National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Papers - Antérieurs à 2005
2004
Week of December 20, 2004
- Information Dynamics and Equilibrium Multiplicity in Global Games of Regime Change
George-Marios Angeletos, Christian Hellwig, and Alessandro Pavan #11017 (EFG) - Incomplete Market Dynamics in a Neoclassical Production Economy
George-Marios Angeletos and Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet #11016 (EFG) - Crises and Prices: Information, Aggregation, Multiplicity and Volatility
George-Marios Angeletos and Ivan Werning #11015 (EFG) - A Protectionist Bias in Majoritarian Politics
Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman #11014 (ITI) - Forging a New Identity: The Costs and Benefits of Diversity in Civil War Combat Units for Black Slaves and Freemen
Dora L. Costa and Matthew E. Kahn #11013 (DAE) - The Macroeconomics of Subsistence Points
Morten O. Ravn, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe, and Martin Uribe #11012 (EFG) - PIPE Dreams? The Performance of Companies Issuing Equity Privately
David J. Brophy, Paige P. Ouimet, and Clemens Sialm #11011 (CF, AP) - Labor Income Dynamics at Business-Cycle Frequencies: Implications for Portfolio Choice
Anthony W. Lynch and Sinan Tan #11010 (EFG, AP) - Externalities and Growth
Peter J. Klenow and Andres Rodriguez-Clare #11009 (EFG) - Latin America in the Rearview Mirror
Harold L. Cole, Lee E. Ohanian, Alvaro Riascos, and James A. Schmitz, Jr. #11008 (EFG) - Macroeconomic Conditions, Health and Mortality
Christopher J. Ruhm #11007 (HE)
Week of December 13, 2004
- Bank Mergers and Crime: The Real and Social Effects of Credit Market Competition
Mark J. Garmaise and Tobias J. Moskowitz #11006 (ME, AP, PE) - Cultural Biases in Economic Exchange
Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #11005 (CF, ITI) - Do Liquidation Values Affect Financial Contracts? Evidence from Commercial Loan Contracts and Zoning Regulation
Efraim Benmelech, Mark J. Garmaise, and Tobias Moskowitz #11004 (AP) - An Assignment Theory of Foreign Direct Investment
Volker Nocke and Stephen Yeaple #11003 (ITI) - Executive Financial Incentives and Payout Policy: Firm Responses the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
Jeffrey R. Brown, Nellie Liang, and Scott Weisbenner #11002 (PE, CF) - Does Competition Reduce Costs? Assessing the Impact of Regulatory Restructuring ion U.S. Electric Generation Efficiency
Kira Markiewicz, Nancy L. Rose, and Catherine Wolfram #11001 (IO, PR) - Dynamic Sorting: A Back-of-the-Envelope Guide
N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew Weinzierl #11000 (EFG) - Growth vs. Margins: Destabilizing Consequences of Giving the Stock Market What it Wants
Philippe Aghion and Jeremy C. Stein #10999 (CF, EFG) - Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance
Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy C. Stein #10998 (CF) - Vertical Integration and Technology: Theory and Evidence
Daron Acemoglu, Philippe Aghion, Rachel Griffith, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #10997 (CF, EFG, IO) - Parametric Portfolio Policies: Exploiting Characteristics n the Cross Section of Equity Returns
Michael W. Brandt, Pedro Santa-Clara, and Rossen Valkanov #10996 (AP) - Taylor Rules and the Deutschmark-Dollar Real Exchange Rate
Charles Engel and Kenneth D. West #10995 (IFM, ME) - Explaining the Magnitude of Liquidity Premia: The Roles of Return Predictability, Wealth Shocks and State-dependent Transaction Costs
Anthony W. Lynch and Sinan Tan #10994 (AP) - Fluctuations in a Dreadful Childhood: Synthetic Longitudinal Height Data, Relative Prices and Weather in the Short-Term Health of American Slaves
Richard H. Steckel #10993 (DAE) - China's New Regional Trade Agreements
Agata Antkiewicz and John Whalley #10992 (ITI) - The Gift of the Dying: The Tragedy of AIDS and the Welfare of Future African Generations
Alwyn Young #10991 (EFG, HE) - Global Growth Opportunities and Market Integration
Geert Bekaert, Campbell R. Harvey, Christian Lundblad and Stephan Siegel #10990 (AP) - The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance: Medicaid and the Long-Term Care Insurance Market
Jeffrey R. Brown and Amy Finkelstein #10989 (AG, HE, PE) - Happy News from the Dismal Science: Reassessing Japanese Fiscal Policy and Sustainability
Christian Broda and David E. Weinstein #10988 (AG, ITI, PE) - Enforcement, Private Political Pressure and the GATT/WTO Escape Clause
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #10987 (ITI) - Large Devaluations and the Real Exchange Rate
Ariel Burstein, Martin Eichenbaum, and Sergio Rebelo #10986 (EFG, IFM) - Globalization and the Returns to Speaking English in South Africa
James Levinsohn #10985 (ITI) - The Determinants of Progressive Era Reform: The Pure Food and Drugs Act of 1906
Marc T. Law and Gary D. Libecap #10984 (DAE)
Week of December 6, 2004
- Finance, Firm Size, and Growth
Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine #10983 (IFM) - How do Banks Manage Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Equity and Deposit Markets in the Fall of 1998
Philip E. Strahan, Evan Gatev, and Til Schuerman #10982 (CF) - Some New Variance Bounds for Asset Prices
Charles Engel #10981 (AP) - Why Should We Care About Child Labor? The Education, Labor Market, and Health Consequences of Child Labor
Kathleen Beegle, Rajeev Dehejia, and Roberta Gatti #10980 (LS) - Finance, Inequality, and Poverty: Cross-Country Evidence
Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Levine #10979 (CF) - Theft and Taxes
Mihir A. Desai, Alexander Dyck, and Luigi Zingales #10978 (CF, PE) - Tax Policy for Health Insurance
Jonathan Gruber #10977 (HE, PE) - The Economic Theory of Illegal Goods: The Case of Drugs
Gary S. Becker, Kevin M. Murphy, and Michael Grossman #10976 (HE, PE) - Semiparametric Causality Tests Using the Policy Propensity Score
Joshua D. Angrist and Guido M. Kuersteiner #10975 ME) - Tobacco Spending and its Crowd-Out of Other Goods
Susan H. Busch, Mireia Jofre-Bonet, Tracy A. Falba, and Jody L. Sindelar #10974 (HE) - Has Monetary Policy Become More Efficient? A Cross Country Analysis
Stephen G. Cecchetti, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, and Stefan Krause #10973 (ME) - Manufacturer Liability of Harms Caused by Consumers to Others
Bruce Hay and Kathryn E. Spier #10972 (LE) - Incentives to Learn
Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel, and ebecca Thornton #10971 (EFG, ED, CH) - Consumption Commitments: Neoclassical Foundations for Habit Formation
Raj Chetty and Adam Szeidl #10970 (EFG, PE) - Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850-2090
Antoine Bommier, Ronald Lee, Timothy Miller, and Stephane Zuber #10969 (AG, PE) - The Integration of Child Tax Credits and Welfare: Evidence from the National Child Benefit Program
Kevin Milligan and Mark Stabile #10968 (PE, CH) - Aging and the Welfare State: The Role of Young and Old Voting Pivots
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #10967 (AG, PE) - Institutions and Technological Innovation During the Early Economic Growth: Evidence from the Great Inventors of the United States, 1790-1930
B. Zorina Khan and Kenneth L. Sokoloff #10966 (DAE, PR) - Digging the Dirt at Public Expense: Governance in the Building of the Erie Canal and Other Public Works
Stanley L. Engerman and Kenneth L. Sokoloff #10965 (DAE) - Prescription Drugs, Medical Care, and Health Outcomes: A Model of Elderly Health
Zhou Yang, Donna B. Gilleskie, and Edward C. Norton #10964 (AG, HE) - Bounds in Competing Risks Models and the War on Cancer
Bo E. Honoré and Adriana Lleras-Muney #10963 (HE) - Incompatibility, Product Attributes and Consumer Welfare: Evidence from ATMs
Christopher R. Knittel and Victor Stango #10962 (PR) - Covered Interest Arbitrage: Then vs. Now
Ted Juhl, William Miles and Marc D. Weidenmeier #10961 (DAE, IFM) - Gunboats, Reputation, and Sovereign Repayment: Lessons from the Southern Confederacy
Marc D. Weidenmeier #10960 (DAE)
Week of November 29, 2004
- Sorting it Out: International Trade and Protection With Heterogeneous Workers
Franziska Ohnsorge and Daniel Trefler #10959 (ITI) - Using Tontines to Finance Public Goods: Back to the Future?
Andreas Lange, John A. List, and Michael K. Price #10958 (PE) - Does Openness to Trade Make Countries More Vulnerable to Sudden Stops, Or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality
Jeffrey A. Frankel and Eduardo A. Cavallo #10957 (IFM, ITI) - The Economics of Technology Sharing: Open Source and Beyond
Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole #10956 (IO, LS, PR) - A Theory of Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia
Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #10955 (AP) - Globalization and Disinflation: A Note
Assaf Razin #10954 (IFM) - Has the Unified Budget Undermined the Federal Government Trust Funds?
Sita Nataraj and John B. Shoven #10953 (EFG, AG, PE) - The Concept of Systematic Corruption in American Political and Economic History
John Joseph Wallis #10952 (DAE) - Resolving the Puzzle of the Underissuance of National Bank Notes
Charles W. Calomiris and Joseph R. Mason #10951 (DAE) - Retrospective on the 1970s Productivity Slowdown
William Nordhaus #10950 (EFG, PR) - An Investigation of the Effects of Alcohol Policies on Youth STDs
Michael Grossman, Robert Kaestner, and Sara Markowitz #10949 (HE, CH) - Individual Behaviors and Substance Use: The Role of Price
Michael Grossman #10948 (HE, CH) - Using Hit Rate Tests to Test for Racial Bias in Law Enforcement: Vehicle Searches in Wichita
Nicola Persico and Petra Todd #10947 (LS, LE) - Measuring Disparate Impacts and Extending Disparate Impact Doctrine to Organ Transplantation
Robert Bornholz and James J. Heckman #10946 (HE, LE) - Demographic Changes and International Factor Mobility
John F. Helliwell #10945 (IFM, ITI) - How to Eliminate Pyramidal Business Groups The Double Taxation of Inter-Corporate Diviends and Other Incisive Uses of Tax Policy
Randall Morck #10944 (CF) - Information and Externalities in Sequential Litigation
Xinyu Hua and Kathryn E. Spier #10943 (LE) - Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries
Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth S. Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei, and M. Ayhan Kose #10942 (IFM) - When I Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion
Fernando A. Broner, R. Gaston Gelos, and Carmen Reinhart #10941 (IFM) - Quantitative Implications of A Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops and Asset Prices
Enrique G. Mendoza and Katherine A. Smith #10940 (IFM) - FDI in Space: Spatial Autoregressive Relationship in Foreign Direct Investment
Bruce A. Blonigen, Ronald B. Davies, Glen R. Waddell, and Helen T. Naughton #10939 (ITI)
Week of November 22, 2004
- Speeding, Tax Fraud, and Teaching to the Test
Edward P. Lazear #10932 (ED) - The Structure of Early Care and Education in the United States: Historical Evolution and International Comparisons
Ann Dryden Witte and Marisol Trowbridge #10931 (ED, CH) - The Distortionary Effects of Government Procurement: Evidence from Medicaid Prescription Drug Purchasing
Mark Duggan and Fiona Soctt Morton #10930 (HE, IO) - Regulation of Entry and the Distortion of Industrial Organization
Raymond Fisman and Virginia Sarria-Allende #10929 (EFG) - Political Contribution Caps and Lobby Formation: Theory and Evidence
Allan Drazen, Nuno Lamao, and Thomas Stratman #10928 (EFG) - Can Public Discussion Enhance Program Ownership?
Allan Drazen and Peter Isard #10927 (EFG) - The Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefits of Stabilization: A Survey
Gadi Barlevy #10926 (EFG) - The Information of Option Volume for Future Stock Prices
Jun Pan and Allen Poteshman #10925 (AP) - Monetary Policy and Regional Interest Rates in the United States, 1880-2002
John Landon-Lane and Hugh Rockoff #10924 (DAE, ME) - Financing Invention During the Second Industrial Revolution: Cleveland, Ohio, 1870-1920
Naomi R. Lamoreaux, Margaret Levenstein, and Kenneth L. Sokoloff #10923 (PR, CH) - Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility: Facts #10922 (EFG)
Diego Comin and Sunil Mulani - The Steady-State Growth Theorem: A Comment on Uzawa (1961)
Charles I Jones and Dean Scrimgeour #10921 (EFG) - Partnership Status and the Human Sex Ratio at Birth
Karen Norberg #10920 (CH) - The Effect of Improvements in Health and Longevity on Optimal Retirement and Saving
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Michael Moore #10919 (AG, HE, LS) - Why Are Power Couples Increasingly Concentrated in Large Metropolitan Areas?
Janice Compton and Robert A. Pollak #10918 (LS) - Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
Ronald Lee, Timothy Miller, and Michael Anderson #10917 (AG, PE) - Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics
William A. Brock, Steven N. Durlauf, and Kenneth D. West #10916 (EFG, ME) - Fair Pricing
Julio J. Rotemberg #10915 (EFG, IO) - Predicting Volatility: Getting the Most out of Return Data Sampled at Different Frequencies
Eric Ghysels, Pedro Santa-Clara, and Rossen Valkanov #10914 (AP) - There is a Risk-Return Tradeoff After All
Eric Ghysels, Pedro Santa-Clara, and Rossen Valkanov #10913 (AP) - Jump and Volatility Risk and Risk Premia: A New Model and Lessons from S&P 500 Options
Pedro Santa-Clara and Shu Yan #10912 (AP) - Fast Times at Ridgemont High? The Effect of Compulsory Schooling Laws on Teenage Births
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereaux, and Kjell Salvanes #10911 (ED, CH) - The Product Cycle and Inequality
Boyan Jovanovic #10910 (EFG, PR) - Land Prices and Business Fixed Investment in Japan
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and Kenneth D. West #10909 (EFG) - Deposit Insurance and External Finance
Stephen G. Cecchetti and Stefan Krause #10908 (CF, ME, AP)
Week of November 15, 2004
- Managing Macroeconomic Crises
Jeffrey A. Frankel and Shang-Jin Wei #10907 (IFM) - Vertical Equity Consequences of Very High Cigarette Tax Increases: If the Poor are the Ones Smoking, How Could Cigarette Tax Increases be Progressive?
Greg Colman and Dahlia K. Remler #10906 (HE, P) - The Social Security Retirement Earnings Test, Retirement and Benefit Claiming
Alan L. Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier #10905 (A, LS, PE) - The Economic Value of Cultural Diversity: Evidence from US Cities
Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano and Giovanni Peri #10904 (ITI) - Hiccups for HIPCs?
Craig Burnside and Domenico Fanizza #10903 (EFG, IFM)
Week of November 8, 2004
- Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors
Michael Jansson and Marcelo J. Moreira #T303 (TWP) - Bootstrap and Higher-Order Expansion Validity When Instruments May Be Weak
Marcelo J. Moreira, Jack R. Porter, and Gustavo A. Suarez #T302 (TWP) - Race and Older Age Mortality: Evidence from Union Army Veterans
Dora L. Costa #10902 (A, HE, DAE) - Uncovering GPTS with Patent Data
Bronwyn H. Hall and Manuel Trajtenberg #10901 (P) - Corporate Governance and the Plight of Minority Shareholders in the United States Before the Great Depression
Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Jean-Laurent Rosenthal #10900 (CF, DAE) - Unbalanced Growth
Kala Krishna and Cesar A. Perez #10899 (ITI) - Is Mexico A Lumpy Country?
Andrew B. Bernard, Raymond Robertson, and Peter K. Schott #10898 (ITI) - The Importance of R&D for Innovation: A Reassessment Using French Survey Data
Jacques Mairesse and Pierre Mohnen #10897 (P) - Well-Being and Social Capital: Does Suicide Pose a Puzzle?
John F. Helliwell #10896 (HE) - Biases in Static Oligopoly Models? Evidence from the California Electricity Market
Dae-Wook Kim and Christopher R. Knittel #10895 (IO) - What Happens When We Randomly Assign Children to Families?
Bruce Sacerdote #10894 (C) - Catching-Up to Foreign Technology? Evidence on the "Veblen-Gerschenkron" Effect of Foreign Investments
Giovanni Peri and Dieter Urban #10893 (ITI) - The Closing Gender Gap as a Roy Model Illusion
Casey B. Mulligan and Yona Rubinstein #10892 (EFG, LS) - Bidding with Securities: Auctions and Security Design
Peter M. DeMarzo, Ilan Kremer, and Andrzej Skrzypacz #10891 (AP) - The Dynamics of Income, Schooling, and Fertility Distributions Over the Course of Economic Development: A Human Capital Perspective
Isaac Ehrlich and Jinyoung Kim #10890 (HE) - The Cost of Nominal Inertia in NNS Models
Matthew B. Canzoneri, Robert E. Cumby, and Behzad T. Diba #10889 (EFG) - Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Mode
Arthur Kennickell and Annamaria Lusardi #10888 (EFG, A) - $1000 Cash Back: Assymetric Information in Auto Manufacturer Promotions
Meghan Busse, Florian Zettelmeyer, and Jorge Silva-Risso #10887 (IO) - The Impact of the Civil War on Capital Intensity and Labor Productivity in Souther Manufacturing
William A. Hutchinson and Robert A. Margo #10886 (DAE) - One-Hit Wonders: Why Some of the Most Important Works of Modern Art Are Not By Important Artists
David W. Galenson #10885 (LS) - The Effect of Drug Vintage on Survival: Micro Evidence from Puerto Rico's Medicaid Program
Frank R. Lichtenberg #10884 (HE, P) - Inattentive Consumers
Ricardo Reis #10883 (EFG) - Aged-Care Support in Japan: Perspectives and Challenges
Olivia S. Mitchell, John Piggott, and Satoshi Shimizutani #10882 (A, LS)
Week of November 1, 2004
- Behavioral Economics and Health Economics
Richard G. Frank #10881 ((HE) - R&D Subsidies and Climate Policy: Is There a "Free Lunch"?
David Popp #10880 (ENV, P) - Educational Opportunity and Income Inequality
Paul Willen, Igal Hendel, and Joel Shapiro #10879 (EFG, ED) - Two Decades of Japanese Monetary Policy and the Deflation Problem
Takatoshi Ito and Frederic S. Mishkin #10878 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Product Quality, Linder, and the Direction of Trade
Juan Carlos Hallak #10877 - Minimum Hours Constraints, Job Requirements and Retirement
Alan L. Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier #10876 (A, LS) - Standing on Academic Shoulders: Measuring Scientific Influence in Universities
James D. Adams, J. Roger Clemmons, and Paula E. Stephan #10875 (P) - Piracy on the High C's: Music Downloading, Sales Displacement, and Social Welfare in a Sample of College Students
Rafael Rob and Joel Waldfogel #10874 (IO. LE) - From Home to Hospital: The Evolution of Childbirth in the United States, 1927-1940
Melissa A. Thomasson and Jaret Treber #10873 (HE, DAE) - Acquiring Control in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the Stock Market
Anusha Chari, Paige P. Ouimet, and Linda L. Tesar #10872 (IFM, AP) - Tiebout Sorting, Social Multipliers and the Demand for School Quality
Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira, and Robert McMillan #10871 (ED) - Policy Watch: Challenges for Terrorism Risk Insurance in the United States
Howard Kunreuther and Erwann Michel-Kerjan #10870 - The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff #10869 (EFG, IFM, ITI, ME) - Autopsy on an Empire: Understanding Mortality in Russia and the Former Soviet Union
Elizabeth Brainerd and David M. Cutler #10868 (HE) - Theoretical Foundation of Buffer Stock Saving
Christopher Carroll #10867 (EFG) - Estimating Real Production and Expenditures Across Nations: A Proposal for Improving the Penn World Tables
Robert C. Feenstra, Alan Heston, Marcel P. Timmer, and Haiyan Deng #10866 (ITI) - An Equilibrium Model of Sorting in an Urban Housing Market
Patrick Bayer, Robert McMillan, and Kim Rueben #10865 (PE) - Fixed Costs and FDI: The Conflicting Effects of Productivity Shocks
Assaf Razin, Yona Rubinstein, and Efraim Sadka #10864 (IFM, ITI) - Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Survey
Malcolm Baker, Richard S. Ruback, and Jeffrey Wurgler #10863 (CF) - Increases in Wealth among the Elderly in the Early 1990s: How Much is Due to Survey Design?
Susann Rohwedder, Steven J. Haider, and Michael D. Hurd #10862 (A) - Compensating Wage Differentials and AIDS Risk
Jeff DeSimone and Edward J. Schumacher #10861 (HE, LS)
Week of October 25, 2004
- Life-Cycle Asset Accumulation and Allocation in Canada
Kevin Milligan #10860 (A) - Poverty, Political Freedom, and the Roots of Terrorism
Alberto Abadie #10859 (LE, PE) - The Economics of Corporate Tax Selfishness
Joel Slemrod #10858 (PE) - Re-Assessing the U.S. Quality Adjustment to Computer Prices: The Role of Durability and Changing Software
Robert C. Feenstra and Christopher R. Knittel #10857 (P) - Microstructure of the Yen/Dollar Foreign Exchange Market: Patterns of Intra-day Activity in the Electronic Broking System
Takatoshi Ito and Yuko Hashi #10856 (IFM, AP) - Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s
Robert Barsky and Lutz Kilian #10855 (EFG) - Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics
William A. Brock and M. Scott Taylor #10854 (EFG, ENV) - The US Gender Pay Gap in the 1990s: Slowing Convergence
Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M Kahn #10853 (LS) - The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns
Andrew Ang, Robert J. Hodrick, Yuhang Xing, and Xiaoyan Zhang #10852 (AP) - The Impact of Population Aging on Financial Markets
James Poterba #10851 (A, AP) - Do Stock Prices Really Reflect Fundamental Values? The Case of REITs
William M. Gentry, Charles M. Jones, and Christopher J. Mayer #10850 (AP) - Globalization, Macroeconomic Performance, and the Exchange Rates of Emerging Economies
Maurice Obstfeld #10849 (IFM) - The Elusive Welfare Economics of Price Stability as a Monetary Policy Objective
Willem H. Buiter #10848 (IFM, ME) - Charles Kindleberger: An Impressionist in a Minimalist World
Edward J. Kane #10847 (CF) - Quantitative Goals for Monetary Policy
Antonio Fatas, Ilian Mihov, and Andrew K. Rose #10846 (IFM, ME) - Dollar Shortages and Crises
Raghuram C. Rajan #10845 (IFM) - Does Immigration Affect the Long-Term Educational Outcomes of Natives? Quasi-Experimental Evidence
Eric D. Gould, Victor Lavy, and M. Daniele Paserman #10844 (ED, LS) - External Adjustment
Maurice Obstfeld #10843 (EFG, IFM) - The Measurement and Evolution of Health Inequality: Evidence from the U.S. Medicare Population
Jonathan Skinner and Weiping Zhou #10842 (A, HE) - Dividend Taxes and Corporate Behavior: Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
Raj Chetty and Emmanuel Saez #10841 (PE)
Week of October 18, 2004
- Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap
Gauti B. Eggertsson and Michael Woodford #10840 (EFG, ME) - Optimal Stabilization Policy When Wages and Prices are Sticky: The Case of a Distorted Steady State
Pierpaolo Benigno and Michael Woodford #10839 (EFG, ME) - Inflation Stabilization and Welfare: The Case of a Distorted Steady State
Pierpaolo Benigno and Michael Woodford #10838 (EFG, ME) - Job Search and Impatience
Stefano DellaVigna and M. Daniele Paserman #10837 (LS)
Week of October 11, 2004
- Trade, Tragedy, and the Commons
Brian R. Copeland and M. Scott Taylor #10836 (ITI) - Strategic Extremism: Why Republicans and Democrats Divide on Religious Values
Edward L. Glaeser, Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto, and Jesse M. Shapiro #10835 (EFG) - Keeping Capital Flowing: The Role of the IMF
Michael D. Bordo, Ashoka Mody, and Nienke Oomes #10834 (IFM) - Deflation and Monetary Policy in a Historical Perspective: Remembering the Past or Being Condemned to Repeat it?
Michael D. Bordo and Andrew Filardo #10833 (DAE, ME) - Finance as a Barrier to Entry: Bank Competition and Industry Structure in Local U.S. Markets
Nicola Cetorelli and Philip E. Strahan #10832 (CF, IO) - Why Do Computers Depreciate?
Michael J. Geske, Valerie A. Ramey, and Matthew D. Shapiro #10831 (EFG, P) - Export Variety and Country Productivity
Robert C. Feenstra and Hiau Looi Kee #10830 (ITI, P) - Can Central Bank Transparency Go Too Far?
Frederic S. Mishkin #10829 (ME) - Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences
Francesco Caselli #10828 (EFG) - Monetary Policy and the Currency Denomination of Debt: A Tale of Two Equilibria
Andres Velasco and Roberto Chang #10827 (IFM) - Reciprocated Unilateralism in Trade Reforms with Majority Voting
Pravin Krishna and Devashish Mitra #10826 (ITI) - Empirical Study of the Civil Justice System
Daniel P. Kessler and Daniel L. Rubinfeld #10825 (LE) - Charging Nox Emitters for Health Damages: An Exploratory Analysis
Denise Mauzerall, Babar Sultan, Namsoug Kim, and David F. Bradford #10824 (HE, ENV) - Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions
Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler #10823 (CF) - Assessing the Impacts of the Prescription Drug User Fee Acts (PDUFA) on the FDA Approval Process
Ernst R. Berndt, Adrian H. B. Gottschalk, Tomas Philipson, and Matthew W. Strobeck #10822 (HE, IO)
Week of October 4, 2004
- Identification and Estimation of Discrete Games of Complete Information
Patrick Bajari, Han Hong, and Stephen Ryan #T0301 (TWP) - Corruption in America
Edward L. Glaeser and Raven Saks #10821 (EFG, LE) - Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice
Ravi Bansal, Magnus Dahlquist, and Campbell R. Harvey #01820 (AP) - Overestimating Self-Control: Evidence from the Health Club Industry
Stefano DellaVigna and Ulrike Malmendier #10891 (LS) - Inflation Targeting and Japan: Why has the Bank of Japan not Adopted Inflation Targeting?
