450 (AG, LE, LS, PE) - Social Norms as a Barrier to Women's Employment in Developing Countries
Seema Jayachandran #27449 (CH, DEV, LS) - Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers
Truc Thi Mai Bui, Patrick Button, and Elyce G. Picciotti #27448 (AG, HE, LS) - Reviving the Salter-Swan Small Open Economy Model
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #27447 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Measuring Infrastructure in BEA's National Economic Accounts
Jennifer Bennett, Robert Kornfeld, Daniel Sichel, and David Wasshausen #27446 (DAE, EFG, PE, PR) - Pollution and Labor Market Search Externalities Over the Business Cycle
John Gibson and Garth Heutel #27445 (EEE) - Long-Run Effects of Incentivizing Work After Childbirth
Elira Kuka and Na'ama Shenhav #27444 (CH, LS, PE) - Is Attention Produced Rationally?
Erin T. Bronchetti, Judd B. Kessler, Ellen B. Magenheim, Dmitry Taubinsky, and Eric Zwick #27443 (PE) - Do Bank Insiders Impede Equity Issuances?
Martin Goetz, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine #27442 (CF, EFG) - Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network
Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani, and Edouard Schaal #27441 (ITI) - Endogenous Quality Investments in the U.S. Hospital Market
Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Ody, and Amanda Starc #27440 (HC, IO) - Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19
Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #27439 (AP, EFG) - Portfolio Delegation and 401(k) Plan Participant Responses to COVID-19
David Blanchett, Michael S. Finke, and Jonathan Reuter #27438 (AG, AP) - Parallel Inverse Aggregate Demand Curves in Discrete Choice Models
Kory Kroft, René Leal Vizcaíno, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Ting Wang #27437 (IO, LS, PE) - ‘Mechanization Takes Command’: Inanimate Power and Labor Productivity in Late Nineteenth Century American Manufacturing
Jeremy Atack, Robert A. Margo, and Paul Rhode #27436 (DAE) - Barbarians at the Store? Private Equity, Products, and Consumers
Cesare Fracassi, Alessandro Previtero, and Albert W. Sheen #27435 (CF, IO) - The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions
Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi, and Aleksei Oskolkov #27434 (EFG, ME) - Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy
Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons #27433 (POL) - Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020
Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson #27432 (EFG, IO, PE, POL, PR) - How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data
Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Michael Stepner, and The Opportunity Insights Team #27431 (AP, EFG, IFM, LS, ME, PE) - Epidemics in the Neoclassical and New Keynesian Models
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27430 (EFG) - Informality, Consumption Taxes, and Redistribution
Pierre Bachas, Lucie Gadenne, and Anders Jensen #27429 (DEV, PE) - Revisiting the Hypothesis of High Discounts and High Unemployment
Paolo Martellini, Guido Menzio, and Ludo Visschers #27428 (EFG) - COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan
Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer #27427 (HE) - Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues
Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger #27426 (HC, HE, PE) - Transatlantic Technologies: The Role of ICT in the Evolution of U.S. and European Productivity Growth
Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed #27425 (EFG, PR) - Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs
Zhuan Pei, David S. Lee, David Card, and Andrea Weber #27424 (ED, LS) - The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US
Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, Jenny Xue, Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney, and Michael Wara #27423 (EEE) - What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys
Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27422 (LS, PR) - Tech Clusters
William R. Kerr and Frédéric Robert-Nicoud #27421 (LS, PR) - A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate
Mario J. Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani, and Takayuki Tsuruga #27420 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings
Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian M. Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing, and Bruce Weinberg #27419 (HC, HE, LS)
Weekly papers released by June 22, 2020
- Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic
David Altig, Scott R. Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Julia Leather, Brent H. Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nicholas B. Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka, and Greg Thwaites #27418 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME, PR) - Misinformation During a Pandemic
Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, and David H. Yanagizawa-Drott #27417 (HE, POL) - Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis
Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel, and Zhaogang Song #27416 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Conservation Co-Benefits from Air Pollution Regulation
Yuanning Liang, Ivan J. Rudik, Eric Zou, Alison Johnston, Amanda D. Rodewald, and Catherine L. Kling #27415 (EEE) - Food, Fuel and the Domesday Economy
Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor #27414 (DEV, EEE) - Nondogmatic Climate Policy
Niko Jaakkola and Antony Millner #27413 (EEE) - Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices
Nicolas L. Bottan and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #27412 (AP, CF, IFM) - Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets
Viral V. Acharya, Soumya Bhadury, and Jay Surti #27411 (EFG, IFM) - Biases in Long-Horizon Predictive Regressions
Jacob Boudoukh, Ronen Israel, and Matthew P. Richardson #27410 (AP) - Salience and Taxation with Imperfect Competition
Kory Kroft, Jean-William P. Laliberté, René Leal Vizcaíno, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #27409 (PE) - Black Lives Matter Protests, Social Distancing, and COVID-19
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27408 (HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census data.
John McLaren #27407 (HE) - Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Francesco Bianchi, Sydney C. Ludvigson, and Sai Ma #27406 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - The Impact of Prices on Firm Reputation
Michael Luca and Oren Reshef #27405 (IO, PR) - From Imitation to Innovation: Where Is all that Chinese R&D Going?
Michael König, Zheng Michael Song, Kjetil Storesletten, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #27404 (EFG) - The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Philippe Martin, and Todd E. Messer #27403 (IFM) - Which Investors Matter for Equity Valuations and Expected Returns?
Ralph S. J. Koijen, Robert J. Richmond, and Motohiro Yogo #27402 (AP) - The Political Scar of Epidemics
Cevat Giray Aksoy, Barry Eichengreen, and Orkun Saka #27401 (DAE, POL) - Economic Crisis, General Laws, and the Mid-Nineteenth-Century Transformation of American Political Economy
Naomi R. Lamoreaux and John Joseph Wallis #27400 (DAE) - Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies
Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, and Michael Weber #27399 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - The Growth of Nations Revisited: Global Environmental Accounting from 1998 to 2018.
Aniruddh Mohan, Nicholas Z. Muller, Akshay Thyagarajan, Randall V. Martin, Melanie S. Hammer, and Aaron van Donkelaar #27398 (EEE, EFG) - What Accounts for the Rising Share of Women in the Top 1%?
Richard V. Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen P. Jenkins, and Roger Wilkins #27397 (LS, PE) - Predictable Financial Crises
Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, and Jakob Ahm Sørensen #27396 (AP, CF, ME) - Aggregate Effects from Public Works: Evidence from India
C. Justin Cook and Manisha Shah #27395 (DEV, EFG, PR) - Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment
Hie Joo Ahn and James D. Hamilton #27394 (EFG, LS, ME) - Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27393 (HE, PE) - The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey
Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, and Basit Zafar #27392 (ED, PE) - What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates
Christopher R. Knittel and Bora Ozaltun #27391 (EEE, HC, HE, PE) - Within-Job Wage Inequality: Performance Pay and Job Relatedness
Rongsheng Tang, Yang Tang, and Ping Wang #27390 (EFG, LS) - Dynamics of Markups, Concentration and Product Span
Elhanan Helpman and Benjamin C. Niswonger #27389 (IO) - Principal Portfolios
Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud, and Lasse H. Pedersen #27388 (AP) - Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations
Niels J. Gormsen and Ralph S. J. Koijen #27387 (AP) - Gains from wage Flexibility and the Zero Lower Bound
Roberto M. Billi and Jordi Galí #27386 (EFG, ME) - Insider-Outsider Labor Markets, Hysteresis and Monetary Policy
Jordi Galí #27385 (EFG, ME) - Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27384 (EFG, ME, PE) - China’s Import Demand for Agricultural Products: The Impact of the Phase One Trade Agreement
Robert C. Feenstra and Chang Hong #27383 (ITI) - The Effectiveness of Life-Preserving Investments in Times of COVID-19
Jules H. van Binsbergen and Christian C. Opp #27382 (CF, HE) - Default Options and Insurance Demand
Peter John Robinson, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Howard Kunreuther, and Shereen J. Chaudhry #27381 (PE) - Reconsidering Returns
Samuel M. Hartzmark and David H. Solomon #27380 (AP) - Enabling Entrepreneurial Choice
Ajay K. Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, and Scott Stern #27379 (PR) - Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities
Caitlin S. Gorback and Benjamin J. Keys #27370 (PE) - The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords
Rebecca Diamond, Adam Guren, and Rose Tan #27358 (CF, PE)
Weekly papers released by June 15, 2020
- Socio-Demographic Factors Associated with Self-Protecting Behavior during the Covid-19 Pandemic
Nicholas W. Papageorge, Matthew V. Zahn, Michèle Belot, Eline van den Broek-Altenburg, Syngjoo Choi, Julian C. Jamison, and Egon Tripodi #27378 (AG, HE) - Can Greater Access to Education Be Inequitable? New Evidence from India’s Right to Education Act
Chirantan Chatterjee, Eric A. Hanushek, and Shreekanth Mahendiran #27377 (DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Bank Heterogeneity and Financial Stability
Itay Goldstein, Alexandr Kopytov, Lin Shen, and Haotian Xiang #27376 (CF) - Inventing the Endless Frontier: The Effects of the World War II Research Effort on Post-war Innovation
Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat #27375 (DAE, PE, PR) - Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response
Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, and Hanbin Yang #27374 (HC, HE, PE, TWP) - Implications of Heterogeneous SIR Models for Analyses of COVID-19
Glenn Ellison #27373 (EFG, HE) - Leaving the Enclave: Historical Evidence on Immigrant Mobility from the Industrial Removal Office
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Dylan Connor #27372 (DAE, LS) - The Micro and Macro Dynamics of Capital Flows
Felipe Saffie, Liliana Varela, and Kei-Mu Yi #27371 (IFM, ITI) - Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve’s Policy Strategy and Communications
Michael D. Bordo, Andrew T. Levin, and Mickey D. Levy #27369 (ME) - How Much Should we Trust Estimates of Firm Effects and Worker Sorting?
Stéphane Bonhomme, Kerstin Holzheu, Thibaut Lamadon, Elena Manresa, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler #27368 (LS, TWP) - Duration-Based Stock Valuation
Jules H. van Binsbergen #27367 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Fiscal Policy and COVID19 Restrictions in a Demand-Determined Economy
Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #27366 (EFG, ME, PE) - Global Lessons from Climate Change Legislation and Litigation
Shaikh M. Eskander, Sam Fankhauser, and Joana Setzer #27365 (EEE) - Building Resilient Health Systems: Experimental Evidence from Sierra Leone and the 2014 Ebola Outbreak
Darin Christensen, Oeindrila Dube, Johannes Haushofer, Bilal Siddiqi, and Maarten J. Voors #27364 (DEV, HE) - Tax Policy and Abnormal Investment Behavior
Qiping Xu and Eric Zwick #27363 (CF, EFG, PE) - Business Reopening Decisions and Demand Forecasts During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Dylan Balla-Elliott, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27362 (HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, POL, PR) - To Pool or Not to Pool? Security Design in OTC Markets
Vincent Glode, Christian C. Opp, and Ruslan Sverchkov #27361 (AP, CF) - EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms
Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra, and Marcela Eslava #27360 (IFM) - Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries
Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, and Martial Foucault #27359 (HE, POL) - Geographic and Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in the Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution in the United States
Tatyana Deryugina, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif #27357 (AG, EEE, HC, HE, PE) - Treatment Effects and the Measurement of Skills in a Prototypical Home Visiting Program
James J. Heckman, Bei Liu, Mai Lu, and Jin Zhou #27356 (CH, ED, HC) - Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis
Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill, and Diego Zúñiga #27355 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - The search theory of OTC markets
Pierre-Olivier Weill #27354 (AP, EFG) - Corporate Culture as a Theory of the Firm
Gary B. Gorton and Alexander K. Zentefis #27353 (CF, IO) - Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets
Alberto Cavallo #27352 (IFM, ME) - Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Assessment
Diego Daruich and Raquel Fernández #27351 (DEV, ED, EFG, LS, POL) - Global Trade and Margins of Productivity in Agriculture
Farid Farrokhi and Heitor S. Pellegrina #27350 (IFM, ITI, PR, TWP) - How and When to Use the Political Cycle to Identify Advertising Effects
Sarah Moshary, Bradley T. Shapiro, and Jihong Song #27349 (IO, POL) - Why Does Consumption Fluctuate in Old Age and How Should the Government Insure It?
Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault, and Mariacristina De Nardi #27348 (AG, HC, HE, PE) - Deciphering the Macroeconomic Effects of Internal Devaluations in a Monetary Union
Javier Andrés, Óscar Arce, Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, and Samuel Hurtado #27347 (EFG) - Information and the Acquisition of Social Network Connections
Toman Barsbai, Victoria Licuanan, Andreas Steinmayr, Erwin Tiongson, and Dean Yang #27346 (DEV) - The Rise in Earnings Inequality: Does the Cycle Drive the Trend?
