National Institute Economic Review 2005

n°4/2005 (n° 194)

Economic overview,pp. 2-3

Commentary
Commentary: Oil and the economy, pp. 4 - 7
Martin Weale 

The World Economy 

  • Global impact of financial market and oil price developments, pp. 8 - 17
    Ray Barrel and Dawn Holland
  • Impact of energy prices in North America, pp. 18 - 20
    Olga Pomerantz 
  • Twin giants to lead buoyant growth in Asia, pp. 21 - 23
    Amanda Choy
  • Fiscal balance to worsen in the Euro Area, pp. 24 - 33
    Ali Al-Eyd, Tatiana Fic, and Sylvia Gottschalk

The UK Economy

  • Prospects for the UK economy, pp. 34 - 53
    Ray J Barrell, Amanda Choy, Simon Kirby, Robert Metz, and Olga Pomerantz 

Research Articles

  • ERMISCH John - Introduction, pp. 54 - 55
  • BILLARI Francesco C. - Europe and its fertility: from low to lowest low, pp. 56 - 73
  • LISIANKOVA Katerina, WRIGHT Robert E. - Demographic change and the European Union labour market, pp. 74 - 81
  • LEE Ronald, ANDERSON Michael - Stochastic infinite horizon forecasts for US social security finances, pp. 82 - 93
  • CONSTANT Amelie, ZIMMERMANN Klaus F. - Immigrant performance and selective immigration policy: a European perspective, pp. 94 - 105
  • HATTON Timothy J. - European ayslum policy, pp. 106 - 119

(résumés du n° 4/2005)

n°3/2005 (n° 193)

Economic overview, pp. 2-3

Commentary
Pensions and pension policy, pp. 4-10
Simon Broadbent, Justin van de Ven, and Martin Weale 

The World Economy 

  • The oil price and world balances
    Ray Barrel and Dawn Holland
  • Global realignment of exchange rates: East Asia's dilemma, pp. 11-17
    Ali Al-Eyd, Ray J Barrell, and Amanda Choy 
  • The impact of subdued import demand from China and Asia, pp. 22-24
    Amanda Choy
  • Adjustment and trade in the Euro Area
    Ali Al-Eyd, Sylvia Gottschalk
  • Global realignments of exchange rates: East Asia's dilemma
    Ali Al-Eyd, Ray Barrell and Amanda Choy

The UK Economy
Prospects for the UK economy 
Ray J Barrell, Amanda Choy, Simon Kirby, Robert Metz, and Olga Pomerantz 

Research Articles

  • ALLEN William A., MILLS Terence - How forecasts evolve: the growth forecasts of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, pp. 53-59
  • MITCHELL James - The National Institute density forecasts of inflation, pp. 60-69
  • BARRELL  Ray J, KIRBY Simon, METZ Robert - Forecast comparisons, pp. 70-74
  • O'LEARY  Nigel C., SLOANE Peter J  - The return to a university education in Great Britain, pp. 75-89
  • STEVENS Philip Andrew - Asseing the performance of local government, pp. 90-101
  • PRAIS  S J - The superior educational attainments of pupils in religious foundation schools in England, pp. 102-105

(résumés du n° 3/2005)

n°2/2005 (n° 192)

Economic overview, pp. 2-3

Commentary
BARRELL Ray, KIRKY Simon, METZ Robert, WEALE Martin - The Labour Government's economic record and economic prospects, pp. 4 - 10 

The World Economy

  • World economic prospects and the risks from oil prices, pp. 11 - 15
    (Ray Barrell , Amanda Choy, Olga Pomerantz)
  • House prices, consumption and growth in North America, pp. 16 - 18
    (Olga Pomerantz)
  • Rebalancing growth in Asia, pp. 19 - 22
    (Amanda Choy )
  • The Stability and Growth Pact and slow growth in Europe, pp. 23 - 32
    (Ali Al-Eyd and Sylvia Gottschalk)
  • Correcting US imbalances, pp. 33 - 39
    (Ali Al-Eyd, Ray Barrell and Olga Pomerantz)

The UK Economy
Prospects for the UK economy, pp. 40 - 54
(Ray Barrell, Simon Kirby, Robert Metz)

Research Articles

  • Introduction, pp. 55 - 56
    (E. Philip Davis)
  • Modelling financial instability, pp. 57 - 67
    (Franklin Allen)
  • Empirical analysis of the causes and consequences of banking crises, pp. 68 - 83
    (Asli Demirguç-Kunt, Enrica Detragiache)
  • Monetary and financial stability: so close and yet so far?, pp. 84 - 101
    (Claudio Borio)
  • Assessing financial stability: exploring the boundaries of analysis, pp. 102 - 117
    ( John Fell and Gary Schinasi)
  • Financial regulation, credit risk and financial stability, pp. 118 - 127
    ( C.A.E. Goodhart)

(résumés du n° 2/2005)

n°1/2005 (n° 191)

Economic overview, pp. 2-3

Commentary
WEALE Martin - The UK economy, pp. 4-7 

The World Economy

  • Slowing growth and the rising oil price, pp. 8 - 16
    (Ray Barrell )
  • Softening growth but improving fundamentals in Asia, pp. 17 - 20
    (Amanda Choy)
  • North America, p. 13
    (Olga Pomerantz )
  • Europe and the Euro-Area: poised for domestic growth?, pp. 21 - 30
    (Ali Al-Eyd and Sylvia Gottschalk)
  • Dollars and deficits - the US current account deficit and its exchange rate consequences, pp. 31 - 36
    (Ali Al-Eyd, Ray Barrell and Olga Pomerantz)

The UK Economy

  • Prospects for the UK economy, pp. 37 - 53
    (Simon Kirby, Robert Metz and Rebecca Riley)
  • The sterling effective exchange rate and other measures of UK cpmpetitiveness, pp. 54 - 63
    (Ray Barrell, Amanda Choy, Dawn Holland and Rebecca Riley)

Research Articles

  • Fiscal policy: institutions versus rules, pp. 64 - 78
    (Charles Wyplosz)
  • Are we saving enough? The macroeconomics of the savings gap, pp. 79 - 93
    (Olga Pomerantz and Martin Weale)
  • Policy design and macroeconomic stability in Europe, pp. 94 - 105
    (Ray Barrell and E. Philip Davis)
  • Paying for university: the impact of increasing costs on student employment, debt and satisfation, pp. 106 - 117
    (Hilary Metcalf)

(résumés du n° 1/2005)

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