Takatoshi Ito #10818 (IFM, ME) - Global Demographic Change: Dimensions and Economic Significance
David E. Bloom and David Canning #10817 (A, LS) - Over-the-Counter Markets
Darrell Duffie, Nicolae Garleanu, and Lasse Heje Pedersen #10816 (AP) - Efficiency of Thin and Thick Markets
Li Gan and Qi Li #10815 (LS) - Asset Pricing with Liquidity Risk
Viral V. Acharya and Lasse Heje Pedersen #10814 (AP) - Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and the Market's Reaction
Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate #10813 (AP) - Are Investors Naive About Incentives?
Ulrike Malmendier and Devin Shanthikumar #10812 (AP) - Testing a Roy Model with Productivity Spillovers: Evidence from the Treatment of Heart Attacks
Amitabh Chandra and Douglas Staiger #10811 (HE) - Health Shocks and Couples' Labor Supply Decisions
Courtney C. Coile #10810 (A, LS) - The Effect of College Curriculum on Earnings: Accounting for Non-Ignorable Non-Response Bias
Daniel S. Hamermesh and Stephen G. Donald #10809 - Fear of Service Outsourcing: Is It Justified?
Mary Amiti and Shang-Jin Wei #10808 (ITI, LS) - CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment
Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate #10807 (CF, LS) - Economic Effects of Regional Tax Havens
Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr. #10806 (CF, IFM, PE) - Estimating the Expected Marginal Rate of Substitution: Exploiting Idiosyncratic Risk
Robert P. Flood and Andrew K. Rose #10805 (IFM, AP) - Why Do Households Without Children Support Local Public Schools?
Christian A.L. Hilber and Christopher J. Mayer #10804 (ED, PE) - A Revealed Preference Ranking of U.S. Colleges and Universities
Christopher Avery, Mark Glickman, Caroline Hoxby, and Andrew Metrick #10803 (ED) - Jurisdictional Advantage
Maryann Feldman and Roger Martin #10802 (P)
Week of September 20, 2004
- Transaction Costs: Valuation Disputes, Bi-Lateral Monopoly Bargaining and Third-Party Effects in Water Rights Exchanges. The Owens Valley Transfer to Los Angeles
Gary D. Libecap #10801 (DAE) - Inequality, Nonhomothetic Preferences, and Trade: A Gravity Approach
Muhammed Dalgin, Devashish Mitra, and Vitor Trindade #10800 (ITI) - Healthcare Markets, the Safety Net and Access to Care Among the Uninsured
Jose Escarce, Carole Roan Gresenz, and Jeanette A. Rogowski #10799 (HE) - Migration, Social Standards and Replacement Incomes: How to Protect Low-Income Workers in the Industrialized Countries Against the Forces of Globalization and Market Integration
Hans-Werner Sinn #10798 (PE) - The Performance of the Pivotal-Voter Model in Small-Scale Elections: Evidence from Texas
Stephen Coate, Michael Conlin, and Andrea Moro #10797 (PE) - The Changing Association Between Prenatal Participation in WIC and Birth Outcomes in New York City
Ted Joyce, Diane Gibson, and Silvie Colman #10796 (HE, C) - Anatomy of the Rise and Fall of a Price-Fixing Conspiracy: Auctions at Sotheby's and Christie's
Orley Ashenfelter and Kathryn Graddy #10795 (IO, LE) - Investor Sentiment Measures
Lily Qiu and Ivo Welch #10794 (CF, AP) - New Goods and the Transition to a New Economy
Jeremy Greenwood and Gokce Uysal #10793 (EFG, DAE) - Designing Optimal Disability Insurance: A Case for Asset Testing
Mikhail Golosov and Aleh Tsyvinski #10792 (PE) - The Rise of the Fourth Estate: How Newspapers Became Informative and Why it Mattered
Matthew Gentzkow, Edward L. Glaeser, and Claudia Goldin #10791 (DAE, LE) - Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees
Enrique G. Mendoza and Ceyhun Bora Durdu #10790 (IFM) - Subjective Mortality Risk and Bequests
Li Gan, Guan Gong, Michael Hurd, and Daniel McFadden #10789 (A) - Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service: Some Estimates for OECD Countries
Silvia Ardagna, Francesco Caselli, and Timothy Lane #10788 (EFG, PE) - What Does the Pubic Know about Economic Policy, and How Does It Know It?
Alan S. Blinder and Alan B. Krueger #10787 (EFG, PE) - Contingent Reserves Management: An Applied Framework
Ricardo J. Caballero and Stavros Panageas #10786 (EFG, IFM) - The Comovement of Returns and Investment Within the Multinational Firm
Mihir A. Desai and C. Fritz Foley #10785 (CF, PE)
Week of September 13, 2004
- Household Expenditure and the Income Tax Rebates of 2001
David S. Johnson, Jonathan A. Parker, and Nicholas S. Souleles #10784 (EFG, ME, PE) - Working the System: Firm Learning and the Antidumping Process
Bruce A. Blonigen #10783 (ITI) - Supply or Demand: Why is the Market for Long-Term Care Insurance So Small?
Jeffrey R. Brown and Amy Finkelstein #10782 (A, HE, PE) - Financing Consumption in an Aging Japan: The Role of Foreign Capital Inflows Immigration
Robert Dekle #10781 (A, ITI) - When it Rains, it Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies
Graciela L. Kaminsky, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Carlos A. Vegh #10780 (IFM) - Bulls, Bears, and Retirement Behavior
Courtney C. Coile and Phillip B. Levine #10779 (A, LS) - Markets in China and Europe on the Eve of the Industrial Revolution
Carol H. Shiue and Wolfgang Keller #10778 (EFG, DAE, IFM, ITI) - Neighborhood Effects on Crime for Female and Male Youth: Evidence from a Randomized Housing Voucher Experiment
Jeffrey R. Kling, Jens Ludwig, and Lawrence F. Katz #10777 (PE, C) - When Can Changes in Expectations Cause Business Cycle Fluctuation in Neo-Classical Settings?
Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier #10776 (EFG) - Corruption and Reform: An Introduction
Edward Glaeser and Claudia Goldin #10775 (DAE, LE) - Compatibility and Pricing with Indirect Network Effects: Evidence from ATMs
Christopher R. Knittel and Victor Stango #10774 (P) - Do Acquirers With More Uncertain Growth Prospects Gain Less From Acquisitions?
Sara B. Moeller, Frederik P. Schlingemann, and Rene M. Stulz #10773 (CF, AP) - Marriage and Divorce since World War II: Analyzing the Role of Technological Progress on the Formation of Households
Jeremy Greenwood and Nezih Guner #10772 (EFG, LS) - The Pre-Producers
Boyan Jovanovic #10771 (EFG, P) - On the Industry Concentration of Actively Managed Equity Mutual Funds
Marcin Kacperczyk, Clemens Sialm, and Lu Zheng #10770 (CF, AP) - Social Networks and Trade Liberalization
Manish Pandey and John Whalley #10769 (ITI) - The Impact of China on the Exports of Other Asian Countries
Barry Eichengreen, Yeongseop Rhee, and Hui Tong #10768 (ITI) - Growth and Ideas
Charles I. Jones #10767 (EFG) - Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence
Ross Levine #10766 (CF, EFG, IFM) - Technological Progress and Economic Transformation
Jeremy Greenwood and Ananth Seshadri #10765 (EFG) - Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation
Thomas Sargent, Noah Williams, and Tao Zha #10764 (EFG) - Will Job Testing Harm Minority Workers?
David Autor and David Scarborough #10763 (LS)
Week of September 6, 2004
- Effects of Child Health on Sources of Public Support
Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman, and Kelly Noonan #10762 (HE, PE) - The Optimal Use of Fines and Imprisonment When Wealth is Unobservable
A. Mitchell Polinsky #10761 (LE) - Optimal Fines and Auditing When Wealth is Costly to Observe
A. Mitchell Polinsky #10760 (LE) - Explaining Diversities in Age-Specific Life Expectancies and Values of Life Saving: A Numerical Analysis
Isaac Ehrlich and Yong Yin #10759 (HE) - Patent Licensing and the Research University
Richard A. Jensen and Marie C. Thursby #10758 (ITI) - Socioeconomic Status and Medical Care Expenditures in Medicare Managed Care
Kanika Kapur, Jeannette A. Rogowski, Vicki A. Freedman, Steven L. Wickstrom, John L. Adams, and Jose J. Escarce #10757 (HE) - Can Interest Rate Volatility be Extracted from the Cross Section of Bond Yields?
Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Robert S. Goldstein, and Christopher S. Jones #10756 (AP) - Predatory Trading
Markus Brunnermeier and Lasse Heje Pedersen #10755 (AP) - The Appeals Process and Adjudicator
Steven Shavell #10754 (LE) - Sovereign Debt and Repudiation: The Emerging-Market Debt Crisis in the U.S. States, 1839-1843
John Joseph Wallis, Richard E. Sylla, and Arthur Grinath III #10753 (DAE) - High Performing Asian Economies
Robert W. Fogel #10752 (EFG) - The Long-Run Volatility Puzzle of the Real Exchange Rate
Ricardo Hausmann, Ugo Panizza, and Roberto Rigobon #10751 (IFM) - Rule of Law, Democracy, Openness, and Income: Estimating the Interrelationships
Roberto Rigobon and Dani Rodrik #10750 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Once Again, is Openness Good for Growth?
Ha Yan Lee, Luca Antonio Ricci, and Roberto Rigobon #10749 (EFG, IFM, ITI)
Week of August 30, 2004
- Why Do Incumbent Senators Win? Evidence from a Dynamic Selection Model
Gautam Gowrisankaran, Matthew F. Mitchell, and Andrea Moro #10748 (PE) - Targeting Rules vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy: What is Wrong with McCallum and Nelson?
Lars E.O. Svensson #10747 (ME) - Faster, Smaller, Cheaper: An Hedonic Price Analysis of PDAs
Paul D. Chwelos, Ernst R. Berndt, and Iain M. Cockburn #10746 (P) - Does the Impact of Managed Care on Substance Abuse Treatment Services Vary By Profit Status?
Jody Sindelar and Todd Olmstead #10745 (A, HE) - Effective Labor Regulation and Microeconomic Flexibility
Ricardo J. Caballero, Eduardo M.R.A. Engel, Kevin N. Cowan, and Alejandro Micco #10744 (EFG, LS, P) - Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction with Stochastic Covariates
Darrell Duffie and Ke Wang #10743 (CF, AP) - Stealth Compensation Via Retirement Benefits
Lucian Arye Bebchuk and Jesse M. Fried #10742 (CF, LE) - On the Timing of Innovation in Stochastic Schumpeterian Growth Models
Gadi Barlevy #10741 (EFG, P) - Disaggregating Employment Protection: The Case of Disability Discrimination
Christine Jolls and J.J. Prescott #10740 (LS, LE) - The Dynamics of Criminal Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks
Brian Jacob, Lars Lefgren, and Enrico Moretti #10739 (PE) - Does Cost Sharing Affect Compliance? The Case of Prescription Drugs
Avi Dor and William Encinosa #10738 (HE, P)
Week of August 23, 2004
- The Value of Life and the Rise in Health Spending
Robert E. Hall and Charles I. Jones #10737 (EFG, A, HE, PE) - The Social Costs of Gun Ownership
Philip J. Cook and Jens Ludwig #10736 (HE) - Labor Market Institutions, Wages, and Investment
Jorn-Steffen Pischke #10735 (LS) - Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend
Mark Aguiar and Gita Gopinath #10734 (EFG, IFM) - Neoclassical Growth and the Adoption of Technologies
Diego Comin and Bart Hobijn #10733 (EFG, ME) - Transition Dynamics in Vintage Capital Models: Explaining the Postwar Catch-Up of Germany and Japan
Simon Gilchrist and John C. Williams #10732 (EFG, ME) - Defaultable Debt, Interest Rates and the Current Account
Mark Aguiar and Gita Gopinath #10731 (IFM) - Welfare vs. Market Access: The Implications of Tariff Structure for Tariff Reform
James A. Anderson and J. Peter Neary #10730 (ITI) - Empire, Public Goods, and the Roosevelt Corollary
Kris James Mitchener and Marc D. Weidenmier #10729 (DAE) - Technical Change and the Wage Structure During the Second Industtrial Revolution: Evidence from the Merchant Marine, 1865-1912
Aimee Chin, Chinhui Juhn, and Peter Thompson #10728 (DAE, LS) - The US Current Deficit and Economic Development: Collateral for a Total Return Swap
Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter M. Garber #10727 (IFM) - Why Do Countries Matter So Much for Corporate Governance?
Rene M. Stulz, Craig Dodge and Andrew Karolyi #10726 (CF) - Determinants of Business Cycle Comovement: A Robust Analysis
Marianne Baxter and Michael A. Kouparitsas #10725 (EFG, IFM) - Optimal Operational Monetary Policy in the Christiano-Eichenbaum-Evans Model of the U.S. Business Cycle
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martin Uribe #10724 (EFG, ME) - Exchange Rates and Fundamentals
Charles Engel and Kenneth D. West #10723 (EFG, IFM, ME, AP) - Robin Hood and His Not-So-Merry Plan: Capitalization and the Self-Destruction of Texas' School Finance Equalization Plan
Caroline M. Hoxby and Ilyana Kuziemko #10722 (ED, PE, C) - Negotiating Free Trade
Philippe Aghion, Pol Antras, and Elhanan Helpman #10721 (ITI) - The More the Merrier? The Effect of Family Composition on Children's Education
Sandra E. Black, Paul G. Devereux, and Kjell G. Salvanes #10720 (ED, LS) - Stock Market Trading and Market Conditions
John M. Griffin, Federico Nardari, and Rene M. Stulz #10719 (CF, AP)
Week of August 16, 2004
- Volatility Comovement: A Multifrequency Approach
Laruent E. Calvet, Adlai J. Fisher, and Samuel B. Thompson #T300 (TWP) - The Impact of Trade on Intraindustry Reallocation and Aggregate Industry Productivity: A Comment
Richard E. Baldwin #10718 (ITI, P) - Transboundary Spillovers and Decentralization of Environmental Policies
Hilary Sigman #10717 (ENV, PE) - Corporate Ownership in France: The Importance of History
Antoin E. Murphy #10716 (CF) - How Much Might Universal Health Insurance Reduce Socioeconomic Disparities in Health? A Comparison of the US and Canada
Sandra L. Decker and Dahlia K. Remler #10715 (HE) - Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure
Leora Friedberg and Michael Owyang #10714 (A, LS) - Long-Term Consequences of Secondary School Vouchers: Evidence from Administrative Records in Colombia
Joshua Angrist, Eric Bettinger, and Michael Kremer #10713 (ED, C) - CPI Bias from Supercenters: Does the BLS Know that Wal-Mart Exists?
Jerry Hausman and Ephraim Leibtag #10712 (EFG, PE) - Borrowing Constraints, College Aid, and Intergenerational Mobility
Eric A. Hanushek, Charles Ka Yui Leung, and Kuzey Yilmaz #10711 (LS, PE, C) - Merger Policy and Innovation: Must Enforcement Change to Account for Technological Change?
Michael L. Katz and Howard A. Shelanski #10710 (IO, P) - The Effect of Malpractice Liability on the Delivery of Health Care
Katherine Baicker and Amitabh Chandra #10709 (HE, LE) - The Role and Functioning of Public-Interest Legal Organizations in the Enforcement of the Employment Laws
Christine Jolls #10708 (LE) - Optimal Expectations
Markus K. Brunnermeir and Jonathan A. Parker #10707 (EFG, ME, AP) - Interdependent Security: A General Model
Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther #10706 - Abortion Legalization and Lifecycle Fertility
Elizabeth Oltmans Ananat, Jonathan Gruber, and Phillip B. Levine #10705 (HE, C) - Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms
Michael D. Bordo and David C. Wheelock #10704 (DAE, ME, AP) - Why Do Real and Nominal Inventory-Sales Ratios Have Different Trends?
Valerie A. Ramey and Daniel J. Vine #10703 (EFG, ME) - A Common Currency: Early U.S. Monetary Policy and the Transition to the Dollar
Peter L. Rousseau #10702 (DAE, IFM, ME) - The Effect of Mandated State Education Spending on Total Local Resources
Katherine Baicker and Nora Gordon #10701 (ED, PE) - How Far to the Hospital? The Effect of Hospital Closures on Access to Health Care
Thomas C. Buchmueller, Mireille Jacobson, and Cheryl Wold #10700 (HE) - What Did the "Illegitimacy Bonus" Reward?
Sanders Korenman, Ted Joyce, Robert Kaestner, and Jennifer Walper #10699 (HE, C) - Pairwise Kidney Exchange
Alvin E. Roth, Tayfun Sonmez, and M. Utku Unver #10698 (HE)
Week of August 9, 2004
- Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression
Donald W.K. Andrews, Marcelo Moreira, and James H. Stock #T299 (TWP) - The Use of Predictive Regressions at Alternative Horizons in Finance and Economics
Nelson C. Mark and Donggyu Sul #T298 (TWP) - Overseas Assembly and Country Sourcing Choices
Deborah L. Swenson #10697 (ITI) - Fixed Exchange Rates and Trade
Michael W. Klein and Jay C. Shambaugh #10696 (IFM, ITI) - Do Tenured and Tenure-Track Faculty Matter?
Ronald G. Ehrenberg and Liang Zhang #10695 (LS) - Budget Windows, Sunsets, and Fiscal Control
Alan J. Auerbach #10694 (EFG, PE) - The Fiscal Burden of Korean Reunification: A Generational Accounting Approach
Alan J. Auerbach, Young Jun Chun, and Ilho Yoo #10693 (PE) - Corporate Governance, Economic Entrenchment and Growth
Randall Morck, Daniel Wolfenzon, and Bernard Young #10692 (CF) - Maternal Employment and Adolescent Development
Christopher J. Ruhm #10691 (HE, C) - Corporate Tax Evasion with Agency Costs
Keith J. Crocker and Joel Slemrod #10690 (PE) - Weak and Semi-Strong Form Stock Return Predictability, Revisited
Wayne E. Ferson, Andrea Heuson, and Tie Su #10689 (AP) - Demand for Illicit Drugs by Pregnant Women
Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan, Nancy E. Reichman, and Dhaval Dave #10688 (HE, C) - Law and Firms' Access to Finance
Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Levine #10687 (IFM) - The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration
Menzie D. Chinn and Robert Fairlie #10686 (IFM, ITI) - Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from the Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements
Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica A. Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler #10685 (CF, AP) - What is Discrimination? Gender in the American Economic Association
Stephen Donald and Daniel S. Hamermesh #10684 (LS) - Inequality Change in China and (Hukou) Labour Mobility Restrictions
John Whalley and Shunming Zhang #10683 (ITI) - Welfare Migration: Is the Net Fiscal Burden a Good Measure of Its Economic Impact on the Welfare of the Native Born Population?
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #10682 (LS, PE) - Federal Government Debt and Interest Rates
Eric M. Engen and R. Glenn Hubbard #10681 (CF, EFG, ME, PE) - Refugees, Asylum Seekers and Policy in Europe
Timothy J. Hatton and Jeffrey G. Willliamson #10680 (DAE, ITI, LS)
Week of August 2, 2004 (continued)
- Credible Commitment to Optimal Escape from a Liquidity Trap: The Role of the Balance Sheet
Olivier Jeanne and Lars E. O. Svensson #10679 (EFG, ME) - Do Gender Stereotypes Reduce Girls' Human Capital Outcomes? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Victor Lavy #10678 (ED, LS, C) - Detecting Medicare Abuse
David Becker, Daniel Kessler, and Mark McClellan #10677 (HE) - The X Tax in the World Economy
David F. Bradford #10676 (ITI, PE) - Portfolio Concentration and the Performance of Individual Investors
Zoran Ivkovich, Clemens Sialm, and Scott Weisbenner #10675 (AP) - Corruption in Indonesia
J. Vernon Henderson and Ari Kuncoro #10674 (PE) - Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing Versus Advanced Economies
Aasim Husain, Ashoka Mody, Kenneth S. Rogoff #10673 (EFG, IFM, ME) - What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth?
Andrew Ang, Monika Piazzesi, Min Wei #10672 (EFG, ME, AP) - Large Blocks of Stock: Prevalence, Size, and Measurement
Jennifer Dlugosz, Rudiger Fahlenbrach, Paul Gompers, and Andrew Metrick #10670 ED, LS, C) - Preschool, Day Care, and Afterschool Care: Who's Minding the Kids?
David Blau and Janet Currie #10670 (ED, LS, C) - Health in an Age of Globalization
Angus Deaton #10669 (EFG, HE) - Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms
Andrew Bernard, Stephen Redding, and Peter K. Schott #10668 (ITI) - Neighbors as Negatives: Relative Earnings and Well-Being
Erzo F. P. Luttmer #10667 (PE) - Good Principal or Good Peers? Parental Valuation of School Characteristics, Tiebout Equilibrium, and the Incentive Effects of Competition Among Jurisdictions
Jesse Rothstein #10666 (ED, C) - An Empirical Model of Stock Analysts' Recommendations: Market Fundamentals, Conflicts of Interest, and Peer Effects
Patrick Bajari and John Krainer #10665 (IO) - A Model of Forum Shopping, with Special References to Standard Setting Organizations
Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole #10664 (CF, P) - The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Profits and Random Fluctuations in Weather
Olivier Deschenes and Michael Greenstone #10663 (LS, P, PE) - Two Centuries of Economic Growth: Europe Chasing the American Frontier
Robert J. Gordon #10662 (EFG, P, DAE) - Why was Europe Left at the Station When America's Productivity Locomotive Departed
Robert J. Gordon #10661(EFG, P) - Five Puzzles in the Behavior of Productivity, Investment, and Innovation
Robert J. Gordon #10660 (EFG, P)
Week of August 2, 2004
- Go Down Fighting: Short Sellers vs. Firms
Owen A. Lamont #10659 (CF, AP) - Evaluating the Impact of the D.C. Tuition Assistance Program
Thomas Kane #10658 (ED, PE, C) - Economic and Political Liberalizations
Francesco Giavazzi and Guido Tabellini #10657 (IFM) - Minimum Wage Effects in the Longer Run
David Neumark and Olena Nizalova #10656 (LS) - Search-Theoretic Models of the Labor Market: A Survey
Richard Rogerson, Robert Shimer, and Randall Wright #10655 (EFG, LS) - Free Banking and Bank Entry in Nineteenth Century New York
Howard Bodenhorn #10654 (DAE, ME) - Sex Differences in Morbidity and Mortality
Anne Case and Christina Paxson #10653 (A, HE) - Modeling Inventories Over the Business Cycle
Aubhik Khan and Julia K. Thomas #10652 (EFG) - On the Importance of Measuring Payout Yield: Implications for Empirical Asset Pricing
Jacob L. Boudoukh, Roni Michaely, Matthew Richardson, and Michael Roberts #10651 (AP) - Do a Firm's Equity Returns Reflect the Risk of Its Pension Plan?
Li Jin, Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie #10650 (AP) - China's Post Accession WTO Stance
Glenda Mallon and John Whalley #10649 (ITI) - Illicit Drug Use Among Arrestees and Drug Prices
Dhaval Dave #10648 (HE) - Estimating the Effects of a Time Limited Earning Subsidy for Welfare Leavers
David Card and Dean R. Hyslop #10647 (LS, PE) - Can Inflation Targeting Work in Emerging Market Countries?
Frederic S. Mishkin #10646 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Do the Rich Flee from High State Taxes? Evidence from Federal Estate Tax Returns
Jon Bakija and Joel Slemrod #10645 (PE) - Behavioral Finance in Corporate Governance Independent Directors and Non-Executive Chairs
Randall Morck #10644 (CF) - International Innovation and Diffusion of Air Pollution Control Technologies: The Effects of NOX and SO2 Regulation in the U.S., Japan, and Germany
David Popp #10643 (P) - Deflationary Bubbles
Willem H. Buiter and Anne C. Sibert #10642 (EFG, IFM, ME) - The History and Politics of Corporate Ownership in Sweden
Peter Hogfeldt #10641 (CF) - Scientific Teams and Institutional Collaborations: Evidence from U.S. Universities, 1981-1999
James D. Adams, Grant C. Black, J. Roger Clemmons, and Paula E. Stephan #10640 (P) - Auctions with Resale When Private Values are Uncertain: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Andreas Lange, John A. List, and Michael Price #10639 (IO, PE) - Specialization, Factor Accumulation and Development
Doireann Fitzgerald and Juan Carlos Hallak #10638 (ITI) - Public Debt, Fiscal Solvency and Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Latin America: The Cases of Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, and Mexico
Enrique G. Mendozam and Pedro Marcelo Oviedo #10637 (PE) - Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well Does the RBC Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data?
Jordi Gali and Pau Rabanal #10636 (EFG, ME) - The Rise and Fall of the Widely Held Firm A History of Corporate Ownership in Canada
Randall Morck, Michael Percy, Gloria Tian, and Bernard Yeung #10635 (CF)
Week of July 12, 2004
- On the Relationship Between Determinate and MSV Solutions in Linear RE Models
Bennett T. McCallum #T297 (TWP) - A New Look at Racial Profiling: Evidence from the Boston Police Department
Kate L. Antonovics and Brian G. Knight #10634 (PE) - Are Migrants More Skilled than Non-Migrants? Repeat, Return and Same-Employer Migrants
Jennifer Hunt #10633 (LS) - Measuring the Effects of Workplace on Productivity With Team Production
Sean Nicholson, Mark V. Pauly, Daniel Polsky, Claire Sharda, Helena Szrek, and Marc L. Berger #10632 (LS, P) - The Source of Historical Economic Fluctuations: An Analysis using Long-Run Restrictions
Neville Francis and Valerie A. Ramey #10631 (EFG, ME) - Capital Income Taxation in the Globalized World
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #10630 (IFM, PE) - Unmasking the Pollution Haven Effect
Arik Levinson and M. Scott Taylor #10629 (ENV, ITI) - Spending Less Time with the Family: The Decline of Family Ownership in the UK
Julian Franks, Colin Mayer, Stefano Rossi (CF) - Using Investment Data to Assess the Importance of Price Mismeasurement
Diego Comin #10627 (EFG) - Direct Investment, Rising Real Wages and the Absorption of Excess Labor in the Periphery
Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber #10626 (IFM) - R&D: A Small Contribution to Productivity Growth
Diego Comin #10625 (P) - Sources for Financing Domestic Capital - Is Foreign Saving a Viable Option for Developing Countries?