Jonathan Heathcote, Fabrizio Perri, and Giovanni L. Violante #27345 (EFG, LS) - COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data
Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, and Hong-Yi TuYe #27344 (IO, LS, PR) - Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties
Adele Morris, Noah Kaufman, and Siddhi Doshi #27307 (EEE) - Do Youth Employment Programs Work? Evidence from the New Deal
Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Keyoung Lee #27103 (CH, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by June 8, 2020
- Coping with Disasters: Two Centuries of International Official Lending
Sebastian Horn, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #27343 (IFM, ME) - Exchange Rates and Asset Prices in a Global Demand System
Ralph S. J. Koijen and Motohiro Yogo #27342 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Searching for Approval
Sumit Agarwal, John Grigsby, Ali Hortaçsu, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao #27341 (CF, IO) - Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths
Robert E. Hall, Charles I. Jones, and Peter J. Klenow #27340 (EFG, HC, HE) - An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies
Jonathan S. Hartley and Alessandro Rebucci #27339 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Concentration and Agglomeration of IT Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Patenting
Chris Forman and Avi Goldfarb #27338 (PR) - Party On: The Labor Market Returns to Social Networks and Socializing
Adriana Lleras-Muney, Matthew Miller, Shuyang Sheng, and Veronica T. Sovero #27337 (CH, ED, LS) - Sibling Correlation in Educational Attainment: A Test of Genetic Nurture
John Cawley, Euna Han, Jiyoon Kim, and Edward C. Norton #27336 (CH, ED, HE) - Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model
Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha #27335 (EFG) - Cities and Smoking
Michael Darden #27334 (HE) - Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965
W. Walker Hanlon, Casper Worm Hansen, and Jake W. Kantor #27333 (DAE) - The Great Disconnect: The Decoupling of Wage and Price Inflation in Japan
Takeo Hoshi and Anil K Kashyap #27332 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Why Didn't the College Premium Rise Everywhere? Employment Protection and On-the-Job Investment in Skills
Matthias Doepke and Ruben Gaetani #27331 (EFG, LS) - Working Remotely and the Supply-side Impact of Covid-19
Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence D.W. Schmidt #27330 (AP, CF, EFG, LS, PR) - Understanding Spatial Variation in COVID-19 across the United States
Klaus Desmet and Romain Wacziarg #27329 (AG, HE, ITI, PE, POL) - Taxes and the Revaluation of Household Wealth
Edward N. Wolff #27328 (AG) - Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives
David Danz, Lise Vesterlund, and Alistair J. Wilson #27327 (AP, CF, LS, PE, POL) - Holiday, Just One Day Out of Life: Birth Timing and Post-natal Outcomes
Mireille Jacobson, Maria Kogelnik, and Heather Royer #27326 (CH, HC, HE, PE) - Imperfect Competition and Rents in Labor and Product Markets: The Case of the Construction Industry
Kory Kroft, Yao Luo, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler #27325 (IO, LS, PE) - Policing the Police: The Impact of "Pattern-or-Practice" Investigations on Crime
Tanaya Devi and Roland G. Fryer Jr #27324 (LE, LS) - Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk
Javier Bianchi and César Sosa-Padilla #27323 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27322 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - The Employment Impact of Green Fiscal Push: Evidence from the American Recovery Act
David Popp, Francesco Vona, Giovanni Marin, and Ziqiao Chen #27321 (EEE) - Civic Capital and Social Distancing during the Covid-19 Pandemic
John M. Barrios, Efraim Benmelech, Yael V. Hochberg, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #27320 (CF, POL) - Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events
Shereen J. Chaudhry, Michael Hand, and Howard Kunreuther #27319 (PE) - Gender Differences in Negotiation: Evidence from Real Estate Transactions
Steffen Andersen, Julie Marx, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, and Lise Vesterlund #27318 (LS, PE) - No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations
Philippe Andrade, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #27317 (EFG, ME) - Weak Credit Covenants
Victoria Ivashina and Boris Vallee #27316 (CF) - Short-run Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Worker Transitions
Benjamin W. Cowan #27315 (HE, LS) - Does Poverty Change Labor Supply? Evidence from Multiple Income Effects and 115,579 Bags
Abhijit Banerjee, Dean Karlan, Hannah Trachtman, and Christopher R. Udry #27314 (DEV) - Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #27313 (AP, EFG, ME) - My Professor Cares: Experimental Evidence on the Role of Faculty Engagement
Scott E. Carrell and Michal Kurlaender #27312 (ED, LS, PE) - Program Recertification Costs: Evidence from SNAP
Tatiana Homonoff and Jason Somerville #27311 (HE, PE) - Predicting Social Tipping and Norm Change in Controlled Experiments
James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis, and Simon Siegenthaler #27310 (PE, POL) - The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey
Robert W. Fairlie #27309 (LS, PE, PR) - Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory
George-Marios Angeletos, Zhen Huo, and Karthik A. Sastry #27308 (AP, EFG, ME) - Medicaid Expansion and the Mental Health of College Students
Benjamin W. Cowan and Zhuang Hao #27306 (HC, HE) - A Liberalization Spillover: From Equities to Loans
Xin Liu, Shang-Jin Wei, and Yifan Zhou #27305 (AP, IFM) - What We Know and Don't Know about Climate Change, and Implications for Policy
Robert S. Pindyck #27304 (DEV, EEE, PE, POL) - Plants in Space
Ezra Oberfield, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre-Daniel Sarte, and Nicholas Trachter #27303 (EFG, ITI) - The Long-Run Effects of School Racial Diversity on Political Identity
Stephen B. Billings, Eric Chyn, and Kareem Haggag #27302 (CH, PE, POL) - Reciprocity versus Reelection
Prateik Dalmia, Allan Drazen, and Erkut Y. Ozbay #27301 (POL) - Search Frictions and Efficiency in Decentralized Transportation Markets
Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi, Theodore Papageorgiou, and Nicola Rosaia #27300 (EFG, IO, ITI) - Social Proximity to Capital: Implications for Investors and Firms
Theresa Kuchler, Yan Li, Lin Peng, Johannes Stroebel, and Dexin Zhou #27299 (AP, CF, EFG, PE) - External Validity: Four Models of Improving Student Achievement
Annie Duflo, Jessica Kiessel, and Adrienne Lucas #27298 (CH, DEV, ED) - The Food Problem and the Aggregate Productivity Consequences of Climate Change
Ishan B. Nath #27297 (EEE) - The Evolution of CEO Compensation in Venture Capital Backed Startups
Michael Ewens, Ramana Nanda, and Christopher T. Stanton #27296 (CF, PR) - Wall Street vs. Main Street QE
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu #27295 (EFG, ME) - Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States
Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer #27294 (CH, ED, LE) - Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs
Charles F. Manski and Aleksey Tetenov #27293 (HC, HE, TWP) - Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Ying Fan, A. Yeşim Orhun, and Dana Turjeman #27211 (HC, HE, LS, PE, POL)
Weekly papers released by June 1, 2020
- The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies
Viral V. Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert, and Fergal J. McCann #27292 (AP, CF) - Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933-1955
Keith Meyers and Paul Rhode #27291 (DAE) - Consumption Insurance in Networks with Asymmetric Information
Orazio Attanasio and Sonya Krutikova #27290 (DEV) - Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty
Michael Barnett, Greg Buchak, and Constantine Yannelis #27289 (AG, AP, CF, HC, HE, IFM, PE) - I Have Nothing Against Them, But. . .
Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar K. Haaland, Aakaash Rao, and Christopher P. Roth #27288 (POL) - Spatial Economics for Granular Settings
Jonathan I. Dingel and Felix Tintelnot #27287 (ITI) - Income Distribution, International Integration, and Sustained Poverty Reduction
Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Tristan Reed #27286 (DEV, IO, ITI) - The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses
Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #27285 (EEE) - What’s Driving Entrepreneurship and Innovation in the Transport Sector?
Derrick Choe, Alexander Oettl, and Robert Seamans #27284 (PR) - Expectations of Fundamentals and Stock Market Puzzles
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, and Andrei Shleifer #27283 (AP) - India's Lockdown: An Interim Report
Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian #27282 (DEV, HC, HE, POL) - Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27281 (EFG, IFM, PR) - Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes
Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27280 (HC, HE, LS, PE) - Post-9/11 War Deployments Increased Crime among Veterans
Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia, and Erdal Tekin #27279 (HE, LE) - Flying or Trapped?
Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura, and Ping Wang #27278 (DEV, EFG) - Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity
Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, and Maria Petrova #27277 (HE, PE, POL) - The Welfare Cost of a Current Account Imbalance: A New Channel
Jungho Lee, Shang-Jin Wei, and Jianhuan Xu #27276 (IFM, ITI) - Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets
Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #27275 (EFG, IFM) - How to Get Away with Merger: Stealth Consolidation and Its Real Effects on US Healthcare
Thomas G. Wollmann #27274 (HC, IO) - How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?
Titan M. Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos, and Mitchell VanVuren #27273 (DEV, EFG) - Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, and Stephen Utkus #27272 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception
Grant Miller, Áureo de Paula, and Christine Valente #27271 (DEV, HE) - Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care
Michael L. Barnett, Andrew Olenski, and Adam Sacarny #27270 (HC) - Measuring the Effect of Student Loans on College Persistence
David Card and Alex Solis #27269 (ED, LS) - The Great Migration of Black Americans from the US South: A Guide and Interpretation
William J. Collins #27268 (DAE, LS) - Dying to Work: Effects of Unemployment Insurance on Health
Alexander Ahammer and Analisa Packham #27267 (HE) - Reconstructing the Yield Curve
Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu #27266 (AP, EFG, ME) - Framing, Information, and Welfare
Andrew Caplin and Daniel J. Martin #27265 (HC, IO, PE, TWP) - COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27264 (EFG, HE, LS) - Breaking Routine for Energy Savings: An Appliance-level Analysis of Small Business Behavior under Dynamic Prices
Jiyong Eom and Frank A. Wolak #27263 (EEE) - Simplified Electricity Market Models with Significant Intermittent Renewable Capacity: Evidence from Italy
Christoph Graf, Federico Quaglia, and Frank A. Wolak #27262 (EEE, IO) - Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic
Olivia S. Mitchell #27261 (AG, PE) - An Experimental Comparison of Carbon Pricing Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets
Trevor L. Davis, Mark C. Thurber, and Frank A. Wolak #27260 (EEE) - Measuring the Spatial Distribution of Health Rankings in the United States
Will Davis, Alexander D. Gordan, and Rusty Tchernis #27259 (HE) - Bank Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Structural Estimation
Yifei Wang, Toni M. Whited, Yufeng Wu, and Kairong Xiao #27258 (CF, EFG, ME) - Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs
Xiaohong Chen, Lars P. Hansen, and Peter G. Hansen #27257 (AP) - Banks as Lenders of First Resort: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
Lei Li, Philip E. Strahan, and Song Zhang #27256 (CF) - Retaliatory Use of Public Standards in Trade
Kjersti Nes and K Aleks Schaefer #27255 (ITI) - Transportation Infrastructure in the US
Matthew Turner, Gilles Duranton, and Geetika Nagpal #27254 (ITI, PE) - Competition Laws and Corporate Innovation
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Lai Wei, and Wensi Xie #27253 (CF, DEV, EFG, IO, LE) - Are Trade Agreements Good For You?
Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa #27252 (ITI) - Cost Saving and the Freezing of Corporate Pension Plans
Joshua D. Rauh, Irina Stefanescu, and Stephen P. Zeldes #27251 (AG, CF, LS, PE) - Research Registries: Facts, Myths, and Possible Improvements
Eliot Abrams, Jonathan Libgober, and John A. List #27250 (DEV, ED, PE)
Weekly papers released by May 25, 2020
- Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections
Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon, and Frank Schorfheide #27248 (EFG, HE) - A Unifying Approach to Measuring Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
Antonio Bento, Noah S. Miller, Mehreen Mookerjee, and Edson R. Severnini #27247 (EEE) - The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata
Robert W. Fairlie, Kenneth Couch, and Huanan Xu #27246 (LS, PE) - Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Itzhak Rasooly #27245 (HC, PE) - Reopening Scenarios
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, and James H. Stock #27244 (EFG, HE, ME) - The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment
George J. Borjas and Hugh Cassidy #27243 (LS) - Sufficient Statistics Revisited
Henrik Kleven #27242 (LS, PE) - Human Capital Investment in the Presence of Child Labor
Natalie Bau, Martin Rotemberg, Manisha Shah, and Bryce Steinberg #27241 (CH, DEV, ED, LS) - Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content
Jason M. Lindo, Isaac D. Swensen, and Glen R. Waddell #27240 (CH, HC, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE) - DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis
Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #27239 (IFM) - The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States
Paola Giuliano and Marco Tabellini #27238 (DAE, LS, POL) - The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic
Andrey Simonov, Szymon K. Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, and Shirsho Biswas #27237 (HE, IO, POL) - Mobility Zones
Ferdinando Monte #27236 (HE, ITI) - Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility
Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27235 (HC, HE) - Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #27234 (EFG, LS) - Three Myths about Federal Regulation
Patrick A. McLaughlin and Casey B. Mulligan #27233 (EEE, LE, PE) - The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics
Varadarajan V. Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani, and Christopher Phelan #27232 (EFG, PE) - A No-Arbitrage Perspective on Global Arbitrage Opportunities
Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid, and Dongho Song #27231 (AP, IFM) - Spatial Misallocation in Chinese Housing and Land Markets
Yongheng Deng, Yang Tang, Ping Wang, and Jing Wu #27230 (DEV, EFG) - Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27229 (AG, HC, HE, LE, PE) - The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model
Luis Felipe Céspedes, Roberto Chang, and Andrés Velasco #27228 (EFG, IFM) - Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance
Alexander M. Chinco, Samuel M. Hartzmark, and Abigail B. Sussman #27227 (AP) - Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests
Charles F. Manski #27226 (HC, HE, TWP) - Deputization
Bruce I. Carlin, Tarik Umar, and Hanyi Yi #27225 (AG, CF, LE, PE, POL) - Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic
Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #27224 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Voluntary Regulation: Evidence from Medicare Payment Reform
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji, and Neale Mahoney #27223 (AG, HC, IO, PE) - Tokenomics: Dynamic Adoption and Valuation
Lin William Cong, Ye Li, and Neng Wang #27222 (AP, CF) - When is Debt Odious? A Theory of Repression and Growth Traps
Viral V. Acharya, Raghuram Rajan, and Jack Shim #27221 (CF, EFG, IFM, LE, PE) - The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effect of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases
David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee #27220 (DEV, EFG, HC, HE, ITI) - Global Comparatives Statics in General Equilibrium: Model Building from Theoretical Foundations
James R. Markusen #27219 (ITI) - Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Pandemic Risks
Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #27218 (AP, HE, PE) - The Long-Term Cognitive and Schooling Effects of Childhood Vaccinations in China
Hamid R. Oskorouchi, Alfonso Sousa-Poza, and David E. Bloom #27217 (CH, ED, HE) - US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic
Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, and Joseph S. Vavra #27216 (EFG, LS, ME, PE) - The Economics of Urban Density
Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga #27215 (PE) - Cyclical Lending Standards: A Structural Analysis
Kaiji Chen, Patrick C. Higgins, and Tao Zha #27214 (EFG, ME) - In Search of Distress Risk in Emerging Markets
Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Adam Haas #27213 (AP, CF, IFM) - Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security
Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura, and Andrew W. Lo #27212 (AP, HC, HE) - Collateralized Marriage
Jeanne Lafortune and Corinne Low #27210 (LS) - Housing Search Frictions: Evidence from Detailed Search Data and a Field Experiment
Peter Bergman, Eric W. Chan, and Adam Kapor #27209 (ED, IO, PE) - Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality
Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli, and Pradeep Muthukrishnan #27208 (CF, LS) - Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy?
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #27207 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - Innovation, Growth and Structural Change in American Agriculture
Julian M. Alston and Philip G. Pardey #27206 (DAE, PR) - Do Environmental Markets Cause Environmental Injustice? Evidence from California’s Carbon Market
Danae Hernandez-Cortes and Kyle C. Meng #27205 (EEE, HE, PE) - Cigarette Taxes and Smoking in the Long Run
Andrew I. Friedson and Daniel I. Rees #27204 (HE) - Patents, Innovation, and Development
Bronwyn H. Hall #27203 (DEV, PR) - Modeling the Impacts of Agricultural Support Policies on Emissions from Agriculture
David Laborde, Abdullah Mamun, Will Martin, Valeria Piñeiro, and Rob Vos #27202 (DEV, EEE) - Urbanization in the Developing World: Too Early or Too Slow?
J. Vernon Henderson and Matthew A. Turner #27201 (ITI) - Can the World’s Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus?
Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion, and Dominique van de Walle #27200 (DEV, HC) - Foreign Exchange Order Flow as a Risk Factor
Craig Burnside, Mario Cerrato, and Zhekai Zhang #27199 (IFM) - Identification of Time-Inconsistent Models: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets
Aprajit Mahajan, Christian Michel, and Alessandro Tarozzi #27198 (DEV, HE, IO) - Measuring the Environmental Benefits of Electric Vehicles (Relative to the Car that Wasn’t Bought)
Erich Muehlegger and David S. Rapson #27197 (EEE) - Males at the Tails: How Socioeconomic Status Shapes the Gender Gap
David Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #27196 (CH, ED) - Interest Rates and the Design of Financial Contracts
Michael R. Roberts and Michael Schwert #27195 (CF) - Stereotypes and Politics
Pedro Bordalo, Marco Tabellini, and David Y. Yang #27194 (POL) - The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An Explanation for the Recent Evolution of the American Economy
Anna Stansbury and Lawrence H. Summers #27193 (EFG, IFM, IO, LS) - Information, Technology Adoption and Productivity: The Role of Mobile Phones in Agriculture
Apoorv Gupta, Jacopo Ponticelli, and Andrea Tesei #27192 (CF, DEV, EFG, PR)
- COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: An Epidemiological Multi-Sector Model for a Small Open Economy with an Application to Turkey
Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Sevcan Yesiltas, and Muhammed A. Yildirim #27191 (IFM) - How Sticky is Retirement Behavior in the U.S.? Responses to Changes in the Full Retirement Age
Manasi Deshpande, Itzik Fadlon, and Colin Gray #27190 (AG, LS, PE) - Trust and Insurance Contracts
Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer #27189 (CF, POL) - Public Procurement in Law and Practice
Erica Bosio, Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, and Andrei Shleifer #27188 (DEV, PE) - The Relationship between In-Person Voting, Consolidated Polling Locations, and Absentee Voting on Covid-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary
Chad D. Cotti, Bryan Engelhardt, Joshua Foster, Erik T. Nesson, and Paul S. Niekamp #27187 (HE, PE) - Confidence Management in Tournaments
Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu, and Zenan Wu #27186 (IO, PE, PR) - Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27185 (IFM, PE) - The Life-cycle Growth of Plants: The Role of Productivity, Demand and Wedges
Marcela Eslava and John C. Haltiwanger #27184 (EFG, PR) - Launching with a Parachute: The Gig Economy and New Business Formation
John M. Barrios, Yael V. Hochberg, and Hanyi Yi #27183 (CF, PR) - Latent Dirichlet Analysis of Categorical Survey Expectations
Evan M. Munro and Serena Ng #27182 (EFG, ME) - Innovation in the U.S. Government
Joshua R. Bruce and John M. de Figueiredo #27181 (LE, PE, PR) - The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates
Jisang Yu, Nelson B. Villoria, and Nathan P. Hendricks #27180 (ITI) - Savings Rates: Up or Down?
Guillermo Ordoñez and Facundo Piguillem #27179 (AP, EFG) - The Impact of Interwar Protection: Evidence from India
Vellore Arthi, Markus Lampe, Ashwin R Nair, and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #27178 (ITI) - The Economic Impact of Access to Public Four-Year Colleges
Jonathan Smith, Joshua Goodman, and Michael Hurwitz #27177 (ED, LS, PE) - Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs
Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong #27176 (AP, CF, HC, HE) - Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti‐Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks
Shomesh Chaudhuri, Andrew W. Lo, Danying Xiao, and Qingyang Xu #27175 (AP, HC, HE) - The Influence of Early Life Health Conditions on Life Course Health
Manuel Flores Mallo and Barbara L. Wolfe #27174 (CH, HE) - Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Providers in the US
Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li #27173 (HE) - Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs
Martin Gaynor, Nirav Mehta, and Seth Richards-Shubik #27172 (HC, HE, IO, PE) - China's Model of Managing the Financial System
Markus K. Brunnermeier, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #27171 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - The Accumulation of Human and Market Capital in the United States: The Long View, 1948–2013
Barbara M. Fraumeni, Michael S. Christian, and Jon D. Samuels #27170 (LS, PR) - The Contribution of Chinese Diaspora Researchers to Scientific Publications and China's “Great Leap Forward” in Global Science
Qingnan Xie and Richard B. Freeman #27169 (DEV, ED, LS, PR) - When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response
Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira, and Tyler Muir #27168 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Stephen J. Terry #27167 (EFG, IFM) - Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For
Jeffrey E. Harris #27166 (HC, HE) - The Economics of Time-Limited Development Options: The Case of Oil and Gas Leases
Evan M. Herrnstadt, Ryan Kellogg, and Eric Lewis #27165 (EEE, IO, PE) - Marginal Net Taxation of Americans’ Labor Supply
David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Elias Ilin, and Victor Ye #27164 (AG, LS, PE, POL) - Robbing Peter to Pay Paul: Understanding How State Tax Credits Impact Charitable Giving
Chandrayee Chatterjee, James C. Cox, Michael K. Price, and Florian Rundhammer #27163 (EEE, PE) - College Achievement and Attainment Gaps: Evidence from West Point Cadets
Dario Cestau, Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, Holger Sieg, and Carl Wojtaszek #27162 (ED, LS, PE) - When Coercive Economies Fail: The Political Economy of the US South After the Boll Weevil
James J. Feigenbaum, Soumyajit Mazumder, and Cory B. Smith #27161 (DAE, POL) - Earnings Expectations in the COVID Crisis
Augustin Landier and David Thesmar #27160 (AP, CF) - The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz #27159 (EFG, LS) - Zombie Credit and (Dis-)Inflation: Evidence from Europe
Viral V. Acharya, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert, and Christian Eufinger #27158 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Poverty, Depression, and Anxiety: Causal Evidence and Mechanisms
Matthew W. Ridley, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, and Vikram H. Patel #27157 (DEV, HC, HE) - The Winners and Losers of Immigration: Evidence from Linked Historical Data
Joseph Price, Christian vom Lehn, and Riley Wilson #27156 (DAE, LS) - Prospect Theory and Stock Market Anomalies
Nicholas C. Barberis, Lawrence J. Jin, and Baolian Wang #27155 (AP) - The Gender Gap in Tech & Competitive Work Environments? Field Experimental Evidence from an Internet-of-Things Product Development Platform
Kevin Boudreau and Nilam Kaushik #27154 (LS, PR) - Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders
William Easterly and Steven Pennings #27153 (DEV, POL) - Supply and Demand in Disaggregated Keynesian Economies with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27152 (EFG, ME) - Machine Learning in Gravity Models: An Application to Agricultural Trade
Munisamy Gopinath, Feras A. Batarseh, and Jayson Beckman #27151 (ITI) - Financial Distancing: How Venture Capital Follows the Economy Down and Curtails Innovation
Sabrina T. Howell, Josh Lerner, Ramana Nanda, and Richard R. Townsend #27150 (CF, PR) - Systemic Credit Freezes in Financial Lending Networks
Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, James Siderius, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27149 (CF, EFG) - Trade in Technology: A Potential Solution to the Food Security Challenges of the 21st Century
Thomas W. Hertel, Uris L.C. Baldos, and Keith O. Fuglie #27148 (ITI) - The Impact of Retaliatory Tariffs on Agricultural and Food Trade
Colin A. Carter and Sandro Steinbach #27147 (ITI) - Kill Zone
Sai Krishna Kamepalli, Raghuram Rajan, and Luigi Zingales #27146 (CF, IO) - Innovation and Entrepreneurship in the Energy Sector
David Popp, Jacquelyn Pless, Ivan Haščič, and Nick Johnstone #27145 (EEE, PR) - Measuring Real Consumption and CPI Bias under Lockdown Conditions
W. Erwin Diewert and Kevin J. Fox #27144 (PR)
Weekly papers released by May 11, 2020
- Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design
Scott Duke Kominers, Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, and M. Utku Ünver #27143 (HE, IO, PE) - The Use of Group-Level Approaches to Environmental and Natural Resource Policy
Matthew Kotchen and Kathleen Segerson #27142 (EEE) - The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27141 (AG, AP, CF, EFG, HE, LS, ME, PE, POL) - Entry vs. Rents
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27140 (EFG, ITI, PR) - The Darwinian Returns to Scale
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27139 (EFG, ITI, PR) - Effect of a Federal Paid Sick Leave Mandate on Working and Staying at Home: Evidence from Cellular Device Data
Martin Andersen, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael F. Pesko, and Kosali I. Simon #27138 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS) - COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock
Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, and #27137 (EFG, LS, PE) - What Keeps Stablecoins Stable?
Richard K. Lyons and Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj #27136 (AP, IFM, ME) - Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing
Steve Cicala, Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #27135 (EEE) - Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity
Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf, and Farzad Saidi #27134 (EFG, HE, IFM) - Trade and Welfare (Across Local Labor Markets)
Ryan Kim and Jonathan Vogel #27133 (ITI) - Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses
Laura Montenovo, Xuan Jiang, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27132 (HC, HE, LS) - The First Weeks of the Coronavirus Crisis: Who Got Hit, When and Why? Evidence from Norway
Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Gaute Eielsen, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjorn Raaum, and Knut Røed #27131 (EFG, LS) - Does Biology Drive Child Penalties? Evidence from Biological and Adoptive Families
Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, and Jakob Egholt Søgaard #27130 (CH, HE, LS, PE) - International Equity and Debt Flows: Composition, Crisis, and Controls
Chang Ma and Shang-Jin Wei #27129 (IFM) - Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Charles I. Jones #27128 (EFG, HC, HE) - Is the Cure Worse than the Problem Itself? Immediate Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 Case Rates and School Closures in the U.S.
Felipe Lozano Rojas, Xuan Jiang, Laura Montenovo, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27127 (HE, LS, PE) - Does Information Disclosure Improve Consumer Knowledge? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Restaurant Menu Calorie Labels
John Cawley, Alex M. Susskind, and Barton Willage #27126 (ED, HC, HE, LE, PE) - The Effects of Need-Based Financial Aid on Employment and Earnings: Experimental Evidence from the Fund for Wisconsin Scholars
Deven E. Carlson, Alex Schmidt, Sarah Souders, and Barbara L. Wolfe #27125 (CH, ED) - Covid-19, Shelter-In Place Strategies and Tipping
Zhihan Cui, Geoffrey Heal, and Howard Kunreuther #27124 (EEE, HE) - The Wealth of Generations, With Special Attention to the Millennials
William G. Gale, Hilary Gelfond, Jason J. Fichtner, and Benjamin H. Harris #27123 (AG) - The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis
Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten, Henry E. Siu, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi #27122 (EFG) - COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion
Robert S. Pindyck #27121 (EEE, EFG, HE, PE, PR) - The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality
Karen Clay, Joshua A. Lewis, Edson R. Severnini, and Xiao Wang #27120 (DAE, HC) - A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics
Peter Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27119 (DAE, HE) - Transfers vs Credit Policy: Macroeconomic Policy Trade-offs during Covid-19
Saki Bigio, Mengbo Zhang, and Eduardo Zilberman #27118 (EFG) - The Effect of Changes in Alcohol Tax Differentials on Alcohol Consumption
Markus Gehrsitz, Henry Saffer, and Michael Grossman #27117 (HE) - The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble
Markus K. Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov #27116 (AP, EFG, ME) - Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections
George J. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent #27115 (DAE, EFG) - The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment
Mary Amiti, Sang Hoon Kong, and David Weinstein #27114 (ITI) - The Macroprudential Role of Stock Markets
Kyriakos T. Chousakos, Gary B. Gorton, and Guillermo Ordoñez #27113 (AP, CF, EFG) - Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength
Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini, and Leonardo Melosi #27112 (EFG, ME) - An Economic Approach to Regulating Algorithms
Ashesh Rambachan, Jon Kleinberg, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Jens Ludwig #27111 (LE, LS, PE) - Social Security Wealth, Inequality, and Lifecycle Saving
John Sabelhaus and Alice Henriques Volz #27110 (AG, LS, PE) - Taxation and Innovation: What Do We Know?
Ufuk Akcigit and Stefanie Stantcheva #27109 (EFG, PE) - The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models
Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom, and Andrey Ermolov #27108 (AP) - Education and Innovation: The Long Shadow of the Cultural Revolution
Zhangkai Huang, Gordon M. Phillips, Jialun Yang, and Yi Zhang #27107 (CF, POL)
- How Valuable is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
Rüdiger Fahlenbrach, Kevin Rageth, and René M. Stulz #27106 (CF) - Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped?
Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio, and David G. Wiczer #27105 (EFG) - The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27104 (EFG, HE) - Economics of Research and Innovation in Agriculture
Petra Moser #27080 (DAE, PR)
Weekly papers released by May 4, 2020
- A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown
Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning, and Michael D. Whinston #27102 (EFG, HE, PE) - Changes in Black-White Inequality: Evidence from the Boll Weevil
Karen Clay, Ethan J. Schmick, and Werner Troesken #27101 (DAE, LS) - Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP and Public Health?
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27100 (EFG, HE) - Health vs. Wealth? Public Health Policies and the Economy During Covid-19
Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27099 (HE) - Office Visits Preventing Emergency Room Visits: Evidence From the Flint Water Switch
Shooshan Danagoulian, Daniel S. Grossman, and David Slusky #27098 (CH, EEE, HC, HE, PE) - Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments
Scott R. Baker, R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #27097 (AP, CF, EFG, HE, PE) - Employer Policies and the Immigrant-Native Earnings Gap
Benoit Dostie, Jiang Li, David Card, and Daniel Parent #27096 (LS) - Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target?
João Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis, and Eric Zwick #27095 (CF, LS, ME, PE) - A New Method for Estimating Teacher Value-Added
Michael Gilraine, Jiaying Gu, and Robert McMillan #27094 (ED, LS, PE) - Expected Profits and The Scientific Novelty of Innovation
David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite, and Manuel I. Hermosilla #27093 (HC, HE, PE, PR) - Measuring the Perceived Liquidity of the Corporate Bond Market
Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam #27092 (AP, CF) - When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #27091 (AG, CH, DEV, HC, HE, LE, PE) - Dropouts Need Not Apply? The Minimum Wage and Skill Upgrading
Jeffrey Clemens, Lisa B. Kahn, and Jonathan Meer #27090 (LS, PE) - Do Differences in School Quality Generate Heterogeneity in the Causal Returns to Education?
Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky #27089 (, LS) - Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment
Arvind Krishnamurthy and Wenhao Li #27088 (AP, CF, EFG) - The Value of Time: Evidence From Auctioned Cab Rides
Nicholas Buchholz, Laura Doval, Jakub Kastl, Filip Matějka, and Tobias Salz #27087 (IO) - Did COVID-19 Improve Air Quality Near Hubei?
Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, and Shuang Zhang #27086 (EEE, HE) - Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing Policies?
Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph, and Alex Weinberg #27085 (EFG, LS) - Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool
Fabio Ghironi and G. Kemal Ozhan #27084 (IFM, ME) - Steering Incentives of Platforms: Evidence from the Telecommunications Industry
Brian McManus, Aviv Nevo, Zachary Nolan, and Jonathan W. Williams #27083 (IO, PR) - Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Thiemo R. Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher P. Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz, and Erez Yoeli #27082 (DEV, HE, PE, POL) - Electricity and Firm Productivity: A General-Equilibrium Approach
Stephie Fried and David Lagakos #27081 (DEV, EEE, EFG) - Incentivizing Behavioral Change: The Role of Time Preferences
Shilpa Aggarwal, Rebecca Dizon-Ross, and Ariel D. Zucker #27079 (DEV, HC, HE, LS, PE) - Is the Supply of Charitable Donations Fixed? Evidence from Deadly Tornadoes
Tatyana Deryugina and Benjamin M. Marx #27078 (EEE, PE) - Trade Credit and the Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy
Manuel Adelino, Miguel A. Ferreira, Mariassunta Giannetti, and Pedro Pires #27077 (CF, ME) - Generosity Across the Income and Wealth Distributions
Jonathan Meer and Benjamin A. Priday #27076 (PE) - Immigration, Innovation, and Growth
Konrad B. Burchardi, Thomas Chaney, Tarek Alexander Hassan, Lisa Tarquinio, and Stephen J. Terry #27075 (DAE, EFG, IFM, POL, PR) - Optimal Bailouts and the Doom Loop with a Financial Network
Agostino Capponi, Felix C. Corell, and Joseph E. Stiglitz #27074 (TWP) - Islam and the State: Religious Education in the Age of Mass Schooling
Samuel Bazzi, Benjamin Marx, and Masyhur Hilmy #27073 (DAE, DEV, ED, LS, PE, POL) - Geographic Mobility in America: Evidence from Cell Phone Data
M. Keith Chen and Devin G. Pope #27072 (HE, LS) - Team Players: How Social Skills Improve Group Performance
Ben Weidmann and David J. Deming #27071 (ED, LS, PR) - Does Economics Make You Sexist?
Valentina A. Paredes, M. Daniele Paserman, and Francisco Pino #27070 (LS) - Inequality and the Safety Net Throughout the Income Distribution, 1929-1940
James J. Feigenbaum, Price V. Fishback, and Keoka Grayson #27069 (DAE) - Optimal Regulation of E-cigarettes: Theory and Evidence
Hunt Allcott and Charlie Rafkin #27000 (HC, HE, LE, PE) - The Environmental Bias of Trade Policy
Joseph S. Shapiro #26845 (EEE, IFM, ITI, PE, POL)
Weekly papers released by April 27, 2020
- Asian American Discrimination in Harvard Admissions
Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom #27068 (ED, LE, LS, PE) - Original Sin and the Great Depression
Michael D. Bordo and Christopher M. Meissner #27067 (DAE, IFM, ME) - Mitigating Disaster Risks to Sustain Growth
Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #27066 (AP, EEE, HE, PE) - Should the U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes?
Jonathan S. Hartley and Urban Jermann #27065 (AP, ME) - The Long and Short (Run) of Trade Elasticities
Christoph E. Boehm, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #27064 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Sequential Lifting of COVID-19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity
Adriano A. Rampini #27063 (EFG, HC, HE, PE) - Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment
Christian A. Moser and Pierre Yared #27062 (EFG, HE, POL) - Labor Demand in the Time of COVID-19: Evidence from Vacancy Postings and UI Claims
Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, and David G. Wiczer #27061 (LS) - Economic Activity and the Value of Medical Innovation during a Pandemic
Casey B. Mulligan #27060 (EFG, HE, PE) - Internal and External Effects of Social Distancing in a Pandemic
Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch, and Robert Shimer #27059 (EFG) - Corporate Taxes and Retail Prices
Scott R. Baker, Stephen Teng Sun, and Constantine Yannelis #27058 (CF, LE, LS, PE, PR) - Financial Education Affects Financial Knowledge and Downstream Behaviors
Tim Kaiser, Annamaria Lusardi, Lukas Menkhoff, and Carly J. Urban #27057 (AG) - Loan Types and the Bank Lending Channel
Victoria Ivashina, Luc Laeven, and Enrique Moral-Benito #27056 (CF, ME) - Corporate Immunity to the COVID-19 Pandemic
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27055 (CF) - Information and the Persistence of the Gender Wage Gap: Early Evidence from California's Salary History Ban
Benjamin Hansen and Drew McNichols #27054 (CH, LE, LS) - Persistence through Revolutions
Alberto F. Alesina, Marlon Seror, David Y. Yang, Yang You, and Weihong Zeng #27053 (POL) - Does the US Tax Code Favor Automation?
Daron Acemoglu, Andrea Manera, and Pascual Restrepo #27052 (EFG, LS, PE) - A Sticky-Price View of Hoarding
Christopher Hansman, Harrison Hong, Áureo de Paula, and Vishal Singh #27051 (AP, IO, ME) - It Takes a Village: The Economics of Parenting with Neighborhood and Peer Effects
Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #27050 (CH, ED) - Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities during the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919
Robert J. Barro #27049 (EFG, HE, PE) - Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk
Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Ruth A. Judson, and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr #27048 (CF, IFM, ITI) - Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic
Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig, and Taojun Xie #27047 (AG, EFG, HE, ITI, LS, PE) - Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic
Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #27046 (AG, EFG, HE, LS, PE) - Income Segregation: Up or Down, and for Whom?
John R. Logan, Andrew Foster, Hongwei Xu, and Wenquan Zhang #27045 (DEV) - A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a "Covid-19" Shock
Ricardo J. Caballero and 70 #27044 (AP, EFG, ME) - Demographic Perspectives on Mortality of Covid-19 and Other Epidemics
Joshua R. Goldstein and Ronald D. Lee #27043 (AG, HE, LS) - Which Retail Outlets Generate the Most Physical Interactions?
Avi Goldfarb and Catherine Tucker #27042 (PR) - Bilateral Information Disclosure in Adverse Selection Markets with Nonexclusive Competition
Joseph E. Stiglitz, Jungyoll Yun, and Andrew Kosenko #27041 (TWP) - Immigration Policy Levers for US Innovation and Startups
Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #27040 (LS, PR) - Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Alessandro Rebucci #27039 (EFG, HC, HE, IFM, LS, PE, POL) - Managing Intelligence: Skilled Experts and AI in Markets for Complex Products
Jonathan Gruber, Benjamin R. Handel, Samuel H. Kina, and Jonathan T. Kolstad #27038 (AG, HC, IO, PE) - Evidence on Job Search Models from a Survey of Unemployed Workers in Germany
Stefano DellaVigna, Jörg Heining, Johannes F. Schmieder, and Simon Trenkle #27037 (LS, PE) - Price Discovery and Liquidity Recovery: Forex Market Reactions to Macro Announcements
Masahiro Yamada and Takatoshi Ito #27036 (IFM, ME) - Saving for Multiple Financial Needs: Evidence from Lockboxes and Mobile Money in Malawi
Shilpa Aggarwal, Valentina Brailovskaya, and Jonathan Robinson #27035 (DEV) - Big G
Lydia Cox, Gernot Müller, Ernesto Pastén, Raphael Schoenle, and Michael Weber #27034 (AP, CF, EFG, ME, PE, POL) - Beyond Reading, Writing, and Arithmetic: The Role of Teachers and Schools in Reporting Child Maltreatment
Maria D. Fitzpatrick, Cassandra Benson, and Samuel R. Bondurant #27033 (CH, ED) - Hometown Ties and the Quality of Government Monitoring: Evidence from Rotation of Chinese Auditors
Jian Chu, Raymond Fisman, Songtao Tan, and Yongxiang Wang #27032 (CF, DEV, PE, POL) - Endogenous Education and Long-Run Factor Shares
Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield, and Thomas Sampson #27031 (EFG) - Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Donghyun Park, and Huanhuan Zheng #27030 (IFM) - Variation in Performance of Commonly Used Statistical Methods for Estimating Effectiveness of State-Level Opioid Policies on Opioid-Related Mortality
Beth Ann Griffin, Megan S. Schuler, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Stephen Patrick, Elizabeth McNeer, Rosanna Smart, David Powell, Bradley Stein, Terry Schell, and Rosalie Liccardo Pacula #27029 (HC, PE) - Estimating the Fraction of Unreported Infections in Epidemics with a Known Epicenter: an Application to COVID-19
Ali Hortaçsu, Jiarui Liu, and Timothy Schwieg #27028 (HC, HE, IO, TWP) - Tracking Public and Private Response to the COVID-19 Epidemic: Evidence from State and Local Government Actions
Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Shyam Raman, Byungkyu Lee, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27027 (HC, HE)
Weekly papers released by April 20, 2020
- Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance
J. Carter Braxton, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Gordon M. Phillips #27026 (CF, IFM, ME, POL) - Portfolio Choice with Sustainable Spending: A Model of Reaching for Yield
John Y. Campbell and Roman Sigalov #27025 (AP, ME) - On Vickrey’s Income Averaging
Stefan Steinerberger and Aleh Tsyvinski #27024 (EFG, PE) - Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari #27023 (HC, HE, TWP) - Is Financial Globalization in Reverse After the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Evidence from Corporate Valuations
Craig Doidge, G. Andrew Karolyi, and René M. Stulz #27022 (AP, CF) - The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris #27021 (HE) - Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods
Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #27020 (EFG, IFM, PE) - Covid-19: Testing Inequality in New York City
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Ken Teoh, and Martín Uribe #27019 (EFG, PE) - Lock-downs, Loneliness and Life Satisfaction
Daniel S. Hamermesh #27018 (HE, LS) - Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27017 (AG, AP, CF, EFG, LS, ME) - Market Structure and Product Assortment: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Liquor Licensure
Gastón Illanes and Sarah Moshary #27016 (IO) - Innovative Growth Accounting
Peter J. Klenow and Huiyu Li #27015 (EFG, PR) - Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information
Christiane Baumeister and James D. Hamilton #27014 (EEE, EFG, ME) - The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the "Fed Information Effect"
Michael D. Bauer and Eric T. Swanson #27013 (AP, EFG, ME) - Disputes in International Investment and Trade
Ralph Ossa, Robert W. Staiger, and Alan O. Sykes #27012 (ITI) - The Roots of Agricultural Innovation: Patent Evidence of Knowledge Spillovers
Matthew S. Clancy, Paul Heisey, Yongjie Ji, and GianCarlo Moschini #27011 (PR) - Spending Less After (Seemingly) Bad News
Mark Garmaise, Yaron Levi, and Hanno Lustig #27010 (CF, EFG) - Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
Zachary A. Bethune and Anton Korinek #27009 (DAE, EFG, HC, HE, IFM, PE) - Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
John M. Barrios and Yael Hochberg #27008 (HE, POL) - Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists
Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison #27007 (HE) - No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm
Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge A. Tamayo #27006 (DEV, LS) - Countervailing Market Power and Hospital Competition
Eric Barrette, Gautam Gowrisankaran, and Robert Town #27005 (HC, IO) - Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Marco Bassetto and Thomas J. Sargent #27004 (EFG, IFM, ME) - What’s up with the Phillips Curve?
Marco Del Negro, Michele Lenza, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #27003 (EFG, ME) - Some Unpleasant Markup Arithmetic: Production Function Elasticities and their Estimation from Production Data
Steve Bond, Arshia Hashemi, Greg Kaplan, and Piotr Zoch #27002 (EFG, IO, PR) - Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions
Christiane Baumeister, Dimitris Korobilis, and Thomas K. Lee #27001 (EEE, EFG, IFM, ME) - Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions
David Arnold, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull #26999 (LS) - Ageing-Driven Migration and Redistribution: Comparing Policy Regimes
Assaf Razin and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #26998 (IFM) - Sticky Capital Controls
Miguel Acosta-Henao, Laura Alfaro, and Andrés Fernández #26997 (IFM) - Distributing Personal Income: Trends Over Time
Dennis Fixler, Marina Gindelsky, and David Johnson #26996 (EFG) - The Macroeconomic Stabilization of Tariff Shocks: What is the Optimal Monetary Response?