Joshua Aizenman, Brian Pinto, and Artur Radziwill #10624 (ITI) - How Have Borrowers Fared in Banking Mega-Mergers?
Kenneth A. Carow, Edward J. Kane, and Rajesh Narayanan #10623 (CF) - Performance Pay and Teachers' Effort, Productivity and Grading Ethics
Victor Lavy #10622 (ED, LS) - The Wage Gains of African-American Women in the 1940s
William J. Collins and Martha J. Bailey #10621 (DAE, LS) - The Design of Financial Systems: Towards a Synthesis of Function and Structure
Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie #10620 (AP) - The Effects of Cocaine and Heroin Price on Drug-Related Emergency Department Visits
Dhaval Dave #10619 (HE) - Education, Redistribution, and the Threat of Brian Drain
Alexander Haupt and Eckhard Janeba #10618 (ITI, LS) - Evaluating the Calvo Model of Sticky Prices
Martin Eichenbaum and Jonas D.M. Fisher #10617 (EFG, ME) - The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach
Francis X. Diebold, Glenn D. Redebusch, and S. Boragan Aruoba #10616 (EFG, ME, AP) - A Continuous-Time Agency Model of Optimal Contracting and Capital Structure
Peter M. DeMarzo and Yuliy Sannikov #10615 (CF, AP) - Unbiased Estimation of the Half-Life to PPP Convergence in Panel Data
Chi-Young Choi, Nelson Mark, and Donggyu Sul #10614 (IFM) - The Evolution of Concentrated Ownership in India Broad Patterns and a History of the Indian Software Industry
Tarun Khanna and Krishna Palepu #10613 (CF, IO) - Targeting vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy
Bennett T. McCallum and Edward Nelson #10612 (EFG, ME) - Liquidity Constraints and Housing Prices: Theory and Evidence from the VA Mortgage
Jacob L. Vigdor #10611 ( PE)
Week of June 28, 2004
- The Political Economy of Fair Housing Laws Prior to 1968
William J. Collins #10610 (DAE) - How Elections Matter: Theory and Evidence from Environmental Policy
John A. List and Daniel M. Sturm #10609 (PE) - Breakfast of Champions? The School Breakfast Program and the Nutrition of Children and Families
Jayanta Bhattacharya, Janet Currie, and Steven Haider #10608 (ED, HE, LS, C) - The Purchasing Power Parity Debate
Alan M. Taylor and Mark P. Taylor #10607 (IFM, ITI) - Measuring the Growth from Better and Better Goods
Mark Bils #10606 (EFG) - Exploring the Patent Explosion
Bronwyn H. Hall #10605 (IO, P) - The Impact of Presumed Consent Legislation on Cadaveric Organ Donation: A Cross Country Study
Alberto Abadie and Sebastien Gay #10604 (HE) - Learning on the Quick and Cheap: Gains from Trade Through Imported Expertise
James R. Markusen and Thomas F. Rutherford #10603 (ITI) - Managing Volatility and Crises: A Practitioner's Guide Overview
Joshua Aizenman and Brian Pinto #10602 (IFM) - Peace and War in Territorial Disputes
Herschel I. Grossman #10601 (EFG) - The Impact of the Terms of Trade on Economic Development in the Periphery, 1870-1939
Christopher Blattman, Jason Hwang, and Jeffrey G. Williamson #10600 (DAE, ITI) - Dividend Policy, Agency Costs, and Earned Equity
Harry DeAngelo, Linda DeAngelo, and René M. Stulz #10599 (CF, AP) - Economic Impacts of Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001
John DiNardo and David S. Lee #10598 (LS)
Week of June 21, 2004
- Exotic Preferences for Macroeconomists
David Backus, Bryan Routledge, and Stanley Zin #10597 (EFG, AP) - The Effect of Population Health on Foreign Direct Investment
Marcella Alsan, David E. Bloom, and David Canning #10596 (HE, ITI) - Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures
Gary Gorton and K. Geert Rouwenhorst #10595 (AP) - Product Variety and Demand Uncertainty
Dennis W. Carlton and James D. Dana, Jr. #10594 (IO) - Trade, Inequality, and Poverty: What Do We Know? Evidence from Recent Trade Liberalization Episodes in Developing Countries
Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Nina Pavcnik #10593 (ITI, LS) - Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
Susanto Basu, John Fernald, and Miles Kimball #10592 (EFG, ME, P) - Does School Accountability Lead to Improved Student Performance
Eric A. Hanushek and Margaret E. Raymond #10591 (ED, PE, C) - The Quality of Labor Relations and Unemployment
Olivier Blanchard and Thomas Philippon #10590 (EFG, LS, ME) - Preference Formation and the Rise of Women's Labor Force Participation: Evidence from WWII
Raquel Fernandez, Alessandra Fogli, and Claudia Olivetti #10589 (EFG, LS, LE) - The Timing, Intensity, and Composition of Interest Group Lobbying: An Analysis of Structural Policy Windows in the States
John M. de Figueiredo #10588 (IO, LE) - The Costs of Entrenched Boards
Lucian Bebchuk and Alma Cohen #10587 (CF, LE) - India's De-Industrialization Under British Rule: New Ideas, New Evidence
David Clingingsmith and Jeffrey G. Williamson #10586 (DAE, ITI) - Trade Liberalization and Pollution Havens
Josh Ederington, Arik Levinson, and Jenny Minier #10585 (ITI) - Slow Recoveries
Raphael Bergoeing, Norman Loayzaw, and Andrea Repetto #10584 (EFG, P) - Measuring Market Integration: Foreign Exchange Arbitrage and the Gold Standard, 1879-1913
Eugene Canjels, Gauri Prakash-Canjels, and Alan M. Taylor #10583 (DAE, IFM) - The Rise of U.S. Antidumping Actions in Historical Perspective
Douglas Irwin #10582 (DAE, ITI) - Was There a Nasdaq Bubble in the Late 1990s?
Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi #10581 (AP) - Until it's Over, Over There: The U.S. Economy in World War I
Hugh Rockoff #10580 (DAE) - Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models
Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Robert Kimmel #10579 (AP) - Education for Innovation: Entrepreneurial Breakthroughs vs. Corporate Incremental Improvements
William J. Baumol #10578 (IO) - Why Barriers to Entry are Barriers to Understanding
Dennis W. Carlton #10577 (IFM) - Why Doesn't Asia Have Bigger Bond Markets?
Barry Eichengreen and Pipat Luengnaruemitchai #10576 (CF, IFM) - Targeted Remedial Education for Under-Performing Teenagers: Costs and Benefits
Victor Lavy and Analia Schlosser #10575 (ED, LS, C) - Should We Fear Derivatives?
Rene M. Stulz #10574 (CF, AP)
Week of June 14, 2004
- Asymmetric Cycles
Boyan Jovanovic #10573 (EFG, P) - Do Dividend Payments Respond to Taxes? Preliminary Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
Raj Chetty and Emmanuel Saez #10572 (CF, PE) - Conflicts of Interest, Information Provision, and Competition in Banking
Patrick Bolton, Xavier Freixas, and Joel Shapiro #10571 (CF, IO) - Search, Obfuscation, and Price Elasticities on the Internet
Glenn Ellison and Sara Fisher Ellison #10570 (IO) - Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle
Paul Bergin, Reuven Glick, and Alan M. Taylor #10569 (DAE, ITI, P) - Do Institutions Cause Growth?
Edward L. Glaeser, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer #10568 (EFG) - SEC Regulation Fair Disclosure, Information, and the Cost of Capital
Armando Gomes, Gary Gorton, and Leonardo Madureira #10567 (CF, IO, AP) - Growth Accelerations
Ricardo Hausman, Lant Pritchett, and Dani Rodrik #10566 (EFG, ITI) - Globalization, Returns to Accumulations and the World Distribution of Output
Paul Beaudry and Fabrice Collard #10565 (EFG, ITI) - Further Tests of Abortion and Crime
Ted Joyce #10564 (HE, C) - The Real Effects of Investor Sentiment
Christopher Polk and Paola Sapienza #10563 (CF, EFG, AP) - The Economic Effects of Living Wage Laws: A Provisional Review
Scott Adams and David Neumark #10562 (LS) - When Do Living Wages Bite?
Scott Adams and David Neumark #10561 (LS) - Growth Volatility and Financial Liberalization
Geert Bekaert, Campbell R. Harvey, and Christian Lundblad #10560 (ITI, AP, EFG) - The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows
Malcolm Baker, C. Fritz Foley, and Jeffrey Wurgler #10559 (IFM, ITI, AP) - Conscription as Regulation
Casey Mulligan and Andrei Shleifer #10558 (LS, PE) - The Green Solow Model
William A. Brock and M. Scott Taylor #10557 (EFG, ENV) - Shakeouts and Market Crashes
Alessandro Barbarino and Boyan Jovanovic #10556 (EFG, AP) - Growth Effects of the Exchange-Rate Regime and the Capital-Account Openness in a Crisis Prone World Market: A Nuanced View
Assaf Razin and Yona Rubinstein #10555 (IFM) - Where Do New US-Trained Science-Engineering PhDs Come From?
Richard B. Freeman, Emily Jin, and Chia-Yu Shen #10554 (ED, LS)
Week of June 7, 2004
- When Do Firms Hire Lobbyists? The Organization of Lobbying at the Federal Communications Commission
John M. deFigueiredo and James J. Kim #10553 (IO, LE) - The Costs of Low Birth Weight
Douglas Almond, Kenneth Y. Chay, and David S. Lee #10552 (HE, C) - "Success Taxes," Entrepreneurial Entry, and Innovation
William M. Gentry and R. Glenn Hubbard #10551 (PE) - The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting
John R. Graham, Campbell R. Harvey, and Shiva Rajgopal #10550 (CF, AP) - Welfare Reform and Health
Marianne Bitler, Jonah Gelbach, and Hilary Hoynes #10549 (HE, PE) - Stock Prices, News and Economic Fluctuations
Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier #10548 (EFG, AP) - Futures Prices as Risk-adjusted Forecasts of Monetary Policy
Monika Piazzesi and Eric Swanson #10547 (ME) - Profit Neutrality in Licensing: The Boundary between Antitrust Law and Patent Law
Stephen M. Maurer and Suzanne Scotchmer #10546 (LE, P) - Financial Constraints and Growth: Multinational and Local Firm Responses to Currency Crises
Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and Kristin J. Forbes #10545 (CF, IFM)
Week of May 31, 2004
- Heterogeneous Productivity Response to Tariff Reduction: Evidence from Brazilian Manufacturing Firms
Adriana Schor #10544 (ITI, P) - Earnings Manipulation and Managerial Investment Decisions: Evidence from Sponsored Pension Plans
Daniel Bergstresser, Mihir A. Desai, and Joshua Rauh #10543 (CF, LS, AP, PE) - How Much Do Medical Students Know About Physician Income?
Sean Nicholson #10542 (HE, LS) - Incentive Effects of Social Assistance: A Regression Discontinuity Approach
Thomas Lemieux and Kevin Milligan #10541 (LS, PE) - International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms
Fabio Ghironi and Marc J. Melitz #10540 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Political Budget Cycles in New versus Established Democracies
Adi Brender and Allan Drazen #10539 (EFG, IFM) - The Globalization of the Software Industry: Perspectives and Opportunities for Developed and Developing Countries
Ashish Arora and Alfonso Gambardella #10538 (ITI, P) - Do Stock Price Bubbles Influence Corporate Investment?
Simon Gilchrist, Charles P. Himmelberg, and Gur Huberman #10537 (CF, ME, AP) - Mergers and Acquisitions in the Pharmaceutical and Biotech Industries
Patricia M. Danzon, Andrew Epstein, and Sean Nicholson #10536 (CF, HE, IO) - Building Relationships Early: Banks in Venture Capital
Thomas Hellmann, Laura Lindsey, and Manju Puri #10535 (CF) - International Reserves Management and Capital Mobility in a Volatile World: Policy Considerations and a Case Study of Korea
Joshua Aizenman, Yeonho Lee, and Yeongseop Rhee #10534 (IFM, ITI)
Week of May 24, 2004
- Dealing with Destabilizing ‘Market Discipline'
Daniel Cohen and Richard Portes #10533 (IFM) - Fiscal Policy and Financial Depth
Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy #10532 (CF, EFG, IFM) - The Value of Phased Retirement
Steven G. Allen #10531 (A, LS) - Bargaining in Legislatures: An Empirical Investigation
Brian Knight #10530 (PE) - International Migration in the Long-Run: Positive Selection, Negative Selection and Policy
Timothy J. Hatton and Jeffrey G. Williamson #10529 (ITI, LS) - Identifying the Effects of the Americans with Disabilities Act Using State-Law Variation: Preliminary Evidence on Educational Participation Effects
Christine Jolls #10528 (LS, LE) - Consumption Commitments and Preferences for Risk
Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, and Dan Silverman #10527 (EFG, LS) - Firms' Histories and Their Capital Structures
Ayla Kayhan and Sheridan Titman #10526 (CF) - The German Public Pension System: How it Was, How it Will Be
Axel Boersch-Supan and Christina B. Wilke #10525 (A, PE) - A Small Corner of Intertemporal Public Finance - New Developments in Monetary Economics
Willem H. Buiter #10524 (EFG, ME, PE) - Firm Dynamics, Investment, and Debt Portfolio: Balance Sheet Effects of the Mexican Crisis of 1994
Sangeeta Pratap and Carlos Urritia #10523 (EFG) - The Effect of Adolescent Experience on Labor Market Outcomes: The Case of Height
Nicola Persico, Andrew Postlewaite, and Dan Silverman #10522 (LS) - How Fast Do Personal Computers Depreciate? Concepts and New Estimates
Mark E. Doms, Wendy E. Dunn, Stephen D. Oliner, and Daniel E. Sichel #10521 (PE) - On the Empirics of Sudden stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects
Guillermo A. Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo, and Luis-Fernando Mejia #10520 (IFM) - Fear of Sudden Stops: Lessons from Australia and Chile
Ricardo J. Caballero, Kevin Cowan, and Jonathan Kearns #10519 (EFG, IFM) - Speculative Growth: Hints from the US Economy
Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Mohamad L. Hammour #10518 (EFG, IFM) - Exchange Rate Volatility and the Credit Channel in Emerging Markets: A Vertical Perspective
Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy #10517 (EFG, IFM) - HIV Breakthroughs and Risky Sexual Behavior
Dana Goldman, Darius Lakdawalla, and Neeraj Sood #10516 (HE) - A Portrait of the Artist as a Very Young or Very Old Innovator: Creativity at the Extremes of the Life Cycle
David W. Galenson #10515 (LS) - Measuring Self-Control
John Ameriks, Andrew Caplin, John Leahy, and Tom Tyler #10514 (EFG) - The Impact of Education on Fertility and Child Mortality: Do Fathers Really Matter Less Than Mothers?
Lucia Breierova and Esther Duflo #10513 (ED, C) - The Role of Immigration in Dealing with the Developed World's Demographic Transition #10512 (A, PE)
Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, and Laurence Kotlikoff #10512 (A, PE) - The Role of Public Health Improvements in Health Advances: The 20th Century United States
David M. Cutler and Grant Miller #10511 (HE) - Trust and Bribery: The Role of Quid Pro Quo and the Link with Crime
Jennifer Hunt #10510 (LS, PE) - Tax Effects on Work Activity, Industry Mix, and Shadow Economy Size: Evidence from Rich-Country Comparisons
Steven J. Davis and Magnus Henrekson #10509 (EFG, LS, PE) - Obesity as a Barrier to the Transition from Welfare to Work
John Cawley and Sheldon Danziger #10508 (HE, LS) - The Path to the Top: Changes in the Attributes and Careers of Corporate Executives, 1980-2001
Peter Cappelli and Monika Hamori #10507 (LS) - Simple Estimators for the Parameters of Discrete Dynamic Games (with Entry/Exit Examples
Ariel Pakes, Michael Ostrovsky, and Steve Berry #10506 (IO, P)
Week of May 17, 2004
- Housing Collateral and Consumption Insurance Across US Regions
Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Neiuwerburgh #10505 (EFG, LS) - Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz #10504 (EFG) - Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Behavior
Xiaohong Chen and Sydney C. Ludvigson #10503 (AP) - Do Domestic Investors Have an Edge? The Trading Experience of Foreign Investors in Korea
Hyuk Choe, Bong-Chan Kho, and Rene M. Stulz #10502 (IFM, AP) - Market Structure and Productivity: A Concrete Example
Chad Syverson #10501 (IO, P) - Optimal Unemployment Insurance When Income Effects are Large
Raj Chetty #10500 (LS, PE) - Money, Sex, and Happiness: An Empirical Study
David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald #10499 (HE, LE) - Intrahousehold Resource Allocation in Côte d'Ivoire: Social Norms, Separate Accounts and Consumption Choices
Esther Duflo and Christopher Udry #10498 (C)
Week of May 10, 2004
- Global Imbalances and the Lessons of Bretton Woods
Barry Eichengreen #10497 (DAE, IFM) - On the Two Way Feedback Between Financial and Trade Openness
Joshua Aizenman and Ilan Noy #10496 (ITI) - Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy
William A. Brock and Steven N. Durlauf #10495 (EFG) - Are Perks Purely Managerial Excess?
Raghuram Rajan and Julie Wulf #10494 (CF, LS) - The Economic Aftermath of the 1960s Riots: Evidence from Property Values
William J. Collins and Robert A. Margo #10493 (DAE, LS) - Moving Up or Moving Out? Anti-Sweatshop Activists and Labor Market Outcomes
Ann Harrison and Jason Scorse #10492 (ITI, LS) - The Tying of Lending and Equity Underwriting
Steven Drucker #10491 #10491 (CF) - On the (Ir)Relevence of Distribution and Labor Supply Distortion to Government Policy
Louis Kaplow #10490 #10490 (LE, PE) - The Role of Information in Medical Markets: An Analysis of Publicly Reported Outcomes in Cardiac Surgery
David M. Cutler, Robert S. Huckman, and Mary Beth Landrum #10489 (HE) - The Take Up of Social Benefits
Janet Currie #10488 (LS, PE, C) - Do Welfare Asset Limits Affect Household Saving? Evidence from Welfare Reform
Erik Hurst and James P. Ziliak #10487 (EFG, A, PE) - Plan Design and 401(k) Savings Outcomes
James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #10486 (CF, EFG, A, LS, PE) - Social Capital
Steven N. Durlauf and Marcel Fafchamps #10485 (EFG) - Finders Keepers: Forfeiture Laws, Policing Incentives, and Local Budgets
Katherine Baicker and Mirielle Jacobson #10484 (PE)
Week of May 3, 2004
- A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction
Amit Goyal and Ivo Welch #10483 (CF, AP) - Assessing the Economic Gains from Telecom Competition
Richard N. Clarke, Kevin A. Hassett, Zoya Ivanova, and Laurence J. Kotlikoff #10482 (IO) - Institutions as the Fundamental Cause of Long-Run Growth
Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson #10481 (EFG) - Trade Costs
James E. Anderson and Eric van Wincoop #10480 (ITI) - Bank Chartering and Political Corruption in Antebellum New York: Free Banking as Reform
Howard Bodenhorn #10479 (DAE) - Education, Work, and Crime: A Human Capital Approach
Lance Lochner #10478 (LS, C) - How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?
Thomas Hertel, David Hummels, Maros Ivanic, and Roman Keeney #10477 (ITI) - Can Portfolio Rebalancing Explain the Dynamics of Equity Returns, Equity Flows and Exchange Rates?
Harald Hau and Helene Rey #10476 (IFM, AP) - Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Instability During the Great Depression
Kris James Mitchener #10475 (DAE, ME) - R&D Sourcing, Joint Ventures and Innovation: A Multiple Indicators Approach
James D. Adams and Mircea Marcu #10474 (P) - Retail Electricity Competition
Paul L. Joskow and Jean Tirole #10473 (IO) - Reliability and Competitive Electricity Markets
Paul L. Joskow and Jean Tirole #10472 (IO) - Corporate Tax Avoidance and High Powered Incentives
Mihir A. Desai and Dhammika Dharmapala #10471 (CF, PE) - Who Benefits from the Education Saving Incentives? Income, Educational Expectations, and the Value of the 529 and Coverdell
Susan M. Dynarski #10470 (ED, C) - Earnings Inequality and the Business Cycle
Gadi Barlevy and Daniel Tsiddon #10469 (EFG, LS) - Soft Information, Hard Shell: The Role of Soft Information in the Pricing of Intellectual Property Evidence for Screenplays Sales
William N. Goetzman, Vicente Pons-Sanz, and S. Abraham Ravid #10468 (IO, AP) - Specialization and Regulation: The Rise of Professionals and the Emergence of Occupational Licensing Regulation
Marc T. Law and Sukkoo Kim #10467 (HE, DAE, LS) - Social Security and the Evolution of Elderly Poverty
Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber #10466 (A, PE) - Factor Substitution and Unobserved Factor Quality in Nursing Homes
John Cawley, David C. Grabowski, and Richard A. Hirth #10465 (HE) - Death Spiral or Euthanasia? The Demise of Generous Group Health Insurance Coverage
Mark V. Pauly, Olivia Mitchell, and Yuhui Zeng #10464 (HE)
Week of April 26, 2004
- A Simple Model of Optimal Hate Crime Legislation
Li Gan, Roberton C. Williams III, and Thomas Wiseman #10463 (PE) - A Test for Anchoring and Yea-Saying in Experimental Consumption Data
Arthur van Soest and Michael Hurd #10462 (A) - Models for Anchoring and Acquiescence Bias in Consumption Data
Arthur van Soest and Michael Hurd #10461 (A) - What Determines Corruption? International Evidence from Micro Data
Naci Mocan #10460 (EFG, LE) - Child Care Subsidy Receipt, Employment, and Child Care Choices of Single Mothers
Erdal Tekin #10459 (HE, LS, C) - A Model of Housing in the Presence of Adjustment Costs: A Structural Interpretation of Habit Persistence
Marjorie Flavin and Shinobu Nakagawa #10458 (EFG) - The Shape of Production Functions and the Direction of Technical Change
Charles I. Jones #10457 (EFG, P) - What prompts Japan to Intervene in the Forex Market? A New Approach to a Reaction Function
Takatoshi Ito and Tomoyoshi Yabu #10456 (IFM)
Week of April 19, 2004
- On the Efficacy of Reforms: Policy Tinkering Institutional Change, and Entrepreneurship
Murat Iyigun and Dani Rodrik #10455 (CF, PE) - Consumption-Wealth Comovement of the Wrong Sign
James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Andrew Metrick #10454 (EFG, AP) - R-squared Around the World: New Theory and New Tests
Li Jin and Stewart C. Myers #10453 (CF) - Does Prekindergarten Improve School Preparation and Performance?
Katherine A. Magnuson, Christopher J. Ruhm, and Jane Waldfogel #10452 (ED, C) - Constitutions, Corporations, and Corruption: American States and Constitutional Change
John Joseph Wallis #10451 (DAE) - Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect Competition
Patrick Bajari, C. Lanier Benkard, and Jonathan Levin #10450 (IO)
Week of April 12, 2004
- Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler #10449 (CF, AP) - High-Frequency Contagion Between the Exchange Rates and Stock Prices
Yuko Hashimoto and Takatoshi Ito #10448 (IFM, AP) - Assessing the Risk in Sample Minimum Risk Portfolios
Gopal K. Basak, Ravi Jagannathan, and Tongshu Ma #10447 (AP) - Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach
Simon Gilchrist and John C. Williams #10446 (ME) - Access to Care, Provider Choice and Racial Disparities
Anna Aizer, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Mark Stabile #10445 (HE, C) - Social Security and Trust Fund Management
Takashi Oshio #10444 (A, PE) - The Optimal Design of Unemployment Insurance and Employment Protection. A First Pass
Olivier Blanchard and Jean Tirole #10443 (EFG, ME, PE) - Factor Prices and Factor Substitution in U.S. Firms' Manufacturing Affiliates Abroad
Maria Borga and Robert E. Lipsey #10442 (ITI) - Financial-Sector FDI and Host Countries: New and Old Lessons
Linda Goldberg #10441 (ITI) - Fiscal Shenanigans, Targeted Federal Health Care Funds, and Patient Mortality
Katherine Baicker and Douglas Staiger #10440 (HE, PE) - Political Pressure Deflection
James E. Anderson and Maurizio Zanardi #10439 (ITI) - Which Countries Have State Religions?
Robert J. Barro and Rachel M. McCleary #10438 (EFG) - Managed Care Discounting: Evidence from the MarketScan Database
Avi Dor, Siran Koroukian, and Michael Grossman #10437 (HE) - Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases: Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices
Zoran Ivkovich and Scott Weisbenner #10436 (AP) - Child Mental Health and Human Capital Accumulation: The Case of ADHD
Janet Currie and Mark Stabile #10435 (ED, HE, C) - Short Interest and Stock Returns
Paul Asquith, Parag A. Pathak, and Jay R. Ritter #10434 (CF, AP) - Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Management
William D. Nordhaus #10433 (EFG, P) - Hierarchies, Specialization, and the Utilization of Knowledge: Theory and Evidence from the Legal Services Industry
Luis Garicano and Thomas N. Hubbard #10432 (IO) - The Yield Curve, Recessions and the Credibility of the Monetary Regime: Long Run Evidence 1875-1997
Michael D. Bordo and Joseph G. Haubrich #10431 (DAE, ME)
Week of April 5, 2004
- Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11
Martin Eichenbaum and Jonas Fisher #10430 (EFG, ME, PE) - Competition in Imperfect Markets? Does it Help California's Medicaid Mothers?
Anna Aizer, Janet Currie, and Enrico Moretti #10429 (HE, IO, PE, C) - Quantile Regression under Misspecification, with an Application to the U.S. Wage Structure
Joshua Angrist, Victor Chernozhukov, and Ivan Fernandez-Val #10428 (LS) - Hedonic Price Indexes for Personal Computer Operating Systems and Productivity Suites
Alan G. White, Jaison R. Abel, Ernst R. Berndt, and Cory W. Monroe #10427 (P) - International Trade and Cultural Identity
Eckhard Janeba #10426 (ITI) - Shame and Ostracism: Union Army Deserters Leave Home
Dora L. Costa and Matthew E. Kahn #10425 (DAE) - How Much is Post-Acute Care Use Affected by Its Availability?
Melinda Beeuwkes Buntin, Anita Datar Garten, Susan Paddock, Debra Saliba, Mark Totten, and Jose C. Escarce #10424 (HE) - The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F.Engle
Francis X. Diebold #10423 (AP) - Optimal Recursive Refinancing and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities
Francis A. Longstaff #10422 (CF, AP) - Employee Stock Purchase Plan
Gary V. Engelhardt and Brigitte C. Madrian #10421 (CF, A, LS, PE) - Backward Stealing and Forward Manipulation in the WTO
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #10420 (ITI) - 401(k) Matching Contributions in Company Stock: Costs and Benefits for Firms and Workers
Jeffrey R. Brown, Nellie Liang, and Scott Weisbenner #10419 (CF, A, LS, PE) - Corporate Yield Spreads: Default Risk or Liquidity? New Evidence from the Credit-Default Swap Market
Francis A. Longstaff, Sanjay Mithal, and Eric Neis #10418 (AP) - Legal Institutions and Financial Development
Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine #10417 (IFM) - Benefits and Spillovers of Greater Competition in Europe: A Macroeconomic Assessment
Tamim Bayoumi, Douglas Laxton, and Paolo Pesenti #10416 (EFG, IFM) - Phased-In Tax Cuts and Economic Activity
Christopher L. House and Matthew D. Shapiro #10415 (EFG, PE) - Home Care Reimbursement, Long-term Care Utilization, and Health Outcomes
Robin McKnight #10414 (A, HE) - Conditional Betas
Tano Santos and Pietro Veronesi #10413 (AP) - A Rational Model of the Closed-End Fund Discount
Jonathan Berk and Richard Stanton #10412 (AP) - Financial Claustrophobia: Asset Pricing in Illiquid Markets
Francis A. Longstaff #10411 (CF, AP) - Heterogeneous Investors and their Changing Demand and Supply Schedules for Individual Common Stocks
Jung-Wook Kim, Jason Lee, and Randall K. Morck #10410 (CF, AP) - Asymmetric Social Interaction in Economics: Beatriz Gonzalez Lopez-Valcarel Cigarette Smoking Among Young People in the United States
Jeffrey E. Harris and Beatriz Gonzalez Lopez-Valcarel #10409 (HE)
Week of March 29, 2004
- Does the Market Value R&D Investment by European Firms? Evidence from a Panel of Manufacturing Firms in France, Germany, and Italy
Bronwyn H. Hall and Raffaele Oriani #10408 (IO, P) - On the Undesirability of Commodity Taxation Even When Income Taxation is Not Optimal
Louis Kaplow #10407 (PE) - New Forecasts of the Equity Premium
Christopher Polk, Samuel Thompson, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho #10406 (AP) - Mergers and the Composition of International Commerce
Volker Nocke and Stephen Yeaple #10405 (ITI) - Timeliness, Trade and Agglomeration
James Harrigan and Anthony J. Venables #10404 (ITI) - Incentives in Corporations: Evidence from the American Whaling Industry
Eric Hilt #10403 (DAE) - What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?
Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth N. Kuttner #10402 (ME) - Estimating the Value of a Statistical Life: The Importance of Omitted Variables and Publication Bias
Orley Ashenfelter and Michael Greenstone #10401 (HE, LS, LE) - The Institutions of Monetary Policy
Mervyn King #10400 (EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
Week of March 22, 2004
- Top Wealth Shares in the United States, 1916-2000: Evidence from Estate Tax Returns
Wojciech Kopczuk and Emmanuel Saez #10399 (EFG, LS, PE) - Microeconomic Flexibility in Latin America
Ricardo J. Caballero, Eduardo M.R.A. Engel, and Alejandro Micco #10398 (EFG, LS) - Agreeing Now to Agree Later: Contracts that Rule Out but do not Rule in
Oliver Hart and John Moore #10397 (CF) - The Trilemma in History: Tradeoffs among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility
Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, and Alan M. Taylor #10396 (DAE, IFM) - Valuing Assets in Retirement Saving Accounts
James Poterba #10395 (A, AP, PE) - Public Debt Management in Brazil
Francesco Giavazzi and Alessandro Missale #10394 (IFM) - Monetary Sovereignty, Exchange Rates, and Capital Controls: The Trilemma in the Interwar Period
Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, and Alan M. Taylor #10393 (IFM, ME) - Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and the Design of Interest Rate Rules
Jordi Gali, J. David Lopez-Salido, and Javier Valles #10392 (EFG, ME) - Transparency of Information and Coordination in Economies with Investment
George-Marios Angeletos and Alessandro Pavan #10391 (EFG) - Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil
Carlo A. Favero and Francesco Giavazzi #10390 (IFM) - Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Brazil
Olivier Blanchard #10389 (EFG, IFM, ME) - An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Impact of Federal Terrorism Reinsurance
Jeffrey R. Brown, J. David Cummins, Christopher M. Lewis, and Ran Wei #10388 (PE) - Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Role of Interest Rates
Pablo A. Neumeyer and Fabrizio Perri #10387 (EFG) - Consumer Demand for Health Information on the Internet
M. Kate Bundorf, Laurence Baker, Sara Singer, and Todd Wagner #10386 (HE, P) - Legislative Representation, Bargaining Power, and the Distribution of Federal Funds: Evidence from the U.S. Senate
Brian Knight #10385 (PE) - Tracking the Source of the Decline in GDP Volatility: Analysis of the Automobile
Valerie A. Ramey and Daniel J. Vine #10384 (EFG) - Nominal Wage Rigidities in Mexico: Evidence from Social Security Records
Sara G. Castellanos, Rodrigo García-Verdú, and David S. Kaplan #10383 (LS) - Employer-Sponsored Disability Insurance: Where are the Gaps in Coverage?
Helen Levy #10382 (HE, LS, PE)
Week of March 15, 2004
- Mortality Risk and Educational Attainment of Black and White Men
Li Gan and Guan Gong #10381 (A) - Business Environment and Firm Entry: Evidence from International Data
Leora Klapper, Luc Laeven and Raghuram Rajan #10380 (CF) - A New Micro Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics
Martin D.D. Evans and Richard K.Lyons #10379 (IFM) - Inappropriate Pooling of Wealthy and Poor Countries in Empirical FDI Studies
Bruce A. Blonigen and Miao Wang #10378 (IO) - Transaction Prices and Managed Care Discounting for Selected Medical Technologies: A Bargaining Approach
Avi Dor, Michael Grossman, and Siran M. Koroukian #10377 (HE) - From "Hindu Growth" to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition
Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian #10376 (EFG, IFM) - Government Gains from Self-Restraint: A Bargaining Theory of Inefficient Redistribution
Allan Drazen and Nuno Limao #10375 (EFG, PE) - Pay or Pray? The Impact of Charitable Subsidies on Religious Attendance
Jonathan Gruber #10374 (PE) - A Meta-Analysis of the Effect of Common Currencies on International Trade
Andrew W. Rose #10373 (IFM, ITI) - Dynamic Portfolio Selection by Augmenting the Asset Space
Michael W. Brandt and Pedro Santa-Clara #10372 (AP) - Inequality, Technology, and the Social Contract
Roland Benabou #10371 (EFG, PE) - Do College Instructors Matter? The Effects of Adjuncts and Graduate Assistants on Students' Interests and Success
Eric Bettinger and Bridget Terry Long #10370 (ED) - Shape Up or Ship Out: The Effects of Remediation on Students at Four-Year Colleges
Eric Bettinger and Bridget Terry Long #10369 (ED) - Three Strikes and You're Out: Reply to Cooper and Willis
Ricardo J. Caballero and Eduardo M.R.A. Engel #10368 (EFG, LS)
Week of March 8, 2004
- The Effect of Structural Reforms on Productivity and Profitability Enhancing Reallocation: Evidence from Colombia
Marcela Eslave, John Haltiwanger, Adriana Kugler, and Maurice Kugler #10367 (EFG, P) - Would the Elimination of Affirmative Action Affect Highly Qualified Minority Applicants? Evidence from California and Texas
David Card, and Alan B. Krueger #10366 (C, Ed, LS, PE) - The Impact of Nearly Universal Insurance Coverage on Health Care Utilization and Health: Evidence from Medicare
David Card, Carlos Dobkin, and Nicole Maestas #10365 (HC) - Labor Productivity in Britain and America During the Nineteenth Century
Stephen N. Broadberry and Douglas A. Irwin #10364 (DAE, ITI) - The Dynamics of Seller Reputation: Theory and Evidence from eBay
Luis Cabral and Ali Hortacsu #10363 (IO) - Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
Troy Davig, Eric M. Leeper, and Hess Chung #10362 (EFG) - Subjective Outcomes in Economics
Daniel S. Hamermesh #10361 (LS) - Productivity Growth and Disinflation in Chile
Jose De Gregorio #10360 (IFM)
Week of March 1, 2004
- Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets
Charles F. Manski #10359 - The Effect of Financial Development on Convergence: Theory and Evidence
Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt, and David Mayer-Foulkes #10358 (EFG) - Tax Policy and Education Policy: Collision or Coordination? A Case Study of the 529 and Coverdell Saving Incentives
Susan M. Dynarski #10357 (ED, PE, C) - How Well Can the New Open Economy Macroeconomics Explain the Exchange Rate and Current Account?
Paul R. Bergin #10356 (IFM) - Equity Style Returns and Institutional Investor Flows
Kenneth A. Froot and Melvyn Teo #10355 (AP) - Interest Rates and Backward-Bending Investment
Raj Chetty #10354 (EFG, ME, PE) - Port Efficiency, Maritime Transport Costs, and Bilateral Trade
Ximena Clark, David Dollar, and Alejandro Micco #10353 (ITI) - Fibonacci and the Financial Revolution
William N. Goetzmann #10352 (AP) - Business Cycle Accounting
V.V. Chari, Patrick J. Kehoe, and Ellen R. McGrattan #10351 (EFG) - Co-Worker Complementarity and the Stability of Top Management Teams
Rachel M. Hayes, Paul Oyer and Scott Schaefer #10350 (LS, LE) - Do Foreign Students Crowd Out Native Students from Graduate Programs?
George J. Borjas #10349 (ED, LS) - Transaction Structures in the Developing World
Josh Lerner and Antoinette Schoar #10348 (CF) - On the Distributional Consequences of Child Labor Legislation
Dirk Krueger and Jessica Tjornhom Donohue #10347 (EFG, LS, C) - Technological Innovations and Endogenous Changes in U.S. Legal Institutions, 1790-1920
B. Zorina Khan #10346 (DAE, LE) - Time-Inconsistency and Welfare
Jay Bhattacharya and Darius Lakdawalla #10345 (HE) - Dissecting Trade: Firms, Industries, and Export Destinations
Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum, and Francis Kramarz #10344 (IFM, ITI) - Portfolio Diversification and City Agglomeration
William N. Goetzmann, Massimo Massa, and Andrei Simonov #10343 (AP) - The European Union: A Politically Incorrect View
Alberto Alesina and Roberto Perotti #10342 (EFG, ME, PE) - Minimum Asset Requirements and Compulsory Liability Insurance As Solutions to the Judgment-Proof Problem
Steven Shavell #10341 (LE) - Unlocking Housing Equity in Japan
Olivia S. Mitchell and John Piggott #10340 (A) - Who Bears the Burden of Social Insurance?: Evidence from Japanese Health and Long-term Care Insurance Data
Kohei Komamura and Atsuhiro Yamada #10339 (A, LS, PE) - What Really Happened to Consumption Inequality in the US?
Orazio Attanasio, Erich Battistin, and Hidehiko Ichimura #10338 (EFG) - Capital Controls, Liberalizations, and Foreign Direct Investment
Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr.#10337 (CF, IFM, ITI) - A Risk Management Approach to Emerging Market's Sovereign Debt Sustainability with an Application to Brazilian Data
Marcio Garcia and Roberto Rigobon #10336 (IFM) - From the Valley to the Summit: The Quiet Revolution that Transformed Women's Work
Claudia Goldin #10335 (DAE, LS) - Coordination vs. Differentiation in a Standards War: 56K Modems
Angelique Augereau, Shane Greenstein, and Marc Rysman #10334 (IO, P) - Are Policy Platforms Capitalized into Equity Prices? Evidence from the Bush/Gore 2000 Presidential Election
Brian Knight #10333 (AP, PE) - The Revived Bretton Woods System: The Effects of Periphery Intervention and Reserve Management on Interest Rates and Exchange Rates in Center Countries
Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber #10332 (IFM) - The Long Road to the Fast Track: Career and Family
Claudia Goldin #10331 (DAE, LS) - Empirical Estimates for Environmental Policy Making in a Second-Best Setting
Sarah E. West and Roberton C. Williams #10330 (PE, ENV)
Week of February 23, 2004
- Good vs. Bad Deflation: Lessons from the Gold Standard Era
Michael Bordo, John Landon Lane and Angela Redish #10329 (DAE, ME) - The Expanding Pharmaceutical Arsenal in the War on Cancer
Frank Lichtenberg #10328 (HC, P) - Flight to Quality, Flight to Liquidity, and the Pricing of Risk
Dimitri Vayanos #10327 (AP) - The Consequences of Rigid Wages in Search Models
Robert Shimer #10326 (EFG, LS) - Production Function and Wage Equation Estimation with Heterogeneous Labor: Evidence from a New Matched Employer-Employee Data Set
Judith K. Hellerstein and David Neumark #10325 (LS, P) - The Illusion of Sustainability
Michael Kremer and Edward Miguel #10324 (EFG, HC, PE) - Market Power vs. Efficiency Effects of Mergers and Research Joint Ventures: Evidence from the Semiconductor Industry
Ralph Siebert and Klaus Gugler #10323 (IO, P) - The (Un)Changing Geographical Distribution of Housing Tax Benefits: 1980-2000
Todd Sinai and Joseph Gyourko #10322 (PE) - Taxation and Corporate Payout Policy
James Poterba #10321 (CF, PE) - Household vs. Personal Accounts of the U.S. Labor Market, 1965-2000
Casey B. Mulligan and Yona Rubinstein #10320 (LS, PE) - Surviving the U.S. Import Market: The Role of Product Differentiation
Tibor Besedes and Thomas J. Prusa #10319 (ITI) - Is the Invisible Hand Discerning or Insdiscriminate? Investment and Stock Prices in the Aftermath of Capital Account Liberalizations
Anusha Chari and Peter Blair Henry #10318 (CF, IFM) - International Trade and Child Labor: Cross-Country Evidence
Eric Edmonds and Nina Pavcnik #10317 (C, ITI. LS) - Why Do Americans Work so Much More Than Europeans?
Edward C. Prescott #10316 (A, EFG, PE) - Putting Computerized Instruction to the Test: A Randomized Evaluation of a "Scientifically-based Reading Program
Cecilia Elean Rouse and Alan B. Krueger #10315 (C, Ed) - Globalization and the Gains from Variety
Christian Broda and David E. Weinstein #10314 (ITI) - Ethnic Diversity and Economic Performance
Alberto Alesina and Eliana La Ferrara #10313 (EFG, PE) - Opportunities, Race, and Urban Location: The Influence of John Kain
Edward L. Glaeser, Eric A. Hanushek, and John M. Quigley #10312 (LE, PE) - Changes in the Disparities in Chronic Disease during the Course of the Twentieth Century
Robert W. Fogel #10311 (A, DAE, HE)
Week of February 16, 2004
- The Economic Future of Europe
Olivier Blanchard #10310 (EFG) - Technology Shocks in the New Keynesian Model
Peter N. Ireland #10309 (EFG) - Asbestos and the Future of Mass Torts
Michelle J. White #10308 (LE) - Consumption vs. Expenditure
Mark Aguiar and Erik Hurst #10307 (EFG) - Rearranging the Family? Income Support and Elderly Living Arrangements in a Low Income Country
Eric Edmonds, Kristin Mammen, and Douglas L. Miller #10306 (C)
Week of February 9, 2004
- Personal Accounts and Family Retirement
Alan L. Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier #10305 (A, LS, PE) - Does "Aggregation Bias" Explain the PPP Puzzle?
Shiu-Sheng Chen and Charles Engel #10304 (ITI) - Robustness of Productivity Estimates
Johannes Van Biesebroeck #10303 (P) - The Economics of Latin American Art: Creativity Patterns and Rates of Return
Sebastian Edwards #10302 (AP) - Did Dividends Increase Immediately After the 2003 Reduction in Tax Rates?
Jennifer L. Blouin, Jana Smith-Raedy, and Douglas A. Shackelford #10301 (PE) - Market Integration and Economic Development: A Long-run Comparison
Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue #10300 (ITI, P) - The Best of Times, the Worst of Times: Health and Nutrition in Pre-Columbian America
Richard H. Steckel #10299 (DAE) - Interest Rates and Initial Public Offerings
Boyan Jovanovic and Peter L. Rousseau #10298 (CF, EFG, ME)
Week of February 2, 2004
- Dynamics of Labor Demand: Evidence from Plant-level Observations and Aggregate Implications
Russell W. Cooper, John C. Haltiwanger, and Jonathan Willis #10297 (EFG, LS, P) - Serial Default and the "Paradox" of Rich to Poor Capital Flows
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff #10296 (EFG, IFM) - How Do Banks Set Interest Rates?
Leonardo Gambacorta #10295 (ME) - Aggregate Supply and Potential Output
Assaf Razin #10294 (IFM, ME) - The Positive Link Between Financial Liberalization, Growth and Crises
Aaron Tornell, Frank Westermann, and Lorenza Martinez #10293 (IFM) - Subsidy Agreements
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #10292 (ITI) - How Much Equity Does the Government Hold?
Alan J. Auerbach #10291 (CF, PE) - Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation
Alan J. Auerbach and Maurice Obstfeld #10290 (EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - NAFTA and Mexico's Less-Than-Stellar Performance
Aaron Tornell, Frank Westermann, and Lorenza Martinez #10289 (IFM) - Legal Regime and Business's Organizational Choice
Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Jean-Laurent Rosenthal #10288 (DAE) - Mandatory Unbundling and Irreversible Investment in Telecom Networks
Robert S. Pindyck #10287 (IO) - Self-Employment: More may not be better
David G. Blanchflower #10286 (LS) - ENTICE-BR: The Effects of Backstop Technology R&D on Climate Policy Models
David Popp #10285 (P)
Week of January 26, 2004
- Capital Controls: Mud in the Wheels of Market Discipline
Kristin J. Forbes #10284 (IFM) - Equilibrium Policy Experiments and the Evaluation of Social Programs
Jeremy Lise, Shannon Seitz, and Jeffrey Smith #10283 (LS, PE) - Social Security and Unsecured Debt
Erik Hurst and Paul Willen #10282 (AP, PE) - The Demand for Sons: Evidence from Divorce, Fertility, and Shotgun Marriage
Gordon B. Dahl and Enrico Moretti #10281 (LS,C) - Monetary Policy and the Volatility of Real Exchange Rates in New Zealand
Kenneth D. West #10280 (IFM, ME) - Cross-country Conversion Factors for Sectoral Productivity Comparisons
Johannes Van Biesebroeck #10279 (P) - Demand Estimation with Heterogeneous Consumers and Unobserved Product Characteristics: A Hedonic Approach
C. Lanier Benkard and Patrick Bajari #10278 (IO) - Financial Openness, Sudden Stops and Current Account Reversals
Sebastian Edwards #10277 (IFM) - Thirty Years of Current Account Imbalances, Current Account Reversals and Sudden Stops
Sebastian Edwards #10276 (IFM) - Tax-Motivated Trading by Individual Investors
Zoran Ivkovich, James Poterba, and Scott Weisbenner #10275 (PE) - Single Mothers Working at Night: Standard Work, Child Care Subsidies, and Implications for Welfare Reform
Erdal Tekin #10274 (LS,PE) - Reported Incomes and Marginal Tax Rates, 1960-2000: Evidence and Policy Implications
Emmanuel Saez #10273 (PE) - Chaotic Interest Rate Rules: Expanded Version
Jess Benhabib, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe, and Martin Uribe #10272 (EFG, ME) - Does Copyright Piracy Pay? The Effects of U.S. International Copyright Laws on the Market for Books, 1790-1920
B. Zorina Khan #10271 (DAE, LE, P) - The Declining Equity Premium: What Role Does Macroeconomic Risk Play?
Martin Lettau, Sydney C. Ludvigson, and Jessica A. Wachter #10270 (AP) - Does Competition Destroy Ethical Behavior?
Andrei Shleifer #10269 (CF, IO, LS, LE) - Deflation and Depression: Is There an Empirical Link?
Andrew Atkeson and Patrick Kehoe #10268 (EFG, ME) - Accounting for Exchange Rate Variability in Present-Value Models When the Discount Factor is Near One
Charles Engel and Kenneth D. West #10267 (IFM,AP) - Life-Cycle Consumption and the Age-Adjusted Value of Life
Thomas J. Kniesner, W. Kip Viscusi and James P. Ziliak #10266 (HE, LE) - Does Illiquidity Alter Child Labor and Schooling Decisions? Evidence from Household Responses to Anticipated Cash Transfers in South Africa
Eric V. Edmonds #10265 (C) - Investor Behavior in the Option Market
Josef Lakonishok, Inmoo Lee, and Allen M. Poteshman #10264 (AP) - Inflation Illusion and Stock Prices
John Y. Campbell and Tuomo Vuolteenaho #10263 (EFG, ME, AP) - What do Aggregate Consumption Euler Equations Say about the Capital Income Tax Burden?
Casey B. Mulligan #10262 (EFG, PE) - Deep Habits
Morten Ravn, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe, and Martin Uribe #10261 (EFG, IO) - Are Americans Saving "Optimally" for Retirement?
John Karl Scholz, Ananth Seshadri, and Surachai Khitatrakun #10260 (A, PE) - Why Are Most Funds Open-End? Competition and the Limits of Arbitrage
Jeremy C. Stein #10259 (CF, AP) - R&D Investments with Competitive Interactions
Kristian R. Miltersen and Eduardo S. Schwartz #10258 (IO, P, AP) - Is here a Retirement-Consumption Puzzle? Evidence Using Subjective Retirement Expectations
Steven J. Haider and Melvin Stephens Jr. #10257 (EFG, A, LS) - Market Culture: How Norms Governing Exploding Offers Affect Market Performance
Muriel Niederle and Alvin E. Roth #10256 (IO, LS)
Week of January 19, 2004
- A Monte Carlo Study of Growth Regressions
William R. Hauk, Jr. and Romain Wacziarg #T0296 (TWP) - The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz Hypothesis
Lawrence J. Christiano, Roberto Motto, and Massimo Rostagno #10255 (EFG, ME) - The Response of Hours to a Technology Stock: Evidence Based on Direct Measures of Technology
Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, and Robert Vigfusson #10254 (EFG) - Optimal Simple and Implementable Monetary and Fiscal Rules
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martin Uribe #10253 (ME) - A Search for Multiple Equilibria in Urban Industrial Structure
Donald R. Davis and David E. Weinstein #10252 (IO, PE) - Air Pollution and Infant Health: What Can We Learn From California's Recent Experience?
Janet Currie and Matthew Neidell #10251(ENV, HE, C) - Tight Clothing: How the MFA Affects Asian Apparel Exports
Carolyn L. Evans and James Harrigan #10250 (ITI) - National Sovereignty in an Interdependent World
Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #10249 (ITI) - Persuasion in Politics
Kevin Murphy and Andrei Shleifer #10248 (EFG) - How Well Do Parents With Young Children Combine Work and Family Life?
Christopher J. Ruhm #10247 (C) - Financial Development and the Instability Of Open Economies
Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee #10246(EFG, IFM) - A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop #10245(IFM) - Fooling Ourselves: Evaluating the Globalization and Growth Debate
James Levinsohn and Juan Carlos Hallak #10244 (ITI) - The Labor Market Effects of the 1960s Riots
William J. Collins and Robert A. Margo #10243 (DAE, LS) - How Financial Aid Affects Persistence
Eric Bettinger #10242 (ED) - Bureaucrats or Politicians?
Alberto Alesina and Guido Tabellini #10241 (EFG, PE) - Incentives vs. Control: An Analysis of U.S. Dual-Class Companies
Paul A. Gompers, Joy Ishii, and Andrew Metrick #10240 (CF, AP) - Is it is or is it Ain't my Obligation? Regional Debt in Monetary Unions
Russell Cooper, Hubert Kempf, and Dan Peled #10239 (EFG) - Investment Prices and Exchange Rates: Some Basic Facts
Ariel Burstein, Joao C. Neves and Sergio Rebelo #10238 (EFG, IFM) - Knowledge Management, Innovation and Productivity: A Firm Level Exploration Based on French Manufacturing CIS3 Data
Elizabeth Kremp and Jacques Mairesse #10237 (P) - Financial Development and Growth in the Short and Long Run
Raymond Fisman and Inessa Love #10236 (CF, EFG) - The Geography of Stock Market Participation: The Influence of Communities and Local Firms
Jeffrey R. Brown, Zoran Ivkovich, Paul A. Smith and Scott J. Weisbenner #10235 (AP, PE) - Population and Regulation
Casey B. Mulligan and Andrei Shleifer #10234 (EFG, IO, PE) - Market Reactions to Export Subsidies
Mihir A. Desai and James R. Hines Jr. #10233 (ITI, AP, PE) - On the Desirability of Fiscal Constraints in a Monetary Union
V.V. Chari and Patrick J. Kehoe #10232 (EFG, IFM) - Efficiency with Endogenous Population Growth
Mikhail Golosov, Larry E. Jones, and Michele Tertilt #10231 (EFG) - Helping the Poor to Help Themselves: Debt Relief or Aid
Serkan Arslanalp and Peter Blair Henry #10230 (IFM) - Some Simple Analytics of School Quality
Eric A. Hanushek #10229 (ED, LS, PE, C)
Week of January 5, 2004
- Optimal Integration Strategies for the Multinational Firm
James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Andrew Metrick #10228 (AP) - What Happens When Child Care Inspections and Complaints Are Made Available on the Internet?