Paul R. Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti #26995 (IFM, ITI) - Do People Have a Bias for Low-Deductible Insurance?
Howard Kunreuther and Mark Pauly #26994 (, HC) - In Praise of Moderation: Suggestions for the Scope and Use of Pre-Analysis Plans for RCTs in Economics
Esther Duflo, Abhijit Banerjee, Amy Finkelstein, Lawrence F. Katz, Benjamin A. Olken, and Anja Sautmann #26993 (DEV, LS, PE) - Did California’s Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Benefits
Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, and Dhaval Dave #26992 (AG, CH, DEV, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy
Joseph E. Aldy and Richard J. Zeckhauser #26991 (EEE) - Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism
Pascal J. Maenhout, Andrea Vedolin, and Hao Xing #26970 (AP)
Weekly papers released by April 13, 2020
- The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, and Johannes Stroebel #26990 (CF, EFG, HC, HE, ITI, PE, POL)
- How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey
Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #26989 (HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, PR) - The Evolving Consequences of OxyContin Reformulation on Drug Overdoses
David Powell and Rosalie Liccardo Pacula #26988 (AG, HE) - Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters
Sydney C. Ludvigson, Sai Ma, and Serena Ng #26987 (AP, EFG, HE, ME, PE, POL) - The Wealth Decumulation Behavior of the Retired Elderly in Italy: The Importance of Bequest Motives and Precautionary Saving
Luigi Ventura and Charles Yuji Horioka #26986 (AG, PE) - Risk Sharing Externalities
Luigi Bocola and Guido Lorenzoni #26985 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Optimal Mitigation Policies in a Pandemic: Social Distancing and Working from Home
Callum J. Jones, Thomas Philippon, and Venky Venkateswaran #26984 (EFG, HE, LS) - COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Stephen J. Terry #26983 (EFG) - Social Distancing, Internet Access and Inequality
Lesley Chiou and Catherine Tucker #26982 (PR) - A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown
Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, and Francesco Lippi #26981 (EFG) - Rising Burdens of Proofs and The Grand Bargain of Workers’ Compensation Laws
Andy Yuan and Price V. Fishback #26980 (LE, LS) - Every Day is Earth Day: Evidence on the Long-term Impact of Environmental Voluntarism
Daniel M. Hungerman and Vivek S. Moorthy #26979 (CH, EEE, PE) - Effects of the Affordable Care Act Dependent Coverage Mandate on Health Insurance Coverage for Individuals in Same-Sex Couples
Christopher S. Carpenter, Gilbert Gonzales Jr., Tara McKay, and Dario Sansone #26978 (HE) - News that Takes Your Breath Away: Risk Perceptions During an Outbreak of Vaping-related Lung Injuries
Dhaval M. Dave, Daniel L. Dench, Donald S. Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, and Hua Wang #26977 (CH, HC, HE, LE, PE) - The Impact of Benefit Generosity on Workers’ Compensation Claims: Evidence and Implications
Marika Cabral and Marcus Dillender #26976 (HC, LS, PE) - Relief Rally: Senators As Feckless As the Rest of Us at Stock Picking
William Belmont, Bruce Sacerdote, and Ian Van Hoek #26975 (AP, POL) - The Implications of Heterogeneity and Inequality for Asset Pricing
Stavros Panageas #26974 (AP, EFG, ME) - Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave
Christopher Busch, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova, and Zainab Iftikhar #26973 (AG, EFG, LS, PE) - Beyond Cobb-Douglas: Flexibly Estimating Matching Functions with Unobserved Matching Efficiency
Fabian Lange and Theodore Papageorgiou #26972 (EFG, LS) - Firm-level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1
Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, and Ahmed Tahoun #26971 (AP, EFG, HE, IFM, ITI, ME) - Understanding “Wage Theft”: Evasion and Avoidance Responses to Minimum Wage Increases
Jeffrey Clemens and Michael R. Strain #26969 (LS, PE) - Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?
Patrick Bolton and Marcin Kacperczyk #26968 (AP, CF, EEE) - Does EdTech Substitute for Traditional Learning? Experimental Estimates of the Educational Production Function
Eric Bettinger, Robert W. Fairlie, Anastasia Kapuza, Elena Kardanova, Prashant Loyalka, and Andrey Zakharov #26967 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE, PR) - Presence and Persistence of Poverty in U.S. Tax Data
Jeff Larrimore, Jacob Mortenson, and David Splinter #26966 (PE) - How Deadly Is COVID-19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate
Andrew Atkeson #26965 (EFG) - Technological Innovation and Labor Income Risk
Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence D. W. Schmidt, and Jae Song #26964 (AP, CF, EFG, PR) - Reversing Reserves
Parag A. Pathak, Alex Rees-Jones, and Tayfun Sönmez #26963 (ED, PE) - Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered
Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #26962 (AP, EFG, ME) - Expanding and Diversifying the Pool of Undergraduates who Study Economics: Insights from a New Introductory Course at Harvard
Amanda Bayer, Gregory Bruich, Raj Chetty, and Andrew Housiaux #26961 (ED, LS, PE) - International Trade and Social Connectedness
Michael Bailey, Abhinav Gupta, Sebastian Hillenbrand, Theresa Kuchler, Robert J. Richmond, and Johannes Stroebel #26960 (AP, CF, DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, PE, POL, PR) - The Labor Market Returns to Advanced Degrees
Joseph G. Altonji and Ling Zhong #26959 (ED, LS) - Are Corporate Payouts Abnormally High in the 2000s?
Kathleen Kahle and René M. Stulz #26958 (CF) - Is Fish Brain Food or Brain Poison? Sea Surface Temperature, Methyl-mercury and Child Cognitive Development
Mark R. Rosenzweig and Rafael J. Santos Villagran #26957 (CH, DEV) - Avoiding Traffic Congestion Externalities? The Value of Urgency
Antonio Bento, Kevin Roth, and Andrew R. Waxman #26956 (EEE, IO, PE) - Labor Market Polarization and the Great Divergence: Theory and Evidence
Donald R. Davis, Eric Mengus, and Tomasz K. Michalski #26955 (ITI, LS) - U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
Daniel Lewis, Karel Mertens, and James H. Stock #26954 (EFG, ME) - Isolating the “Tech” from EdTech: Experimental Evidence on Computer Assisted Learning in China
Yue Ma, Robert W. Fairlie, Prashant Loyalka, and Scott Rozelle #26953 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE) - Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and COVID-19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods
George J. Borjas #26952 (HE, LS) - Triage Protocol Design for Ventilator Rationing in a Pandemic: Integrating Multiple Ethical Values through Reserves
Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Unver, and M. Bumin Yenmez #26951 (HC, HE, IO, PE) - Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Matthew Gentzkow, Michael Thaler, and David Y. Yang #26946 (HC, HE, LS, PE, POL)
Weekly papers released by April 6, 2020
- Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time
Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari, Andrew N. Greenland, and Peter K. Schott #26950 (AP, IFM, ITI) - How Does Household Spending Respond to an Epidemic? Consumption During the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic
Scott R. Baker, R.A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #26949 (CF, EFG, PE) - How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home?
Jonathan I. Dingel and Brent Neiman #26948 (ITI, LS) - The Impact of COVID-19 on Gender Equality
Titan M. Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt #26947 (EFG) - The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID-19
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Kyle J. Kost, Marco C. Sammon, and Tasaneeya Viratyosin #26945 (AP, EFG) - Quitting in Protest: Presidential Policymaking and Civil Service Response
Charles Cameron and John M. de Figueiredo #26944 (LE, LS, PE) - The Murder-Suicide of the Rentier: Population Aging and the Risk Premium
Joseph Kopecky and Alan M. Taylor #26943 (AP, EFG, ME) - Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence from the Food Stamps Program
Martha J. Bailey, Hilary W. Hoynes, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Reed Walker #26942 (CH, LS, PE) - The Saving Glut of the Rich and the Rise in Household Debt
Atif R. Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi #26941 (CF, EFG, ME) - Indebted Demand
Atif R. Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi #26940 (CF, EFG, ME) - Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier
James S. Cloyne, Òscar Jordà, and Alan M. Taylor #26939 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Social Insurance and Public Assistance in the Twentieth-Century United States: 2019 Presidential Address for the Economic History Association
Price V. Fishback #26938 (DAE, PE) - The Rise of American Minimum Wages, 1912-1968
Price V. Fishback and Andrew Seltzer #26937 (DAE, LS) - Discrimination, Migration, and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from World War I
Andreas Ferrara and Price V. Fishback #26936 (DAE, LS) - Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach
Gianluca Benigno, Andrew Foerster, Christopher Otrok, and Alessandro Rebucci #26935 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics
Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor #26934 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME) - Changes in Assortative Matching and Inequality in Income: Evidence for the UK
Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, Sam Crossman, and Costas Meghir #26933 (CH, ED, LS) - Changes in Assortative Matching: Theory and Evidence for the US
Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, and Costas Meghir #26932 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Culture and Gender Allocation of Tasks: Source Country Characteristics and the Division of Non-market Work among US Immigrants
Francine D. Blau, Lawrence Kahn, Matthew L. Comey, Amanda R. Eng, Pamela A. Meyerhofer, and Alexander Willén #26931 (LS) - How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in Ghana
Katharine Baldwin, Dean Karlan, Christopher R. Udry, and Ernest Appiah #26930 (DEV, POL) - The Brazilian Bombshell? The Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way
Amanda Guimbeau, Nidhiya Menon, and Aldo Musacchio #26929 (DAE) - Aid Crowd-Out: The Effect of NGOs on Government-Provided Public Services
Erika Deserranno, Aisha Nansamba, and Nancy Qian #26928 (CH, DEV, POL) - Where Has All the Data Gone?
Maryam Farboodi, Adrien Matray, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #26927 (AP) - The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
Martha J. Bailey, John DiNardo, and Bryan A. Stuart #26926 (DAE, LS) - Public Information is an Incentive for Politicians: Experimental Evidence from Delhi Elections
Abhijit Banerjee, Nils T. Enevoldsen, Rohini Pande, and Michael Walton #26925 (DEV, PE) - Productivity Dispersion and Persistence Among the World's Most Numerous Firms
Casey C. Maue, Marshall Burke, and Kyle J. Emerick #26924 (DEV, PR) - The Economics of Tobacco Regulation: A Comprehensive Review
Philip DeCicca, Donald S. Kenkel, and Michael F. Lovenheim #26923 (HE, PE) - Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents
Giovanni Dosi, Mauro Napoletano, Andrea Roventini, Joseph E. Stiglitz, and Tania Treibich #26922 (EFG) - Environmental Preferences and Technological Choices: Is Market Competition Clean or Dirty?
Philippe Aghion, Roland Bénabou, Ralf Martin, and Alexandra Roulet #26921 (EEE, EFG, IO, PE, POL) - What Explains the Gender Gap in Wealth? Evidence from Administrative Data
Jaanika Meriküll, Merike Kukk, and Tairi Rõõm #26920 (AP) - Pareto-Improving Carbon-Risk Taxation
Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Felix Kubler, Andrey Polbin, and Simon Scheidegger #26919 (EEE, IFM, LS, PE) - Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?
Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, and Iván Werning #26918 (EFG, ME) - The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris #26917 (HC, HE)
Weekly papers released by March 30, 2020
- Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration
Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, and Mirco Tonin #26916 (HE, PE) - A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature
Javier Bianchi and Enrique G. Mendoza #26915 (IFM) - The Gender Gap in Housing Returns
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Kelly Shue #26914 (AP, CF, LS) - On the Representativeness of Voter Turnout
Louis Kaplow and Scott Duke Kominers #26913 (POL) - The Economics of Nicotine Consumption
Dean R. Lillard #26912 (HE) - Resolving the Excessive Trading Puzzle: An Integrated Approach Based on Surveys and Transactions
Hongqi Liu, Cameron Peng, Wei A. Xiong, and Wei Xiong #26911 (AP) - Do College Applicants Respond to Changes in Sticker Prices Even When They Don't Matter?
Phillip B. Levine, Jennifer Ma, and Lauren C. Russell #26910 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - The Incubator of Human Capital: The NBER and the Rise of the Human Capital Paradigm
Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz #26909 (DAE, LS) - Banking Crises without Panics
Matthew Baron, Emil Verner, and Wei Xiong #26908 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - Learning about the Neighborhood
Zhenyu Gao, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #26907 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang #26906 (HC, HE, PE) - The Political-Economy Trilemma
Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #26905 (IFM) - The Dynamic Efficiency in Resource Allocation: Evidence from Vehicle License Lotteries in Beijing
Youming Liu, Shanjun Li, and Caixia Shen #26904 (EEE, IO) - Banking without Deposits: Evidence from Shadow Bank Call Reports
Erica Jiang, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru #26903 (CF, ME) - Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus
James H. Stock #26902 (EFG) - An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine
David W. Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Simon Mongey #26901 (EFG, HC, HE) - The Economic Consequences of Data Privacy Regulation: Empirical Evidence from GDPR
Guy Aridor, Yeon-Koo Che, and Tobias Salz #26900 (IO, LE) - Externalities in International Tax Enforcement: Theory and Evidence
Thomas R. Tørsløv, Ludvig S. Wier, and Gabriel Zucman #26899 (ITI, PE) - An Analytic Framework For Interpreting Investment Regressions In The Presence Of Financial Constraints
Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #26898 (AP, CF, EFG) - The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the U.S.