Ann Dryden Witte and Magaly Queralt #10227 (C) - Interpersonal Effects in Consumption: Evidence from the Automobile Purchases of Neighbors
Mark Grinblatt, Matti Keloharju, and Seppo Ikaheimo #10226 (AP) - World Markets for Raising New Capital
Brian J. Henderson and Michael S. Weisbach #10225 (CF, IFM) - Private Benefits and Cross-Listings in the United States
Evangelos Benos and Michael S. Weisbach #10224 (CF) - The New New Financial Thing: The Sources of Innovation Before and After State Street
Josh Lerner #10223 (CF, P) - Why Do Some Firms Give Stock Options to All Employees?: An Empirical Examination of Alternative Theories
Paul Oyer and Scott Schaefer #10222 (CF, LS, LE) - Compensating Employees Below the Executive Ranks: A Comparison of Options, Restricted Stock, and Cash
Paul Oyer and Scott Schaefer #10221 (CF, LS, LE) - Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregessive (FAVAR) Approach
Ben S. Bernanke, Jean Boivin, and Piotr Eliasz #10220 (ME) - How Large are the Classification Errors in the Social Security Disability Award Process?
Hugo Benitez-Silva, Moshe Buchinsky, and John Rust #10119 (A, LS, PE) - Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations
Owen A. Lamont and Jeremy C. Stein #10218 (AP) - Is Debt Relief Efficient?
Serkan Arslanalp and Peter Blair Henry #10217 (IFM) - The Absent-Minded Consumer
John Ameriks, Andrew Caplin, and John Leahy #10216 (EFG) - The Effect of Job Security Regulations on Labor Market Flexibility: Evidence from the Colombian Labor Market Reform
Adriana Kugler #10215 (LS) - Family Cap Provisions and Changes in Births and Adoptions
Ted Joyce, Robert Kaestner, Sanders Korenman, and Stanley Henshaw #10214 (HE, PE, C) - A Portrait of the Artist as a Young or Old Innovator: Measuring the Careers of Modern Novelists
David W. Galenson #10213 (LS) - Innovation and Diffusion
Bronwyn H. Hall #10212 (P) - Consumption Commitments, Unemployment Durations, and Local Risk Aversion
Raj Chetty #10211 (EFG, LS, AP, PE) - Robust Aggregate Implications of Stochastic Discount Factor Volatility
Casey B. Mulligan #10210 (EFG, AP) - Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan
Keiko Ito and Kyoji Fukao #10209 (ITI) - Exporting and Performance of Plants: Evidence from Korean Manufacturing
Chin Hee Hahn #10208 (ITI) - Does the WTO Make Trade More Stable?
Andrew K. Rose #10207 (ITI) - Does the Length of Maternity Leave Affect Maternal Health?
Pinka Chatterji and Sara Markowitz #10206 (HE) - Foreign Lobbies and US Trade Policy
Kishore Gawande, Pravin Krishna, and Michael J. Robbins #10205 (ITI) - Managed Care, Drug Benefits and Mortality: An Analysis of the Elderly
Gautam Gowrisankaran and Robert J. Town #10204 (HE)
2003
Week of December 29, 2003
- Psychology and the Market
Edward L. Glaeser #10203 (LE, AP, PE) - Benchmarking the Returns to Venture
Robert E. Hall and Susan E. Woodward #10202 (AP) - The Dynamics of Work and Debt
Jeffrey R. Campbell and Zvi Hercowitz #10201 (EFG) - Wealth Destruction on a Massive Scale? A Study of Acquiring-Firm Returns in the Recent Merger Wave
Sara B. Moeller, Frederik P. Schlingemann, and Rene M. Stulz #10200 (CF, AP) - Age Variation in Workers' Value of Statistical Life
Joseph E. Aldy and W. Kip Viscusi #10199 (HE, LS, LE) - Ownership and Control in Outsourcing to China: Estimating the Property-Rights Theory of the Firm
Robert C. Feenstra and Gordon H. Hanson #10198 (ITI) - Should Exact Index Numbers Have Standard Errors? Theory and Application to Asian Growth
Robert C. Feenstra and Marshall B. Reinsdorf #10197 (ITI)
Week of December 22, 2003
- Optimal Policy with Low-Probability Extreme Events
Lars E.O. Svensson #10196 (IFM, ME) - Escaping from a Liquidity Trap and Deflation: The Foolproof Way and Others
Lars E.O. Svensson #10195 (IFM, ME) - Small Noise Asymptotics for a Stochastic Growth Model
Noah Williams #10194 (EFG) - Varieties of Currency Crises
Graciela L. Kaminsky #10193 (IFM) - Internal and External Labor Markets: A Personnel Economics Approach
Edward P. Lazear and Paul Oyer #10192 (LS) - The Rise of the Skilled City
Edward L. Glaeser and Albert Saiz #10191 (EFG) - Why Firms Adopt Antitakeover Arrangements
Lucian Arye Bebchuk #10190 (CF, LE)
Week of December 15, 2003
- Optimal Integration Strategies for the Multinational Firm
Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, and Adam Szeidl #10189 (ITI) - Do Firms in Countries with Poor Protection of Investor Rights Hold More Cash?
Lee Pinkowitz, Rene M. Stulz, and Rohan Williamson #10188 (CF) - Menu Costs and Phillips Curves
Mikhail Golosov and Robert E. Lucas #10187 (EFG) - Stressed Out on Four Continents: Time Crunch or Yuppie Kvetch?
Daniel S. Hamermesh and Jungmin Lee #10186 (LS) - What You Don't Know Can't Help You: Pension Knowledge and Retirement Decision Making
Sewin Chan and Ann Huff Stevens #10185 (A, LS) - Risk Management, Capital Budgeting and Capital Structure Policy for Insurers and Reinsurers
Kenneth A. Froot #10184 (CF, AP) - The Invention of Inflation-Indexed Bonds in Early America
Robert J. Shiller #10183 (EFG, DAE, ME) - The Size and Composition of Wealth Holdings in the United States, Italy, and the Netherlands
Arie Kapteyn and Constantijn Panis #10182 (A, PE) - Assessing the Benefits to Developing Countries of Liberalization in Services Trade
John Whalley #10181 (ITI) - Choosing Between Peace and War
Herschel I. Grossman #10180 (EFG) - Assessing, Managing, and Financing Extreme Events: Dealing with Terrorism
Howard Kunreuther, Erwann Michel-Kerjan, and Beverly Porter #10179 (PE) - WTO Dispute Settlements in East Asia
Dukgeun Ahn #10178 (ITI) - Motivating Employee-Owners in ESOP Firms: Human Resource Policies and Company Performance
Douglas Kruse, Richard Freeman, Joseph Blasi, Robert Buchele, Adria Scharf, Loren Rodgers, and Chris Mackin #10177 (LS) - How Do Electoral Rules Shape Part Structures, Government Coalitions, and Economic Policies?
Torsten Persson, Gerard Roland, and Guido Tabellini #10176 (PE) - Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers #10175 (LS, LE) - Wages Equal Productivity: Fact or Fiction?
Johannes Van Biesebroeck #10174 (LS, P) - The Impacts of an East Asia FTA on Foreign Trade in East Asia
Shujiro Urata and Kozo Kiyota #10173 (ITI)
Week of December 8, 2003
- he Effects of Financial Crises on International Trade
Zihui Ma and Leonard Cheng #10172 (IFM, ITI) - Gold, Fiat Money and Price Stability
Michael D. Bordo, Robert D. Dittmar, and William T. Gavin #10171 (DAE, ME) - Consequences of Constitutions
Torsten Persson #10170 (PE) - International R&D Deployment and Locational Advantage: A Case Study of Taiwan
Meng-Chun Liu and Shin-Horng Chen #10169 (ITI) - Competitive Liberalization and a US-SACU FTA
John Whalley and J. Clark Leith #10168 (ITI) - The Formation of International Production and Distribution Networks in East Asia
Mitsuyo Ando and Fukinari Kimura #10167 (ITI) - Reinventing Boston: 1640-2003
Edward L. Glaeser #10166 (DAE) - Institutions, Capital Constraints and Entrepreneurial Firm Dynamics: Evidence from Europe
Mihir Desai, Paul Gompers, and Josh Lerner #10165 (CF) - Does Human Capital Transfer from Parent to Child? The Intergenerational Effects of Compulsory Schooling
Philip Oreopoulos, Marianne E. Page, and Ann Huff Stevens #10164 (ED, LS, C) - Helicopter Money: Irredeemable Fiat Money and the Liquidity Trap
Willem H. Buiter #10163 (EFG, ME) - Remedies for Price Overcharges: The Deadweight Loss of Coupons and Discounts
A. Mitchell Polinsky and Daniel L. Rubinfeld #10162 (LE) - Choosing the Federal Reserve Chair: Lessons From History
Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer #10161 (ME) - The Trade and Investment Effects of Preferential Trading Arrangements
Philippa Dee and Jyothi Gali #10160 (ITI) - The Effects of Extending Intellectual Property Rights Protection to Developing Countries: A Case Study of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market
Shubham Chaudhuri, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, and Panle Jia #10159 (ITI) - Governance and Bank Valuation
Gerard Caprio, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine #10158 (CF, IFM) - The Risk Tolerance of International Investors
Kenneth A. Froot and Paul G. J. O'Connell #10157 (CF, IFM, AP) - The Effects of Overseas Investment on Domestic Employment
Tain-Jy Chen and Ying-Hua Ku #10156 (ITI) - Do Dropouts Drop Out Too Soon: International Evidence From Changes in School-Leaving Laws
Philip Oreopoulos #10155 (ED, LS, C) - Common Sense and Simplicity in Empirical Industrial Organization
Ariel Pakes #10154 (IO) - The Character and Determinants of Corporate Capital Gains
Mihir Desai and William M. Gentry #10153 (CF, PE) - Trade Liberalization and Growth: New Evidence
Romain Wacziarg and Karen Horn Welch #10152 (EFG, ITI) - Commitment Vs. Flexibility
Manuel Amador, Ivan Werning, and George-Marios Angeletos #10151 (EFG)
Week of December 1, 2003
- Corporate Earnings Track the Competitive Benchmark
Robert E. Hall #10150 (EFG, P, AP) - Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Under Imperfect Competition
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martin Uribe #10149 (EFG, ME) - The Effect of Word of Mouth on Sales: Online Book Reviews
Judith A. Chevalier and Dina Mayzlin #10148 (IO) - International Determinants of Religiosity
Robert Barro and Rachel M. McCleary #10147 (EFG) - Estimating Models of On-the-Job Search Using Record Statistics
Gadi Barlevy #10146 (EFG, LS) - Which Countries Export FDI, and How Much?
Assaf Razin, Yona Rubenstein, and Efraim Sadka #10145 (IFM, ITI) - Endogenous Financial Openness: Efficiency and Political Economy Considerations
Joshua Aizenman and Ilan Noy #10144 (IFM, ITI) - Liberalization in China's Key Service Sectors Following WTO Accession: Some Scenarios and Issues of Measurement
John Whalley #10143 (ITI) - Agents of Embeddedness
Pierre Azoulay #10142 (P) - Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives
Sean D. Campbell and Francis X. Diebold #10141 (AP) - The Two-Part Instrument in a Second-Best World
Don Fullerton and Ann Wolverton #10140 (PE) - A Simulation-Based Welfare Loss Calculation for Labor Taxes with Piecewise-Linear Budgets
Don Fullerton and Li Gan #10139 (PE) - Regeneration, Labour Supply and the Welfare Costs of Taxes
Edgar Cudmore and John Whalley #10138 (PE) - The Use of Literature Based Elasticity Estimates in Calibrated Models of Trade-Wage Decompositons: A Calibmetric Approach
Hui Huang and John Whalley #10137 (ITI) - Kleptocracy and Divide-and-Rule: A Model of Personal Rule
Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson, and Thierry Verdier #10136 (EFG) - Competitive Risk Sharing Contracts with One-Sided Commitment
Dirk Krueger and Harald Uhlig #10135 (EFG) - Does Child Labor Decline with Improving Economic Status?
Eric V. Edmonds #10134 (C) - Entrant Experience and Plant Exit
Timothy Dunne, Shawn D. Klimek, and Mark J. Roberts #10133 (P) - Aggregate Consequences of Limited Contract Enforceability
Thomas Cooley, Ramon Marimon, and Vincenzo Quadrini #10132 (EFG) - The Price is (Almost) Right
Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho #10131 (AP) - Have National Business Cycles Become More Synchronized?
Michael D. Bordo and Thomas Helbling #10130 (EFG, IFM) - Law and Employment: Lessons from Latin America and the Caribbean
James Heckman and Carmen Pagés #10129 (LE, LS) - External Constriants on Monetary Policy and the Financial Accelerator
Mark Gertler, Simon Gilchrist, and Fabio Natalucci #10128 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Health Plan Conversions: Are They in the Public Interest?
Nancy Dean Beaulieu #10127 (HE) - Legal Institutions and Financial Development
Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine #10126 (CF, LE) - International Lending of Last Resort and Moral Hazard: A Model of IMF's Catalytic Finance
Giancarlo Corsetti, Bernardo Guimaraes, and Nouriel Roubini #10125 (IFM)
Week of November 17, 2003
- Why is Manhattan So Expensive? Regulation and the Rise in House Prices
Edward L. Glaeser, Joseph Gyourko, and Raven Saks #10124 (EFG, AP) - The LM Curve: A Not-So-Fond Farewell
Benjamin M. Friedman #10123 (ME) - The Timing of Births: Is the Health of Infants Counter-Cyclical?
Rajeev Dehejia and Adriana-Lleras-Muney #10122 (HE, C) - What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments
Marianne Bitler, Jonah Gelbach, and Hilary Hoynes #10121 (LS, PE) - Behavioral Decision-Making: An Application to the Setting of Magazine Subscription Prices
Fiona Scott Morton and Sharon Oster #10120 (IO) - Pareto Efficient Income Taxation with Stochastic Abilities
Marco Battagnali and Stephen Coate #10119 (PE) - The Central Role of Noise in Evaluating Interventions that Use Test Scores to Rank Schools
Kenneth Y. Chay, Patrick J. McEwan, and Miguel Urquiola #10118 (ED, LS) - A Multiple Indicators Model for Volatility Using Intra-Daily Data
Robert F. Engle and Giampiero M. Gallo #10117 (AP) - Two Trees: Asset Price Dynamics Induced by Market Clearing
John H. Cochrane, Francis A. Longstaff, and Pedro Santa-Clara #10116 (AP) - Cross-Border Valuation: The International Cost of Equity Capital
Gordon M. Bodnar, Bernard Dumas, and Richard D. Marston #10115 (IFM, AP) - Patents and R&D as Real Options
Eduardo S. Schwartz #10114 (P, AP) - The Effect of School Choice on Student Outcomes: Evidence from Randomized Lotteries
Julie Berry Cullen, Brian A. Jacob, and Steven D. Levitt #10113 (ED, PE, C) - Financial Aid and Students' College Decisions: Evidence from the District of Columbia's Tuition Assistance Grant Program
Katharine Abraham and Melissa A. Clark #10112 (CF, LS, PE)
Week of November 10, 2003
- A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High Frequency Data
Lan Zhang, Per A. Mykland, and Yacine Ait-Sahalia #10111 (AP) - Cross-Border Tax Externalities: Are Budget Deficits Too Small?
Willem H. Buiter and Anne C. Sibert #10110 (IFM, ME, PE) - The Optimal Degree of Discretion in Monetary Policy
Susan Athey, Andrew Atkeson, and Patrick J. Kehoe #10109 (EFG, ME) - The Market for American State Government Bonds in Britain and the United States, 1830-1843
Namsuk Kim and John Joseph Wallis #10108 (DAE) - Generalized Disappointment Aversion and Asset Prices
Bryan R. Routledge and Stanley E. Zin #10107 (AP) - Firm Location and the Creation and Utilization of Human Capital
Andres Almazan, Adolfo de Motta, and Sheridan Titman #10106 CF, LS) - Nonparametric Tests for Common Values at First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions
Philip A. Haile, Han Hong, and Matthew Shum #10105 (IO) - Categorical Redistribution in Winner-Take-All Markets
Roland G. Fryer and Glenn C. Loury #10104 (LS) - Color-Blind Affirmative Action
Roland G. Fryer, Jr., Glenn C. Loury, and Tolga Yuret #10103 LS) - Self Enforcing Voting in International Organizations
Giovanni Maggi and Massimo Morelli #10102 (ITI) - Stakeholders, Transparency and Capital Structure
Andres Almazan, Javier Suarez, and Sheridan Titman #10101 (CF)
The Role of Retiree Health Insurance in the Employment Behavior of Older Men
David M. Blau and Donna B. Gilleskie #10100 (A, HE, LS) - Optimal Taxation When Consumers Have Endogenous Benchmark Levels of Consumption
Andrew B. Abel #10099 (EFG, PE) - Grasshoppers, Ants, and Pre-Retirement Wealth: A Test of Permanent Income
Erik Hurst #10098 (EFG, A, PE) - How Do Legal Differences and Learning Affect Financial Contracts?
Steven N. Kaplan, Frederic Martel, and Per Stromberg #10097 (CF) - The Developed World's Demographic Transition - The Roles of Capital Flows, Immigration, and Policy
Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, and Laurence Kotlikoff #10096 (A, IFM, PE) - Crisis Resolution: Next Steps
Barry Eichengreen, Kenneth Kletzer, and Ashoka Mody #10095 (IFM) - On the Writing and the Interpretation of Contracts
Steven Shavell #10094 (LE) - Monetary Policies for Developing Countries: The Role of Corruption
Haizhou Huang and Shang-Jin Wei #10093 (IFM, ME)
Week of November 3, 2003
- Health Insurance Coverage and the Macroeconomy
John Cawley and Kosali I. Simon #10092 (HE) - Getting Inside the "Black Box" of Head Start Quality: What Matters and What Doesn't?
Janet Currie and Matthew Neidell#10091 (ED, C) - The Environment and Globalization
Jeffrey A. Frankel #10090 (ENV, IFM, ITI) - An "Inflation Reports" Report
Eric Leeper #10089 (EFG, ME) - Child Labor, Crop Shocks, and Credit Constraints
Kathleen Beegle, Rajeev Dehejia, and Roberta Gatti #10088 (LS,C) - Inequality and Trade
Devashish Mitra and Vitor Trindade #10087 (ITI) - Does the Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis Matter for Long-Term Investors?
Antonios Sangvinatsos and Jessica A. Wachter #10086 (AP) - The Impact on Consumption and Saving of Current and Future Fiscal Policies
Katherine Grace Carman, Jagadeesh Gokhale, and Laurence J. Kotlikoff #10085 (PE) - Labor Versus Capital in Trade-Policy Determination: The Role of General-Interest and Special-Interest Politics
Pushan Dutt and Devashish Mitra #10084 (ITI) - Acquiring Knowledge Within and Across Firm Boundaries: Evidence from Clinical Development
Pierre Azoulay #10083 (P) - Global Sourcing
Pol Antras and Elhanan Helpman #10082 (IFM, ITI) - Zvi Griliches' Contribution to the Theory of Human Capital
Reuben Gronau #10081 (LS) - How do Regimes Affect Asset Allocation?
Andrew Ang and Geert Bekaert #10080 (AP) - A Theory of Factor Allocation and Plant Size
Thomas J. Holmes and Matthew F. Mitchell #10079 (P) - Inventories and the Business Cycle: An Equilibrium Analysis of (S, s) Policies
Aubhik Khan and Julia Thomas #10078 (EFG) - Determinants of Labor Demand in Columbia: 1976-1996
Mauricio Cardenas and Raquel Bernal #10077 (LS) - Economic Insights from Internet Auctions: A Survey
Patrick Bajari and Ali Hortacsu #10076 (IO) - Mass Secondary Schooling and the State: The Role of State Compulsion in the High School Movement
Claudia Goldin and Lawrence Katz #10075 (ED, DAE, LS, C) - A Prism into the PPP Puzzles: The Micro-foundations of Big Mac Real Exchange Rates
David C. Parsley and Shang-Jin Wei #10074 (IFM, ITI)
Week of October 27, 2003
- Crises and Growth: A Re-Evaluation
Romain Ranciere, Aaron Tornell, and Frank Westermann #10073 (IFM) - The Alternative Minimum Tax and Effective Marginal Tax Rates
Daniel Feenberg and James Poterba #10072 (PE) - Liquidity Shortages and Banking Crises
Douglas W. Diamond and Raghuram G. Rajan #10071 (CF, IFM) - Money in a Theory of Banking
Douglas W. Diamond and Raghuram G. Rajan #10070 (CF, ME) - The Origins of Spatial Interaction
Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue #10069 (DAE, ITI) - Labor Market Discrimination and Racial Differences in Premarket Factors
Pedro Carneiro, James J. Heckman, and Dimitriy V. Masterov #10068 (LS) - Globalizing Activities and the Rate of Survival: Panel Data Analysis on Japanese Firms
Fukunari Kimura and Takamune Fujii #10067 (ITI) - Why the Apple Doesn't Fall Far: Understanding Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, and Kjell G. Salvanes #10066 (ED, LS) - Revisiting Some Productivity Debates
Johannes Van Biesebroeck #10065 (P) - Domestic Capital Market Reform and Access to Global Finance: Making Markets Work
Peter Blair Henry and Peter Lombard Lorentzen #10064 (IFM) - Consequences and Predictors of New Health Events
James P. Smith #10063 (AP) - Benefit Plan Design and Prescription Drug Utilization Among Asthmatics: Do Patient Copayments Matter?
William H. Crown, Ernst R. Berndt, Onur Baser, Stan N. Finkelstein, Whitney P. Witt, Jonathan Maguire, and Kenan E. Haver #10062 (ED, PE - The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion
Graciela L. Kaminsky, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Carlos A. Vegh #10061 (IFM) - School to Career Programs and Transitions to Employment and Higher Education
David Neumark and Donna Rothstein #10060 (ED, PE) - Efficiency Costs of Meeting Industry-Distributional Constraints under Environmental Permits and Taxes
A.L. Bovenberg, Lawrence H. Goulder, and Derek J. Gurney #10059 (PE) - Is Japan's Trade (still) Different?
James Harrigan and Rohit Vanjani #10058 ITI) - A Normal Country
Andrei Shleifer and Daniel Treisman #10057 (EFG) - The Demand for Coordination
Wouter Dessein and Tano Santos #10056 (LS) - Small Farms, Externalities, and the Dust Bowl of the 1930's
Zeynep K. Hansen and Gary D. Libecap #10055 (DAE)
Week of October 20, 2003
- The Role of Randomized Field Trials in Social Science Research: A Perspective from Evlauations of Reforms of Social Welfare Programs
Robert W. Moffitt #T0295 (TWP) - Corporate Earnings and the Equity Premium
Francis Longstaff and Monika Piazzesi #10054 (AP) - Air Quality, Infant Mortality, and the Clean Air Act of 1970
Kenneth Y. Chay and Michael Greenstone #10053 (ED, HE, PE) - Heterogeneity and the FDI versus Export Decision of Japanese Manufacturers
Keith Head and John Ries #10052 (ITI) - Winners and Losers of Tax Competition in the European Union
Enrique G. Mendoza and Linda L. Tesar #10051 (IFM) - Growth Strategies
Dani Rodrik #10050 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - Product Substitutability and Productivity Dispersion
Chad Syverson #10049 (P) - Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields
Francis X. Diebold and Canlin Li #10048 (AP) - The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie D. Chinn, and Eiji Fujii #10047 (IFM) - Marijuana and Crime: Is There a Connection Beyond Prohibition?
Rosalie Liccardo Pacula and Beau Kilmer #10046 (HE, C) - Illicit Drug Use and Educational Attainment
Pinka Chatterji #10045 (ED, HE) - Tax Bases, Tax Rates and the Elasticity of Reported Income
Wojciech Kopczuk #10044 (PE) - Unemployment Insurance Tax Burdens and Benefits: Funding Family Leave and Reforming the Payroll Tax
Patricia M. Anderson and Bruce D. Meyer #10043 (LS, PE) - How to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns
Andrew Ang and Jun Liu #10042 (AP) - A Model of R&D Valuation and the Design of Research Incentives
Jason C. Hsu and Eduardo S. Schwartz #10041 (AP,P)
Week of October 13, 2003
- Nonparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects under Exogeneity: A Review
Guido W. Imbens #T294 (TWP) - Generalized Modeling Approaches to Risk Adjustment of Skewed Outcomes Data
Willard G. Manning, Anirban Basu, and John Mullahy #T293 (TWP) - Do Democracies Have Different Public Policies than Nondemocracies?