Filipe R. Campante, Emilio Depetris-Chauvin, and Ruben Durante #26897 (POL) - The Effects of State Scope of Practice Laws on the Labor Supply of Advanced Practice Registered Nurses
Sara Markowitz and E. Kathleen Adams #26896 (HC, HE, LE, LS, PE) - Off to a Good Start: The NBER and the Measurement of National Income
Hugh Rockoff #26895 (DAE) - The Economics of the Fed Put
Anna Cieslak and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen #26894 (AP, EFG, ME) - Self-Citation, Cumulative Advantage, and Gender Inequality in Science
Pierre Azoulay and Freda B. Lynn #26893 (PR) - The Rise of For-Profit Experimental Medicine
Pierre Azoulay and Ariel Fishman #26892 (PR) - Paying Outsourced Labor: Direct Evidence from Linked Temp Agency-Worker-Client Data
Andres Drenik, Simon Jäger, Miguel Pascuel Plotkin, and Benjamin Schoefer #26891 (EFG, LE, LS, PR) - A New Engel on Price Index and Welfare Estimation
David Atkin, Benjamin Faber, Thibault Fally, and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro #26890 (DEV, EFG, ITI) - Scientific Grant Funding
Pierre Azoulay and Danielle Li #26889 (PR) - The Mid-Life Dip in Well-Being: Economists (Who Find It) Versus Psychologists (Who Don't)!
David G. Blanchflower and Carol L. Graham #26888 (AG, HE, LS) - Bank Stress Testing: Public Interest or Regulatory Capture?
Thomas Ian Schneider, Philip E. Strahan, and Jun Yang #26887 (CF) - Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Housing
Edward Kung #26886 (PR) - Copyright and Creativity. Evidence from Italian Opera During the Napoleonic Age
Michela Giorcelli and Petra Moser #26885 (DAE, LE, PR) - Government Incentives for Entrepreneurship
Josh Lerner #26884 (PR) - Inference for Ranks with Applications to Mobility across Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement across Countries
Magne Mogstad, Joseph P. Romano, Azeem Shaikh, and Daniel Wilhelm #26883 (CH, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by March 23, 2020
- The Macroeconomics of Epidemics
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #26882 (EFG, HE, PE) - What Do We Learn From Cross-Regional Empirical Estimates in Macroeconomics?
Adam Guren, Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #26881 (EFG, ME) - Early Childhood Education and Life-cycle Health
Jorge Luis García and James J. Heckman #26880 (CH, HC, HE) - Medical Spending, Bequests, and Asset Dynamics Around the Time of Death
John Bailey Jones, Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, Rory McGee, and Rachel Rodgers #26879 (HC, HE, PE) - Gross Worker Flows and Fluctuations in the Aggregate Labor Market
Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Richard Rogerson, and Ayşegül Şahin #26878 (EFG) - Comparing Alternative China and US Arrangements with CPTPP
Chunding Li, Xin Lin, and John Whalley #26877 (ITI) - Understanding Cross-country Differences in Health Status and Expenditures
Raquel Fonseca, François Langot, Pierre-Carl Michaud, and Thepthida Sopraseuth #26876 (AG) - Same-Sex Couples and the Marital Surplus: The Importance of the Legal Environment
Daniel S. Hamermesh and Scott Delhommer #26875 (LS) - Harry Johnson’s “Case for Flexible Exchange Rates” – 50 Years Later
Maurice Obstfeld #26874 (IFM) - Market Design, Human Behavior, and Management
Yan Chen, Peter Cramton, John A. List, and Axel Ockenfels #26873 (IO, LS) - FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research
Michael McCracken and Serena Ng #26872 (EFG, ME) - Out of the Woodwork: Enrollment Spillovers in the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment
Adam Sacarny, Katherine Baicker, and Amy Finkelstein #26871 (CH, HC, PE) - Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence
Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson, and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #26870 (HC, HE, IO, PE) - Chain Restaurant Calorie Posting Laws, Obesity, and Consumer Welfare
Charles J. Courtemanche, David E. Frisvold, David Jimenez-Gomez, Mariétou Ouayogodé, and Michael Price #26869 (HE) - Migration Costs and Observational Returns to Migration in the Developing World
David Lagakos, Samuel Marshall, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, Corey Vernot, and Michael E. Waugh #26868 (DEV, EFG, LS) - What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios
Andrew Atkeson #26867 (EFG) - The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity
Robert J. Barro, José F. Ursua, and Joanna Weng #26866 (EFG, HE, ME) - International Transactions: Real Trade and Factor Flows between 1700 and 1870
Wolfgang Keller, Markus Lampe, and Carol H. Shiue #26865 (DAE, ITI) - Can Mentoring Help Female Assistant Professors in Economics? An Evaluation by Randomized Trial
Donna K. Ginther, Janet Currie, Francine D. Blau, and Rachel Croson #26864 (ED, LS, PE) - Occupational Skill Premia around the World
David Kunst, Richard B. Freeman, and Remco Oostendorp #26863 (LS)
Weekly papers released by March 16, 2020
- Fiscal Federalism and the Budget Impacts of the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid Expansion
Jonathan Gruber and Benjamin D. Sommers #26862 (HC, HE, PE) - Reasonable Doubt: Experimental Detection of Job-Level Employment Discrimination
Patrick M. Kline and Christopher R. Walters #26861 (LE, LS, PE, TWP) - Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching
Gianluca Orefice and Giovanni Peri #26860 (IO, ITI, LS, PR) - Contagion of Fear
Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson #26859 (DAE, ME) - Wandering Astray: Teenagers' Choices of Schooling and Crime
Chao Fu, Nicolás Grau, and Jorge Rivera #26858 (ED, LE, LS, PE) - Popular Economic Narratives Advancing the Longest U.S. Economic Expansion 2009-2019
Robert J. Shiller #26857 (EFG) - Measuring the Cost of Regulation: A Text-Based Approach
Charles W. Calomiris, Harry Mamaysky, and Ruoke Yang #26856 (CF, EFG, IO, LE, POL) - Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens
Antonio Coppola, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman, and Jesse Schreger #26855 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI, LE, ME, PE) - Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization
Andrew B. Bernard, Teresa C. Fort, Valerie Smeets, and Frederic Warzynski #26854 (ITI) - Reforming Inefficient Energy Pricing: Evidence from China
Koichiro Ito and Shuang Zhang #26853 (DEV, EEE, IO) - The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack
R. Jason Faberman, Andreas I. Mueller, Ayşegül Şahin, and Giorgio Topa #26852 (EFG, ME) - Capital Flow Waves—or Ripples? Extreme Capital Flow Movements Since the Crisis
Kristin J. Forbes and Francis E. Warnock #26851 (IFM) - Unpacking Household Engel Curves
Philippe De Vreyer, Sylvie Lambert, and Martin Ravallion #26850 (DEV) - A Method to Estimate Discrete Choice Models that is Robust to Consumer Search
Jason Abaluck and Giovanni Compiani #26849 (AG, DEV, ED, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE, TWP) - The Weak State Trap
Leopoldo Fergusson, Carlos A. Molina, and James A. Robinson #26848 (POL) - The Risk of Caution: Evidence from an R&D Experiment
Richard Carson, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Jordan Louviere, Sally Sadoff, and Jeffrey G. Shrader Jr #26847 (PR) - Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S.
Pragya Kakani, Michael Chernew, and Amitabh Chandra #26846 (HC, IO, PR) - Perceived Precautionary Savings Motives: Evidence from FinTech
Francesco D’Acunto, Thomas Rauter, Christoph K. Scheuch, and Michael Weber #26817 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
Weekly papers released by March 9, 2020
- Searching for STARs: Work Experience as a Job Market Signal for Workers without Bachelors Degrees
Peter Q. Blair, Tomas G. Castagnino, Erica Groshen, Papia Debroy, Byron Auguste, Shad Ahmed, Fernando Garcia Diaz, and Cristian Bonavida #26844 (ED, LS, PR) - The International Market for Corporate Control
Anusha Chari #26843 (CF, IFM, ITI) - How Developmental Neuroscience Can Help Address the Problem of Child Poverty
Seth Pollak and Barbara L. Wolfe #26842 (HC) - Administrative Discretion in Scientific Funding: Evidence from a Prestigious Postdoctoral Training Program
Donna K. Ginther and Misty L. Heggeness #26841 (LS, PR) - Happiness and the Quality of Government
John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang, and Shun Wang #26840 (LE, PE, POL) - Urbanization and its Discontents
Edward L. Glaeser #26839 (PE) - Rising Bank Concentration
Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo #26838 (CF, EFG, IO, ME) - Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap
Francesco D’Acunto, Ulrike Malmendier, and Michael Weber #26837 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Education and Health Over the Life Cycle
Robert Kaestner, Cuiping Schiman, and Jason M. Ward #26836 (AG, HC, HE) - The Effect of Open-Air Waste Burning on Infant Health: Evidence from Government Failure in Lebanon
Pierre Mouganie, Ruba Ajeeb, and Mark Hoekstra #26835 (CH, DEV, HE) - Integrating Refugees: Language Training or Work-First Incentives?
Jacob Nielsen Arendt, Iben Bolvig, Mette Foged, Linea Hasager, and Giovanni Peri #26834 (LS, PE) - Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Housing
Klaus Adam and Michael Woodford #26833 (ME) - Mandated Sick Pay: Coverage, Utilization, and Welfare Effects
Johanna Catherine Maclean, Stefan Pichler, and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #26832 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE) - When a Master Dies: Speculation and Asset Float
Julien Pénasse, Luc Renneboog, and José A. Scheinkman #26831 (AP) - A Quantitative Analysis of Distortions in Managerial Forecasts
Yueran Ma, Tiziano Ropele, David Sraer, and David Thesmar #26830 (CF, EFG, PR) - Convex Supply Curves
Christoph Boehm and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26829 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Market Fragmentation
Daniel Chen and Darrell Duffie #26828 (EFG) - The Structure of Multinational Firms' International Activities
Ronald B. Davies and James R. Markusen #26827 (ITI) - Online Estimation of DSGE Models
Michael D. Cai, Marco Del Negro, Edward P. Herbst, Ethan Matlin, Reca Sarfati, and Frank Schorfheide #26826 (EFG, ME) - Terrorist Attacks, Cultural Incidents and the Vote for Radical Parties: Analyzing Text from Twitter
Francesco Giavazzi, Felix Iglhaut, Giacomo Lemoli, and Gaia Rubera #26825 (POL) - A Model of Scientific Communication
Isaiah Andrews and Jesse M. Shapiro #26824 (TWP) - Risks to Human Capital
Mehran Ebrahimian and Jessica Wachter #26823 (AP) - The Effects of Professor Gender on the Post-Graduation Outcomes of Female Students
Hani Mansour, Daniel I. Rees, Bryson M. Rintala, and Nathan N. Wozny #26822 (ED, LS) - Winners and Losers? The Effect of Gaining and Losing Access to Selective Colleges on Education and Labor Market Outcomes
Sandra E. Black, Jeffrey T. Denning, and Jesse Rothstein #26821 (ED, LS) - Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms
Peter Bednarek, Daniel Marcel te Kaat, Chang Ma, and Alessandro Rebucci #26820 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - The Green Books and the Geography of Segregation in Public Accommodations
Lisa D. Cook, Maggie E.C. Jones, David Rosé, and Trevon D. Logan #26819 (DAE) - The Long-lasting Effects of Living under Communism on Attitudes towards Financial Markets
Christine Laudenbach, Ulrike Malmendier, and Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi #26818 (AG, CF, POL) - A Model of Cryptocurrencies
Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong #26816 (AP, CF, IFM, ME) - Overpricing in China’s Corporate Bond Market
Yi Ding, Wei Xiong, and Jinfan Zhang #26815 (AP, CF) - Contingent Linear Financial Networks
Bomin Jiang, Roberto Rigobon, and Munther A. Dahleh #26814 (IFM) - Leverage Dynamics and Financial Flexibility
Patrick Bolton, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #26802 (AP, CF) - The Financial Center Leverage Cycle: Does it Spread Around the World?
Graciela L. Kaminsky, Leandro Medina, and Shiyi Wang #26793 (IFM)
Weekly papers released by March 2, 2020
- Early Childhood Care and Cognitive Development
Juan Chaparro, Aaron Sojourner, and Matthew J. Wiswall #26813 (CH) - Prices and Federal Policies in Opioid Markets
Casey B. Mulligan #26812 (HE, PE) - Intended and Unintended Effects of Banning Menthol Cigarettes
Christopher Carpenter and Hai V. Nguyen #26811 (HE) - Human Capital as Engine of Growth – The Role of Knowledge Transfers in Promoting Balanced Growth Within and Across Countries
Isaac Ehrlich and Yun Pei #26810 (ED, EFG, HE, ITI, PR) - Trust and Saving in Financial Institutions
Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, and Camila Navajas Ahumada #26809 (DEV) - What Determines Consumer Financial Distress? Place- and Person-Based Factors
Benjamin J. Keys, Neale Mahoney, and Hanbin Yang #26808 (CF, IO, LS, PE) - Does Information About Climate Risk Affect Property Values?
Miyuki Hino and Marshall Burke #26807 (EEE) - Network-Based Hiring: Local Benefits; Global Costs
Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Melanie Morten, and Alessandra Peter #26806 (DEV, LS, PE, PR) - Housing Discrimination and Pollution Exposures in the United States
Peter Christensen, Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri, and Christopher Timmins #26805 (EEE) - The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles
Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, and Andrew J. Yates #26804 (EEE) - Utilization-Adjusted TFP Across Countries: Measurement and Implications for International Comovement
Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26803 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - A New Mechanism to Alleviate the Crises of Confidence in Science-With An Application to the Public Goods Game
Luigi Butera, Philip J. Grossman, Daniel Houser, John A. List, and Marie-Claire Villeval #26801 (EEE, IO, PE) - Markups, Labor Market Inequality and the Nature of Work
Greg Kaplan and Piotr Zoch #26800 (EFG, IO, ME) - Secured Credit Spread
Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar, and Raghuram Rajan #26799 (AP, CF, ME) - Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok, and Eswar S. Prasad #26798 (IFM) - Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance, and the Exchange Rate
Jordi Galí #26797 (IFM, ME) - Monetary Policy and Bubbles in a New Keynesian Model with Overlapping Generations
Jordi Galí #26796 (, ME, EFG) - Random-Coefficients Logit Demand Estimation with Zero-Valued Market Shares
Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Ali Hortaçsu, and Joonhwi Joo #26795 (IO) - Intertemporal Price Discrimination in Sequential Quantity-Price Games
James D. Dana Jr. and Kevin R. Williams #26794 (IO) - The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang, and Xian Wu #26792 (AP, ME, IFM) - 21st Century Macro
Narayana R. Kocherlakota #26791 (EFG, ME) - How do U.S. Visa Policies Affect Unauthorized Immigration?