Casey B. Mulligan, Xavier Sala-i-Martin, and Ricard Gil #10040 (PE) - Foreign Owners and Plant Survival
Andrew B. Bernard and Fredrik Sjöholm #10039 (ITI) - Market Size in Innovation: Theory and Evidence From the Pharmaceutical Industry
Daron Acemoglu and Joshua Linn #10038 (IO, P) - The Form of Property Rights: Oligarchic vs. Democratic Societies
Daron Acemoglu #10037 (EFG, LE) - Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance and Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why it Matters
Barry Eichengreen, Ricardo Hausman, and Ugo Panizza #10036 (IFM) - Health and Wealth Accumulation: Evidence from Nineteenth-Century America
Chulhee Lee #10035 (CS, DAE) - Changes in the Welfare Caseload and the Health of Low-educated Mothers
Robert Kaestner and Elizabeth Tarlov #10034 (HE, C) - Welfare Reform and Health Insurance Coverage of Low-Income Families
Robert Kaestner and Neeraj Kaushal #10033 (HE,C) - Experience of and Lessons from Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Economies
Jeffrey A. Frankel #10032 (IFM)
Week of October 6, 2003
- Stock Market and Investment Goods Prices: Implications for Macroeconomics
Lawrence J. Christiano and Jonas D. M. Fisher #10031 (EFG) - Retirement Effects of Proposals by the President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security
Alan L. Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier #10030 (A, LS, PE) - Macroeconomic Conditions, Health Care Costs, and the Distribution of Health Insurance Coverage
Sherry Glied and Kathrine Jack #10029 (HE) - Geography and the Internet: Is the Internet a Substitute or a Complement for Cities?
Todd Sinai and Joel Waldfogel #10028 (IO, PE) - The Effect of Organizational Context on Individual Performance
Robert S. Huckman and Gary P. Pisano #10027 (HE) - Efficient Test of Shock Return Predictability
John Y. Campbell and Motohiro Yogo #10026 (AP) - Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments
William A. Brock, Steven N. Durlauf, and Kenneth D. West #10025 (EFG, ME) - The WTO Promotes Trade, Strongly But Unevenly
Arvind Subramanian and Shang-Jin Wei #10024 (IFM, ITI) - Fiscal Policy, Past and Present
Alan J. Auerbach #10023 (EFG, PE) - Quality-Constant Price Indexes for the Ongoing Treatment of Schizophrenia: An Exploratory Study
Richard G. Frank, Ernst R. Berndt, Alisa Busch, and Anthony F. Lehman #10022 (HE) - Unemployment and Homeownership: The Roles of Leverage and Public Housing
Paul Flatau, Matt Forbes, Patric H. Hendershott, and Gavin Wood #10021 (LS) - Exporting Raises Productivity in Sub-Saharan African Manufacturing Plants
Johannes Van Biesebroeck #10020 (P) - Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market Economies
Arminio Fraga, Ilan Goldfajn, and Andre Minella #10019 (IFM, ME) - Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?
Martin Uribe and Vivian Z. Yue #10018 (EFG, IFM)
Week of September 29, 2003
- Selection and Improvement: Physician Responses to Financial Incentives
Jason Barro and Nancy Beaulieu #10017 (HE) - On the Sluggish Resoponse of Prices to Money in a Inventory-Theoretic Model of Money
Fernando Alvarez, Andrew Atkeson, and Chris Edmond #10016 (ME) - Addicted to Dollars
Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff, and Miguel A. Savastano #10015 (IFM) - Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
Justin Wolfers #10014 (LS, LE) - Simple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts
Harrison Hong and Jeremy C. Stein #10013 (AP) - Effects of Disease Type and Latency on the Value of Mortality Risk
Jin-Tan Liu and James K. Hammitt #10012 (HE) - Valuation of the Risk of SARS in Taiwan
Jin-Tan Liu, James K. Hammitt, Jung-Der Wang, and Meng-Wen Tsou #10011 (HE) - The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information Technology Explain Why Productivity Accelerated in the United States but not the United Kingdom?
Susanto Basu, John G. Fernald, Nicholas Oulton, and Sylaja Srinivasan #10010 (EFG, ME) - Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics
Peter F. Christoffersen and Francis X. Diebold #10009 (EFG, AP) - When School Compete, How Do They Compete? An Assessment of Chile's Nationwide School Voucher Program
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Miguel Urquiola #10008 (ED, LS) - Reference Pricing of Pharmaceuticals for Medicare: Evidence from Germany, the Netherlands and New Zealand
Patricia M. Danzon and Jonathan D. Ketcham #10007 (IO) - The Cost of Labor Adjustment: Inferences from the Gap
Russell W. Cooper and Jonathan Willis #10006 (EFG, LS)
Week of September 22, 2003
- Concavity of Utility, Concavity of Welfare, and Redistribution of Income
Louis Kaplow #10005 (LE) - Hamas, Taliban and the Jewish Underground: An Economist's View of Radical Religious Militias
Eli Berman #10004 (LS, P) - Medium Term Business Cycles
Diego Comin and Mark Gertler #10003 (EFG, ME) - Kidney Exchange
Alvin E. Roth, M. Utku Unver, and Tayfun Sonmez #10002 (HE, PE) - US-Europe Differences in Technology-Driven Growth: Quantifying the Role of Education
Dirk Krueger and Krishna B. Kumar #10001 (EFG, P) - Trade Wars: The Exaggerated Impact of Trade in Economic Debate
Richard B. Freeman #10000 (ITI, LS) - Retirement and the Evolution of Pensions Structure
Leora Friedberg and Anthony Webb #9999 (A, LS) - Relative Wage Variation and Industry Location
Andrew B. Bernard, Stephen Redding, Peter K. Schott, and Helen Simpson #9998 (ITI) - Individual Preferences, Monetary Gambles, and the Equity Premium
Nicholas Barberis, Ming Huang, and Richard Thaler #9997 (LS) - The Effects of Offering Health Plan Choice within Employment-Based Purchasing Groups
M. Kate Bundorf #9996 (HE) - Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives
Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler #9995 (CF) - Are Mental Health Insurance Mandates Effective? Evidence from Suicides
Jonathan Klick and Sara Markowitz #9994 (HE) - On the Welfare Consequences of the Increase in Inequality in the United States
Dirk Krueger and Fabrizio Perri #9993 (EFG) - What Do Unions Do ... to Voting?
Richard B. Freeman #9992 (AP) - Are Faculty Critical? Their Role in University-Industry Licensing
Jerry G. Thursby and Marie C. Thursby #9991 (P) - Corruption in Cities: Graft and Politics in American Cities at the Turn of the Twentieth Century
Rebecca Menes #9990 (DAE) - Institutional and Non-Institutional Explanations of Economic Differences
Stanley L. Engerman and Kenneth L. Sokoloff #9989 (DAE) - A New Method of Estimating Risk Aversion
Raj Chetty #9988 (AP, PE) - Can a Work Organization Have an Attitude Problem? The Impact of Workplaces on Employee Attitudes and Economic Outcomes
Ann Bartel, Richard Freeman, Casey Ichniowski, and Morris M. Kleiner #9987 (LS) - Demand and Pricing in Electricity Markets: Evidence from San Diego During California's Energy Crisis
Peter C. Reiss and Matthew W. White #9986 (IO)
Week of September 15, 2003
- The Output Composition Puzzle: A Difference in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area and U.S.
Ignazio Angeloni, Anil K. Kashyap, Benoit Mojon, and Daniele Terlizzese #9985 (EFG, ME) - Monetary Transmission in the Euro Area: Does the Interest Rate Channel Explain All?
Ignazio Angeloni, Anil K. Kashyap, Benoit Mojon, and Daniele Terlizzese #9984 (EFG, ME) - Generational Accounting in Korea
Alan J. Auerbach and Young Jun Chun #9983 (A, PE) - An Experimental Study of Storable Votes
Alessandra Casella, Andrew Gelman, and Thomas R. Palfrey #9982 (PE) - Inflation Targeting in the United States?
Marvin Goodfriend #9981 (ME) - Hedonic Price Indexes with Unobserved Product Characteristics, and Application to PC's
C. Lanier Benkard and Patrick Bajari #9980 (IO, P) - How did Location Affect Adoption of the Commercial Internet? Global Village, Urban Density and Industry Composition
Chris Forman, Avi Goldfarb, and Shane Greenstein #9979 (IO, P) - Lessons From Patents: Using Patents To Measure Technological Change in Environmental Models
David Popp #9978 (P) - Unemployment Risk and Compensating Differential in Late-Nineteenth Century New Jersey Manufacturing
Susan Averett, Howard Bodenhorn, and Justas Staisiunas #9977 (DAE) - The Consumption Response to Predictable Changes in Discretionary Income: Evidence from the Repayment of Vehicle Loans
Melvin Stephens Jr.#9976 (EFG) - International Adverse Selection in Life Insurance and Annuities
David McCarthy and Olivia S. Mitchell #9975 (A) - The Conditional CAPM does not Explain Asset-Pricing Anomalies
Jonathan Lewellen and Stefan Nagel #9974 (AP) - What Effect do Unions Have on Wages Now and Would 'What Do Unions Do' Be Surprised?
David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #9973 (LS) - How Do Hospitals Respond to Price Changes?
Leemore S. Dafny #9972 (A, HE) - An Essay on the Revised Bretton Woods System
Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber #9971 (IFM) - The Cost of Business Cycles Under Endogenous Growth
Gadi Barlevy #9970 (EFG) - Monetary Policy in an Uncertain Environment
Martin Feldstein #9969 (ME)
Week of September 8, 2003
- Optimal Monetary Policy in a Liquidity Trap
Gauti B. Eggertsson and Michael Woodford #9968 (EFG, ME) - Wage Determination and Employment Fluctuations
Robert E. Hall #9967 (EFG, LS) - Price Indexes for Microsoft's Personal Computer Software Products
Jaison R. Abel, Ernst R. Berndt, and Alan G. White #9966 (P) - Scale and Scope Economies in the Global Advertising and Marketing Services Business
Alvin J. Silk and Ernst R. Berndt #9965 (IO, ITI) - The Impact of Lensth of the School Year on Student Performance and Earnings: Evidence from the German Short School Year
Jorn-Steffen Pischke #9964 (LS) - Does Marijuana Use Impair Human Capital Formation?
Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, Karen E. Ross, and Jeanne Ringel #9963 (HE, C)
Week of September 1, 2003
- The Economics of Identity and the Endogeneity of Race
Howard Bodenhorn and Christopher S. Ruebeck #9962 (DAE) - Is the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Learnable?
Bennett T. McCallum #9961 (EFG, ME) - The Unique Minimum State Variable RE Solution is E-Stable in All Well Formulated Linear Models
Bennett T. McCallum #9960 (EFG, ME) - Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: An Empirical Perspective
Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #9959 (AP) - The "Virtues" of the Past: Education in the First Hundred Years of the New Republic
Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz #9958 (ED, DAE, LS, C) - Private Information and its Effect on Market Equilibrium:New Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance
Amy Finkelstein and Kathleen McGarry #9957 (A, HE, PE) - Banks' Advantage in Hedging Liquidity Risk: Theory and Evidence from the Commercial Paper Market
Evan Gatev and Philip E. Strahan #9956 (CF) - Advance Cirectives and Medical Treatment at the End of Life
Daniel Kessler and Mark B. McClellan #9955 (A, HE) - Child Care in Poor Communities: Early Learning Effects of Type, Quality, and Stability
Susanna Loeb, Bruce Fuller, Sharon Lynn Kagan, Bidemi Carrol, Judith Carroll, and Jan McCarthy #9954 (ED, C) - The Draw of Home: How Teachers' Preferences for Proximity Disadvantage Urban Schools
Donald Boyd, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb, and James Wyckoff #9953 (ED) - The Relationship between Mental Health and Substance Abuse Treatment and Juvenile Crime
Alison Evans Cuellar, Sara Markowitz, and Anne M. Libby #9952 (HE, C) - Capital Investments and Stock Returns
Sheridan Titman , K.C. John Wei, and Feixue Xie #9951 (CF) - Gone But Not Forgotten: Labor Flows, Knowledge Spillovers, and Enduring Social Capital
Ajay Agrawal, Iain M. Cockburn, and John McHale #9950 (LS, P) - Propping and Tunneling
Eric Friedman, Simon Johnson, and Todd Mitton #9949 (CF) - Official Interventions and Occasional Violations Uncovered Interest Parity in the Dollar-DM Market
Nelson Mark and Young-Kyu Moh #9948 (IFM) - Trade Policy and Industrial Sector Responses: Using Evolutionary Models to Interpret the Evidence
Erkan Erdem and James Tybout #9947 (ITI,PR)
Week of August 25, 2003
- Partial Adjustment without Apology
Robert G. King and Julia K. Thomas #9946 (EFG) - Trade Disruptions and America's Early Industrialization
Douglas A. Irwin and Joseph H. Davis #9944 (DAE, ITI) - The Aftermath of Hamilton's "Report on Manufactures"
Douglas A. Irwin #9943 (DAE, ITI) - Does Information Undermine Brand? Information Intermediary Use and Preference for Branded Web Retailers
Joel Waldfogel and Lu Chen #9942 (IO, LE) - Changes in the Process of Aging During the Twentieth Century: Findings and Procedures of the Early Indicators Project
Robert W. Fogel #9941 (A, DAE, CS) - The Terms of Trade and Economic Growth in the Periphery 1870-1938
Christopher Blattman, Jason Hwang, and Jeffrey G. Williamson #9940 (DAE, ITI) - Optimal Inflation Targeting Rules
Marc P. Giannoni and Michael Woodford #9939 (EFG, ME) - The Causes and Consequences of Distinctively Black Names
Roland G. Fryer and Steven D. Levitt #9938 - The Magnitude and Nature of Risk Selection in Employer-Sponsored Health Plans
Sean Nicholson, M. Kate Bundorf, Rebecca M. Stein, Daniel Polsky #9937 (HE) - On the Duration of Trade
Tibor Besedes and Thomas J. Prusa #9936 (ITI) - The Reappearing Masterpiece: Ranking American Artists and Art Works of the Late Twentieth Century
David W. Galenson #9935 (LS) - Unbundling Institutions
Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson #9934 (CF, LS) - Becoming Oldest-Old: Evidence from Historical U.S. Data
Dora L. Costa and Joanna Lahey #9933 (A, DAE, CS) - Tough Policies, Incredible Policies?
Andres Velasco and Alejandro Neut #9932 (IFM) - Micro-foundations of Urban Agglomeration Economies
Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga #9931 (ITI) - Does the Source of Capital Affect Capital Structure?
Michael Faulkender and Mitchell Petersen #9930 (CF)
Week of August 18, 2003
- Monetary Discretion, Pricing Complementarity and Dynamic Multiple Equilibria
Robert G. King and Alexander L. Wolman #9929 (EFG, ME) - Importing Technology
Francesco Caselli and Daniel Wilson #9928 (EFG, ITI, P) - Uncovering the Risk-Return Relation in the Stock Market
Hui Guo and Robert F. Whitelaw #9927 (AP) - How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski #9926 - Price Elasticity of Demand for Term Life Insurance and Adverse Selection
Mark V. Pauly, Kate H. Wither, Krupa Subramanian-Viswanathan, Jean Lemaire, John C. Hershey, Katrina Armstrong, and David A. Asch #9925 (HE) - A New Approach to the Valuation of Intangible Capital
Jason G. Cummins #9924 (EFG, P) - Capital Deepening in American Manufacturing, 1850-1880
Jeremy Atack, Fred Bateman, and Robert A. Margo #9923 (DAE) - On the Efficiency of Competitive Electricity Markets With Time-Invariant Retail Prices
Severin Borenstein and Stephen P. Holland #9922 (IO) - Bank Concentration and Crises
Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Levine #9921 (IFM, ME, AP) - The Case for Auctioning Countermeasures in the WTO
Kyle Bagwell, Petros C. Mavroidis, and Robert W. Staiger #9920 (ITI) - Adverse Selection and the Challenges to Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Insurance
Mark V. Pauly and Yuhui Zeng #9919 (HE, PE) - Mothers' and Fathers' Labor Supply in Fragile Families: The Role of Child Health
Hope Corman, Nancy E. Reichman, and Kelly Noonan #9918 (HE, LS, C) - Passive Decisions and Potent Defaults
James Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte Madrian, and Andrew Metrick #9917 (EFG, A, PE) - Capital Tax Incidence: Fisherian Impressions from the Time Series
Casey B. Mulligan #9916 (PE) - Disentangling Volatility from Jumps
Yacine Ait-Sahalia #9915 (AP) - The Effect of Macoreconomic News on Beleifs and Preferences
Alessandro Beber and Michael W. Brandt #9914 (AP) - Pension Reform in Germany: The Impact on Retirement Decisions
Axel Borsch-Supan and Barbara Berkel #9913 (A, PE)
Week of August 4, 2003
- The Role of Consumer Knowledge of Insurance Benefits in the Demand for Preventative Health
Stephen T. Parente, David Salkever, and Joan DaVanzo #9912 (HE) - The Pricing of Job Characteristics When Markets Do Not Clear: Theory and Policy Implications
Kevin Lang and Sumon Majumdar #9911 (LS) - Identification and Estimation of Hedonic Models
Ivar Ekeland, James J. Heckman, and Lars P. Nesheim #9910 (LS, P) - How Do Patent Laws Influence Innovation? Evidence from Nineteenth-Century World Fairs
Petra Moser #9909 (DAE) - Debt Intolerance
Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff, and Miguel A. Savastano #9908 (IFM) - Parental Medicaid Expansions and Health Insurance Coverage
Anna Aizer and Jeffrey Grogger #9907 (HE, C) - On the Hidden Links Between Financial and Trade Opening
Joshua Aizenman #9906 (IFM, ITI) - Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear-Quadratic Approach
Pierpaolo Benigno and Michael Woodford #9905 (EFG, ME) - The Economics of 'Acting White'
David Austen-Smith and Roland G. Fryer, Jr. #9904 (LS) - Procuring Knowledge
Stephen M. Maurer and Suzanne Scotchmer #9903 (P) - Household Saving in Germany: Results of the first SAVE study
Axel Borsch-Supan and Lothar Essig #9902 (A) - A Pound of Flesh or Just Proxy? Using Twin Differences to Estimate the Effect of Birth Weight on Life Chances
Dalton Conley, Kate Strully, and Neil G. Bennett #9901 (HE) - Does Exchange Rate Risk Matter for Welfare?
Paul R. Bergin and Ivan Tchakarov #9900 (IFM) - Changing Economic Geography and Vertical Linkages in Japan
Eiichi Tomiura #9899 (ITI) - Adjustment is Much Slower than You Think
Ricardo J. Caballero and Eduardo Engel #9898 (EFG, LS, P) - Healthy, Wealthy, and Knowing Where to Live: Trajectories of Helath, Welath and Living
Florian Heiss, Michael Hurd, and Axel Borsch-Supan #9897 (A) - What, Me Vote?
Richard B. Freeman #9896 (LS, PE) - Simulation and Estimation of Nonaddative Hedonic Models
James J. Heckman, Rosa Matzkin, and Lars Nesheim #9895 (IO, LS, P, PE) - Investor Rationality: Evidence from UK Property Capitalization Rates
Patric H. Hendershott and Bryan D. MacGregor #9894 (PE) - Inventory Information
H. Henry Cao, Richard K. Lyons, and Martin D. D. Evans #9893 (AP) - Utility Evaluation of Risk in Retirement Saving Accounts
James Poterba, Joshua Rauh, Steven Venti, and David Wise #9892 (A, AP)
Week of July 28, 2003
- Estimating Housing Demand with an Application to Explaining Racial Segregation in Cities
Patrick Bajari and Matthew E. Kahn #9891 (IO) - Regulations, Market Structure, Institutions, and the Cost of Financial Intermediation
Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine #9890 (IFM) - Are Structural Estimates of Auction Models Reasonable? Evidence from Experimental Data
Patrick Bajari and Ali Hortacsu #9889 (IO) - Incentive-Compatible Guaranteed Renewable Health Insurance
Bradley Herring and Mark Pauly #9888 (HE) - Six Challenges in Designing Equity-Based Pay
Brian J. Hall #9887 (CF, LS) - Cities, Regions and the Decline of Transport Costs
Edward L. Glaeser and Janet E. Kohlhase #9886 (EFG) - You Only Die Once: Managing Discrete Interdependent Risks
Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther #9885 (CS) - Imperfect Knowledge, Inflations Expectations, and Monetary Policy
Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams #9884 (ME) - Fees and Surcharging in automatic teller machine networks: Non-bank ATM providers versus large banks
Elizabeth W. Croft and Barbara J. Spencer #9883 (IO) - What Works in Securities Laws?
Rafeal La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer #9882 (CF, LE) - The Effect of Schooling and Ability on Achievement Test Scores
Karsten Hansen, James J. Heckman, and Kathleen J. Mullen #9881 (ED, PE, C) - Financial Integration: A New Methodology and an Illustration
Robert P. Flood and Andrew K. Rose #9880 (IFM) - Trade Reforms, Labor Regulations and Labor-Demand Elasticities: Empirical Evidence from India
Rana Hasan, Devashish Mitra, and K.V. Ramaswamy #9879 (ITI, LS) - Analyzing the Determinants of the Matching of Public School Teachers to Jobs: Estimating Compensating Differentials in Imperfect Labor Markets
Donald Boyd, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb, and James Wyckoff #9878 (ED, LS) - Selection Bias, Comaparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Returns to Education: Evidence from China in 2000
James J. Heckman and Xuesong Li #9877
Week of July 21, 2003
- Peer Effects and Alcohol Use Among College Students
Michael Kremer and Dan M. Levy #9876 (ED, C) - When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-Daily and Longer-Term Exchange Rate Movements?
Kathryn M. E. Dominguez #9875 (IFM, AP) - The Impact of Price Regulation on the Launch Delay of New Drugs - Evidence from Twenty-Five Major Markets in the 1990s
Patricia M. Danzon, Y. Richard Wang, and Liang Wang #9874 (HE, IO) - Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination
Marianne Bertrand and Sendhil Mullainathan #9873 (LS) - Heckscher-Ohlin Theory and Individual Attitudes Towards Globalization
Kevin H. O'Rourke #9872 (ITI) - Entry Deterrence in Hospital Procedure Markets: A Simple Model of Learning-By-Doing
Leemore S. Dafny #9871 (HE) - Who Gets Health Care?
Robert W. Fogel and Chulhee Lee #9870 (HE) - Why the Welfare State Looks Like a Free Lunch
Peter H. Lindert #9869 (DAE) - Did American Welfare Capitalists Breach their Implicit Contracts? Preliminary Findings from Company-level Data, 1920-1940
Chiaki Moriguchi #9868 (DAE, LS) - Flexible Exchange Rates as Shock Absorbers
Sebastian Edwards and Eduardo Levy Yeyati #9867 (EFG, IFM, ITI) - A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications
Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer #9866 (EFG, DAE, ME)
Week of July 14, 2003
- The Economic Tragedy of the XXth Century: Growth in Africa
Elsa V.Artadi and Xavier Sala-i-Martin #9865 (EFG) - Explaining Sudden Stops, Growth Collapse, and BOP Crises: The Case of Distortionary Output Taxes
Guillermo A. Calvo #9864 (IFM) - Market Evidence of Misperceived Prices and Mistaken Mortality Risks
Jay Bhattacharya, Dana Goldman, and Neeraj Sood #9863 (A, HE) - Anticipated Ramsey Reforms and the Uniform Taxation Principle: The Role of International Financial Markets
Evaluating Portfolio Policies: A Duality Approach #9862 (PE) - Evaluating Portfolio Policies: A Duality Approach
Martin B. Haugh, Leonid Kogan, and Jiang Wang #9861 (AP) - Why didn't France follow the British Stabilization after World War One?
Michael D. Bordo and Pierre-Cyrille Hautcoeur #9860 (DAE, IFM, ME) - Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics
James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson #9859 (EFG, ME) - Stock Prices and IPO Waves
Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi #9858 (AP) - The Decline and Rise of Interstate Migration in the United States: Evidence from the IPUMS, 1850-1990
Joshua L. Rosenbloom and William A. Sundstrom #9857 (LS) - Literary Life Cycles: The Careers of Modern American Poets
David W. Galenson #9856 (LS) - Tax Credits and the Use of Medical Care
Michael Smart and Mark Stabile #9855 (HE, PE) - After the War Boom: Reconversion on the U.S. Pacific Coast, 1943-49
Paul W. Rhode #9854 (DAE) - Beauty in the Classroom: Professors' Pulchritude and Putative Pedagogical Productivity
Daniel S. Hamermesh and Amy M. Park #9853 (LS) - The Value of a Statistical Life and the Coefficient of Relative Risk Aversion
Louis Kaplow #9852 (HE, LS, AP, PE) - The Effects of Changes in State SSI Supplements on Pre-Retirement Labor Supply
David Neumark and Elizabeth T. Powers #9851 (A, LS) - Who Benefits from Labor Market Regulations?: Chile 1960-1998
Claudio Montenegro and Carmen Pages #9850 (LS) - Enriching a Theory of Wage and Promotion Dynamics Inside Firms
Robert Gibbons and Michael Waldman #9849 (LS) - Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption
Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson #9848 (EFG, AP) - Quality and Employers' Choice of Health Plan
Michael Chernew, Gautam Gowrisankaran, Catherine McLaughlin, and Teresa Gibson #9847 (HE) - New Data, New Doubts: A Comment on Burnside and Dollar's "Aid, Policies, and Growth" (2000)
William Easterly, Ross Levine, and David Roodman #9846 (IFM, ITI) - Is the Social Security Trust Fund Worth Anything?
Kent Smetters #9845 (A, PE)
Week of July 7, 2003
- Bidding for Industrial Plants: Does Winning a 'Million Dollar Plant' Increase Welfare?
Michael Greenstone and Enrico Moretti #9844 (PE) - Addressing the Transfer-Pricing Problem in an Origin-Basis X Tax
David F. Bradford #9843 (PE) - Public Goods and the Distribution of Income
Louis Kaplow #9842 (LE, PE) - How "Original Sin" was Overcome: The Evolution of External Debt Denominated in Domestic Currencies in the United States and the British Dominions, 1800-2000
Michael D. Bordo, Christopher Meissner, and Angela Redish #9841 (DAE, IFM) - Financial Innovation, Market Participation and Asset Prices
Laurent Calvet, Martin Gonzalez-Eiras, and Paolo Sodini #9840 (EFG, AP) - Regime-Switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes
Laurent A. Calvet and Adlai Fisher #9839 (EFG) - Monetary Policy in Economies with Little or No Money
Bennett T. McCallum #9838 (EFG, ME) - Multiple-Solution Indeterminacies in Monetary Policy Analysis
Bennett T. McCallum #9837 (EFG, ME) - Bidding Rings and the Winner's Curse: The Case of Federal Offshore Oil and Gas Lease Auctions
Ken Hendricks, Robert Porter, and Guofo Tan #9836 (IO) - Monetary Policy and Sectoral Shocks: Did the FED react properly to the High-Tech Crisis?