Brian K. Kovak and Rebecca Lessem #26790 (ITI, LS) - Take the Q Train: Value Capture of Public Infrastructure Projects
Arpit Gupta, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Constantine Kontokosta #26789 (AP, CF, PE) - Across-Country Wage Compression in Multinationals
Jonas Hjort, Xuan Li, and Heather Sarsons #26788 (DEV, LS) - Does Student Loan Forgiveness Drive Disability Application?
Philip Armour and Melanie A. Zaber #26787 (PE) - Between Firm Changes in Earnings Inequality: The Dominant Role of Industry Effects
John C. Haltiwanger and James R. Spletzer #26786 (EFG, LS, PR) - The Role of Heterogeneous Risk Preferences, Discount Rates, and Earnings Expectations in College Major Choice
Arpita Patnaik, Joanna Venator, Matthew Wiswall, and Basit Zafar #26785 (ED, LS) - Can Low Retirement Savings Be Rationalized?
Jason S. Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita N. Slavov, and John G. Watson #26784 (AG) - The Cost of Convenience: Ridehailing and Traffic Fatalities
John M. Barrios, Yael Hochberg, and Hanyi Yi #26783 (PR)
Weekly papers released by February 24, 2020
- Media Competition and News Diets
Charles Angelucci, Julia Cagé, and Michael Sinkinson #26782 (IO) - Votes For Women: An Economic Perspective on Women’s Enfranchisement
Carolyn Moehling and Melissa A. Thomasson #26781 (DAE) - Cigarette Taxes and Teen Marijuana Use
D. Mark Anderson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #26780 (HE) - Drinking and Driving
Frank A. Sloan #26779 (HE) - Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #26778 (AP, CF, EFG, ME) - Anti-Bullying Laws and Suicidal Behaviors among Teenagers
Daniel I. Rees, Joseph J. Sabia, and Gokhan Kumpas #26777 (HE) - Digitization and Pre-Purchase Information: The Causal and Welfare Impacts of Reviews and Crowd Ratings
Imke C. Reimers and Joel Waldfogel #26776 (IO) - Advance Market Commitments: Insights from Theory and Experience
Michael Kremer, Jonathan D. Levin, and Christopher M. Snyder #26775 (CH, DEV, HE, IO, LE, PE, POL, PR) - Does Race Matter for Police Use of Force? Evidence from 911 Calls
Mark Hoekstra and CarlyWill Sloan #26774 (LE, LS) - Beyond Basis Basics: Leverage Demand and Deviations from the Law of One Price
Todd M. Hazelkorn, Tobias J. Moskowitz, and Kaushik Vasudevan #26773 (AP, IFM) - Confirmatory Bias in Health Decisions: Evidence from the MMR-Autism Controversy
Mengcen Qian, Shin-Yi Chou, and Ernest K. Lai #26772 (HE) - Information Acquisition, Efficiency, and Non-Fundamental Volatility
Benjamin M. Hébert and Jennifer La'O #26771 (EFG) - A Method to Construct Geographical Crosswalks with an Application to US Counties since 1790
Fabian Eckert, Andrés Gvirtz, Jack Liang, and Michael Peters #26770 (DAE, DEV, EFG, ITI) - Medicaid Physician Fees and Access to Care among Children with Special Health Care Needs
Pinka Chatterji, Sandra Decker, and Jason U. Huh #26769 (HE) - Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana #26768 (EFG) - The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Latent Medium of Exchange
Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #26756 (EFG, ME)
Weekly papers released by February 17, 2020
- Immigration Lottery Design: Engineered and Coincidental Consequences of H-1B Reforms
Parag A. Pathak, Alex Rees-Jones, and Tayfun Sönmez #26767 (LS) - When and How to Use Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure: Lessons From the International Experience
Eduardo Engel, Ronald D. Fischer, and Alexander Galetovic #26766 (PE) - Estimating Dynamic Games of Oligopolistic Competition: An Experimental Investigation
Tobias Salz and Emanuel Vespa #26765 (IO) - Long-run Trends in the U.S. SES-Achievement Gap
Eric A. Hanushek, Paul E. Peterson, Laura M. Talpey, and Ludger Woessmann #26764 (CH, ED, LS, PE) - Were Jews in Interwar Poland More Educated?
Ran Abramitzky and Hanna Halaburda #26763 (DAE) - The Corporate Finance of Multinational Firms
Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang, and Michael S. Weisbach #26762 (CF) - Partial Identification and Inference for Dynamic Models and Counterfactuals
Myrto Kalouptsidi, Yuichi Kitamura, Lucas Lima, and Eduardo A. Souza-Rodrigues #26761 (IO, ITI) - Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?
Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff #26760 (IFM, ME) - School Effects on Socio-emotional Development, School-Based Arrests, and Educational Attainment
C. Kirabo Jackson, Shanette C. Porter, John Q. Easton, Alyssa Blanchard, and Sebastián Kiguel #26759 (CH, ED, LS) - Effects of Scaling Up Private School Choice Programs on Public School Students
David N. Figlio, Cassandra M.D. Hart, and Krzysztof Karbownik #26758 (CH, ED) - Social Groups and the Effectiveness of Protests
Marco Battaglini, Rebecca B. Morton, and Eleonora Patacchini #26757 (POL) - The Limits of onetary Economics<.i>: On Money as a Latent Medium of Exchange
Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #26756 (EFG, ME) - Can Investors Time Their Exposure to Private Equity?
Gregory Brown, Robert S. Harris, Wendy Hu, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan, and David T. Robinson #26755 (CF) - Historical Natural Experiments: Bridging Economics and Economic History
Davide Cantoni and Noam Yuchtman #26754 (DAE, DEV, LS, POL) - Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Banking For All?
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Daniel Sanches, Linda Schilling, and Harald Uhlig #26753 (EFG) - Stagnation and Scientific Incentives
Jay Bhattacharya and Mikko Packalen #26752 (HE, PR) - Drug Firms' Payments and Physicians' Prescribing Behavior in Medicare Part D
Colleen Carey, Ethan M.J. Lieber, and Sarah Miller #26751 (HC) - An Exploration of Trend-Cycle Decomposition Methodologies in Simulated Data
Robert J. Hodrick #26750 (EFG) - Effect of Prescription Opioids and Prescription Opioid Control Policies on Infant Health
Engy Ziedan and Robert Kaestner #26749 (CH, HC, HE, PE) - The Determinants of Income Segregation and Intergenerational Mobility: Using Test Scores to Measure Undermatching
Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Emmanuel Saez, Nicholas Turner, and Danny Yagan #26748 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
Weekly papers released by February 10, 2020
- College Attainment, Income Inequality, and Economic Security: A Simulation Exercise
Brad Hershbein, Melissa Schettini Kearney, and Luke W. Pardue #26747 (ED, LS, PE) - The Economic Consequences of Increasing Sleep Among the Urban Poor
Pedro Bessone, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, Heather Schofield, and Mattie Toma #26746 (DEV, HE, LS) - A Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy with Partially-Repaid Long-Term Debt
John H. Cochrane #26745 (AP, EFG, ME) - Identity Verification Standards in Welfare Programs: Experimental Evidence from India
Karthik Muralidharan, Paul Niehaus, and Sandip Sukhtankar #26744 (DEV, PE, POL) - Neighborhood-Based Information Costs
Benjamin M. Hébert and Michael Woodford #26743 (ME, TWP) - Ethnic Attrition, Assimilation, and the Measured Health Outcomes of Mexican Americans
Francisca M. Antman, Brian Duncan, and Stephen J. Trejo #26742 (LS) - Gains from Trade: Does Sectoral Heterogeneity Matter?
Rahul Giri, Kei-Mu Yi, and Hakan Yilmazkuday #26741 (ITI) - Inflation and the Price of Real Assets
Matteo Leombroni, Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider, and Ciaran Rogers #26740 (AP, EFG) - Technological Innovation and Discrimination in Household Finance
Adair Morse and Karen Pence #26739 (CF, LE) - Competing with Robots: Firm-Level Evidence from France
Daron Acemoglu, Claire LeLarge, and Pascual Restrepo #26738 (EFG, LS) - The Effects of Prize Structures on Innovative Performance
Joshua Graff Zivin and Elizabeth Lyons #26737 (LS, PR) - Simplifying and Improving the Performance of Risk Adjustment Systems
Thomas G. McGuire, Anna L. Zink, and Sherri Rose #26736 (HC, HE) - Physician Health Management Skills and Patient Outcomes
Emilia Simeonova, Niels Skipper, and Peter R. Thingholm #26735 (AG, HC, HE) - Correlation Neglect in Student-to-School Matching
Alex Rees-Jones, Ran Shorrer, and Chloe J. Tergiman #26734 (ED, PE) - The Allocation of Authority in Organizations: A Field Experiment with Bureaucrats
Oriana Bandiera, Michael Carlos Best, Adnan Qadir Khan, and Andrea Prat #26733 (DEV, PE, POL) - Not Playing Favorites: An Experiment on Parental Fairness Preferences
James Berry, Rebecca Dizon-Ross, and Maulik Jagnani #26732 (CH, DEV, ED) - Globotics and Development: When Manufacturing is Jobless and Services are Tradable
Richard Baldwin and Rikard Forslid #26731 (IFM, ITI) - Decentralized Targeting of Agricultural Credit Programs: Private versus Political Intermediaries
Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee, and Sujata Visaria #26730 (DEV, POL) - The Demand for Interns
David A. Jaeger, John M. Nunley, Alan Seals, and Eric J. Wilbrandt #26729 (LS) - Not All School Shootings are the Same and the Differences Matter
Phillip B. Levine and Robin McKnight #26728 (CH, ED, LS) - Are Large Deficits and Debt Dangerous?
Michael J. Boskin #26727 (PE) - The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data
Chad D. Cotti, Charles J. Courtemanche, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erik T. Nesson, Michael F. Pesko, and Nathan Tefft #26724 (HE)
Weekly papers released by February 3, 2020
- Professional Interactions and Hiring Decisions: Evidence from the Federal Judiciary
Marco Battaglini, Jorgen M. Harris, and Eleonora Patacchini #26726 (LS) - Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? Unintended Effects of Payment Reform in a Quantity-based Transfer Program
Katherine Meckel #26725 (CH, PE) - The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data
Chad D. Cotti, Charles J. Courtemanche, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erik T. Nesson, Michael Francis Pesko, and Nathan Tefft #26724 (HE) - Why is Unemployment so Countercyclical?
Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt #26723 (EFG) - Hours and Wages
Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, and Richard Rogerson #26722 (EFG) - Risk Premium Shocks Can Create Inefficient Recessions
Sebastian Di Tella and Robert E. Hall #26721 (AP, EFG, PE) - Structural Reforms and Elections: Evidence from a World-Wide New Dataset
Alberto F. Alesina, Davide Furceri, Jonathan D. Ostry, Chris Papageorgiou, and Dennis P. Quinn #26720 (POL) - The Wage Penalty of Regional Accents
Jeffrey Grogger, Andreas Steinmayr, and Joachim Winter #26719 (LS) - Efficiency Versus Equity in the Provision of In-Kind Benefits: Evidence from Cost Containment in the California WIC Program
Katherine Meckel, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Lindsey M. Uniat #26718 (CH, PE) - Do Cash Windfalls Affect Wages? Evidence from R&D Grants to Small Firms
Sabrina T. Howell and J. David Brown #26717 (CF, EEE, LS, PE, PR) - Forecasting the Results of Experiments: Piloting an Elicitation Strategy
Stefano DellaVigna, Nicholas Otis, and Eva Vivalt #26716 (DEV, LS) - Technology and Big Data Are Changing Economics: Mining Text to Track Methods
Janet Currie, Henrik Kleven, and Esmée Zwiers #26715 (AG, CH, DEV, ED, EEE, HC, HE, IO, ITI, LS, PE, POL) - Global Effects of the Brexit Referendum: Evidence from US Corporations
Murillo Campello, Gustavo S. Cortes, Fabricio d'Almeida, and Gaurav Kankanhalli #26714 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI) - Interaction of the Labor Market and the Health Insurance System: Employer-Sponsored, Individual, and Public Insurance
Naoki Aizawa and Chao Fu #26713 (LS) - Economic Incentives Surrounding Fertility: Evidence from Alaska's Permanent Fund Dividend
Nishant Yonzan, Laxman Timilsina, and Inas Rashad Kelly #26712 (HE, PE) - Misallocation or Mismeasurement?
Mark Bils, Peter J. Klenow, and Cian Ruane #26711 (EFG, PR) - Countercyclical Capital Buffers: A Cautionary Tale
Christoffer Koch, Gary Richardson, and Patrick Van Horn #26710 (CF, DAE) - A Century of the American Woman Voter: Sex Gaps in Political Participation, Preferences, and Partisanship Since Women’s Enfranchisement
Elizabeth U. Cascio and Na’ama Shenhav #26709 (CH, DAE, ED, LS, POL) - Factor Timing
Valentin Haddad, Serhiy Kozak, and Shrihari Santosh #26708 (AP) - Did Mutual Fund Return Persistence Persist?
James J. Choi and Kevin Zhao #26707 (AP) - The Aggregate Consequences of Default Risk: Evidence from Firm-level Data
Timothy J. Besley, Isabelle A. Roland, and John Van Reenen #26686 (CF, EFG, PR)
Weekly papers released by January 27, 2020
- Execution Risk and Arbitrage Opportunities in the Foreign Exchange Markets
Takatoshi Ito, Kenta Yamada, Misako Takayasu, and Hideki Takayasu #26706 (IFM) - Extending the Race between Education and Technology
David Autor, Claudia Goldin, and Lawrence F. Katz #26705 (LS) - Dynamic Taxation
Stefanie Stantcheva #26704 (EFG, PE) - Ask and You Shall Receive? Gender Differences in Regrades in College
Cher Hsuehhsiang Li and Basit Zafar #26703 (ED, LS) - The Past and Future of Econ 101: The John R. Commons Award Lecture
N. Gregory Mankiw #26702 (EFG) - Leverage and Asset Prices: An Experiment.
Marco Cipriani, Ana Fostel, and Daniel Houser #26701 (AP, IFM, ME) - Should the Government be Paying Investment Fees on $3 Trillion of Tax-Deferred Retirement Assets?