Claudio Raddatz and Robert Rigobon #9835 (IFM, ME) - Asset Prices and Exchange Rates
Anna Pavlova and Roberto Rigobon #9834 (IFM, AP) - Why Are Drugs More Profitable Than Vaccines?
Michael Kremer and Christopher M. Snyder #9833 (HE, IO) - Do Flexible Durable Goods Prices Undermine Sticky Price Models?
Robert Barsky, Christopher L. House, and Miles Kimball #9832 (EFG, ME) - Chip Shots: Association Between the State Children's Health Insurance Programs and Immunization Coverage and Delivery
Ted Joyce and Andrew Racine #9831 (HE, C) - Trade Reforms and Wage Inequality in Colombia
Orazio Attanasio, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, and Nina Pavcnik #9830 (ITI, LS) - Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?
Jean Boivin and Serena Ng #9829 (ME) - Sudden Stops, the Real Exchange Rate, and Fiscal Sustainability: Argentina's Lessons
Guillermo A. Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo, and Ernesto Talvi #9828 (IFM) - Aggregation and Insurance-Mortality Estimation
William H. Dow, Kristine A. Gonzalez, and Luis Rosero-Bixby #9827 (HE)
Week of June 30, 2003
- What Do People Buy When They Don't Buy Health Insurance and What Does that Say about Why They Are Uninsured?
Helen Levy and Thomas DeLeire #9826 (HE) - Grilichesian Breakthroughs: Inventions of Methods of Inventing and Firm Entry in Nanotechnology
Michael R. Darby and Lynne G. Zucker #9825 (P) - Guns, Drugs and Juvenile Crime: Evidence from a Panel of Siblings and Twins
H. Naci Mocan and Erdal Tekin #9824 (C) - Trade, Growth and the Environment
Brian R. Copeland and M. Scott Taylor #9823 (ITI) - Measuring Poverty in a Growing World (or Measuring Growth in a Poor World)
Angus Deaton #9822 (EFG) - Broken Down by Work and Sex: How Our Health Declines
Anne C. Case and Angus Deaton #9821 (A, HE) - Strict Dollarization and Economic Performance: An Empirical Investigation
Sebastian Edwards and I.Igal Mendoza #9820 (IFM) - What Happens After a Technology Shock?
Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, and Robert Vigfusson (EFG, LS) - The Determinants of Participation in a Social Program: Evidence from a Prototypical Job Training Program
James J. Heckman and Jeffrey A. Smith #9818 (ED, LS, PE) - Stock Market Cycles, Financial Liberalization and Volatility
Sebastian Edwards, Javier Gomez Biscarri, and Fernando Perez de Gracia #9817 (IFM, AP) - Entrepreneurial Spawning: Public Corporations and the Genesis of New Ventures, 1986-1999
Paul Gompers, Josh Lerner, and David Scharfstein #9816 (CF) - Causing Problems? The WTO Review of Causation and Injury Attribution in U.S. Section 201 Cases
Douglas Irwin #9815 (ITI) - The Case for Open-Market Purchases in a Liquidity Trap
Alan J. Auerbach and Maurice Obstfeld #9814 (EFG, ME, PE) - Executive Compensation as an Agency Problem
Lucian Arye Bebchuk and Jesse M. Fried #9813 (CF, LS) - Insurance and the Utilization of Medical Services
Jonathan Meer and Harvey S. Rosen #9812 (HE, PE) - The Marginal Propensity to Spend on Adult Children
Joseph G. Altonji and Ernesto Villanueva #9811 (C) - Bankruptcy Policy Reform and Total Factor Productivity Dynamics in Korea
Youngjae Lim and Chin Hee Hahn #9810 (CF, P)
Week of June 23, 2003
- Choosing (and reneging on) exchange rate regimes
Alberto Alesina and Alexander Wagner #9809 (EFG, IFM, ME) - The Mirage of Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Market Countries
Guillermo Calvo and Frederic S. Mishkin #9808 (IFM, ME) - Private Equity Performance: Returns, Persistence, and Capital
Steven Kaplan and Antoinette Schoar #9807 (CF) - Transparency, Risk Management and International Financial Fragility
Mario Draghi, Francesco Giavazzi, and Robert C. Merton #9806 (IFM) - Social Learning and Coordination in High-Stakes Games: Evidence from Friend or Foe
Felix Oberholzer-Gee, Joel Waldfogel, and Matthew White #9805 (IO, LE) - Addressing the Natural Resource Curse: An Illustration from Nigeria
Xavier Sala-i-Martin and Arvidn Subramanian #9804 (EFG) - Did Expanding Medicaid Affect Welfare Participants?
John C. Ham and Lara D. Shore-Sheppard #9803 (HE, C)
Week of June 16, 2003
- Incentives in Markets, Firms and Governments
Daron Acemoglu, Michael Kremer, and Atif Mian #9802 (EFG, LS) - Chasing the Smokestack: Strategic Policymaking With Multiple Instruments
Per G. Fredriksson, John A. List, and Daniel L. Millimet #9801 (PE) - Measuring the Impact of Minimum Wages: Evidence from Latin America
William F. Maloney abd Jairo Nunez Mendez #9800 (LS) - The Practice and Proscription of Affirmative Action in Higher Education: An Equilibrium Analysis
Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, and Holger Sieg #9799 (ED, C) - "Will Social Security Be There For You?" How Americans Perceive Their Benefits
Jeff Dominitz, Charles F. Manski, and Jordan Heinz #9798 (PE) - Outocme Versus Service Based Payments in Health Care: Lessons from African Traditional Healers
Kenneth Leonard and Joshua Graff Zivin #9797 (HE) - Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis, and Justin Wolfers #9796 (EFG, ME) - The Dominance of Retail Stores
Alexandre Ziegler and Edward P. Lazear #9795 (IO) - Distributional Disputes and Civil Conflict
Herschel I. Grossman #9794 (EFG) - ". . . and six hundred thousand men were dead."
Herschel I. Grossman #9793 (EFG) - Committee Structure and the Success of Connected Lending in Nineteenth Century New England Banks
Christopher M. Meissner #9792 (DAE, ME) - How to Tell if a Money Manager Knows More?
Sergey Iskoz and Jiang Wang #9791 (AP) - The Impact of Physician Intervention and Tobacco Control Policies on Average Daily Cigarette Consumption Among Adult Smokers
John A. Tauras and Lan Liang #9790 (HE) - Product Choice and Product Switching
Andrew B. Bernard, Peter K. Schott and Stephen Redding #9789 (IO) - From Cradle to Grave? The Lasting Impact of Childhood Health and Circumstance
Anne Case, Angela Fertig, and Christina Paxson #9788 (HE, LS, C) - Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization
Graciela L. Kaminsky and Sergio Schmukler #9787 (IFM, AP) - Government Finance in the Wake of Currency Crises
Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Sergio Rebelo #9786 (EFG, IFM, ME, PE) - The Optimal Taxation of Unskilled Labor with Job Search and Social Assistance
Jan Boone and Lans Bovenberg #9785 (LS, PE) - The Trouble with Stock Options
Brian J. Hall and Kevin J. Murphy #9784 (CF, LS, PE) - House Prices and Consumer Welfare
Patrick Bajari, C. Lanier Benkard, and John Krainer #9783 (EFG, IO) - The Married Widow: Marriage Penalties Matter!
Michael Baker, Emily Hanna, and Jasmin Kantarevic #9782 (A, LS, PE)
Week of June 9, 2003
- Welfare Reform, Labor Supply, and Health Insurance in the Immigrant Population
George J. Borjas #9781 (HE, LS) - Measuring Success of Advanced Technology Program Participants Using Archival Data
Lynne G. Zucker and Michael R. Darby #9780 (P) - Phasing Into Retriement
Steven G. Allen, Robert L. Clark, and Linda S. Ghent #9779 (A, LS) - Hedging Sudden Stops and Precautionary Recessions: A Quantitative Framework
Ricardo J. Caballero and Stavros Panageas #9778 (EFG, IFM, AP) - One Cost of the Chilean Capital Controls: Increased Financial Constraints for Smaller Traded Firms
Kristin J. Forbes #9777 (IFM) - Globalization and Dirty Industries: Do Pollution Havens Matter?
Jean-Marie Grether and Jaime de Melo #9776 (ITI) - Judicial Checks and Balances
Rafael LaPorta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Christian Pop-Eleches, and Andrei Shleifer #9775 (EFG, LE) - The Effect of Private Insurance on Health Outcomes: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
Avi Dor, Joseph J. Sudano, and David W. Baker #9774 (HE) - Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe
Jordi Gali and Roberto Perotti #9773 (EFG, ME, PE) - Fiscal Shocks and Their Consequences
Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Jonas Fisher #9772 (EFG, ME, PE) - Secular Trends in Physiological Capital: Implications for Equity in Health Care
Robert W. Fogel #9771 (A, DAE, CS) - Historical Perspectives on Racial Differences in Schooling in the United States
William J. Collins and Robert A. Margo #9770 (ED, DAE, LS) - The Effect of Welfare Reform on Prenatal Care and Birth Weight
Robert Kaestner and Won Chan Lee #9769 (HE, C)
Week of June 2, 2003
- The Vintage Effect in TFP Growth: An Analysis of the Age Structure of Capital
Maury Gittleman, Thijs ten Raa, and Edward N. Wolff #9768 (P) - Coordination and Policy Traps
George-Marios Angeletos, Christian Hellwig, and Alessandro Pavan #9767 (EFG, IFM) - International Migration, Remittances, and Schooling: Evidence from El Salvador
Alejandra Cox Edwards and Manuelita Ureta #9766 (ED, LS) - The Quantity and Quality of Life and the Evolution of World Inequality
Gary S. Becker, Tomas J. Philipson, and Rodrigo R. Soares #9765 (EFG, HE) - Idiosyncratic Production Risk, Growth, and the Business Cycle
George-Marios Angeletos and Laurent E. Calvet #9764 (EFG) - Bureaucracy as a Mechanism to Generate Information
Walter Novaes and Luigi Zingales #9763 (CF) - ENTICE: Endogenous Technological Change in the DICE Model of Global Warming
David Popp #9762 (P) - Differentiation Strategy and Market Deregulation: Local Telecommunication Entry in the Late 1990s
Shane Greenstein and Michael Mazzeo #9761 (IO, P) - Measuring the Well-Being of the Poor Using Income and Consumption
Bruce D. Meyer and James X. Sullivan #9760 (LS, PE) - Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice
John Y. Campbell and Joao F. Cocco #9759 (EFG, ME, AP) - Equilibrium Asset Prices Under Imperfect Corporate Control
James Dow, Gary Gorton, and Arvind Krishnamurty #9758 (CF, AP) - Auctions Versus Negotiations in Procurement: An Empirical Analysis
Patrick Bajari, Robert T. McMillan, and Steve Tadelis #9757 (IO) - The Regulation of Labor
Simeon Djankov, Rafael LaPorta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Juan Botero #9756 (EFG, LS, LE, PE) - The Labor Demand Curve is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market
George J. Borjas #9755 (LS) - The impact of new drug launches on longevity: evidence from longitudinal, disease-level data from 52 countries, 1982-2001
Frank R. Lichtenberg #9754 (HE, P) - James Tobin: An Appreciation of his Contribution to Economics
Willem H. Buiter #9753 (IFM, ME) - Just and Reasonable Treatment: Racial Treatment in the Terms of Pauper Apprenticeship in Antebellum Maryland
Howard Bodenhorn #9752 (DAE) - The Negative Income Tax and the Evolution of the U.S. Welfare Policy
Robert A. Moffitt #9751 (PE) - Does Misery Love Company? Evidence from pharmaceutical markets before and after the Orphan Drug Act
Frank R. Lichtenberg and Joel Waldfogel #9750 (HE) - Voice and Growth: Was Churchill Right?
Peter H. Lindert #9749 (DAE) - Parochial Interests and the Centralized Provision of Local Public Goods: Evidence from Congressional Voting on Transportation Projects
Brian Knight #9748 (PE)
Week of May 26, 2003
- Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting
Lars E. O. Svensson and Michael Woodford #9747 (EFG, ME) - A Quantitative Analysis of Tax Competition v. Tax Coordination under Perfect Capital Mobility
Enrique G. Mendoza and Linda L. Tesar #9746 (IFM, PE) - Why Parents Play Favorites: Explanations for Unequal Bequests
Audrey Light and Kathleen McGarry #9745 (A) - Airline Schedule Recovery After Airport Closures: Empirical Evidence Since September 11th
Nicholas G. Rupp, George M. Holmes, and Jeff DeSimone #9744 (IO) - Market Recations to Tangible and Intangible Information
Kent Daniel and Sheridan Titman #9743 (AP) - Prodigals and Projectors: An Economic History of Usury Laws in the United States from Colonial Times to 1900
Hugh Rockoff #9742 (DAE) - Why Are Prices Sticky? The Dynamics of Wholesale Gasoline Prices
Michael C. Davis and James D. Hamilton #9741 (EFG) - Firms, Contracts, and Trade Structure
Pol Antras #9740 (ITI) - Endogenous Nontradability and Macroeconomic Implications
Paul R. Bergin and Reuven Glick #9739 (IFM) - Health Inequality, Education and Medical Innovation
Sherry Glied and Adriana Lleras-Muney #9738 (HE) - Credit Market Imperfections in Middle Income Countries
Aaron Tornell and Frank Westermann #9737 (IFM) - Neoclassical Theory Versus Prospect Theory: Evidence From the Marketplace
John A. List #9736 (AP)
Week of May 19, 2003
- Appropriability and the timing of innovation: Evidence from MIT inventions
Emmanuel Dechenaux, Brent Goldfarb, Scott A. Shane, and Marie C. Thursby #9735 (P) - The Disclosure and Licensure of University Inventions
Richard Jensen, Jerry G. Thursby, and Marie C. Thursby #9734 (P) - Sprawl and Urban Growth
Edward L. Glaeser and Matthew E. Kahn #9733 (ENV, LE, PE) - Fifty Years of Mincer Earnings Regressions
James J. Heckman, Lance J. Lochner, and Petra E. Todd #9732 (LS) - Prospects for Improving U.S. Patent Quality via Post-grant Opposition
Bronwyn H. Hall, Stuart J.H. Graham, Dietmar Harhoff, and David C. Mowery #9731 (IO, P) - Adoption of New Technology
Bronwyn H. Hall and Beethika Khan #9730 (IO, P) - Distance, Time, and Specialization
Carolyn L. Evans and James Harrigan #9729 (ITI) - Product Differentiation, Search Costs, and Competition in the Mutual Fund Industry: A Case Study of S&P 500 Index Funds
Ali Hortacsu and Chad Syverson #9728 (CF, IO) - Incentives and Invention in Universities
Saul Lach and Mark Schankerman #9727 (P) - Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Games
Martin Pesendorfer and Philipp Schmidt-Dengler #9726 (IO) - Defense R&D in the Anti-terrorist Era
Manuel Trajtenberg #9725 (P, PE) - Productivity Growth and R&D Expenditure in Taiwan's Manufacturing Firms
Jiann-Chyuan Wang and Kuen-Hung Tsai #9724 (P) - Vertical Production Networks in Multinational Firms
Gordon H. Hanson, Raymond J. Mataloni, Jr., and Matthew J. Slaughter #9723 (ITI) - Executive Compensation and Short-termist Behavior in Speculative Markets
Patrick Bolton, Jose Scheinkman and Wei Xiong #9722 (CF, LS) - A Model of Add-on Pricing
Glenn Ellison #9721 (IO) - Does the Format of a Financial Aid Program Matter? The Effect of State In-Kind Tuition Subsidies
Bridget Terry Long #9720 (ED, PE) - Specialization, Firms, and Markets: The Division of Labor Within and Between Law Firms
Luis Garicano and Thomas N. Hubbard #9719 (IO) - Footloose and Pollution-Free
Josh Ederington, Arik Levinson, and Jenny Minier #9718 (ENV, ITI, PE) - Business Method Patents, Innovation, and Policy
Bronwyn H. Hall #9717 (IO,P) - The Role of Globalization in the Within-Industry Shift Away from Unskilled Workers in France
Vanessa Strauss-Kahn #9716 (ITI, LS) - A Multinational Perspective on Capital Structure Choice and Internal Capital Markets
Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr. #9715 (CF, ITI, PE) - Annuities and Individual Welfare
Thomas Davidoff, Jeffrey R. Brown, and Peter A. Diamond #9714 (A, PE)
Week of May 12, 2003
- IS-LM and Monetarism
Michael D. Bordo and Anna J. Schwartz #9713 (DAE, ME) - A Structural Empirical Model of Firm Growth, Learning, and Survival
Jaap H. Abbring and Jeffrey R. Campbell #9712 (EFG, IO) - Thy Neighbor's Portfolio: Word-of-Mouth Effects in the Holdings and Trades of Money Managers
Harrison Hong, Jeffrey D. Kubik, and Jeremy C. Stein #9711 (AP, CF) - Foreign Bank Entry and Business Volatility: Evidence from U.S. States and Other Countries
Donald Morgan and Philip Strahan #9710 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME) - Ideas and Education: Level or Growth Effects?
Steve Dowrick #9709 (P) - Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Theory and Practice
Joshua D. Angrist #9708 (LS) - Job Loss in the United States, 1981-2001
Henry S. Farber #9707 (LS) - Is Tomorrow Another Day? The Labor Supply of New York Cab Drivers
Henry S. Farber #9706 (LS) - Nonunion Wage Rates and the Threat of Unionization
Henry S. Farber #9705 (LS) - Bank Integration and State Business Cycles
Donald Morgan, Bertrand Rime, and Philip Strahan #9704 (CF, EFG, ME) - A Quasi-Experimental Estimate of the Impact of Financial Aid on College-Going
Thomas J. Kane #9703 (ED, PE, C) - Living Wage Effects: New and Improved Evidence
Scott Adams and David Neumark #9702 (LS)) - Relative Prices and Relative Prosperity
Chang-Tai Hsieh and Peter J. Klenow #9701 (EFG) - Economic Analysis of Welfare Economics, Morality and the Law
Steven Shavell #9700 (LE) - Economic Analysis of the General Structure of the Law
Steven Shavell #9699 (LE) - Economic Analysis of Public Law Enforcement and Criminal Law
Steven Shavell #9698 (LE) - Economic Analysis of Litigation and the Legal Process
Steven Shavell #9697 (LE) - Economic Analysis of Contract Law
Steven Shavell #9696 (LE) - Economic Analysis of Property Law
Steven Shavell #9695 (LE) - Economic Analysis of Accident Law
Steven Shavell #9694 (LE)
Week of May 5, 2003
- Impacts of Eligibility Expansions and Provider Reimbursement Rate Increases on Child Care Subsidy Take-Up Rates, Welfare Use and Work
Ann Dryden Witte and Magaly Queralt #9693 (LS, PE, C)) - Spaghetti Regionalism or Strategic Foreign Trade: Some Evidence for Mexico
Alejandro Ibarra-Yunez #9692 (ITI) - Social Security, Retirement, and the Single-Mindedness of the Electorate
Casey B. Mulligan and Xavier Sala-i-Martin #9691 (A, PE) - Marijuana Decriminalization: What does it mean in the United States?
Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, Jamie F. Chriqui, and Joanna King #9690 (HE) - The Effect of Drug Prohibition on Drug Prices: Evidence from the Markets for Cocaine and Heroin
Jeffrey A. Miron #9689 (HE) - Do Minimum Wages Affect Non-wage Job Attributes? Evidence on Fringe Benefits and Working Conditions
Kosali Ilayperuma Simon and Robert Kaestner #9688 (LS) - Globalization and Latin America Before 1940
Luis Bertola and Jeffrey G. Williamson #9687 (DAE, ITI) - Local Revenue Hills: Evidence from Four U.S. Cities
Andrew F. Haughwout, Robert P. Inman, Steven Craig, and Thomas Luce #9686 (PE) - Local Does as Local Is: Information Content of the Geography of Individual Investors' Common Stock Investments
Zoran Ivkovich and Scott Weisbenner #9685 (AP) - The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration
Pierre Olivier Gourinchas and Olivier Jeanne #9684 (IFM) - Does School Choice Increase School Quality?
George M. Holmes, Jeffrey DeSimone, and Nicholas G. Rupp #9683 - Religion and Economic Growth
Robert J. Barro and Rachel M. McCleary #9682 (EFG) - Alcohol Prohibition and Cirrhosis
Angela K. Dills and Jeffrey A. Miron #9681 (HE) - Cooperative Marketing, Agreements Between Competitors: Evidence from Patent Pools
Josh Lerner, Jean Tirole, and Marcin Strojwas #9680 (CF) - Firm-Specific Human Capital: A Skill-Weights Approach
Edward P. Lazear #9679 (LS) - Risk Aversion, Liability Rules, and Safety
Joshua Graff Zivin, Richard Just, and David Zilberman #9678 (ENV) - Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data
Andrew Ang and Angela Maddaloni #9677 (AP) - Alcohol Advertising and Alcohol Consumption by Adolescents
Henry Saffer and Dhaval Dave #9676 (HE, C) - Product Quality and Market Size
Steven Berry and Joel Waldfogel #9675 (IO, P) - Diversification and the Taxation of Capital Gains and Losses
Richard J. Rendleman, Jr. and Douglas A. Shackelford #9674 (PE) - Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Latent Affine Processes
David S. Bates #9673 (AP) - Inflation Targeting, Price-Path Targeting and Output Variability
Stephen G. Cecchetti and Junhan Kim #9672 (EFG, ME)
Week of April 28, 2003
- Teacher Incentives
Paul Glewwe, Nauman Ilias, and Michael Kremer #9671 (C, ED) - Twin Fallacies About Exchange Rate Policy in Emerging Markets
Carmen M. Reinhart and Vincent R. Reinhart #9670 (IFM) - The Effects of Multinational Production on Wages and Working Conditions in Developing Countries
Drusilla K. Brown, Alan V. Deardorff, and Robert M. Stern #9669 (LS, ITI) - Globalization and International Commodity Trade with Specific Reference to the West African Cocoa Producers
Christopher L. Gilbert and Panos Varangis #9668 (ITI) - Inflation Targeting in Transition Countries: Experience and Prospects
Jiri Jones and Frederic S. Mishkin #9667 (EFG, ME) - The Monetary Consequences of a Free Trade Area of the Americas
Barry Eichengreen and Alan M. Taylor #9666 (IFM, ME) - The Determinants and Consequences of Child Care Subsidies for Single Mothers
David Blau and Erdal Tekin #9665 (HE, PE) - A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations
Michael W. Brandt and Francis X. Diebold #9664 (AP) - Do all networks facilitate international commerce? US law firms and the international market for corporate control
Simon J. Evenett #9663 (ITI) - The Role of Information in Driving FDI Flows: Host-Country Transparency and Source Country Specialization
Ashoka Mody, Assaf Razin, and Efraim Sadka #9662 (IFM, ITI) - Charitable Bequests and Taxes on Inheritance and Estates: Aggregate Evidence from across States and Time
Jon Bakija, William Gale, and Joel Slemrod #9661 (PE)
Week of April 21, 2003
- Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequency Data
Jon Faust, John H. Rogers, Eric Swanson, and Jonathan H. Wright #9660 (IFM, ME) - Does Competition Encourage Credit Provision? Evidence from African Trade Credit Relationships
Raymond Fisman and Mayank Raturi #9659 (CF) - Financial Crises as Herds: Overturning the Critiques
V.V. Chari and Patrick J. Kehoe #9658 (EFG, IFM) - Payout Policy in the 21st Century
Alon Brav, John R. Graham, Campbell R. Harvey, and Roni Michaely #9657 (CF, AP) - Was it Stolper-Samuelson, Infant Industry or Something Else? World Trade Tariffs 1789-1938
Jeffrey G. Williamson #9656 (DAE, ITI) - The Cross Border Mergers and Acquisitions Wave of the Late 1990s
Simon J. Evenett #9655 (ITI) - Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Historical Perspective
Michael D. Bordo #9654 (DAE, IFM) - Are Idle Hands the Devil's Workshop? Incapacitation, Concentration and Juvenile Crime
Brian A. Jacob and Lars Lefgren #9653 (ED, C) - Public Housing, Housing Vouchers and Student Achievement: Evidence from Public Housing Demolitions in Chicago
Brian A. Jacob #9652 (ED, C) - Why Some Double Taxation Might Make Sense: The Special Case of Inter-corporate Dividends
Randall Morck #9651 (CF, PE) - Time Vs. Goods: The Value of Measuring Household Production Technologies
Reuben Gronau and Daniel S. Hamermesh #9650 (LS) - Barriers to Entering Medical Specialties
Sean Nicholson #9649 (HE) - Effectiveness of Official Daily Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Operations in Japan
Rasmus Fatum and Michael Hutchison #9648 (IFM) - Household Portfolios in Japan
Takuo Iwaisako #9647 (AP) - Financial Distress and Employment: The Japanese Case in the 90s
Kazuo Ogawa #9646 (EFG, LS, ME) - Sources of Funds and Investment Activities of Venture Capital Funds: Evidence from Germany, Israel, Japan and the UK
Colin Mayer, Koen Schoors, and Yishay Yafeh #9645 (CF) - Bank Ties and Bond Market Access: Evidence on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity in Japan
Patrick M. McGuire #9644 (CF, EFG) - Unnatural Selection: Perverse Incentives and the Misallocation of Credit in Japan
Joe Peek and Eric S. Rosengren #9643 (CF, EFG) - Idiosyncratic Risk and the Creative Destruction in Japan
Yasushi Hamao, Jianping Mei and Yexiao Xu #9642 (EFG, IFM, AP) - Human Capital Externalities in Cities
Enrico Moretti #9641 (ED, C) - Spillovers Across U.S. Financial Markets
Roberto Rigobon and Brian Sack #9640 (AP) - Falling Trade Costs, Heterogeneous Firms, and Industry Dynamics
Andrew B. Bernard, J. Bradford Jensen, and Peter K. Schott #9639 (ITI) - Alcohol Abuse and Suicide Attempts Among Youth - Correlation or Causation?
Pinka Chatterji, Dhaval Dave, Robert Kaestner, and Sara Markowitz #9638 (HE, C) - Geography and Export Performance: External Market access and Internal Supply Capacity
Stephen Redding and Anthony J. Venables #9637 (ITI) - Do Airline Bankruptcies Reduce Air Service?
Severin Borenstein and Nancy L. Rose #9636 (IO)
Week of April 14, 2003
- "Fifty-four Forty or Fight!"
Herschel Grossman #9635 (EFG, ITI) - Continuing Dangers of Disinformation in Corporate Accounting Reports
Edward J. Kane #9634 (CF) - The Flattening Firm: Evidence from Panel Data in the Changing Nature of Corporate Hierarchies
Raghuram Rajan and Julie Wulf #9633 (CF, LS) - Teen Births Keep American Crime High
Jennifer Hunt #9632 (LS, PE) - Reciprocated Unilateralism: An Interest-Group Approach
Pravin Krishna and Devashish Mitra #9631 (ITI) - Does Returning to Work After Childbirth Affect Breastfeeding Practices?
Pinka Chatterji and Kevin Frick #9630 (HE, C) - Collective Investment Decision Making with Heterogeneous Time Preferences
Christian Gollier and Richard Zeckhauser #9629 (EFG) - Does Family Structure Affect Children's Educational Outcomes?
Robert A. Pollak and Donna K. Ginther #9628 (ED, LS) - Who Bears the Growing Cost of Science at Universities?
Ronald G. Ehrenberg, Michael J. Rizzo, and George H. Jakubson #9627 (ED) - Does Medicaid Pay Too Much for Prescription Drugs? A Case Study of Atypical Anti-Psychotics
Mark G. Duggan #9626 (HE) - Evolving Discretionary Practices of U.S. Anti-dumping Actvity
Bruce A. Blonigen #9625 (ITI) - How to Restructure Failed Banking Systems: Lessons from the U.S. in the 1930's and Japan in the 1990's
Charles W. Calomiris and Joseph R. Mason #9624 (DAE, ME) - Deflation: Prevention and Cure
Willem H. Buiter #9623 (IFM, ME)
Week of April 7, 2003
- Fairness Versus Welfare: Notes on the Pareto Principle, Preferences, and Distributive Justice
Louis Kaplow and Steven Shavell #9622 (LE, PE) - Productivity Effects of TVE Privatization: The Case Study of Garment and Metal Casting Enterprises in the Greater Yangtze River
Tetsushi Sonobe and Keijiro Otsuka #9621 (P) - Bank Supervision and Corporate Finance
Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Levine #9620(AP, CF, ME) - Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Well-being
Justin Wolfers #9619 (EFG, LS) - Military Expenditure, Threats, and Growth
Joshua Aizenman and Reuven Glick #9618 (EFG, ITI) - Why Plant-Level Productivity Studies are Often Misleading, and an Alternative Approach to Inference
Haijime Katayama, Shihua Lu, and James R. Tybout #9617 (ITI, P) - New Estimates of the Average Tariff of the United States, 1790-1820
Douglas A. Irwin #9616 (DAE, ITI) - Productivity in Pharmaceutical Biotechnology R&D: The Role of Experience and Alliances
Patricia M. Danzon, Sean Nicholson, and Nuno Sousa Pereira #9615 (HE) - Migration, Spillovers, and Trade Diversion: The Impact of Internalization on Stock Market Liquidity
Ross Levine and Sergio L. Schmukler #9614 (IFM, AP) - The State of U.S. Corporate Governance: What's Right and What's Wrong?
Bengt Holmstrom and Steven N. Kaplan #9613 (CF, PE) - Hog Round Marketing, Seed Quality, and Government Policy: Institutional Change in U.S. Cotton Production, 1920-1960
Alan L. Olmstead and Paul W. Rhode #9612 (DAE)
Week of March 31, 2003
- Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Regression
Nelson C. Mark, Masao Ogaki, and Donggyu Sul #T292 (TWP) - How Often to Sample a Continuous-Time Process in the Presence of Market Microstructure Noise
Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Per A. Mykland #9611 (AP) - Effects of Child Health on Parents' Relationship Status
Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman, and Kelly Noonan #9610 (HE, C) - The Effects of War Risk on U.S. Financial Markets
Roberto Rigobon and Brian Sack #9609 (IFM, AP) - The New Comparative Economics
Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer #9608 (CF, EFG, LE, PE) - The Evolution of High Incomes in Canada, 1920-2000
Emmanuel Saez and Michael R. Veall #9607 (PE) - A Brazilian-Type Debt Crisis: Simple Analytics
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #9606 (IFM) - Expected Returns and Expected Dividend Growth
Martin Lettau and Sydney C. Ludvigson #9605 (AP) - Frictionless Technology and Diffusion: The Case of Tractors
Rodolfo Manuelli and Ananth Seshadri #9604 (EFG, P) - In-State versus Out-of-State Students: The Divergence of Interest between Public Universities and State Governements
Jeffrey A. Groen and Michelle J. White #9603 (ED, LE, PE) - The Effect of Automobile Insurance and Accident Liability Laws on Traffic Fatalities
Alma Cohen and Rajeev Dehejia #9602 (LE, PE) - Power-hungry Candidates, Policy Favors, and Pareto Improving Campaign Finance Reform
Stephen Coate #9601 (PE)) - Antitrust Merger Policy: Lessons from the Australian Experience
Philip L. Williams and Graeme Woodbridge #9600 (CF) - Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops
Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy #9599 (CF, EFG, IFM) - Intellectual Property & External Consumption Effects: Generalizations from Pharmaceutical Markets
Tomas Philipson and Stephane Mechoulan #9598 (HE) - The Kindergarten Rule of Sustainable Growth
William A. Brock and M. Scott Taylor #9597 (ITI) - Transition Policy: A Conceptual Framework
Louis Kaplow #9596 (LE, PE)
Week of March 24, 2003
- Generalized Moments Estimation for Panel Data
Viliam Druska and William C. Horrace #T291 (TWP) - Banks and Markets: The Changing Character of European Finance
Luigi Zingales and Raghuram Rajan #9595 (CF) - Historical Perspectives on U.S. Economic Geography
Sukkoo Kim and Robert A. Margo #9594 (DAE, LS) - Race and Pregnancy Outcomes in the Twentieth Century: A Long-Term Comparison
Dora L. Costa #9593 (DAE, C, CS) - Rail Reform Strategies: The Australian Experience
Helen Owens #9592 (IO) - A Workers' Lobby to Provide Portable Benefits
Joni Hersch #9591 (LS) - Union Participation in Strategic Decisions of Corporations
Eileen Appelbaum and Larry W. Hunter #9590 (LS) - Market Evaluations of Banking Fragility in Japan: Japan Premium, Stock Prices, and Credit Derivatives
Takatoshi Ito and Kimie Harada #9589 (IFM, ME) - Are There Civic Returns to Education?
Thomas S. Dee #9588 (ED, C) - What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?
Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitzewitz #9587 (EFG, AP)
Week of March 17, 2003
- The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle: Anticipated and Actual Declines in Spending and Retirement
Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder #9586 (A, EFG) - The Effect of Expected Income on Individual Migration Decisions
John Kennan and James R. Walker #9585 (EFG, LS) - Does Education Improve Citizenship? Evidence from the U.S. and the U.K.
Kevin Milligan, Enrico Moretti, and Philip Oreopoulos #9584 (ED) - Financial Development and the Composition of Industrial Growth
Raymond Fisman and Inessa Love #9583 (CF, EFG) - Financial Dependence and Growth Revisited
Raymond Fisman and Inessa Love #9582 (CF, EFG) - The Measurement of Firm-Specific Organization Capital
Baruch Lev and Suresh Radhakrishnan #9581 (EFG) - Foreign Capital in Latin America in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries
Alan M. Taylor #9580 (DAE, IFM, ITI) - Categorical Cognition: A Psychological Model of Categories and Identification in Decision Making
Roland G. Fryer, Jr. and Matthew O. Jackson #9579 (LS) - Openness and Growth: What's the Empirical Relationship?
Robert E. Baldwin #9578 (ITI) - Does Inflation Targeting Matter?
Laurence Ball and Niamh Sheridan #9577 (EFG, ME) - Active Labour Market Policies and the British New Deal for the Young Unemployed in Context
John Van Reenen #9576 (LS) - Sources of Corporate Financing and Economic Crisis in Korea
Youngjae Lim #9575 (CF, IFM) - Initial Public Offering and Corporate Governance in China's Transitional Economy
Chen Chien-Hsun and Shih Hui-Tzu #9574 (CF) - Charcteristics of Foreign-Owned Firms in British Manufacturing
Rachel Griffith and Helen Simpson #9573 (LS, P)
Week of March 10, 2003
- Trader, Cops and Robbers
James E. Anderson and Oriana Bandiera #9572 (ITI) - An Econometric Model of Serial Correlation and Illiquidity in Hedge Fund Returns
Mila Getmansky, Andrew W. Lo and Igor Makarov #9571 (AP) - On the International Financial Architecture: Insuring Emerging Markets
Ricardo J. Caballero #9570 (CF, EFG, IFM) - How Workers Fare When Employers Innovate
Snadra E. Black, Lisa Lynch, and Anya Krivelyova #9569 (LS) - Monetary Rules for Small, Open, Emerging Economies
Douglas Laxton and Paolo Pesenti #9568 (IFM) - Subsidies to Employee Health Insurance Premiums and the Health Insurance Market
Jonathan Gruber and Ebonya Washington #9567 (HE, PE) - Modeling Model Uncertainty
Alexei Onatski and Noah Williams #9566 (EFG, ME) - Individual Rights and Collective Agents: The Role of Old and New Workplace Institution in the Regulation of Labor Markets
David Weil #9565 (LS) - The Surprising Retreat of Union Britain
John Pencavel #9564 (LS) - What Has Happened to Wages in Mexico since NAFTA?
Gordon H. Hanson #9563 (ITI, LS) - The Housing Market Impact of State-Level Anti-Discrimination Laws, 1960-1970
William J. Collins #9562 (DAE) - Lighting Up and Slimming Down: The Effects of Body Weight and Cigarette Prices on Adolescent Smoking Initiation
John Cawley, Sara Markowitz, and John Tauras #9561 (HE) - Regulation and Investment
Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna, Giuseppi Nicoletti, and Fabio Schiantarelli #9560 (EFG, IO) - Implicit Contracts, the Great Depression, and Institutional Change: A Comparative Analysis of U.S. and Japanese Employment Relations, 1920-1940
Chiaki Moriguchi #9559 (DAE) - Backward-Looking Interest-Rate Rules, Interest-Rate Smoothing, and Macroeconomic Instability
Jess Benhabib, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe, and Martin Uribe #9558 (EFG, ME) - Inflation Inertia and Credible Disinflation - The Open Economy Case
Guillermo Calvo, Oya Cesalun, and Michael Kumhof #9557 (IFM) - Pension Reform and Economic Performance in Britain in the 1980s and 1990s
Richard Disney, Carl Emmerson, and Sarah Smith #9556 (A, LS) - A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time
Kristin J. Forbes and Menzie D. Chinn #9555 (IFM)
Week of March 3, 2003
- The (Interesting) Dynamic Properties of the Neoclassical Growth Model with CES Production
Kent Smetters #T290 (TWP) - Iatrogenic Specification Error: A Cautionary Tale of Cleaning Data
Christopher R. Bollinger and Amitabh Chandra #T289 (TWP) - Exploring the Health-Wealth Nexus
Jonathan Meer, Douglas L. Miller, and Harvey S. Rosen #9554 (PE) - The Impact of Federal Tax Credits for Higher Education Expenses
Bridget Terry Long #9553 (ED, PE, C) - Putting 'M' back in Monetary Policy
Eric M. Leeper and Jennifer E. Roush #9552 (EFG, ME) - Why Does Financial Development Matter? The United States from 1900 to 1940
Rajeev Dehejia and Adriana Lleras-Muney #9551 (DAE, ME)) - Labor Market Status of Older Males in the United States, 1880-1940
Chulhee Lee #9550 (DAE, LS) - Lead Water Pipes and Infant Mortality in Turn-of-the-Century Massachusetts
Werner Troesken #9549 (A, C, DAE) - Consumption Risk and Expected Stock Returns
Jonathan A. Parker #9548 (AP, ME) - Strategic Asset allocation in a Continuous-Time VAR Model
John Y. campbell, George Chacko, Jorge Rodriguez, and Luis M. Viciera #9547 (AP, ME, EFG) - Estimating Distributions of Treatment Effects with an Application to the Returns to Schooling and Measurement of the Effects of Uncertainty on College Choice
Pedro Carneiro, Karsten T. Hansen, and James J. Heckman #9546 (C, ED, LS) - Does Teacher Testing Raise Teacher Quality? Evidence from State Certification Requirements
Joshua D. Angrist and Jonathan Guryan #9545(C, ED, LS) - Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in Earnings Forecasts
Louis K.C. Chan, Jason Karceski, and Josef Lakonishok #9544 (AP) - Endogenous Exchange Rate Pass-through when Nominal Prices are Set in Advance
Michael B. Devereux, Charles Engel, and Peter E. Storgaard #9543 (IFM) - A Catering Theory of Dividends
Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler #9542 (CF) - Does Insider Trading Raise Market Volatility?
Julan Du and Shang-Jin Wei #9541 (AP, IFM) - The Reallocation of Compensation in Response to Health Insurance Premium Increases
Dana P. Goldman, Neeraj Sood, and Arleen A. Leibowitz #9540 (HE, LS) - The Life Cycles of Modern Artists: Theory, Measurement, and Implications
David W. Galenson #9539 (LS) - Consumption Risk and Cross-Sectional Returns
Jonathan A. Parker and Christian Julliard #9538 (AP, ME, EFG) - The Effect of Payroll Tax on Earnings: A Test of Competing Models of Wage Determination
Kevin Lang #9537 (LS, PE) - The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies: Evidence and Theory
Robert Shimer #9536 (EFG) - A New Summary Measure of the Effective Tax Rate on Investment
Roger Gordon, Laura Kalambokidis, and Joel Slemrod #9535 (PE)
Week of February 24, 2003
- Multinomial Choice with Social Interaction
William A. Brock and Steven N. Durlauf #T288 (TWP) - Merchant Transmission Investment
Paul L. Joskow and Jean Tirole #9534 (IO) - International Agreements on Product Standards: An Incomplete-Contracting Theory
Giovanni Maggi and Pierpaolo Battigalli #9533 (ITI) - Further Evidence that Legalized Abortion Lowered Crime: A Reply to Joyce
John J. Donohue III and Steven D. Levitt #9532 (HC, LE, LS) - Freight Rates and Productivity Gains in British Tramp Shipping 1869-1950
Saif I. Shah Mohammed and Jeffrey G. Williamson #9531 (DAE, ITI, P) - Why is Productivity Growing Faster?
Martin Feldstein #9530 (PE) - Price Discovery in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Impact of Orderflow and Liquidity on the Yield Curve
Michael W. Brandt and Kenneth A. Kavajecz #9529 (AP, ME) - Knife Edge of Plateau: When Do Market Models Tip?
Glenn Ellison and Drew Fudenberg #9528 (IO) - CEO Turnover and Foreign Market Participation
Bruce A. Blonigen and Rossitza B. Wooster #9527 (CF, ITI) - Measuring Capital
W. Erwin Diewert #9526 (EFG, P) - Equity Premium in Retrospect
Rajnish Mehra and Edward Prescott #9525 (AP) - Strikes, Scabs and Tread Separations: Labor Strife and the Production of Defective Bridgestone/Firestone Tires
Alan B. Krueger and Alexandre Mas #9524 (LS) - Do Shareholders of Acquiring Firms Gain from Acquisitions?
Sara B. Moeller, Frederik P. Schlingemann and Rene M. Stulz #9523 (AP, CF) - Deflation, Silent Runs, and Bank Holidays, in the Great Contraction
Hugh Rockoff #9522 (DAE, ME) - Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-examined
Menzie Chinn #9521 (IFM, ITI) - Is Deflation Depressing? Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard Period
Michael D. Bordo and Angela Redish #9520 (DAE, ME) - What Can be Learned from Skeletons that Might Interest Economists, Historians and Other Social Scientists?
Richard H. Steckel #9519 (DAE) - Time in Purgatory: Determinants of the Grant Lag for U.S. Patent Applications
David Popp, Ted Juhl, and Daniel K.N. Johnson #9518 (P) - Export-Platform Foreign Direct Investment
Karolina Ekholm, Rikard Forslid, and James R. Markusen #9517 (ITI)
Week of February 17, 2003
- Resident and Nonresident Tuition and Enrollment at Flagship State Universities
Michael J. Rizzo and Ronald G. Ehrenberg #9516 (ED) - Do Asset Prices Reflect Fundamentals? Freshly Squeezed Evidence from the OJ Market
Jacob Boudoukh, Matthew Richardson, YuQing Shen, and Robert F. Whitelaw #9515 (AP) - A Currency of One's Own? An Empirical Investigation on Dollarization and Independent Currency Unions
Sebastian Edwards and Igal Magendzo #9514 (IFM) - Geography and Racial Health Disparities
Amitabh Chandra and Jonathan Skinner #9513 (HC) - The Equity Premium: Why is it a Puzzle?
Rajnish Mehra #9512 (AP) - International Price-Fixing Cartels and Developing Countries: A Discussion of Effects and Policy Remedies
Margaret Levenstein, Valerie Suslow, and Lynda Oswald #9511 (DAE) - Market Integration and Contagion
Geert Bekaert, Campbell R. Harvey, and Angela Ng #9510 (AP, IFM) - Bad Beta, Good Beta
John Y. Campbell and Tuomo Vuolteenaho #9509 (AP)
Week of February 10, 2003
- Job Loss Expectations, Realizations, and Household Consumption Behavior
Melvin Stephens, Jr. #9508 (LS) - Who Shall Live and Who Shall Die? An Analysis of Prisoners on Death Row in the United States
Laura Argys and Naci Mocan #9507 (HE, PE) - Fiscal Policy and Inflation: Pondering the Imponderables
Eric M. Leeper #9506 (EFG) - Education Saving Incentives and Household Saving: Evidence from the 2000 TIAA-CREF Survey of Participant Finances
Jennifer Ma #9505 (ED) - Multinational Enterprises, International Trade, and Productivity Growth: Firm-Level Evidence from the United States
Wolfgang Keller and Stephen R. Yeaple #9504 (ITI, P) - Taxation of Interest Income
Roger H. Gordon #9503 (PE) - Fairness and Redistribution: U.S. versus Europe
Alberto Alesina and George-Marios Angeletos #9502 (EFG, PE) - Peer Effects in Higher Education
Gordon C. Winston and David J. Zimmerman #9501 (ED) - Capital Account Openness and the Varieties of Growth Experience
Michael W. Klein #9500 (IFM) - Disposition Matters: Volume, Volatility and Price Impact of a Behavioral Bias
William N. Goetzmann and Massimo Massa #9499 (AP) - Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?
Eric van Wincoop and Philippe Bacchetta #9498 (IFM) - Using Matching, Instrumental Variables and Control Functions to Estimate Economic Choice Models
James Heckman and Salvador Navarro-Lozano #9497 (C, ED, LS, PE) - Retirement Incentives and Couples' Retirement Decisions
Courtney Coile #9496 (A, LS, PE) - Human Capital Policy
James Heckman and Pedro Carneiro #9495 (C, ED, LS, PE))
Week of February 3, 2003
- Micro-Stimulation of Social Security Reform in Belgium
Raphael Desmet, Alain Jousten, Sergio Perelman, and Pierre Pestieau #9494 (A, C, PE) - Will the Sovereign Debt Market Survive?
Andrei Shleifer #9493 (AP, CF, IFM, LE, PE) - Consumption Taxes and Economic Efficiency in a Stochastic OLG Economy
Shinichi Nishiyama and Kent Smetters #9492 (PE) - Monetary Policy for Inattentive Economies
Laurence Ball, N. Gregory Mankiw, and Ricardo Reis #9491 (EFG, ME) - Institutions Don't Rule: Direct Effects of Geography on Per Capita Income
Jeffrey D. Sachs #9490 (EFG, IFM) - The Economics of Foreign Direct Investment Incentives
Magnus Blomstrom and Ari Kokko #9489 (ITI) - Capital Account Liberalization, The Cost of Capital, and Economic Growth
Peter Blair Henry #9488 (CF, IFM) - The Value of a Statistical Life: A Critical Review of Market Estimates throughout the World
W. Kip Viscusi and Joseph E. Aldy #9487 (HC, LE) - Monetary Policy and Real Stabilization
Lars E. O. Svensson #9486 (EFG, IFM, ME) - Border Delays and Trade Liberalization
Edgar Cudmore and John Whalley #9485 (ITI) - Constraints on the Level and Efficient Use of Labor in Japan
Hiroshi Ono and Marcus E. Rebick #9484 (LS) - Economic Analysis of Accident Law
Steven Shavell #9483 (LE) - Do and Should Financial Aid Packages Affect Students' College Choices?
Christopher Avery and Caroline Hoxby #9482 (C, ED) - Equity Market Liberalizations as Country IPOs
Rodolfo Martell and Rene M. Stulz #9481 (AP, CF, IFM)
Week of January 27, 2003
- Individual Subjective Survival Curves
Li Gan, Michael Hurd, and Daniel McFadden #9480 (A) - The Center and the Periphery: The Globalization of Financial Turmoil
Graciela Kaminsky and Carmen Reinhart #9479 (IFM) - The Emergence of Strong Property Rights: Speculations from History
Raghuram Rajan and Luigi Zingales #9478 (CF) - Do We Now Collect Any Revenue from Taxing Capital Income?
Roger Gordon, Laura Kalambokidis, and Joel Slemrod #9477 (PE) - Is the Convergence in the Racial Wage Gap Illusory?
Amitabh Chandra #9476 (ED, LS) - An Equilibrium Analysis of Real Estate
Steven R. Grenadier #9475 (AP) - Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System
Lance Lochner #9474 (LS, PE, C) - Unionization and Wage Inequality: A Comparitive Study of the U.S., the U.K., and Canada
David Card, Thomas Lemieux, and W. Craig Riddell #9473 (LS)) - Welfare Transitions in the 1990's: The Economy, Welfare Policy, and the EITC
Jeffrey Grogger #9472 (LS, PE) - Competition Among Hospitals
Martin Gaynor and William B. Vogt #9471 (HE) - Investor Sentiment in Japanese and U.S. Daily Mutual Fund Flows
Stephen J. Brown, William N. Goetzmann, Takato Hiraki, Noriyoshi Shirishi, and Masahiro Watanabe #9470 (AP) - Modeling and Measuring Russian Corporate Governance: The Case of Russian Preferred and Common Shares
William N. Goetzmann, Matthew Spiegel, and Andrey Ukhov #9469 (AP) - Healthy Living in Hard Times
Christopher J. Ruhm #9468 (HE) - The collapse of a medical clearinghouse (and why such failures are rare)
C. Nicholas McKinney, Muriel Niederle, and Alvin E. Roth #9467 (LS) - Efficiency and the Bear: Short Sales and Markets around the World
Arturo Bris, William N. Goetzmann, and Ning Zhu #9466 (AP) - Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?
William N. Goetzmann and Ning Zhu #9465 (AP) - Fees on Fees in Funds of Funds
Stephen J. Brown, William N. Goetzmann, and Bing Liang #9464 (AP)
Week of January 20, 2003
- Universities, Joint Ventures, and Success in the Advanced Technology Program
Michael R. Darby, Lynne G. Zucker, and Andrew Wang #9463 (P) - Owner Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk
Todd Sinai and Nicholas Souleles #9462 (EFG, A, ME, AP) - Diversification and the Optimal Construction of Basis Portfolios
Bruce N. Lehmann and David M. Modest #9461 (AP) - Health Policy and Technological Change: Evidence from the Vaccine Industry
Amy Finkelstein #9460 (HE, P, PE) - Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?
Jean Boivin and Marc P. Giannoni #9459 (ME) - Time-Consistent No-Arbitrage Models of the Term Structure
Michael W. Brandt and Amir Yaron #9458 (AP) - Gaucho Banking Redux
Gerardo della Paolera and Alan M. Taylor #9457 (DAE, IFM) - Inter-Asset Differences in Effective Estate Tax Burdens
James Poterba and Scott Weisbenner #9456 (PE) - Simulating the Response to Reform of Canada's Income Security Programs
Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber, and Kevin Milligan #9455 (A, LS, PE) - The cash flow, return and risk characteristics of private equity
Alexander Ljungqvist and Matthew Richardson #9454 (AP) - Portfolio Choice and Health Status
Harvey S. Rosen and Stephen Wu #9453 (AP, HE, PE) - Omitted Product Attributes in Discrete Choice Models
Amil Petrin and Kenneth Train #9452 (IO) - Letting States do the Dirty Work: State Responsibility for Federal Environmental Regulation
Hilary Sigman #9451 (PE) - Regulation, Distribution Efficiency, and Retail Density
David Flath #9450 (IO, ITI) - Testing Theories of Discrimination: Evidence from "Weakest Link"
Steven D. Levitt #9449 (LS, LE) - Legacies in Black and White: The Racial Composition of the Legacy Pool
Cameron Howell and Sarah E. Turner #9448 (ED) - Distance, Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich?
Stephen Redding and Peter K. Schott #9447 (ITI) - Why Have Americans Become More Obese?
David Cutler, Edward Glaeser, and Jesse Shapiro #9446 (A, HE, C) - The Productivity of U.S. States Since 1880
Kris James Mitchener and Ian W. McLean #9445 (DAE) - Inefficiency of Corporate Investment and Distortion of Savings Behavior in Japan
Albert Ando, Dimitrios Christelis, and Tsutomu Miyagawa #9444 (EFG) - The Reponse of the Informal Sector to Trade Liberalization
Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Nina Pavcnik #9443 (ITI) - Dynastic Management
Francesco Caselli and Nicola Gennaioli #9442 (EFG, AP)
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