Mattia Landoni and Stephen P. Zeldes #26700 (AG, PE) - Linguistic Traits and Human Capital Formation
Oded Galor, Ömer Özak, and Assaf Sarid #26699 (DEV, ED, EFG) - Factor Market Failures and the Adoption of Irrigation in Rwanda
Maria Jones, Florence Kondylis, John Loeser, and Jeremy Magruder #26698 (DEV) - Do Elections Make You Sick?
Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer #26697 (HC, HE, POL) - The Employment Effects of the Social Security Earnings Test
Alexander M. Gelber, Damon Jones, Daniel W. Sacks, and Jae Song #26696 (AG, LS, PE) - Regional Monetary Policies and the Great Depression
Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi, Gustavo S. Cortes, and Marc D. Weidenmier #26695 (DAE, ME) - Changing Stability in U.S. Employment Relationships: A Tale of Two Tails
Raven Molloy, Christopher Smith, and Abigail K. Wozniak #26694 (AG, DAE, EFG, LS) - Information and Social Norms: Experimental Evidence on the Labor Market Aspirations of Saudi Women
Monira Essa Aloud, Sara Al-Rashood, Ina Ganguli, and Basit Zafar #26693 (DEV, LS) - Cigarette Taxes and Smoking Among Sexual Minority Adults
Christopher Carpenter and Dario Sansone #26692 (HE) - Effects of the Minimum Wage on Child Health
George Wehby, Robert Kaestner, Wei Lyu, and Dhaval M. Dave #26691 (CH, DEV, HC, HE, LS, PE) - The State of Mental Health Among the Elderly Chinese
Yi Chen and Hanming Fang #26690 (DEV, HC, HE, PE) - Optimal Bank Regulation In the Presence of Credit and Run-Risk
Anil K. Kashyap, Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, and Alexandros P. Vardoulakis #26689 (CF, ME) - Academic Engagement, Commercialization, and Scholarship: Empirical Evidence from Agricultural and Life Scientists at U.S. Land-grant Universities
Bradford L. Barham, Jeremy D. Foltz, and Ana Paula Melo #26688 (PR) - Looking Back at Fifty Years of the Clean Air Act
Joseph E. Aldy, Maximilian Auffhammer, Maureen L. Cropper, Arthur G. Fraas, and Richard Morgenstern #26687 (EEE)
Weekly papers released by January 20, 2020
- College Access and Adult Health
Benjamin W. Cowan and Nathan Tefft #26685 (ED, HE) - Target Date Funds and Portfolio Choice in 401(k) Plans
Olivia S. Mitchell and Stephen Utkus #26684 (AG, LS) - A Unified Perspective on Efficiency, Redistribution, and Public Policy
Louis Kaplow #26683 (PE) - Inequality, Information Failures, and Air Pollution
Catherine Hausman and Samuel Stolper #26682 (EEE) - Unpacking Skill Bias: Automation and New Tasks
Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #26681 (, , EFG, LS) - Structural Increases in Skill Demand after the Great Recession
Peter Q. Blair and David J. Deming #26680 (ED, LS, PR) - Demand Shocks, Procurement Policies, and the Nature of Medical Innovation: Evidence from Wartime Prosthetic Device Patents
Jeffrey Clemens and Parker Rogers #26679 (AG, DAE, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE, PR) - Finance and Children’s Academic Performance
Qing Hu, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Mingzhu Tai #26678 (CF, CH, ED, LS) - The cost of being too patient
Paola Giuliano and Paola Sapienza #26677 (POL) - States Taking the Reins? Employment Verification Requirements and Local Labor Market Outcomes
Shalise Ayromloo, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Darren Lubotsky #26676 (LS) - The Polarization of Reality
Alberto F. Alesina, Armando Miano, and Stefanie Stantcheva #26675 (PE, POL) - Caught between Cultures: Unintended Consequences of Improving Opportunity for Immigrant Girls
Gordon B. Dahl, Cristina Felfe, Paul Frijters, and Helmut Rainer #26674 (CH, LS, PE, POL) - The Allocation of Decision Authority to Human and Artificial Intelligence
Susan C. Athey, Kevin A. Bryan, and Joshua S. Gans #26673 (PR) - In Praise of Confidence Intervals
David Romer #26672 (EFG, LS, ME) - Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies (NK-Default)
Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #26671 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Time Spent Exercising and Obesity: An Application of Lewbel’s Instrumental Variables Method
Charles J. Courtemanche, Joshua C. Pinkston, and Jay Stewart #26670 (HE) - Cross-Country Trends in Affective Polarization
Levi Boxell, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro #26669 (POL) - The Consumption Effects of the Disposition to Sell Winners and Hold Losers
Benjamin Loos, Steffen Meyer, and Michaela Pagel #26668 (AP) - Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions
Harold L. Cole, Dirk Krueger, George J. Mailath, and Yena Park #26667 (EFG, IFM, PE, POL) - The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy
Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor #26666 (DAE, EFG, IFM, ME) - Product Innovation, Product Diversification, and Firm Growth: Evidence from Japan’s Early Industrialization
Serguey Braguinsky, Atsushi Ohyama, Tetsuji Okazaki, and Chad Syverson #26665 (EFG, IO, ITI, PR) - Associative Memory and Belief Formation
Benjamin Enke, Frederik Schwerter, and Florian Zimmermann #26664 (POL) - Private Money Production without Banks
Gary B. Gorton #26663 (AP, CF, ME) - The Economic Consequences of Being Denied an Abortion
Sarah Miller, Laura R. Wherry, and Diana Greene Foster #26662 (CH, HC, HE) - Microentrepreneurship in Developing Countries
Seema Jayachandran #26661 (DEV, EFG, PR) - Workplace Knowledge Flows
Jason Sandvik, Richard Saouma, Nathan Seegert, and Christopher T. Stanton #26660 (LS, PR) - What Caused Racial Disparities in Particulate Exposure to Fall? New Evidence from the Clean Air Act and Satellite-Based Measures of Air Quality
Janet Currie, John Voorheis, and Reed Walker #26659 (CH, EEE, HE, LS, PE) - Growth, Automation and the Long Run Share of Labor
Debraj Ray ⓡ and Dilip Mookherjee #26658 (DEV, LS, PR) - Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve
Lars E.O. Svensson #26657 (ME) - The Structure of Economic News
Leland Bybee, Bryan T. Kelly, Asaf Manela, and Dacheng Xiu #26648 (AP, EFG, POL)
- Equilibrium Consequences of Corruption on Firms: Evidence from China’s Anti-Corruption Campaign
Haoyuan Ding, Hanming Fang, Shu Lin, and Kang Shi #26656 (DEV, PE) - Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets
Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #26655 (EFG, ME, PE) - Political Activism and the Provision of Dynamic Incentives
Antoine Camous and Russell Cooper #26654 (EFG) - Do Firm Effects Drift? Evidence from Washington Administrative Data
Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas, Raffaele D. Saggio, and Stephen A. Woodbury #26653 (LS) - The Economic Consequences of Political Hierarchy: Evidence from Regime Changes in China, AD1000-2000
Ying Bai and Ruixue Jia #26652 (PE, POL) - The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population
Charles I. Jones #26651 (EFG, PR) - A Skeptic's Guide to Modern Monetary Theory
N. Gregory Mankiw #26650 (EFG, ME) - Can Re-Enrollment Campaigns Help Dropouts Return to College? Evidence from Florida Community Colleges
Justin C. Ortagus, Melvin J. Tanner, and Isaac McFarlin Jr. #26649 (ED) - Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in an Estimated HANK Model
Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub #26647 (EFG, ME) - Quantum Prices
Diego Aparicio and Roberto Rigobon #26646 (IFM, ME) - Real Effects of Search Frictions in Consumer Credit Markets
Bronson Argyle, Taylor D. Nadauld, and Christopher Palmer #26645 (CF, IO, PE) - Japanese Foreign Exchange Interventions, 1971-2018: Estimating a Reaction Function Using the Best Proxy
Takatoshi Ito and Tomoyoshi Yabu #26644 (IFM) - Who Are the Hand-to-Mouth
Mark A. Aguiar, Mark Bils, and Corina Boar #26643 (EFG) - Unhappiness and age
David G. Blanchflower #26642 (DEV, LS) - Is Happiness U-shaped Everywhere? Age and Subjective Well-being in 132 Countries
David G. Blanchflower #26641 (LS) - Using Payroll Tax Variation to Unpack the Black Box of Firm-Level Production
Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju #26640 (PE, AG) - The Effects of Income on Children’s Health: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income Eligibility under New York State Medicaid
Hansoo Ko, Renata E. Howland, and Sherry A. Glied #26639 (HE) - Socioeconomic Decline and Death: Midlife Impacts of Graduating in a Recession
Hannes Schwandt and Till M. von Wachter #26638 (AG, HE, LS) - The Decline of Secured Debt
Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar, and Raghuram Rajan #26637 (CF, DAE, EFG, LE) - Farm Profits, Prices and Household Behavior
Daniel R. LaFave, Evan D. Peet, and Duncan Thomas #26636 (DEV) - Dynastic Precautionary Savings
Corina Boar #26635 (AG, EFG) - The Impact of Deunionization on the Growth and Dispersion of Productivity and Pay
Giovanni Dosi, Richard B. Freeman, Marcelo C. Pereira, Andrea Roventini, and Maria Enrica Virgillito #26634 (LS) - How Are Employers Responding to an Aging Workforce?
Robert L. Clark and Beth M. Ritter #26633 (AG) - Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns
Fabian Eckert, Teresa C. Fort, Peter K. Schott, and Natalie J. Yang #26632 (DAE, ITI, LS, PR) - Transparency in Structural Research
Isaiah Andrews, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro #26631 (IO, TWP) - Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area
Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani, and Giovanni L. Violante #26630 (EFG, ME) - How Does State-Level Carbon Pricing in the United States Affect Industrial Competitiveness?
Brendan J. Casey, Wayne B. Gray, Joshua Linn, and Richard Morgenstern #26629 (EEE) - Precautionary Saving in a Financially-Constrained Firm
Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #26628 (CF, EFG) - How Do Employers Use Compensation History?: Evidence From a Field Experiment
Moshe A. Barach and John J. Horton #26627 (LS) - Consumer Protection in an Online World: An Analysis of Occupational Licensing
Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, Bradley Larsen, and Erik Brynjolfsson #26601 (IO, LE, LS, PR)
- Cross-Asset Information Synergy in Mutual Fund Families
Jun Kyung Auh and Jennie Bai #26626 (AP) - Technological Transitions with Skill Heterogeneity Across Generations
Rodrigo Adão, Martin Beraja, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26625 (EFG, ITI, LS) - Combining Matching and Synthetic Controls to Trade off Biases from Extrapolation and Interpolation
Maxwell Kellogg, Magne Mogstad, Guillaume Pouliot, and Alexander Torgovitsky #26624 (LS, PE) - Age Discrimination in Hiring: Evidence from Age-Blind vs. Non-Age-Blind Hiring Procedures
David Neumark #26623 (AG, LS) - Is Parental Leave Costly for Firms and Coworkers?
Anne A. Brenøe, Serena P. Canaan, Nikolaj A. Harmon, and Heather N. Royer #26622 (CH, HE, LS, PE) - The Impact of Bequest Motives on Retirement Behavior in Japan: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis
Charles Yuji Horioka, Emin Gahramanov, Aziz Hayat, and Xueli Tang #26621 (AG, LS, PE) - Diversity, Immigration, and Redistribution
Alberto F. Alesina and Stefanie Stantcheva #26620 (PE, POL) - The Negative Consequences of Loss-Framed Performance Incentives
Lamar Pierce, Alex Rees-Jones, and Charlotte Blank #26619 (LS, PE) - Does the Marginal Hospitalization Save Lives? The Case of Respiratory Admissions for the Elderly
Janet Currie and David Slusky #26618 (AG, HC, HE) - Why Firms Offer Paid Parental Leave: An Exploratory Study
Claudia Goldin, Sari Pekkala Kerr, and Claudia Olivetti #26617 (CH, DAE, LS) - Are Political and Charitable Giving Substitutes? Evidence from the United States
Maria Petrova, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Andrei Simonov, and Pinar Yildirim #26616 (PE, POL) - Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh
M. Shahe Emran, Dilip Mookherjee, Forhad Shilpi, and M. Helal Uddin #26615 (DEV, IO, ITI) - Is Scholarly Refereeing Productive (at the Margin)?
Aboozar Hadavand, Daniel S. Hamermesh, and Wesley W. Wilson #26614 (LS) - Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #26613 (EFG, IFM) - Contract Work at Older Ages
Katharine G. Abraham, Brad Hershbein, and Susan Houseman #26612 (AG, LS) - Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism
Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal, and Ryan Monarch #26611 (IFM, ITI, PE) - Who's Paying for the US Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective
Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding, and David E. Weinstein #26610 (ITI) - The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty
Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, and Ahmed Tahoun #26609 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI) - Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds
Mark L. Egan, Alexander MacKay, and Hanbin Yang #26608 (AP, CF) - Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: A Different Approach
Nicolae B. Gârleanu and Stavros Panageas #26607 (AP, EFG) - Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions
Christiane Baumeister and James D. Hamilton #26606 (EFG, ME) - Alternative Work Arrangements
Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais #26605 (LS) - Who Bears the Welfare Costs of Monopoly? The Case of the Credit Card Industry
Kyle F. Herkenhoff and Gajendran Raveendranathan #26604 (AP, IO) - Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives
Cailin R. Slattery and Owen M. Zidar #26603 (DAE, EFG, IO, ITI, LS, PE, POL, PR) - Monetary Policy in an Era of Global Supply Chains
Shang-Jin Wei and Yinxi Xie #26602 (ITI, ME)
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